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BTCUSD Perpetual Contract

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BTCUSD.P trade ideas

BTC/USD 15M CHART PATTERNYou're sharing a short trade setup for BTC/USD on the 15-minute timeframe. Here's a breakdown of your trade plan: --- 📉 Sell Entry Entry Price: 104800 --- 🎯 Take-Profit Targets TP1: 103400 TP2: 102100 TP3: 100428 --- 🛑 Stop Loss SL: 107100 --- ⚖ Risk-Reward Overview Here’s a rough idea of the risk-to-reward ratio for each target: 1. TP1: Risk: 107100 - 104800 = 2300 Reward: 104800 - 103400 = 1400 RR ≈ 0.61:1 2. TP2: Reward: 104800 - 102100 = 2700 RR ≈ 1.17:1 3. TP3: Reward: 104800 - 100428 = 4372 RR ≈ 1.9:1 --- ⚠ Notes SL is relatively wide (2.2%) — make sure position sizing reflects that. Targeting a full retracement down to ~100K area suggests high confidence in a local top or rejection zone. --- Would you like: A chart visualized for this setup? Help converting this to a trading script or bot? Backtest ideas for this strategy? Let me know how you'd like to proceed.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by Mrprofe21
USD Index (DXY) Bullish Reversal & Breakout PotentialThe DXY chart displays a strong bullish reversal structure from the support zone near the 99,800–100,200 area. Here’s a professional breakdown of the technical setup: 🔍 Key Observations: 🟢 Bullish Reversal Formation The price rebounded aggressively from a strong demand zone (support), marked by a green arrow and orange highlight. Multiple historical reaction zones confirm this level's validity as a reliable support. 📉 Previous Decline & Correction After reaching the resistance area near 110.400, the price corrected with a bearish channel. This pullback formed a classic bull flag, a bullish continuation pattern, eventually leading to the current breakout. 🟦 Current Price Action The market has broken out of the recent downtrend and is forming higher highs and higher lows. A strong bullish impulse candle confirms renewed buying interest. 🧱 Support & Resistance Levels: 🔵 Resistance Zone (Target): 110.409 — a historically respected area and target for the bullish move. 🟣 Current Support Zone: 105.061 — previously resistance, now likely to act as support after the breakout. 🎯 Bullish Target Projection If price retests and holds the support at 105.061, the next potential leg can extend towards 110.409, offering a strong risk-to-reward setup. ⚠️ Caution Watch for a pullback and retest near the support level. A failure to hold above 105.061 could invalidate the bullish structure. 🧠 Conclusion The DXY is showing a bullish trend continuation after a breakout from a corrective structure. A successful retest of support could propel price towards the 110.400 target zone 📊. Bias: ✅ Bullish above 105.061 Invalidation: ❌ Below 105.000
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by MrStellanSight
Bitcoin (BTC/USD) Technical Analysis + trade planBitcoin (BTC/USD) Technical Analysis – June 24, 2025 Pattern Identified: Bullish Flag Formation A clear upward impulse leg followed by a downward-sloping consolidation (flag) indicates a continuation pattern. The flag is bounded within a descending parallel channel, suggesting a potential breakout to the upside. Break of Structure (BOS): Multiple BOS signals indicate strong market structure shifts favoring bullish continuation. Change of Character (CHOCH): Minor CHOCH noted inside the flag, indicating local liquidity grabs but no trend reversal yet. Key Levels Current Price: ~$105,126 Flag Resistance: ~$105,291 (watch for breakout) Major Supply Zone (Resistance): ~$115,000 (red zone) Demand Zones (Supports): $96,000 (minor) $85,000 (medium strength) $75,000 - $70,000 (strong low / high-confluence area) Volume Analysis Declining volume during flag formation supports the bullish flag hypothesis (low-volume pullback). Anticipate increased volume on breakout for confirmation. Indicators Summary 1. VMC Cipher B Green dots signal potential local bottoms. Wave trends support bullish reversal setup, though momentum still neutral. 2. RSI (14) Current RSI: ~50.76 Neutral zone; not overbought/oversold – provides room for upside movement. 3. Money Flow Index (Art’y) Positive inflow recovering, signaling accumulation phase. 4. Stochastic RSI Blue line crossing above orange around 46. Indicates bullish crossover from the oversold region – early entry signal. Bitcoin Trading Plan Trading Bias: Bullish (Contingent on Flag Breakout) Entry Plan Breakout Entry: Enter long above $105,300 with confirmation (4H or daily candle close). Aggressive Entry: Pre-breakout entry inside the flag at ~$104,000–$105,000, anticipating breakout. Stop Loss Conservative: Below $96,000 (below key support + 50 SMA). Aggressive: Below $102,500 (inside flag, tighter stop). Take Profit Levels TP1: $110,000 (local high) TP2: $115,000 (strong resistance zone) TP3: $123,000–$125,000 (measured move from flag breakout target) Measured Move Target: Height of the pole ($25K) added to the breakout zone ($105K) = Target zone: $130,000 (theoretical). Alternative Scenario – Bearish Breakdown If BTC breaks below $96,000, the bullish structure is invalidated. In that case: Look for short entries below $95,500. Target zone: $85,000 – $75,000. SL above $98,000. Risk Management Guidelines Risk per trade: 1–2% of capital Use position sizing tools to determine trade size. Monitor macroeconomic news (Fed, inflation, ETF flows) and crypto market sentiment. To sum up things: BTC is consolidating within a textbook bullish flag. Momentum indicators align with a potential breakout. Caution warranted until clear breakout occurs – volume confirmation is key. Keep alert for fakeouts due to low summer volatility.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by elfabiiani
1
BTCUSDBTCUSD remains in a bullish leg with a projected target at 107,848, aligning with point B of a potential ABCD harmonic structure. Should price reach this level, we will closely monitor for a bearish reversal setup. From a Smart Money Concepts (SMC) standpoint, we are identifying two key zones of interest for potential short entries: A newly formed supply zone (order block) at 108,660, The 107,848 level, corresponding with the anticipated completion of the B leg. A valid short scenario will require confirmation through SMC triggers — such as a liquidity grab, followed by a break of structure (BOS) or change of character (CHOCH), ideally accompanied by displacement. Upon such confirmation, we will look to initiate short positions with appropriate risk management.
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by ProSignalai
BTCUSD 6/23/2025Come Tap into the mind of SnipeGoat, as he gives you a nice quick analysis of Bitcoins current Price Action to determine Price's next move. THIS IS ONE YOU DON'T WANT TO MISS! _SnipeGoat_ _TheeCandleReadingGURU_ #PriceAction #MarketStructure #TechnicalAnalysis #Bearish #Bullish #Bitcoin #Crypto #BTCUSD #Forex #NakedChartReader #ZEROindicators #PreciseLevels #ProperTiming #PerfectDirection #ScalpingTrader #IntradayTrader #DayTrader #SwingTrader #PositionalTrader #HighLevelTrader #MambaMentality #GodMode #UltraInstinct #TheeBibleStrategy
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by TheeSnipeGoat
A TA Macro Look into Bitcoin to assess directionThis is a look into the macro developments happening currently in Bitcoin. This is strictly a TA look into the big picture. We zoom out to Timeframes bigger than 1W. At times zooming in to check (3 Day, 5 Day, maybe 1D) for potential swing trades. I tend to look into things like price action, indicators, volume and other data to sway probabilities of where an asset may go and determine best opportunities of supply and demand zones based on my interpretations. So jumping right in this is a look into price action on the 1 Month timeframe. Notice trend lines drawn. Notice the Ascending channel. Notice the Blue rectangle zone. Notice this months (June) Candle Our current June candle is in a critical area. We are around the horizontal resistance zone, indicated by red horizontal line. This red horizontal resistance line is a powerful one. Our previous interaction generated a massive Bearish engulfing monthly candle. This area is not to be joked with and would urge to consider looking for more signs or better data to support continuation of bull run. If not a sell off is in the cards. Notice our current June candle Having equal length upper and lower wicks indicate that this month was neutral. Bulls nor the Bears came on top. If we close around this in 8 days. Probabilities would be 50/50 just based on price action and candles for price movement in July. We would need to look for other signs in indicators or something else, in other words look for confluence of multiple signs whether bull or bear. The Ascending channel is also in my opinion over extended. Notice the price action touch points on Green ascending support line. The duration between touches is coming down. 2nd touch happened 365 days after first. Which was the initial part of Crypto bull market. 3rd touch happened 214 days after. We are currently 61 days in after 3rd touch. Considering this and being logical, we could be getting close to another touch. But consider also that the duration can extend well into in the 100's (of days), before we touch. Notice also the Blue rectangle zone. This marks a side ways range of bitcoin. The orange horizontal line is mid point of this blue zone. A scenario could be that price goes to where the orange horizontal line meets the green sloping support line. The confluence of these 2 support lines, can be a decent area for potential bounce (which can be temporary). A break down of these 2 lines could also lead Bitcoin back down to the lower border of the Blue rectangle also indicated by Green horizontal line, which is a massive supply zone at the moment. This scenario in my opinion would be a high probability trade by looking for bounce up but please keep in mind this does not mean a bull run would continue. Look for more posts as things develop on Bitcoin. DISCLAIMER: This is not financial advice, i am not a financial advisor. The thoughts expressed in the posts are my opinion and for educational purposes. Do not use my ideas for the basis of your trading strategy, make sure to work out your own strategy and when trading always spend majority of your time on risk management strategy.
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by SafofAllTrades
Bitcoin Stock Chart Fibonacci Analysis 062325Trading Idea 1) Find a FIBO slingshot 2) Check FIBO 61.80% level 3) Entry Point > 100,622/61.80% Chart time frame:C A) 15 min(1W-3M) B) 1 hr(3M-6M) C) 4 hr(6M-1year) D) 1 day(1-3years) Stock progress:A A) Keep rising over 61.80% resistance B) 61.80% resistance C) 61.80% support D) Hit the bottom E) Hit the top Stocks rise as they rise from support and fall from resistance. Our goal is to find a low support point and enter. It can be referred to as buying at the pullback point. The pullback point can be found with a Fibonacci extension of 61.80%. This is a step to find entry level. 1) Find a triangle (Fibonacci Speed Fan Line) that connects the high (resistance) and low (support) points of the stock in progress, where it is continuously expressed as a Slingshot, 2) and create a Fibonacci extension level for the first rising wave from the start point of slingshot pattern. When the current price goes over 61.80% level , that can be a good entry point, especially if the SMA 100 and 200 curves are gathered together at 61.80%, it is a very good entry point. As a great help, tradingview provides these Fibonacci speed fan lines and extension levels with ease. So if you use the Fibonacci fan line, the extension level, and the SMA 100/200 curve well, you can find an entry point for the stock market. At least you have to enter at this low point to avoid trading failure, and if you are skilled at entering this low point, with fibonacci6180 technique, your reading skill to chart will be greatly improved. If you want to do day trading, please set the time frame to 5 minutes or 15 minutes, and you will see many of the low point of rising stocks. If want to prefer long term range trading, you can set the time frame to 1 hr or 1 day.
BITFINEX:BTCUSD
by fibonacci6180
Bitcoin Wave Analysis – 23 June 2025 - Bitcoin reversed from round support level 100,000 - Likely to rise to resistance level 105,000 Bitcoin cryptocurrency recently reversed from the support area between the round support level 100,000, the lower daily Bollinger Band and the 38.2% Fibonacci correction of the upward impulse from April. This support area was further strengthened by the support trendline of the daily down channel from May. Given the clear daily uptrend, Bitcoin cryptocurrency can be expected to rise to the next resistance level 105,000.
BINANCE:BTCUSDLong
by FxProGlobal
Bitcoin 1hr TIME Cycle Alright ladies and gentlemen the 1hr TIME Cycle is almost completed . In the next 6 to 10 hrs (if not sooner) the 1hr Cycle will be completed and it will stop going up to start moving sideways and then start to rolling down for a test to the $100k line again and eventually a test to the recent low of $98k, so whatever the high it prints during that period of TIME that will be it, at least until the set up is ready again. We will follow with updates. Book profits or at least protect capital with sl. Stay tuned
BINANCE:BTCUSD.PShort
by Numberfive
Bitcoin: The price. I don't like it. I remember so clearly in November 2021 when Bitcoin showed bearish divergence on the weekly charts. We might all be suffering from PTSD and fear the same outcome, especially with the potential for a double top. If BTC is able to stay above the 1D 200MA, as well as the RSI remaining above 50, there may be hope... If not, i.e. a weekly close below and retest of the 1D 200MA; RSI <50, there might be a real cause for concern. This, supported by a declining RSI would most certainly be a bearish signal and a shift in market trend. Nobody knows the future and I think we're all running on hopium due to all the positive news about BTC this year. Until BTC makes a new ATH, we may want to manage our expectations. What are your thoughts?
COINBASE:BTCUSDShort
by RayneOnChain
Bitcoin Between Conviction and Caution - The Market Suspended?⊢ ⟁ BTC/USD – BINANCE – (CHART: 1W) – (Date: June 23, 2025). ⟐ Analysis Price: $101,226.28. ⊢ ⨀ I. Temporal Axis – Strategic Interval – (1W): ▦ EMA21 – ($96,740.64): ∴ Price remains above the 21EMA, confirming bullish structural integrity in medium trend; ∴ The slope of EMA21 remains positive, reinforcing sustained market momentum; ∴ Most recent candle printed a higher low above the 21EMA, reaffirming it as dynamic support. ✴️ Conclusion: The 21EMA upholds the current cycle's bullish engine - it is the first invalidation level for any mid-term reversal. ⊢ ▦ SMA50 – ($85,002.38): ∴ SMA50 sits considerably below current price, reflecting distance from mean reversion zones; ∴ Market remains extended, but no immediate signs of pullback toward this structural level; ∴ The last interaction with SMA50 was in late 2023, when it confirmed trend resumption. ✴️ Conclusion: SMA50 defines the core mid-range support - no threat to it unless a breakdown accelerates below EMA21. ⊢ ▦ SMA200 – ($49,241.87): ∴ SMA200 remains deeply below market, showing that the macro bullish structure remains unchallenged; ∴ Distance from SMA200 reflects the strength and maturity of this cycle’s trend; ∴ Long-term investors remain in profit and structurally supported. ✴️ Conclusion: No macro breakdown as long as price stays well above SMA200 - the secular bull phase is intact. ⊢ ▦ Ichimoku Cloud – (Kumo, Tenkan, Kijun, Chikou Span): ∴ Price is trading clearly above the Kumo (cloud), showing sustained bullish dominance; ∴ Tenkan-sen and Kijun-sen lines are positively stacked, with Tenkan still leading; ∴ Chikou Span is above price and cloud, confirming long-term bullish alignment. ✴️ Conclusion: All Ichimoku components confirm bullish control - weakening only upon Tenkan/Kijun flattening or bearish cross. ⊢ ▦ MACD – (MACD: 318.17 | Signal: 4,884.24): ∴ MACD line is far below the signal line, though attempting a bottoming curve; ∴ The histogram remains red but with decreasing amplitude - bearish momentum is fading; ∴ No bullish crossover yet - momentum remains negative but weakening. ✴️ Conclusion: MACD suggests waning bearish cycle, but no official reversal signal until crossover and histogram neutralization. ⊢ ▦ RSI + EMA21 – (RSI: 57.71 | RSI EMA: 59.39): ∴ RSI remains in bullish territory above 50, although flattening below its EMA; ∴ No bearish divergence observed yet - RSI is consolidating; ∴ If RSI reclaims its EMA, strength may resume; if rejected again, loss of momentum may escalate. ✴️ Conclusion: RSI reflects structural strength, but cautious momentum - monitoring RSI/EMA relationship is critical. ⊢ ▦ Volume + SMA21 – (Vol: 2.51K): ∴ Weekly volume remains below the 21-week average, indicating weakening participation; ∴ Last few candles show declining volume despite price stability - possible distribution; ∴ Absence of buyer aggression may limit further upside near-term. ✴️ Conclusion: Volume suggests lack of conviction - momentum exists, but crowd participation is thinning. ⊢ 🜎 Strategic Insight – Technical Oracle: ∴ Bitcoin's weekly chart maintains bullish structural posture above all key moving averages, yet momentum indicators reflect hesitation; ∴ The Ichimoku system confirms trend dominance, but MACD and RSI signal that internal strength is not expanding - only sustaining; ∴ Volume contraction reveals market indecision or fatigue, potentially foreshadowing consolidation or rebalancing phases; ∴ Despite no structural breakdown, directional conviction is lacking - further upside demands renewed volume and momentum alignment. ⊢ ☍ II - GAP CME – BTC1! – Chicago Mercantile Exchange: ▦ Previous CME Close – ($99,640.00) + Spot Opening Binance – ($100,980.77): ∴ A clear upside gap is present between the institutional close and the retail spot open, measuring approximately $1,340.77, thus defining a latent Magnet Zone for downward pullback; ∴ This CME gap forms a critical vacuum range between $99.640 and $100.980, which will likely act as a liquidity reabsorption zone if spot retraces; ∴ No immediate fill has occurred, suggesting current bullish momentum persists despite latent imbalance. ∴ The latest weekly CME candle closes with a smaller real body and a pronounced upper wick — a classical signal of buy-side exhaustion below macro resistance ($102K–$103K); ∴ Despite the weakening thrust, no breakdown has yet been printed — the bullish structure remains technically intact above previous weekly lows; ∴ Volume prints are non-expansive, indicating lack of conviction among institutional buyers at this level — vigilance is required. ✴️ Conclusion: The CME structure reveals a latent institutional gap magnet to the downside, with price now suspended above an untested imbalance. The technical structure remains constructive but fragile. Further confirmation from the spot market will determine whether continuation or reversion will manifest in the coming cycle. ⊢ ∫ III. On-Chain Intelligence – (Source: CryptoQuant): ▦ Exchange Inflow Total – (All Exchanges): ∴ A recent spike in total Bitcoin inflows aligns directly with the $101K zone, signaling increased movement of coins from wallets to exchanges; ∴ Historically, such inflow spikes near local tops indicate preparation for distribution or profit-taking by large holders; ∴ Current inflow levels exceed previous consolidation phases, amplifying the risk of sell pressure activation. ✴️ Conclusion: The market is facing elevated short-term risk from exchange-bound liquidity — inflows confirm readiness to sell into strength. ⊢ ▦ Spot Taker CVD – (Cumulative Volume Delta, 90-Day) – (All Exchanges): ∴ The 90-day CVD curve shows clear flattening and early reversal near resistance, indicating a shift in taker behavior; ∴ Passive sell-side absorption appears to dominate, reducing the strength of buy-side aggression; ∴ Price action continues upward while CVD retreats, forming a classic hidden distribution divergence. ✴️ Conclusion: CVD reveals taker exhaustion - without resurgence in spot demand, current price levels are vulnerable to sell-offs. ⊢ ▦ Exchange Inflow Mean – (7-Day Moving Average) – (All Exchanges): ∴ The 7DMA of inflow mean remains elevated, suggesting sustained presence of large-sized transactions heading toward exchanges; ∴ This behavior often precedes institutional or strategic sales, especially when combined with total inflow spikes; ∴ No decline in the inflow mean implies continuous preparation for short-term distribution. ✴️ Conclusion: Elevated inflow mean confirms that whales and large actors are preparing or executing strategic exits. ⊢ ▦ Funding Rate – (All Exchanges): ∴ Rates across global derivatives platforms remain slightly positive but without speculative imbalance; ∴ The neutral-positive range suggests cautious optimism among traders - not overleveraged, but not afraid; ∴ No signs of euphoric long build-ups, which reduces liquidation risk but weakens breakout fuel. ✴️ Conclusion: A neutral funding environment supports consolidation, not explosive upside — no immediate directional conviction. ⊢ ▦ Funding Rate – (Binance): ∴ Binance-specific funding remains tightly aligned with global averages, reflecting no localized distortion; ∴ Positive, stable readings indicate low speculative friction, but also lack of trend-defining aggression; ∴ Historical patterns show that breakout rallies typically require a surge in funding rate — not present yet. ✴️ Conclusion: Binance traders are balanced - not short-squeezed nor euphoric - bias remains neutral until imbalance arises. ⊢ ▦ Realized Price – Short-Term Holders (MVRV-STH) – (~$47.5K): ∴ Price trades far above the STH realized price, indicating most recent buyers are deep in unrealized profit; ∴ This dynamic historically increases the chance of sell pressure at resistance zones, especially when inflows are high; ∴ No downward compression or convergence - suggesting strength remains, but realization is a persistent risk. ✴️ Conclusion: STH's are exposed to high profit levels - the market is primed for potential realization, but not structural weakness. ⊢ 🜎 Strategic Insight – On-Chain Oracle: ∴ Exchange-based signals (Inflow Total, Mean) confirm active preparation for sell-side flow; ∴ Spot aggression is fading as per CVD divergence, weakening breakout thesis despite strong price structure; ∴ Neutral funding and passive miner/on-holder behavior reflect structural balance - not panic, not euphoria. ✴️ Conclusion: The market rests in a zone of speculative tension - directionally undecided, but operationally sensitive to imbalance triggers. ⊢ ⌘ Codicillus Silentii – Strategic Note: ∴ The temporal structure signals resilience, but lacks expansion - technical relief exists without structural thrust; ∴ On-chain flows unveil transactional friction at current levels, with capital cycling toward liquidity zones (exchanges); ∴ Market energy is neither compressed for breakout nor collapsed into capitulation - a state of coiled hesitation; ∴ Asymmetry remains hidden within equilibrium - vigilance, not movement, defines the moment. ⊢ 𓂀 Stoic-Structural Interpretation: ▦ Structurally Neutral: ∴ Price holds above key macro supports (EMA21, SMA50), confirming preservation of the bullish superstructure; ∴ Long-term holder behavior and miner flows remain passive - structural integrity is undisturbed; ∴ However, no active thrust or trend validation emerges - the system sustains but does not ascend. ⊢ ▦ Tactically Cautious: ∴ Exchange inflows and CVD divergence signal short-term vulnerability near key resistances; ∴ Technical indicators (MACD, RSI, Volume) reflect a condition of deceleration - momentum is reactionary, not foundational; ∴ Until price reclaims volume-weighted levels with confirmation, the posture remains defensive and watchful. ⊢ ⧉ ⚜️ Magister Arcanvm (𝟙⟠) – Vox Primordialis! 𓂀 Wisdom begins in silence. Precision unfolds in strategy. ⧉ ⊢
BINANCE:BTCUSD
by Magister_Arcanvm