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BTCUSD.P trade ideas

Crypto Alpha Report - January 10, 2025Happy Friday, friends! Is the Bull Market over or on the verge of epic continuation? Join us for Fundamentals Friday as we dive deep into the evidence and find what side of the market we should be on. Let’s re-iterate a powerful metric: Bitcoin Balance on Exchanges. Currently, in January 2025, we have the lowest balance of Bitcoin on exchanges we’ve seen since January of 2019 - which was the bottom of the 2018/19 Bear Market. Liquidity and the order books are thin when the Exchange Balance is very low. This means price is subject not only to wild price swings (which is why being careful with leverage here is crucial) but also sets up price for rapid price appreciation if a surge of fresh buying comes in. However, the knife cuts both ways, as it also means less buy-side liquidity to absorb market sell orders. However, on the positive side, we analyze how this metric has helped predict Bitcoin’s price movements, whether bullish or bearish. We notice that since 2019, prolonged periods of Bitcoin Balance declining have led to bullish price action, and it’s only once the Balance on Exchanges begins to rise again that it calls the Euphoria Phase of the Market Cycle - when prices increase rapidly. Secondly, the long-term holder distribution of Bitcoin seems to have peaked and is currently declining - reaching peaks we’ve seen in previous cycles. In the 2017 market cycle, this metric peaked in August of 2017, when we saw a pullback in Bitcoin’s price from $4,000 to $3,600 - then we continued to rally to $19,000. In 2021, this metric peaked in January, which saw Bitcoin’s price pullback from $40,000 to $32,000 - we then rallied to $63,000. In 2024, this metric peaked on Dec. 10th, which has seen Bitcoin’s price pullback from $105,000 to $90,000 - we then rallied to ???,??? in 2025. Here’s to a frothy future! Crypto Market Update Stablecoin Dominance So far, a swat down from resistance and a decline of -2.17%. Buyers indeed stepped in, supporting Bitcoin’s price specifically and key altcoins. If this is the beginning of a rally, expect this metric to move as low as 5% again - but fair warning: a sustained close above 6% means a breakdown in risk on crypto assets. Bitcoin + Stablecoin Dominance It was an indecisive day for this metric, putting in a doji right below our 200 DMA. With altcoin buyers stepping in tentatively, this metric could go either way. Altcoin Performance Relative to Bitcoin Altcoin buyers have stepped in tentatively, as this metric has increased by 50 bps. This is the zone we should anticipate altcoins to bounce back - so I’m currently feeling optimistic about this metric rising following the deep deviation we had several weeks ago. Bitcoin Bitcoin put in an amazing rally from $91,000 to $95,000 overnight, printing more consecutive bullish hourly candles than we’ve seen since 2017. Trends 5M: Bullish 30M: Bullish 1H: Bearish 4H: Bearish D: Bullish W: Bullish Bitcoin has reclaimed a bullish 5M and 30M trend following an epic rally off of the lows. While the Hourly trend has yet to flip bullish, we have reclaimed the key moving averages of the 1H trend, and the dip to $94,000 looks like a liquidity grab before a move higher up. Key resistance at $95,900 - a break above would confirm just a test of the bottom of Bitcoin’s consolidation range and a pushback to $100,000. Key Levels Point of Control: $93,972 VWAP: $93,988 Value Area High: $94,848 - $95,675 Value Area Low: $92,301 - $93,127 Next Liquidity Zone Above: $$96,393 - $98,487 Next Liquidity Zone Below: $87,000 - $90,200 Strategy: Continue to hold long positions. 30M chart shows a liquidity void was just tapped at $95,700, but our local Point of Control held before that. If this is a bottom, there’s no need to re-test support. It looks like they pushed the price back down to $94,000 to fill orders before letting the price send.
BYBIT:BTCUSD.PLong
by CrackingCryptocurrency
Sometimes the simplest trade is the best trade | BTC $97K NEXT CRYPTOCAP:BTC has formed an inverse head and shoulders pattern on the hourly chart, indicating weakening selling momentum. We've also seen a local higher high, suggesting the dip may be over. Despite bearish news such as unconfirmed rumors about government sales and concerns over jobs and interest rates, the price is still recovering. This suggests that higher highs are likely ahead. However, be cautious of weekend trading with lower volume, though I don't believe it will significantly impact the overall trend.
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by altsandislands
BTCUSD TECHNICAL SETUPHey traders I am going to publish BTCUSD setups , share your ideas about my technical setup. Today BTCUSD has broken the support level and then retest it also and after that it fall down , after this rejection BTCUSD has finally making bullish candles so i have given a long setup, BTCUSD is now at 94400 and according to me it can first reach my tp 1 and then will touch the tp 2 also. KEY POINTS ENTRY 94400 TP 1 95600 TP 2 97400 STOPLOSS 93000 if you love my charts then follow me and share it to your family and friends.
OANDA:BTCUSDLong
by Fxjohny125
BTC/USD Analysis H4 chart Hello Guy Here is My Analysis About BTC/USD Must Support And Don't Forgot Share Your Thoughts And Like button 1. Strong Support Level: The lower red zone indicates a critical support area near $90,000. Historically, prices have rebounded strongly from this level. 2. Resistance and Target: The upper red zone marks a resistance level around $107,000, which aligns with the all-time high target. 3.Potential Scenarios: Bullish Scenario: If the price maintains the support level and breaks above the recent resistance zone (highlighted with the orange circle), it may reach the $107,000 target. This path is indicated by the blue upward arrow. Bearish Scenario: A failure to hold the support could lead to a sharp drop towards the $80,000 level, represented by the blue downward arrow. 4. Indicators: SuperTrend signals (green and red lines) are used to identify trend directions. The green line indicates a bullish trend, while the red line suggests a bearish shift. My suggestion is traders should closely watch the $90,000 support zone and $107,000 resistance for future price action. Note This Analysis Only For Educational Purposes don't Consider It Tarding Advice
BINANCE:BTCUSD
by NicolusFrank
Grabbing liquidity at 87,000 and heading up – target: +102,700The correction we are observing now is typical for this time of year (late December – early January). At the end of the year, institutional investors close positions to report profits to their investors (if they have any, of course), and many traders take winter holidays during the pre-New Year period. Market activity (which doesn’t necessarily mean growth) usually starts picking up from the second week of January. 🌡️ So, no panic, no sudden moves! Instead, while everyone else is selling in a rush, we look for entry points to reap the rewards later. 🚀 Now, what about Bitcoin? First of all, we see that the price has approached the key support level of $91,000 and slightly bounced back. In fact, we have already entered the area of unrealized long liquidity, which ends at the $87,000 mark. It’s logical to expect this liquidity to be absorbed, as Bitcoin needs fuel for further growth. We might dip slightly lower – down to 85,000. If we don’t rebound from this level, the drop could be sharp and significant – the next major liquidity zone is below $70,000. Therefore, entering with a stop-loss is mandatory! 🚫 Here’s the entry point: 🔹 BTCUSDT - Long 📥Entry price: $87,000 – $90,000 🎯Target: $102,700 🛑Stop-loss: $84,450 Happy trading, everyone! 💰
BINANCE:BTCUSDLong
by AdamZaitov
Spot Bitcoin ETFs in the US Acquired Nearly 4x the Amount Mined Market Update - January 10, 2025 Takeaways Spot bitcoin ETFs in the US acquired 51,500 bitcoin in December, nearly quadruple the 13,850 BTC mined: Spot bitcoin ETF-driven demand could create a supply shock that would drive prices higher in the coming months. But the price of bitcoin pulled back below $93,000 this week after reports the US government might sell $6.5 billion worth of bitcoin seized from Silk Road. Backpack Exchange has reportedly acquired FTX EU after regulatory approval: The exchange, founded by ex-FTX and Alameda staff, would be the managing entity for FTX EU bankruptcy claims. But the FTX bankruptcy estate released a statement claiming Backpack has no control over redistributing the funds, adding that the press release announcing the sale went out without approval. Terraform Labs founder Do Kwon has pleaded not guilty to fraud charges in US court following extradition: Prosecutors allege he misled investors about terraUSD's stability. Kwon's case is expected to go trial in January 2026. Metaplanet is aiming to quintuple its bitcoin holdings to 10,000 BTC by leveraging capital markets: The Tokyo-listed firm already holds 1,761.98 bitcoin, currently worth close to $180 million. The move continues a recent trend of corporate and investment entities stockpiling bitcoin as a reserve asset. Spot Bitcoin ETFs Accumulate nearly four times December’s Mined BTC Amid Supply Squeeze Spot bitcoin ETFs in the US acquired 51,500 bitcoin in December 2024, dwarfing the 13,850 produced by miners during the same period. This ETF-driven demand reportedly represented 272% of the monthly supply. Bitcoin's price peaked at an all-time high of $108,135 on December 17, driven by surging spot market activity. A January 6 report also highlighted bitcoin exchange balances hitting record lows, with researchers predicting a potentially imminent supply shock. On Friday last week, spot bitcoin ETFs added over $900 million in inflows. But the price of bitcoin has subsequently pulled back this week, dropping below $93,000 on Thursday as the market weighed the veracity of a report that the US government was poised to sell some $6.5 billion in bitcoin originally seized from Silk Road. In mining, MARA Holdings led December’s production with 9,457 bitcoin. Riot produced 516 bitcoin and Cleanspark came in third with 668 bitcoin mined. Other contributors included Bitfarms (211 BTC) and Terawulf (158 BTC). With total US bitcoin ETF holdings now nearing $110 billion, some analysts have projected bitcoin to see more significant gains throughout the year. Dogecoin (DOGE): The Birth of the Original Memecoin Dogecoin (DOGE) started out as a parody of cryptocurrencies and, in particular, the proliferation of altcoins. Its founders have publicly stated that DOGE was a joke, and the currency hasn’t received a significant technical update since 2015. Despite these facts, market forces have kept the cryptocurrency alive. According to the founders, it was never about the value of DOGE, but rather about giving people an accessible introduction to the world of cryptocurrency through a face many already knew from an internet meme — Doge. The founders sought to overcome Bitcoin’s and other cryptocurrencies’ barriers to entry — for example, news of hacks and scams, as well as technological complexities. To that end, they created a fun and friendly cryptocurrency to welcome newcomers to the crypto space. Read more! Onward and Upward, Team Gemini
GEMINI:BTCUSD
by Gemini
BITCOIN - THE KING OF CRYPTO (TECHNICAL ANALYSIS + TRADE PLAN)Descending Trading Channel: Bitcoin is currently in a descending trading channel, indicating short-term bearish pressure but within a larger bullish structure. The breakout above the channel's resistance line signals a potential reversal to an uptrend. Support Zone: A strong support zone is marked around the $92,000–$94,000 range, where demand is evident, as indicated by price consolidation. Indicators: RSI (Relative Strength Index): RSI near 47 suggests the asset is in neutral territory but trending upwards, moving away from oversold conditions. Stochastic Oscillator: Bullish crossover near 66 indicates increasing momentum toward an overbought state, confirming the breakout possibility. Money Flow Index (MFI): Rising MFI implies capital inflow, supporting the likelihood of upward price movement. VMC Cipher B Indicator: Bullish divergences are forming, suggesting a potential trend reversal. Volume Profile: While not explicitly shown, the lack of significant volume during the recent decline confirms a corrective phase rather than a bearish trend. Target Zones: Initial target post-breakout: $100,000 (psychological resistance). Secondary target: $108,000–$112,000, where historical resistance might emerge. Trading Plan: Entry Strategy: Enter once Bitcoin decisively breaks above the descending trading channel resistance with strong volume confirmation. Support Buy: Accumulate near $92,000–$94,000 if the price retests the support zone. Stop-Loss Placement: Place stop-loss below the $90,000 mark to minimize risk if the breakout fails or support zone does not hold. Short-Term Target: Set take-profit at $100,000, just below psychological resistance to ensure execution. Medium-Term Target: Partial profit at $108,000 and $112,000 for extended upside. Risk Management: Limit exposure to 1-2% of total capital per trade. Maintain a risk-reward ratio of at least 1:3 to optimize profitability. Watch for increased volume during breakout confirmation. Monitor macroeconomic factors and news affecting Bitcoin, as sudden events may invalidate technical setups.
MARKETSCOM:BITCOINLong
by elfabiiani
Understanding and Using the Gann Fan in TradingThe Gann Fan is a powerful technical analysis tool developed by the legendary trader W.D. Gann. It consists of diagonal lines drawn at specific angles, which help traders identify potential support and resistance levels based on time and price. While the Gann Fan can be complex for beginners, mastering its use can provide valuable insights into market trends and turning points. --- What is the Gann Fan? The Gann Fan is a grid of lines radiating from a central pivot point on a price chart. These lines are constructed at various angles, representing the relationship between time (horizontal axis) and price (vertical axis). The most commonly used lines are: - 1x1 (45-degree angle): Represents one unit of price for one unit of time. It is considered the most critical line, reflecting a perfect balance between price and time. - 2x1: Indicates two units of price for one unit of time. This is a steeper line, suggesting faster price movements relative to time. -1x2:Represents one unit of price for two units of time, showing a slower price movement compared to time. Additional lines such as 3x1, 1x3, 4x1, and 1x4 can also be used to identify key levels of support and resistance. --- Principles of the Gann Fan W.D. Gann believed that price and time move in harmony, and market trends develop at predictable angles. The Gann Fan lines aim to represent this harmony and forecast potential market movements. The key principles include: 1.Balance Between Time and Price: When the price moves along the 1x1 line, it indicates a balanced market. 2.Support and Resistance Levels:Gann Fan lines often act as dynamic support or resistance. Prices tend to respect these levels, bouncing off or breaking through them. 3.Trend Reversal Indicators: A break above or below a fan line can signal a potential trend reversal or continuation. --- How to Use the Gann Fan Step 1: Setting Up the Chart To use the Gann Fan effectively, ensure your chart has an equal scaling ratio between price and time. This ensures that the angles are accurate. Many modern charting platforms, like TradingView, automatically adjust the scaling when drawing Gann Fans. Step 2: Identify a Significant Pivot Point Choose a notable high or low on the chart as the anchor point for your Gann Fan. This point is critical as it determines the origin of the fan lines. Step 3: Draw the Fan Lines Using the Gann Fan tool on your charting platform: - Start at the selected pivot point. - Draw lines radiating outward at the predefined angles (1x1, 2x1, 1x2, etc.). Step 4: Analyze Price Movements - **Support and Resistance:** Observe how prices interact with the fan lines. If the price approaches a fan line, it might act as support or resistance. - Breakouts: A breakout above or below a fan line may signal the start of a new trend. - Trend Strength:The slope of the line indicates the trend’s strength. Steeper lines (e.g., 2x1) reflect stronger trends, while shallower lines (e.g., 1x2) suggest weaker trends. --- Best Practices for Using the Gann Fan 1. Combine with Other Tools:Use the Gann Fan alongside other technical indicators like moving averages, Fibonacci retracements, or oscillators to confirm signals. 2.Backtest on Historical Data:Practice using the Gann Fan on historical price data to understand how well it works for a particular market or asset. 3.Focus on Major Lines: Start with key lines like 1x1, 2x1, and 1x2 before incorporating additional angles. 4.Adjust for Scaling Issues: If your chart appears distorted, ensure that both axes are equally scaled. --- Limitations of the Gann Fan While the Gann Fan is a useful tool, it’s important to be aware of its limitations: - Subjectivity:Choosing the initial pivot point can be subjective, affecting the accuracy of the analysis. -Scaling Challenges:Incorrect scaling can distort the angles and lead to unreliable signals. -Not a Standalone Tool: The Gann Fan works best when combined with other analysis techniques and market context. --- Conclusion The Gann Fan is a versatile and insightful tool for traders seeking to understand the interplay between time and price. By mastering its use and combining it with other analysis methods, traders can enhance their ability to predict market trends and make informed decisions. As with any technical tool, practice and experience are essential to unlock its full potential.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDEducation
by Cryptonic_Trading
BTC- NO ONE LOOKS AT THIS BTC 6 month- Ask yourself is it time to go in big on bitcoin or to be very cautious right now. This is not where smart money buys. The smart money that does buy right now you can know that they are adding twice as much money to put options or shorts that you’ll never know about or never be made public. It’s simply how this business works. Be careful out there everyone. BTC is definitely looking too heavy. Think of it like a rocket 🚀 it starts off slow gains momentum takes off hard and as it gets closer to the peak momentum fades and it start to roll over and come back down. Watch out for the first big drop to be around that 70K to 75k area. We will update as it gets closer. This will take some time. Let the trade come to you.
CRYPTO:BTCUSDShort
by Thetraderedge
BITCOIN Is Bullish! Long! Please, check our technical outlook for BITCOIN. Time Frame: 2h Current Trend: Bullish Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bullish The market is testing a major horizontal structure 94,953. Taking into consideration the structure & trend analysis, I believe that the market will reach 97,361 level soon. P.S The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce. Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by SignalProvider
2
Falling wedge on Bitcoin - A bullish signal - End of correction?I can see a falling wedge or flag pattern on the BTC-USD chart. The price hit the support zone around 92K and triggered a bullish price action that might be the end of the correction. I expect a short-term reversal from a bearish to a bullish trend in a neutral medium-term trend as long as the price stays within the wedge or flag. If the price breaks the pattern up, the medium-term trend could change into bullish again. If the trends turn bullish, the price might attempt to break the resistance zone around $105k by March 2025.
BINANCE:BTCUSDLong
by Elysian_Mind
BTC's ultimate bullish point is here!BITSTAMP:BTCUSD Bitcoin is in the bottom of a broadening wedge, which has proved to be a good Support point as well! also we can see a double bottom on the chart which is another bullish pattern! so this might be a pretty good point to be bullish on Bitcoin. ⚠️ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always manage your risks and trade responsibly. 👉 Follow me for daily updates, 💬 Comment and like to share your thoughts, 📌 And check the link in my bio for even more resources! Let’s navigate the markets together—join the journey today! 💹✨
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by Cryptonic_Trading
Bitcoin 30-Minute Chart – Buy the Dip Opportunity?📉💡 The first Bitcoin chart of the year brings us a sharp dip right after a fake-out near $102,150. Despite the volatility, Bitcoin remains within a well-defined ascending channel that has held since November 11. 🔍 Key Levels to Watch: 1️⃣ $93,311 – Channel support (current bounce area). 2️⃣ $102,150 – Immediate resistance. 🚀 The Setup: The dip may present a buying opportunity as long as Bitcoin stays within the channel. A move back toward the midline or upper channel boundary seems likely if the structure holds. ⚠️ Market Context: Recent dip caused by macroeconomic fears: Fed policy, inflation concerns, and geopolitical noise. The channel’s structure suggests continuation, barring unexpected breakdowns. 💡 Stick to the trend: Buying dips near support levels has been the winning strategy within this channel so far! 🌟 Do you see this as a solid buy opportunity, or are you waiting for confirmation? Share your thoughts below! One Love, The FXPROFESSOR 💙
BITFINEX:BTCUSDLong
by FX_Professor
2
Bitcoin could bounce from 100K to 92KBitcoin is consolidating, but within the framework of correction. This phase may last for quite a long time, as the market is waiting for Trump's inauguration and politicians' actions. Disappointment may lead to a deeper correction, for example to 70K, and positive preconditions will become a bullish driver. Scenario: price has no direction, market is neutral, in consolidation, but globally we have a bullish trend. Since we have no direction and a sideways range is forming, we can trade from its boundaries. It is worth paying attention to 92K and 100K - the consolidation boundaries. Idea: Accordingly, now the price is heading towards the resistance and there is no reason to break it. We are waiting for a false breakdown and further fall to 92K
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by AndeWave
1