BTCUSD.P trade ideas
Where is the discount?In the wake of the past two week's impulsive price action, imbalances have emerged on multiple time frames. With these imbalances leaving volume gaps behind, if 116 doesn't hold, 110-112 is likely the discount zone, where institutions step up their buying. I'm inclined to believe that, with the lower highs, we're headed there. COINBASE:BTCUSD
BTCUSD CONSOLIDATES BEFORE NEXT HIKE
BTCUSD CONSOLIDATES BEFORE NEXT HIKE📈
Bitcoin has been under buying pressure since the beginning of July 9. Since July 14 the price has been consolidating. Now the graph represents the bullish pennant.
I expect the price to continue trading sideways for some time, then rebound from the trendline and move towards first major liquidation level at 127,400.00.
What is a liquidation Level?
The price at which a crypto exchange forcibly closes a leveraged position when margin falls below the required level, recovering borrowed funds.
Bitcoin Keeps Charging AheadBitcoin doesn't seem to be slowing down and continues its bullish momentum.
Overall, I believe the chart shows a solid setup for further growth. I'm not exactly sure how high we’ll go, so in this case, I’ll be trading with a clear stop-loss strategy.
📝Trading Plan
Entry: I’m building a position from current levels.
Stop Loss: Stop-loss set at $115,000 (4%).
Target: Target is around $150.000. I'll be trailing stop-loss as price moves higher.
One more thought on Bitcoin:
I don’t expect to see crypto winters like we had in the past. Liquidity in the system has increased significantly, and institutional players are now involved. As a result, we should see fewer long, painful drawdowns and overall reduced volatility.
Bitcoin - Will Bitcoin reach its previous ATH?!Bitcoin is above the EMA50 and EMA200 on the four-hour timeframe and is in its ascending channel. Bitcoin’s current upward momentum has the potential to reach its previous ATH. If it corrects, we can look for Bitcoin buying positions from the specified support area, which is also at the intersection of the bottom of the ascending channel.
If this support is lost, the decline will continue to around $113,000, where we can again buy Bitcoin with a better risk-reward ratio.
It should be noted that there is a possibility of heavy fluctuations and shadows due to the movement of whales in the market, and capital management in the cryptocurrency market will be more important. If the downward trend continues, we can buy within the demand area.
Last week, the U.S. House of Representatives passed the CLARITY Act (Crypto-Asset National Regulatory Transparency for Investors and Consumers Act) with 294 votes in favor and 134 against, including support from 78 Democrats. The bill represents the first comprehensive legislative effort to regulate the cryptocurrency industry and is considered a major regulatory win for digital asset proponents.
Key features of the legislation include:
• Clearly defining the regulatory roles of agencies like the SEC and CFTC
• Establishing a new category for registered digital assets
• Facilitating broader integration of cryptocurrencies into traditional financial systems
Status in the Senate: Despite bipartisan approval in the House, the bill’s future in the Senate remains uncertain. Senators are still in the early stages of drafting their own version, and significant revisions are expected. Some Senate Democrats insist that the bill must explicitly address President Trump’s and his family’s cryptocurrency holdings.
The CLARITY Act is part of a broader Republican-led legislative initiative dubbed “Crypto Week,” which includes two additional major digital asset bills aimed at modernizing blockchain regulation and the broader digital finance ecosystem.
Meanwhile, Donald Trump is preparing to issue an executive order that would open up U.S. retirement markets to cryptocurrencies, gold, and private equity. This order would allow 401(k) fund managers to incorporate alternative assets into retirement portfolios.
The move follows the rollback of Biden-era restrictions and the recent passage of three crypto-related bills in the House. While major investment firms have welcomed the proposal, critics warn that alternative assets may expose retail investors to greater financial risks.
Also last week, Bitcoin reached a new all-time high, pushing its market capitalization to $2.43 trillion. It has now surpassed Amazon, Google, and even silver, becoming the fifth-largest asset globally by market value.
Looking ahead, one of the key events on the economic calendar is Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell’s upcoming speech at an official central bank-hosted conference on Tuesday. This event comes just before the release of the preliminary S&P Global Purchasing Managers’ Indexes (PMIs) on Thursday. Given Trump’s escalating verbal attacks on Powell, a central question is whether this political pressure has influenced the Fed Chair’s stance.
Trump has repeatedly urged Powell to lower interest rates. This week, reports emerged suggesting that the President had discussed with some Republicans the possibility of removing Powell from his position. However, Trump was quick to downplay the reports, stating that the likelihood of Powell being dismissed was “very low.”
In this context, if Powell uses his speech to reassert the Fed’s independence and calls for patience to assess the impact of tariffs more thoroughly, the U.S. dollar may continue its recent upward trend. Still, it’s too early to confirm a definitive bullish reversal for the dollar. While the global reserve currency has responded positively to headlines fueling tariff concerns, markets could mirror April’s behavior—when fears of recession led investors to sell the dollar instead of buying it—should those concerns intensify again.
Chart Analysis: BTCUSD Consolidating at Key Support LevelIn this 1-hour BTCUSD chart, we observe that price is currently respecting a key support zone between $117,500 and $118,000, which has held strongly over the past few sessions. This region has acted as a strong demand zone, with visible buying pressure every time the price dips into it. The chart clearly shows multiple rejections from this zone, indicating that smart money participants are accumulating here.
We also see the Bollinger Bands (20 SMA) tightening around the price. This narrowing of the bands signifies low volatility and a potential expansion move. Such squeezes are often followed by impulsive breakouts or breakdowns, and traders should be alert for a decisive candle close above or below the range to confirm direction.
🧠 Market Structure & Technical Insights:
Support Holding: Price is consolidating above a major support level at $117,500–$118,000, which has been tested multiple times but not broken.
Accumulation Phase: The sideways structure after a previous impulsive move suggests that price is possibly in a re-accumulation phase before another leg up.
Liquidity Above Range: There's a visible liquidity pool above recent highs (~$118,600–$119,000), which could be targeted if bulls take control.
Volatility Squeeze: Bollinger Bands are compressing, showing signs of accumulation. Such patterns typically lead to a breakout move, especially if paired with volume.
Candle Behavior: Long wicks from below the support show aggressive buying interest, rejecting lower prices. This is a bullish signal.
🎯 Potential Scenarios:
1. Bullish Breakout:
If BTCUSD breaks and closes above the mini resistance near $118,600–$119,000, we may see a quick move toward $120,500 and $122,000.
A breakout backed by volume and momentum would confirm strength and trend continuation.
2. Bearish Breakdown:
A break below $117,500 with a strong bearish candle and increased volume would invalidate the bullish bias and may open the downside toward $116,000 and possibly $114,500.
This would indicate failure to hold support, transitioning into a distribution phase.
3. Range-Bound:
Until we get a clear break in either direction, price may continue to range between $117,500 and $118,600. Best approach is to remain patient and wait for breakout confirmation.
📚 Educational Note:
This is a textbook setup for many smart money traders—a compression near a strong support level with low volatility. Such patterns reflect market indecision, but also the potential energy build-up for a significant move. Traders should focus on risk management and confirmation instead of predicting direction blindly.
✅ Key Levels to Watch:
Support: $117,500
Resistance: $118,600 – $119,000
Breakout Target: $120,500 – $122,000
Breakdown Target: $116,000 – $114,500
BTCUSD MMC Analysis - Breakout Confirmation + Reversal + TargetWelcome back to another deep-dive analysis powered by MMC (Mirror Market Concepts), where precision meets market psychology. In today’s BTCUSD setup, we’re observing a textbook confluence of structural breakouts, demand rejections, and liquidity zone engagements. Let’s break it down step by step.
📊 1. Market Context & Background
The market recently showed a prolonged bearish trendline structure, with lower highs compressing price into a wedge. The prior days have been consolidative, hinting at an accumulation phase. This forms the foundation for reversal setups we often identify in MMC-style analysis — where liquidity, not just structure, determines the next move.
🔍 2. Demand Zone Dominance – 2x Tap Confirmation
At the bottom of the chart, BTC created a strong 2x Demand Zone (117,250–118,000 area), a region where buyers aggressively stepped in. This zone had already been tested once, and the second tap confirmed demand strength — a key MMC signal.
This dual-tap created a spring effect, launching price upward and rejecting all downside liquidity grabs. It also showed clear absorption of sell-side volume.
📈 3. QFL Behavior + Break of Structure
We see a QFL (Quick Flip Liquidity) reaction just after price bounced from demand — this is a behavior unique to MMC models. Here, price flipped structure rapidly after breaking a local high near 118,500, suggesting aggressive buyer entry.
This QFL event served as the first warning for a major trend shift.
Right after that, we got a major BOS (Break of Structure) above 119,250, further confirming the bullish transition.
🪜 4. Trendline Breakout – Second Confirmation
The descending trendline — connecting several swing highs — was breached with strong bullish momentum. Importantly, this was the second confirmation breakout, not just a fakeout spike.
The breakout candle closed strongly above the trendline and above the SR channel zone (gray area), confirming trend reversal intent.
This aligns with MMC's multi-stage breakout logic, where price gives one trap, pulls back, and then breaks cleanly with intent.
🛡 5. Channel SR Interchange Zone (Support-Resistance Flip)
The gray horizontal SR Channel played a crucial role. Initially acting as resistance, it became support once the breakout was confirmed.
This interchange behavior — a principle where support turns into resistance or vice versa — is critical in MMC. Price flipping this zone and holding above is a strong continuation signal.
🧠 6. Targeting & Forward Outlook
Price is now approaching the Mini Reversal Zone (119,750–120,250). This is a low-timeframe liquidity zone where short-term traders may take profits or where institutional orders may reverse temporarily.
Here are two potential scenarios:
Bullish Continuation: If price pulls back slightly and holds the channel SR as support, we may see a continued leg upward, breaking above 120,250.
Temporary Rejection: A sharp reaction from the Mini Reversal Zone could lead to a retracement into the Central Zone (~118,800), where buyers might reload.
📌 Key MMC Takeaways:
✅ 2x Demand Zone reaction confirmed bullish interest.
✅ QFL + BOS + Trendline Break = High-conviction reversal signal.
✅ SR Flip adds MMC-style structural layering.
✅ Price is now navigating final supply zones before expansion.
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BTC – Symmetrical Triangle Tightens the Market CoilCRYPTOCAP:BTC is navigating a symmetrical triangle on the 4-hour timeframe 📊. This pattern typically signals a build-up of pressure before a decisive move.
As price action compresses toward the apex, the market is setting the stage for either a breakout surge or a breakdown slip ⚡️.
Patience is key here—traders are watching closely to catch the next wave of momentum.
Eyes on the chart 👀
BTC? Longterm view
Hi
Although 1st half on July we saw nearly 15% of move.
NOW: a pennant/flag is forming.
It's like a sleeping tiger.. accumulation is going on
I would not be in a bearish mood.
Hope it shed some light.
Action:
Option I: May entry small because the pennant isn't broken. Once it breaks consider adding position.
Option II: Wait for a clear break
I hope you'll always be in profit.
Not a guru
$BTC Is moving alongBTC‑USD | 2‑Week Chart – Quick Read
Structure & Trendlines
* Price continues to respect the 2019‑2025 rising green channel and has flipped the 2017‑2021 orange trendline from resistance to support.
* A fresh break‑of‑structure above the 2021 ATH confirms continuation. Invalidation sits near the channel base / 65‑70 k demand zone.
Fib Road‑Map
* 1.618 extension (\~90 k) was reclaimed and back‑tested.
* Next confluence levels are the 2.618 (\~180 k) and 4.236 (\~240 k) extensions, matching thin volume nodes on the VPVR.
Momentum
* Multi‑time‑frame RSIs have broken their downtrends and pushed firmly bullish, echoing the 2020 breakout posture.
* The 2‑week MACD histogram has flipped positive with a higher‑low signal—momentum rebuilding.
Volume Profile
* Highest historical volume sits 15‑35 k; above 120 k liquidity thins sharply until ~160 k.
Near‑term downside risk
* The last episode of aggressive Fed rate cuts (March 2020) triggered a sharp washout before the subsequent melt‑up.
* Cuts keep getting deferred because unemployment remains low and jobs data solid; if a sudden pivot arrives on weakening data, a risk‑off flush toward the mid‑channel zone (≈ 80‑90 k) is possible before higher targets re‑engage.
Macro uptrend intact; pullbacks to the channel centre are buy‑the‑dip territory while momentum and structure favour an eventual 161.8 → 261.8 push, but stay nimble for policy‑driven volatility.
BTCUSD Daily Setup In the daily timeframe, Bitcoin is in an upward trend. We expect it to correct to the fvg of 115,330 to 112,140. If the daily candle does not close below this fvg, we expect Bitcoin to grow and rise to the range of 138,000 and 140,000. Then we will have a large correction and decline from the range.
#XAUUSD #ICT #OrderBlock #FundedTrader #TradingStrategy
Jul 20 | Crypto-market reviewNew Crypto-Sunday market review video, where I share my current analysis on the trend structures of BTC, ETH, SOL, XRP, HYPE and other alt- and mem-coins of interest to my, highlighting key support and resistance zones to watch in the coming sessions.
Charts featured in the video
BTC
ETH
XRP
(!) SOL
(!) HYPE
(!) TRUMP
BRETT
(!) FET
RENDER (Weekly)
(!) DOG
(!) MOG
Thank you for your attention and I wish you happy Sunday and great trading week!
If you’d like to hear my take on any other coin you’re tracking — feel free to ask in the comments (just don’t forget to boost the idea first 😉)
BTCUSD: Bullish Continuation
Looking at the chart of BTCUSD right now we are seeing some interesting price action on the lower timeframes. Thus a local move up seems to be quite likely.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
❤️ Please, support our work with like & comment! ❤️
btc usd buy setupThis BTC/USD 1H setup is a Smart Money Concept (SMC) long trade, built on liquidity, market structure shift, and mitigation. Let’s break it down:
Setup Breakdown
1. Market Structure
Previous bearish leg created a deep selloff.
Price swept a low, broke above a structure (BoS = Break of Structure) → indicating possible reversal intent.
2. Liquidity Sweep
See the “x” mark near the top and the large wick that tapped above the previous high?
That was a buy-side liquidity grab.
Price then reversed aggressively, hinting it was a stop hunt, not genuine buying.
3. Break of Structure (BoS)
Confirmed bullish intent.
The BoS you marked shows that the last lower high was broken, turning structure bullish.
4. Entry
Price returned into a demand zone (pink box) after the BoS.
The area aligns with:
Demand zone (bullish OB)
Fair Value Gap (FVG) just above it.
The ascending triangle pattern in the recent candles added confluence of bullish pressure before breakout.
5. FVG & Target Zone
You're targeting the FVG + Supply Zone marked in light blue around 119,900–120,400.
It's aligned with:
Liquidity cluster
Previous supply structure
That’s a logical area where price might slow down or reverse.
Trade Plan
Entry: After price retests demand and shows bullish signs.
Stop Loss: Below the demand zone and recent swing low (~116,585).
Take Profit: Top of the FVG/supply zone (~120,400–121,250).
Risk-Reward: Solid R:R ~1:3 or higher.
BTC - Breakout, Fakeout… or Loading Zone?BTC is back inside the $116K–$117K demand zone — same level that launched the last breakout.
But this time? Consolidation. Stoch RSI stuck mid-range. Unclear momentum.
The Hull Suite Strategy nailed the previous breakout with clean stacked buys — but it’s showing hesitation now.
This is where strategy testing really matters. Not every system handles chop the same.
📊 We test these setups across multiple variations — especially in zones like this where most signals lose edge.
Support flip or breakdown brewing? Watching closely.
—
#BTCUSD #Bitcoin #HullSuite #StrategyTesting #BacktestBetter #QuantTradingPro #CryptoAnalysis #TradingView
Braxons Group: How Cryptocurrency Became Part of Everyday SpendiOver the past five years, cryptocurrency has gradually moved beyond the narrow confines of a speculative asset toward what it was meant to be from the start — a fully functional means of payment. In July 2025, a study by Bitget Wallet confirmed a significant shift in consumer behavior: millions of users worldwide now use digital assets to pay for goods, games, and travel.
Braxons Group analysts see this not just as a trend, but as a clear sign that crypto is entering a mass-adoption maturity phase.
Crypto in Shopping: From Enthusiasts to Households
According to the study, 35% of users now use cryptocurrency for everyday purchases — not only for digital goods, but also for paying for food, services, and essential products.
Braxons Group notes a sharp rise in crypto payment integration with POS terminals and online marketplaces, especially in Southeast Asia, where digital wallets often replace bank cards. The growth is driven by low fees, lack of bank control, and instant settlements — particularly via USDT and BUSD.
Gaming: The Key Engagement Driver
36% of users regularly use cryptocurrency for in-game purchases and Web3 applications. This comes as no surprise: NFT items, premium memberships, and tokenized game assets are now core components of most gaming economies.
Braxons Group highlights that Gen Z and millennials form the backbone of this new crypto audience. Their willingness to spend tokens on in-game content demonstrates high adaptability and low entry barriers.
This is an important investment signal: companies operating at the intersection of crypto and gaming will likely become dominant growth drivers over the next 3–5 years.
✈ Travel: Crypto Crosses Borders
Around 35% of respondents use cryptocurrency for booking tickets, hotels, and travel services. For Braxons Group, this validates the hypothesis that crypto is the ideal tool for global users — eliminating currency restrictions, reducing banking fees, and enabling direct bookings without intermediaries.
Among older demographics (Gen X), trust in crypto for high-value transactions is increasing. This marks a shift in the market: a sector once dominated by speculation is now becoming practically useful for everyday needs.
Regional Differences
The Bitget study revealed notable geographic patterns:
Southeast Asia — leader in everyday crypto payments (up to 41%)
Africa — active use for education payments
Latin America — strong e-commerce adoption (up to 38%)
Middle East — growing interest in high-ticket purchases (cars, tech, luxury goods)
For Braxons Group, this means the decentralized payments market is becoming multi-layered and globally fragmented, requiring region-specific solutions.
Braxons Group’s Conclusion
Our team concludes that cryptocurrency is evolving from an investment class into a transactional tool. It no longer makes sense to view digital assets solely as a store of value or speculative vehicle.
What was once an experiment is now daily reality:
Gamers buy NFTs and passes with tokens.
Households purchase groceries with stablecoins.
Travelers book accommodation with ETH.
The next step? Integrating cryptocurrency into banking and government systems. For businesses, this means embedding crypto infrastructure is now a must-have for digital competitiveness.