BTCUSD.P trade ideas
BTCUSD INTRADAY Oversold bounce back capped at 88,000Recent price action in Bitcoin (BTCUSD) suggests an oversold bounce, with resistance capping gains at the 88,000 level. The continuation of selling pressure could extend the downside move, with key support levels at 80,850, followed by 77,500 and 74,420.
Alternatively, a confirmed breakout above 88,000, accompanied by a daily close higher, would invalidate the bearish outlook. In this scenario, Bitcoin could target 90,540, with further resistance at 91,890.
Conclusion:
The price remains below pivotal level, with 88,000 acting as a key resistance. Failure to break above this level could reinforce downside risks, while a breakout could shift momentum back in favour of bulls. Traders should watch for confirmation signals before positioning for the next move.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
Bitcoin, Gold, S&P 500 and InflationBitcoin, Gold, S&P 500 and Inflation
This is a 3 year view (2022 - 2025 to date), 1 week comparison chart of Bitcoin, Gold, S&P 500 and US cumulative rate of inflation. The most interesting part of this analysis to me is that the S&P 500 bounced off the cumulative rate of inflation slope. I did not know that until after I set up the comparison.
Gold = +80%
BTCUSD = +50%
S&P 500 = +19%
US cumulative rate of inflation:
2022 = +6.5%
2023 = +3.4%
2024 = +2.9%
3 yr = +10.8%
2025 = +2.4% forecast
BTC/USD Rejected at Supply Zone –Major Levels to Watch This WeekBitcoin is currently trading around $85,773, showing strength but facing stiff resistance near the $87,100 supply zone. Let's break down what the chart is telling us and why this week could be critical for price direction.
Key Levels:
Supply Zone: $86,800 - $87,500 → Price has been rejected here multiple times. This is the sell wall.
Immediate Support: $82,882 → A break below could trigger a sharper move down.
Major Demand Zone: $75,800 - $76,800 → Strong buyer interest in this region, marked by volume and past rejections.
Other Key Levels:
$83,547 – Mid-range support/resistance
$78,552 – Potential bounce zone if breakdown occurs
Price Action Insights:
BTC is consolidating just below a major resistance.
Volume is drying up near the top, suggesting either a breakout trap or an impending move down.
Arrows indicate potential liquidity zones where smart money could sweep price before reversal.
Scenarios:
1. Bullish Breakout: Clean candle close above $87,100 with retest → Target $89,000 - $90,000
2. Bearish Rejection: Strong rejection from supply zone → Watch $82,882 and $78,552 for reaction
3. Liquidity Sweep Play: Price spikes above supply to trap longs, then dumps hard → common before major macro news
Fundamentals to Watch:
U.S. economic data releases (highlighted on the chart – April 15 & 17)
Any shift in Fed tone or inflation data could trigger volatility.
Will BTC break above or fall back into the range?
Comment your bias below!
Like & follow for real-time updates and setups!
BTCUSD (4H): Short Position OpportunityHello Traders.
You may find more details in the chart!
Good Luck!
Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful.❤️
Bitcoin Bulls Pave Path to $100,000FenzoFx—Bitcoin is trading bullishly, staying above the 50-period SMA and the 81,160 support. Currently, it hovers around $85,650, testing resistance.
As long as prices hold above 81,160, the next target could be $88,650. However, if bears push below $82,811, consolidation may occur, with support at 81,160.
Trade BTC/USD swap-free, effortlessly. >>> FenzoFx Decentralized Forex Broker
Secure ptofits of LONG📊 BTC Daily Chart – In-Depth Analysis (as of Apr 15, 2025)
🔍 Overview
You're holding a long position from below $80K, still active but now at a +5-6% gain, while TP is placed around 88.3K, close to a key resistance and trendline confluence. Let's break this all down and answer your core question: Is it wise to secure profits now even if TP hasn't been reached?
⚒️ BitcoinMF PRO & Fisher Confirmation
The BitcoinMF PRO indicator has been delivering precise entries/exits—highlighted with green "Long" and red "Short" tags.
Your current active long was marked by BitcoinMF PRO near the lower end of the descending channel with Fisher Transform at a local bottom, signaling an extremely oversold bounce zone.
The Fisher is curling up from a "super low" region, meaning it is entering mid-zone. This reduces risk-reward from here for new longs—good reason to lock partial profits.
📉 Technical Chart Structure Breakdown
🔺 Linear Regression Channels:
BTC is now trading near the top of the smaller descending red channel, nearing rejection territory.
Also, it’s approaching the bottom half of the broader dark blue ascending channel = resistance cluster zone.
🔁 Elliott Wave Structure (Possibly Ending Wave 4)
This looks like a potential 3 → 4 → 5 wave structure unfolding.
Wave 3 likely bottomed near $71K- FWB:73K , and this long is likely part of Wave 4 retracement. If correct, Wave 5 may resume down again unless invalidated above $88.3K.
🔸 Fibonacci Watch:
0.5 Fib retracement from recent swing high to low is around $84.2K-$85.5K—you’re sitting on it right now.
0.618 Fib confluence is ~$88.5K, right where TP is set. That zone is statistically known for rejections. This is another reason to secure a chunk of profit now.
📉 Volume & Sentiment
Volume is weak on this rally, indicating a lack of conviction.
Fear & Greed Index (live: ⚠️ around 72 – greed zone) is starting to lean hot.
Market sentiment is optimistic, and price is hovering just below known short zones.
🏦 Whale Activity, Exchange Inflows & CME Gap
Whale wallets have shown mild accumulation at lower levels (~ FWB:73K -$75K), but no aggressive buying up here.
Exchange inflows are increasing slightly – suggesting some may be getting ready to sell into this strength.
✅ CME Gap around $66K is still unfilled. Historically 90% of gaps fill. Keep that in your long-term radar.
🔄 Long vs Shorts Ratio (Bybit + Binance)
On both Bybit and Binance, Longs > Shorts by ~58/42 – minor imbalance. Suggests majority is positioned long, slightly raising correction risk.
✅ Final Strategic Take
❗ Why You Should Secure Profits Now:
Price is at a resistance confluence zone (Fib + LR + sentiment).
The move has already run +5-6%, and even if price doesn’t touch TP at 88.3K, greed could erase that unrealized profit quickly.
If this is just Wave 4, the next move could be a final push down to $70K or lower (Wave 5).
Volume divergence + rising inflows = risk is increasing.
Locking at least 50-70% now is smart trader psychology. You can always re-enter.
🔮 Most Probable Next Move: 6.8 / 10 – Mild Up, Then Pullback
BTC has 69% probability of testing $86.5K–$88.5K, but rejection is very likely there.
After that, we could see a pullback to $80K–$82K.
Extreme bullish continuation (above $90K) currently has <20% probability unless macro/Fed/etc. change.
📌 Action Recommendation:
📈 Secure partial profits immediately.
🧠 Move stop-loss to breakeven or slightly in profit to protect the rest.
🛑 Avoid FOMO-ing into new longs now – let the chart confirm breakout first.
🧠 Ancient Wisdom:
In Pirkei Avot (Ethics of the Fathers), Rabbi Tarfon said:
“The day is short, the work is great… and the reward is much, but the Master is insistent.”
In trading terms: The market doesn’t owe you your TP. Secure reward when the work is done. Don’t overstay your welcome.
for more follow links in profile
Is BTC set to hit 90K before dropping?#BTC has been range-bound on the weekly , recently forming an SFP below the range low but failing to close below the Feb and Mar 10th lows. Could we see an SFP above the RH ($90K) before moving lower, potentially toward the FWB:65K -$72K target? That remains to be seen. The HTF MS remains bearish, and until it shifts, the risk to the downside is high. For a bullish shift on the weekly, we need weekly closes above $94000. Until then, downside risk persists.
On LTF/MTF: I update my analysis regularly, but for now, I’m considering a few scenarios:
👉a. BTC could bounce from an 18H HOB if the 2H HOB breaks, potentially aligning with USDT.D hitting a 23H HOB at 5.62%. This might form a DB at a 22H PHOB at 5.35%, or USDT.D could target a 12D demand or a 22H HOB at 5.15%.
👉b. BTC might bounce, breaking the current 21H OB, and reach the HTF supply at $90K, while USDT.D takes the 23H PHOB and possibly the 22H HOB before rising to 5.77%-6.01%.
Also note, the daily close below the $84600 SH shows weakness on the chart. There’s little to do until we either reach $72K or see an MS shift, which could open risky upside trades. These are risky because we haven’t taken the liquidity needed for higher prices. MT also mentioned that higher prices without key level breaks are likely a bull trap. Avoid heavy trades until direction is clear.
Until then, we focus on taking LTF scalp trades 🤝
Bitcoin: Waiting for a clear long setupOn the daily chart, Bitcoin is trying to break out of the downtrend, but for me, there’s still no reliable signal to go long. And without that, I won’t be gambling in this casino.
It's good to see some consolidation at current level.
Interestingly, the uptrend remains intact on both the weekly and monthly charts. That adds a solid extra argument in favor of a long position—if a strong setup forms on the daily chart.
BTCUSD update Hi traders you need to plan a trade n trade the plan,this is my plan n I post it 1 January now am in a recovery mode and still following the trend as I said this year I won't share many analytics but I do have specific platforms were I do share what am seeing n help those who see my post,soo we are gonna explode soon in btc its just a matter of time keep your head up n trust the process get rich or die trying never give up📈
BTCUSD Today's strategyYesterday, the price of Bitcoin increased, but the trading volume decreased, weakening the short-term upward momentum. However, in the long run, the market has sufficient liquidity. The active trading of a large number of investors supports price discovery, and it is likely to drive up the price when there are favorable factors.
It should be noted that the cryptocurrency market is highly volatile and uncertain. Although we are bullish on the price of Bitcoin today, unexpected factors may change its trend. When making investment decisions, investors should assess their risk tolerance and operate with caution.
BTCUSD
buy@83500-84500
tp:85500-86500
I hope this strategy will be helpful to you.
When you find yourself in a difficult situation and at a loss in trading, don't face it alone. Please get in touch with me. I'm always ready to fight side by side with you, avoid risks, and embark on a new journey towards stable profits.
BITCOIN FALLING RESISTANCE|SHORT|
✅BITCOIN is trading in a downtrend
Along the falling resistance line
Which makes me bearish biased
And the coin is about to retest the resistance
Thus, a pullback and a move down are expected
With the target of retesting the level below at 83,213$
SHORT🔥
✅Like and subscribe to never miss a new idea!✅
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Bitcoin bulls still face medium term diagonal resistance BITSTAMP:BTCUSD has recovered in recent days but still faces a hurdle to the upside as it is pushing up against a descending resistance line, with additional resistance at the $89,000 level.
Using the ForexGPT web app, we can see the following AI-generated analysis using the 4-hour time from on BTC/USD as of April 14th, 2025:
AI-generated analysis for BTC/USD, 4-hour bid prices from January 28, 2025, at UTC 02:52:38
Welcome to ForexGPT! Let's dive into the latest data for BTC/USD on a 4-hour timeframe.
As of the last candle on April 14, 2025:
Price: 84809.2
Open: 84280.4
High: 85038.6
Low: 84157.1
Close: 84809.2
7-period SMA: 84553.9143
14-period SMA: 82656.45
50-period SMA: 81183.452
100-period SMA: 83373.351
Bollinger Bands: Upper: 86400.4939, Middle: 82292.64, Lower: 78184.7861
Donchian Channel: Upper: 85786.4, Middle: 81203.2, Lower: 76620
Sentiment Score: 70.6311
Given the current sentiment score of 70.6311, the market sentiment appears to be quite positive. The price is trading above the 7-period SMA, indicating a short-term bullish trend. The 14-period and 50-period SMAs are also trending upwards, supporting the bullish sentiment. The Bollinger Bands suggest that the price is near the upper band, which could indicate overbought conditions, but also strong upward momentum.
ForexGPT AI-generated Trade Signal
Based on the analysis, I anticipate a long position with the following details:
Entry Price: Market order at 84809.2
Take-Profit Price: 85786.4 (Donchian Upper)
Stop-Loss Level: 83373.351 (100-period SMA)
Risk-Reward Ratio:
Potential Profit: 85786.4 - 84809.2 = 977.2 pips
Potential Loss: 84809.2 - 83373.351 = 1435.849 pips
Risk-Reward Ratio: 977.2 / 1435.849 ≈ 0.68
While the risk-reward ratio is below 1, the strong bullish indicators and positive sentiment may justify the trade. However, always consider your risk tolerance and position sizing carefully.
For further analysis, you might want to explore other timeframes such as 1-hour, daily, or weekly to get a broader perspective on the trend.
Above analysis provided by ForexGPT LLC subject to our terms, and is not investment advice.
Price Action: Bitcoin BTC Monday 4/14/2025In this video, we are looking into Bitcoins Price Action on Daily Chart throughout the week as it approaches previous levels of resistance on its move towards 85k -88k mark.
Bitcoin Double Top Signals Caution: Key Support Zones to WatchCRYPTOCAP:BTC previously formed a strong double bottom around the $74,500 level, which led to a bullish rally pushing the price up to a saturation zone near $86,000. However, current price action suggests a double top formation — a classic bearish reversal pattern. This aligns with RSI trendline rejection and signs of bearish divergence, reinforcing the bearish sentiment.
The key question: Is this a correction or the start of a deeper dump?
If BTC holds above $79,000, it may just be a healthy correction.
A breakdown below $79,000 brings the next support near $76,000 into focus.
If that fails, Bitcoin could revisit the $69,000 zone, which aligns with earlier consolidation.
Traders should monitor RSI closely and watch for reaction at the support zones. Opportunities exist for both short-term scalps and long-term positions near key levels.
BITCOIN MAPPING 2025This report provides a comprehensive analysis of Bitcoin (BTC), focusing on recent price movements, trading volume, market sentiment, and key technical indicators. It examines short-term and long-term trends, identifies support and resistance levels, and evaluates potential breakout or correction scenarios. The analysis also considers macroeconomic factors and developments in the broader cryptocurrency market that may impact Bitcoin’s performance.
BTC Still in Downtrend – Watch for Breakdown Below 82.7k📌 Structure & Price Pattern
- Still forming lower highs & lower lows.
- Signs of a potential reversal are appearing, but the overall structure remains bearish.
- Based on Elliott Wave count, it may still be completing a major 5th wave down.
- As long as the upper trendline holds, downside pressure remains.
📈 Technical Indications
- Bearish momentum still dominant despite a Bullish Divergence on the Daily timeframe.
- Weekly timeframe shows price is struggling near resistance areas, although still above EMA.
- On M30, price remains under pressure even if it's hovering near EMA.
⏰ Key Timing
- Peak reversal expected around *April 15* (Monday–Tuesday), potential swing high ➜ correction ➜ sideways ➜ continuation down.
📍 Key Levels
- 🔽 Bearish Confirmation: If price breaks below *82,700*, expect further downside towards:
- 🎯 Target 1: 79,000
- 🎯 Target 2 (final): 76,000
🚀 Focus:
• Reversal expected on April 15
• Break below 82.7k = short-term sell
• Downtrend remains intact unless major structure breaks
btcusd on bearis reverse above 86170#BTCUSD on bearish above 86170, price needs to move above there before sell reverse will occur.
Above 86170 holds bearish reverse which will drop the coin below 84264, stop loss at 87300.
No possible bullish yet, unless the third pattern is broken.
bitcoin dips below 60kbitcoin dips below 60k, but we're unfazed.
i see this playing out as we move into the depths of winter,,,
this crypto winter ❄️
why would this happen, you ask?
the answer is simple: a stop-loss raid.
a sharp wave 4 designed to shake out weak hands.
distribution may have already started, hypothetically speaking, but it'll take the rest of the year to unfold.
think of it like the jan 2021 -> april 2021 vibe, only on a slightly higher degree and timeframe.
---
take note of the highlighted wave 2's and wave 4's on my chart.
what i'm illustrating is "the law of alternation," which states:
if wave 2 is flat, wave 4 will be sharp, and vice versa.
all the wave 2's in this cycle have been flats,
so by design, all of our wave 4's are set to be sharps.
this fits neatly into the larger cycle:
sharp retracements triggered by over-leveraged positions,
yet consistently bought up thanks to strong demand.
with each sharp retracement, however, the upward moves become smaller,
as momentum gradually fades.
---
w4 target: below 60k
w5 target: between 150k-200k (conservatively).
---
ps. i have recently shared a much more bullish idea via:
BTC to likely kiss the $74K - $69KBitcoin Market Analysis and Forecast
Bitcoin has retraced over 50% from its all-time high (ATH). Despite a rebound from the Fibonacci 50% level to its current price of $84,600, continued selling pressure could push BTC lower toward the Fibonacci 61.8% retracement zone, which lies between $74,000 and $69,000.
This potential pullback presents strategic entry points for long-term investors who have the patience to hold through market cycles.
Given the current market conditions, I will continue to accumulate using a Dollar-Cost Averaging (DCA) strategy to mitigate volatility and optimize long-term gains.
I will be monitoring the price action closely and providing further updates as the market develops.
BITCOIN NEXT MOVES!Bitcoin’s Next Move
In the long run, it's clear—Bitcoin is the new digital gold. Any dip at this stage is a potential opportunity. With over 7 years of experience in Bitcoin analysis, I believe in the bigger picture and long-term value.
If you'd like me to analyze or give insights on any other coin, feel free to ask. And don’t forget to follow for more crypto updates and analysis!
BTC/USD @84,700 sell 4h chart analysistrade plan looks when interpreted as key support and resistance levels on the chart:
Resistance (SL): 86.500 — Strong resistance zone, price invalidation point
Entry Level: 84.700 — Near a potential resistance-turned-entry zone
Support 1 (TP1): 80.000 — First major support, possible bounce zone
Support 2 (Final TP): 75.000 — Longer-term support, possible reversal or consolidation area
This setup suggests you're expecting the market to respect 83.500 as a lower high or a failed rally, aiming for continuation to the downside. Watch for:
Bearish confirmation candles around 83.500
Momentum indicators showing divergence or downtrend strength
Price rejection or volume spikes near resistance
If you’re on a higher time frame (like H4 or Daily), this could be a strong swing trade setup. Want help drawing this up visually or adding confluence zones like Fibonacci or moving averages?
