Major Flag Breakout Meets Multi-Year Resistance – What’s Next?After breaking out of the large flag pattern that had been forming on the daily chart, Bitcoin pushed upward with conviction — fueled by a clean 4-hour impulse move. This move carried price directly into a major resistance zone that has held for the past 7–8 years.
I was initially skeptical of a full continuation here, given the historic strength of this zone. But observing how price behaved — especially the smooth structural advance, EMA alignment, and volume absorption — I’ve revised my bias.
We’ve seen liquidity swept from the downside, and price continues to find support in every micro-dip. Given the compression and resilience at these levels, I now expect the market to push further.
Key zone to watch: If we reclaim the midrange after this consolidation, a clean extension beyond the resistance becomes increasingly likely.
Caution: This is not a blind long — entries must be placed with discipline, especially as we test macro resistance.
#BTC #PriceAction #TradingView #CryptoAnalysis #Breakout
BTCUSD.P trade ideas
BTCUSDBTCUSD is currently trading at 120,246, presenting a favorable buy zone near the current price.
The first resistance level lies at 123,352, where price may face initial selling pressure.
The second resistance is stronger at 125,857, indicating a more significant hurdle for upward momentum.
A confirmation of bullish strength will be established if BTCUSD breaks and holds above 126,857.
Traders can consider entering long positions around 120,000–120,300, aligning with the current market level.
To manage risk, a stop-loss should be placed just below the key support at 117,988.
BTCUSD Weekly Outlook📅 Date: July 14, 2025
📍 Timeframe: 1W (Weekly)
🔍 Key Zones:
🔴 $131,839 – $140,000: Major liquidity pool & reversal zone
🔵 $74,458: External range liquidity target
Bitcoin has been pushing higher week after week, but this setup hints at a trap for late bulls.
Here’s what I’m watching:
Reversal Zone Between $131K – $140K
Price is approaching a critical area packed with buy-side liquidity, where I anticipate a liquidity sweep followed by a shift in market structure. This area also aligns with previous highs and psychological resistance.
Liquidity Sweep & Break of Structure
Once price sweeps the highs and takes out weak hands, I expect a bearish breaker block to form as the reversal confirms. This will be the key signal for a move down.
Targeting External Range Liquidity at $74K
The sharp decline afterward is expected to reach the external range liquidity around $74,458, taking out long-term resting liquidity. This aligns with clean inefficiencies and unmitigated imbalances on the chart.
🔔 Conclusion:
While the short-term bias may remain bullish into the red zone, I’m prepping for a high-probability swing short after signs of exhaustion and confirmation at the top. This is a classic smart money play—liquidity grab, breaker, and redistribution.
📌 Set alerts around $131K – $140K and monitor for structure breaks and bearish rejections.
BTC POTENTIAL PULL BACK ????Will Bitcoin continue going higher or will it crash a bit? Its something we have to wait and see. We have to be ready and prepared for what it wants to do!!!
Here is my technical analysis, but may the Lord lead you as you trade and invest. May you allow Him to show you where to cast your nets!!! (John 21:6 KJV)
BTC/USD: Rejection from 123,000 Triggers Correction Market Overview:
Bitcoin surged to the 123,000 resistance zone, completing a potential ABC bullish pattern. The price has since pulled back sharply, indicating the start of a correction. Current price action suggests consolidation within the 116,600 – 123,000 range, as traders lock in profits and reassess direction.
Technical Signals & Formations:
— ABC bullish pattern completed at the top
— Strong weekly resistance at 123,000
— Horizontal support at 116,600 acting as key pivot
— EMA(144) far below, suggesting room for deeper correction if weakness persists
Key Levels:
Resistance: 123,000, 126,000
Support: 116,600, 113,800, 113,000, 110,580
Scenario:
Primary: continued pullback toward 116,600. A breakdown below this level may lead to further downside targeting 113,800–113,000.
Alternative: stabilization within the range, followed by a rebound and potential retest of 123,000.
Bitcoin Ascends into the Clear Sky: Structural Break Confirmed.⊣
⟁ BTC/USD - BINANCE - (CHART: 1D) - (Jul 14, 2025).
◇ Analysis Price: $121,662.29.
⊣
⨀ I. Temporal Axis - Strategic Interval - (1D):
▦ EMA9 - ($115,313.08):
∴ The EMA9 is aggressively sloped upward, serving as dynamic support during the latest expansion phase.
✴️ Conclusion: Bullish control confirmed; momentum is guided tightly by the EMA9 anchor.
⊣
▦ EMA21 - ($111,636.30):
∴ EMA21 remains positively inclined, acting as a structural trend base beneath price and volume clusters.
✴️ Conclusion: Market remains structurally sound as long as price stays above the 21-day mean.
⊣
▦ Volume + EMA21 - (Volume: 497.79 BTC - EMA21: 262 BTC):
∴ Volume surge surpasses the rolling average, confirming institutional participation and breakout legitimacy.
✴️ Conclusion: Volume expansion validates price movement - no signs of divergence or exhaustion detected.
⊣
▦ RSI + EMA9 - (RSI: 77.99 - EMA9: 68.49):
∴ RSI has entered overbought territory, yet its trajectory remains upward and wide above its smoothing band.
✴️ Conclusion: Bullish momentum sustained; overbought conditions not yet reversing.
⊣
▦ MACD - (9, 21, 9) + EMA's smoothing:
∴ MACD: 3,271.60 | Signal: 2,013.81 | Divergence: +1,257.79;
∴ The MACD line is expanding positively over its signal, confirming momentum acceleration.
✴️ Conclusion: Technical conviction favors bullish continuation; signal remains clean and unsaturated.
⊣
▦ Ichimoku Cloud - (9, 26, 52, 26):
∴ Price is decisively above the Kumo cloud - “Clear Sky” territory;
∴ Senkou Span A = 121,653.30 | Senkou Span B = 112,486.54;
∴ Tenkan and Kijun lines are sharply elevated, confirming trend authority.
✴️ Conclusion: Zero resistance above; cloud projection supports further upward development.
⊣
🜎 Strategic Insight - Technical Oracle:
∴ All indicators are aligned in a rare harmonic convergence, signaling trend expansion with no current topping structure;
∴ Market shows the behavior of an advanced impulse wave entering Phase II expansion;
∴ Strategic play remains bullish - pullbacks, if any, should be shallow and fast.
⊣
𓂀 Stoic-Structural Interpretation:
∴ Structurally Bullish – Tactically Advancing
⊢
⧉
Cryptorvm Dominvs · ⚜️ MAGISTER ARCANVM ⚜️ · Vox Primordialis
⌬ - Wisdom begins in silence. Precision unfolds in strategy - ⌬
⧉
⊢
BTC/USD BUY OPPORTUNITY We’re looking at the market structures BTC is making from the M15 timeframe and we can spot a nice buy opportunity around the 38.2% fibo retracement of the recent impulse like pattern created in H4 I still believe price is going to trade bullish up onto $123419 A buy opportunity is envisaged from the current market price.
BTC TOP AND BEARISH AND CONTUNITY PREDICTION This chart is purely based on technical analysis. The RSI is still not oversold on the monthly chart, which means there might be a little more upside to this. But from the trendline, a serious reversal appears due. I could be wrong, but we'll all see. Profit taking may commence bit by bit.
$BTC - Bitcoin Elliot Wave Analysis UpdateHello fellow gamblers,
Bitcoin hit my target zone and we could now see a retracement for Wave 4 or a bullish continuation into ATH.
I am also bringing a new update on Bitcoin and showing you all an alternative count that could take us way above our current targets.
- If we do have a Wave 4 retracement, I'm expecting price to find support at that 116.7k level.
- Levels to watch: 116.7k, 112k-110.4k
Balla is still Bullish on BITCOIN. Cup & Handle pattern. The trend is still our friend.
I still see bullish developments in the price action.
We must have patience.
Dips still must be bought.
The plan hasn't changed.
We still aiming for that time period of 9 -15 months post #BTC Halving.
We are only one month down :)
Bitcoin's Blue SkyBitcoin just closed another weekly candle near its highs – and this one confirmed what the last few were hinting at: the bulls are fully in charge. Price exploded through the \$112,000 resistance level, turned it into support, and barely looked back. The move wasn’t subtle either – it was loud, confident, and backed by a strong candle with virtually no upper wick. That tells you all you need to know: there’s no hesitation here, just buyers pushing price higher. If this were a poker game, Bitcoin just went all-in on momentum, and no one at the table seems brave enough to call its bluff.
Even more impressive is how clean the breakout structure looks. After consolidating under \$112K for weeks, BTC finally made its move, leaving behind a textbook support/resistance flip. As long as that zone holds, the path of least resistance is clearly up. There’s no major historical resistance overhead, which means we’re officially in price discovery – that magical place where technicals matter less and raw sentiment takes the wheel. The music is playing, and Bitcoin’s dancing like no one’s watching.
Volume has been quietly rising, even if it’s not screaming just yet. That’s a sign of real interest – not a frenzy, but sustained institutional nibbling and long-term conviction. The 50-week moving average is lagging far behind (hovering somewhere in the \$80K range), which tells you how strong this trend really is. That line’s not catching up anytime soon – it’s gasping for air while price is sprinting ahead.
Could we get a pullback? Sure. That’s always on the table. But unless BTC fumbles back below \$112K, the bulls aren’t just in control – they’re rewriting the rules. Next major psychological zones are \$125K, \$130K, and \$135K, and with each passing week, they’re looking less like distant targets and more like stepping stones. Buckle up.
Bitcoin - Bitcoin, Unrivaled in the Market!Bitcoin is above the EMA50 and EMA200 on the four-hour timeframe and is in its ascending channel. Bitcoin’s current upward momentum has the potential to reach the target of $130,000. If it corrects, Bitcoin buying opportunities can be sought from the specified demand zones.
It should be noted that there is a possibility of heavy fluctuations and shadows due to the movement of whales in the market and compliance with capital management in the cryptocurrency market will be more important. If the downward trend continues, we can buy within the demand area.
In recent days, Bitcoin has managed to set a new historical high by crossing the $118,000 level; a jump that followed the strong accumulation of institutional capital, the upward trend of spot ETFs and the remarkable consolidation of such indices. This growth is not only the result of technical conditions or short-term market excitement, but is a clear reflection of the structural maturity of the Bitcoin ecosystem in the second half of 2025. A careful and comprehensive examination of the fundamental parameters shows that Bitcoin is moving differently than in the past: slower, but with much stronger support. On the other hand, more than $205 million in Bitcoin short selling positions have been liquidated following the jump in the price of Bitcoin and its crossing the $122,000 level.
First, the flow of investment from Bitcoin spot ETFs has broken records over the past week. In one day, more than $1.18 billion entered these funds, and the total annual inflow of these financial instruments has reached more than $51 billion. This is while ETFs such as IBIT (managed by BlackRock) and FBTC (managed by Fidelity) are attracting hundreds of Bitcoins daily, without causing any negative divergence in price indices. This phenomenon clearly shows that the participation of institutional investors through regulated channels is not only stable, but also accelerating. Along with this flow of capital, the parameters of the chain also paint a picture of a market with a balance of supply and demand. The MVRV ratio, an indicator for measuring market profitability, fluctuates between 2.2 and 2.34, meaning that the market is in a reasonably profitable state, but is still some way from the warning zone of profit saturation. Meanwhile, long-term holders (LTHs) are also continuing to accumulate. Long-term wallet holdings have reached a record high of 14.7 million BTC, representing nearly 70% of the total supply. In the last quarter alone, more than 13,000 BTC have been added to this group’s reserves.
On the other hand, the SOPR indicator, which measures realized profit ratio, shows that profit-taking is taking place at a gentle slope in the market, away from heavy selling pressure. This logical trend of profit-taking is a testament to mature investor behavior. Bitcoin flows to exchanges are also at very low levels; Bitcoin held on exchanges now account for just 1.25% of the total supply—the lowest level in over a decade. This significant reduction in potential selling pressure has kept Bitcoin’s price stable in the face of short-term volatility.
Behaviorally, the market is also showing signs of maturation. The number of daily active addresses has remained stable, but unlike during the buying frenzy, we are no longer seeing retail traders rushing into exchanges or mass wallet outflows. In other words, on-chain activity has stabilized, similar to the behavior of traditional mature markets—markets driven by data and structure, not emotion. From a macro perspective, the outlook for Bitcoin in the medium term is also positive. Many analysts and institutions, including Global X ETFs, see Bitcoin’s growth to $200,000 within the next 12 months as achievable. Technical analysis from some sources has also outlined the $140,000 range as the next price target in the next 100 days, provided that the VIX volatility index remains low and macroeconomic data maintains its current trajectory. However, a more conservative scenario sees a price consolidation in the $95,000-$100,000 range if geopolitical pressures increase or ETF inflows weaken.
Overall, Bitcoin is moving ahead in the summer of 2025 not only on the back of crypto market excitement, but also on the back of strong fundamentals and structured institutional capital inflows. Accumulation by long-term holders, a steady decline in supply on exchanges, a reasonable profit-taking balance, and a formal investment structure via ETFs have all combined to bring the market to a stable state and ready for further increases. If this trend holds, levels of $125,000-$140,000 in the short term, and a range of $180,000-$200,000 by the end of the year, are not far off!
On the other hand, BlackRock’s Bitcoin ETF (IBIT) managed to record the fastest growth in history among all ETFs, surpassing $80 billion in assets in just 374 days! For comparison, it should be noted that the S&P500 Index ETF needed about 5 times this time! BlackRock now holds about 706,000 Bitcoins (equivalent to 56% of the total ETF share).
BTC PRICE PROJECTION ANALYSIS. HOW MUCH FURTHER UPSIDE???In this video, I'm just excited to see the cup and handle analysis done on October 19th, 2024 reach it's target. It's amazing!
I decided to do some predictive analysis using Elliott wave concept and Fibonacci extensions to see how far Bitcoin will go.
I am convinced that on the timeframe analyzed, this is onto a wave 5 and so pullbacks are going to be a great opportunity to grab some while a lot people will think this is madness.
My cup and handle analysis and targets getting hit has taught me a great lesson to always look at the bigger picture while taking advantage of the micro view.
Cheer to all the longs and Bitcoin believers. With only 1.11 Million Bitcoin available for grabs and Institutional confidence behind the asset, I am confident the projected price targets are highly likely and in sight soon.
127KMorning folks,
So, BTC shows even better performance that we thought, although it obviously something stands behind, this is not market-natural motion. Anyway, we consider 127K level as all-time nearest target that stands on monthly chart.
If any pullback starts (BTC now is at daily overbought and near Yearly Resistance Pivot), we keep an eye on 117.2K and 113.5K levels to decide on long entry
BTC: Next price Halving 📊Analysis by AhmadArz: #BTCUSD
By calculating the price growth in the 4-year halving time frame, we came to the conclusion that with the growth of the Bitcoin market cap, its growth will be halved and we can expect $120,000 from Bitcoin, and it is expected to grow up to 270,000 dollars in halvings.
🔗"Uncover new opportunities in the world of cryptocurrencies with AhmadArz.
💡Join us on TradingView and expand your investment knowledge with our five years of experience in financial markets."
🚀Please boost and💬 comment to share your thoughts with us!
watch the laws, not just the charts.stablecoins were once the rebels of finance—anchored to fiat yet untethered from traditional banking laws, but the tides are turning. Across major economies, lawmakers are drawing up legal frameworks that place stablecoins inside the banking sector rather than outside of it. This shift could be the most pivotal regulatory development since Bitcoin was born.
But what does this really mean for traders, investors, and markets?
In this @TradingView blog we’ll unpack the new laws on stablecoins entering the banking realm, and what their ripple effect might look like, using past regulatory shifts as a lens to foresee market behavior.
🧾 Section 1: What the New Stablecoin Laws Say
Many regions—especially the EU, UK, Japan, and the US—are moving toward a model where stablecoin issuers must register as banks or hold full banking licenses, or at minimum, comply with banking-like oversight.
Key pillars of these laws include:
Full reserve requirements (1:1 backing in liquid assets)
Audited transparency on reserves and redemptions
KYC/AML compliance for users and issuers
Supervision by central banks or financial regulators
In the US, the House Financial Services Committee recently advanced a bill that would make the Fed the ultimate overseer of dollar-backed stablecoins.
In the EU, MiCA (Markets in Crypto-Assets) requires issuers of e-money tokens to be regulated financial institutions.
Japan now allows banks and trust companies to issue stablecoins under strict regulations.
💥 Section 2: Why This Is a Big Deal
Bringing stablecoins into the banking system could change how liquidity flows, how DeFi operates, and how capital moves across borders.
Potential market impacts:
Increased trust = more institutional money entering stablecoins and crypto markets.
DeFi restrictions = protocols may face scrutiny if they allow unverified stablecoin usage.
Flight from algorithmic or offshore stables to regulated, bank-issued stablecoins (e.g., USDC, PYUSD).
On-chain surveillance increases, potentially limiting pseudonymous finance.
Think of it as crypto’s "Too Big To Ignore" moment—where stablecoins become infrastructure, not outlaws.
📉 Section 3: Past Laws That Shaped Crypto Markets
Let’s examine how previous regulations have affected crypto markets—offering clues about what to expect.
🧱 1. China’s Crypto Ban (2017–2021)
Kicked off a massive market crash in 2018.
Pushed mining and trading activity overseas, especially to the US and Southeast Asia.
Resulted in more global decentralization, ironically strengthening Bitcoin’s resilience.
🪙 2. SEC Lawsuits Against XRP & ICO Projects
Ripple’s XRP lawsuit caused delistings and volatility.
Set a precedent for how tokens are treated under securities law.
Resulted in more structured token launches (via SAFEs, Reg D, etc.).
🧮 3. MiCA Regulation in Europe (2023 Onward)
Provided regulatory clarity, prompting institutions to engage more with regulated entities.
Boosted legitimacy of Euro-backed stablecoins like EURS and Circle’s Euro Coin.
Sparked a race among exchanges to gain EU registration (e.g., Binance France, Coinbase Ireland).
Each of these regulatory waves caused temporary volatility, followed by long-term growth—as clarity invited capital.
📊 Section 4: The Possible Scenarios for the Market
Here’s how things might play out as stablecoin laws become mainstream:
Golden Path-Regulated stablecoins coexist with DeFi; innovation meets compliance - Bullish for crypto adoption and capital inflows.
Walled Garden-Only bank-issued stablecoins are allowed; DeFi stifled -Neutral or bearish short-term, bullish long-term.
Backlash-Overregulation pushes stables offshore or into non-compliant zones - Bearish, liquidity fragmentation returns.
🔍 Nerdy Conclusion:
Stablecoins are no longer just tools for traders—they’re becoming the backbone of digital finance. Their formal entrance into banking law marks a turning point that traders must understand.
While regulation has historically caused short-term fear, it often leads to long-term maturity in crypto markets. The stablecoin laws now in motion could unlock the next chapter of institutional adoption, cross-border finance, and perhaps, the integration of crypto into the real-world economy at scale.
💡 Nerdy Thought:
When a technology becomes systemically important, it stops being ignored—it gets integrated. Stablecoins have reached that level.
put together by : @currencynerd as Pako Phutietsile