BTC to the upsideeAccumulation on the daily trendline..impulsive move anytime soon. Watch out for bear trap before taking off.
BTCUSD.P trade ideas
Bitcoin (BTC/USD) – 30-Min Long Setup!📈
Chart Pattern: Symmetrical Triangle Breakout (Pending confirmation)
Bias: Bullish – expecting breakout to the upside
✅ Trade Plan – Long Position
Entry: ~$84,521 (on breakout of triangle resistance)
Stop-Loss (SL): ~$84,000 (below trendline & consolidation base)
Take Profit (TP) Levels:
TP1: $85,137 (local horizontal resistance – yellow line)
TP2: $85,460 (stronger horizontal resistance – green line)
📐 Risk-Reward Ratio: ~1 : 2+
🟢 Favorable for momentum entry if volume supports breakout.
🔍 Technical Highlights
Triangle formation tightening with decreasing volume → breakout likely soon
Previous breakouts (circled) showed strong follow-through
Horizontal zones respected → key levels remain reliable
Bullish structure still intact above $84k
Btc 1h sell to 84k and lowerRejecting higher opens, retested highest high of day, going back to 84k support
Volume smother by worlds best trader yashThis volume smoother helps us to know about volume Trend and bullishness or bearishness in char
Bitcoin in correction phaseWave 4 price is currently shoeing, with a target range of 72000-73000. Looking for a buy opportunity at 73000. Uptrend confirmation requires a close above 92000.Keeping a close eye on that 73000 level then. Gotta be quick on the trigger if it dips down there. Don't want to miss the boat if it bounces. Setting an alert for 73000 just to be sure. Still cautious though, that 92000 close is the real confirmation we're looking for. Until then, it's a calculated risk. Might even consider a tight stop-loss just below 72000 to manage potential downside if this wave 4 ain't finished correcting. Patience is key here, don't want to jump the gun. Waiting for that setup.
BTC/USD Technical Outlook📊 BTC/USD Technical Outlook
Rounded Top Formation signals exhaustion of bullish momentum.
Price respecting a descending channel, showing structured bearish correction.
Supply Zone: $96K–$100K – major resistance; price likely to reject here if tested.
Key Levels:
Support: $80.5K → $74.7K → $56K → $48.6K → $39.7K
Resistance: Descending trendline & supply zone
Two Scenarios:
✅ Bullish: Break above channel + $96K = retest ATH zone.
❌ Bearish: Rejection + break below $74.7K = targets $56K and lower.
Current Bias: Bearish unless breakout confirms above descending structure. 📉 Fundamental View
Bitcoin Halving supports long-term bullish case.
Fed’s policy & inflation will drive short-term volatility.
Institutional news already priced in; any surprises = big moves.
BITCOIN WEEKLY ANALYSIS - April 18th, 2025BTC/USD is currently hovering just below a major descending trendline and key horizontal resistance near the 91,500 level. 🧱
🔍 What We’re Watching:
- Price has tested the downtrend line multiple times — the structure is weakening.
- A breakout above 87,500 could trigger a strong bullish move.
- Until then, "Wait for the Breakout" remains the strategy. No confirmed long entries yet.
📉 Current Price: $84,500
📈 Breakout Confirmation: Clean close above resistance zone + volume spike = 🔥🔥 potential rally.
🧠 Pro Tip: False breakouts are common. Watch for confirmation — not just a wick!
Stay sharp, stay patient. Breakouts give the best reward-risk trades! 💹
BTC CLOSES ABOVE 50 MABitcoin finally closed a strong daily candle well above the 50-day moving average – a notable technical development, especially since that moving average is beginning to curve upward again. It’s the first convincing close above the 50 MA in months, signaling a potential shift in short-term trend.
However, the move came on low volume – which tempers the enthusiasm. Without a surge in buying interest, this breakout could lack staying power. The 200-day moving average remains overhead as resistance, and the horizontal level at $88,804 is still the key barrier to flip market structure and print a higher high.
Encouraging – but not convincing – yet. Bulls need to follow through with strength.
bitcoin longexhausted down trend
trump tarrifs
bullish momemtum building
use proper risk management
#forex #setup #strategy
correctionIt is expected that a trend change will form within the resistance trend line and we will witness the start of a correction. Then, it is likely that the correction pattern will end at the specified support levels.
BTC/USD weekly ChartBitcoin has demonstrated a consistent upward trajectory since January 2023, achieving an impressive 565.42% increase over 749 days Clearly showing a bullish trend in a long-term perspective.
On the weekly chart, price has triggered the fair value gap priced at 73k-78k which is also a fair price on the demand and supply curve, presenting favorable conditions for traders.
Although Bitcoin's all-time high from January 2025 remains untested, recent price corrections—driven by macroeconomic factors such as U.S. tariffs and inflation in this recent months may seem a bit shaky for the market, but if you zoom out and look at it at a long term perspective It just looks like a healthy price correction of the market.
BTC Covid Crash 2.0 Tariff Stylethe gold silver ratio spiking is a historical indication we're about to have a sell off. And it looks remarkably similar to the set up to march 2020 covid crash. Get your cash ready friends.
Trade Responsibly
BTCUSD 30M CHART PATTERNThis chart for BTC/USD (30-minute timeframe) is showing a classic ascending triangle pattern, which is typically a bullish formation.
Breakdown:
Pattern: Ascending Triangle
Flat resistance around $85,757.
Higher lows forming the ascending trendline.
Entry Point: Likely suggested at a breakout above the resistance line (~$85,757).
Take Profit Levels:
First TP just above the breakout (likely ~87,000).
Final TP near $89,000.
Stop Loss: Below the ascending trendline (around $84,000), in case of a breakdown.
Strategy:
1. Buy on breakout of resistance (~85,757).
2. Take partial profits near first target (~87,000).
3. Hold remaining toward final target (~89,000).
4. Stop loss in place to limit downside risk.
Would you like a technical explanation of why this pattern is considered bullish or how to trade it more conservatively?
$BTC forming a range, getting tight w lower than average volumeCRYPTOCAP:BTC forming a range and getting tight with lower than average volume, under a rising 150/200 MA (could be resistance). Shorter term MAs looking to cross 10/20. Will keep my eyes on NASDAQ:IBIT and CBOE:BITX if this range breaks in either direction
Daily Price Action: Bitcoin BTC Thursday 4/17/2025In this video, we will be looking into the potential price action of BTC.
Bullish downward channel exitThe macroeconomic environment as well as bulls stepping in during downturns, makes a breakout here probable.
Clean breakout of this big descending channel, and we retest 100k
BTCUSD INTRADAY Oversold bounce back capped at 88,000Recent price action in Bitcoin (BTCUSD) suggests an oversold bounce, with resistance capping gains at the 88,000 level. The continuation of selling pressure could extend the downside move, with key support levels at 80,850, followed by 77,500 and 74,420.
Alternatively, a confirmed breakout above 88,000, accompanied by a daily close higher, would invalidate the bearish outlook. In this scenario, Bitcoin could target 90,540, with further resistance at 91,890.
Conclusion:
The price remains below pivotal level, with 88,000 acting as a key resistance. Failure to break above this level could reinforce downside risks, while a breakout could shift momentum back in favour of bulls. Traders should watch for confirmation signals before positioning for the next move.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
BTC And The 50 MABitcoin is currently holding above the 50-day moving average, but just barely. Price has been rejected from this level nearly every day for the past week, highlighting its significance as short-term resistance. The repeated failures to push higher show that bulls are lacking conviction - at least for now.
Meanwhile, the 200-day moving average and the key horizontal level at $88,804 loom just overhead. Market structure remains bearish, with a clear series of lower highs and lower lows still intact. A daily close above that horizontal resistance would break the pattern and signal a potential shift in trend, but until then, this remains a cautious bounce within a broader downtrend.
$BTC Update - Sideways Movement AheadCRYPTOCAP:BTC #BTC at $84,221 support and testing, Next key resistances at $88,674 and $91,357, $81,614 current key support area, Ranging between $86,305-$82,833. Low volume on 4H, put bullish engulfing on previous 4H close but no follow up on current 4H, Last weekly close looks good with a bullish engulfing, but current weekly not looking promising for a follow thru yet. Previous daily closed bearish, RSI remains neutral on 4H, 1D and 1W. Expecting more sideways movement until $91,357 resistance is taken as support.
BTC/USDT – Trap Activated: Is the Final Flush Coming?📆 Follow-up to our April 16 idea:
Back then we warned:
“Fake pump to 85.8K, followed by a drop to 81.5K. Tape is rotten, stops are baited, and Delta screams ‘run!’”
Well... here’s what’s happened since:
✅ What’s been confirmed:
BTC pushed into the 85.5K–85.8K trap zone and got rejected hard
Delta turned positive briefly – but with no price continuation
OI stayed flat = no real conviction = stealth distribution
Tape showed clear absorption at the highs
🎯 The trap we predicted is now active. Bulls walked right into it.
❗ What’s still to come (likely very soon):
The final flush of long positions hasn't happened yet.
Updated liquidation maps (1D & 48H) show massive clusters below 82.8K–81.2K full of over-leveraged longs.
⚠️ If price breaks below 83K with volume + strong red delta...
💣 Expect a liquidation cascade.
🧠 Strategy (Still Aligned with April 16)
🔻 SHORT (Primary Idea)
Entry: Rejection at 85.5K–85.8K
SL: 86.2K
TP1: 83.2K
TP2: 81.5K
🔺 LONG (Only if the flush comes first)
Entry: Sweep down to 82.8K + delta reversal + OI spike
SL: 81.8K
TP: 84.8–85.2K
🌍 Updated Macro Context:
USD still strong 💵
Fed not pivoting anytime soon 🏦
Trump’s BTC reserve news = bullish narrative, but no short-term impact yet
📉 Macro still favors risk-off sentiment
🎭 Final Words from the Pôncio Doctrine:
“The trap is active. The stops are aligned.
Now we just wait for one institutional candle to wipe the board.”
If this breaks… you’ve officially been Pônciado.
Bitcoin: Are We Facing a Financial Paradigm Shift?Ion Jauregui – Analyst at ActivTrades
Bitcoin is undergoing a crucial moment in its evolution. Fifteen years after its creation, this cryptocurrency has transformed from a simple digital alternative to traditional money into a consolidated unit of measurement, payment method, and potential store of value. And perhaps most importantly, it could be entering a new structural phase amidst a global transformation of the monetary system.
A Response to the Fiat System
Originally conceived as a reaction to the excessive money printing by central banks and the loss of purchasing power of fiat currencies, Bitcoin has become an increasingly utilized tool. Not only in everyday transactions —BTC ATMs can now be found in many cities worldwide— but also as a real alternative to traditional assets.
Stability and Market Maturity
Over the last year, Bitcoin's price has shown a much more stable evolution than in previous cycles, leaving behind extreme levels of volatility. Zones that previously acted as ceilings now serve as supports, suggesting maturation of the asset and greater institutional and retail acceptance.
Bitcoin vs. the Rest of the Crypto Ecosystem
While other cryptocurrencies like Ethereum continue to reflect significant fluctuations, Bitcoin stands out as the most robust asset in the crypto ecosystem. This position is further reinforced in a context of global monetary expansion, where the money supply has grown again after a brief contraction, surpassing even the peaks seen in 2024.
Bitcoin as a Safe Haven Amid Fiscal and Monetary Imbalances
This environment strengthens the narrative of Bitcoin as a hedge against inflation and currency depreciation. With governments increasing debt, deficits, and public spending, and central banks maintaining accommodative monetary policies, traditional limits seem to blur. Especially in emerging economies, where the deterioration of purchasing power is more pronounced, Bitcoin is solidifying its position as an alternative safe haven.
Technical Analysis
Currently, Bitcoin's price in recent weeks has shown a strong correlation with the fluctuations driven by Trump’s tariffs. After hitting lows on Monday the 7th and Wednesday the 9th, the precious token has appreciated back to the mid-range it has been pivoting in since February. The lower end of a long-term range fluctuating between $93,490 and $81,378. The RSI indicator currently shows no significant movements, confirming the point of control (POC) around the current price of $84,745. The moving averages from the Asian and European markets suggest that the price does not seem likely to move far from the POC for the moment. Observing Fibonacci retracements, we can see the price is currently fluctuating between 61.80% and 78.60%. This is generally a zone where a correction could occur towards the 50% level, which aligns with the lower range at $81,378. Delta zones indicate strong bearish pressure in this area, so the price might revisit this level before reinforcing the price tested more than four times.
Why Has Bitcoin Recently Fallen, Along with the Rest of the Market?
Despite this structural evolution, Bitcoin has experienced a correction in recent days, in line with the general drop in risk assets. Some of the main factors explaining this pullback include:
• Strengthening of the U.S. Dollar: The rise of the DXY index has pressured several dollar-denominated assets, including Bitcoin.
• Increase in Bond Yields: The rise in the 10-year Treasury bond yields has encouraged capital rotation towards safer instruments, at the expense of more volatile assets.
• Geopolitical Tensions: The growing uncertainty in the Middle East has generated risk aversion, favoring gold while penalizing the crypto market.
• Profit-Taking After the Halving: After the strong appreciation following April’s halving, many investors opted to lock in profits, creating additional bearish pressure.
• Liquidations in the Derivatives Market: High leveraged exposure triggered a cascade of automatic liquidations when key technical levels were broken.
A Temporary Adjustment or a Structural Opportunity?
Ultimately, although Bitcoin has suffered a recent correction, its long-term fundamentals appear to remain strong. The cryptocurrency has not only passed multiple tests throughout its history but now projects itself as a systemic asset in the new financial order. Just as gold did in earlier times, Bitcoin may be positioning itself as the mirror of the monetary excesses in the current system.
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GLD/SPX as a risk-off signal for BTC/SPXFor all the "Bitcoin will follow gold" crowd...
This chart tells a very different story.
Every time we’ve seen GLD/SPX rally sharply, BTC/SPX has underperformed for months afterward.
📉 See the shaded red zones – they highlight periods when:
GLD/SPX (gold line) made strong relative moves,
BTC/SPX (aqua line) lagged or outright dropped.
We're in another one of those zones right now.
Unless you’ve got a strong reason why "this time is different," the base case is clear:
BTC/SPX likely underperforms for another 3–6 months.
If you're positioning long BTC expecting it to mimic gold's run, be aware — that hasn't played out well historically.
🧭 Trade Idea:
Patience: Don't rush the BTC long. Let the GLD/SPX spike play out.
Timeframe: Revisit BTC/SPX for potential re-entry mid-to-late 2025.
