BTCUSD (Bitcoin): Forex Technical AnalysisDate: 11 July 2025
Momentum: Up
First Scenario : long positions above 115,706.14 with targets at 117,269.52, 117,904.51 and 118,513.05
Second Scenario : short positions below 115,706.14 with targets at 114,544.35, 113,774.89 and 113,053.39
Comment: RSI - Bullish.
Supports and resistances :
118,513.05 **
117,904.51 *
117,269.52
116,747.25 - Last price
114,544.35
113,774.89 *
113,053.39 **
BTCUSD.P trade ideas
BTCUSD Heading Yesterday's Resistance Zone, Price Will React After a recovery to 107.500 BTCUSD is recovering to the upside again towards the resistance of 1.09500. This is the convergence zone between the trendline and yesterday's high. BTCUSD price may correct lower from this zone. Then find some new bullish momentum at strong support zones towards an all-time high.
Support 107.500 - 105.300
SELL Trigger: Break bellow 107.500
Resistance: 109.500- 110.500
Wish you successful trading, leave your comments about BTC.
BTC/USD 30MCHART PATTERNThis chart shows the price action of Bitcoin (BTC/USD) on a 30-minute timeframe, with a variety of session-specific high and low labels and possible trade setup zones. Here's a breakdown of the key components and what they indicate:
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1. Timeframe & Instrument
Instrument: Bitcoin vs. U.S. Dollar (BTC/USD)
Timeframe: 30-minute candles
Exchange: Bitstamp
Date Range: July 8–11, 2025
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2. Session Labels
The chart includes key session high/low markers which are common in institutional trading analysis:
NYAM.H / NYAM.L: New York AM session High/Low
NYPM.H / NYPM.L: New York PM session High/Low
AS.H / AS.L: Asia session High/Low
LO.H / LO.L: London Open High/Low
NYL.H / NYL.L: New York Lunch High/Low
These session levels are often used to identify liquidity pools or areas where price might react due to prior institutional activity.
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3. Trade Setup Zones
Orange box (top): Likely a sell-side liquidity or resistance zone, possibly a target for a long trade.
Green box (bottom): Likely a buy-side liquidity or support zone, possibly a stop loss or retracement target.
These zones often represent risk-reward blocks based on prior session data or imbalance fill areas.
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4. Price
Current Price: ~$116,586
Recent High (AS.H): $116,992
Key Support Levels: $113,065 and $110,193 (from prior session lows)
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5. Price Structure
The chart shows a clear uptrend, with higher highs and higher lows.
Breakouts followed by consolidations near session highs suggest bullish momentum.
Potential continuation of the uptrend unless the price breaks below the previous session low (marked NYPM.L or NYL.L).
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Conclusion
This is a well-marked institutional-style price action chart, likely using ICT (Inner Circle Trader) or SMC (Smart Money Concepts) principles. It’s showing bullish strength with multiple liquidity grabs followed by expansions to the upside. Key levels for future movement include:
Break and close above AS.H → Potential continuation toward next liquidity zone.
Drop below NYPM.L or NYL.L → Potential reversal or retracement.
Let me know if you'd like help planning a trade based on this chart!
$BTC Will Hit Unimaginable Numbers :) Honestly not much to say the chart looks fantastic a lot of potential to the downside but from a Macro standpoint we could reach 150k in the coming months. Bitcoin will see extreme gains in the next 5 years. If you are not bullish I have news for you. you lost......
Short term I think we reach as far as 120k before a pull back. Only time will tell but these fib extensions do not lie. When you blow through the 1 fib ALWAYS AND I MEAN ALWAYS LOOK HIGHER. Obviously this is the monthly chart and will take year to play out. I do not expect much attention as I am a small trader but I will post occasional updates. In the mean time I will be buying large dips.
BTC/USD Breaks Out, Eyes Fresh Highs Above $116,000📉 Technical Structure
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD BTC/USD confirmed a bullish breakout above the $111,000–$111,350 resistance zone, which has now flipped into support. Price action shows a clean retest and bounce from this level, indicating a bullish continuation. Key support lies at the $110,600–$109,000 demand zone. If the price clears $116,800, bulls may target $118,000–$120,000 next.
📈 Long Trade Setup
Entry: $111,350
Stop Loss: $109,000
Take Profit 1: $116,800
Take Profit 2: $118,000
Invalidation: Break below $109,000 and trendline
🌐 Macro Background
BINANCE:BTCUSD Bitcoin rallied above $116,000 to a new all-time high after clearing the $111,000 resistance. The breakout was supported by strong momentum and optimism following a technical trendline breach. Despite some selling pressure and rising funding rates, the broader trend remains bullish. A sustained move above $116,800 could open the door toward $120,000.
📌 Key Technical Zones
Resistance: $116,800 / $118,000
Support: $110,622–$111,350, $109,006–$109,572
📘 Trade Summary
As long as BTC/USD remains above $111,350, the bullish structure is valid. Short-term pullbacks into the $109,006–$109,572 zone may offer buying opportunities.
⚠️ Disclaimer
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice.
Understanding Elliott Wave Theory with BTC/USDIntroduction to Elliott Wave Theory:
Elliott Wave Theory is a popular method of technical analysis that seeks to predict the future price movement of financial markets. Developed by Ralph Nelson Elliott in the 1930s, the theory is based on the idea that market movements follow a repetitive pattern, driven by investor psychology.
At the core of Elliott’s theory is the idea that markets move in a 5-wave pattern in the direction of the trend, followed by a 3-wave corrective pattern. These waves can be seen on all timeframes and help traders identify potential entry and exit points in the market.
Key Concepts of Elliott Wave Theory:
1. Impulse Waves (The Trend)
2. These are the waves that move in the direction of the overall trend. They are labeled 1, 2, 3, 4, 5 and represent the price movement in the main direction of the market.
* Wave 1: The initial move up (or down in a bearish market). I like to mark up the first wave how I do my Fibs, from the point where price showed a major impulse.
* Wave 2: A correction of Wave 1 (it doesn’t go lower than the starting point of Wave 1).
* Wave 3: The longest and most powerful wave in the trend.
* Wave 4: A smaller correction in the direction of the trend.
* Wave 5: The final push in the direction of the trend, which can be shorter and weaker than Wave 3.
3. Corrective Waves (The Pullbacks)
4. After the five-wave impulse, the market enters a corrective phase, moving against the trend. This corrective phase is generally a 3-wave pattern, labeled A, B, C:
* Wave A: The initial correction, typically smaller than Wave 3.
* Wave B: A temporary move against the correction (it often confuses traders who think the trend has resumed).
* Wave C: The final move against the trend, usually the strongest and most aggressive.
How to Implement Elliott Wave on BTC/USD:
Let’s break down how you can apply the Elliott Wave Theory to BTC/USD using a simple example.
1. Identify the Trend
2. Start by identifying the current market trend for BTC/USD. Are we in an uptrend or downtrend? This will determine whether you’re looking for a 5-wave impulse up (bullish) or down (bearish).
3. Locate the Waves
4. Look for the five-wave structure in the trend direction. Once you identify a potential impulse move, label the waves accordingly:
* Wave 1: A new uptrend starts.
* Wave 2: A small pullback (usually less than the size of Wave 1).
* Wave 3: A significant surge in price, often the most volatile.
* Wave 4: A smaller pullback or consolidation.
* Wave 5: The final push higher, which might show signs of exhaustion.
5. Corrective Phase
6. After completing the 5-wave impulse, expect a corrective 3-wave pattern (A, B, C). These corrections typically last longer than expected and can often confuse traders.
* Wave A: Price starts to reverse.
* Wave B: A retracement that may confuse traders into thinking the trend is resuming.
* Wave C: A strong pullback that brings the price even lower.
7. Use Fibonacci Levels as confluence
8. One of the most powerful tools in Elliott Wave analysis is Fibonacci retracement levels. You can use these to predict potential levels where Wave 2 and Wave 4 could end, or where Wave C might complete the correction. Common retracement levels are 38.2%-50% for Wave 4, and 50-61.8% For Waves 2 and B but keep in mind, these wave can retrace up to 100% before the wave analysis becomes invalid. But ideally these points are where you look to make an entry.
Wave 2 Example:
This one hit the golden spot (0.5-0.618) perfectly and continued to push upward.
Wave B and C Example:
This example hit closer to the 0.786 level which is also a key level for retracement.
Wave 4 Example:
This one hit the golden spot (0.382-0.5) for Wave 4 perfectly before continue the bullish momentum.
I try to use the RED levels below (1.1 and 1.2) as my invalidation (Stop Loss) levels and the GREEN levels (-0.27 and -0.618) as my Take Profit levels. Depending on your goals you can also use Fib Levels 0.236 and 0 as partial Take Profit levels.
9. Confirm with Indicators
10. To validate your Elliott Wave counts, use other indicators like the RSI (Relative Strength Index), MACD, or Moving Averages. For example, a Wave 3 might occur when the RSI is above 50, indicating strength in the trend.
In this example you can see the RSI cross the 50 threshold and the 3rd Wave form.
Continuation after the Wave is complete:
Tips for Trading with Elliott Wave Theory:
* Stay Flexible: Elliott Wave Theory is not set in stone. If the market doesn’t follow the expected pattern, adjust your wave counts accordingly.
* Don’t Rely on One Timeframe: A 5-wave structure on one timeframe may be part of a larger wave pattern on a higher timeframe. Always analyze multiple timeframes.
* Wave Personality: Waves don’t always look the same as stated earlier. Wave 2 can retrace up to 100% of Wave 1 and Wave 4 should generally not overlap Wave 1 or this may invalidate the Wave structure.
* Risk Management: Always use proper risk management techniques. No theory is perfect, so make sure you have a stop-loss in place to manage your risk.
Conclusion: Using Elliott Wave Theory on BTC/USD:
The Elliott Wave Theory can be a powerful tool for analyzing and forecasting price movements. By identifying the 5-wave impulse and 3-wave corrective patterns, you can gain insights into potential market direction. Just remember to use it alongside other tools and indicators for confirmation, and don’t forget to manage your risk.
As you apply it to BTC/USD or any other asset, remember that the market doesn’t always follow the "ideal" patterns, and flexibility is key. Practice on different timeframes, refine your skills, and use the theory as a part of your overall trading strategy.
Final Thoughts:
If you're just starting, don't get discouraged if you miss a wave or two. Trading is a journey, and with patience and practice, you'll begin to spot these patterns more naturally. Whether you’re analyzing Bitcoin's price action or any other asset, Elliott Wave Theory can give you a deeper understanding of market psychology.
Good Luck and Happy Trading!
BTC-M2!Sooo much liquidity out there currently! I think everyone calling for 150 as the cycle pico top are being bearish. As I have said before, I predict that BTC will take the full cycle and max out its potential early to mid October.
My thesis for over a year...
Base -- 160
Norm -- 220
Bull -- 280
FYI, the M2 adjustments as shown...
1D -- 90
4D -- 22
1W -- 12
$BTC Breakout Confirmed – Next Stop: $120K? CRYPTOCAP:BTC Breakout Confirmed – Next Stop: $120K?
I told you — if BTC closes above the box, a breakout was imminent… and it just confirmed!
Price has cleanly closed above the $110K resistance zone after multiple rejections — this breakout signals strong bullish momentum. 📈
Next stops: $120K and beyond
Breakout buyers are now in control — as long as BTC stays above $110K.
BTC 98500 ENTRY IS UP MASSIVE BITTEACHHUGE WIN FOR MY MEMBERS AND MY TRADING VIEW FOLLOWERS. check all my recent LONG calls i made this month.
this call was on my other banned trading view on 6/5 2025 at a 98600 entry point on BTC. we are absolutley printing a BAG right now and nothing is stopping the digital economic train.
follow for more info
$BTCUSD Trade Setup – Rejection at Channel Highs or BreakoutBitcoin is approaching a key decision point at the top of its descending channel. After bouncing off $100K support and reclaiming the midline, price is now pressing against the upper trendline near $112K. The MACD has just flipped bullish, and momentum is turning upward. However, BTC has repeatedly failed at this level over the last two months, forming a clear resistance zone.
This trade is structured as a short from resistance with tight invalidation above $112K. The setup offers a favorable risk/reward if this rejection holds and BTC pulls back to the $97K–$98K zone.
Entry: ~$108K
Stop: ~$112K (channel breakout)
Target: ~$97.5K (lower channel support)
If BTC breaks and holds above $112K, that would invalidate the short thesis and likely flip the structure toward a full breakout scenario.
BTC: Macro Structure [Weekly Timeframe]Sharing my current view on the macro price structure of Bitcoin, outlining both main and alternative scenarios based on trend wave analysis.
Macro Trend Overview and Main scenario
The uptrend from the Nov ’22 bottom shows a classic 5-wave impulsive structure, closely aligning with ideal Fibonacci proportions:
Wave 3 peaked within the 1.382–1.618% zone
Wave 4 found support in the 1.236–1.000% area
Wave 5 topped near the 2.000% / 0.618% projection (measured from the Nov’18 bottom to Nov’21 top, projected from the Nov’22 low)
Wave (2) was relatively short in time and depth, but technically acceptable as complete. Given the broader technical structure, macro fundamentals, policy tailwinds, and social sentiment - I consider wave (2) to be finished.
The rally from April’25 low to May’25 high looks impulsive, followed by a clean three-wave pullback into the June’25 low - a structure consistent with the start of a new uptrend, within a larger degree wave (3).
If this is the case, given the fractal nature of the markets, price should Fibonacci proportions similar to the Nov’22 - Mar’24 cycle.
For this bullish count to remain valid, BTC must break and hold above the 126–134K resistance zone. This would open the door to next resistance zone be tested nex: 170–190K and 200–220/250K, where I’d expect a major top to begin forming, possibly, the start of a multi-year higher low formation.
Alternative Scenario
If price fails to break above 126–134K and starts showing reversal patterns, then the yellow count remains valid suggesting the entire trend from Nov’22 has peaked, and BTC could be entering a deep, prolonged correction (as per the yellow count).
In Summary
As long as weekly closes stay above 111.9K, my base case favors continued upside into 125–135K, where the next major decision zone lies:
• Either a short consolidation before breakout
• Or formation of a macro top
For more detailed levels and daily trend structure (including ETH, SOL, XRP, and HYPE), check out my recent video idea and Minds post.
Thank you for your attention and I wish you successful trading decisions!
If you found this idea helpful, I’d really appreciate a boost — and would be glad to have you as a subscriber!
Thank you for your attention and I wish you successful trading decisions!
* I'm keeping the same structure read from my public Mar'24 analysis:
Bitcoin – Rejection Confirms Trap, Next Stop: $107kBitcoin attempted to take out the swing high around 110.5k but failed to clear the previous all-time high, resulting in a sharp rejection. This failure marks a significant turning point, suggesting a lack of bullish momentum at premium levels. The rejection came after a sweep of equal highs within a well-defined resistance zone, indicating a potential liquidity grab.
Highs Swept, But No Breakout
After dropping into support around the 107.5k region, price managed to push up and form a new swing high, but once again met heavy selling pressure after sweeping the prior equal highs. That sweep and the subsequent rejection give this structure the character of a classic liquidity trap, where smart money runs the highs only to reverse.
Weak Lows Below
The support zone has now been tapped multiple times, and the most recent low is structurally weak. It failed to produce a higher high, which makes it vulnerable to a clean stop hunt. Given this context, these lows are likely to be targeted next, as price seeks out sell-side liquidity resting beneath.
Expected Path Forward
I’m expecting further downside to unfold from here. The rejection from resistance, paired with the weak internal structure, suggests Bitcoin will take out the weak lows near 107.5k. Once those lows are swept, I expect a bullish reaction from the same demand zone, setting up a potential long opportunity back into the 109k–110k area. The plan is to look for signs of a reversal after the sweep, such as a 5M market structure shift or a fair value gap entry setup.
Liquidity Map and Trade Plan
The current price action is best viewed through the lens of liquidity. The highs were engineered to trap breakout buyers and then rejected. Now, the weak lows offer the next logical draw on liquidity. My focus is on short-term downside targeting that 107.2k–107.5k support region, followed by a potential bullish reversal setup once that liquidity is cleared.
Conclusion
This is a clean example of a failed breakout, followed by engineered liquidity moves in both directions. As long as price respects the current structure, my bias remains short into the weak lows, followed by a high-probability long setup once those lows are swept and the market shifts.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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If you found this idea helpful or learned something new, drop a like 👍 and leave a comment, I’d love to hear your thoughts! 🚀
Bitcoin Breaks Out – The Final Test Has Begun 🚀🔥 Bitcoin Breaks Out – The Final Test Has Begun 💥📈
Boom! The breakout is here. After days of grinding under resistance, BTC has finally burst out of the channel — and all eyes are now on the monster level at $114,900.
📊 We spoke about this level again and again — the third macro test, the “HUGE-est Level EVER,” the battleground between Ultimate FOMO and End of Cycle.
⚠️ This breakout could lead to:
✔️ Acceleration to retest 114,900
✔️ A potential 3rd attempt to break the golden structure
✔️ Euphoria or exhaustion — no middle ground
🧠 Smart traders will remember:
– 8+ divergences still exist on higher timeframes
– The risk of failed breakout traps is high
– But this is what we’ve been waiting for: confirmation + continuation
🎯 If momentum holds, we may be on our way to test the upper macro structure. This is not the time to hesitate — it’s time to manage risk like a pro and track the flow.
💡 Catch up on the setup:
👉 Where Can Bitcoin Go? Part 8
👉 July 10th Market Outlook – Uncharted Waters
🗣️ It’s not about prediction — it’s about preparation.
We were ready. Are you?
One Love,
The FXPROFESSOR 💙
Disclosure: I am happy to be part of the Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Awesome broker, where the trader really comes first! 🌟🤝📈
Btcusd techinical analysis.This chart represents the Bitcoin (BTC) / USD price action on a 1-hour timeframe, with technical analysis indicators suggesting a bullish outlook.
Key Elements in the Chart:
1. Current Price:
BTC is trading at $113,506.5, up +1.98% on the 1-hour chart.
2. Support and Resistance Zones:
Support Zone (purple box around ~$112,000): Recently tested and held, now acting as a potential base.
Resistance Zone (purple box around ~$113,800 to ~$114,000): Price is currently consolidating just below this zone.
3. Trendline:
A rising blue trendline is acting as dynamic support, showing upward momentum.
4. Projected Price Action (Blue Arrow Path):
The blue path suggests a potential bullish breakout from the resistance zone.
Implies consolidation, retest of support/trendline, and continuation upward—a common bullish flag or pennant pattern.
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Interpretation:
The chart setup is bullish, expecting:
Retest of support near $113,200–$113,400
Break above the $114,000 resistance
Potential rally continuation beyond $114,000 (toward $115,000 or more)
Caution:
If BTC fails to hold the trendline or drops below the support zone (~$112,000), this bullish setup may be invalidated.
Would you like a trading strategy (e.g., entry/exit levels or risk management) based on this setup?
Crypto at All Time Highs! But...Last month I shared a chart of an equal-weight crypto basket suggesting crypto may be on the cusp of fresh All Time Highs -- those highs have arrived! While that is certainly exciting for crypto holders one should take note of other aspects of the rally.
The US Dollar has depreciated substantially against foreign currencies this year (2025)
Bitcoin has yet to reach a fresh high against Gold
Bitcoin is strongly correlated to US equities, which are also at all time highs
USD Decline
The US Dollar is down a whopping 10% against a basket of foreign currencies this year, lead ostensibly by President Trump's raucous political policies, most notably aggressive tariffs across the globe and industries. The crypto rally therefore could be characterized as more of a Dollar softening than a crypto strengthening.
Bitcoin v Gold
Bitcoin - still the epicenter of all things crypto has not topped Gold.
Gold in fact has been on a heater of late against the Dollar.
Many folks still regard Gold as "real money". As such crypto could be said to be in a "stealth bear market", especially considering the declining momentum against Gold while failing to match its highs.
Bitcoin v Stocks
Bitcoin is also strongly correlated to US equity performance, despite claims that it's a hedge. The correlation has only grown stronger as Bitcoin's price against the Dollar has soared.
That said, it does consistently outperform equities, as long as the music is still playing!
Closing Thoughts
Most people likely don't care about how Bitcoin is faring against Gold. Bitcoin, the highest quality form of crypto is itself still highly speculative. While an equal-weight basket of cryptos is impressively reaching an all time high against the Dollar, coins with smaller market caps will surely be the first to go when this speculative impulse subsides.
There's probably still some gas in the tank at this point, but now is a good time to consider trimming positions before you miss the chance 🤑
Bitcoin New All-Time HighNew all-time high for Bitcoin above $113k and is now in uncharted territory.
First price target I'm watching from here is $122k which is based on the range that we saw price make in the blue flag pattern that formed during the consolidation phase. I took the price difference between the high and low in the flag and projected it out from the previous resistance level at $112k which gives a target of $122k. Second price level I'm watching is $135k which is the 1.61 fibonacci extension level based on the April low to the recent resistance level at $112k made in May.
Lower price indicators are now all bullish:
The PPO indicator show the green PPO line rising above a rising purple signal line, with both lines having held above the 0 level during consolidation. This indicates intermediate to longterm bullish price momentum.
ADX indicator shows the green +DI line rising above a declining purple -DI line and the histogram bars are rising. This indicates increasing bull trend strength.
The TDI indicators shows the green RSI line above the upper Bollinger Band, and above the horizontal 60 level and is showing bullish trend strength.
New all-time highs generally attract more buyers looking to ride the strength.
Giddy Up.