BTCUSD.P trade ideas
BTCUSDBitcoin is currently trading near 84,949 after a strong rally, now approaching a critical order block resistance near86,000. While the overall structure remains bullish, the chart signals a potential shift in market behavior—creating a clear discrepation between price structure and projected move.
Discrepation Breakdown:
1. Rising Trend vs. Order Block Reaction
- Expected: Uptrend to continue, breaking through the resistance zone.
- Actual: Price is hesitating and forming a double-top structure inside the order block, hinting at buyer exhaustion.
- Discrepation: A bullish structure failing to maintain momen…
- Recent candles show weak buying volume near the top despite higher prices.
- Discrepation: Price is rising, but volume is not supporting it—bearish divergence, weakening the bullish outlook.
4. Fair Value Gap (FVG) Overlap
- FVG zone around 82.2k aligns with the bearish target, giving confidence to downside movement.
- Market may seek to fill that gap, creating a conflict with the bullish price structure currently visible.
Discrepation Summary Table:
| Technical Element | Market Expectation | Observed Conflict
| Uptrend + Higher Highs | Continuation toward 86,000+ | Double-top …
Although Bitcoin remains in a short-term uptrend, this chart shows clear bearish discrepation. The failure to break the order block, combined with volume divergence and trendline pressure, suggests a potential drop toward $82,232, especially if price confirms the double-top and breaks the ascending trendline.
Would you like a short version of this for social media captions too?
BTC - Has the market stopped falling?Ive been looking for a bottom at FWB:73K -72k for some time. We saw $74,400 and I'm not sure that was THE low. And now we have begun what looks like a false break out. The price is good, but the wave structure is all wrong. In this would be strong counter wave rally we could see prices to around $98,400. Its time to close the shorts, and open the longs but stay very vigilant as this is not another bull leg that leads to a new high. ( In my opinion) It is a decent opportunity to make some money on the long side, but at the end of this rally, I would be opening shorts again. Ill keep posting as developments occur. Prices above $87,600 are very bullish.
BTCUSD 4/13/2025Come Tap into the mind of SnipeGoat, as he gives you an outstanding update to his previous Analysis. Showing that Price did in fact do exactly what he said it was about to do. But this next Analysis is a Jaw Dropper! Tune in to find out this MEGA MOVE that Price is gearing up for.
_SnipeGoat_
_TheeCandleReadingGURU_
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Bullrun is Still Here, $120,000 - $130,000 Soon?The price drop over the last 2 months from $109,000 to $74,000 has made many people think the bull run is over or that the cycle has ended.
But if we look closer, this move appears to be just a correction. The price structure is still forming higher lows and higher highs — a clear sign of a bullish trend.
Will it form another higher low between $77,090 and $73,808?
This is the real question, because it will determine whether the bullish trend is still intact.
If you notice, during the drop from $109,000 to $74,000, the stochastic indicator didn't make a lower low. That suggests the decline wasn't supported by momentum — a positive sign, as it shows buyers still have strength to push the price higher.
From a price action perspective, $88,624 is a key confirmation level. If the price breaks above it, there's a high chance we’ll see a new higher high, surpassing $109,000 and targeting the $120,000–$130,000 range.
Bullish momentum to extend?The Bitcoin (BTC/USD) has bounced off the pivot and could potentially rise to the 1st resistance which is an overlap resistance.
Pivot: 79,541.85
1st Support: 72,724.17
1st Resistance: 94,187.24
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Bitcoin Towards $118KDaily chart,
The Bitcoin BITSTAMP:BTCUSD has just formed a falling wedge pattern, down from the highest High 109356.
Some consolidation may happen in the range 86000 to 82000.
Closing above 86000 for 2 days will give a strong buy signal for a bullish movement, and the target will be 118150 passing through the shown resistance levels.
Consider the Stop Loss below 82000
Note: Always place a near profit protection level, as the BTC is volatile.
Bitcoin Testing the Gaussian Midline – Bounce or Starts Reversal🟡 Weekly Macro View – Gaussian Channel Holds the Truth
The Gaussian Channel on the weekly chart is painting a high-risk environment:
* Price is hovering below the Gaussian midline, which is currently acting as dynamic resistance at ~$84K.
* A red Gaussian channel is flashing caution — these phases typically indicate distribution or early-stage downtrends.
* BTC previously lost the mean and retested the lower channel, bouncing aggressively off the ~ FWB:73K region — this bounce is the first sign of life, but it’s not confirmation of a trend reversal yet.
What to watch this week:
* If BTC can reclaim the Gaussian mean and close above ~$85K with strong volume, we may see a macro reversal pattern forming.
* However, another rejection from the midline would point to a slow bleed down toward FWB:73K and possibly the lower channel edge near $63K–$65K.
🧭 Weekly Bias:
Cautiously Bearish — Price is below the Gaussian midline in a red channel. Reclaiming $85K flips the tone.
⚠️ Daily Chart View – Bearish Control, Weak Bounce
The daily chart confirms short-term bearish pressure is still intact:
* BTC remains within a down-sloping channel and is struggling to break through key lower highs.
* Volume footprint shows no major demand spike — each bounce is getting sold into.
* The trendlines drawn from recent highs form a clear wedge; price is compressing, signaling a big move is coming.
Support/Resistance Zones:
* ⚔️ Resistance: $84K–$85K
* 🛡️ Support: $80K > $73.6K major zone > $69.9K panic support
* 📉 If we lose $80K again, a retest of $73.6K is very likely.
* 📈 If bulls push above $85K, BTC could rally quickly toward $92K.
What to look for this week:
* A daily close above the upper trendline of the channel on rising volume = first bullish signal.
* A daily lower high + lower low continuation below $80K confirms bears still in charge.
🧠 Final Thoughts – Strategy This Week
BTC is caught in a macro correction but trying to build a base. The Gaussian Channel on the weekly says we're in a danger zone, but the daily shows traders testing the bears’ strength.
🧩 My read:
* Swing traders: Wait for daily close above $85K before going heavy long.
* Scalp traders: Monitor $80K– GETTEX:82K for bounce-to-fade plays.
* HODLers: Prepare for longer consolidation — weekly Gaussian phases take time to resolve.
🧠 This is a "watch, not chase" environment. Let the breakout confirm — not predict.
$BTC Rebounds to $84K Amid Downtrend—Eyes on $88.8K Resistance Bitcoin (BTC) is currently trading at $84,273.58, recovering slightly from recent lows. The price has increased 5.97% over the past 7 days, though it slipped 1.04% in the last 24 hours. The asset maintains a dominant position with a market cap of $1.67 trillion and a 24-hour trading volume of $28.46 billion, marking a 16.32% surge in activity.
From a technical perspective, Bitcoin remains in a corrective bearish structure. After hitting its all-time high of $109,358 on January 19, the price entered a steady decline, forming a series of lower highs and lower lows. This internal structure signals a bearish break of structure (BOS), reinforced by macroeconomic pressures, including a market-wide dip triggered by Trump-era tariffs.
Technical analysis
Following a recent low near $74,000, Bitcoin has rebounded but has yet to invalidate the prevailing bearish trend. The key resistance level now lies at $88,800, which represents the most recent lower high. If Bitcoin closes above this level with strong bullish momentum, the trend could shift, potentially paving the way for a new leg up toward previous highs.
Until that breakout occurs, however, the trend remains technically bearish. A failure to overcome the $88,800 resistance could lead to renewed selling pressure. In that case, Bitcoin may retrace to support zones between $72,000 and $74,000. These levels are critical for bulls to defend in order to avoid a deeper correction.
As the market continues to digest both macroeconomic news and technical signals, all eyes remain on whether Bitcoin can flip its structure and reclaim bullish territory.
Will BTC emerge from the descending channel on top?Hello everyone, I invite you to review the current situation on BTC. On the one-day interval, you can see how the price is moving in the downtrend channel in which there is again a fight with the upper boundary of the channel. At this stage, you can also see how the EMA Cross 50/200, they have come very close but still indicate the maintenance of a long-term upward trend.
Here you can see how the price has currently bounced off the resistance zone from $ 86,503 to $ 87,934. Only an upper exit from this zone will open the way towards the second important zone at the levels of $ 93,959 to $ 96,142, and then we have visible strong resistance around $ 101,800.
Looking the other way, you can see that in the event of further declines, we have support at $ 80,550, then you can see an important zone that previously maintained the price decline from $ 74,340 to $ 71,380, in a situation where this zone is broken, we can see a quick decline to around $ 65,360.
The MACD indicator shows an attempt to switch to an upward trend, it is worth watching whether there is enough energy for further movement.
Trading is a business
The masses have the wrong ideas about Trading. It is a business and just like others it involves risk. We grow, we learn, earn and scale up. Crafting a plan is essential to success and character also play a key role here.
In this business, risk is an inherent part of the equation. Just like any other enterprise, trading exposes you to challenges and setbacks, but it's how you manage these risks that can differentiate a thriving business from one that falters. Careful risk management—whether through proper position sizing, stop-loss strategies, or diversification—is the foundation that helps protect your capital while you grow your business over time.
Crafting a trading plan is essential. This plan should not only outline your entry and exit strategies based on rigorous analysis but also incorporate a framework to evaluate your performance critically. A well-crafted plan serves as a roadmap, guiding your decisions in both favorable and challenging market conditions. Moreover, it creates a discipline that protects you from emotional reactions that can often lead to impulsive decisions—a common pitfall in trading.
Character plays a crucial role as well. In trading, psychological fortitude, resilience in the face of losses, and the humility to learn from mistakes are qualities that separate the successful from the rest. Many people mistakenly believe that a few big wins can offset a series of missteps; however, it is the consistent, calculated, and disciplined approach that leads to sustainable growth. This business mindset—acknowledging that each trade is a learning opportunity and a step in scaling up your efforts—is what ultimately propels traders to long-term success.
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I'm curious—what elements of your trading plan do you find most effective at keeping your business mindset in check, and are there aspects you'd like to refine further?
Bitcoin: Anything Goes Inside The Range.Bitcoin has rallied out of my anticipated 76K AREA reversal zone (see my previous week's analysis). I anticipated this move BEFORE all of the news and drama that transpired over the week because I focus on relevant information that came from this chart. As of now, price is fluctuating in the middle of a consolidation. While price is still attractive in terms of the bigger picture for investment, the fact that it is in the middle of a short term consolidation must be strongly considered for day and swing trade strategies. Here's my perspective.
A double bottom (failed low) has been established around the 74 to 76K area. It does NOT matter why, all that matters is the structure is now in place. This is very important for two specific reasons: 1) it is a broader higher low (Wave 4 bottom?) which implies a higher high or at least test of high is more likely to follow. This means test of 109K over the coming months is within reason. 2) Resistance levels have a greater chance of breaking while supports have a greater chance of being maintained. Current prices up into the 90K resistance are attractive for dollar cost averaging while broader risk can be measured by the 76K area low.
As for swing trades, price is fluctuating at a mid point of a consolidation. The range low is around 76K, the high around 88K (see arrow). When it comes to smaller time frame strategies, consolidation mid points are HIGHLY random areas. This is where you either WAIT it out for a support or resistance to be reached before taking a signal OR go with continuation patterns (Trade Scanner Pro great for this). The higher probability scenario would be a minor retrace into the high 70Ks or low 80Ks for a swing trade long. Otherwise WAIT for the 88K to 90K resistance area for short signals which would be EXTREMELY aggressive given the fact Bitcoin is generally bullish.
And day trades strategies have a similar outlook. Being in the middle of the range means smaller time frame supports and resistances within the area 83K to 88K are going to be less reliable or more random until price momentum asserts itself on the bigger picture. Beginners should simply avoid this environment, but if you must participate, the best way to adjust is work on smaller time frames like 5 minute or less and accept the whatever the R:R ratio is for that time frame. Either way do NOT expect BIG moves until price makes its way to one of the outer boundaries of the range. The Trade Scanner Pro quantifies the R:R for your chosen time frame and gives you a much better idea of what to expect.
The illustration on the chart points to a short term rejection of the 88K to 90K area resistance. This can be attractive for those who are willing to accept greater risk and operate on smaller time frames. IF Bitcoin breaks 90K, it can easily squeeze into the 95K area and all it takes is an unexpected news announcement which seems to happen regularly in this environment. NO ONE knows where the market is going, we can only assign probabilities which is why RISK must be assessed and RESPECTED before ANYTHING else.
This game is hard not because traders lack intelligence, it is because MOST participants believe they are consuming information that is relevant, especially if this behavior has been reinforced by random wins. As retail traders we have to operate with a blind fold while a small minority of participants operate with HIGH quality information. Here's a hint: you will not find truly relevant information on public platforms like Twitter, mainstream news, etc., yet people still turn to these sources when they feel the need to be "informed". Everything you NEED is on your chart.
Thank you for considering my analysis and perspective.
BTC/USD Analysis - Uptrend with ConfirmationBTC/USD Analysis - Uptrend with Confirmation
Overview:
BTC/USD displays a clear uptrend in the analyzed timeframe. The price has recently broken through a key resistance at $84,937.63 and is holding above this level, confirming bullish momentum.
Technical Indicators:
This analysis uses the " Price Action with S/R and MACD " indicator:
• TrendShift: Bullish signal (green), indicating trend continuation.
• TrendConfirm: Also green, reinforcing the strength of the move.
MACD (10, 5, 12, 26, 9): Shows a bullish crossover, with the price sustained above the signal line, suggesting further upside potential.
Key Levels:
Support: $83,630.94 (immediate level) and $83,250 (secondary support).
Resistance: $84,937.63 (already broken) and $86,250 as the next target.
Entry: A conservative entry would be on a pullback to $84,692.30 (confirmation level).
Stop Loss (SL): $84,250 (below immediate support).
Take Profit (TP): $86,600 (next significant resistance).
Conclusion:
• The breakout above resistance and bullish indicators suggest BTC/USD could continue rising toward $86,600. However, monitoring the support at $83,630.94 is crucial to avoid false breakouts. What do you think, traders?