BITCOIN → Testing trend resistance. Will there be a breakout?BINANCE:BTCUSDT is approaching trend resistance and most likely it may test the liquidity zone and risk zone for sellers (liquidity hunt ?), but does the market have the potential to support the upside?
Bitcoin is strengthening and channel resistance may not stop this growth. Based on the nature of price movement (smooth, gradual, consolidating), bitcoin may test liquidity 84.7K - 88.8K. But it is too early to talk about further growth
On W1, the price is in a trading range (consolidation) between the previously broken global consolidation support and the current support. Short bodies, long shadows speak about consolidation. Also worth noting are the relatively long tails to the downside and the weak market reaction...
Fundamentally, the cryptocurrency market (community as a whole) for the past week did not get anything positive as from the very beginning of this year, the growth can be attributed to the 90-day technical break by Trump, but there are a number of nuances:
- the fire has not yet been put out
- just because they gave a 90-day break doesn't mean everything is fine. It's just a head start for the U.S. to prepare for the situation more thoroughly
- The escalating conflict between the U.S. and China has investors looking for less risky assets like gold. Cryptocurrencies are definitely not on that list.
- Rumors of a US interest rate cut are likely to provide support as well.
Resistance levels: 84700, 88800
Support levels: 78200, 73-74К, 66500
I would not hurry with conclusions about further growth. Growth could be considered if bitcoin overcomes 88800 and consolidates above this zone. But a sharp approach or a false breakout of one of the mentioned liquidity zones may provoke a reversal and fall.
Regards R. Linda!
BTCUSD.P trade ideas
ANOTHER BULL RUN FOR BITCOINAs of April 12, 2025, Bitcoin (BTC) is trading at approximately $84,892, reflecting a 1.5% increase as it attempts to break a three-month downtrend.
Several factors have contributed to Bitcoin's recent price surge:
1. U.S. Tariff Exemptions: The Trump administration's decision to exempt key tech products from reciprocal tariffs has alleviated trade tensions, boosting investor confidence in risk assets like Bitcoin.
2. Strategic Bitcoin Reserve: The U.S. government's establishment of a Strategic Bitcoin Reserve signals institutional support for digital assets, enhancing market sentiment.
3. Market Dynamics: A significant amount of Bitcoin has been withdrawn from exchanges, indicating strong holding sentiment among investors. Additionally, a short squeeze has contributed to upward price momentum.
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4. Global Adoption: Institutions like Lomond School in Scotland accepting Bitcoin for tuition fees reflect growing mainstream acceptance of cryptocurrency.
Latest news & breaking headlines
This could be the bull run we've all been waiting for.
BTC/USD 4H:ratio if price respects the bullish setupResistance Zone: Highlighted at the top (around the 90,000–92,000 range), where price has reversed before.
Support Zone: Marked at the bottom (around the 75,000–78,000 level), a strong area where buyers tend to come in.
3. Market Structure
BOS (Break of Structure): Two major BOS areas are circled, indicating a shift in market trend:
The first on the left shows a shift from bullish to bearish.
The second (more recent) on the right shows a bearish structure shifting back to bullish.
4. Chart Annotations
Trend Lines: A blue bullish trend channel showing the current upward movement.
Fib Retracement Levels: Green horizontal lines suggest Fibonacci levels used to identify potential pullbacks or targets.
Path Projection: Black lines with arrows show a possible future price path—expecting a small pullback before resuming upward movement.
5. Emoji & Sentiment
A sweating emoji near the resistance zone implies caution or anxiety, possibly due to expected volatility or strong resistance.
6. Current Status
Price is currently trading around $87,393.68 with potential for a retracement before pushing higher toward the resistance zone around $89,263.74 and beyond.
Buy/Sell markers show Buy at $83,511.13 and Sell at $86,458.39, indicating a favorable risk-to-reward ratio if price respects the bullish setup.
BTC to the moonIs Bitcoin Just Getting Started? This Fib Zone Could Be the Ultimate Buy Signal!
Bitcoin is pulling back… but smart money is watching this golden zone.
After a strong rally, BTC is now retesting the 61.8%–78.6% Fib retracement zone—historically one of the highest-probability reversal areas in crypto. We’re not just guessing here… the chart is showing structure, confluence, and opportunity.
My Trade Plan (Weekly Chart)
- Entry Zone: FWB:83K – $85K
- Re-entry/DCA: $79K – $81K
- Stop Loss: $74K
- Take Profits:
- TP1: $95K
- TP2: $109K (previous high)
- TP3: $130K–$144K (extension zone)
Bullish bias unless we close below $78K on the weekly. A clean breakout above GETTEX:89K could send BTC into price discovery mode again.
Could this be the last big dip before a parabolic move? Time will tell, but this setup has everything we look for.
Agree? Disagree? Drop your thoughts below.
Follow for more swing setups & macro plays.
#BTC #Bitcoin #CryptoTrading #Fibonacci #PriceAction #SwingTrade #Bullish #CryptoAnalysis #BTCUSD #BitcoinHalving #BuyTheDip #AltseasonComing #TradingView
Bitcoin looking to break higherIntraday Update: Bitcoin over the weekend is challenging the descending channel trend line and above the channel is the 38% retracement at 87848. This level is being tested as headlines over the weekend suggest that tariffs will not be applied to phones, computer and chips. This should allow for risk assets like Bitcoin to continue to rise higher over the weekend.
BTCUSD - ANALYSIS👀 Observation:
Hello, everyone! I hope you're doing well. I’d like to share my analysis of BTC-USD with you.
Looking at the BTC chart, we are currently in an upward channel. After reaching the bottom of the channel, I expect to see an uptrend moving upwards. My next target for Bitcoin is $125,000.
📉 Expectation:
Bullish Scenario: Continuation of the upward trend with a target of $125,000.
💡 Key Levels to Watch:
Support: Bottom of the channel
Resistance: Top of the channel
💬 What are your thoughts on Bitcoin this week? Let me know in the comments!
Trade safe
Bitcoin Nears $85K as Strategic Talks Grow. Where To Next?Bitcoin, the king crypto, is currently trading at $84,848.36. It has gained 3.10% in the last 24 hours, with a daily trading volume of $30.09 billion. Bitcoin’s market capitalization now stands at $1.68 trillion.
Globally, Bitcoin continues to gain attention at the policy level. In the U.S., there are growing discussions about recognizing Bitcoin as a national strategic asset. A U.S. Senator recently suggested the country acquire 1 million BTC, reinforcing the idea. Florida has introduced legislation allowing public funds to invest in Bitcoin.
North Carolina is considering recognizing Bitcoin as a legal payment method. Arizona’s Senate is evaluating the creation of a home-based Bitcoin activity policy and the possibility of a state reserve. Meanwhile, New Hampshire passed a bill allowing up to 10% of its state funds to be invested in Bitcoin. In Europe, Sweden is assessing the idea of adding Bitcoin to its national reserves for financial stability.
Technical Analysis
From a technical view, Bitcoin has been in a bearish phase since reaching its all-time high of $109,358 on January 19. Since then, the price has been forming an internal structure of lower highs and lower lows, a clear sign of a downtrend. It dropped to a low of $74K after Trump-era tariffs hit the market but has since rebounded to current levels.
The recent lower high stands at $88,996. The trend remains bearish until that level is broken with a strong candle close above it. If Bitcoin breaks and closes above this point, analysis show a potential move toward new highs. Without that breakout, bearish pressure may resume, possibly pushing the price back down to test support near $73K.
BTC/USD – Short-Term Rejection at Supply Zone! Bitcoin just tested and got rejected from a high-volume supply zone around $84,940 (marked by LuxAlgo's Supply & Demand Visible Range). The price formed a wick rejection right inside the zone, and we’re now seeing early bearish signs.
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Key Levels:
Immediate Resistance: $84,940 (supply zone top)
Support 1: $84,140
Support 2: $82,997 (previous demand zone)
Target (if breakdown continues): $82,800 area
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Bearish Clues:
Wick rejection in a major supply zone
Strong bearish engulfing candle forming after rapid move up
RSI (not shown) was likely overbought during this quick rally
Lower timeframes suggest a potential pullback or short opportunity
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Scalp Idea (Short-Term Traders):
Short Entry: Near $84,900–$84,940
TP1: $84,140
TP2: $83,000
SL: Above $85,100
Risk/Reward: 1:2+
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What Do You Think?
Is this a healthy retracement or the start of a deeper dump?
Comment your thoughts below!
Smash that like if you caught this rejection or love clean supply/demand setups!
#Bitcoin #BTC #CryptoTrading #Scalping #ShortOpportunity #LuxAlgo #TechnicalAnalysis #TradingView #DayTrading
Bitcoin (BTC/USD) Long Trade Setup – Breakout Strategy with TargCurrent Price: $80,724.28
Entry Point: $80,671.23 (just above current price)
Stop Loss: $78,052.44
Target Point: $88,573.60
Resistance Point: $82,260.90
📈 Trend & Moving Averages
EMA 30 (red): $80,220.87 — Short-term trend.
EMA 200 (blue): $80,788.61 — Long-term trend.
The price is currently between the EMAs, indicating potential indecision or a shift in trend. A break above both EMAs with momentum would confirm bullish strength.
🔑 Trade Setup Summary
Element Level
Entry 80,671.23
Stop Loss 78,052.44
Target (TP) 88,573.60
Resistance 82,260.90
Risk-Reward ~1:2.7 (approx)
📊 Analysis & Expectations
Bullish Bias: The chart suggests a long trade with a breakout strategy.
Volume and momentum confirmation will be key above resistance.
Resistance at 82,260.90 may cause a brief pullback before continuation to the target.
The stop loss is well-placed below a support zone and the most recent swing low.
✅ What to Watch For
Break and close above EMA 200 and resistance at 82.2K.
Bullish volume increase on breakout.
Price action around the entry zone (wait for confirmation candle if unsure).
BTCUSD - Liquidity Grab Above Resistance? Potential Reversal ?BTCUSD – Liquidity Grab Above Resistance? Potential Reversal Ahead
Timeframe: 1H
Pair: BTC/USD
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Analysis Summary:
As per Our Previous Analysis,Bitcoin has broken above the major resistance near 85,000, tapping into an imbalance zone and grabbing external liquidity above previous highs. This move appears to be a classic liquidity grab, rather than a true breakout.
Key observations:
Price wicked above resistance into imbalance.
Potential trap for breakout traders.
Bearish signs developing with a possible trendline break.
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Trade Plan:
Short on confirmation of trendline break or bearish structure.
Targets:
TP1: 80,000 (internal liquidity)
TP2: 78,000 (ex-liquidity)
TP3: 77,000 (external liquidity zone)
Stop Loss: Above recent swing high / 86,000
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Market Sentiment:
Short-term bearish bias due to liquidity collection and imbalance reaction.
Also Keep In Mind :
Their is a Major Resistance above the Imbalance So If the Price break it then we have to be prepared for the other scenario of BTC
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#Bitcoin #BTCUSD #CryptoTrading #SmartMoneyConcepts #LiquidityGrab #Imbalance #SupportResistance #TrendlineBreak #BearishSetup #Forex #CryptoAnalysis #PriceAction #TradingView #MarketStructure
BTCUSD Technical and Order Flow AnalysisOur analysis is based on multi-timeframe top-down analysis & fundamental analysis.
Based on our view the price will rise to the monthly level.
DISCLAIMER: This analysis can change anytime without notice and is only for assisting traders in making independent investment decisions. Please note that this is a prediction, and I have no reason to act on it, and neither should you.
Please support our analysis with a like or comment
BTCUSD: Bearish Continuation & Short Signal
BTCUSD
- Classic bearish pattern
- Our team expects retracement
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Sell BTCUSD
Entry - 83829
Stop - 85403
Take - 81066
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
❤️ Please, support our work with like & comment! ❤️
BTCUSD Daily Trend Analysis is BullishAccording to my momentum analysis, BTCUSD confirmed Bullish trend on April 12, 2025 with entry price at 83624 and stop-loss at 74373. It is likely to continue the trend till 91980 and if breaks and closes above 91980, there is a possibility of hitting the target at 102754.
Mastering Volatile Markets: Liquidity Makes or Breaks Trades█ Mastering Volatile Markets Part 2: Why Liquidity Makes or Breaks Your Trades
If you've read the first part of this four-part series, you know that reducing position size is a key strategy for surviving volatile markets. The second crucial factor that determines success or failure in wild markets is understanding liquidity.
In volatile markets, liquidity is often the real reason behind those massive price spikes — whether 300-500 point moves in the NAS100, violent whipsaws in crypto or stop hunts in forex.
█ Liquidity: The Silent Killer in Wild Markets
In normal market conditions, liquidity is everywhere. You can enter and exit trades with minimal slippage, and everything feels smooth. But in volatile conditions, liquidity can disappear quickly.
Here's why it happens:
Market makers pull back to avoid getting caught in wild moves.
Spreads widen , making execution harder.
Order books thin out , meaning there aren't enough buy or sell orders to absorb aggressive price movements.
Even small orders can cause significant price changes when liquidity is low.
This is what causes those huge candles you often see in volatile markets. It's not just about more buyers or sellers; it's about less liquidity available to absorb those trades.
There’s also a common misunderstanding at play here: High Volume = High Liquidity
Many newer traders see a big volume candle and think, "Oh, high volume means it's safe to trade." But that’s an inaccurate conclusion.
⚪ Volume refers to the number of transactions happening.
⚪ Liquidity refers to how much depth the market has to handle those transactions without causing price instability.
In volatile markets, high volume doesn't mean there's enough liquidity.
And low liquidity causes wild wicks, huge spreads, higher slippage and unstable price action.
█ How to Navigate Low Liquidity in Volatile Markets
So, how can you trade effectively in these conditions?
1) Expect Crazy Moves — Levels Will Get Violated
In high-volatility, low-liquidity markets:
Support and resistance levels won't hold as they usually do.
Price will blow through key levels like they were nothing.
Fakeouts become extremely common.
2) Don't Rely Solely on Support & Resistance
As a newer trader, it's vital not to blindly rely on S/R levels in these markets. Here's why:
Don't expect clean bounces or perfect reactions.
Fakeouts, wicks, and stop hunts are normal.
Tight stops right behind these levels? You'll get stopped out a lot.
Experienced traders know this, which is why we adapt the strategies to handle the market's unpredictability.
3) Split Your Orders Into Smaller Chunks
One of the most effective techniques in volatile markets is order splitting.
Break it into smaller chunks instead of entering your full position at one price. This would help you survive fakeouts, scale in better across larger price moves and avoid becoming liquidity for bigger players.
Example: Let's say you want to go long at support (15,000 on the NAS100), instead of entering all at 15,000. Instead Enter:
25% at 15,000
25% at 14,950
25% at 14,900
25% at 14,850
This way, if the market fakes out below support due to low liquidity, you get filled at better prices without panic.
4) Control Your Emotions — Understand the Environment
This is HUGE in volatile markets.
Many retail traders panic when prices move against them quickly. But if you understand the nature of low liquidity , you can remain calm:
It's normal for the price to move wildly.
Levels will get swept.
Fake moves are common before the market plays out the right way.
█ Summary
Let’s take stock of what we learned today about liquidity in highly volatile markets:
High volatility often equals low liquidity.
High volume does not equal high liquidity.
Expect fakeouts , wild price behavior, and wide spreads.
Don't rely blindly on support/resistance levels.
Split your orders into smaller chunks to manage risk.
Trade smaller position sizes and stay calm.
Remember, you must adapt not only your size but also your execution . Understand liquidity, or it will punish you.
█ What We Covered Already:
Part 1: Reduce Position Size
Part 2: Liquidity Makes or Breaks Trades
█ What's Coming Next in the Series:
Part 3: Patience Over FOMO
Part 4: Trend Is Your Best Friend
-----------------
Disclaimer
The content provided in my scripts, indicators, ideas, algorithms, and systems is for educational and informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice, investment recommendations, or a solicitation to buy or sell any financial instruments. I will not accept liability for any loss or damage, including without limitation any loss of profit, which may arise directly or indirectly from the use of or reliance on such information.
All investments involve risk, and the past performance of a security, industry, sector, market, financial product, trading strategy, backtest, or individual's trading does not guarantee future results or returns. Investors are fully responsible for any investment decisions they make. Such decisions should be based solely on an evaluation of their financial circumstances, investment objectives, risk tolerance, and liquidity needs.
Bitcoin (BTCUSDT) – Technical and Fundamental Analysis 1DBTC has formed a falling wedge pattern on the daily chart, indicating a possible bullish breakout. A clean break above the 0.618 Fibonacci level at $86,485 may trigger an impulsive move to the upside. Price is bouncing from wave (4) and challenging the descending trendline. RSI is recovering, suggesting renewed buying momentum, and MACD shows signs of a bullish reversal.
Fundamental Factors
Bitcoin remains supported by strong institutional demand and optimism around crypto ETFs. Expectations of lower interest rates and macroeconomic uncertainty continue to drive interest in BTC as a hedge. Meanwhile, on-chain data reflects accumulation, with exchange outflows increasing in recent sessions.
Scenarios:
Main scenario – breakout above 0.618 targeting $96,595 and $109,474, with a potential extension toward $125,842.
Alternative scenario – pullback toward $79,384. If this level fails to hold, further correction to $72,283 and $63,497 is possible. The $79K level remains a key support for bulls.