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BTCUSD.P trade ideas

BTC/USD - 1H Chart Analysis📊 BTC/USD - 1H Chart Analysis 🔹 Current Price: $81,849.22 🔹 Market Structure: Bearish with lower highs and supply zones in play 📍 Key Levels to Watch: 🔻 Resistance (Sell Zone): $84,747 - $85,531 (FVG & Supply Zone) 🟢 Demand Zone (Buy Area): $79,062 - $74,002 📈 Bullish Scenario: ✅ If BTC breaks and holds above $85,531, it may push toward $87,000 - $89,000 (Fib retracement levels). 📉 Bearish Scenario: 🔻 A rejection at $84,747 - $85,531 could drive BTC down to $79,062 - $74,002 (major demand zone). 💡 Trading Plan: 🎯 Sell Setup: Look for bearish rejection at $84,747 - $85,531. 🎯 Buy Setup: Wait for a reaction at $79,062 for potential long positions. 🎯 Risk Management: Stop-loss above resistance, TP at demand zones. #FXFOREVER #BTC #Bitcoin #CryptoTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #Forex #FXFOREVER 🚀
CRYPTO:BTCUSDShort
by FXFOREVER_87
2
BTC, Check it outBTC just became US history. BTC strategic reserve is here. The Whitehouse & Trump are ending Bidens war on crypto as they would say and doing a 180 on the regulatory stance on the market. Apparently about 17-21 Billion is held in BTC for this US Reserve Asset from seized assets/ etc. The US will not be buying unless its a neutral market stance. BTC and Crypto as a whole is about to get an inflow of Trillions. Imminent, could be relative within a year. In general this market is going up. All the biggest CEO's and Investors of the industry just met at the US Capital and had a conversation from publicly known time of 1:30-5:30. Regulation is about to happen, the market will become legal and not illegal full way tracked and traced, eventually ran by AI for 'automation purposes'. Money is to be made. Check the previous years individually & every 4 years around this time / the having. It moves, typically up.
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by TheWorldBase
The impact of the decline in Tesla's stock price on the BTCUSDThe change in Tesla's stock price has an impact on BTCUSD, mainly in the following aspects: Investor sentiment transmission: As a highly influential listed company, a significant drop in Tesla's stock price will undermine investors' confidence in technology and innovative assets. This negative sentiment may spread to the cryptocurrency market, causing investors to lose confidence in investing in Bitcoin. Consequently, they may sell off Bitcoin, leading to a decline in the price of BTCUSD. For example, on March 10, 2025, Tesla's stock price plummeted by more than 15%, closing at $222.15, marking its worst single-day performance since 2020. During the same period, the price of Bitcoin also saw a significant drop. Fund flow transfer: When Tesla's stock price drops, investors may withdraw funds from Tesla stocks and related investment portfolios to seek other more attractive investment opportunities. If there are no obvious other investment targets with high returns and low risks in the market, some funds may flow into the cryptocurrency market, such as Bitcoin, pushing up the price of BTCUSD. However, if the overall market risk appetite decreases, funds are more likely to flow into traditional safe-haven assets, such as gold and bonds, rather than Bitcoin, resulting in a decline in the price of Bitcoin. BTCUSD sell @84000-84500 tp: 78500-78000 BTCUSD Buy @78000-78500 tp: 82000-82500 Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad If you also aspire to achieve financial freedom，Follow the link below to get my daily strategy updates
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by BenGray9
BTCUSD BUY ANALYSIS BTC/USD Buy Analysis From 78500 Zone: A potential buying opportunity has been identified in the BTC/USD pair, with a buy entry at 78,500. This level has been identified as a strong support level, where buyers may enter the market and push prices higher. Support Level: 78,500 Target Levels: _TP1: 83,490_ _TP2: 85,700_ _TP3: 88,600_ _TP4: 91,000 - 95,500_ (a potential range for the pair to reach) Reasons for the Buy Opportunity: 1. Technical Reversal:The BTC/USD pair has formed a technical reversal pattern, indicating a potential change in trend. 2. Support Level:The 78,500 level has been identified as a strong support level, where buyers may enter the market and push prices higher. 3. Momentum Indicators: The Relative Strength Index (RSI) and Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicators are showing bullish signals, indicating a potential rise in prices. 4. Fundamental Analysis:The BTC/USD pair has been influenced by positive news and developments in the cryptocurrency space, including increasing adoption and institutional investment. Evidence: 1. Chart Patterns: The BTC/USD pair has formed a bullish chart pattern, indicating a potential rise in prices. 2. Candlestick Analysis: The pair has formed a bullish candlestick pattern, indicating a potential change in trend. 3. Technical Indicators: The pair's technical indicators, including the RSI and MACD, are showing bullish signals. Trading Strategy: Buyers may look to enter the market at the support level of 78,500, with a stop-loss below 72,5000. The TP levels can be used to take profits, or to adjust the stop-loss to break-even. Remember me with best wishes👍. Travis
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by Expert_Travis
Just like we drew it up. (Laser Eyes)2 different scenarios for bulls here. Sentiment is at a major low and many are giving up and waving the white flag... this makes me more bullish for the future. Forget "altseason" and the meme narratives, and focus solely on Bitcoin as the crypto market. It is still not done and has much more to run. See the similarities panning out currently from 2024. Could it be a coincidence or manipulation to make the chart look so similar? No one can be certain but either way, we can guess where this is heading regardless.
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by RetiredNovice
2 Options, Keeping it simpleBTC is currently within its long-term ascending channel but has shown strong rejection at the upper boundary (~$100K). A pullback toward the mid-channel support (~$70K-$75K) seems likely, aligning with historical retracement patterns. Indicators Show Weakness: RSI Divergence suggests a slowdown in momentum. MACD hints at a potential bearish crossover. 📉 Key Levels to Watch: Resistance: $95K - $100K (Upper trendline) Support: $75K (Mid-channel), $60K (Lower trendline) 📈 Scenario 1: BTC consolidates and regains strength for a new ATH attempt. 📉 Scenario 2: A deeper correction to the lower trendline before continuation. Needs to really break $95k first.
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by CryptoFallen
Key Resistance Test & Bullish Pattern📊 $BTC/USDT Market Update – Key Resistance Test & Bullish Pattern 📈 CRYPTOCAP:BTC is now testing the red resistance zone, which aligns with the previous Lower High (LH). The price is also forming a bullish pattern, indicating potential breakout momentum. 🔄 If BTC successfully breaks above this resistance: First target: Green line level. Second target: Blue line level (previous resistance zone). 📌 Failure to break the red zone may lead to a pullback before another breakout attempt.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by WaveRiders2
The Uptrend Bulls Expect has Failed: They've not noticed it yet.I'll split this post into a couple sections, general theory and then the actual TA that supports the FACT that the uptrends have failed - as per the expected path of typical breakouts. All We See or Seem is Just a Dream Within a Dream The Myth of Crypto Cycles Crypto bulls cling to the idea of cycles like a religion. They believe that no matter what happens—regulation, macroeconomic shifts, market maturity—Bitcoin and the broader crypto market will continue to follow an inevitable four-year cycle, bringing new all-time highs like clockwork. To them, the past is prophecy, and history repeats itself in a perfect rhythm. But what if all of this is just an illusion? What if the so-called cycles are merely coincidences, statistical artifacts of a young, speculative market rather than fundamental laws of financial physics? Markets are not mechanical. They do not operate on fixed timetables dictated by past performance. Traditional finance has spent centuries trying to uncover cycles, and while patterns do emerge, they are fragile. They are shaped by human behavior, macroeconomic conditions, liquidity, and regulation—all of which evolve. Yet, crypto bulls insist that the simple halving-based narrative is immune to all these external forces, that Bitcoin's supply schedule alone dictates its destiny. This is an astonishingly naive belief. The illusion of predictability is one of the most seductive traps in markets. People see patterns where none exist. The human brain is wired for pattern recognition, and when an asset like Bitcoin goes through multiple boom-and-bust cycles that seem to align with block reward halvings, it's easy to mistake correlation for causation. But every cycle has been driven by different factors: early retail speculation, ICO mania, institutional adoption, unprecedented money printing. None of these will repeat in exactly the same way. The Dangerous Complacency of Cycle Dogma Worse still, the cycle dogma breeds dangerous complacency. It convinces participants that they don't need to analyze fundamentals, macroeconomics, or risk. It fosters an echo chamber where dissenting opinions are dismissed as FUD, and anyone who questions the cycle is ridiculed. Yet, all bubbles share one trait: overconfidence. The moment something becomes "obvious" in markets is often the moment it stops working. What if Bitcoin is simply a speculative asset that benefited from a perfect storm of conditions? What if the previous cycles were the product of unique liquidity injections rather than an immutable pattern? What happens if the next bear market doesn't end in two years, but instead lingers for a decade or more, as seen in other speculative booms throughout history? Crypto bulls are trapped in a dream, believing that cycles are laws rather than fleeting illusions. But the market does not care about dreams. Reality eventually asserts itself, and when it does, those who failed to question the narrative will find themselves waking up to a nightmare. The Willful Blindness to Cycle Failures Crypto bulls treat historical cycles as gospel, but when reality starts to diverge from their expectations, they find ways to dismiss or rationalize it. The belief in a simple, repeatable four-year halving cycle is so ingrained that even when the data contradicts it, they remain convinced that "this time is no different." But cracks are already forming in the cycle narrative, and those who ignore them do so at their own peril. The Growing Deviations from the Cycle If Bitcoin's price truly followed a strict four-year halving cycle, we would expect the timing of peaks and troughs to align predictably. Yet, recent market behavior has deviated significantly from past trends. Timing Delays and Weaker Peaks – Previous cycles saw Bitcoin reaching new all-time highs within 12-18 months of the halving. However, the most recent cycle has shown weaker momentum and prolonged consolidation. The expected "blow-off top" has yet to materialize, and implied forecasts based on previous cycles have already been missed. Diminishing Returns – Each bull cycle has produced a lower percentage gain than the last. The 2013 cycle saw a roughly 50x return, 2017 brought a 20x return, and 2021 struggled to even 10x from its prior lows. This diminishing return pattern contradicts the idea that future cycles will be as explosive as the past. Extended Corrections and Macro Influence – Previous bear markets followed a sharp collapse followed by a predictable recovery, but the current cycle is increasingly intertwined with macroeconomic factors like interest rates, liquidity conditions, and institutional risk appetite. The Stronger Link Between Crypto and Risk-On Assets Crypto bulls want to believe Bitcoin is a revolutionary, independent asset class immune to traditional financial cycles. Yet, empirical data shows that Bitcoin is increasingly behaving like a high-beta tech stock, tightly correlated with broader market risk sentiment. S&P 500 and Nasdaq Correlation – Bitcoin's correlation with major equity indices has reached record highs in recent years. During major risk-off events—such as Federal Reserve tightening cycles—Bitcoin has followed equities downward, contradicting the claim that it's an uncorrelated store of value. VIX and Crypto Volatility – Traditionally, Bitcoin was seen as a hedge against uncertainty, yet its correlation with the VIX (volatility index) suggests it is actually a risk-on asset. When volatility spikes, Bitcoin dumps alongside other speculative assets. Liquidity Dependency – Every major crypto bull market has coincided with periods of excess global liquidity—whether it was loose monetary policy post-2008, the 2017 ICO boom, or the 2020-2021 stimulus-driven rally. As liquidity dries up, Bitcoin and altcoins suffer. The idea that crypto will boom on a predetermined schedule without liquidity support is a fantasy. Ignoring the Red Flags Despite mounting evidence that the cycle narrative is failing, crypto bulls remain steadfast in their belief. They dismiss deviations as temporary, blame external factors, or move the goalposts entirely. Some common coping mechanisms include: "The cycle is just delayed" – Rather than admitting the pattern may be breaking, bulls claim that price action is simply lagging and will soon "catch up." "Institutions are suppressing the market" – When the expected parabolic rally doesn't arrive, some turn to conspiracy theories, insisting that institutional players are manipulating prices. "Bitcoin is still early" – This argument suggests that cycles will remain intact indefinitely because adoption is ongoing, ignoring how asset classes mature and become less volatile over time. The Dream is Fading The belief in crypto cycles is rooted in historical data, but history is not destiny. The cracks in the cycle narrative are growing larger, and those who refuse to acknowledge them risk being caught in a painful awakening. The correlation with risk-on assets, diminishing returns, and macroeconomic headwinds all point to a market that is maturing—and one where blind faith in the past could be a costly mistake. Bulls may continue to dream of predictable cycles, but markets do not move on dreams. They move on liquidity, macro conditions, and shifting investor sentiment. And right now, the cycle dogma is facing its greatest test yet. The Illusion of Omniscience: A Classic Bubble Symptom One of the most reliable signs of a speculative bubble is the widespread belief that everyone understands exactly how things will play out. Crypto bulls are no exception—they treat their cycle models, price targets, and narratives as if they are indisputable truths. But history has shown that when the majority of market participants believe they have it all figured out, they are usually the ones about to be proven wrong. Overconfidence and the Death of Skepticism Bubbles are fueled by collective overconfidence. The deeper people are entrenched in a market narrative, the less willing they are to entertain opposing viewpoints. - **Every dip is a buying opportunity** – Bulls assume every pullback is a setup for new highs. - **“Smart money” is accumulating** – When prices drop, the default explanation is that institutions are “loading up.” - **Dismissing fundamental shifts** – Major changes in macro conditions, regulatory risk, or liquidity constraints are ignored or brushed aside. This type of thinking leads to an echo chamber where no amount of contradictory evidence can change the prevailing belief. Markets reward skepticism, but bubbles punish those who dare to question the narrative—until reality forces a reckoning. The Fallacy of Predictable Certainty When everyone assumes they know the future, they stop considering alternative scenarios. Crypto bulls assume: - **Price targets are inevitable** – Rather than acknowledging risk, many treat certain price levels as a matter of “when,” not “if.” - **Cycles are set in stone** – The assumption that Bitcoin will continue to follow a clean four-year cycle disregards the role of external factors. - **There is no exit plan** – Most bulls do not prepare for the possibility that the cycle framework might be invalidated. These beliefs are symptoms of a market where participants are detached from risk. Once the consensus view reaches a peak of confidence, the probability of the opposite occurring increases dramatically. The Danger of Crowded Thinking When too many people are on the same side of a trade, the market tends to move against them. We have seen this in past bubbles: - **Dot-com boom (2000)** – Internet stocks were viewed as a one-way bet, right before the crash. - **Housing bubble (2008)** – Everyone believed home prices could never fall, until they did. - **Crypto 2017/2021** – The “supercycle” narrative dominated, only to be proven false. Each time, the crowd was convinced they had discovered a new paradigm, only to learn the hard way that market cycles are far more complex than they assumed. Conclusion: The Limits of Certainty The moment everyone believes they have the market figured out is the moment risk is highest. The crypto space is filled with certainty—certainty that cycles will repeat, certainty that Bitcoin will hit six figures, certainty that institutions will drive perpetual demand. But markets do not reward certainty. They reward those who adapt. And right now, crypto bulls are marching forward as if they already know how the story ends. That is exactly why they are at risk of being blindsided. TECHNICAL ANALYSIS After every historic BTC dump it followed the conventions of a technical bullish breakout. Breaking the 1.61 fib and rally to at least the 2.20. Which is a healthy sign for a trend. This worked on every single major BTC breakout ... expect this one. Now ... it is actually viable we trade 1.61 - 1.27 and then uptrend. This is one of the possible patterns, but the forecast of the classic BTC breakout has failed. Everyone who made it was wrong. They made it based on good observations of the past and then something changed. At this point, so should their opinion have changed. This may or may not be a 1.27 hold, but if the 1.27 fails we have a technical failure of the uptrend and a complete failure of the popularly forecast breakout. The alts ... all those things people boldly forecast (on scant data) - they failed. And they failed in a SUPER OBVIOUS way, technically. During the formation of an up or down move we'll form pending harmonics. These are a default staple of the market and we've seen these in markets for a 100 yrs. When these form, major trend decisions are to be made. IN AN UPTREND - THE HARMONICS BREAK. They fail. And price goes parabolic. That's what happens. There's staggering evidence to back this. If they do not fail ... that's a bad sign for the uptrend. Commonly when harmonics do not break - we've seen the blow off in an uptrend. Here's a post with the alts harmonics. Go check these charts ...and see how it worked out. Everything the bulls said the cycle would be, it's not been. But they just revise it to tell you how they'll be right later. Everyone becomes an expert at following the trend in the last leg of the trend.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by holeyprofit
2
Bitcoin - Weekly Forecast - Technical Analysis & Trading IdeasMidterm forecast: While the price is above the support 73777.00, resumption of uptrend is expected. We make sure when the resistance at 91037.20 breaks. If the support at 73777.00 is broken, the short-term forecast -resumption of uptrend- will be invalid. BITSTAMP:BTCUSD Technical analysis: A peak is formed in daily chart at 109588.00 on 01/20/2025, so more losses to support(s) 78180.00 and minimum to Major Support (73777.00) is expected. Take Profits: 86499.57 91037.20 94505.46 98489.63 101430.12 105431.17 109932.89 115000.00 120000.00 125000.00 __________________________________________________________________ ❤️ If you find this helpful and want more FREE forecasts in TradingView, . . . . . . . . Hit the 'BOOST' button 👍 . . . . . . . . . . . Drop some feedback in the comments below! (e.g., What did you find most useful? How can we improve?) 🙏 Your support is appreciated! Now, it's your turn! Be sure to leave a comment; let us know how you see this opportunity and forecast. Have a successful week, ForecastCity Support Team 130000.00
BINANCE:BTCUSDLong
by ForecastCity
10
Heiken Ashi Bitcoin chart shows us near Bottom of Range I have posted this chart before so this is an UPDATE As we can see, PA has come down and now bumped into the rising line of long term support and at the expected % of drop ( -24 ) Does this mean that PA will bounce ? NO but it does have a higher chance of doing so as the lower Timef rames are now oversold. The weekly MACD is still falling Bearish and has a few more weeks to go before reaching Neutral. The Lower Oversold time frames should give PA the energy to rise off this trend line and aim towards Range high However, as we saw in 2023, PA can drop below and so we need to remain cautious and watch PA closely. Tomorrow , March 12, we have the USA inflation data being released and this will most likely act as a catalyst to a move in either direction, depending on the data So, Hang on , Be optimistic while being cautious.. Bitcoin is at a turning point....We are just notto sure in which direction.
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by Orriginal
BTC Macro Neckline Retest and Wyckoff Re-Accumulation "Spring"Bitcoin has been consolidating above the break-out of a massive reverse head and shoulder pattern for numerous weeks as seen on the weekly chart, it is a healthy and normal move for the price to retrace and retest the neckline and find support, coupled with the fair value gaps, Stochastic RSI reset in oversold and a Wyckoff re-accumulation Pattern playing out very nicely on the daily suggests from a technical perspective that BTC is likely to bounce and continue to rally from here - aka the "Spring", this is also an opportunity created by the market makers to shakeout loose hands and for SmartMoney and whales to buy in at heavily marked down prices before the market starts to rally. Of course, there is always a risk to the downside in the short term so manage it wisely, I'm personally a macro trader so longterm bets are bullish, a retracement such as this could be a wonderful opportunity to get some heavily discounted BTC as well as some blue chips! Happy Trading!
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by dinovareta