BTH 200k EOY 2025 Bitcoin has accomplished remarkable growth against all odds. .BTC is not a currency like most think of currency, but rather an appreciating asset with better liquidity than gold and real-estate. You don't need to have ten's of thousands of dollars saved as a down payment on a house that will appreciate over time. You can live in a country where your currency's value is plummeting every day, while your BTC holdings grow exponentially on average. Eventually, way down the road I believe that BTC's rapid growth will slow to that of gold and real-estate as we know it today. When you compare the market caps of these assets, and how quickly BTC is catching up, Its not unreasonable to project a 20T market cap in the next 10-20 years. With people like my parents now buying BTC since they have realized the hedge against the devaluation of our dollar, combined with the government finally getting on board we may start to see an accelerated growth rate.
No one knows if the US will actually become the largest BTC treasury in the world, but with the rate at which companies and countries are adopting the idea I would argue the odds are in our favor. If the world power does it, it will create a snowball effect with other world leaders. I could see us going from a petrol dollar to a bitcoin dollar. Then we may finally see some renewable energy even as well. With better government regulation, opposed to just banning BTC, our largest headwind to date would not only be stepping aside, but be a wind at our backs. Making more favorable tax incentives that would, unlike tax breaks for property owners, help anyone and everyone.
The chart shows our upper and lower trend lines on larger time frames. Historically it takes 4 taps to resistance to break out. BTC hitting 100k is coincidently our 4th tap to our ATH trend line. If and when we break over this level we will need a new upper bound to follow which will end up being one of the ATH trend lines that is found from using a slightly shorter time frame. Our next longest time frame shows that hitting 200k towards the end of next year to be possible. While its unlikely that we see 4 tests to this new upper bound over the next year, with the rising sentiment, we could see it try and break over the 200k level by eoy2025 but statistically we will be coming to the end of our 4 year bull cycle so I would expect a correction at that point before the next leg up. As BTC slowly disconnects itself from the world news and our current economy I don't believe we will see the dramatic corrections we have seen in the past. My guess is we will never see a correction more than 30-40% again, but I have been wrong before. Also, when you look at the monthly chart we are just breaking over the 80 level on the RSI indicator and when you look at the last 4 cycles you see that this cycle ending towards the end of next year lines up. Also, the average growth for each cycle when it broke over 80 until if finally breaks under 80 has been an average rise of ~500% with the range being between ~50% - ~1300%. If we only see 100% more growth over the next year that gets us to our 200k target next year.
If BTC fails to hold over 100k by the end of the year, and continues to follow the current upper bound we will still see BTC get up around 120k by eoy2025 which is still 20% growth and with the stock market showing the majority of companies being valued at 30x earnings I believe that BTC is the better investment this year.
THIS IS NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE!!!! DO YOUR OWN RESEARCH & MAKE YOUR OWN DECISIONS. JUST BECAUSE I CONVERTED ALL MONEY THAT I DON'T IMMEDIATELY NEED OVER TO BTC DOES NOT MEEN YOU SHOULD TOO. REMEMBER TO LEAVE YOUR EMOTIONS AT THE DOOR WHEN TRADING AND BE PATIENT! ALWAYS TRADE WITH DATA BUT WITH THE TREND! NO NEED TO FIGHT AN UPHILL BATTLE. PUT THAT WIND IN YOUR SAILS!!!