Liquidity CycleAll credits to Ostium insights which can be found here Intuition behind different indicators. DXY and USDCNH NOTE: The DXY and USDCNH are on an inverted scale They are a proxy for the US dollar strength. BTC suffers as dollar strengthens and vice versa. Global Liquidity Index Rising global liquidity and strength in bitcoin are highly correlated. If we expect global balance sheet expansion, we should anticipate outperformance in BTC. GLOBAL M2 / GLOBAL GDP It is the rate of growth of global money supply outpacing the rate of growth in goods and services produced globally, where periods of of growth in this ratio correlate highly with outperformance in Bitcoin and periods of decline in this ratio are generally unsupportive of Bitcoin. M2SL/DXY At its core, this is a measure of the growth rate of domestic Dollars vs. the strength of the Dollar internationally. As M2SL/DXY rises (US M2 is growing faster than the Dollar is strengthening vs. other currencies), this is a proxy for growing liquidity in the financial system - in effect, a good barometer for the relative easiness or tightness of financial conditions. This is also indicative of weakening purchasing power of the Dollar itself via currency debasement. Lastly, a rising M2SL/DXY can indicate that international borrowers can access dollar liquidity more favourably. This all, in turn, leads to a growing risk appetite and capital flow into financial assets, as we can see from the ratio mapped vs BTC/USD. As the ratio declines, the inverse is true - liquidity is tighter and financial conditions are less easy, often leading to a flight away from riskier assets. Educationby Oxfirefist0
BTC LONG TP:96,500 03-02-2025BTC experienced a flash crash, but we should see a slight rise in the next few hours. Our target is above 96,000 within a maximum of 6 hours; otherwise, the analysis will be discarded."Longby ReyDragon21Updated 25
bitcoin enters a hyper-parabolic state to 753kgm, this was initially a private post, but i've decided to open it up to the public, for the people. --- interest rates are collapsing. not slowly. not in a controlled, measured descent. this is a freefall. the kind that rewrites economic history. monetary debasement is inevitable. quantitative easing will accelerate, liquidity will flood the system, and the us dollar will plunge. this isn’t speculation. this is math. and when that happens, the gates open. the largest alt season in history is not a possibility. it is an inevitability. this will be the kind of move that people will talk about for decades. portfolios multiplied beyond reason. valuations pushed to levels most can only dream of. the everything bubble will expand beyond comprehension. people will call it unsustainable. they will call it madness. but madness is where the greatest opportunities are born. most won’t be ready. they will hesitate. they will overthink. they will sell too early, watching in disbelief as the market leaves them behind. we will not. 🌙 --- tp - 753kLongby notoriousbids9
BTCUSD $ BUY We may see the price not respecting the channel!!!In reference to the daily chart of Bitcoin, Bitcoin is in a major upward trend, forming an upward channel, especially in the field of competition with other startups, there may be a reason for delaying the rise, from the side of Bitcoin withdrawals and their transformation into pieces with its derivatives, —Bitcoin may visit other areas in its downward trend, or where we do not expect it to happen, —For example; $81541 as a final stage, and $84951 at a record level, and we consider it within respect for the rise in the upward channel, —This accumulation that is happening is nothing but a simple correction, before keeping pace with the development in the search for the new (resistance), —Advice; It is good for us to have deals, open in areas that are considered good, and have big surprises in making profits, and with that, the absence of that, and the stability in the future of the price, below the upward line, then that is a great possibility of rising after touching the line, Longby chihaaymen0
Last chance to buy btc before 130k? 🚀 BITCOIN HIT OUR $93K TARGET! LAST CHANCE TO BUY BEFORE $130K? 🚀 BTC just dropped into our key liquidity zone at $93K, exactly as expected! 📉 Now, the next leg up is on the horizon, and this might be the final opportunity to buy before we blast off to $130K+ ATH! 🚀 🔹 Smart money is accumulating 🔹 Bullish reversal setup in play 🔹 Next major resistance: $130K+ Don't miss this move—Bitcoin is gearing up for liftoff! 🚀📈Longby LUCRATIVE-Trading3
BTC breakout to continue up trendBTC dip flushed out trader + Trump inauguration appears to be a good set up for trend continuation. In line with strong Feb seasonality returns. Small inside bar compressing on previous high. Longby harryexeUpdated 2
What's going on Bitcoin?Bitcoin has not found any support since the end of last week and the start of the new week, and investors have been unable to maintain the previous ranges no matter what they do. If the trend continues like this, it will probably fall to the psychological bottom of $90 and maybe even $88,000, which will not happen to Trump, who has been talking about supporting these currencies. Of course, some of his team members may have seen their stocks grow, which may be the reason.But another scenario,maybe is’t this!by Chartino1
$BTC & CRYPTO: THIS IS THE MOST INTENSE DEEP RETRACEMENT🚨 CRYPTOCAP:BTC & CRYPTO: THIS IS THE MOST INTENSE DEEP RETRACEMENT WE'VE SEEN! 🚨 💥 Brace yourselves! The crypto market is experiencing one of its most severe deep retracements to date. XRP, Bitcoin, and other major coins have taken a massive hit, shaking the entire market! ⚠️📉 🔥 Major dips across the board have investors feeling the pressure. This could be the start of a deeper pullback OR a golden buying opportunity for those bold enough to weather the storm. ⏳💰 ⚡ Stay calm! The market has faced deep retracements before and bounced back stronger. Keep your eyes on key support levels and remain patient. 🧐📊 🔑 Remember, long-term strategy wins! Buying the dip could reward those prepared for the next surge! 🚀📈 Shortby AlphaBull-Trading4
Aggressive scalp BTC Long After a big dump, noticed a ms change on the 15 min timeframe, would like to trade VAL to POC and possibly VAH, but TP will be avwap, found some support on vwap, middle of new local channel. Consider the low an SFP of the monthly level, the wick touched the middle of prev month eq wick and hit a dnpoc, that's proper support. But more downside is still possible, on the htf ms is still bearish, so consider this an aggressive entry, with a tight SL, just below the monthly level. Trail SL up, allow 1k drawbackLongby edbout0
BTC Liquidations During Market CrashesBTC Liquidations During Market Crashes. Covid, Luna, FTX and the Trade Wars this weekby web3alessandro1
BITCOIN - Sell Idea (Medium-tarm)The consistent failure to breakout above the massive key-level resistance of $101,850 is a strong indication that the bitcoin is gearing up for a downside reversal. at least on the medium-term cycle. We're testing the waters with a small size short position. As the negative momentum keeps growing so will our confidence and our position size. Our secondary profit target is at $97,468 and our primary profit target is at $92,565Shortby BulletproofTradersUpdated 222
BTC CAPITULATION?Bitcoin has experienced a significant drop, breaking below the key support level of 99,860 and closing decisively beneath it. The daily chart shows a strong bearish candle, with price currently trading around 94,896. This move has brought Bitcoin into the lower range of its broader consolidation zone, with the next major support sitting near the shaded region between 90,000 and 92,000. The 50-day moving average, which had previously been acting as dynamic support, has been lost, signaling increased bearish momentum. Volume has spiked, confirming the strength of the breakdown and indicating that sellers are in control for now. If Bitcoin finds support near the 90,000–92,000 zone, a bounce could occur, but any recovery would face resistance at 99,860, which may now act as a ceiling. Bulls will need to reclaim this level to shift momentum back in their favor. Failure to hold the current support zone could lead to further downside, potentially testing levels closer to 85,000. Traders should remain cautious, as the breakdown invalidates the previous bullish structure, and the market is showing increased volatility. Watching for a strong reaction at the current support zone will be critical to determine the next direction.by ScottMelker4
$BTC: Aftermath of That Earthquake – My Main Conclusions ...CRYPTOCAP:BTC : Aftermath of That Earthquake – My Main Conclusions and Strategy 1. Flash Crash Precision: The drop nailed the lower boundary of Bitcoin’s main range to the T. I’m kicking myself for not having any orders at $91K– GETTEX:92K , but it is what it is. Spot top-up at $99K → Triggered. Low leverage from GETTEX:97K → Triggered. Normal leverage from $95K → Triggered. Tough call ahead—hold or cut amid ongoing chaos? With macro still in flux, politicians are holding the dice. But I’m keeping these positions—here’s why. 2. DXY Rejection at 109.9: The Dollar Index (DXY) spiked to 109.9, got slapped down, and is now falling. My key pivot 109.4 is the level to watch—it’s currently below at 109.11. If it reclaims 109.4, I’ll reduce BTC leverage or take a defensive cut before losses snowball. Tight TA and instant reaction time are a must this week. 3. Liquidation Wipeout & Market Incentives: Huge liquidations swept the board on the way down. No major liquidity pools left until the mid-$80Ks. But Mr. Market Maker has every reason to squeeze the shorts—the logical move would be a push above $106K to annihilate them. 4. A Headline-Driven Market: Right now, breaking news dictates price action. Imagine China retaliating with tariffs—instant bloodbath. That liquidity sitting below $85K would become the market’s next chew toy. All in all: how I see it, in a nutshell: Mad times. Money can be made, but positioning and reaction speed are being tested like never before. 💙👽by ColdBloodedCharter1
BTCUSD Textbook but bad for LongsAccording to the trading framework of the Medianlines, BTCUSD is behaving perfect. If we close below the white Center-Line, first profit target is at the 1/4 line, second is at the L-MLH. Only a reversal aka HAGOPIAN can turn the momentum from down to up. It's when price is open and close above the white Center-Line again. Turbulent times ahead...Shortby Tr8dingN3rd3
BTCUSDT TRADING POINT UPDATE >READ THE CHAPTIAN Buddy'S dear friend 👋 SMC Trading Signals Update 🗾🗺️ crypto Traders SMC-Trading Point update you on New technical analysis setup for crypto BTC USDT crypto currency 💲 crypto Traders BTC USD ready for. A New. ATH that month Technical patterns support and Resistance level 🎚️ Look good bullish trend 📈 114k don't dare qt Hit but soon 🔜😁 Key Resistance level 106k + 107k + 109k + 114k Key Support level 97222 - 94219 - 92105 - 89219 Mr SMC Trading point Pales support boost 🚀 analysis follow)Longby SMC-Trading-PointUpdated 2229
Bitcoin: The Crash Before the Next BubbleAs seen in the overlaid pattern of the NASDAQ chart from 1998, a sharp drop in the index followed by a rapid recovery often signals high volatility. This typically occurs in periods when markets are still searching for equilibrium, but the risks of overheating increase. A similar dynamic is observed in cryptocurrencies. During the 1998 market crash, low oil prices were a natural consequence of the crisis. However, today’s situation might be artificially constructed. Donald Trump and other Western politicians have already expressed their desire to pressure OPEC into increasing production to lower prices, thereby reducing Russia’s revenues and easing inflationary pressures in the West. If this pressure on OPEC fails, regulators or key market players may intensify rhetoric about an impending recession, leveraging weak macroeconomic data, high energy prices, and volatility in key sectors. This could scare investors, leading to reduced investment, lower consumption, and a slowdown in market activity - essentially a self-fulfilling prophecy that pressures energy prices and indices without fundamental reasons for a collapse. Another shock to the markets could come from tariff wars, whose full impact remains unclear to participants and could be significantly dramatised in the next month or two. How reasonable do you think it is to draw parallels between today and the late 1990s, including the formation of the dot-com bubble? 1. Political Instability and Paradigm Shifts The political landscape of the late 1990s was marked by rising authoritarian trends in several regions, including the Middle East, Latin America, China, and Russia. Local conflicts, the rise of radical movements, and terrorist attacks - such as the 1998 bombing of the U.S. embassy—signalled increasing instability. By the late 1990s, anti-globalisation sentiments and criticism of international organisations had begun to emerge, reflecting growing dissatisfaction with economic inequality and cultural homogenisation. This period saw a return of regional rivalries and new threats, pushing the world toward a more complex multipolar system—a shift that began back then. In the 2020s, we are witnessing similar trends: the rise of authoritarianism and populism in certain countries, growing tensions between globalisation and nationalism, and increased political polarisation, which undermines governments’ ability to develop long-term strategies. 2. Economic Instability The Asian financial crisis of 1997 and Russia’s 1998 default had a shocking impact on the global economy. However, the U.S. stock market, after a sharp correction, continued to grow, fuelled by low interest rates - ultimately leading to the dot-com crash in 2000. Today, the effects of the pandemic, the energy crisis, and the war in Ukraine continue to shape the global economy. Central banks are in a difficult position: they must raise rates to combat inflation, but doing so could trigger a recession, not to mention the potential for trade wars. Economic policy remains a source of uncertainty, just as it was in the late 1990s. 3. Technological Breakthrough The internet in the late 1990s opened up entirely new opportunities, much like AI is transforming entire industries today. Companies are integrating AI into finance, healthcare, manufacturing, marketing, and even everyday life, promising enormous benefits. Cryptocurrencies, in turn, are incorporating AI solutions into their ecosystems, developing projects based on automation and machine learning to attract new investors. 4. Expectations Outpacing Reality As in the late 1990s, expectations for AI are already exceeding current economic benefits. Many companies invest in AI just to stay relevant, even if their understanding of the technology is limited. Cryptocurrencies are capitalising on this trend - projects promise AI integration for smart contract management, blockchain optimisation, and even predictive AI-based systems. However, practical implementation of these ideas has yet to deliver significant tangible benefits. 5. Widespread Public Attention The popularity of artificial intelligence has created a powerful market narrative, amplified by media hype and speculative interest. Cryptocurrency projects are actively embracing this trend, while politicians openly discuss crypto reserves, new speculative instruments, and measures to stimulate industry growth. The modern world is on the brink of a new era, dominated by multipolarity, technological leaps, and new challenges. The parallels with the late 1990s are evident: just like back then, we are witnessing the collapse of old structures and the emergence of new forms of global interaction. However, today, the scale of these changes is much greater, and the outcomes will define global politics for decades to come.Shortby nesoglasen2
Short #BTUUSDMy analysis is hinge on the Stochastic crossing in my chart. Over-time that crossing has signalled a major market shift. Thus I expect market to melt to about 70k which is the nearest support level. This idea is for spot traders or HOLDERs. For traders this can influence your "short" decision, however stick to your trading plans.Shortby Iamcruz010
BTC? Flash sale today. Continuation? Hopefully will come in a bigger volume. Check BTC previous review. Lower low.. Bigger size orders.. All the best Not a guru Shortby reazosman0
btc & gold LIVE TRADE Gold trading strategies surround a range of methodologies designed to profit from gold’s price movements, considering factors such as market trends, economic indicators, and geopolitical events. Strategies for gold trading vary widely, from short-term approaches like collapse and range trading to long-term investment perspectives centered on macroeconomic trends and hedging against market risks. Effective gold trading strategies require a blend of technical and fundamental market analysis, a clear understanding of the associated risks, and the incorporation of risk management practices. We show you an example of a gold trading strategy.13:16by Vishalatul0971
BTCUSD After a brief upward correction and a slight downward trend, the price is expected to reach 104,115. Longby bhabibi1
january 31 Bitcoin Bybit chart analysisHello It's a Bitcoinguide. If you have a "follower" You can receive comment notifications on real-time travel routes and major sections. If my analysis is helpful, Please would like one booster button at the bottom. This is Bitcoin's 30-minute chart. There will be two Nasdaq indicators released at 10:30 in a little while. There is a gap section at the top and bottom of Nasdaq, so it seems likely that it will shake once. Bitcoin has MACD dead cross pressure on the 4-hour chart. I created today's strategy by comparing it to Tether Dominance. *When the blue finger moves, Bidirectional neutral Short->Long switching, or long position waiting strategy 1. $104,641.5 short position entry section / Orange resistance line breakout, stop loss price 2. $103,12 long position switching / Green support line breakout, stop loss price (If it comes down right away, 104.6K is the long position waiting section, same stop loss price) 3. $106,943 long position 1st target -> Target price in order To ignore the 4-hour chart MACD dead cross, The condition is that it touches the 1st section or more, the 4-hour chart resistance line of the Bollinger Band. If not, It should be imprinted while moving sideways until 9, 1, and 5 o'clock when the 4-hour candle is created, and I created a strategy based on that. The first section at the top is a sideways section / the blue support line at the bottom is an upward trend line from a mid-term perspective. If the green support line breaks, you should be careful because it can go down to Bottom -> 2 at once. I'm not in good condition today, so I'll finish here and go in. Please use my analysis so far as a reference and only I hope you operate safely with principle trading and stop loss prices. Thank you. by BitCoinGuideUpdated 2