Wait for something more reliableMorning folks,
Since our last update action was anemic. Nothing has changed seriously. BTC was able to show just minor upside action. Based on current performance, I do not want to take long position right here and prefer to wait for something more reliable. Because BTC action stands rather different from the one that we expected to see.
For example it might be H&S pattern on 1H chart. Thus, an area around 103K seems the one that we will keep an eye on.
BTCUSD.P trade ideas
7.7 Analysis of the latest BTC trend and operation layout📊 Cautious wait-and-see strategy (Recommendation index ⭐️⭐️⭐️⭐️⭐️)
📰 News information:
1. Digital Market Asset Transparency Act
2. Anti-CBDC Regulation Act
3. US Stablecoin Innovation Act
📈 Technical Analysis:
At present, the price of BTC is around 109,000, and the overall narrow fluctuation pattern continues. The market as a whole lacks clear direction. However, it is worth noting that the trading volume has dropped to 30.1 billion US dollars, which has further shrunk compared with the previous day, reflecting a decline in market participation.
In my opinion, the driving factors of the market include the following:
1. The continued activity of ancient whales has attracted attention
2. The technical side shows that the momentum is weakening
3. Market sentiment has turned neutral
4. ETF fund inflows remain strong
5. The "Crypto Week" policy catalyst is coming
Currently, BTC continues to consolidate within the upward trend line, but the momentum indicator shows fatigue, the 4H Bollinger Bands shrink, and the price is running near the middle track of 108,400. Enter the market cautiously during the day and pay attention to the support of 107,000
🎯 Trading Points:
SELL 109,000-110,000
TP 107,500-107,000
In addition to investment, life also includes poetry, distant places, and Allen. Facing the market is actually facing yourself, correcting your shortcomings, facing your mistakes, and being strict with yourself. I share free trading strategies and analysis ideas every day for reference by bros. I hope my analysis can help you.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
BTCUSD Daily TF Bull FlagThe daily timeframe bullish flag is a strong indication that the market is preparing for another bull run. The target for this will be around $140k - slightly higher.
I am anticipating a minor pullback to either one of the daily demand zones - (most likely the highest one) before the bulls take over.
Bitcoin long $600k- long Bitcoin targeting $10-12T market cap by 2028
- acceleration of companies accumulating Bitcoin + continuation of Saylor & Strategy's ongoing TWAP
- notable uptick in global concerns w/ having access to non-sovereign store of wealth not affected by government intervention + over-reliance on USD + US Debt
- Gold's current market cap: $23T. Bitcoin is incredibly more useful as a SOV that's transferable easily across nation states & easier to transact with between parties anywhere globally
- currently holding $100k support after selling off to ~$75k during tariff fears + austerity with DOGE + macro higher low from last year and held support from November election
- including improved crypto regulatory environment otw soon + general sentiment around crypto a lot more positive
Wave Pattern: Complex Correction (Triple Three) on BITCOINThe price action on this BTC chart displays the characteristics of an overlapping, sideways, and downward-drifting nature of the price swings strongly indicates a complex corrective pattern. The most fitting pattern is a Triple Three, denoted as W-X-Y-X-Z. This is an extended consolidation pattern composed of three simpler corrections (W, Y, and Z) linked by two intervening waves (X).
Most Probable Next Moves
Based on the identification of the market being at the end of a second Wave X, the following are the most probable scenarios:
Primary Scenario: A Decline in Wave Z
The highest probability path is a decline in Wave Z.
Immediate Move: The price is expected to turn down from the current resistance area (the peak of the second Wave X, roughly $110,600).
Structure of the Move: Wave Z will itself be a corrective pattern, most likely another zig-zag (structured as A-B-C down).
Price Target: A common characteristic of a Triple Three is that Wave Z will often push to a new low for the entire structure. The chart's pre-marked "NEAR TERM TARGET" at $97,021 is a logical objective. This would involve breaking below the previous Wave Y low of $98,225.
Alternative Scenario (Less Likely)
A less probable scenario is that the entire W-X-Y correction completed at the June 23rd low. In this case, the rally since then would be the beginning of a new impulsive uptrend (Wave 1). This is considered less likely because the rally from late June to early July appears corrective and lacks the powerful, non-overlapping structure typical of a new impulse wave. For this scenario to gain credibility, the price would need to decisively break above the major barrier at $111,897.
BTC ShortResistance at 111k has proven to be challenging for BTC, and I believe that it needs to retrace to regain momentum to go meaningfully higher.
On the hourly chart, price has been squeezing for the longest since June which resulted in a drop of more than 10%. The squeeze and RSI divergence pattern between the two periods is very similar. BTC enjoyed the tailwind of the USD falling significantly since the beginning of the year, but I believe it will start to strengthen again.
TP is the 93-94k range. I will cut losses at 111k. If the trade gains momentum and slices through 93k, then I will continue to trail stops until it reverts. At that time, I will most likely go long for the next major upside push.
Risks:
There are three major pieces of crypto legislation that could cause unpredictable swings.
Also, it's crypto, so anything can and routinely does happen :P
BTC Market Structure (June 22 - June 25): Wyckoff Insights + RSIOver the past few months, I’ve been closely studying Bitcoin’s macro structure from June 2022 to June 2025, and I believe we’re witnessing a textbook example of Wyckoff theory unfolding in real time — not just once, but in multiple phases.
🔍 Phase 1: Classic Wyckoff Accumulation (June 2022 – Oct 2023)
Starting June 2022, BTC began forming a major bottoming structure.
By November 2022, price made a lower low — but RSI (14) was making higher lows, a clear sign of bullish divergence.
From there until October 2023, BTC moved sideways in a Wyckoff accumulation range.
This was Phase A–E in classic Wyckoff terms:
Selling Climax (SC)
Secondary Test (ST)
Spring (false breakdown)
Last Point of Support (LPS)
Sign of Strength (SOS)
🚀 Phase 2: Markup with Re-Accumulations at Each Leg
After the October 2023 breakout, BTC has followed a highly structured rally with multiple consolidation phases and healthy corrections:
✅ Breakout 1:
From ~$31K to $48K → +53% move
Followed by a ~20% pullback to ~$38K
➜ This formed a re-accumulation phase, consolidating above prior resistance
✅ Breakout 2:
From $38K to $73K → +50% move
Then a deeper ~31% correction to ~$50K
✅ Breakout 3:
From $50K to $109K → +48% move
Current pullback to ~$74K → ~31% retracement
Now trading near ATH region again
🧠 Key Observation
In this cycle, we’re seeing not only one accumulation at the bottom, but also clear Wyckoff Re-Accumulation zones forming after each breakout, especially after Breakouts 1 and 3.
This suggests institutional accumulation continues during the trend, supporting the idea that:
Pullbacks are for re-loading, not distribution
Trend strength remains intact as long as prior re-accumulation lows hold
🧭 What This Means for the Current Cycle
If this structure continues, BTC may be preparing for another markup leg above $110K
Historical fractals from past bull markets (e.g., 2020–2021) show similar behavior
RSI structure and market rhythm continue to favor trend continuation, not exhaustion
📌 Conclusion
We are likely in the mid-to-late phase of a well-structured bull market, supported by:
Wyckoff Accumulation at the bottom
Re-Accumulations after each breakout
Healthy 20–31% pullbacks
RSI confirming internal strength
🔔 Next levels to watch:
Support: $74K, $88K
Resistance: $111K–$115K
Breakout target (if pattern continues): $145K–$175K zone
📢 Let me know what you think!
Do you see similar Wyckoff structure?
Drop your thoughts or charts below 👇
#BTC #Bitcoin #Wyckoff #CryptoTA #TradingView #BTCAnalysis #Reaccumulation #RSI #BullMarket
Often targeted before potential reversal or continuation moves.Key Zones & Annotations
BSL (Buy-Side Liquidity) – Yellow box at the top (~$108,811):
Represents liquidity above recent highs.
Often targeted before potential reversal or continuation moves.
SSL (Sell-Side Liquidity) – Orange box below current price:
Represents liquidity under recent lows.
The market just swept this area, possibly to trigger liquidity grabs or stop hunts.
FVG (Fair Value Gap) – Blue shaded box:
Indicates an imbalance area where price could return for mitigation.
Price might revisit this area before or during a bullish move.
Entry Zone – Red box around current price:
Marks a potential long entry area.
Positioned just after sweeping the SSL.
Projected Move (Gray Box):
Forecasted price trajectory is bullish, aiming for levels above $108,500+, targeting the BSL area.
🧠
Interpretation Based on Smart Money Concepts
Market swept sell-side liquidity (SSL), suggesting weak hands or stops were taken out.
Entry zone aligns with a potential order block or demand zone.
Anticipated move is bullish, likely targeting the imbalance and BSL.
✅
Trading Insight
This is a classic Smart Money reversal setup:
Liquidity sweep below.
Entry near demand zone.
Targeting inefficiencies and liquidity above.
BTCUSD UPDATE MARKET This is a 2-hour BTC/USD (Bitcoin to US Dollar) chart showing a bearish projection after a consolidation phase. Here's a breakdown of the analysis:
---
🔍 Current Price:
107,549 USD
Up +1.74%, suggesting a recent bullish push — likely a short-term rally.
---
🧠 Technical Zones & Forecast:
1. Resistance Zone (~107,500–109,000):
This area has been tested multiple times.
The dotted arrow from this level suggests a projected reversal, possibly forming a lower high.
2. First Demand/Support Zone (~104,800–105,200):
Shallow support. If broken, it may confirm the start of a deeper correction.
3. Second Demand Zone (~101,500–102,800):
More robust support.
Could serve as a bounce zone or long-entry area.
4. Third Major Demand Zone (~97,500–99,000):
Strong long-term support; a bearish target if momentum increases.
---
🧭 Directional Bias:
The dotted line shows a bearish trajectory with targets at 104.9k, 102.8k, and potentially 99k.
The price action reflects a distribution range at the top, hinting at potential markdown phase starting soon.
---
✅ Conclusion:
Short-term bullish, but showing signs of weakness near resistance.
Watch for rejection around 108k–109k to confirm the bearish move.
Breakdown below 104.9k would accelerate downside toward 102.8k and 99k.
Let me know if you'd like entry/exit signals or stop-loss suggestions based on this outlook.
Bitcoin Stuck in Channel but Building up for Breakout?Hey Traders so today we are looking at Bitcoin currently trading in narrow sideways channel. But looking like strong support at 100,431 notice how on June 22 could not close below it.
Also notice on May 8 that was the same area for strong rally. So I think a good place to get back in this market would be half the daily candle on June 23 or a price of 103,150 or even 102,000.
Strong stop below support around 97,582 or lower.
So if bullish buy on pullback to channel support however if bearish wait for break below 96,000 that way you know market has confirmed move lower.
I think right now it's still showing bull market signs but only time will tell.
Good Luck & Always use Risk Management!
(Just in we are wrong in our analysis most experts recommend never to risk more than 2% of your account equity on any given trade.)
Hope This Helps Your Trading 😃
Clifford
Triangle, Flag, or Wedge? How to Trade These Chart PatternsWhat is the real difference between an ascending triangle, bull flag, and wedge? We break down these common patterns using real examples from gold and Bitcoin, explain why trendlines can be tricky, and discuss what actually matters when trading these setups.
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Bitcoin H4 | Rising into a swing-high resistanceBitcoin (BTC/USD) is rising towards a swing-high resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower.
Sell entry is at 111,747.48 which is a swing-high resistance that aligns with a confluence of Fibonacci levels i.e. the 78.6% projection and the 127.2% extension.
Stop loss is at 113,000.00 which is a level that sits above a confluence of Fibonacci levels i.e. the 100% projection and the 161.8% extension.
Take profit is at 108,698.22 which is an overlap support.
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Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
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Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
$BTC is stuck in a box – Big move coming soon! Bitcoin has hit CRYPTOCAP:BTC is stuck in a box – Big move coming soon!
Bitcoin has hit $110K resistance three times and failed. It's moving sideways inside a big box. A breakout is coming – either up or down.
🔸 Support at $104.7k–$100k:
50 EMA is around $104.7K, acting as the first support. Strong support is at $100K. If the price drops here, it’s a good place to buy.
🔸 Targets:
If BTC closes above $110K, we can see a quick move to $115K or even $120K.
🔸 Risk Level at $99k:
If price falls below $99K, the bullish setup is no longer valid. In that case, BTC might go down to $95K or even $90K.
🔸 Outlook:
✅ Watch for a close above $110K to enter a breakout trade.
✅ If price drops, look to buy near $100K–$105K.
Wait for confirmation — the next big move is near!
July 3 Bitcoin Bybit chart analysis
Hello
This is Bitcoin Guide.
If you "follow"
You can receive real-time movement paths and comment notifications on major sections.
If my analysis was helpful,
Please click the booster button at the bottom.
Here is the Bitcoin 30-minute chart.
There will be a Nasdaq index announcement at 9:30 and 11:00 in a little while.
I created today's strategy based on the Nasdaq pattern and Tether dominance vertical decline conditions.
*One-way long position strategy when the red finger moves
1. $109,838 long position entry point / stop loss price when the purple support line is broken
2. $111,549.7 long position 1st target -> Great 2nd target
The 1st section at the top and the 2nd section at the bottom are sideways sections.
Even if the strategy fails, if the green support line is not broken,
it is good for a long position.
Below that
Bottom -> Please note that it is open up to 107,841.4 dollars
Up to this point, I ask that you simply use my analysis for reference and use only
I hope that you operate safely with principle trading and stop loss prices.
Thank you.
BTC BOUNCESBitcoin just pulled off a clean bounce off support, landing perfectly on the 50-day moving average around $105,800 – a level that’s repeatedly proven its importance. The move came with a solid +2% daily candle, reclaiming lost ground and putting the bulls back in control for now. Price is still trapped under the descending trendline just below $112,000, which has capped every breakout attempt over the past month, but momentum is shifting. As long as BTC stays above that support zone and keeps printing higher lows, the structure looks bullish. A breakout above that trendline would likely send us flying – but fall back below $105,800, and we’re probably retesting $100,700. For now, the bounce looks strong, the trend is intact, and the ball’s back in the bulls’ court.
BTCUSD Trading Opportunity! SELL!
My dear subscribers,
This is my opinion on the BTCUSD next move:
The instrument tests an important psychological level 10686
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bearish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market.
Target - 10417
My Stop Loss - 10836
About Used Indicators:
On the subsequent day, trading above the pivot point is thought to indicate ongoing bullish sentiment, while trading below the pivot point indicates bearish sentiment.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
———————————
WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Bitcoin H4 | Potential bullish bounce off an overlap supportBitcoin (BTC/USD) is falling towards an overlap support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 106,535.50 which is an overlap support that aligns with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss is at 104,600.00 which is a level that lies underneath a swing-low support and the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit is at 108,808.50 which is a multi-swing-high resistance.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.