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BITCOIN :CAP AND HANDLE PRICE ACTION PATTERN/ / Gold Spot / U.S. Dollar CAP AND HANDLE PRICE ACTION PATTERN By TaherJalili Follow Updated Aug 14, 2020 1 5 Aug 12, 2020 The Cup with Handle is a bullish continuation pattern that marks a consolidation period followed by a breakout. The cup and handle pattern occurs in both small time frames, like a one-minute chart, and in large time frames, like daily, weekly, and monthly charts. It occurs when there is a price wave down, followed by a stabilizing period, followed by a rally of approximately equal size to the prior decline. It creates a U-shape, or the "cup" in our "cup and handle." The price then moves sideways or drifts downward within a channel—that forms the handle. The handle may also take the form of a triangle. The handle needs to be smaller than the cup. The handle should not drop into the lower half of the cup, and ideally, it should stay in the upper third. As its name implies, there are two parts to the pattern: the cup and the handle. The cup forms after an advance and looks like a bowl or rounding bottom. As the cup is completed, a trading range develops on the right-hand side and the handle is formed. A subsequent breakout from the handle's trading range signals a continuation of the prior advance. A cup and handle chart may signal either a reversal pattern or a continuation pattern. A reversal pattern occurs when the price is in a long-term downtrend, then forms a cup and handle that reverses the trend and the price starts rising. A continuation pattern occurs during an uptrend; the price is rising, forms a cup and handle, and then continues rising. Entering a Cup and Handle Trade Wait for a handle to form. The handle often takes the form of a sideways or descending channel or a triangle. Buy when the price breaks above the top of the channel or triangle. When the price moves out of the handle, the pattern is considered complete, and the price is expected to rise. While the price is expected to rise, that doesn't mean it will. The price could rise a little and then fall, it could move sideways, or it could fall right after entry. For this reason, a stop-loss is needed. Picking a Target or Profitable Exit Whatever the height of the cup is, add that height to the breakout point of the handle. That figure is the target. For example, if the cup forms between $100 and $99, and the breakout point is $100, the target is $101. Sometimes the left side of the cup is a different height than the right. Use the smaller height, and add it to the breakout point for a conservative target. Or use the larger height for an aggressive target. A Fibonacci extension indicator may also be used. Draw the extension tool from the cup low to the high on the right of the cup, and then connect it down to the handle low. The one-level, or 100%, represents a conservative price target, and 1.618, or 162%, is a very aggressive target. Therefore, targets can be placed between one and 1.618. If you're day trading and the target is not reached by the end of the day, close the position before the market closes for the day. A trailing stop-loss may also be used to get out of a position that moves close to the target but then starts to drop again. Setting a Stop-Loss A stop-loss order gets a trader out of a trade if the price drops, instead of rallying, after buying a breakout from the cup and handle formation. The stop-loss serves to control risk on the trade by selling the position if the price declines enough to invalidate the pattern Place a stop-loss below the lowest point of the handle. If the price oscillated up and down a number of times within the handle, a stop-loss might also be placed below the most recent swing low. Since the handle must occur within the upper half of the cup, a properly placed stop-loss should not end up in the lower half of the cup formation. If the stop-loss is below the half-way point of the cup, avoid the trade. Ideally, the stop-loss should be in the upper third of the cup pattern. By having the handle and stop-loss in the upper third (or upper half) of the cup, the stop-loss stays closer to the entry point, which helps improve the risk-reward ratio of the trade. The stop-loss represents the risk portion of the trade, while the target represents the reward portion. Considerations Traditionally, the cup has a pause, or stabilizing period, at the bottom of the cup, where the price moves sideways or forms a rounded bottom. It shows the price found a support level and couldn't drop below it. It helps improve the odds of the price moving higher after the breakout. A V-bottom, where the price drops and then sharply rallies may also form a cup. Some traders like these types of cups, while others avoid them. Those that like them see the V-bottom as a sharp reversal of the downtrend, which shows buyers stepped in aggressively on the right side of the pattern. Opponents of the V-bottom argue that the price didn't stabilize before bottoming, and therefore, the price may drop back to test that level. Ultimately, if the price breaks above the handle, it signals an upside move. If the trend is up, and the cup and handle forms in the middle of that trend, the buy signal has the added benefit of the overall trend. In this case, look for a strong trend heading into the cup and handle. For additional confirmation, look for the bottom of the cup to align with a longer-term support level, such as a rising ​trend-line or moving average. If the cup and handle forms after a downtrend, it could signal a reversal of the trend. To improve the odds of the pattern resulting in a real reversal, look for the downside price waves to get smaller heading into the cup and handle. The smaller down waves heading into the cup and handle provide evidence that selling is tapering off, which improves the odds of an upside move if the price breaks above the handle. Trend: To qualify as a continuation pattern, a prior trend should exist. Ideally, the trend should be a few months old and not too mature. The more mature the trend, the less chance that the pattern marks a continuation or the less upside potential. Cup: The cup should be “U” shaped and resemble a bowl or rounding bottom. A “V” shaped bottom would be considered too sharp of a reversal to qualify. The softer “U” shape ensures that the cup is a consolidation pattern with valid support at the bottom of the “U”. The perfect pattern would have equal highs on both sides of the cup, but this is not always the case. Cup Depth: Ideally, the depth of the cup should retrace 1/3 or less of the previous advance. However, with volatile markets and over-reactions, the retracement could range from 1/3 to 1/2. In extreme situations, the maximum retracement could be 2/3, which conforms with Dow Theory. Handle: After the high forms on the right side of the cup, there is a pullback that forms the handle. Sometimes this handle resembles a flag or pennant that slopes downward, other times it is just a short pullback. The handle represents the final consolidation/pullback before the big breakout and can retrace up to 1/3 of the cup's advance, but usually not more. The smaller the retracement, the more bullish the formation and significant the breakout. Sometimes it is prudent to wait for a break above the resistance line established by the highs of the cup. Duration: The cup can extend from 1 to 6 months, sometimes longer on weekly charts. The handle can be from 1 week to many weeks and ideally completes within 1-4 weeks. Volume: There should be a substantial increase in volume on the breakout above the handle's resistance. Target: The projected advance after breakout can be estimated by measuring the distance from the right peak of the cup to the bottom of the cup. Si bien se espera que el precio suba, eso no significa que lo haga. El precio podría subir un poco y luego caer, podría moverse hacia los lados, o podría caer justo después de la entrada. Por esta razón, se necesita un stop-loss. Elegir un Objetivo o Salida Rentable Cualquiera que sea la altura de la copa, agregue esa altura al punto de ruptura del mango. Esa cifra es el objetivo. Por ejemplo, si la copa se forma entre $100 y $99, y el punto de ruptura es $100, el objetivo es $101. A veces, el lado izquierdo de la copa tiene una altura diferente a la derecha. Use la altura más pequeña y agréguela al punto de ruptura para un objetivo conservador. O use la altura más grande para un objetivo agresivo. Un indicador de extensión de Fibonacci también se puede usar. Dibuja la herramienta de extensión desde la taza baja a la alta a la derecha de la taza, y luego conéctala a la manija baja. El nivel único, o 100%, representa un objetivo de precio conservador, y 1.618, o 162%, es un objetivo muy agresivo. Por lo tanto, los objetivos se pueden colocar entre uno y 1.618. Si está operando día y el objetivo no se alcanza al final del día, cierre la posición antes de que el mercado cierre el día. También se puede usar un stop-loss trasero para salir de una posición que se mueve cerca del objetivo, pero luego comienza a caer nuevamente. Establecer un Stop-Loss Una orden de stop-loss saca a un comerciante de una operación si el precio cae, en lugar de recuperarse, después de comprar una ruptura de la copa y la formación de manijas. El stop-loss sirve para controlar el riesgo en el comercio vendiendo la posición si el precio disminuye lo suficiente como para invalidar el patrón Coloque un stop-loss debajo del punto más bajo del mango. Si el precio osciló hacia arriba y hacia abajo varias veces dentro del mango, también se puede colocar un stop-loss por debajo del mínimo de swing más reciente. Dado que el mango debe ocurrir dentro de la mitad superior de la copa, un stop-loss colocado correctamente no debe terminar en la mitad inferior de la formación de la copa. Si el stop-loss está por debajo del punto medio de la copa, evite el intercambio. Idealmente, el stop-loss debe estar en el tercio superior del patrón de copa. Al tener el mango y el stop-loss en el tercio superior (o mitad superior) de la copa, el stop-loss se mantiene más cerca del punto de entrada, lo que ayuda a mejorar la relación riesgo-recompensa del comercio. El stop-loss representa la parte de riesgo de la operación, mientras que el objetivo representa la parte de recompensa.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by JUANJO23
1
BTC/USD chart Analysis Hello Guy's Must Support Me And Share Your Thoughts In Comments Section Thanks Trade Safely BTC/USD chart Analysis Technical Analysis: 1. Resistance and Support Zones: Resistance: The price is approaching the resistance zone near $108,500, marked as the TP2 zone. Support: Multiple supports are evident near $102,000 and $96,000. 2. Trend: The price has formed a higher high (point 7), suggesting bullish momentum. However, potential resistance at the $107,000 (TP1) level could lead to temporary consolidation. 3. Patterns: The price has shown repeated bounces from support zones (points 2, 4, 6), indicating strong buying interest at those levels. 4. Targets: Short-term: TP1 at $107,000. Medium-term: TP2 at $108,500. Fundamental and Geopolitical Context: 1. Fundamentals: Recent global adoption trends or news related to Bitcoin may be driving increased demand. Macroeconomic factors, such as inflation and central bank policies, could be influencing the bullish sentiment. 2. Geopolitical Influence: Any geopolitical instability may be enhancing Bitcoin's appeal as a hedge, pushing prices upward. Regulatory news or acceptance in key markets may further support this trend. Conclusion: The trend is bullish, with strong momentum toward resistance at $108,500. Traders should watch for a breakout above resistance or a potential pullback to the $102,000 support. Fundamental and geopolitical factors may further reinforce Bitcoin's upward movement. NOTE: This Analysis For Educational Purposes Only Not A Trading Advice
BINANCE:BTCUSDLong
by David_Josh_Trader
1
Unique Mathematical Approach to Support & Resistance DCA DCA Alpha 1.0: A Unique Mathematical Approach to Support, Resistance, and Buying The Dip 🚀 “Success in trading isn’t about predicting the future—it’s about positioning yourself to thrive in it.” Introducing DCA Alpha 1.0—an advanced trading indicator/strategy that combines mathematical precision with market psychology. By identifying Neutral Zones (dynamic support/resistance) and Extreme Zones (deeply oversold or overbought conditions), it offers traders a disciplined framework for buying the dip 🛒 and securing gains near market tops 💰. Let’s break down DCA Alpha's Neutral and extreme zones: 1. Neutral Zones: The Foundation of Support & Resistance ⚖️ Neutral Zones represent the market’s equilibrium, helping you decipher whether price action signals a pause, a reversal, or a breakout. Market Equilibrium: When price lingers in the neutral zone, it often serves as short-term support 📈 if price is above it or resistance 📉 if price is below. Reduced Guesswork: No more arbitrary lines! DCA Alpha 1.0 visually flags these zones, boosting confidence in your entry and exit strategies 🎯. Transition Points: When price moves from an Extreme Zone back to neutral, it signals either a cooldown after a rally 🔥 or a basing formation before a bounce 💪. 2. Extreme Negative Zones: Perfect for “Buying the Dip” 🛒 Extreme Negative Zones signal deeply oversold levels—moments when fear grips the market. Deep Oversold Levels: When price enters an extreme negative zone, it’s often a sign of fear-driven sell-offs 📉. Value-Based Accumulation: Forget guessing the exact bottom. Deploy a systematic dip-buying strategy by adding small, incremental positions as price remains undervalued 💸. Momentum Decay: DCA Alpha 1.0 detects weakening downside momentum 📊, helping you anticipate recovery even if prices keep drifting lower. 3. Extreme Positive Zones: Lock In Gains Early 💰 Extreme Positive Zones warn of overheated markets, giving you a chance to secure profits before the crowd. Overbought Alerts: These zones flag when markets are likely to face profit-taking or reversals 🔄. Profit Securing: Recognize these levels to exit or trim positions near potential peaks instead of chasing euphoria 🌈. Resistance in Action: Similar to Neutral Zones, extreme positive levels often act as a technical ceiling, capping bullish runs 📉. 4. Bringing It All Together: Dollar Cost Averaging / Buying The Dip 📊 DCA Alpha 1.0 simplifies strategic entries and disciplined exits, blending math and market psychology into a single framework. Strategic Entries: Pinpoint value-based accumulation moments with precision, allowing you to buy the dip systematically 🛒. Unleveraged Approach: Allocate a set percentage of equity whenever the indicator flags extreme negative conditions, avoiding emotional overreactions 🚦. Disciplined Exits: Watch for transitions into extreme positive zones to scale out or set tighter stops 🛑. Disclaimer ⚠️ This post is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. DCA Alpha 1.0 is designed for long-term, unleveraged strategies focused on value-based accumulation and prudent profit-taking. No indicator or strategy guarantees success—always assess your own risk tolerance and financial objectives before trading. Conclusion 🎯 DCA Alpha 1.0’s unique mathematical approach removes the guesswork around support and resistance, guiding traders toward value-based accumulation 🛒 and confident profit-taking 💰. By visually defining neutral, extreme negative, and extreme positive zones, it streamlines trading decisions in both bear and bull markets 🐻🐂.
BINANCE:BTCUSDEducation
by DCAChampion
6
Bitcoin: a new dawnPrevious two weeks were a bit shaky for the crypto market, as investors were anticipating a changed Fed's mood for interest rate cuts during the course of this year, due to strong jobs market and potential increase in inflation. Still, December figures showed that there is no need for such a fear, so the markets returned into the positive mood. The crypto market gained during the previous week, while BTC managed to get back toward levels above the $100K. BTC started the previous week by testing the resistance line at $95K. This level was easily crossed, so BTC continued its path toward the $105,5K which was the highest weekly level. The RSI currently moves around the level of 65, leaving some space for a further surge in price, until the clear overbought market side is reached. The moving average of 50 days started a divergence from MA200, indicating that no cross will occur in the future period. The week of inauguration of the new US President-elect is ahead. The event is scheduled for Monday, January 20th. Considering his strong support to the crypto ecosystem in the pre-election period, it could be expected that the crypto market will continue to be in a positive mood. There is a chance for BTC to reach its ATH level in the week ahead, which was at $107,9K in December last year. Whether the market will be ready to push the price further to the upside is about to be seen. From the perspective of the technical analysis, levels above the $107,9K are treated as uncharted territory, so in this case, BTC will create a new history.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by XBTFX
BTCUSD: This is a consolidation and we've seen it before.Bitcoin is neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 51.151, MACD = -617.400, ADX = 24.376) as it hasn't escaped the right range it's been trading in since late December. The 1W MACD has converged but hasn't made the Cross yet and as long as it doesn't, based on the time cycles, this is most likely a short consolidation that has happened almost exactly during the same time both in January 2024 and 2023. When the 1W MACD made the Bearish Cross, we had the long consolidation phases. By next week we should see this consolidation break to the upside. Our target is the same with the early 2024 breakout, a +195% rise from the bottom (TP = 150,000). ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by InvestingScope
1
From H&S to a wedge pattern, what are the targets?Bitcoin has repeatedly tried to break below the 91k level, confirming a head-and-shoulders pattern, but all attempts, including the latest where the price dropped strongly below the support level, failed. What pattern could we work with if we are not dealing with a head and shoulders? As it stands, we are now dealing with a falling wedge. The price has bounced off the lower boundary five times, supporting this view. Falling wedges typically lead to a continuation of the previous bull trend. How can we trade it? A breakout above the falling trend-line, connecting the December 17th and January 7th highs (currently around 100k), would confirm the pattern. Ideally, the price would first test the 100K level and turn lower from the trend-line, forming a more substantial setup before breaking higher. Further confirmation would come from a break above the January 7th high of 102.82k. If successful, the pattern targets a move to 113.19k. This content is not directed to residents of the EU or UK. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices or other information contained on this website is provided as general market commentary and does not constitute investment advice. ThinkMarkets will not accept liability for any loss or damage including, without limitation, to any loss of profit which may arise directly or indirectly from use of or reliance on such information.
THINKMARKETS:BTCUSD
by ThinkMarkets
TRUMP'S INAUGURATION → $120.000 NEXTAs illustrated, I'm trying to visualize the possible outcome for the next couple of days. Anything could happen, but the more "obvious" sentiment is bullish to "very" bullish. The targets of $110,000 - $120,000 are very realistic within just a few hours into Trump's inauguration. Now, one must expect anything during the most volatile conditions, and a possible liquidation near ATH or even at new ATH MIGHT occur. WHY? ... Honestly... it's just one of those " too good to be true " type of things that I just simply can't ignore the probabilities that are involved in this game. It's not a crazy theory about liquidity nor am I trying to go against what we all expect and desire for BTC (which is to continue breaking ATH and beyond).. I'm simply being realistic about the different scenarios during my projected outcome. Hopefully, we get a MASSIVE BULLISH Daily bullish candle; right? (did I say bullish?)... but... hey... it's 2025. -- GOOD LUCK!
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by PersaGold
BTC/USD Analysis Hello Guys Must Support And Share Your Thoughts In Comments Section In My Analysis Of Bitcoin/US Dollar (BTC/USD) trading pair on a 4-hour timeframe,key technical levels and potential price movements based on technical analysis. Here's a detailed breakdown: Technical Analysis: 1. Resistance Zone (Green Area): The area between $99,300 and $101,500 represents a significant resistance zone. The price has previously tested this level multiple times but failed to break above, indicating strong selling pressure. 2. Support Zone (Red Area) : The support zone around $92,900 to $93,500 has provided a solid base for price rebounds in the past. This suggests strong buyer interest at this level. 3. Price Action & Targets: The chart suggests a potential rejection from the resistance zone near $99,300, followed by a downward movement. Target 1 (TP1) is indicated at $96,500, which aligns with intermediate support and a possible retracement level. Target 2 (TP2) is set at $94,000, closer to the primary support zone. 4. Trend & Momentum: The overall trend seems to be consolidating within the resistance and support levels, indicating indecision. The large blue arrow shows a bearish sentiment, suggesting a likely drop if the price fails to break the resistance. Fundamental Analysis Context: 1. Market Sentiment: Bitcoin might face selling pressure due to market uncertainty, profit-taking near the psychological $100,000 level, or macroeconomic events. 2. Upcoming Catalysts: Watch for macroeconomic indicators like interest rate decisions, regulatory updates, or institutional buying, which could impact Bitcoin's momentum. Positive news could lead to a breakout above resistance, while negative developments may push prices toward support levels. NOTE: This Analysis For Educational Purpose Only
CRYPTO:BTCUSDShort
by NicolusFrank
Predicting Bitcoin's Cycle Using the Elliott Wave Theory, Part 3Hello Traders. With the new year upon us, I think sufficient time has passed for the charts to develop from our previous #Bitcoin analysis. Having accurately forecasted the macro trends for each pivot within a reasonable margin of error, I believe we're approaching another pivotal moment this year, aligning with our previous predictions. Please take this post with a grain of salt, and more importantly, please use it to add confluence to your personal theories. In this post, we will be diving deeper into the Elliott Wave Theory by also integrating the Wyckoff Market Cycle Theory. By combining the two theories, the chart below represents our current position within the final leg for what could be giving us signs of a possible reversal (again, within margin of error depending on how far wave 5 extends): Wyckoff believed that markets move in cycles, which arguably has a direct correlation to the Elliott Wave 5-wave/3-wave cycle. Wyckoff introduced a four-stage market cycle , attributing it to the actions of institutional players who strategically influence price movements to capitalize on the behavior of uninformed traders. Simply put, the theory gives us a further understanding of 'cause and effect' within the markets. In my view, the Wyckoff cycle also does a fantastic job of representing market psychology. And if intertwined correctly with the Elliott Wave Theory, price action tends to follow patterns in similar ways. The Elliott Wave Theory and Wyckoff Theory often overlap in their application and interpretation of market behavior, but they approach the market from different perspectives. Both theories aim to understand and predict market movements based on the behavior of market participants and price cycles, making them complementary in many ways. Commonalities Between the Elliott Wave Theory and Wyckoff Theory: Market Cycles - Wyckoff Theory identifies a four-stage market cycle: Accumulation, Markup, Distribution, and Markdown. The Elliott Wave Theory also emphasizes cyclic behavior through a fractal structure of impulsive and corrective waves within broader market cycles. - Both theories suggest that price movements are not random but follow identifiable patterns driven by market psychology. Psychological Basis - Wyckoff focuses on the interaction between "big players" (institutional traders) and "uninformed traders," highlighting group psychology and how institutional actions exploit public sentiment. - Elliott Wave focuses on the crowd psychology behind price movements, suggesting that mass investor sentiment drives waves in predictable patterns. **Both theories reflect the influence of human behavior and emotions on market prices.** Application Across Timeframes - Both theories are applicable across multiple timeframes, from intraday trading to long-term investments. This flexibility allows traders to use them in conjunction for deeper market analysis. Identification of Trends and Reversals - In Wyckoff Theory, phases like Markup and Markdown align with Elliott Wave's impulsive trends, while Accumulation and Distribution phases can correspond to corrective wave patterns. - Both approaches aim to identify key turning points in the market, helping traders anticipate trends and reversals. ----- The Four Stages of the Market Cycle According to Wyckoff Accumulation Phase This is a sideways range where institutional traders accumulate positions quietly to avoid driving prices higher. During this phase, the asset remains out of the public spotlight, and uninformed traders are largely unaware of the activity. On a price chart, the phase appears as a range-bound movement between areas of support and resistance. Markup Phase Following the accumulation phase, the market enters a classic uptrend. As prices rise, uninformed traders begin to notice and join in, further fueling the rally. Institutional players may take partial profits or continue holding for greater gains. Short sellers caught off guard are forced to cover their positions, adding additional buying pressure and driving prices to new highs. Distribution Phase After the uptrend loses momentum, the market transitions into a sideways range, marking the distribution phase. Institutional players use this period to offload their holdings, while uninformed traders, still expecting higher prices, continue to buy. Some institutional traders may also initiate short positions during this phase to benefit from the subsequent price decline. On the price chart, this phase appears as a reversal of the uptrend into a sideways range. Markdown Phase The markdown phase is characterized by a downtrend following the distribution phase. Institutional traders add to their short positions, while uninformed traders, recognizing the decline too late, sell in panic, creating further downward pressure. The market eventually reaches new lows as selling accelerates. The Model of Group Psychology After the markdown phase, the cycle often repeats, moving from accumulation to markup, distribution, and markdown again. The Wyckoff cycle offers a simplified perspective on market behavior, focusing on the psychological dynamics between two groups: institutional traders (the "big players") and uninformed traders (the "small players"). It highlights how the mistakes and emotional reactions of uninformed traders often benefit institutional players. The Wyckoff cycle provides valuable insights into market behavior but is not without limitations: Limitations of the Wyckoff Trading Cycle Difficulty in Identifying Phases Distinguishing between accumulation and distribution phases can be challenging. What appears to be an accumulation phase might turn into a distribution phase, with the market unexpectedly breaking lower. Timing Challenges Entering trades during accumulation or distribution phases is difficult due to the lack of clear stop-loss levels. Placing stops around support and resistance often leads to being trapped. Complexity in Trading Trends Trading the markup and markdown phases requires skill, as they are filled with complex price action patterns. Modern markets often experience frequent trend reversals, complicating trade execution. Irregular Cycles The market does not always follow the textbook sequence of accumulation, markup, distribution, and markdown. Variations such as accumulation followed by markdown or other combinations are possible. Despite its limitations, the Wyckoff cycle remains a useful framework for understanding market behavior. It is best combined with other strategies, such as price action and market dynamics, to enhance its practical applicability. While modern markets may reduce the cycle's predictive reliability, it still serves as a powerful tool for traders who know how to apply it effectively. Proper Application of the Elliott Wave Theory and Wyckoff Overlap (in Practice): Trend Identification: The Markup Phase in Wyckoff often aligns with Elliott's Impulse Waves (1, 3, and 5), while the Markdown Phase aligns with corrective waves or bearish impulses. Sideways Markets: Wyckoff’s Accumulation and Distribution phases correspond to Elliott’s Corrective Waves (A-B-C) or sideways consolidations (Flats and Triangles). Volume Confirmation: Traders can use Wyckoff’s volume analysis to validate Elliott Wave patterns, especially in identifying wave 3's (typically accompanied by high volume) and wave 5's (often showing declining volume). Timing and Execution: Wyckoff’s emphasis on identifying support/resistance levels and trading ranges can help refine the entry and exit points suggested by the Elliott Wave Theory. Combining the Two: Many traders find value in combining these theories: - Use Wyckoff to identify key price levels and market phases (e.g., when accumulation or distribution is occurring). - Use Elliott Wave to determine the broader trend structure and anticipate the next moves within those levels. - By integrating Wyckoff’s volume-driven approach with Elliott’s fractal patterns, traders can gain a comprehensive view of the market and improve their ability to time trades effectively. ---- By integrating the concepts from both theories and the outlined schematics, we can now take a closer look at how Bitcoin is behaving through the lens of these frameworks. As observed, Bitcoin appears to be nearing the completion of the potential 5th wave we've been discussing over the past year. In my view, a bear market (or at least a significant correction) may be approaching. While timing is uncertain due to the unlikely nature of extensions, we can use insights from both Wyckoff and Elliott Wave theories to gauge our current position. I believe we are likely in the Distribution phase, which aligns with the 5th wave. The 5th wave can extend as much as it wants, but it won't change the overall conclusion of the cycle. We still anticipate the cyclical behavior that Bitcoin has shown in the past. While past price action isn't necessarily a predictor of future movements, it often follows a similar pattern.
BINANCE:BTCUSDEducation
by XForceGlobal
22