BTCUSD Key Supply Zone Rejection – Bearish Target Mapped BTCUSD Key Supply Zone Rejection – Bearish Target Mapped (Educational Breakdown)
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🧠 Technical Analysis (1H Chart):
• Range Structure: BTCUSD is currently trading within a well-defined consolidation range between the Resistance Zone ($119,850–$120,591) and the Support Zone ($116,937).
• Volume Profile (VRVP): Volume is noticeably thick near the mid-range, suggesting accumulation/distribution behavior. Price is struggling to break above the value area high near $120K.
• Resistance Rejection: After testing the upper supply zone, price failed to sustain bullish momentum and is showing signs of exhaustion – a possible sign of institutional selling.
• Target Zone: If price rejects this resistance again, a strong move toward the target level of $117,260 is expected. This aligns with:
• Mid-range liquidity sweep
• Low-volume node (LVN) below current price
• Fair Value Gap fill near $117,200–$116,900
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🧩 Key Concepts Highlighted:
• Support & Resistance Mapping
• Volume Profile Readings
• Institutional Order Flow Bias
• Target Projection using Smart Money Concepts
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⚠ Educational Insight:
This setup is a perfect example of how to combine Volume Profile + Price Action to identify liquidity traps and smart entries. Always wait for confirmation near key zones — not every level breaks!
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✅ Trade Plan (Not Financial Advice):
• Watch for bearish engulfing/rejection wick at resistance
• Short entry below $119,000 with SL above $120,600
• Target: $117,260 / Final TP: $116,937 zone
BTCUSD.P trade ideas
Bitcoin / USD – 1H Smart Money Outlook🔹 Current Price: $115,549
🔹 Key Zones:
🔴 Supply OB (Resistance): $119,500 – $121,000
🔵 Demand OB (Target Zone): $111,000 – $112,000
🔻 Bearish Bias: Below $118,366
⚠️ Pivot Point: $115,987
🔹 Day Low: $117,131 | Day High: $119,519
🧠 Market Structure Overview:
❌ BOS + MSS indicates internal weakness
🔁 Price rejected key resistance (OB) and shifted structure bearish
🔹 SSL (Sell-Side Liquidity) near $117,000 likely to be targeted
📉 Expected Scenario:
Retracement to SSL / Pivot → Continuation Drop
Possible minor bullish pullback but overall structure favors downside
📊 Indicators:
RSI: Bearish divergence zone (30.70)
MACD: Bearish momentum building
Price trading below EMA
✅ Bias: Bearish
🕰️ Timeframe: 1H
🎯 Plan: Look for short setups on retracement toward SSL / OB
Bitcoin May Pull Back Slightly Before Resuming Uptrend📊 Market Overview
• Bitcoin is currently trading around $116,934, slightly down after hitting an intraday high of $119,524.
• The earlier rally was supported by inflows into Bitcoin ETFs, accumulation by major holders like Trump Media and MicroStrategy, and a pro-crypto regulatory stance in the U.S. (e.g., Genius Act, CLARITY Act).
• However, a surge in whale transfers to exchanges and declining BTC dominance suggests profit-taking and potential short-term volatility.
📉 Technical Analysis
• Key Resistance: ~$119,500 – $120,000 (intraday high and recent ATH)
• Nearest Support: ~$115,000 – $116,000, then $110,000
• EMA 09/20: Price is hovering around EMA 9/20 on H1–H4 timeframes, indicating a short-term uptrend but needing a pause or correction.
• Momentum / Volume: RSI is near overbought territory; falling volume hints at consolidation or a mild pullback. The overall trend remains bullish but slightly unstable.
📌 Opinion
Bitcoin is likely to pull back slightly in the short term toward the $115,000 – $116,000 zone due to profit-taking pressure, before potentially resuming the uptrend if it can break and hold above $119,500 – $120,000 with strong volume.
💡 Trade Setup
SELL BTC/USD at: $118,500 – $119,000
🎯 TP: $116,500
❌ SL: $120,000
BUY BTC/USD at: $115,000 – $116,000
🎯 TP: $118,500 – $119,500
❌ SL: $114,000
Bitcoin (BTC): Accumulation Before New All-Time-High?After the recently formed ATH near the $123K zone, we have had a decent accumulation following after that, which stabilized the Bollinger Bands and RSI, giving us a new potential for another ATH to form from here.
Now our target was $120K, which we filled quickly; now it is the $140K zone mainly so we are keeping our attention there. We are keeping the bullish game plan as long as we are above the middle line of the Bollinger Bands (which currently is in a bullish trend). (That green line is the middle line, btw).
Swallow Academy
Bitcoin positive diversion to $131,000Using fibonacci retracements for price targets based off of positive divergences on the 15 min time frame and hourly time frame. I am utilizing 2 ioscilating indicators: RSI length is 36 with smma at 50 and the Chande momentum oscillator with a length of 24. My conservative estimate is $131,000 for a safe trade close. $132,400 exact area for pullback to $128,500?
Bitcoin may exit of pennant and then rebound up of support areaHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Bitcoin. Earlier, the price was moving inside an upward channel, respecting both the resistance and support boundaries. After reaching the buyer zone (110200–109500 points), BTC made a strong impulse up, breaking out of the channel and entering a new phase of growth. This breakout led to the formation of a bullish pennant, which often signals a continuation of the uptrend. Right now, the price is testing the support area between 117000 and 117800, which previously acted as a breakout zone and now serves as a current support level (117000). The structure shows that this level has already worked as a rebound zone multiple times. In my opinion, BTC may continue the correction toward this support area, potentially exiting the pennant to the downside for a short-term pull-back. After that, I expect a new upward movement, targeting the next local high. That’s why I set my TP at 122500 points, which is just below the recent ATH. Given the impulse move, strong support zone, breakout from the channel, and the bullish pennant pattern, I remain bullish and expect BTC to resume its upward trend soon. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
Disclaimer: As part of ThinkMarkets’ Influencer Program, I am sponsored to share and publish their charts in my analysis.
Bearish Outlook for BTCUSDOn the 4-hour timeframe, Bitcoin seems to be starting a corrective phase, likely moving toward the $110 mark. Current price action is facing resistance at a descending trendline, aligned with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level, which should limit any short-term upward moves. The price is also trading below the 50-period SMA, with a strong bearish candle from a few sessions back supporting the downward trend.
For a bullish outlook to take hold, Bitcoin would need to decisively break above the 78.6% Fibonacci level with a robust bullish candle closing above the 50 SMA. Until that happens, I remain bearish, with a target of $110.
This technical perspective aligns with the scenario where the Federal Reserve opts to maintain interest rates at 4.50% at this Wednesday's FOMC meeting
Stay cautious and trade wisely!
BTCUSD Analysis (MMC) : Dual Directional Outlook let's See🔍 1. Overview of Structure & Context:
On the 30-minute timeframe, BTCUSD is consolidating between two strong technical zones:
A descending trendline acting as resistance
A parallel rising support forming a compression zone
This wedge-like formation signals a potential high-impact move in either direction — a dual-directional outlook. Price is currently testing the midpoint between resistance and support, offering two reactive trade scenarios.
🟦 2. Key Zones Highlighted on Chart:
🔹 A. Parallel Support Zone (Dynamic Support):
A grey-shaded rising support has been tested multiple times.
Each bounce suggests buying strength near this diagonal zone.
This zone represents smart money accumulation potential under MMC concepts.
As price approaches this zone again, bulls are expected to step in if momentum aligns.
🔹 B. Descending Resistance Line (Supply Line):
The market is facing lower highs, a sign of bearish control at higher levels.
Each retest of this line has led to a rejection.
This line also acts as a liquidity magnet — price may spike above it to trap buyers before dropping (false breakout potential).
🧭 3. Scenarios and Trade Possibilities (Dual Directional Path):
✅ Scenario 1: Bullish Breakout – (Marked as Path 1)
If BTC breaks above the descending trendline with strong bullish volume, this confirms a structural breakout.
This setup targets:
First level: $119,600
Second level: $120,200
Once broken, the trendline can flip into support.
Ideal confirmation:
Bullish engulfing candle on breakout
Retest of broken resistance turning into support
Volume surge or momentum indicators turning bullish
⚠️ Scenario 2: Bearish Rejection & Breakdown – (Marked as Path 2)
If BTC fails to break resistance and breaks below the parallel support zone, it opens a bearish scenario.
Price may fall back to:
First level: $117,200
Final key support: $116,400 (Major Breakdown Zone)
This is a typical MMC-style mirror move: a structure break leading to liquidity run toward a previous demand zone.
Bearish confirmation:
Close below grey zone
Lower high formation near resistance
Increasing bearish volume / weak bounce
📐 4. Strategy & Trading Tips (MMC Application):
Under the Mirror Market Concepts (MMC), these zones are not just technical levels — they represent emotional price memory of both institutional and retail players.
Wait for the reaction, not prediction.
Use confluence tools (RSI divergence, volume, candle patterns).
Avoid trading inside the wedge — it's a trap zone.
Ideal entries are at breakout with retest confirmation or rejection from major zones.
📊 Risk Management Plan:
Entry Type Trigger Level SL Suggestion TP Range
Long Trade Break & retest above $118.8K Below $118.2K $119.6K → $120.2K
Short Trade Breakdown below $117.8K Above $118.2K $117.2K → $116.4K
🧠 Conclusion:
BTC is in a decision-making zone between a downward pressure line and strong support. A breakout could lead to a clean trend continuation, while a breakdown would trigger bearish momentum. The chart reflects precision MMC logic, offering a tactical map for day traders and scalpers to follow the smart money — not the noise.
Let the market decide direction. We just need to be prepared, not predictive.
BTCUSD - BEARISH DIVERGENCE DETECTEDCAPITALCOM:BTCUSD
BTCUSD has been in a bullish trend over the past few hours and is now approaching the resistance at 119,500.00.
On the hourly chart, a bearish hammer has formed alongside a stochastic divergence, signaling potential downside.
⚡ This signal is reinforced by a strong resistance level above, adding weight to a possible pullback scenario.
📉 If BTCUSD rebounds from this level, consider Sell setups with take profit at the nearest support.
📈 If it breaks out, look for Buy opportunities on confirmation.
⚡ We use Stoch (14) to spot potential reversals when it exits overbought or oversold zones — helping you catch clear, confident entries.
BTC: What if the real bull run is just beginning?🚀 BTC/USD – Weekly buy signal on the way?
📈 EMA 7 / SMA 20 crossover validated on a weekly basis
✅ Long-term bullish trend
⏸️ Short-term trend neutral
In my opinion, a bullish continuation in the long-term remains possible, particularly via an AB = CD structure for patient investors.
Of course, in small time frames, volatility will be present, but the underlying trend remains positive.
📌 Pivotal zone to break:
104,432 – 109,396 USD
➡️ A break of this resistance would provide a real boost to the bullish trend.
Next? Let's close our eyes... and let the position run.
⚠️ Analysis for educational purposes – not financial advice.
💬 Do you believe this weekly signal? Or are you staying on the sidelines for now?
BTC – Bulls still in controlBTC is trading around 117,800 USD, well above both the EMA 50 (111,800) and the pivot level (105,300), confirming bullish dominance. Price remains below the upper Bollinger Band (123,400), leaving potential room for continuation.
Momentum stays constructive, with RSI at 60 and MACD in a strong positive zone, reflecting sustained upward pressure. As long as price holds above EMA 50 and pivot, the next upside targets lie at 123,400 and R1 at 110,000 has already been surpassed.
Volume has dropped significantly (-31%), suggesting the latest move could lack conviction or represent a pause rather than a breakout.
As long as BTC holds above 111,800, the bullish scenario remains intact.
Watch for any rejection near 123,400 or a close back below the EMA as potential invalidation signals.
BTC/USD – 4H Technical and Fundamental AnalysisBTC/USD – 4H Technical and Fundamental Analysis
BTC/USD saw sharp downside pressure today, driven by a wave of long position liquidations—exceeding $800 million across the crypto market in the past 24 hours. The sudden shift triggered panic selling, dragging Bitcoin below its psychological and technical support near $116,000. Broader crypto market sentiment turned risk-off as large investors reduced exposure, accelerating the sell-off.
Fundamentally, the market remains cautious amid a lack of positive macroeconomic catalysts for risk assets. Speculation about stricter U.S. regulatory oversight and declining inflows into crypto ETFs also dampened sentiment. Combined with hawkish remarks from Fed officials, which keep interest rates elevated, appetite for high-risk assets like Bitcoin weakened further.
From a technical perspective, BTC/USD broke below the major support level of $116,000, confirming bearish pressure. This breakdown followed a period of consolidation, with price failing to maintain bullish momentum. A liquidity hunt appears to be underway, with price revisiting the zone to trap breakout traders before resuming its move.
We are now watching for a confirmed 4H candle close below the liquidity zone. Once confirmed, a short setup is validated, with targets aligned with the next key support zone.
📍 Sell Setup
Entry: Sell Limit at 115,980.00
Stop Loss: 117,985.00
Take Profit: 111,940.00
📌 Disclaimer:
This is not financial advice. Always wait for proper confirmation before executing trades. Manage risk wisely and trade what you see—not what you feel.