BTCUSD.P trade ideas
Bitcoin (BTC): Bloody Monday | Sellers Taking Over...or Not?Bloody Monday, as many call it, sellers are gaining dominance over the current area, which might send prices back as low as $105,900, where our middle line of BB is sitting.
As of now, we are expecting to see slight downward movement, and once near that middle line, we want to see some buyside volume to accumulate, as if we do not see it, then further movement to lower zones is our play here.
Swallow Academy
“DXY at 3-Year Low | Gold Slips, BTC Stalls – What PCE Data Meann this week’s Market Recap, we break down the key moves across the US Dollar Index (DXY), Gold (XAUUSD), and Bitcoin (BTCUSD) — and how they’re all being shaped by rising Fed uncertainty and looming U.S. inflation data.
🔹 DXY is hovering near 3-year lows as political pressure and expectations of Fed rate cuts weigh on sentiment.
🔸 Gold is slipping near 4-week lows as Middle East tensions ease and risk appetite returns.
🔹 Bitcoin remains flat but poised for a breakout, with macro data in the driver's seat.
We explain how each market is reacting, what traders are pricing in ahead of the upcoming PCE inflation data, and how to position yourself in the week ahead.
📌 Covered in this recap:
Market sentiment shifts and key news drivers
Practical insights for interpreting price action
What to watch in next week’s economic calendar
📊 Stay informed, stay prepared.
👉 Like, follow, and comment if you found this helpful. Let’s trade smart.
BTC RAGINGBitcoin continues its rally, now pushing toward $107K after a sharp three-day surge. The key development here was a sweep of the range lows just below $100,000, where price wicked down, flushed weak hands, and immediately reversed with authority. That fakeout move set the stage for a strong bounce, triggering what now looks like a classic deviation below support.
From there, Bitcoin ripped higher, reclaiming the critical $105,787 horizontal level and flipping it into support. That level had acted as resistance for much of June, capping upside progress — but now that price is holding above it, the breakout has legs. Importantly, the move also reclaimed the 50-day moving average, further solidifying the bullish case.
Volume is ticking higher as well, adding confirmation to the price action. As long as Bitcoin holds above $105,787, the next upside target sits clearly at $112,000 — the swing high from earlier this month. A breakout above that level could open the door to fresh highs and renewed momentum.
If, however, price falls back below $105K, this rally risks turning into a failed breakout — with a potential revisit to the $100K area. But for now, structure has shifted back in favor of the bulls, and the sweep of sub-$100K lows looks like it successfully reset the market.
Bitcoin setup: bearish for now but watch Trump’s crypto deadlineBitcoin is sliding, and the technicals point lower with clear RSI divergence and a possible descending triangle. But this could all change fast. Trump’s crypto working group is set to propose major changes by 23 July. If the news points to deregulation or a return of ICOs, Bitcoin could explode higher. In this video, we break down the chart, the risks, and the potential trigger that could flip sentiment overnight.
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BTC/USD 15M CHART PATTERNHere’s a summary of your BTCUSD trade setup:
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🟢 Buy Entry: 107,195
🎯 Take Profits:
1. 107,600
2. 108,400
3. 109,000
🔴 Stop Loss: 106,760
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🔍 Risk-Reward Analysis:
Target Distance from Entry Risk-Reward Ratio (approx)
TP1: 107,600 +405 ~1.1:1
TP2: 108,400 +1,205 ~3.3:1
TP3: 109,000 +1,805 ~5:1
SL: 106,760 -435 —
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📌 Notes:
Solid R/R: TP2 and TP3 offer favorable risk-reward ratios.
Scalping TP1: TP1 is close; good for quick exit or partial take.
Stop-loss proximity: 435 points below entry; tight but reasonable for short-term trading.
Market condition check: Make sure momentum is in your favor (use indicators like RSI, MACD, or price action confirmation).
Would you like help with setting this up in a trading platform, or converting it into a script for TradingView (Pine Script)?
BTC Blow off top coming soon?BTC cycles is showing the blow off top might be closer then we think, by the end of year 2025
BTC has always done this cycles and I hear "this time is different" since forever.
Do I expect this time to be different? Absolutely not.
Even if it goes to 140k? it is still the same wave and its expected to be honest, 120-140k is still at play and that will be the end of the fireworks finale.
Bitcoin BTCUSD 4H Chart Analysis – Potential Breakout Incoming!Bitcoin is currently consolidating after a strong bullish recovery from the $96,000 zone, holding above $107,000. Price is forming a tight range — a breakout is imminent.
⚡ If BTC breaks above $107,500 with momentum, expect price to target $110,000 and $112,000 short-term.
⚡ If price rejects $107,500 and breaks below $106,500, we could see downside towards $104,000.
⚠️ Watch for volume confirmation before entries. No FOMO.
🚀 Stay ready — breakout traders, your setup is building.
#Bitcoin #BTCUSD #Crypto #TradingView #BTC #Breakout #CryptoTrading
Cautionary tale on BitcoinI decided to temporarily depart from my usual trade ideas to wave a cautionary finger at the chart of Bitcoin, where I have noticed a rather worrying pattern within the weekly charts. However, before I delve in, I would like to stress that I am a very rigid believer in the long-term prospect of our monetary saviour and what I am supposed to write about only concerns the usual, inevitable cyclicality that always entails the otherwise upward-sloping trajectory of Bitcoin ( CRYPTO:BTCUSD )
Although overall this has not felt like much of a crypto bull run given the apparently absent performance of altcoins (apart from an occasional 1000x on a well-targeted memecoin), Bitcoin has, in the meantime, trod its usual path upwards. Since the '22 lows, it has mimicked its regular pattern where after a devastating plummet lower, it has spent several long months accumulating until it has burst out of its cocoon to provide a 6x return to its strong believer. However, the mimicking is almost too good as we have now started painting a very similar picture to what eventually transpired to be the '21 top. We have reached a strong above >100k top only to hit a vicious correction (announcement of tariffs), similar to what Bitcoin did in May of 2021 (China crackdown, tech selloff). The price then quickly consolidated - which I am not an avid fan of as a formation of a more robust base would be more preferable (though would take longer ) - and bitcoin shot back up again, quickly reclaiming the previous highs; just like it did in October/November 2021. This creates an unfortunate setup best represented by the series of lower highs on an RS I while the price keep climbing higher - creating the probably best-know bearish signal with higher highs built on weaker and less robust momentum.
We know how this ended in 2021, and I am not suggesting that Microstrategy should blow up, go bankrupt and sell all its bitcoin (though definitely a possibility) - however, one must admit that there are currently quite a lot of uncertainties that could unwind at any time (one such coming on July 8th with the second version of the lets-blow-up-the-stock-market day). With a stock market priced to perfection, and with what seems like a large pile of uncertainties hovering in the air, it seems like any one of these could light up the fire underneath these lovely valuations we have reached, and although I would love for cryptocurrency prices to be completely independent of the stock market, we usually know how this goes.
So, what to do about this? Preferably nothing . If you are as much of a believer as I am in the necessity of bitcoin in today's financial world, this is just another blip in an otherwise long and profitable ride. So, I won't be any selling any of it - hopefully only adding once we decline. I would also add that I am not expecting as much of a bloodbath as last time. I think Bitcoin has reached a point where the 80-90% declines become very rare. However, regarding my other allocations in crypto assets, I am not as optimistic, hence I decided to sell most of everything else. Although I love the premise of Ethereum, the chart looks pretty horrific, currently drawing a perfect head-and-shoulder on a 4h chart (which I might write about as well as a short idea).
I will end this essay the same way I started it - I know absolutely nothing, and maybe I will come back at the end of the summer, beautifully tanned and relaxed as we all are in Europe, and find everything at all-time highs. I just currently believe the risk-reward ratio is not skewed in my favour, and I don't know how about you, but I tend to listen to my probability gods, especially on the eve of another strong SPAC year .
BTCUSD – Short Setup in Play📉 BTCUSD – Short Setup in Play
Exchange: Coinbase | Timeframe: 1D
Price has just tapped into a key supply zone after reclaiming a prior level, but momentum looks overextended. If the rejection holds, I’m expecting a drop toward the 103.3K zone, with possible continuation into 102.8K and below.
🔽 Short Bias Active
📍 Entry Region: 107.8K
🎯 Target: 103.3K
⛔ Invalidation: Clean breakout above 112K
A pullback first wouldn’t surprise me—liquidity still needs to be swept.
Let’s see how BTC behaves at the highs. ⚔️
#Bitcoin #BTC #Crypto #PriceAction #TradingView #BTCUSD #GlobalHorns
BTCUSD Massive Long! BUY!
My dear subscribers,
BTCUSD looks like it will make a good move, and here are the details:
The market is trading on 99659 pivot level.
Bias - Bullish
My Stop Loss - 97824
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bullish continuation.
Target - 10315
About Used Indicators:
The average true range (ATR) plays an important role in 'Supertrend' as the indicator uses ATR to calculate its value. The ATR indicator signals the degree of price volatility.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
SELL BTCUSD trading signalBTCUSD confirmed the weakness at the trendline resistance zone on the h4 time frame.
The h1 time frame price confirmed that the sellers won when the candle closed below the nearest trendline support zone.
In terms of wave structure, there is no strong support zone that is strong enough to keep the BTC price uptrend in the short term. Therefore, the target of the SELL signal can reach 100,400. That is the wick area of the past liquidity candle where the buyers won over the sellers and pushed the price up sharply.
106 Retest?Could very well be possible that we see BTC revisit 106 for a final retest to solidify it as a firm base of support before truly attacking 109-110. BUT, once 109-110 has been broken through it will likely be retested to create another layer of support before seeking new ATHs and price discovery. I am also still of the belief that we will see BTC.D start to really crap the bed in the coming weeks with euphoria finally arriving in middle August according to BTC.D's key support levels.
Stand fast. Keep faith. Remain vigilant.
BTC/USD Long Setup – Buy the Dip into SupportMarket Context:
Bitcoin is currently in a retracement phase after rejecting from the local high near 111,900. Despite the short-term pullback, the broader structure remains bullish. This setup is based on a retracement into a key support zone, offering a potential entry for the next leg up.
Setup Idea:
Price is pulling back into a confluence area that includes:
The 0.5 Fibonacci retracement at 105,454
Previous structure support
A retest of the broken diagonal trendline
This zone is expected to act as demand, providing a favorable long entry opportunity.
Trade Plan:
Entry zone: Around 105,400
Stop loss: Below 104,100 (beneath structure and fib zone)
Target: Retest of the previous high near 111,890
Risk/Reward: High R potential with clearly defined invalidation
Notes:
If price breaks below 105,000 and fails to show buying strength, the setup becomes weaker. A decisive break below 103,900 invalidates the trade idea. Wait for bullish confirmation (e.g. higher low or volume reaction) in the entry zone before committing.
This is a clean, structured opportunity aligned with the prevailing trend. Patience and confirmation are key.
$BTC Weekend Update - A New Hope - 6/29Hello fellow degenerates,
Price held beautifully above 106.6k key level and is now attempting a test of 110.4k level. We are in a high risk zone as we do have a lot of levels that could initiate a reversal down, so ultimate caution is needed.
- Price hit the target where a Wave 1 could be so I am looking for a possible retracement that would take us towards 103k.
- In the most bullish scenario, both Wave 1 and 2 have been completed and price could just break above ATH and continue higher, but this is just wishful thinking.
- Currently watching for a break above the Parallel channel resistance
- Levels to Watch: 110.4k, 106.6k, 103.4k, 101k
BTC is sliding to around 73k as a minimum target to 43kIt's just starting a downtrend inside a big Correction
Major Res. @ 114,000
Major Support @ 43,000
My decision is to go short @ spot price / Take profits @ 73,000 - 43,000 / Stoploss @ 114,000 - 116,000
This recommendation is to 3 - 6 months investors.
BTC/USD 1D Chart📊 1. Technical formation: Downtrend channel marked with orange lines
Upper trend line (resistance): ~108,200 – 110,000 USD
Lower trend line (support): ~98,455 – 97,000 USD
➡️ Such a formation usually ends with a breakout. The direction of the breakout will be key – currently, the price is testing the upper resistance line.
💵 2. Support and resistance levels
📈 Resistance:
108.202 – currently tested
112.037 – psychological level
114.816 – local top
📉 Support:
105.300 – SMA 50 + local support
103.424 – local lows
100.510 – key psychological support
98.455 – lower edge of the triangle
📉 3. Moving averages (SMA)
SMA 50 (green): currently as dynamic support (~105.300)
SMA 200 (blue): far below the price (~96.000), inactive in the short term
SMA 20 (red): price broke through it upwards – a signal of bullish strength
➡️ A bullish crossover took place between SMA 20 and SMA 50 → bullish signal.
📉 4. MACD (Momentum)
MACD line is approaching the intersection with the signal line from below.
The histogram is becoming less and less red → a potential intersection and a bullish crossover signal may occur any day now.
📉 5. RSI (Relative Strength Index)
Currently: 57.19
RSI is rising and approaching the overbought zone (70), but it is not overheated yet.
Exceeding 60 would be a signal of further bullish strength.
🔍 6. Volume and context
There is no volume marking on the candles, but:
The current bullish candle is strong and breaks through the key averages (SMA 20, 50).
This indicates buyer activity with technical support.
🟢 Bullish scenario (if a breakout occurs up)
A breakout above 108.200 with a close of the daily candle could open the way to:
112.037 (next resistance)
then even 114.816
🔴 Bearish scenario (false breakout)
A rejection from 108.200 and a drop below 105.300 → a possible return to:
103.424 or even 98.455 (lower triangle line)