BTC SELLGiven the resistance levels and the hidden divergence, it returned to the previous support level.
BTCUSD.P trade ideas
btc 2 hour chart price predictionusing the elliott wave patterns and the gann fan i was able to figure a possible price outcome for march 25-29 which is about 91-92k.
BreakDown or BreakFree?We have broken free above the 4 hour upper Trendline, and we got a reversal off the 200 DMA / EMA. I'd like to believe we can rally in the next 2 days to the lite blue 50 DMA ir even the darker blue 100 DMA.
If you study the chart patterns, you can see 4 "4th wave like", counter trend, corrections, London is taking us down as I write, but if the pattern repeats we *should* get another rally
If the pattern repeats, like I think it will. I will update this as 4 hour candles show us more insights.
BTCUSD analysis forecast. Bitcoin sidechains will drive BTCfiThis chart contains several technical analysis tools and patterns, including:
. *Curve Trend* – A curved trend line representing a parabolic price move.
. *Break of Structure (BOS)* – Marked areas indicating significant changes in market structure.
. *Change of Character (CHOCH)* – Highlighted to indicate a shift in trend.
. *Trend Lines* – Diagonal lines marking an upward price channel.
. *Order Block (OB)* – A demand zone where price might react.
. *Support and Resistance Levels* – Horizontal levels where price is likely to react.
. *Breakout Zone* – Marked in red, suggesting a potential move after breaking trend support.
. *Projected Price Movement* – Arrows indicating expected price direction, with a bearish scenario highlighted.
"The BTCUSD is currently in a bullish trend. However, we need to monitor its continuation until a potential break-out occurs below the downside trend line. Once the break-out is confirmed, we will adjust our setup from bullish to bearish."
The overall chart suggests a rising wedge formation with a potential bearish breakout.
Bitcoin (BTCUSD) Analysis – 2H TimeframeBitcoin (BTCUSD) Analysis – 2H Timeframe
1. Market Structure & Current Position
Bitcoin has been ranging after a sharp drop from 97,000 to 83,000.
It recently attempted a recovery but is struggling around the 84,300-84,800 zone.
Consolidation structure suggests accumulation or distribution before a significant move.
The previous high around 97,000 is still a major point of interest.
2. Key Technical Levels
Resistance Levels:
85,800 – 86,300 (Short-term resistance)
88,900 – 89,300 (Gann level + liquidity zone)
97,000 – 97,500 (Key swing high)
Support Levels:
83,000 (Current support)
81,800 – 82,000 (Strong demand area)
77,300 (Deep retracement Gann support)
3. Probable Scenarios & Probability %
➡️ Bullish Scenario (60%)
If BTC breaks above 85,800, it could push towards 88,900 (liquidity grab level).
A breakout above 89,300 confirms a rally towards 97,000 (previous swing high).
Elliott Wave suggests this could be Wave 3 of a bullish impulse, targeting higher Fibonacci extensions.
➡️ Bearish Scenario (40%)
If BTC fails to hold above 83,000, a drop to 81,800 – 82,000 is likely.
Breaking 81,800 opens the door to 77,300 (Gann retracement level)
A failure here suggests deeper correction or accumulation for a larger move later.
4. Conclusion & Trading Strategy
📌 Bias: Bullish above 85,800, cautious below 83,000.
📌 Entry Points:
Aggressive Buy: Above 85,800 if momentum confirms.
Safer Buy: Retest of 83,000 with strong bullish reaction.
📌 Risk Management:
Stop Loss: Below 81,800 for buys.
Take Profit: 88,900 → 89,300 → 97,000.
Bitcoin (BTCUSD) - Bullish Breakout from Strong Falling WedgeBitcoin is currently showing signs of a potential breakout from a strong falling wedge pattern on the 4H chart, which is a classic bullish reversal signal.
🔍 Technical Highlights:
The falling wedge has been forming since late January, creating a series of lower highs and lower lows.
Price action is now consolidating near the wedge resistance, indicating an impending breakout.
A previous bullish leg saw a price rally of 25,428.16 (+30.29%), suggesting strong historical momentum.
If BTC breaks out cleanly, we could see a similar or stronger move—projecting a potential rally of 28,086.24 (+31.12%).
📈 Expected Target : ~$118,141, aligning with the measured move from the wedge breakout.
🧠 Trading Insigh t: Watch for a confirmed breakout with strong volume above the wedge resistance zone. Retests of the breakout area can offer ideal entries for continuation trades.
Beware of the failed rally 89k is a key area here, if Bitcoin fails to flip this level I think it’ll mark the end of the bull cycle.
This entire move up looks like the final 5th Wave according to my count. This would mark the end of crypto bull cycle. But this could be invalidated if we break past 90k with strong volume.
If we observe the previous 5 Wave move down during the last peak, you’ll notice the 0.382 and 0.5 Fib was the place to short Bitcoin during its dead cat bounce. So this could be the time to be looking at such a move.
Not financial advice, just my thoughts.
Technical Analysis – BTC/USD (Short-Term Outlook)📉 Technical Analysis – BTC/USD (Short-Term Outlook)
Chart Pattern: Rising Flag
Bias: Bearish continuation
Current Price: ~$86,100
Target Price: $77,650
Pattern Implication:
A rising flag is typically a bearish continuation pattern, forming after a sharp downward move (flagpole).
Price consolidates upwards in a tight channel (the flag), then usually breaks downward continuing the original bearish trend.
🔍 Key Observations:
BTC is currently moving within a rising channel, forming lower momentum highs.
Volume is gradually declining during the upward flag movement — a classic sign of a weak bullish retracement.
AO Indicator below shows diminishing bullish strength, indicating momentum is weakening.
The expected breakdown zone aligns with your marked trendline intersection (around early April).
Target is marked at $77,650, based on measured flagpole projection.
📉 Possible Scenario:
If BTC breaks below the lower flag trendline with strong volume, it could quickly head toward the $77,650 zone.
Expect short-term support at ~$82,000 and ~$79,000, but these may not hold if breakdown confirms.
🔁 Invalidating the Bearish View:
A decisive breakout above $88,000 with strong volume may invalidate the flag.
In that case, a retest of $90,000–$92,000 range is possible.
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice or investment recommendation. Always conduct your own research and consult with a certified financial advisor before making trading decisions. Cryptocurrency markets are highly volatile; trade at your own risk.
Bitcoin’s 35-Month Bull Run: Are We 6 Months Away from the Top?One of the most important, yet underrated, factors in trading is psychological resilience. While numbers, charts, and data analysis play a key role, what truly separates consistent traders from the rest is their ability to navigate the uncertainty that dominates real markets.
🎲 Deterministic vs. Stochastic Thinking in Trading
We’re all trained from an early age to think in deterministic terms:
2 × 2 = 4 — the same input always gives the same output.
That’s comforting. It’s predictable. It’s math.
But markets don’t work like that.
Trading operates in a stochastic environment — meaning even if you see the exact same chart pattern, setup, or signal, the outcome can vary each time. Why? Because real markets are driven by probabilities, randomness, and human behavior—not fixed equations.
A better way to understand this is:
Imagine flipping a weighted coin that lands on heads 70% of the time. You’ve got an edge—but any single flip could still land on tails. Trading is the same:
High probability ≠ guaranteed outcome.
This disconnect between how our brain prefers certainty and how markets deliver probabilistic outcomes is where most traders struggle.
⌛ Historical Patterns in Crypto (2015–Present)
Looking at the macro structure of Bitcoin, we’ve seen a recurring pattern since 2015:
Two bull markets, each lasting 35 months
Two bear markets, each lasting 12 months
Right now, we’re in month 28 of the third bull cycle. So far, this cycle has shown remarkable similarities to the previous two. Based on that historical rhythm, there’s a reasonable probability that the market could continue its upward movement for the next ~6 months.
But here’s the key:
Probability is not certainty.
Could the market break the pattern and enter a decline tomorrow? Absolutely. But with limited historical data—especially in a young market like crypto—we work with the best probabilities available, not guarantees.
💬 Final Thoughts
You can have the best technical strategy in the world, but if you’re not mentally prepared to embrace randomness, to take losses, and to act on probabilities rather than needing certainty—then markets will always push you out.
🧠 Your true trading edge isn’t just your strategy;
it’s how well your mindset aligns with probabilistic thinking.
CHECK BTCUSD ANALYSIS SIGNAL UPDATE > GO AND READ THE CAPTAINBaddy dears friends 👋🏼
(BTCUSD) trading signals technical analysis satup👇🏼
I think now (BTCUSD) ready for( BUY )trade ( BTCUSD) BUY zone
( TRADE SATUP) 👇🏼
ENTRY POINT (84000) to (84100) 📊
FIRST TP (84600)📊
2ND TARGET (85200)📊
LAST TARGET (85700) 📊
STOP LOOS (83400)❌
Tachincal analysis satup
Fallow risk management
Bitcoin will usher in trend opportunities againBitcoin will usher in trend opportunities again
As shown in the figure:
I used the channel within the 4-hour cycle to construct the latest oscillating trend of Bitcoin.
From a macro perspective, Bitcoin has entered the late stage of oscillation and will face a new trend outbreak in the next week.
All key support and resistance levels are sorted out for everyone:
123000 (future rise expectation)
101350 (future rise medium term)
86700 (upward breakthrough area)
83600 (current support area)
81200 (oscillation watershed)
79300 (downward breakthrough area)
72200 (future decline medium term)
58000 (future decline expectation)
Combined with my graphic structure analysis, I believe that everyone will have a clear trading idea area to face the future possibilities of Bitcoin.
If you have other questions, please leave me a message and we can discuss it together in the comment area.
Bitcoin update!There’s little buying enthusiasm in this final upward thrust as the price nears a key resistance zone—the so-called 'ice' that acts as a barrier. The automatic reaction, a classic Wyckoff response, appears to have been exhausted, as evidenced by the struggle to break into the established trading range around the 90K level. A subsequent test of the 76K support zone is now anticipated. From a Wyckoff perspective, continued accumulation on the upside would ideally be accompanied by reduced volume near 76K, signaling that smart money is quietly building positions. Otherwise, we might be entering the mark down stages of distribution, where the strong hands have already offloaded, potentially heralding the start of a bear market."
Don't Miss This Buying Opportunity on BitcoinHello, traders!
BTC/USD has been in a corrective phase over the past few days following last week's strong impulsive move. Based on current price action, a bullish flag formation is developing, indicating a potential continuation of the upward trend. Additionally, BTC/USD has been respecting a dynamic support level since early March.
I am monitoring the $86,200 level for a potential buying opportunity, targeting the resistance of the flag pattern around 88,200.
If you find this analysis valuable, a boost would be greatly appreciated!
BTC trading the buyers/seller nerves BTC trading around 88300-88500
Currently it is under consolidation with expected to achieve a breakout, that may be in favour of bulls or bears.
If it achieved a breakout in bulls/buyers Favour, it could target 93000/93500
if it achieved a breakout in bears/sellers Favour, it could target 82500/82000
Our AST stuck in sell :-( let see where it goes.
New targets if we go up and if we go downLet’s see what happens. I’m expecting some movement between April 12–16. I’m bullish overall, BUT the global environment adds uncertainty — with wars, tariffs, and other factors in play.
Bitcoin (BTC/USD) – 30-Min Short Trade Setup!📉 🚨
🔹 Asset: BTC/USD (Bitstamp)
🔹 Timeframe: 30-Min Chart
🔹 Setup Type: Symmetrical Triangle Breakdown / Rising Trendline Rejection
📊 Trade Plan (Short Position)
✅ Entry Zone: Below $88,059 (Confirmed rejection)
✅ Stop-Loss (SL): Above $88,647 (Upper triangle resistance)
✅ Target:
📌 TP1: $87,502
📌 TP2: $86,523
🔍 Technical Highlights
Bearish trendline rejection marked by yellow circle
Symmetrical triangle breakdown showing weakness
Lower highs forming — sign of sellers taking control
Risk management in place with clear SL and TP
🧠 Trade Logic (Short & Sweet)
Price broke structure and retested the underside
Entry taken at resistance + confirmation candle
Lower TP zones reflect prior support and volume nodes
📌 Hashtags (Short Caption Style):
#BTC #CryptoTrading #ShortSetup #ProfittoPath #BitcoinAnalysis
$BTC quiet before the storm?Bitcoin looks bear flaggy / rising wedge. Trading range getting tighter which normally is followed by an explosive move. I'm guessing it will be to the downside with a target of appx. 74k. I could also see it overshooting and then retaking the key area.
BTC/USD 1D chart reviewHello everyone, let's look at the 1D BTC chart to USD, in this situation we can see how the price moves in the downward trend channel, in which we turn back at the top edge of the channel. Going further, let's check the places of potential target for the price:
T1 = 87100 $
T2 = 89945 $
Т3 = 93556 $
Let's go to Stop-Loss now in case of further declines on the market:
SL1 = 81739 $
SL2 = 77307 $
SL3 = 74353 $
Looking at the RSI indicator, we see
As we came again to the center of the range at which we could again experience the price of price.
Bitcoin Stalls Below $90,000 as Buying Pressure WeakensThe last four trading sessions for Bitcoin (BTC) have been fairly neutral, with the cryptocurrency fluctuating by around 2% , staying just below the critical $90,000 resistance level. The current uncertainty in the market is mainly driven by the renewed trade war narrative, following Trump’s recent comments about imposing tariffs on cars and auto parts. These statements have once again elevated global economic concerns, prompting investors to avoid risk assets in the short term — a category that includes Bitcoin. As long as this uncertainty persists, this neutral behavior could remain a defining feature of BTC in upcoming sessions.
Key Bearish Channel in Play
Since January 20, a notable bearish channel has taken shape, favoring selling pressure and driving BTC down to $77,000 in recent weeks. At present, the price is testing the upper boundary of the channel, but recent buying attempts have not been strong enough to trigger a breakout.
RSI Indicator
The RSI line initially showed a strong upward slope, but this momentum has faded as the indicator approaches the neutral 50 line, suggesting a balance between buyers and sellers. This reinforces the resistance posed by the upper edge of the bearish channel.
MACD Indicator
A similar situation is developing in the MACD, where the histogram has begun to decline steadily, nearing the zero line. This behavior points to a lack of strength in the moving average trends and may indicate that neutrality could continue to dominate BTC price action in the near term.
Key Levels:
$98,900 – Distant resistance: This level sits near the mid-range zone of a large sideways range observed in previous weeks. A bullish move toward this area could revive the forgotten bullish bias and reestablish the importance of the broader lateral structure.
$90,000 – Major resistance: Arguably the most relevant resistance zone at the moment. It aligns with the Ichimoku cloud and the upper limit of the current bearish channel. A breakout above this level could jeopardize the prevailing downtrend and introduce a strong bullish momentum.
$78,600 – Key support: This level marks the recent low for BTC. If the price drops back to this zone, it could provide confirmation for the continuation of the bearish channel.
By Julian Pineda, CFA – Market Analyst
Bitcoin (BTC/USD) Rising Wedge BreakdownMarket Structure & Analysis:
Rising Wedge Formation: Price has been moving within a rising wedge pattern, which is typically a bearish reversal pattern.
Bearish Breakdown Expected: BTC is testing the lower boundary of the wedge, indicating a potential breakdown.
Resistance Zone:
$89,649 – Key resistance level preventing further upside.
$88,336 – Local resistance that price failed to sustain above.
Support Levels:
$86,852 - $85,335 – Intermediate support range.
$80,402 – Main target for a bearish move.
$76,725 – Secondary support in case of further decline.
Trading Plan:
Sell Setup:
Wait for confirmation of a breakdown below the wedge.
Enter short if price closes below $86,852 with volume confirmation.
Stop Loss: Above $88,336 to avoid false breakouts.
Take Profit Targets:
TP1: $84,474 (first support level).
TP2: $80,402 (main target).
TP3: $76,725 (extended bearish target).
Risk Factors:
If BTC finds strong support at $86,852, a bounce could invalidate the bearish setup.
Macro events (ETF approvals, institutional buy-ins, Fed rate decisions) may impact price action.
BTC/USDT:Pay attention to the resistance zone.BTC fluctuated within the forecast and reached the profit point. However, the 88K-89K resistance area needs to be watched, and if it cannot be effectively broken this week, then it will fall
This week, the BTC trading strategy was completely correct and the account made more than 200% profit in two weeks
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Bitcoin (BTC/USD) Trade Idea – Short Setup on 15-Min ChartMarket Context:
Bitcoin has been in a clear downtrend, forming lower highs and lower lows on the 15-minute timeframe.
The price recently rejected from the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level at $84,510, indicating strong selling pressure at that zone.
A new low was formed at $83,532, confirming continued bearish momentum.
Trade Setup:
Type: Short (Sell)
Entry Zone: $84,000 - $83,800
This zone represents a potential pullback area where sellers might re-enter the market.
The Fibonacci retracement and previous price action confirm resistance in this region.
Stop Loss : $84,240
A stop loss above $84,240 is placed to invalidate the trade if Bitcoin gains bullish momentum beyond the recent swing high.
Profit Targets:
Target 1: $82,575
This aligns with the 1.0 Fibonacci extension level, a common take-profit zone.
Target 2: $81,775
The 1.414 Fibonacci extension, further confirming a continuation of the trend.
Target 3: $81,380
The 1.618 Fibonacci extension, marking a deep continuation move where price might find stronger support.
Risk-to-Reward (RR) Analysis:
The setup offers a high RR ratio, making it a favorable short trade.
The trade allows for tight risk management while targeting a significant move in price.
Confluence Factors Supporting the Short:
Bearish Trend: Price is making lower highs and lower lows.
Fibonacci Retracement Resistance: Rejection from key levels.
Liquidity Grab & Pullback: Price may retest resistance before continuing downward.
Risk-Reward Favorability: Targets align well with market structure.
This setup offers a solid momentum-based short opportunity with clearly defined risk levels and take-profit zones. Traders should monitor the entry zone reaction before confirming the short position. 🚀
BTC 2 week planthe explanation is in the video
overall bearish for next 2 weeks Dailly is on a downtrend that will not end until 70ks maybe 78 or 76 0r 72 but we do have more downside coming
short-term 24 to 48 hrs. bullish bounce coming immediately
