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BTC Inverse Perpetual Futures Contract

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BTCUSD.PI trade ideas

DXY Descending Triangle predicts Bitcoin RallyIntroduction The simplest and most powerful long term relationship or indicator we have for the price of bitcoin is the DXY (the dollar index against a basket of other main currencies comprised of US trade partners). Therefore long term chart formations in the DXY can help crypto traders or investors make very profitable long term moves. Those that ignore this inverse relationship do so at their peril. Current analysis A pain view of the top chart shows two fat pairs of arrows that show when bitcoin went down and DXY went up. It also has two skinny arrows that show when DXY falls Bitcoin rises. Clear and irrefutable. What is up for debate right now is if the descending triangle I note is valid. There are several good DXY ideas out there right now but none seem to have taken this wider view: www.tradingview.com DXY Zoom In Everything is basically on the daily chart. DXY is actually at its 4th lower high and this current high is stalling right at the previous support of the double top of April to June, 2024. The indicators show clear hidden bearish divergence. For those that need a review, here is the simple divergence primer: Normal Divergence (Trend Reversal) Bearish: Higher highs on price action but lower highs on the indicator Bullish: Lower lows on price action but higher lows on the indicator Hidden (Trend Continuation) Bearish: Lower high on the price action and higher highs on the indicator Bullish: Higher low on the price action and a lower low on the indicator Hidden bearish divergence suggests the downtrend will continue and DXY will continue to fall. Weekly DXY Guess what? The weekly DXY looks like hell as well. This rising trend line was previously acting as support and is now acting as resistance. Conclusion I see no reason why the powerful and clear inverse relationship between dxy and bitcoin should not continue. Basically everything in the “anti-fiat” or “weak dollar” categories should act predictably while this descending triangle plays itself out. This trade or posture doesn’t require fancy indicators or complex theory. Just basic charting supported by some minimalistic indicators to add a bit of richness to the technical analysis and fundamental relationship between Bitcoin and the DXY. I am long crypto in one form or another. I have a coupe of rotations planed out for the next year. Wish me luck. Please see linked ideas for some other ideas that inform my current thinking.
Editors' picks
BITFINEX:BTCUSDLong
by This_Guhy
31
Making progress.Dear Community, I've been in crypto since 2018 and made my way to trading since 2020. It has been a bumpy ride with many falls. This is my first publication, and only my idea and trade. There is much to learn. Started the trade on monday, at 67800. low leverage low volume. With the breakout on tuesday i took 25% profit out of the trade. I mis judged the pullback and allocated the profits back into the trade at 70420. Now looking to hold the 68800 level for a support and to continue the uptrend. Minimised the risk with a Stoploss at 66820. As I explained, i am a novice trader with lot's to learn. Maybe by posting my setups i can evolve. Thank you for reading. Noting in this post is financial advice and only my trades and opinions.
BYBIT:BTCUSD.PLong
by Oppenheimer82
2
BTCUSD BE SAFEPlease don't follow the hype train if you do not, I repeat DO NOT have money to lose do not take the risk, wait for a better entry point. You will risk it all zoom out and understand what you are getting yourself into. You can look easily look up chart patterns on google or bing or whatever. Do not risk it all take your profits now and wait for an obvious breakout weather its bullish or bearish. Just be patient and have discipline there are plenty of other cryptos that are moving where you can make some money. If you look up chart patterns on google, you will see that BTC is forming or formed a Bearish Rising Wedge. It will most likely go down from here even further. At least on the Daily chart. Again, not financial advice I am no expert or a professional just a simple observation.
COINBASE:BTCUSDShort
by Christian_J_Cruz
2
October 30 Bitcoin Bybit chart analysis Hello It's a Bitcoinguide. If you have a "follower" You can receive comment notifications on real-time travel routes and major sections. If my analysis is helpful, Please would like one booster button at the bottom. This is the Bitcoin 30-minute chart. There will be a NASDAQ indicator announcement at 9:30 in a little while. As the short-term pattern has been broken so far, I think the bullish train today will stay for a while. Overall, the strategy was carried out as a downward sideways movement, and if you look closely, there is a bullish train that will depart after tomorrow hidden in the strategy. *When the blue finger moves, It is a short position strategy. To be exact, it is a short->long switching strategy. 1. 71563.5 dollars long position entry section / stop loss price when purple support line is broken (Since the rebound has already touched the 2-hour chart center line while writing the analysis, there is a possibility that the rebound will not occur, so do not aim for a long position, and check whether it reaches the current position of the pink resistance line or section 1 until 10:30 when the market opens, and you can operate it focusing on short positions.) 2. 72073.5 dollars short position switching / stop loss price when orange resistance line is broken (After chasing the current position, check whether the pink resistance line is broken, and operate it as stop loss price when the final orange resistance line is broken) 3. 70283.5 dollars long position switching / stop loss price when green support line is broken 2, 3-hour chart MACD dead cross in progress Because it touched the 2-hour chart center line of Bollinger Band Today It is judged that a strong rise or surge is difficult. In the current position, In case of breaking through the pink resistance line, please take a short position at 1. Please note that it may touch 71.5K at the bottom and continue to be pushed. The movement within the orange resistance line / purple support line is a sideways movement. In any case, if the green support line is not broken today, There is a possibility that it will continue to rise. Those who have been with us for a long time Can you roughly see where the bullish train is? Depending on today's movement, the final entry point tomorrow may change, Please note and I hope you operate well in real time. Up to this point, please use my analysis articles only for reference and use, I hope you operate safely with principle trading and stop loss prices. Thank you.
BYBIT:BTCUSD.PShort
by BitCoinGuide
2
October 31 Bitcoin Bybit chart analysis Hello It's a Bitcoinguide. If you have a "follower" You can receive comment notifications on real-time travel routes and major sections. If my analysis is helpful, Please would like one booster button at the bottom. Here is the Bitcoin 30-minute chart. The Nasdaq index will be announced at 9:30 shortly. On the upper left, Yesterday's short position entry point of 72,746 dollars I connected it to today's strategy. *Red finger One-way long position strategy. 1. 71,493.5 dollars long position entry point / stop loss price when the sky blue support line breaks (The sky blue support line is the green support line in the analysis article on the 30th yesterday.) 2. 73,169.5 dollars long position 1st target -> Top 2nd target If the strategy is successful, Look for an additional long position entry point in the daily closing section as you have been practicing. If the purple support line is maintained, If it reaches the Whipsaw (73.2K) section indicated at the top right from the current position, it may plummet sharply because it is the previous high. Today's long position entry section 71.4K was as tight as possible for fear of missing the entry point. Please check the central line of the 4-hour candle of the Bollinger Band after 9 o'clock, which is generated shortly. The maximum long position entry section today is number 2. Since the bottom section is the 6-hour central line, a slight rebound may occur, but if the 1+4 section is deviated, the mid-term pattern will be broken, and the bullish train may be delayed. If possible, it would be good to maintain the sky blue support line today. Up to this point, please use my analysis article only for reference and use, and I hope you operate safely with principle trading and stop loss prices. Thank you.
BYBIT:BTCUSD.PLong
by BitCoinGuide
2
Fakeout? Crash soonIn this chart, I've marked the breakouts, and you’ll notice all three occur outside of U.S. session hours, with two on weekends where trading volumes are notably low. This pattern strongly suggests manipulation: market makers appear to push BTC’s price up when trading activity is minimal, potentially to trigger short liquidations. This isn’t how a true bull market typically starts. For a sustained uptrend, we’d need to see strong demand across major trading sessions, not just spikes on weekends followed by weekday selloffs. Some may argue that ETF demand is driving BTC’s rise. However, the reality is that ETF buyers transact through OTC markets rather than directly on exchanges. Even billions in OTC buys won’t immediately impact the spot price, as seen yesterday when $800M worth of BTC not only doesnt cause uptrend but today we are 1 percent down . Looking at ETF data, ETF customers which are mostly retail traders often buy at local peaks and sell at lows, just pure emotional group of people This feels similar to the previous BTC surge to $70K and subsequent drop to $49K. During that run-up, we saw weekend pumps from $57K to $70K, fueled by hype (such as around Trump’s speech), only for BTC to experience a 30% crash soon after. Now, we’re seeing a similar rally just before the election cycle. Even if Trump is elected, any BTC-positive policies would take at least 1–2 years to implement, so the current price action appears to be fueled by speculation rather than fundamentals. The Biden administration’s attempts to prop up the stock market for electoral gains add further artificial support. Fundamentally, nothing has drastically changed in the past 2–3 months, yet BTC is trading at a premium levels. Another factor to consider is the lack of activity in altcoins, signaling minimal interest from large holders. The only notable exception is Dogecoin, which has rallied on the back of Musk-related news ( which are just bs). With no broad-based altcoin recovery, BTC’s uptrend looks even more fragile. In my opinion, we may see this uptrend last until next Friday at most, after which a significant downtrend is likely imminent. I might be wrong but I will try to keep myself neutral and watch this week price action closely
COINBASE:BTCUSDShort
by uchar1
1
Pullback to $65K and then long to $85K Here's what I see for BTC. BTC retraced to the 61.8% Fib of the Jan. 2024 - March 2024 bullish leg and dipped slightly below $50. It has broken out of this giant bull flag, created a double top and I expect it to retrace back to around FWB:65K , maybe slightly lower , before it finally moves higher, all the way up to $85K. As you can see I've marked the FVG / imbalance (blue box) which is between $63K- FWB:65K and I'm waiting now for it to get filled.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by MoneyForNothingAndPipsForFree
1
Bitcoin - Now Is The Time For A Breakout!Bitcoin ( BITSTAMP:BTCUSD ) will exit the consolidation now: Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻 The only factor which is really driving the price of Bitcoin is technical analysis. And everything is pointing towards a bullish breakout above the preivous all time high and significant follow through. Make sure you somehow participate in the bullrun, either with altcoins or Bitcoin. Levels to watch: $70.000, $100.000 Keep your long term vision, Philip (BasicTrading)
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by basictradingtv
12