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BTCUSD.PI trade ideas

BITCOIN Just wait until OIL turns bullish!Bitcoin (BTCUSD) has a unique long-term relationship/ correlation with WTI Oil (USOIL) and this charts shows why. In the past 11 years, when Oil started to decline sharply, Bitcoin formed a market bottom before Oil did. When Oil started to rise again, Bitcoin was out of its bottom and has initiated its Parabolic Rally stage (green Rectangle). Then Oil peaked after BTC has already priced its own Cycle Top. Based on this correlation, we can assume that we haven't yet seen BTC's Parabolic stage as Oil hasn't yet started to rise. If we assume that the late April Low on Oil was its market bottom, then only now it has started its rise, so at best BTC has just started the Cycle's Parabolic Rally. If that turns out o be true, then the upside potential is huge for BTC. Needless to say other key macroeconomic factors have to assist e.g. higher adoption, ETF inflows, FED Rate Cut, but that's what the current chart says! So do you think that Oil can be the driver behind a new Bitcoin parabolic rally? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below! ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW , SHARE and COMMENT if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by TradingShot
11
BTCUSD: Hasn't gone parabolic yet.Bitcoin is just now re-entering the bullish state on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 55.820, MACD = 291.960, ADX = 15.180), being correcting/consolidating in the past 30 days. According to the Mayer Multiple Bands, it's stil inside the range (upper band) of the 1 Stdev Below-Mean-1 Stdev Above (yellow range). This suggest significant upside potential as being roughly 19 weeks before the Cycle tops, it matches the late June 2021 bottom inside that zone as well as the July 2017 bottom just over the top of that zone. The orange trendline has been the minimum target on every Cycle but looks unlikely to hit it by the end of the year. If however it goes parabolic as all Cycles had at this stage, $200,000 isn't at all far fetched before the Cycle tops. ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by InvestingScope
1
BITCOIN Will Fall! Sell! Please, check our technical outlook for BITCOIN. Time Frame: 1D Current Trend: Bearish Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bearish The price is testing a key resistance 108,838.74. Taking into consideration the current market trend & overbought RSI, chances will be high to see a bearish movement to the downside at least to 101,845.14 level. P.S The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce. Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
TRADENATION:BTCUSDShort
by SignalProvider
1
BTC Summer Roadmap: Key Levels & Breakout ScenariosBTC has retested the weekly resistance trendline (around $114K) that has been in place since February 2021. Over the past 4 years, this trendline has been tested four times, and a fifth retest appears imminent in the short term. Historically, a fifth retest often leads to a breakout. If that breakout occurs, the next major target for BTC is around $128,000. That said, the market rarely moves in a straight line. As outlined in the chart, I’ve considered three potential scenarios for BTC to unfold this summer. New trades will be based on these movements, with optimal entries either at the yellow-highlighted zones or upon a confirmed breakout above the current weekly resistance. Disclaimer: This analysis is based on my personnal views and is not a financial advice. Risk is under your control.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by evasivesteering
Bitcoin – The 270/100 CycleBitcoin isn’t just trading. It’s pulsing — in cycles that reward those who understand timing as much as price. Over the last two years, BTC has shown a repeating pattern with surgical precision: Range Phase: Each macro consolidation lasts ~220 to 270 days, where price builds structure, absorbs supply, and prepares for its next expansion. This is the quiet phase — the zone where conviction is tested, and weak hands exit. Impulse Phase: What follows is a ~100-day vertical leg, where BTC surges between +50% to +80%, targeting the next macro resistance. We’ve seen this repeatedly: Accumulate → Expand → Re-accumulate → Expand.
GEMINI:BTCUSD
by Katri01
BTC Bull Flag Breakout or Fakeout? Eyes on $107K–$112K ZoneHere's my updated chart for Bitcoin (BTC/USD) on the daily timeframe. The price action is currently testing a key zone that could define whether we're heading into the next major leg up, or facing another rejection. Pattern Breakdown: - BTC is respecting a bull flag formation after a strong impulse leg earlier this year. - The $105K level has held as critical support, keeping the bull flag structure intact. - Price is currently pressing against descending resistance (~$107K) with tightening consolidation indicating an imminent breakout decision. Key Levels to Watch: Support: $105K – holding this level keeps bullish momentum valid. $101.6K (Bollinger midline) $100.4K (EMA 100) – must hold for macro trend to stay intact. Resistance (before $112K): $107K – major descending trendline resistance. $110.1K – upper Bollinger Band and recent local high. $112.45K – key breakout level from the flag. A daily close above this could trigger a sharp rally. Indicators: MACD is forming a bullish crossover but lacks strong momentum, watch for a green histogram to confirm. RSI at ~51 gives BTC room to run, not in overbought territory. Volume is low, but coiling tight near the apex could spark volatility. Conclusion: BTC is at a critical decision point. A clean breakout above $107K, followed by sustained momentum through $110K–$112K, would significantly raise the probability of a confirmed bull flag breakout, with a potential move toward $120K+. However, the $105K level is a key support that must hold to keep this structure intact. If we see a daily close below $105K, attention shifts to the $101K level (Bollinger Band midline + 53 SMA). A close below $101K would invalidate the bull flag entirely, turning this setup into a potential bull trap, and shifting short-term bias bearish. All eyes are on the $107K–$112K resistance zone for confirmation—or breakdown signals if support levels give way.
CRYPTO:BTCUSD
by xfzzhs2tbj
BTC/USDT HIDDEN PATTERN! SM, FIB AND MORE COMFIRMED!Price Resilience Amid Geopolitical Stress Bitcoin demonstrated remarkable strength during the Israel-Iran conflict, briefly dipping to ~$98K but swiftly rebounding above $105K. This aligns with historical patterns where BTC initially sells off on geopolitical shocks but recovers aggressively within weeks, outperforming gold and equities by 15-60% post-crisis. There is a $96K-$94K "footprint" that coincided with institutional accumulation, evidenced by $1.37B in spot ETF inflows during the conflict week, led by BlackRock's IBIT ($240M single-day inflow) according to official information. This institutional backstop and many others might single-handedly prevented a deeper correction for now, remember that smart money psychology is to create cause out of thin air and buy during selling and indecisive times. Critical Levels to Watch Immediate Support: $108k area is vital. A sustained hold here maintains short-term bullish momentum. The 50-day SMA near $102.8K (tested during June 13 conflict sell-off) remains a macro support floor. Resistance & Targets: The $112K ATH is the near-term ceiling. Breaking this requires stronger spot demand—currently, net exchange inflows are negative, indicating weak retail participation or traders that are backing off for now.There's a $120K target (0.618 Fib) aligned with Standard Chartered’s $150K year-end model if ETF inflows persist. Risk Zones: A close below $108.3K risks a slide to $105K. Failure here opens path to $96K and a further break of this 92k to 96k zone could lead directly to 70k area or even lower if economical and social activities are not favorable in the near to medium future.Dominance above 55% (currently 65%) delays alt season, but a break below 60% could ignite alts in a positive way. Macro Catalysts & Market Sentiment Policy Tailwinds: Trump’s "One Big Beautiful Bill" (proposing $5T debt ceiling hike and U.S. strategic BTC reserves) could weaken the USD, boosting BTC’s "digital gold" narrative. DXY’s -9% YTD drop already correlates with BTC’s 54% post-election rally. Fed Influence: Pressure to cut rates (amid cooling employment data) may accelerate institutional rotation into BTC. ETF inflows hit $2.75B in late June, signaling renewed institutional FOMO. Geopolitical Cooling: Iran-Israel ceasefire talks reduced immediate panic, but residual volatility risk remains. Traders note BTC often rallies 20-40% within 60 days of conflict events. Structural Challenges Liquidity Fragility: Whale moves (for example: 10K BTC sell orders) now impact prices more due to ETF-driven liquidity concentration. Recent $98K flash crash exemplified this. Regulatory Overhang: MiCA compliance costs in the EU and U.S. security-reclassification proposals could pressure smaller tokens, though BTC’s status appears secure 28. Seasonal Slump: July historically sees 6.1% of annual crypto volume—low volatility may delay breakouts until August 4. Strategic Outlook A July breakout above $112K could ignite the next leg to $120K, but a retest of $107K-$105K is likely first. Altcoins remain subdued until BTC dominance breaks <55%—select projects with institutional backing (for example, ETF candidates) or real-world utility for asymmetric opportunities. Conclusion: BTC’s resilience amid chaos confirms its institutional maturity. Trade the $108.3K-$112K range aggressively, with a break above ATH targeting $120K by September. Always hedge tail risks (escalations, regulatory shocks) in this volatility-rich asset class. While this great surge in institutional inflow is good for BTC it also indicates a reduction or slower pace of other crypto currencies. This is my analysis for BTC, let me know what you think and I hope you like it!
BINANCE:BTCUSDLong
by Neldjouw
Bitcoin Awaits Breakout Above $114K🪙 Current Price: ~$109,500 📈 Trend: Bullish but facing strong resistance at $114,000 📉 Support: $106,000–$107,000 📌 Outlook: Breakout above $114K could lead to $130K+. Otherwise, possible pullback to $106K. 📊 Key Drivers: ETF inflows, Fed rate cut expectations, weak USD. 💡 Strategy: 🔺 Buy: $107,000 – $107,500 → TP $114,000 | SL $106,000 🔻 Sell (take profit): $114,000 – $115,000 → SL if closes below $112,000
OANDA:BTCUSDLong
by Mian-FXSignals
BTC wait for Long Bitcoin continues to struggle with its long-term weekly resistance. In the short term, it’s likely that BTC will consolidate within the $100,000–$112,000 range. Positioning heavily into altcoins during this phase may not be ideal. It’s more prudent to wait for either a confirmed breakout above weekly resistance or a pullback toward the $94,000–$92,000 support zone. For now, the focus remains on short-term trading opportunities within this range. A potential long setup is outlined in the chart. Disclaimer: This analysis is based on my personnal views and is not a financial advice. Risk is under your control.
BITFINEX:BTCUSDLong
by evasivesteering
4
BITCOIN STRATED FORMING BEARISH TREND STRUCTUREBITCOIN SHOWS SIGNS OF BEARISH REVERSAL – KEY LEVELS TO WATCH After an extended bullish run, Bitcoin is now showing early signs of a potential trend reversal as the market begins forming a bearish structure. The formation of a lower low on the price chart indicates weakening bullish momentum and suggests that sellers may be gaining control. This development comes after a sustained upward trend, signaling that a corrective phase could be underway in the cryptocurrency market. Bearish Confirmation: Lower Low Formation The appearance of a lower low is one of the most reliable technical indicators of a trend reversal. This pattern demonstrates that bears are successfully pushing prices below previous support levels, establishing a new downward trajectory. While this doesn't necessarily confirm a long-term bear market, it does suggest that Bitcoin could face further downside pressure in the near term. Traders should watch for confirmation through follow-through selling or additional bearish candlestick patterns. Downside Target: $99,000 in Focus If the bearish momentum continues, Bitcoin could test the $99,000 support level in upcoming trading sessions. This level represents a psychologically important zone where buyers may attempt to step in. However, a decisive break below this support could accelerate declines, potentially leading to deeper corrections. Traders should monitor volume and price action around this level for signs of either consolidation or continuation of the downtrend. Resistance Level: $12,000 as Key Barrier On the upside, $12,000 now acts as a critical resistance level. Any short-term rallies toward this zone could attract renewed selling pressure, reinforcing the bearish outlook. For the current downtrend to be invalidated, Bitcoin would need to reclaim and sustain above this resistance with strong buying volume. Until then, traders may consider selling into strength near this level while maintaining tight risk management. Market Outlook: Correction Expected After Prolonged Rally Given Bitcoin's history of volatile price swings, this potential reversal should not come as a complete surprise after its extended bullish run. Market participants should watch for: - Increasing trading volume on downward moves (confirming bearish conviction) - Potential bearish continuation patterns (like descending triangles or flag formations) - Macro factors that could influence crypto markets (regulatory news, ETF flows, or macroeconomic shifts) Conclusion Bitcoin appears to be entering a corrective phase, with $99,000 as the next key downside target and $12,000 serving as major resistance. While the broader uptrend may still be intact long-term, short-term traders should prepare for potential bearish continuation. As always, proper position sizing and stop-loss strategies remain crucial in navigating Bitcoin's inherent volatility. A break above $12,000 would require reassessment of the bearish outlook.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by Brillant_Capital