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BTCUSD Multi Collateral Perpetual Futures ContractBTCUSD Multi Collateral Perpetual Futures ContractBTCUSD Multi Collateral Perpetual Futures Contract

BTCUSD Multi Collateral Perpetual Futures Contract

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BTCUSD.PM trade ideas

BTC/USD Long Setup – Buy the Dip into SupportMarket Context: Bitcoin is currently in a retracement phase after rejecting from the local high near 111,900. Despite the short-term pullback, the broader structure remains bullish. This setup is based on a retracement into a key support zone, offering a potential entry for the next leg up. Setup Idea: Price is pulling back into a confluence area that includes: The 0.5 Fibonacci retracement at 105,454 Previous structure support A retest of the broken diagonal trendline This zone is expected to act as demand, providing a favorable long entry opportunity. Trade Plan: Entry zone: Around 105,400 Stop loss: Below 104,100 (beneath structure and fib zone) Target: Retest of the previous high near 111,890 Risk/Reward: High R potential with clearly defined invalidation Notes: If price breaks below 105,000 and fails to show buying strength, the setup becomes weaker. A decisive break below 103,900 invalidates the trade idea. Wait for bullish confirmation (e.g. higher low or volume reaction) in the entry zone before committing. This is a clean, structured opportunity aligned with the prevailing trend. Patience and confirmation are key.
FOREXCOM:BTCUSDLong
by petermichalides
$BTC Weekend Update - A New Hope - 6/29Hello fellow degenerates, Price held beautifully above 106.6k key level and is now attempting a test of 110.4k level. We are in a high risk zone as we do have a lot of levels that could initiate a reversal down, so ultimate caution is needed. - Price hit the target where a Wave 1 could be so I am looking for a possible retracement that would take us towards 103k. - In the most bullish scenario, both Wave 1 and 2 have been completed and price could just break above ATH and continue higher, but this is just wishful thinking. - Currently watching for a break above the Parallel channel resistance - Levels to Watch: 110.4k, 106.6k, 103.4k, 101k
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by Caramel0
BTC? and It's alliance.. I have this knowledge will like to share: Use it caveat emptor Okay. US30 and BTC correlate 1:2 approximately. If US30 moved 10% BTC will move 20% I will plot from the bottom till now (example) and get the % for US30 Then will double that % from bottom for BTC This is no mean a crystal ball, but it gives a sense of confidence. You will then be on a lookout in BTC for?? Whatever you like / preference on BULLISH SIDE; fav pattern bla bla.. All the best. Do your own research. I am not guru. NB/ May you will bless with abundance
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by reazosman
Navigating BTC the Volatile Path to a Potential $117,000 PeakBitcoin at a Crossroads: Navigating the Volatile Path to a Potential $117,000 Peak Introduction: A Tale of Two Forces The world of Bitcoin is once again a theater of high drama. After a breathtaking surge that brought the digital asset tantalizingly close to its all-time high, the market now stands at a pivotal crossroads, caught in a tense tug-of-war between powerful bullish undercurrents and formidable macroeconomic headwinds. On one side, a confluence of unprecedented institutional adoption, potent on-chain signals, and a volatile derivatives market suggests an imminent price explosion. Analysts and investors whisper of a short-term upper bound of $117,000, with some seeing a potential tap of $116,000 as early as July amid a ‘perfect storm’ of macro catalysts. A move to this level would represent a significant 6.45% jump from Bitcoin’s recent price, a leap that seems entirely within reach when viewed through the lens of the asset's internal momentum. Yet, on the other side stands the unyielding wall of global economic reality. Bitcoin’s recent attempt to decisively conquer the $110,000 level was swiftly reversed as strong U.S. jobs data and other factors tempered expectations of a near-term Federal Reserve rate cut. This macroeconomic reality has cast a long shadow over risk assets, including Bitcoin, creating significant resistance at the previous all-time high of around $112,000. Analysts point to an absence of new, retail-driven buyers and the kind of "FOMO-driven greed" that characterized previous bull runs as a key factor pinning the price down. This creates a fascinating and high-stakes dichotomy. The very structure of the Bitcoin market has undergone a "paradigm shift," with institutional exchange-traded funds (ETFs) providing a steady, relentless stream of demand. At the same time, the asset remains tethered to the decisions of central bankers and the health of the global economy. This article will delve into the intricate layers of this conflict, exploring the powerful bull case built on on-chain data and market structure, the sobering macroeconomic headwinds, the psychological barrier of the all-time high, and the long-term predictions that see Bitcoin potentially reaching $200,000. As the market braces for pivotal events like the upcoming Jackson Hole Economic Symposium, the question on every investor's mind is which of these two powerful forces will ultimately dictate Bitcoin's next monumental move. The Bull Case: A Cauldron of On-Chain and Derivatives Strength Bitcoin’s impressive rally was not a random speculative whim; it was underpinned by a bedrock of strong on-chain and technical signals that paint a compelling picture of underlying market health and explosive potential. These indicators, which provide a transparent view into the blockchain’s activity, suggest that the current price action is just the beginning. On-Chain Analysis: The Blockchain's Transparent Ledger On-chain analysis is the practice of examining the public and immutable data on a blockchain to understand the behavior of network participants. Unlike traditional financial markets, where investor actions are opaque, Bitcoin’s ledger allows for a granular assessment of transaction volumes, wallet balances, and investor profitability, offering a data-driven glimpse into market sentiment. Two of the most powerful on-chain metrics in this context are the Market Value to Realized Value (MVRV) ratio and the Spent Output Profit Ratio (SOPR). The MVRV ratio is a fundamental valuation tool that compares Bitcoin's total market capitalization to its "realized capitalization." While market cap is the current price multiplied by all coins in circulation, realized cap values each coin at the price it was last moved on-chain. Essentially, MVRV compares the current market price to the average cost basis of all investors. A high MVRV ratio suggests the market is overheated, while a ratio below 1.0 signifies that the average investor is underwater, a condition often seen at market bottoms. The Spent Output Profit Ratio (SOPR) offers a more immediate look at market behavior by analyzing the profitability of transactions occurring on the network. It is calculated by dividing the sale price of a Bitcoin by the price it was last acquired. • When SOPR is greater than 1, it means that, on average, coins being sold are in profit. • When SOPR is less than 1, it means coins are being sold at a loss. • A SOPR value of 1 acts as a critical psychological level. In bull markets, the market often "bounces" off this line, as investors are reluctant to sell at a loss, creating strong support. The Derivatives Market: Funding Rates and the Looming Short Squeeze Beyond the blockchain itself, the cryptocurrency derivatives market provides another layer of bullish sentiment. This market is dominated by perpetual futures contracts, which use a funding rate mechanism to stay tethered to the spot price. • Positive Funding Rate: When the futures price is higher than the spot price, longs pay shorts, indicating dominant bullish sentiment. • Negative Funding Rate: When the spot price is higher than the futures price, shorts pay longs, indicating dominant bearish sentiment. Paradoxically, a deeply negative funding rate can be an extremely bullish contrarian indicator. A crucial historical precedent exists: Bitcoin price rallied 80% the last time BTC funding rates flipped red. When funding rates are negative, it means a large number of traders are shorting the market. If the price begins to rise against them, these short sellers must buy back Bitcoin to close their positions and limit their losses. This forced buying can trigger a "short squeeze." A large cluster of potential short liquidations has been identified near the $111,320 level, with an estimated $520.31 million in leveraged positions at risk. If the price can push through this zone, it could trigger a cascade of liquidations, providing the fuel to accelerate Bitcoin’s next leg higher into price discovery. This mechanism represents one of the most powerful potential catalysts for a rapid move toward the $116K-$117K target. The Macroeconomic Maelstrom: A "Perfect Storm" of Headwinds While Bitcoin’s internal metrics flash green, its path is being obstructed by a formidable storm of macroeconomic factors. In today's interconnected financial world, no asset is immune to the policies of central banks. The recent reversal from the push beyond $110,000 is a stark reminder of this reality, as markets began to discount the odds of the Federal Reserve lowering interest rates. The Federal Reserve and Interest Rate Jitters For the past several years, the price of Bitcoin has been highly correlated with monetary policy. A policy of low interest rates generally creates a favorable environment for assets like Bitcoin by lowering the opportunity cost of holding them compared to bonds or savings accounts. Conversely, a period of monetary tightening—characterized by higher interest rates—has a negative effect on Bitcoin's price. The market's sensitivity to this was on full display when strong U.S. economic data reinforced the case for keeping rates "higher for longer" to contain inflation. This immediately took the wind out of Bitcoin’s sails and halted the rally. An unexpected rate cut, however, could send Bitcoin back toward its all-time high of $112,000. All Eyes on Jackson Hole This brings into focus the immense importance of the Jackson Hole Economic Symposium. This annual conference is a crucial event where central bankers from around the globe discuss pressing economic issues and signal future policy directions. Speeches from key figures, particularly the Federal Reserve Chair, are scrutinized by global markets for clues about the future of monetary policy. The anticipation surrounding the event highlights its high stakes for risk assets. Market participants will be listening for any hint of a dovish pivot (a signal that rate cuts are back on the table) or a hawkish stance (a reinforcement of the "higher for longer" narrative). • A dovish signal could be the catalyst that reignites Bitcoin's rally by weakening the dollar and sending risk assets soaring. • A hawkish signal, on the other hand, could reinforce the current headwinds, potentially leading to a deeper correction for Bitcoin. The Great Wall of $112K: Why All-Time Highs Are Hard to Break Every seasoned market participant knows that previous all-time highs (ATHs) are not just numbers on a chart; they are formidable psychological barriers. For Bitcoin, the level around $112,000 represents this wall. Breaking through it requires immense momentum, and the current struggle to do so is explained by a critical missing ingredient: widespread, retail-driven Fear of Missing Out (FOMO). The Psychology of an All-Time High An ATH represents a point of maximum financial opportunity and maximum regret. This creates a powerful and complex dynamic: 1. Profit-Taking: Long-term holders and traders who bought at lower prices see the ATH as a prime opportunity to realize their gains. 2. Break-Even Selling: Investors who bought at or near the previous peak may be eager to sell as soon as their position returns to break-even. 3. Hesitation from New Buyers: For new investors, buying at an all-time high feels inherently risky, leading to hesitation. Overcoming this selling pressure requires a massive wave of new demand, a force often fueled by pure, unadulterated FOMO. The Absence of FOMO-Driven Greed FOMO, or the "Fear of Missing Out," is the force that turns a rally into a parabolic ascent, characterized by a surge in retail interest and media saturation. Analysts suggest that a key reason Bitcoin can’t break the $112K all-time high is the absence of new buyers and FOMO-driven greed. While there have been spikes in retail enthusiasm, the kind of euphoric mania seen at the peak of previous cycles has yet to fully materialize in 2025. Without that surge of irrational exuberance, there may not be enough buying pressure to absorb the natural selling that occurs at an all-time high, creating a stalemate. The Paradigm Shift: How Institutional ETFs Changed the Game While the lack of retail FOMO explains the resistance at the all-time high, the very reason Bitcoin reached this level so quickly is due to a fundamental, game-changing development: the approval and launch of spot Bitcoin Exchange-Traded Funds (ETFs) in the United States. This event represents a true "paradigm shift" in market structure, providing a powerful counterbalance to the whims of retail sentiment. A spot Bitcoin ETF directly holds Bitcoin and allows investors to gain exposure through traditional brokerage accounts, dramatically simplifying the investment process. This has had a revolutionary impact: 1. Accessibility and Legitimacy: ETFs have democratized access to Bitcoin for a massive new audience and conferred a new level of legitimacy on the asset class. 2. Unlocking Institutional Capital: Most importantly, ETFs created a regulated pathway for institutional investors to allocate capital to Bitcoin. The impact has been staggering, with massive ETF inflows directly fueling Bitcoin's price appreciation. In a recent two-month period, for instance, U.S.-based spot Bitcoin ETFs recorded nearly $10 billion in inflows. This is not the fickle demand of a retail FOMO cycle; it is the steady, calculated allocation of capital from major financial players, providing a strong floor for the price. Gazing into the Crystal Ball: Near and Long-Term Price Horizons With these conflicting forces shaping the market, analysts are looking at both short-term technical targets and long-term fundamental models to chart a potential path forward. Short-Term Targets: The Path to $117,000 The immediate upper bound for Bitcoin is pegged by many analysts at $117,000, with some suggesting a move to $116K in July is possible. This target is derived from a combination of technical analysis, historical seasonal trends, and the potential for a short squeeze. A decisive break above the $112,000 all-time high would clear the path for a rapid move toward this level. The Long-Term Vision: A $200,000 Call Looking further ahead, some of the most bullish predictions from institutional players call for Bitcoin to hit $200,000 by the end of 2025. This forecast is not based on short-term chart patterns but on a fundamental assessment of supply and demand in this new era. The reasoning is that there is simply too much institutional demand to keep prices flat for long, a trend driven by the continued success of spot Bitcoin ETFs and growing regulatory clarity. Interestingly, this bullish institutional sentiment for Bitcoin is not always extended to other major cryptocurrencies. Some outlooks are less confident that assets like Ethereum (ETH) and Solana (SOL) will hit new all-time highs this year. Challenges such as network reliability issues and the lack of similar institutional products are cited as reasons for a more tempered outlook on these other assets. This suggests a potential future where Bitcoin's performance decouples from the broader altcoin market, driven primarily by its unique status as an institutional-grade digital asset. Conclusion: The Great Tension and the Path Forward Bitcoin's current market position is one of profound tension. In the world of its own blockchain and market structure, the signals are bullish. A new era of institutional demand, evidenced by billions flowing into spot ETFs, has created a paradigm shift. This is reinforced by a derivatives market primed for a potential short squeeze. However, Bitcoin does not exist in a vacuum. It is also a participant in the broader financial ecosystem, where a hawkish Federal Reserve has put a damper on risk-on sentiment. This macroeconomic resistance is amplified by the psychological barrier of the all-time high, where natural profit-taking meets the absence of the retail-driven FOMO that defined past cycles. The resolution of this conflict will define the next chapter for Bitcoin. A catalyst could come from the Jackson Hole Symposium, a sudden acceleration in ETF inflows, or a shift in the macroeconomic landscape. What is certain is that Bitcoin is no longer just a retail phenomenon; it is a maturing asset on the global stage, navigating a complex interplay of internal strength and external pressures. Whether it reaches $117,000 in the coming months or faces a setback, its journey will be a masterclass in the collision of technology, finance, and human psychology.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by bryandowningqln
Bitcoin Daily – Multi-Line Magnet in Play📊 Bitcoin Daily – Multi-Line Magnet in Play Price, Time, and Structure Align I’ve added a new trendline connecting the last two deep hits. Technically, the second hit broke the old flag structure – but honestly, that’s not a real problem. 👉 The overall swing structure remains intact. The new line now perfectly fits the current market rhythm. What’s really interesting: This new trendline converges exactly at the same magnetic zone I’ve been tracking – around 96,944 USD. It aligns with the previous horizontal key level, the EMA projection, and the crosspoint I marked earlier. This kind of multi-line confluence often acts like a price magnet. 👉 What I love about this setup: If price really pushes into this zone, it would cleanly stab through the old flag structure – a typical panic trigger that shakes out many traders. 📌 Also worth noting: Another day has passed since my initial idea, and the current price action has technically proven that it’s possible to push lower. The path to the target remains open. 👉 Stop-Loss Logic: For this setup, the cold stop-loss sits just below the midline of the weekly Bollinger Band. If this level gets broken, the overall structure is technically invalid. But I wouldn’t place the stop directly on the midline – it’s smarter to give it a small buffer to survive potential liquidity sweeps. Typically, this level doesn’t break cleanly on the first touch. Let’s see how this plays out.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by getthelukas
BTC Pullback or Breakout? Key Levels to Watch Around 110KBitcoin is showing repeated rejections from the $110K and $108K zones. Currently, it's moving upward from the $98K area toward resistance, but price action remains compressed between the major trendline support and resistance. This range-bound structure suggests that a pullback may be imminent, especially as RSI is forming consistent bearish divergence and the MACD is signaling weakness. A liquidity sweep to the downside could occur before a decisive move. However, if BTC manages to break above the converging trendlines with strong volume, we may see a move toward $110K again for a retest. Watch $106K as an intermediate support. If that fails, further downside may follow. 📌 Trading Insight: Wait for confirmation before entering — don’t jump in without a clear signal.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by crypto_vulture_signals
Bitcoin’s Breathing Zone – Watching for a Natural Snap Setup📊 Bitcoin Daily – Probabilistic Swing in Play Tracking the Snap Zone & Energy Reset I’m watching a probabilistic swing scenario on Bitcoin where the price might need to dive into the 100k - 101k zone to build enough energy for the next major move. The key area I’m tracking is the EMA 200 on the daily chart (~95k - 97k). This would be the natural deep target if the price sweeps lower. The EMA 200 often acts as a long-term support where markets "reset" and gather strength. 👉 It’s also worth noting: Institutional traders traditionally view the daily EMA 200 as a key buy zone in an overall bullish market structure. That’s where many large players reload positions, aiming to ride the next expansion wave. What I’m expecting: A retracement into 100k - 101k to snap the short EMAs together. A potential liquidity sweep below the EMA 100, possibly down to the EMA 200 zone. Key bullish signals: wick rejections, strong bounce candles, and engulfing patterns on the 4h or daily. This would set up the energy for a clean bounce and a probable move towards the upper yellow trendline around 124k. Without this deeper retracement, the move would likely run out of steam earlier, probably capping out around 112k. I trade probabilistic scenarios based on natural price swings, EMA wave dynamics, and energy compression zones. 📌 Chart and path idea attached. What’s your view? Are you watching this zone?
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by getthelukas
BTC Consolidates Above $100K — Bullish Structure Remains IntactKey Support Holding Firm: Bitcoin is consolidating above the critical $100,000–$105,000 support zone, a former resistance area from early 2025. Holding this level preserves the broader bullish structure. Short-Term Noise, Long-Term Strength: While recent price action shows some lower highs and lows, the long-term uptrend that began in April remains fully intact. This is typical consolidation behavior within a strong bull market. Wedge Formation Points to Breakout: A six-month wedge pattern continues to develop, often a precursor to a powerful breakout. If resolved to the upside, the next leg could target the $130,000–$135,000 range. Outlook Remains Bullish: As long as Bitcoin holds above $100,000, there’s no technical basis for a bearish scenario. This remains a constructive pause within a dominant uptrend. #Bitcoin #BTC #CryptoMarket #TechnicalAnalysis #Bullish #SupportAndResistance #WedgeBreakout #LongTermTrend #MarketOutlook #PriceAction
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by Richtv_official
Bitcoin Ready to Drop?Alright ladies and gentlemen after this nice Bitcoin run up is TIME to book profits if you still in the long trade cause this baby is about to drop. Bulls don't stretch your luck too much, book your profits while you still have them. What Bitcoin did was just extending its 1hr Bullish TIME Cycle that's all and it has an end so Bulls don't be greedy cause you're gonna be trapped. Buckle up ladies and gentlemen and brace yourself for a wild ride down to $101000 once it gets there and most important HOW it gets there will tell us when and what the next move will be. Take care everyone and enjoy the ride.
BINANCE:BTCUSD.PShort
by Numberfive
Bitcoin is gearing up for 120K and 140K (1D)The flip zone has been reclaimed, but no proper pullback had occurred. The recent pullback came with a sweep of the all-time high (ATH), which has caused confusion and uncertainty among market participants. In fact, this drop can be interpreted as a pullback to the flip zone, accompanied by an ATH hunt. We expect the price, after touching the green zone and forming a base around this level, to move toward the targets of 120K and 140K — which we currently consider as Bitcoin’s final targets for this cycle. A weekly candle close below the invalidation level would invalidate this analysis. For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management When we reach the first target, save some profit and then change the stop to entry Comment if you have any questions Thank You
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by behdark
2
₿itcoin: PullbackBitcoin has experienced significant selling since Friday, briefly slipping below the $100,000 mark. We previously mentioned that a sharper pullback wouldn't surprise us. Whether prices will drop a bit further remains to be seen for the moment. Ultimately, we still expect Bitcoin to climb into the upper blue Target Zone (coordinates: $117,553 – $130,891) before a broader C-wave sell-off occurs, pushing the price down to the lower blue Target Zone (coordinates: $62,395 – $51,323). There, we anticipate the low of the larger orange wave a, which should mark the start of another corrective upward move. Afterward, we're preparing for the last downward leg of blue wave (ii). However, if Bitcoin directly surpasses the resistance at $130,891 – and thus our upper blue Target Zone – we'll locate it still in blue wave alt.(i) (30% probability). 📈 Over 190 precise analyses, clear entry points, and defined Target Zones - that's what we do.
BINANCE:BTCUSDLong
by MarketIntel