The Bears and the Bulls So Bitcoin is consolidating from 101K to 109K, from an uptrend which is probably but not certainly a continuation pattern. BTC is still above the 10 EMA means bullish short-term, confluent with market structure, and above 200 EMA long term bullish. BTC might cycle back up in the flag pattern or break below the 10 EMA, which could possibly (not certainly) send it probably to the 50 EMA in purple and the trendline and a Demand zone. The bulls would love for BTC to close above the flag pattern and resistance and make HH and HL from there; and the bears would love to see rejection and a return back to the Demand levels.
BTCUSD.PM trade ideas
Bitcoin at the Edge: Breakdown or Bounce?Bitcoin is currently trading around $101,210, having failed to reclaim the $102,500 support zone, which has now flipped into resistance.
This rejection confirms continued bearish momentum, as reflected in the downward-trending EMA.
The next major area of interest lies between $96,000 and $95,000, where buyers previously stepped in. The chart suggests a probable move lower into this zone, followed by a potential bounce.
Unless BTC reclaims $102,500 with strong conviction, the short-term bias remains bearish, with traders eyeing the lower support for possible reversal or accumulation.
Liquidity grab below support, FVG and OB structures,1. Support & Resistance Levels
Resistance Zone (highlighted at the top):
Around the 110,000–112,000 range.
Previous Support (horizontal line at 101,499):
Labelled as “Break the support” — price had broken below it but is now pushing back above.
📦
Smart Money Concepts (SMC):
2. Order Block (OB)
Marked near 105,000: A key supply area where institutional activity likely occurred. Price may react here (retest or rejection).
3. FVG (Fair Value Gaps)
Two zones marked as FVG:
Lower FVG around 100,000–101,000: recently filled and acted as support.
Upper FVG just above 105,000: potential target zone before price pushes higher.
📈
Projected Price Path:
The dotted white line shows a bullish forecast:
Price breaks back above the previous support.
Pulls back into the FVG or OB.
Then rallies toward 110,000+ resistance zone.
🧠
Interpretation:
This analysis suggests a bullish reversal scenario based on:
Liquidity grab below support,
FVG and OB structures,
Expectation of institutional buying and upward continuation.
BTCUSD 4-Hour Analysis – Sell Setup IdeaCurrently, the trend on BTCUSD is bearish. On the 4-hour chart, I’m watching for a reaction at the Balanced Price Range (BPR) zone. This area aligns with a daily Rebalanced Breaker (-RB), adding higher time frame confluence.
In addition to the BPR, there’s an Order Block (OB) within the same region, and a nearby swing high, which strengthens the case for a bearish reaction. If price respects this zone, I expect continuation to the downside targeting the 98,000 and the 96,000 price level.
Bitcoin / U.S. Dollar 4-Hour Chart (BTCUSD)4-hour candlestick chart displays the price movement of Bitcoin (BTC) against the U.S. Dollar (USD) as of June 23, 2025, 03:45 PM CEST. The chart shows a recent sharp decline from a peak of approximately 104,443.81 USD to around 100,479.47 USD, with a current price of 102,035.20 USD, reflecting a 1.037.09% increase. Key levels include resistance around 104,000 USD and support near 100,000 USD, with notable volatility indicated by the candlestick patterns and a marked low point adorned with U.S. flags and a lightning bolt symbol.
$BTC weathering the storm: $BTC.D close to 66%. $BTC to 160K. With all the volatility in the capital markets, Crypto is not immune to such swings. IN this space we have time and again analyzed the charts and have indicated that the best bet in the Crypto is to stay with CRYPTOCAP:BTC in these turbulent times. Even if CRYPTOCAP:BTC is above its previous cycle highs, this cannot be said about many altcoins like CRYPTOCAP:ETH , CRYPTOCAP:SOL , CRYPTOCAP:DOGE , CRYPTOCAP:LINK etc. A few days ago, on 15th June I wrote about the sloppy participation of CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL2 in case of an expanding $USM2.
CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL2 and ECONOMICS:USM2 : Correlation never broken. What now? for CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL2 by RabishankarBiswal — TradingView
Even if the ECONOMICS:USM2 is at an ATH CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL2 is still below its previous cycle highs. We asked the question what will CRYPTOCAP:BTC do if ECONOMICS:USM2 expands by 1-2T $. Even during the war and turbulent times CRYPTOCAP:BTC chart looks bullish as ever. It is still above its previous cycle highs; it is holding on to the psychological level of 100K $.
Now comes I think the most important chart in the crypto space is $BTC.D. The Dominance is currently above 65.5 %. Exactly here on 14th April we forecasted that CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D will go to 66%.
CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D to 66%, CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL2 / BTC down to 0.43 for CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D by RabishankarBiswal — TradingView
And again on May 20 I said the recent weakness in CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D is temporary and it will eventually reach 66%.
CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D : Have we seen the top or a local top in the CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D ? for CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D by RabishankarBiswal — TradingView
So where do we stand today. We are closer to 66% than to making a new local low. At 65.7% the path of least resistance is towards upside. And the USD valuation of CRYPTOCAP:BTC faces some resistance to breaking out of the upward sloping parallel channel which we have been following for the last few months. Currently the resistance level is 107K $ and we got rejected there.
Verdict : CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D goes to 66%. CRYPTOCAP:BTC consolidates here and 160K as Cycle top target.
BITCOIN SENDS CLEAR BULLISH SIGNALS|LONG
BITCOIN SIGNAL
Trade Direction: long
Entry Level: 104,672.03
Target Level: 107,484.65
Stop Loss: 102,785.72
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 3h
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
Bitcoin (BTC): Buyers Took Back Control Over $100KBitcoin has bounced and showed some buyside volume near major support area near $100K. After the re-test of 100EMA where price dipped lower than $100K we have had a decent recovery every since.
Monday is starting strong with price jumping back above $100K and most probably we will see some fruther buyside dominance from here.
Swallow Academy
BTC/USD:Intraday Trading Analysis and StrategyI. Daily Chart Trend Analysis
On the daily timeframe, BTC/USD closed with a small bearish candle yesterday, forming a consecutive series of bearish candles that clearly indicate a downtrend. The price continues to trade below the moving average system, and the technical indicators have formed a death cross, further confirming the bear-dominated market structure. However, in this clear downtrend, two key risks require attention:
1.Oversold rebound risk: After sustained declines, the market may experience a significant corrective rally.
2.Priority of risk control: Regardless of market movements, strict stop-loss management and position sizing remain core trading principles.
II. Hourly Chart Technical Analysis
The hourly chart shows that the price fell sharply under selling pressure during U.S. trading hours yesterday, breaking below the key $100,000 level. This morning, the price rebounded strongly after hitting a low, with the breakdown level near $102,700. Currently, the K-line forms a large bullish candle, and the technical indicators have formed a golden cross, suggesting that a corrective rally is likely to continue today. Note that if the price breaks above the breakdown level of $102,700, the short-term downtrend may be disrupted, and the market could shift to a range-bound pattern.
BTCUSD
sell@102000-102500
tp:101000-100500
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BTC/USD Analysis Update. Chart Pattern:
The chart clearly shows an Inverse Head & Shoulders structure:
Left Shoulder
Head
Right Shoulder
This is a strong bullish reversal pattern.
Moving Averages:
Price hovers near the 100-day and 200-day MA, acting as a strong support zone (around $90k–$95k).
This area is critical for sustaining long positions.
Expected Move:
Strong bullish potential towards the $113k–$115k zone, aligned with the upper trendline target.
RSI also suggests room for a bullish recovery from this zone.
Trade Plan:
Ideal Entry: Near $90k–$95k (Right Shoulder area)
Stop Loss: Just below $88k
Target: $113k–$115k
This structure is very favorable for long positions if the price confirms strength within the right shoulder zone.
Bitcoin Holds $100k as Risk Assets Shrug Off Mideast TensionsWeakness in risk assets has been relatively contained so far on Monday in Asia, despite the escalation in geopolitical tensions in the Middle East over the weekend—including in bitcoin.
Yes, it’s down, but not by any margin that sets this open apart from the usual. And having bounced after a brief dip below the psychologically important $100,000 level—which also doubles as wedge support—it’s generated a potential long setup if risk appetite improves.
Longs could be considered above $100k with a stop beneath today’s low to protect against a reversal. Targets include $102,500, $106,500 or even $109,000, depending on your preferred risk-reward.
While momentum signals are neutral to mildly bearish, the price action so far has been constructive for the setup.
Good luck!
DS
BTCUSD HTFBitcoin is a decentralized digital currency that you can buy, sell and exchange directly, without an intermediary like a bank. Bitcoin’s creator, Satoshi Nakamoto, originally described the need for “an electronic payment system based on cryptographic proof instead of trust.”
Every Bitcoin transaction that’s ever been made exists on a public ledger accessible to everyone, making transactions hard to reverse and difficult to fake. That’s by design: Core to their decentralized nature, Bitcoins aren’t backed by the government or any issuing institution, and there’s nothing to guarantee their value besides the proof baked in the heart of the system.
BTC/USD 1D Chart📊 1. Technical formation: Downtrend channel marked with orange lines
Upper trend line (resistance): ~108,200 – 110,000 USD
Lower trend line (support): ~98,455 – 97,000 USD
➡️ Such a formation usually ends with a breakout. The direction of the breakout will be key – currently, the price is testing the upper resistance line.
💵 2. Support and resistance levels
📈 Resistance:
108.202 – currently tested
112.037 – psychological level
114.816 – local top
📉 Support:
105.300 – SMA 50 + local support
103.424 – local lows
100.510 – key psychological support
98.455 – lower edge of the triangle
📉 3. Moving averages (SMA)
SMA 50 (green): currently as dynamic support (~105.300)
SMA 200 (blue): far below the price (~96.000), inactive in the short term
SMA 20 (red): price broke through it upwards – a signal of bullish strength
➡️ A bullish crossover took place between SMA 20 and SMA 50 → bullish signal.
📉 4. MACD (Momentum)
MACD line is approaching the intersection with the signal line from below.
The histogram is becoming less and less red → a potential intersection and a bullish crossover signal may occur any day now.
📉 5. RSI (Relative Strength Index)
Currently: 57.19
RSI is rising and approaching the overbought zone (70), but it is not overheated yet.
Exceeding 60 would be a signal of further bullish strength.
🔍 6. Volume and context
There is no volume marking on the candles, but:
The current bullish candle is strong and breaks through the key averages (SMA 20, 50).
This indicates buyer activity with technical support.
🟢 Bullish scenario (if a breakout occurs up)
A breakout above 108.200 with a close of the daily candle could open the way to:
112.037 (next resistance)
then even 114.816
🔴 Bearish scenario (false breakout)
A rejection from 108.200 and a drop below 105.300 → a possible return to:
103.424 or even 98.455 (lower triangle line)
$BTC Heading to the Long-Awaited 200DMA Retest ~$96kFULFILL THY PROPHECY 📖
CRYPTOCAP:BTC making its way down to the long-awaited 200DMA retest, which just so happens to show confluence with the .618 Fib level at $96k.
RSI shows a bit more room to the downside as well.
Make sure to get those bids in!
2/1/15I’ve found a fractal on Bitcoin. Today is June 25, 2025, 13:22 — I’m analyzing the 2-hour timeframe from the high on May 22 up to today, and the same pattern of pre-accumulation is forming as in 2024, from March 13 to July 29, 2024.
We are also inside a pattern I named “Dragon’s Wings.” It forms two peaks at the highs after a strong rally, and the shared low between them creates a deep retracement.
Whether this pattern leads to the beginning of a major drop and a bear cycle, or whether it’s a pre-accumulation structure in a buffer zone, depends on the area in which it forms.
In this case, the 93–74K zone is potentially a re-accumulation zone, with a reversal to the upside — possibly taking Bitcoin above $140,000.