B/$We have already seen a level below $100,000.
I think there is still more to go before it turns up.
I don't see any resistance for a trend reversal at the moment.
So you can hold your short positions and just move your stop loss even lower.
BTCUSD.PM trade ideas
WAW we ended up again following my imaginary lines .... I'm seeing a potential upside: if war accelerates government spending, it could push central banks to print more money — and that could be fuel for Bitcoin.
Historically, wars come with massive fiscal demands. Governments tend to ramp up military budgets, fund support packages, and stimulate their economies to manage instability — and that often leads to increased money printing.
More fiat currency in circulation typically leads to inflation or a devaluation of purchasing power. In that kind of environment, investors and everyday people start looking for stores of value outside of traditional currencies — like gold, real estate… and now, Bitcoin.
Bitcoin was literally born in response to central banks abusing the money printer. Its fixed supply — 21 million coins — makes it an attractive hedge against inflation and monetary debasement. If war accelerates global instability and fiscal irresponsibility, Bitcoin could benefit as a safe-haven asset.
So yes — war is tragic. But in purely macroeconomic terms, if it triggers massive government spending, printing, and inflation, it could send Bitcoin flying.
BTC USDT PLAN I favor a short-term pullback unless BTC can reclaim and close above the $111K–112K zone with strong volume.
If price breaks below $106K and confirms it as resistance, it could accelerate a move toward $100K and below.
Caution is warranted for bulls — this looks more like a distribution phase near the highs than a breakout.
Bitcoin - Expecting Liquidity Grab at 102.8k Before Relief MoveMarket Context
After a strong rejection from resistance, price has shown clear signs of internal weakness. We recently got an internal liquidity sweep followed by a sharp move down, confirming a shift in momentum. The market is currently compressing just below a key fair value gap, hinting at further downside before any real bullish structure can form
Internal Sweep and Bearish Pressure
The internal sweep acted as a final inducement before the market sold off. The reaction afterward was clean and aggressive, suggesting that smart money is offloading positions into trapped longs. Price has now stalled in a tight range, and the lack of bullish follow-through adds weight to the idea that lower prices are still on the table.
Fair Value Gap Below as Draw
The unfilled imbalance below, lining up near 102.8k, is acting as a magnet. This level has not been tapped and lines up cleanly with the idea of a final liquidity sweep before any retracement. It would make sense to target this zone to clear out remaining liquidity and rebalance price before reassessing.
Retracement Scenarios After the Sweep
Once that low is swept and the gap is filled, we could see a retracement back into the previous fair value gap around 106k. This could either form a lower high, continuing the broader downtrend, or potentially run the high if there's enough momentum. Either way, the reaction from that level will offer the next major clue on direction.
Key Expectation
Until the low around 102.8k is swept, the bearish narrative remains intact. The cleanest setup would be a liquidity run into that level followed by a reaction that leads us higher, ideally back toward the 106k zone. From there, we’ll watch how price behaves to decide whether a deeper correction or a trend continuation is in play.
Conclusion
Still leaning bearish short-term as long as that gap and low remain unfilled. Once we tap into the 102.8k area, I’ll be watching for a shift that could give us a play back into the 106k gap. It’s all about liquidity, structure, and the cleanest path for smart money to move.
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Bitcoin Tests Key Support-Healthy Correction Within Bull MarketHealthy Pullback, Strong Structure:
Bitcoin’s recent dip is a constructive correction within a broader bull trend, as it tests the critical $100,000–$105,000 support zone—a former resistance area from early 2025.
Institutional Demand Holds the Line:
Maintaining levels above the psychologically important $100,000 mark highlights continued institutional accumulation and reinforces the underlying strength of the trend.
Momentum Reset, Base Building:
This pullback has helped reset overbought conditions from the prior rally, laying the foundation for the next potential leg higher.
Key Levels to Watch:
Support: $100,000–$105,000
Breakout Trigger: A close above $108,000 would confirm uptrend continuation
Outlook: Bullish bias remains valid as long as support holds
Investor Opportunity:
With structure intact and downside contained, this consolidation presents a favorable risk-reward setup for long-term investors looking to position ahead of a potential breakout.
#Bitcoin #BTC #CryptoMarket #TechnicalAnalysis #SupportAndResistance #BullMarket #RiskReward #InstitutionalBuying #MarketOutlook #PriceAction
Bitcoin Price Analysis: Potential Rebound Ahead?4-hour Bitcoin price chart reveals a potential rebound opportunity. After a sharp decline, the price has stabilized around $97,245.43, forming a support level. The green and red box annotations suggest a possible price range breakout, with an upward arrow indicating a potential price increase. The current price stands at $100,461.58, down 1.63% from its recent peak. Will Bitcoin bounce back or continue its downward trend?
BTC SWEEPS THE LOWSBitcoin just performed a textbook liquidity sweep, dipping below the psychological $100,000 level and the early June swing low near $100,377. This move triggered stop-losses and drew in short positions before quickly rebounding back above support – a classic example of "grab and go" price action designed to collect liquidity.
This kind of move often traps impatient bears and can act as a springboard for a short-term reversal if bulls manage to hold the reclaimed level. While today’s candle hasn’t closed yet, the wick below $100K shows aggressive buying interest. If we see confirmation over the next couple of days – particularly with a close back above the key $101,450–$101,800 range – it strengthens the case for a bounce.
CHECK BTCUSD SIGNAL READ CAPTAINbtcusd sell now ✅
entry point (101850.00) (101700.00)
TAKE PROFIT 1: (101200.00)
TAKE PROFIT 2: (100450.00)
LAST TARGET(99700.00)
STOP LOSS (102400.00)
BTC Textbook Elliot Waves!CRYPTOCAP:BTC local analysis hasn't changed in a few weeks.
Price printed another text book Elliot motif wave, with the wave 4 triangle terminal pattern ending in the usual thrust up with a poke above all time high.
Price is also printing a textbook ABC for wave 2 with 5 waves down for A, 3 waves up for B and a strong wave C down to finish. Wave C's are always the strongest.
Pattern suggests price has one more push lower to complete this corrective wave tapping the quadruple support: S1 daily pivot, ascending daily 200EMA, major support High Volume Node (HVN) and 0.5 Fibonacci retracement at 92-94k range.
Most investors are publicly calling for buys in this area so price may be front run by the whales! The consensus often do not get what they want.
Safe trading
Bitcoin - Will it explode up or down?Introduction
Bitcoin (BTC) is currently trading within a symmetrical triangle pattern, forming a series of higher lows and lower highs. This price action indicates a tightening range as the market approaches the apex of the triangle. A breakout is becoming increasingly likely in the coming days, and traders are now watching closely to see which direction BTC will choose. Will it break to the upside or the downside?
Pattern Trading
The symmetrical triangle has been a consistent feature of BTC’s recent price action. Price has been oscillating between the descending resistance and ascending support trendlines, gradually compressing the range. Based on the current structure, Bitcoin could continue moving within this pattern until around June 26th, when the triangle becomes extremely narrow and a breakout becomes imminent. Historically, such setups can produce false breakouts or “fake-outs,” where the price temporarily moves in one direction before sharply reversing and breaking out in the opposite direction. These moves often trap traders who enter too early, so caution is advised. Market manipulation is not uncommon in these tight formations, making it essential to wait for confirmation before entering a position.
4H Fair Value Gap (FVG)
Bitcoin has recently filled a 4-hour Fair Value Gap (FVG), a zone that often attracts price due to inefficiencies in the market. Now that this gap has been filled, there could be increased selling pressure, potentially pushing BTC back down toward the lower boundary of the triangle. If BTC is unable to break through the resistance created by this FVG, we may see more bearish momentum. However, should BTC manage to break and hold above this imbalance zone, it would be a strong sign of bullish intent and could open the door for a move to the upside. For now, though, this area remains a significant resistance level.
Upside Target
If BTC manages to break out of the triangle to the upside with strong volume and confirmation, the first major resistance level is around $109,000. This would be a logical target for bulls, as it represents a key zone of liquidity and previous interest. A successful move toward this level would confirm the bullish breakout and could set the stage for further gains, depending on broader market sentiment.
Downside Targets
Conversely, if BTC breaks below the lower trendline of the triangle, the first area to watch is around $103,500. This level is where a significant amount of liquidity has built up, and it could act as initial support. However, if that level fails to hold, the next key psychological level to watch would be $100,000. A drop below this milestone could trigger panic selling and further downside, especially if market sentiment turns negative.
Conclusion
At this point, BTC is at a critical juncture, and traders should remain patient as the market decides its next direction. While the current rejection from the 4H FVG suggests some short-term bearish pressure, the overall pattern remains neutral until a confirmed breakout occurs. Trading within the triangle can be risky due to the possibility of fake-outs, so it’s best to wait for clear confirmation before committing to a trade. Stay cautious, manage your risk carefully, and prepare for volatility as Bitcoin approaches a decisive move.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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$BTC Lost $100K Support – Retesting From Below Bitcoin broke CRYPTOCAP:BTC Lost $100K Support – Retesting From Below
Bitcoin broke the key $100K support and dropped to $98,200, but has now bounced slightly and is trading near $100,800. However, the situation remains bearish.
🔸 Key Support Zone at 99,763 – 103,112 (Broken & Retesting):
This zone is now being tested from below. If BTC fails to reclaim it, downside pressure continues.
🔸 Upside Target: 110,324 (Invalidated)
Only a strong move back above $103K can revive bullish momentum.
🔸 Risk Level at 100K:
If today’s daily candle closes below $100K, expect more downside — next major target is around $92,000.
🔸 Outlook:
BTC is in a bearish retest phase.
If $100K holds as resistance → expect further dump to $92K.
If reclaimed with strength → structure may stabilize.
Shorts still in profit — manage wisely.
Stay alert. Global tension keeps markets highly reactive. Keep risk tight and follow the trend.
[BTC] What if ...If we have to reach a new ATH soon, I want it to be after this kind of catalyser event, massive liquidations, huge levels sweeped and very pessimistic post on X about the end of the 4 years cycle.
So let's see what CRYPTOCAP:BTC can do next ...
Great Trade !
BITCOIN | Bullish DivergenceBITCOIN has been in bearish trend so far but it has now formed bullish divergence which may initiate a new bullish trend.
BTC Weekly - Time PatternsBitcoin Weekly Chart
52 Wk & 152 Wk Patterns // Diminishing returns
For my own personal logs.
BTC / USDT - Look Closely!!!Good evening fellas,
Take a very close look and buy bitcoin.
Trade thirsty, my friends.
BTC SHORT TP:-100,000 21-06-2025What if this is the one that nukes it all? 😮💨
I’m entering a short between 102,500 and 103,600, aiming for a target around 99,500 – 100,200, with an average RR of 4.
This is based on the 4H timeframe, and should play out in the next 48 to 60 hours.
The structure still favors bearish continuation. If BTC breaks through the 100k level, we might be staring at a black swan scenario.
Manage your stop according to your risk plan and stay tuned for updates.
We don’t use indicators, we’re not out here drawing lines or cute little shapes — I just give you a clean trade.
If the move doesn’t happen within the estimated time, the trade is invalid.
#Btc Breakdown Begins: Double Top + Iran-Israel Tensions = CrBitcoin has clearly formed a double top pattern and is currently hanging near the critical 100K support. If this level breaks, we may first see a fall to 90K, followed by a deeper decline toward 73.5K. If that too fails to hold, the market could slide drastically to 64K–45K zones. The pattern indicates Bitcoin is exiting the distribution phase, with profit booking at aggressive levels.
The Iran-Israel conflict, intensified by U.S. involvement, has triggered panic and short positions across the market. This is a high-risk environment, and long entries could be dangerous right now. Caution is advised — we are entering a potentially sharp correction phase.
Wyckoff Structure Targets 92K–94K Retest Before Continuation!A rare and highly instructive market structure is currently unfolding, presenting a textbook case of Wyckoff pattern integration across multiple timeframes.
Over the past weeks, I’ve been tracking a series of smaller Wyckoff accumulation and distribution patterns nested within a larger overarching Wyckoff structure. Each of these smaller formations has now successfully completed its expected move — validating the precision of supply/demand mechanics and the theory’s predictive strength.
With these mini-cycles resolved, the spotlight now shifts to the final, dominant Wyckoff structure — a larger accumulation phase that encompasses the full breadth of recent market activity. According to the logic of Phase C transitioning into Phase D, price appears poised to revisit the key retest zone between 92,000 and 94,000, a critical area of prior resistance turned demand.
📉 Current Market Behavior:
📐 Multiple minor Wyckoff patterns (accumulations/distributions) have played out as expected, both upward and downward — lending high credibility to the current macro setup.
🧩 All formations are nested within a major accumulation structure, now in the final phase of testing support.
🔁 The expected move is a pullback toward the 92K–94K zone, before the markup phase resumes with higher conviction.
📊 Wyckoff Confidence Factors:
✅ All Phase C spring and upthrust actions respected
✅ Volume behavior aligns with Wyckoff principles (climactic action → absorption → trend continuation)
✅ Clean reaccumulation signs within current structure
✅ Institutional footprint visible through shakeouts and well-defined support/resistance rotations
💬 Observation / Call to Action:
This setup is a rare opportunity to witness multi-layered Wyckoff theory in motion, offering not only a high-probability trading setup but also an educational blueprint. I invite fellow traders and Wyckoff analysts to share their interpretations or challenge the current thesis.
➡️ Do you see the same structural roadmap?
Let’s discuss in the comments.
#202525 - priceactiontds - weekly update - bitcoinGood Day and I hope you are well.
comment: Full bear mode. Bulls still trying to make bears doubt it and we are not moving fast enough but we are also not making higher highs. We are close to my validation level for the bears, which is a daily close below 100k. I do think any print above 104k would invalidate my thesis. Targets for bears today/tomorrow are 98k and if we have enough momentum we see 90k.
We are still seeing bigger tails above daily bars which means bulls are trying but since are printing lower lows for two weeks, they are failing. Bears now need to move strongly below 100k and then we can start the acceleration down.
current market cycle: trading range until follow-through below 100k
key levels: 100k - 111k
bull case: Bulls are still hopeful, that’s why we are still above 110k but the next touch could break it and I doubt many will hold long or scale into new ones there. Best bulls can get right now is to go sideways for longer and stay above 100k. I mean… Staying above 100k is as bullish as it get’s if you be honest.
Invalidation is a daily close below 100k - next support below 100k is 98k and then comes 93k
bear case: Bears need to print below 100k and close below. That’s the whole story. Next targets below are then 98k and 93k, breakout-re-test prices. Until they achieve that, it’s slightly higher probability that we move sideways but this market won’t be able to hold above 100k if big indexes sell-off.
Invalidation is above 107k
short term: Bearish but could wait for confirmation below 100k. I doubt we get above 107k again and continue inside the range
medium-long term - Update from 2025-06-22: Daily close below 100k is confirmation. First target below 100k is 97k the breakout retest and after that is the 50% retracement around 93k. I have no bullish for the next weeks/months. Once the gap to 97k closes we are likely in a bear trend again and I expect to hit at least 85k over the summer.
Bitcoin(BTC/USD) Daily Chart Analysis For Week of June 20, 2025Technical Analysis and Outlook:
In the recent trading session, Bitcoin exhibited an upward trend; however, it subsequently experienced a significant decline from the established Mean Resistance level at 110300. On Friday, Bitcoin exhibited notable price action, characterized by a pump-and-dump scenario. At this juncture, Bitcoin is retracing downwards as it seeks to approach the Mean Support level at 101500 and the ultimate Inner Coin Dip at 96500. It is essential to acknowledge the potential for an upward rally from the Mean Support levels of $101500 and/or the Inner Coin Dip at $96500. Such a rally could culminate in a retest of the Mean Resistance level at $107000.
My analysis on BTCUSD I'm expecting a push to the up side from this zone marked on my chart. Please make your own research and if you're entering use a proper risk management
Bitcoin may rebound from support line of wedge and start to growHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Bitcoin. Initially, the price was trading inside a well-defined range, moving sideways with repeated rejections from both support and resistance. After several attempts to stay above the support zone, BTC finally broke down and sharply declined below the 104000 level, entering the buyer zone. However, the decline was short-lived. Price quickly rebounded from the lower boundary and formed a strong bullish candle, suggesting that buyers were still active. After this recovery, BTC began forming a wedge pattern, with a gradually narrowing structure between the resistance line and the ascending support line. This kind of price action typically signals a buildup of pressure and potential breakout. Currently, BTC is once again testing the support line of the wedge and hovering near the buyer zone, where it previously reversed. This level has proven significant and is now being retested. Given the current structure, the wedge formation, and price behavior near the support, I expect BTC to rebound from this zone and start climbing back toward the upper resistance area. My current TP 1 is set at 106800 points, which aligns with the mid-level of the previous impulse zone and the inner resistance of the wedge. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
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