BTCUSD.PM trade ideas
Bitcoin Dip Coming Soon1. Historical Example (Left Side of the Chart - around 2021-2022):
"NFT" Label at the Top: The trader has labeled a peak around late 2021 with "NFT." This likely signifies a period of market euphoria or a local top, possibly correlated with a peak in NFT hype.
Failure to Make New Highs / Bearish Structure: After this peak, the price action shows lower highs and lower lows, indicating a downtrend.
Break of Support: The price broke down from a previous support area.
Targeting Previous Demand: The arrow points down towards a shaded maroon box. This box represents a significant area of previous demand/support FVG (roughly $15,000 - $30,000 in this hypothetical chart) where buyers previously stepped in, or where price consolidated before a major move up. The expectation was that price would revisit this significant prior zone.
2. Current/Projected Scenario (Right Side of the Chart - 2025 onwards):
"NFT" Label at the Current Top: Again, an "NFT" label is placed near the recent high (around
105,000 − 105,000− 110,000 in this chart). This suggests the market is again at a euphoric peak or a significant local top.
Potential Double Top / Rejection: The price has made a significant high and seems to be struggling to push further, showing signs of rejection (as indicated by the recent candles with upper wicks and a potential downturn). This could be forming a double top or a lower high relative to the absolute peak.
Two-Stage Short Target:
First Target (Short Arrow): The shorter arrow points down to a horizontal line around the $75,000 - $80,000 level. This is likely a near-term support level, perhaps a previous swing low or an area of recent consolidation. A break below the current highs might lead to a test of this level.
Second, Larger Target (Long Arrow): The longer arrow points down to a much larger shaded maroon box. This box (roughly $30,000 - $40,000 in this chart) represents a significant, longer-term demand/support zone. This zone was a major area of consolidation or previous resistance that turned into support before the most recent leg up to the $100k+ levels.
Rationale for the Deeper Target: If the near-term support (around 75k−75k−80k) fails to hold, the trader expects a more significant correction.
BITCOIN SUPPORT AHEAD|LONG|
✅BITCOIN is set to retest a
Strong support level below at 101,000$
After trading in a local downtrend for some time
Which makes a bullish rebound a likely scenario
With the target being a local resistance above at 105,000$
LONG🚀
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Bitcoin Bullish Pennant(D)Bitcoin is forming a bullish pennant on the daily timeframe. A classic continuation pattern following strong upward momentum. A breakout above the resistance trendline could signal the next leg up. Watching closely for volume confirmation and a potential retest before continuation. Bullish bias remains intact as long as support holds.
BTCUSD: Trading Signal From Our Team
BTCUSD
- Classic bullish formation
- Our team expects pullback
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Long BTCUSD
Entry - 10334
Sl - 10158
Tp - 10626
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
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Bitcoin – Ritual Latency & Tactical Tension.⊢
⟁ BTC/USD – Binance – (CHART: 1H) – (June 21, 2025).
⟐ Analysis Price: $103,909.52.
⊢
⨀ I. Temporal Axis – Strategic Interval – (H1):
▦ EMA9 – ($103,783.82):
∴ The price oscillates around EMA9 with marginal bullish slope;
∴ Two candle rejections confirmed the EMA9 as a reactive short-term axis;
∴ Current close is above, but lacking directional follow-through.
✴️ Conclusion: Momentum attempt, yet unsupported – fragility persists.
⊢
▦ EMA21 – ($103,869.74):
∴ Flattened trajectory overlapping EMA9;
∴ Indicates tactical compression – a latency band rather than trendline;
∴ No breakout confirmation.
✴️ Conclusion: Equilibrium zone – direction undecided.
⊢
▦ EMA50 – ($104,212.18):
∴ Serves as immediate dynamic resistance;
∴ Price has not closed above since June 20, 13:00 UTC;
∴ Requires sustained move to invalidate micro-downtrend.
✴️ Conclusion: Key reversal barrier – price remains below structural trigger.
⊢
▦ SMA100 – ($104,552.65):
∴ Downsloping, acting as mid-term ceiling;
∴ No candle engagement in recent sessions;
∴ Confluence zone with EMA50 adds density.
✴️ Conclusion: Inertial resistance zone – trend continuity until breach.
⊢
▦ SMA200 – ($105,197.18):
∴ Highest structural ceiling on H1;
∴ Remains untouched, reinforcing broader tactical bearish bias.
✴️ Conclusion: SMA200 maintains bearish structure – trend remains capped.
⊢
▦ Bollinger Bands - (20,2):
∴ Bands tightened – low volatility configuration;
∴ Upper band slightly expands – minor opening signal;
∴ Price contacts upper range without strength.
✴️ Conclusion: Potential breakout pattern – requires volume ignition.
⊢
▦ RSI (14, smoothed by EMA9) – (11.00 | Avg: 13.85):
∴ RSI at historical low – indicative of exhaustion rather than momentum;
∴ EMA of RSI confirms suppressed structure;
∴ Hidden divergence plausible but not confirmed.
✴️ Conclusion: Latent reversal conditions – needs confirmation from RSI reclaim.
⊢
▦ MACD (12,26,9) – (MACD: 88.35 | Signal: -159.25 | Histogram: -247.60):
∴ Histogram remains negative but is narrowing;
∴ MACD line curling upward, approaching signal;
∴ No crossover yet – early recovery signal under surveillance.
✴️ Conclusion: Bullish divergence forming – reversal not validated.
⊢
▦ ATR (14, RMA) – (372.44):
∴ Volatility decreasing after a local spike;
∴ Range-bound structure indicates compression, not impulse.
✴️ Conclusion: Tactical latency – volatility may reawaken post-volume.
⊢
▦ Volume (21):
∴ Faint increase in last bullish candle – still below strategic threshold;
∴ Lacks institutional confirmation.
✴️ Conclusion: Spot activity insufficient – neutral, vulnerable structure.
⊢
🜎 Strategic Insight – Technical Oracle:
∴ H1 presents structural compression between EMA9/21/50, confirming tactical latency;
∴ RSI at deep oversold – signal of exhaustion, not yet momentum;
∴ Bollinger and MACD show early signs of kinetic preparation;
∴ The market is postured, not reactive – awaiting a directional event.
✴️ Tactical View: Structurally Neutral – Momentum Suspended, entry only upon RSI/Volume confirmation and MACD validation.
⊢
∫ II. On-Chain Intelligence – (Source: CryptoQuant):
∴ Update as of June 21, 2025 – Synchronized to H1 Structural Reading.
▦ Exchange Netflow Total – (All Exchanges) – (+692 BTC):
∴ Positive net inflow detected over 24h;
∴ Suggests moderate sell-side liquidity entering exchanges;
∴ Reflects defensive posturing, not panic-driven behavior.
✴️ Conclusion: Mild bearish pressure – not sufficient to invalidate structural base.
⊢
▦ Spot Taker CVD - (Cumulative Volume Delta, 90-day):
∴ Dominance of Taker Sell Volume confirmed – aggressive sellers remain in control;
∴ Pattern consistent over the last 6 sessions;
∴ No divergence between volume behavior and price structure.
✴️ Conclusion: Market remains tactically sell-biased – momentum driven by taker aggression.
⊢
▦ Spent Output Profit Ratio (SOPR) – (1.009):
∴ Marginally above 1.00 – coins being spent in mild profit;
∴ Absence of capitulation, but also no sign of deep conviction among holders;
∴ Stable rotation, not breakout-driven.
✴️ Conclusion: Structural neutrality – market is churning without direction.
⊢
▦ Adjusted SOPR (aSOPR) – (≈1.00):
∴ Flat – confirms lack of distribution or panic;
∴ Historically aligns with consolidation regimes.
✴️ Conclusion: Supply behavior is balanced – trend-neutral reading.
⊢
▦ Open Interest – All Exchanges – ($34.01B):
∴ Remains elevated – indicative of speculative leverage;
∴ Elevated risk of liquidation cascade on directional volatility;
∴ OI rising faster than spot volume = synthetic exposure dominating.
✴️ Conclusion: Market structurally exposed – fragile to external triggers.
⊢
▦ Funding Rate – All Exchanges – (-0.003):
∴ Slightly negative – shorts funding longs;
∴ Suggests bearish bias among leveraged participants;
∴ Conditions ripe for short squeeze if spot demand increases.
✴️ Conclusion: Contrarian setup building – tactical upside risk exists.
⊢
🜎 Strategic Insight – On-Chain Oracle:
∴ Metrics reflect a market under cautious speculative tension;
∴ No broad liquidation, no long-term holder exit – base intact;
∴ Taker dominance and leverage build-up suggest reactive positioning;
∴ System is neutral-leaning fragile – vulnerable to both triggers and traps.
✴️ Tactical Note: "Structurally Stable – Tactically Unsettled"
⊢
⧉ III. Contextvs Macro–Geopoliticvs – Interflux Economicus:
∴ Macro Landscape Reference – June 21, 2025.
▦ United States – Federal Policy & Risk Layer:
∴ Treasury Yield Curve remains slightly positive (+0.44%), removing short-term recession signal;
∴ 10Y yield elevated at 4.42% – reflects sustained inflation resistance and risk demand;
∴ Fed maintains QT stance – no rate cuts expected before September;
∴ Tension with Iran intensifying – military rhetoric entering fiscal discourse.
✴️ Conclusion: U.S. macro acts as compression catalyst – neutral on surface, volatile underneath.
⊢
▦ Strategic Bitcoin Reserve – (Executive Order – Trump):
∴ Recent Executive Order establishes BTC as sovereign asset class;
∴ Adds policy-level legitimacy to institutional accumulation;
∴ Reflects shift from “hedge” to “strategic reserve logic”.
✴️ Conclusion: Structural bull signal – narrative transition confirmed.
⊢
▦ China – Internal Stimulus & Soft Deflation:
∴ PPI negative at -3.3%, Retail Sales up 6.4% – stimulus-driven divergence;
∴ Fiscal revenue declining YTD – systemic drag despite easing;
∴ Not a current volatility driver.
✴️ Conclusion: China is neutral to crypto – reactive, not directive.
⊢
▦ European Union – Disinflation & Monetary Drift:
∴ HICP falls to 1.9%, ECB cuts deposit rate to 2.00%;
∴ PMI Composite < 50 – economic contraction quietly progressing;
∴ Forward guidance hesitant.
✴️ Conclusion: EU remains marginal – supportive for risk, but not catalytic.
⊢
▦ Global Fragmentation & SWIFT Erosion:
∴ Geopolitical blocs continue diverging – dollar-reliant systems weakening;
∴ Bitcoin seen increasingly as transactional hedge in sanctioned environments;
∴ De-dollarization dynamic accelerating.
✴️ Conclusion: Bitcoin positioned as neutral monetary rail – volatility shield and escape valve.
⊢
🜎 Strategic Insight – Interflux Macro Oracle:
∴ U.S. remains the dominant macro variable – its monetary and geopolitical stance defines volatility posture;
∴ Bitcoin structurally benefits from institutional legitimacy, but tactically suspended by risk-off layers;
∴ The system is internally calm, externally tense – volatility is downstream of Powell and geopolitical shock.
⊢
⌘ Codicillus Silentii – Strategic Note:
∴ Temporal structure remains compressed, yet technically reactive;
∴ On-chain behavior supports latent structural integrity, but reveals synthetic tension;
∴ Macro axis introduces dual asymmetry – stability in policy, instability in conflict;
∴ The system is in latency – not due to certainty, but due to mutual hesitation.
⊢
𓂀 Stoic-Structural Interpretation:
▦ Structurally Bullish.
∴ The underlying structure - long-term moving averages, exchange reserves, macro narrative, and holder behavior - remains intact and upward-biased;
∴ There is no technical breakdown or structural disassembly;
∴ It is the silent foundation - the “floor” of the chart remains elevated.
⊢
▦ Tactically Suspended.
∴ Although the structure points to strength, the present moment neither demands nor validates action;
∴ There is no volume, no ignition signal, no confirmation flow;
∴ Thus, the tactic is suspended - the trader (or observer) is in a disciplined state of observation, not execution.
⊢
⧉
⚜️ Magister Arcanvm (𝟙⟠) – Vox Primordialis!
𓂀 Wisdom begins in silence. Precision unfolds in strategy.
⧉
⊢
BTC levels to watch for a breakoutMarkets are quiet, and Bitcoin is coiling. A potential breakout looms as we await the President’s Working Group crypto update by July 23. Will positive news trigger a rally to $121,000? Watch for key levels and triangle patterns.
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Bais A.M.D : Accumulation Manipulation and Distribution.
H & S : Head and Shoulder
Accumulation.
BTC Accumulated Range 104139 - 106206
Manipulation
Manipulated Range 106247 - 109105
Forming a Head and Shoulder pattern.
Distribution
Currently in a Distribution phase.
After breaking below 106247 support to a low 102287. Heading to a Minor resistance range 105233 - 105731 for a more downside continuation below 102275.
IMO. DYOR
HelenP. I Bitcoin can correct to trend line and start move upHi folks today I'm prepared for you Bitcoin analytics. In this chart, we can observe how the price developed a gradual upward trend, respecting the trend line as dynamic support multiple times. After each interaction with this line, the price showed a consistent pattern of rebounding and continuing its upward movement. Recently, the price faced a notable correction, which pushed it back toward this trend line once again, a critical zone that has proven its relevance as a support area. Upon touching the line, the market reacted with a bounce, signaling that buyers are still active and defending the structure. The price began to climb again, regaining some momentum, though it hasn’t yet managed to break the previous highs. Now BTCUSD is hovering near the ascending trend line, preparing for what could be another retest. If the trend holds, we may see a short-term decline toward this line, followed by a bullish rebound. I expect the price to push higher from this level, targeting the resistance zone near 108300, which also acted as a rejection area in the past. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
Disclaimer: As part of ThinkMarkets’ Influencer Program, I am sponsored to share and publish their charts in my analysis.
Middle East Tension: Read This Before You Trade today⚔️🕊️💣 Middle East Tension: Read This Before Markets close for the Weekend 🌍🔥✌️
Video:
Hey traders,
Today’s landscape is delicate and raw: we stand between a possible US strike on Iran and a chance for leaders to step back from the edge. Many are asking: Should I bet on gold? Should I short the indices? Should I buy oil?
Here’s my honest read, straight from today’s video (which I highly recommend you watch for full context 📺):
👉 Bitcoin (BTC)
Still ranging sideways. The last move hit my resistance zone perfectly. For now, BTC keeps its cool — but watch out: global fear can spark sudden moves, or the opposite, a liquidity crunch.
👉 Gold & Silver
Yes, they’re classic safe havens — but don’t fall for the textbook trap. When true chaos strikes, big players often sell profitable gold positions to cover losses elsewhere. So an initial spike is possible, but deep pockets can reverse it fast. This is why I’m cautious: I do not expect a guaranteed pump on gold or silver.
👉 Crude Oil (WTI)
The chart says it all: any strike in the Middle East fuels oil prices fast. But as I’ve always said — I do not long oil during human tragedy. Ethics over easy pips.
👉 Indices & USDJPY
Gaps are likely. Risk assets may get hammered if bombs fall. If leaders choose dialogue instead, expect a risk-on rebound. The USD stays a wildcard: trust in the US remains, but shocks test that trust.
👉 Airlines Pausing Flights?
Yes — major airlines are avoiding the Gulf. That alone signals how real this risk is.
✅ My plan is clear:
I never short disasters. I never profit from pain. I am LONG on humanity and peace. I’d rather lose a trade than wish for blood in the streets.
I do have some carefully calculated positions open tonight — fully risk-managed and small-sized. If Monday gaps bless me, fine. If peace wins and my trades lose? Even better.
👉 Watch the full video for my live charts, context, and unfiltered thoughts.
This text is just a recap — the full idea is already posted as a video.
Stay sharp. Stay ethical. Protect your capital and your soul — one good trade is never worth your humanity.
One Love,
The FXPROFESSOR 💙
Disclosure: I am happy to be part of the Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Awesome broker, where the trader really comes first! 🌟🤝📈
My btcusd analysis based on demand & supply , and central areaFirst of all btcusd in down trend , then i follow demand supply rule, from my observation.
Second point look the pressure in the hammers , it tells where the price heading, and for more confirmation wait for hammer failure and retest in the price, then you see the momentum in the price.
Bitcoin (EoY '28) - Potentials <3I just wanted to publish this because I feel there is some deep involvement on the drawings based off the all-time historic trendline.
I would like to see how this unfolds. Usually, I am too grandiose about my predictions, or too short-time-minded/%gains. Today we can see a few things that are appreciative and indicative of continuation on a higher timeframe. We can crawl and crawl forever. You musn't be afraid. Continue to trudge forward. There are no bears here, they are only phantoms in the dark.
BTCUSD – At a Make-or-Break LevelBTCUSD – At a Make-or-Break Level: Will Bitcoin Rebound or Slide Further?
Bitcoin continues to hover near a critical support level after last week's sharp drop. With rising macro uncertainty, shifting institutional flows, and growing interest in crypto regulation, BTCUSD is showing signs of a potential reversal — but traders should proceed with caution.
🌐 Macro Outlook – Debt Pressure, ETFs & Election Talk Fuel Uncertainty
US fiscal stress is building: Analysts warn that the United States could see interest payments exceed $1 trillion in 2025 — more than its defense or healthcare budget. This puts pressure on the Federal Reserve to consider fiscal tightening instead of rate cuts.
Spot Bitcoin ETF inflows are slowing: After a strong start in early 2024, institutional flows into spot BTC ETFs have cooled down recently. Hedge funds and asset managers are waiting for more clarity on economic policy.
Pro-crypto narratives gaining traction in US politics: With elections approaching, political figures are floating proposals to use Bitcoin as a strategic reserve asset and encourage crypto-based financial infrastructure.
Meanwhile, the US Dollar Index (DXY) remains volatile. A weaker dollar could support crypto, but stronger-than-expected inflation data may fuel further caution.
📉 Technical Analysis (BTCUSD – H1 to H4)
BTC is currently trading within a medium-term descending channel, and has recently tested the key support zone near 103,108.
A potential V-recovery pattern is forming. If buyers can hold this zone and break above 104,184, the price may target 106,047 and eventually 107,586.
However, EMA clusters (50–100–200) on the H1 chart are still pressing downward. A confirmed bullish reversal would require a breakout above 105,200 with strong volume.
✅ Suggested Trade Plan
🟢 BUY ZONE: 103,100 – 103,300
Entry: On price reaction with confirmation candlestick
SL: 102,600
TP: 104,184 → 106,047 → 107,586
🔴 SELL ZONE: 107,500 – 107,800
Entry: Only if price rejects resistance at upper channel
SL: 108,200
TP: 106,000 → 104,500
⚠️ Avoid aggressive shorting in the current range to reduce false breakout risk.
💬 Final Thoughts for Indian Traders
The current market is caught between macroeconomic caution and long-term crypto optimism. Bitcoin is holding near its lower range — a zone that historically triggers upward momentum.
For Indian traders, the key is to wait for clear structural confirmation and respect technical levels. Let price and macro alignment guide your decisions, not emotion or hype.
Plan the trade. Trade the plan. Protect your capital.
BTCUSD 15M CHART PATTERN This chart is a 15-minute candlestick chart of Bitcoin (BTC/USD) from TradingView, showing recent price movement and a potential bullish prediction.
Key Observations:
1. Downtrend & Reversal Point:
A significant downward move is marked with a red arrow, signaling a potential short-selling opportunity or a bearish trend that recently ended.
The price then forms a rising trendline (in red), suggesting an ascending triangle pattern — a bullish continuation signal.
2. Current Price:
As of the time on the chart (June 21, 2025, 04:56 UTC), the BTC price is approximately $103,441.
3. Breakout Projection:
A green arrow indicates a breakout point above the resistance level, supported by the red trendline.
The chart suggests a projected bullish move with a target near $108,090, illustrated with an upward zigzag path in a shaded box — representing the possible path price might follow post-breakout.
4. Chart Analysis Implication:
If the price holds above the red trendline and breaks above the consolidation range, the projection implies an upward target of around $108,000–$110,000.
Conclusion:
The chart author anticipates a bullish breakout from a consolidation pattern, aiming for higher levels in the short term. However, a failure to hold above the rising trendline might invalidate the bullish scenario.
Would you like a technical analysis summary, a trading strategy based on this chart, or help interpreting more details?
BTC to 125000📈 BTCUSD Long Setup – Maximum Fear Often Marks the Bottom
Timeframe: 8H
Entry: ~103,500
SL: 96,448
TP: 125,000
RR: ~3:1
🧠 Market Sentiment:
The current environment is dominated by extreme fear – sentiment is heavily bearish, and interest from retail investors is strikingly low. Most market participants appear to be short or sitting in hedged positions, which ironically sets the stage for a potential short squeeze if price breaks to the upside.
🔍 Technical Context:
BTC has been ranging for weeks – support has held repeatedly.
Liquidity has been swept below previous lows – possible spring formation.
A reclaim of the 104k–105k zone could act as a launchpad.
Setup anticipates a contrarian move against the prevailing bearish bias
BTC, will hibernate for a few weeks from here to sub 100k.BTC rise has been impressive the last few weeks with market triggering excitement after hitting a series of ATH and finally punching the elusive100k levels, and pushing it further to 110k as a bonus.
But like with any overheated parabolic move, a cool down will need to transpire eventually. And that season is ripe now for the king of coins.
From the diagram we are seeing some curve fitting price action, with horizontal ranging at the upper channel -- indicating a bull saturation scenario.
A corrective phase to 0.5 fib levels maybe expected in the next few weeks. It did the same behavior last time. This hibernation would be healthy in the long run - and it needed to happen.
Spotted at 104k.
Target sub 100k levels / or 0.5 fib at 94k.
TAYOR.
Trade safely.
Btcusd Fall ContinuesBitcoin (BTC) tumbled to a low of $101,095 on Friday amid volatility in the market. The effect of the tussle between United States (US) President Donald Trump and Tesla Chief Elon Musk negatively influenced the NASDAQ and Tesla's stock price on Thursday, although both are recovering on Friday.
Bitcoin Could Hit as High as $400KWhen comparing our macro cycle to the 2017 cycle, we see the potential for a very parabolic run on Bitcoin. I believe Bitcoin could hit as high as $400K by 2029. This is because Bitcoin tends to follow the stock market, and I anticipate a major blow-off top coming for the stock market. I expect one more big parabolic run on the Dow Jones leading up to 2029, which would fuel Bitcoin’s rise to $400K.
The lowest I see Bitcoin going during this parabolic run is $250K. On the higher end, I could see it hitting $400K or even more. Big things are coming.
As always, stay profitable.
— Dalin Anderson