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BTCUSD Multi Collateral Perpetual Futures ContractBTCUSD Multi Collateral Perpetual Futures ContractBTCUSD Multi Collateral Perpetual Futures Contract

BTCUSD Multi Collateral Perpetual Futures Contract

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BTCUSD.PM trade ideas

BITCOIN Bull Cycle's next two probable stops..Bitcoin (BTCUSD) has been trading within a 2.5-year Channel Up throughout the entirety of its 2023 - 2025 Bull Cycle, showcasing incredible consistency. This is perhaps BTC's most stable Bull Cycle and that can help us estimate to some degree its next two key levels, before its tops. As you can see, every major Higher High of this pattern has been either on or marginally above a +0.5 Fibonacci interval: Fib 0.5 was the February 2023 High and Accumulation Phase. Fib 1.0 the April - September 2023 Accumulation. Fib 1.5 December 2023 - January 2024. Fib 2.0 March - September 2024. Fib 2.5 December 2024 - February 2025. Right now the market seems to be attempting a break-out above a Bull Flag, following the massive April 07 2025 rebound on the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line), a level that has been the most optimal buy entry in the past 2 years. The next stop based on this model is the 3.0 Fibonacci extension level at 133000, where there are high probabilities for the market to consolidate (accumulation phase) in preparation for perhaps the final stop and Cycle peak on the 3.5 Fib ext around 191000. As we've discussed on previous analyses, a final Target between those two around $150000 may be more fitting, carrying less risk into the final months of the Bull Cycle. So what do you think? Do you believe that's the blueprint to follow until the end of the year/ Cycle? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below! ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by TradingShot
3
Sideways ChannelLooks like today we have bounced off the midpoint of this channel. Yesterday we dropped, today we rise! Overall, this looks like a very neutral position. Potential for a short gain here up to previous highs with a bounce back down to lows. No one can predict how long we will stay in this channel, but the breakout or breakdown will be very bold and very loud in one direction. As a trend trader, I am looking to a breakup potential right now. If I had to be in a position, it would be long.
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by WickNight
A new BUY signal has emerged on the BTC/USDBUY Signal: Activated at 107168.37, following a rejection from demand and signs of bullish momentum building, suggesting a potential short-term reversal. TP Zones: TP1: 108458.10 TP2: 109747.83 Final TP: 111037.56 This setup offers a potential profit range of approximately +1,290 to +3,869 pips from entry. Market Structure: Price broke downward structure previously but has since reacted strongly from the demand zone, forming a new higher low and showing signs of reclaiming premium imbalance zones. The signal aligns with a possible shift toward bullish continuation, with targets set within the overhead supply area. Remember to manage your trades carefully and ensure this setup fits your overall strategy. Stay sharp and trade responsibly!
BINANCE:BTCUSDLong
by TradersJourneys
Bitcoin Is Looking For A Bullish ContinuationMorning all! Bitcoin has impulsive characteristics on 4h time frame, and we can clearly see five waves up that can send the price even higher after recent projected ABC correction. With the current impulsive recovery back above 106k area, it confirms that bulls are still here and we should be aware of further rally in July, especially if breaks above channel resistance line near 110k area. Seems like it's in wave (1) of a new five-wave bullish impulse, so after current wave (2) pullback, we can expect more gains within wave (3).
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by ew-forecast
BITCOIN STRATED FORMING BEARISH TREND STRUCTUREBITCOIN SHOWS SIGNS OF BEARISH REVERSAL – KEY LEVELS TO WATCH After an extended bullish run, Bitcoin is now showing early signs of a potential trend reversal as the market begins forming a bearish structure. The formation of a lower low on the price chart indicates weakening bullish momentum and suggests that sellers may be gaining control. This development comes after a sustained upward trend, signaling that a corrective phase could be underway in the cryptocurrency market. Bearish Confirmation: Lower Low Formation The appearance of a lower low is one of the most reliable technical indicators of a trend reversal. This pattern demonstrates that bears are successfully pushing prices below previous support levels, establishing a new downward trajectory. While this doesn't necessarily confirm a long-term bear market, it does suggest that Bitcoin could face further downside pressure in the near term. Traders should watch for confirmation through follow-through selling or additional bearish candlestick patterns. Downside Target: $99,000 in Focus If the bearish momentum continues, Bitcoin could test the $99,000 support level in upcoming trading sessions. This level represents a psychologically important zone where buyers may attempt to step in. However, a decisive break below this support could accelerate declines, potentially leading to deeper corrections. Traders should monitor volume and price action around this level for signs of either consolidation or continuation of the downtrend. Resistance Level: $12,000 as Key Barrier On the upside, $12,000 now acts as a critical resistance level. Any short-term rallies toward this zone could attract renewed selling pressure, reinforcing the bearish outlook. For the current downtrend to be invalidated, Bitcoin would need to reclaim and sustain above this resistance with strong buying volume. Until then, traders may consider selling into strength near this level while maintaining tight risk management. Market Outlook: Correction Expected After Prolonged Rally Given Bitcoin's history of volatile price swings, this potential reversal should not come as a complete surprise after its extended bullish run. Market participants should watch for: - Increasing trading volume on downward moves (confirming bearish conviction) - Potential bearish continuation patterns (like descending triangles or flag formations) - Macro factors that could influence crypto markets (regulatory news, ETF flows, or macroeconomic shifts) Conclusion Bitcoin appears to be entering a corrective phase, with $99,000 as the next key downside target and $12,000 serving as major resistance. While the broader uptrend may still be intact long-term, short-term traders should prepare for potential bearish continuation. As always, proper position sizing and stop-loss strategies remain crucial in navigating Bitcoin's inherent volatility. A break above $12,000 would require reassessment of the bearish outlook.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by Brillant_Capital
BTC/USD 15M CHART PATTERNHere's a breakdown of your BTCUSD trade plan: --- 📈 Trade Setup Position: Buy BTCUSD Entry Price: 106,800 --- 🎯 Take Profit Levels 1. TP1: 107,200 (+400 pips / +0.37%) 2. TP2: 107,700 (+900 pips / +0.84%) 3. TP3: 108,325 (+1,525 pips / +1.43%) --- 🛑 Stop Loss SL: 106,028 (-772 pips / -0.72% risk) --- 📊 Risk-Reward Ratio TP1: ~0.52 : 1 TP2: ~1.17 : 1 TP3: ~1.97 : 1 This plan shows a low initial reward, but the later targets improve the R:R considerably. Make sure your position size reflects your total risk tolerance. Would you like help turning this into a trading journal entry, risk calculator, or script for a trading bot (e.g., in Pine Script or Python)?
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by Mrprofe21
1
BTC Bull Flag Breakout or Fakeout? Eyes on $107K–$112K ZoneHere's my updated chart for Bitcoin (BTC/USD) on the daily timeframe. The price action is currently testing a key zone that could define whether we're heading into the next major leg up, or facing another rejection. Pattern Breakdown: - BTC is respecting a bull flag formation after a strong impulse leg earlier this year. - The $105K level has held as critical support, keeping the bull flag structure intact. - Price is currently pressing against descending resistance (~$107K) with tightening consolidation indicating an imminent breakout decision. Key Levels to Watch: Support: $105K – holding this level keeps bullish momentum valid. $101.6K (Bollinger midline) $100.4K (EMA 100) – must hold for macro trend to stay intact. Resistance (before $112K): $107K – major descending trendline resistance. $110.1K – upper Bollinger Band and recent local high. $112.45K – key breakout level from the flag. A daily close above this could trigger a sharp rally. Indicators: MACD is forming a bullish crossover but lacks strong momentum, watch for a green histogram to confirm. RSI at ~51 gives BTC room to run, not in overbought territory. Volume is low, but coiling tight near the apex could spark volatility. Conclusion: BTC is at a critical decision point. A clean breakout above $107K, followed by sustained momentum through $110K–$112K, would significantly raise the probability of a confirmed bull flag breakout, with a potential move toward $120K+. However, the $105K level is a key support that must hold to keep this structure intact. If we see a daily close below $105K, attention shifts to the $101K level (Bollinger Band midline + 53 SMA). A close below $101K would invalidate the bull flag entirely, turning this setup into a potential bull trap, and shifting short-term bias bearish. All eyes are on the $107K–$112K resistance zone for confirmation—or breakdown signals if support levels give way.
CRYPTO:BTCUSD
by xfzzhs2tbj
Bitcoin May Break Higher if $108K Clears📊 Market: BTC trades around $106,860, driven by strong ETF inflows and weaker USD ahead of Fed rate decisions. 📉 Technical: • Resistance: $107,400–108,000 → breakout may target $110,000+ • Support: $106,500–106,800 → next at $105,500 • EMA: Price above EMA9 → short-term uptrend • Momentum: RSI > 80, Stoch high → upside potential but overbought 📌 Outlook: BTC could rise if $108K breaks. If not, expect a pullback to $106,800. 💡 Trade Setup: 🔺 BUY BTC/USD: $107,000–107,200 🎯 TP: 1000–2000 pts ❌ SL: $106,500 🔻 SELL BTC/USD: $108,000–108,200 🎯 TP: $106,800–107,000 ❌ SL: $108,500
OANDA:BTCUSDLong
by Mian-FXSignals
Crypto breakouts: Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Solana lead the surgeJune brought a wave of positive sentiment to digital assets. Despite global uncertainty, major cryptocurrencies continued their upward movement. Investors are once again turning to decentralized assets amid expectations of a Fed rate cut and an increasingly fragile macro backdrop. Key moves this month : • Bitcoin (#BTCUSD) +4.6% — Strengthened by a weaker dollar and renewed institutional interest. JPMorgan projects $150,000 by 2025. • Ethereum (#ETHUSD) +3.8% — Gains on ETF optimism and rising DeFi activity. • Solana (#SOLUSD) +6.1% — In the spotlight due to network scalability and new Web3 partnerships. • Ripple (#XRPUSD) +2.4% — Rebounding after positive developments in the SEC case and potential global alliances. • Dogecoin (#DOGUSD) +5.2% — Community-driven momentum and fresh public support from Elon Musk. Underperformers: • Litecoin (#LTCUSD) –1.8%, Cardano (#ADAUSD) –2.2% — Profit-taking and lack of new drivers weighed on prices. • Polkadot (#DOTUSD) –3.1% — Weak on-chain metrics and fading interest in cross-chain solutions added pressure. According to FreshForex analysts, the crypto market is entering a recovery phase. Signals from the Fed hint at upcoming rate cuts, while interest in decentralized projects and crypto ETFs is rising. Market leadership by #BTC and #ETH reflects growing confidence, while altcoins continue to follow the broader upward trend.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
Bitcoin Stuck in Channel but Building up for Breakout?Hey Traders so today we are looking at Bitcoin currently trading in narrow sideways channel. But looking like strong support at 100,431 notice how on June 22 could not close below it. Also notice on May 8 that was the same area for strong rally. So I think a good place to get back in this market would be half the daily candle on June 23 or a price of 103,150 or even 102,000. Strong stop below support around 97,582 or lower. So if bullish buy on pullback to channel support however if bearish wait for break below 96,000 that way you know market has confirmed move lower. I think right now it's still showing bull market signs but only time will tell. Good Luck & Always use Risk Management! (Just in we are wrong in our analysis most experts recommend never to risk more than 2% of your account equity on any given trade.) Hope This Helps Your Trading 😃 Clifford
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by TradeTheIndex
Bitcoin Monthly Candle Close colour and patterns since 2011 At the beginning of June , I wrote this ""On only 2 occasions have we had a GREEN JAN, RED FEB, RED MARCH, GREEN APRIL And Both of them were on the way to ATH. (Boxes ) On both those occasions we also had a GREEN MAY, though the gains were minimal and one was followed by a Green June and the other by a Red June." We just got the GREEN June and so this draws my eye to the sequence on the left, ( arrow ) If we are to follow this, then July should be a larger Green (Arrow) - BULLISH In-fact, in both the sequences we have been following ( boxes), July was GREEN- BULLISH And using just the month candle colours, we have a higher chance of another Green candle, with July having had 9 Green to 4 Red previously. - BULLISH However Of the previous 8 Green June Closes , only 3 went to a Green July - BEARISH And I have to say, on NONE of the previous Green Junes were we so close to the current ATH. July 2021 being the closest with a price at 41K, around 18K below the current ATH at the time. We are currently only around 200 usd below Current ATH This adds enormous resistance to the ability to rise I wanted a RED June because I felt it was more sustainable and would lead to a cycle ATH at the end of the year. As can be seen in the middle Box If we look back toward the 2012 Box on the left, we may now get a Hot July / August , September and then a Cool off for October, November & December. But something tells me this will not happen. The Candles for our current cycle in April, May and June are diminishing in size, the opposite of 2012 But they are similar to the 2020 box, except for the red June close. This could lead to the desired "Cooling" in August & September and a new lift off in autumn. And if you look at the chart Candle Colour Count, , August and September are usually RED by some majority This also gives us the Bigger Green July candle that the "Odds" point towards. So, as ever, we have to wait and see how this plays out. Odds in favour of a Green July using previous cycle Data PA position just below current ATH could lead to a slightly Bearish out look in the short term. And if you are hoping to see ALTS Rally, PLEASE keep your eye on the BTC.D chart This also points to wards BTC ATH in Q4 this year And then, we have the BIG question.......Will we ever see a Classix Bear again ? With so many Holding Bitcoin LongTerm.....How would a Bear market arrive ? BUY BITCOIN HOLD BITCOIN But, as ever, we just have to wait and see,
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by Orriginal
Bitcoin - The Silent Ascent of Under Institutional Custody.⊢ ⟁ BTC/USD – BINANCE – (CHART: 1W) – (Date: July 01, 2025). ◇ Analysis Price: $106,464.00. ⊢ ⨀ I. Temporal Axis – Strategic Interval – (1W): ▦ EMA21 – ($98,213.17): ∴ The EMA21 has provided dynamic mid-term support since early Q4 2024; ∴ Recent pullbacks respected the line precisely, confirming its role as tactical trend anchor. ✴ Conclusion: Tactical bullish posture maintained. Rejection above EMA21 signals controlled bullish continuation. ⊢ ▦ Week Moving Average 200WMA – ($60,425.78): ∴ The 200WMA continues its upward ascent, now surpassing the symbolic $60k level; ∴ Price remains structurally elevated, approximately 76% above the WMA baseline, marking a strong long-term cycle support. ✴ Conclusion: Structurally bullish. The 200WMA acts as a deep support; no signs of cyclical exhaustion. ⊢ ▦ Volume + MA21: ∴ Volume remains within normal bounds, with no explosive or capitulative behavior; ∴ The 21-week average volume shows steadiness, confirming institutional absorption rather than speculative frenzy. ✴ Conclusion: Price action is supported by consistent volume. There is conviction, not hype. ⊢ ▦ RSI + EMA21 – (RSI: 61.01 | EMA: 60.00): ∴ RSI remains stable above the 60-threshold, traditionally a bull-control zone; ∴ The EMA21 on RSI sits just beneath it, reflecting sustainable momentum without overheating. ✴ Conclusion: Momentum is alive and consistent. Pressure is not euphoric, but persistently positive. ⊢ ▦ Mayer Multiple – (1.11): ∴ The current Mayer Multiple (Price ÷ 200WMA) is at 1.11, far below critical cyclical warning zones; ∴ Historical peaks formed above 2.4–3.2×, placing current readings in neutral-to-accumulative territory. ✴ Conclusion: No signs of macro-top formation. Room for expansion remains open within cycle structure. ⊢ 🜎 Strategic Insight – Technical Oracle: ∴ Bitcoin maintains an elevated stance above all major structural supports; ∴ No indicators suggest euphoric excess or terminal cycle behavior; ∴ Momentum, structure, and volume all reflect the essence of a mature but breathing bull cycle, silently advancing. ⊢ ∫ II. On-Chain Intelligence – (Source: CryptoQuant): ▦ MVRV Ratio – (2.22): ∴ The current MVRV remains below the historical danger zone of >2.5; ∴ Price is elevated, but not euphoric - reflective of controlled structural ascent. ✴ Conclusion: BTC sits in the upper-middle band of valuation. No top formation indicated, but vigilance required. ⊢ ▦ Exchange Reserve – (All Exchanges – 2.4M BTC (new low): ∴ Continuous decline in BTC held on exchanges since Q4 2022; ∴ Signals that coins are being withdrawn to self-custody – typical of conviction-based accumulation. ✴ Conclusion: Supply is drying from trading venues. This is fundamentally bullish and reduces short-term dump risk. ⊢ ▦ Realized Cap – ($958B): ∴ The realized capitalization is climbing in tandem with price - without flattening or divergence; ∴ Indicates strong inflow of high-conviction capital setting new cost-bases. ✴ Conclusion: Market is absorbing price increases via real buyer interest. Structural support is being rebuilt at higher levels. ⊢ ▦ Short-Term Holder Realized Price & Profit/Loss Margin: ∴ Profit margins are rising but remain beneath the historical 70% “euphoria line;” ∴ No extreme deviation between spot price and realized price. ✴ Conclusion: Profit-taking is occurring in equilibrium. No signs of unsustainable speculation. ⊢ ▦ Spent Output Profit Ratio – (SOPR - 1.036): ∴ Values above 1 indicate net selling at a profit; ∴ However, the ratio is stable and modest – no spike. ✴ Conclusion: Profitable selling is active, but not excessive. Market is cycling profits without panic or climax. ⊢ ▦ Stablecoin Supply Ratio - (SSR – 17.6): ∴ A high SSR means fewer stablecoins relative to BTC -> lower immediate buy-side liquidity; ∴ This aligns with observed euro-stablecoin inflows and USD retreat. ✴ Conclusion: Bitcoin price is rising without massive stablecoin inflow. Potential for future upside if SSR compresses. ⊢ 🜎 Strategic Insight – On-Chain Oracle: ∴ All six indicators converge on a structurally bullish; ∴ Tactically stable market; ∴ There is no evidence of blow-off top, exhaustion, or manic distribution; ∴ Supply is retreating, valuation rising moderately, and profit cycles remain rational. ⊢ ⧉ III. Contextvs Macro–Geopoliticvs – Interflux Economicvs: ▦ Macro-Structural Narrative: ∴ Bitcoin closed Q2 2025 with a +29.9% quarterly gain - (source: CryptoRank); ∴ The rally is attributed to growing institutional adoption, bolstered by pro-Bitcoin policies of the Trump administration, including treasury-on-chain initiatives; ∴ Macroeconomic tension around trade wars has eased, fueling upward movement in both BTC and the S&P 500, signaling synchronized risk-on appetite - (source: Coindesk). ✴ Conclusion: The quarterly momentum reflects fundamental confidence, not speculative heat, Bitcoin is tracking macro cycles and policy favorability - not detaching from economic logic. ⊢ ▦ Liquidity Rotation Signal: ∴ While BTC saw a record monthly close above $106K in June, attention turned to the Euro, which surged ~4%, outperforming Bitcoin ~2.5% monthly gain - (source: Coindesk); ∴ This signals capital movement out of the USD and into alternative monetary zones, including euro-pegged stablecoins, highlighting a shift in liquidity strategy. ✴ Conclusion: Bitcoin performance remains strong, but stablecoin flows suggest hedging against USD, and potential cross-currency dynamics now influence crypto markets more than in past cycles. ⊢ ▦ Institutional Absorption: ∴ Q2 2025 marked multiple treasury-scale Bitcoin purchases, the most notable was Strategy Inc.’s addition of $531 million in Bitcoin; ∴ Coindesk reports increasing movement of aged coins, suggesting long-term holders are realizing profit selectively, not exiting fully; ∴ Realized on-chain gains estimated around $2.4 billion, but SOPR and STH-P/L data show no speculative frenzy. ✴ Conclusion: Institutional reaccumulation is active - distribution is rational, not euphoric, the market is cycling profits, not dissolving conviction. ⊢ ▦ Sentiment & Policy Alignment: ∴ Trump’s active endorsement of Bitcoin as a "strategic reserve instrument" has galvanized corporate treasuries and conservative capital; ∴ Policy signals from the U.S. now mirror early El Salvador-like rhetoric but on a scaled geopolitical stage; ∴ Meanwhile, legislative friction in the EU is softening, with euro-stablecoin flows confirming multi-jurisdictional bullish alignment. ✴ Conclusion: Bitcoin is evolving from speculative asset into a political-economic monetary instrument. Its adoption curve is now influenced by state-level policy vectors, not just market actors. ⊢ ⧈ Synthesis – Silent Codex Verdict: ∴ Bitcoin’s Q2 expansion is rooted in structural convergence: (policy + macro easing + institutional inflows + on-chain discipline); ∴ The asset is not overheated, and continues to mature within a globalized, politically aware framework; ∴ The cycle breathes silently, with strength. ⊢ ⌘ Codicillus Silentii – Strategic Note: ∴ Resistance remains near $110K–112K, region of monthly closure highs; ∴ EMA21 at $98K defines tactical floor - breach would signify shift in short-term conviction; ∴ SSR at 17.6 suggests temporary stablecoin dryness, delaying momentum ignition. ✴ Conclusion: Tactical posture is consolidative, awaiting macro or capital inflow catalyst. Upside remains open, but not yet inevitable. ⊢ 𓂀 Stoic-Structural Interpretation: ∴ Structurally Bullish – (Tactically Controlled); ∴ Bitcoin maintains long-term structural dominance, anchored above the 200WMA and supported by rising Realized Cap and exchange outflows; ∴ The RSI + EMA21 structure confirms active but non-euphoric momentum; ∴ MVRV at 2.22 and SOPR at 1.03 reflect profitable cycling, not late-stage irrationality; ∴ No blow-off volume or destabilizing divergence across timeframes. ✴ Conclusion: Bitcoin is in mid-cycle ascension, exhibiting maturity, discipline, and policy-aligned backing. The structural bullish thesis is intact. ⊢ ⧉ ⚜️ Magister Arcanvm – Vox Primordialis! 𓂀 Wisdom begins in silence. Precision unfolds in strategy. ⧉ ⊢
BINANCE:BTCUSDLong
by Magister_Arcanvm