Bitcoin Eyes Breakout if Clears $114,000📊 Market Overview:
• Bitcoin trades around $109,350, with an intraday high near $109,610
• Rosenberg Research notes BTC could rally ~6% to clear $114,000, potentially triggering a 25% rise to $143,000 on the back of ETF inflows, a weaker dollar, and Fed rate cut expectations
📉 Technical Analysis:
•Key Resistance: ~$114,000; followed by the psychological $112,000 zone .
•Nearest Support: $107,000 (prior highs/descending channel bottom) and key floor at $100,000
•EMA Levels:
o Price consolidates near 50-day EMA ($105,800), a crucial confluence zone
•Candlestick/Momentum:
o RSI near 50 (neutral),
o Flag pattern breakout suggests continuation potential
📌 Viewpoint:
Bitcoin may extend its rally if it breaks above $114,000, targeting $137,000–$143,000. If rejected, a pullback toward $107,000 is likely before bouncing.
💡 Suggested Trading Strategy
SELL BTC/USD at: $113,500–$114,000
🎯 TP: $110,000–$110,500
❌ SL: $114,500
BUY BTC/USD at: $107,000–$108,000
🎯 TP: $112,000–$113,000
❌ SL: $106,000
BTCUSD.PM trade ideas
$Bitcoin going to a Million $USD ? Happy 4th of July !May this 4th of July mark the Day of your Independence !
They say that the human brain has no parallels to its capacity for pattern recognition.
I say it is not the brain, but the mind that recognizes the pattern ... the consciousness behind it.
This chart shows the last 3 cycles ... we are just entering the 4th parabolic move, and I believe it will start when CRYPTOCAP:BTC crosses $113.5k USD per coin ... very soon indeed !
Many will say, but what happened to the 4 year cycle ? Isn't it scheduled to finish this October ?
Well, I am no expert but it would appear that the cycle has lenghtened, at least this time around. Proof of it is the CRYPTOCAP:ETH chart ... the second biggest crypto by market cap.
A few factors that you may consider, that perhaps affected the global business cycle, let's say they helped to delay it: the effect of Covid in 2020 and 2021, and as well the tariffs issue in 2025. What does this mean ?
Well, physically it means that with the economies running very slow in these two mentioned instances, the ECONOMIC WORK globally stalled.
Is it therefore any surprise that the "cycle" lenghtened, or slowed, this time around ?
Let's see what happens when the BBB makes BRRRR ... !
Enjoy !
Mastering Breakout Trading: The 4-Step Precision Guide
1. 🔍 Spot the Key Zones (S&R)
Identify strong Support & Resistance levels — areas where price consistently reverses or stalls. These zones are critical for planning trades.
2. 🚀 Breakout Confirmation
Don’t rush — wait for the price to cleanly break above resistance or below support. This signals potential trend initiation.
3. 🔁 The Golden Retest
After the breakout, wait for price to revisit the broken level and show strength (like a bullish candle) — this validates the breakout.
4. 🎯 Set Smart SL & TP
Define your Stop Loss just beyond the invalidation level and Take Profit based on risk-reward or nearby price targets.
Tip: Patience is your edge — wait for structure, confirmation, and clean signals.
Enter on the bounce from the retest zone, typically when a green candle or bullish pattern forms — it confirms trend continuation.
#Educational
$BTC Price Showing a Bullish Flag Pattern & Breakout see chart..CRYPTOCAP:BTC Price Breakout of Bullish Flag Pattern. I'm guess it's going to the next Price Zone $115K and if Breakout thank going $122K price zone.
I was telling some coins that was saying Multiple Profit and now coins are driving on the way. There are coin is ETH, BNB, XRP, SOL, TRX, TON, SUI, ADA, ICP, ARB, XLM.
Ric Edelman Urges Up to 40% Crypto Allocation, Predicts Bitcoin Surge to $500K
Top advisor Ric Edelman recommends investors allocate up to 40% to crypto, forecasting Bitcoin could reach $500K with rising institutional demand.
Ric Edelman advises investors to allocate 10% to 40% of their portfolios to crypto, based on their risk tolerance.
Edelman predicts Bitcoin could reach $500,000 if just 1% of global assets shift into the cryptocurrency sector. His endorsement is viewed as a major TradFi signal, given his $300 billion asset management influence in the advisory industry.
Ric Edelman, the founder of Edelman Financial Engines and DACFP, has recommended investors shift a significant portion of their portfolio to cryptocurrency. In a recent whitepaper, Edelman advised allocating between 10% and 40% to crypto, depending on individual risk tolerance.
This guidance marks a break from the conventional 60/40 stock-to-bond portfolio model, which he believes is no longer practical in a rapidly advancing economic environment.
According to Edelman, conservative investors should hold 10% in crypto, moderate investors 25%, and aggressive investors 40%. He cited technological advancements and increased life expectancy as reasons to move away from traditional investment formulas. He emphasized that ignoring crypto means betting against an asset class that has outperformed all others over the past 15 years.
Bitcoin Price Could Hit $500,000 with Minimal Asset Shift
Edelman also presented a bullish projection for Bitcoin, suggesting it could reach $500,000. He explained that a 1% allocation of the $750 trillion in global assets toward Bitcoin would inject $7.5 trillion into the market. Based on current valuations, this inflow could significantly drive the asset’s price. He underlined this estimate as simple arithmetic based on supply and demand trends.
Edelman pointed to growing institutional interest and policy changes as key drivers for crypto’s rise. He highlighted that Tether, a major stablecoin, reported $13 billion in profits last year, surpassing companies like McDonald’s and Ford. He also noted that a pro-crypto political climate, especially following Donald Trump’s reelection, is setting favorable conditions for digital assets.
Disclaimer: This article is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always conduct your own research before making any investment decisions. Digital asset prices are subject to high market risk and price volatility. The value of your investment may go down or up, and you may not get back the amount invested. You are solely responsible for your investment decisions and Binance is not available for any losses you may incur. Past performance is not a reliable predictor of future performance. You should only invest in products you are familiar with and where you understand the risks. You should carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objectives and risk tolerance and consult an independent financial adviser prior to making any investment.
BTC/USDT HIDDEN PATTERN! SM, FIB AND MORE COMFIRMED!Price Resilience Amid Geopolitical Stress
Bitcoin demonstrated remarkable strength during the Israel-Iran conflict, briefly dipping to ~$98K but swiftly rebounding above $105K. This aligns with historical patterns where BTC initially sells off on geopolitical shocks but recovers aggressively within weeks, outperforming gold and equities by 15-60% post-crisis. There is a $96K-$94K "footprint" that coincided with institutional accumulation, evidenced by $1.37B in spot ETF inflows during the conflict week, led by BlackRock's IBIT ($240M single-day inflow) according to official information. This institutional backstop and many others might single-handedly prevented a deeper correction for now, remember that smart money psychology is to create cause out of thin air and buy during selling and indecisive times.
Critical Levels to Watch
Immediate Support: $108k area is vital. A sustained hold here maintains short-term bullish momentum. The 50-day SMA near $102.8K (tested during June 13 conflict sell-off) remains a macro support floor.
Resistance & Targets: The $112K ATH is the near-term ceiling. Breaking this requires stronger spot demand—currently, net exchange inflows are negative, indicating weak retail participation or traders that are backing off for now.There's a $120K target (0.618 Fib) aligned with Standard Chartered’s $150K year-end model if ETF inflows persist.
Risk Zones: A close below $108.3K risks a slide to $105K. Failure here opens path to $96K and a further break of this 92k to 96k zone could lead directly to 70k area or even lower if economical and social activities are not favorable in the near to medium future.Dominance above 55% (currently 65%) delays alt season, but a break below 60% could ignite alts in a positive way.
Macro Catalysts & Market Sentiment
Policy Tailwinds: Trump’s "One Big Beautiful Bill" (proposing $5T debt ceiling hike and U.S. strategic BTC reserves) could weaken the USD, boosting BTC’s "digital gold" narrative. DXY’s -9% YTD drop already correlates with BTC’s 54% post-election rally.
Fed Influence: Pressure to cut rates (amid cooling employment data) may accelerate institutional rotation into BTC. ETF inflows hit $2.75B in late June, signaling renewed institutional FOMO.
Geopolitical Cooling: Iran-Israel ceasefire talks reduced immediate panic, but residual volatility risk remains. Traders note BTC often rallies 20-40% within 60 days of conflict events.
Structural Challenges
Liquidity Fragility: Whale moves (for example: 10K BTC sell orders) now impact prices more due to ETF-driven liquidity concentration. Recent $98K flash crash exemplified this.
Regulatory Overhang: MiCA compliance costs in the EU and U.S. security-reclassification proposals could pressure smaller tokens, though BTC’s status appears secure 28.
Seasonal Slump: July historically sees 6.1% of annual crypto volume—low volatility may delay breakouts until August 4.
Strategic Outlook
A July breakout above $112K could ignite the next leg to $120K, but a retest of $107K-$105K is likely first. Altcoins remain subdued until BTC dominance breaks <55%—select projects with institutional backing (for example, ETF candidates) or real-world utility for asymmetric opportunities.
Conclusion: BTC’s resilience amid chaos confirms its institutional maturity. Trade the $108.3K-$112K range aggressively, with a break above ATH targeting $120K by September. Always hedge tail risks (escalations, regulatory shocks) in this volatility-rich asset class. While this great surge in institutional inflow is good for BTC it also indicates a reduction or slower pace of other crypto currencies.
This is my analysis for BTC, let me know what you think and I hope you like it!
BTC/USD 4H – Key Decision Zone | Trade Plan/BUY & SELL ScenarioBitcoin is at a critical decision point as price hovers around the $109,000 zone on the 4H chart.
After a strong bullish recovery and a clean structure of higher highs, BTC is currently consolidating just below major resistance at $111,893. Price action is squeezing between dynamic EMA14 support and horizontal supply, indicating a potential breakout or breakdown.
Sell if 4H candle closes below $108,500 with body confirmation.
$BTC is testing the key $110K resistance — a daily close above iCRYPTOCAP:BTC is testing the key $110K resistance — a daily close above it could trigger a breakout toward $115K–$120K. If rejected, a dip to $105K–$100K offers a strong long opportunity. Bullish structure holds unless price breaks below $99K.
BTCUSD 7/3/2025Come Tap into the mind of SnipeGoat, as he gives you a Wonderful update to his 7/1/2025 call-out which PLAYED OUT PERFECTLY!!!! If you are not convinced by now, what are you doing...
_SnipeGoat_
_TheeCandleReadingGURU_
#PriceAction #MarketStructure #TechnicalAnalysis #Bearish #Bullish #Bitcoin #Crypto #BTCUSD #Forex #NakedChartReader #ZEROindicators #PreciseLevels #ProperTiming #PerfectDirection #ScalpingTrader #IntradayTrader #DayTrader #SwingTrader #PositionalTrader #HighLevelTrader #MambaMentality #GodMode #UltraInstinct #TheeBibleStrategy
BTC AT RESISTANCEThe jobs report just dropped and was stronger than expected. That means the Fed has less reason to cut. That means less chance of immediate liquidity. Since we live in the upside down, apparently more jobs are bad for markets. And we generally see Bitcoin react first and then quickly go back to trading on its own.
All of that said, this is an interesting spot. Bitcoin broke out yesterday, before closing back below the resistance. The same is happening so far today, with a potentially ugly top candle if the day stays this way. But it is WAY too early to judge.
Bitcoin Between Strength and Suspension Tactical Inflow Anomaly.⊣
⟁ BTC/USD – BINANCE - (CHART: 1H) – (Jul 03, 2025).
◇ Analysis Price: $109,716.55.
⊣
⨀ I. Temporal Axis – Strategic Interval – (1H):
▦ EMA 9 – ($109,510.76):
∴ Price remains above EMA9, sustaining the short-term bullish impulse;
∴ The EMA 9 is ascending with consistent candle-body support across recent sessions.
✴ Conclusion: Tactical momentum persists as long as price holds above EMA9 on closing basis.
⊢
▦ EMA 21 – ($109,064.37):
∴ EMA 21 serves as dynamic support, unbroken since the July 2nd surge;
∴ Distance between EMA9 and EMA21 confirms preserved trend integrity.
✴ Conclusion: No structural weakness observed; trend foundation remains intact under current volatility.
⊢
▦ Volume – (Visual estimation, TradingView):
∴ Volume surged during July 2 rally; subsequent bars show diminishing interest;
∴ Last high-volume candle aligns with recent local top attempt.
✴ Conclusion: Buyer aggression is fading. Volume must return for any continuation to be credible.
⊢
▦ Bollinger Bands (20, 2.0) – (Upper: $110,050.15 / Lower: $108,545.25):
∴ Price recently tapped upper band and pulled back slightly without breakdown;
∴ Bands are widening after expansion, indicating active volatility but no climax.
✴ Conclusion: System operates in elevated volatility regime, with breakout potential still valid if supported.
⊢
▦ Price Action (66, 6, 5) – (Visual structure, local range):
∴ Price formed a clean higher low and higher high sequence starting July 2nd, confirming bullish microstructure;
∴ Current candles show upper wick formation at ~$110,050, indicating rejection and absorption at resistance.
✴ Conclusion: Uptrend structure is valid but approaching short-term exhaustion. If support holds at $109,100–108,900, continuation remains viable.
⊢
▦ RSI + EMA9 – (RSI: 62.69 / EMA: 63.27):
∴ RSI dipped below its own EMA9, indicating weakening strength in recent hours;
∴ RSI remains above 60, preserving bullish territory but signaling caution.
✴ Conclusion: Early-stage exhaustion detected. Zone of hesitation active.
⊢
▦ ATR (14, RMA) – (447.69):
∴ Average volatility is still elevated relative to June baseline;
∴ Slight decline in ATR may suggest slowing force behind directional moves.
✴ Conclusion: Tactical volatility is active but not expanding. Suitable for traps or distribution setups.
⊢
🜎 Strategic Insight – Technical Oracle:
∴ The structural setup holds a bullish bias with dynamic supports (EMA9/EMA21) intact;
∴ Bollinger expansion and RSI positioning signal a zone of heightened interest, but the fading volume and early RSI crossover inject caution;
∴ This is a tactically suspended state where continuation is possible but dependent on incoming confirmation volume.
⊢
⟁ II. ARCANVM SIGNAL - (Bitcoin Inflow +5,000):
∴ Current Hourly Inflow: 20,788.10 BTC;
∴ Structural Threshold (30EMA): ~3,200 BTC;
∴ Trigger Threshold: ≥ 5,000 BTC.
✴ Conclusion and Interpretation: This event constitutes a critical liquidity anomaly under the Silent Sentinel Protocol. While it does not inherently dictate trend direction, its magnitude-6.5x above the structural average-configures:
∴ A probable institutional move for redistribution or liquidity unlocking;
∴ Elevated risk for short-term distortion events, particularly across the H1–H4 timeframes;
∴ An urgent need to monitor subsequent Netflow, to confirm whether real outflow pressure follows.
⊢
∫ III. On-Chain Intelligence – (Source: CryptoQuant):
▦ Exchange Netflow Total - (All Exchanges):
∴ Current: +555 Bitcoin net inflow;
∴ The ARCANVM inflow (+20,788 Bitcoin) has not been fully absorbed or reversed.
✴ Conclusion: Some liquidity remains inside exchanges. Potential for redistribution or silent preparation.
⊢
▦ Exchange Reserve - (All Exchanges):
∴ Continuously declining; current: ~2.44M Bitcoin;
∴ The inflow did not shift the macro trend of reserve depletion.
✴ Conclusion: Structural scarcity preserved. Inflow likely tactical and non-systemic.
⊢
▦ Futures Perpetual Funding Rate 7D-SMA - (All Exchanges):
∴ Holding near 0.01% – neutral bias;
∴ No evidence of directional crowding in perpetuals.
✴ Conclusion: Perpetual markets in tactical balance. Spot-driven price action dominates.
⊢
🜎 Strategic Insight – On-Chain Oracle:
∴ Despite the aggressive ARCANVM signal, the absence of structural reversals in reserves and neutral derivatives positioning confirms the move is non-structural.
∴ Markets remain in equilibrium.
∴ No emergent directional force-just silent posture-shifting.
⊢
⧈ Codicillus Silentii – Strategic Note:
∴ This is a state of tactical ambiguity. Breakout or failure depends on external triggers, as neither volume nor derivatives offer decisive guidance.
∴ The structure listens, not speaks.
⊢
▦ Tactical Range Caution:
∴ Resistance Watch Level: $110,050;
∴ Tactical Support: $109,100;
∴ Structural Alert Level: $108,400.
⊢
𓂀 Stoic-Structural Interpretation:
∴ Structurally Bullish – Tactically Suspended;
⊢
⧉
⚜️ Magister Arcanvm – Vox Primordialis!
𓂀 Wisdom begins in silence. Precision unfolds in strategy.
⧉
⊢
Breaking: Bitcoin Just Broke the $110k Resistant Next Top $115kThe price of the first crypto currency ever created saw a noteworthy uptick to reclaim the $110k price point however, the move was short-lived as the asset retraced to $109k mark but present price chart depicts a move to the $115k resistant point in the short term.
With the Relative strength index (RSI) at 63, Bitcoin might be inches away from claiming the $115k pivot amidst build up momentum and institutional adoption. further bullish metrics include the asset trading above the 50, 100 and 200-day Moving Averages (MA) respectfully.
$BTC Weekly Continues to follow the script!BTC appears to have completed a shallow wave 2 retracement showing investor excitement and demand - They just can't wait to buy some!
New all time highs are expected this week (perhaps today) once the High Volume Node resistance we are currently at is overcome (obviously).
Wave 3 has an expected target of the R3 pivot $190k but i am expecting price to overextend this cycle to at least the R4 pivot at $233k.
Safe trading