BTCUSDTPrice action trading is a methodology in financial markets where traders make decisions based on the actual price movements of an asset over time, rather than relying heavily on technical indicators or fundamental analysis. It involves observing and interpreting patterns and trends in price charts to predict future price movements.
BTCUSD.PM trade ideas
Btc top is near. The chart you don't want to see. Based on all the available data and previous pattern, I can conclude that another bullflag is forming. Top in 2-3 weeks. Wick towards 112-115k is the top.
I also believe we ll form another bull flag in few months.
Cycle cannot be over with btc dominance sky high.
Market makers are extracting maximum liquidity and btc from retails.
They scream cycle over at the end of bull flag to make retail sell everything. Then pump it again.
Just my opinion.
NFA#
A very high quality potential of double top pattern A very high quality potential of double top pattern
Neck line already broken , now retest is happened and rejection confirmed by wicks rejecting and the daily candle gonna close bearish for extra confirmation
Entry plan
Entry : 107,100 , up to 107550
Tp 1 102600
Tp 2 : 101, 250
Tp 3 : 99,666
Runners : from 98,500 to 94,000 maximum
SL 108,800
Wish the best for all traders
MG Trader ✅
BTCUSD - Liquidity Zone in Focus Ahead of Options ExpiryAnalyst: Mosilar
BTC is trading near $107K with a key liquidity zone around $108,300 – $108,800. Max Pain for tomorrow’s options expiry sits at $102K.
Historically, BTC often gravitates toward Max Pain into expiry. A potential fade from the liquidity zone toward $104K and $102K could be in play.
Key Levels:
Liquidity Zone: 108,300 – 108,800
Volume Profile: 104,000
Max Pain: 102,000
Bitcoin's Podium-Ready 'Bull Flag' Hints at Price Boom to $120KBitcoin's Podium-Ready 'Bull Flag' Hints at Price Boom to $120K
Bitcoin, the pioneering cryptocurrency that has redefined the financial landscape, continues to spark intense debate and fervent speculation about its future price trajectory. Amidst the sea of technical analyses and market predictions, a compelling pattern has emerged on Bitcoin's price chart: the 'bull flag.' This bullish continuation pattern, often seen as a precursor to significant upward price movements, has ignited excitement among Bitcoin proponents, fueling predictions of a potential surge to $120,000.
This article delves into the intricacies of the bull flag pattern, exploring its formation, characteristics, and implications for Bitcoin's price. We will analyze the current market conditions, considering the recent retreat from $108,000 and the overall sentiment of Bitcoin bulls. Furthermore, we will examine the factors that could either validate or invalidate the bull flag pattern, providing a nuanced perspective on the potential for Bitcoin to reach $120,000. By synthesizing these insights, we aim to offer a comprehensive overview of the technical and fundamental factors that could shape Bitcoin's price trajectory in the coming months.
Understanding the Bull Flag Pattern
The bull flag is a technical analysis pattern that signals a continuation of an existing uptrend. It is characterized by two distinct phases:
1. The Flagpole: This represents the initial strong upward movement in price. It is a sharp, almost vertical rally that establishes the overall bullish trend.
2. The Flag: This is a period of consolidation that follows the flagpole. The price moves sideways or slightly downwards, forming a rectangular or parallelogram-shaped pattern that resembles a flag. This consolidation phase allows the market to digest the initial rally and prepare for the next leg up.
The bull flag pattern is considered a bullish signal because it suggests that the initial uptrend is likely to resume after the consolidation phase. Traders often look for a breakout above the upper trendline of the flag as a confirmation signal to enter a long position.
Bitcoin's Bull Flag Formation
Bitcoin's price chart has exhibited a pattern that closely resembles a bull flag. The flagpole can be identified by the significant upward movement that occurred in the months leading up to June 2025. This rally propelled Bitcoin to a high of $108,000, establishing a strong bullish trend.
Following this rally, Bitcoin entered a period of consolidation, with the price moving sideways and slightly downwards. This consolidation phase has formed a flag-like pattern on the chart, characterized by two parallel trendlines that slope gently downwards.
The formation of this bull flag pattern has led many analysts to believe that Bitcoin is poised for another significant upward movement. The target price for this potential breakout is often calculated by measuring the length of the flagpole and adding it to the breakout point on the upper trendline of the flag. In Bitcoin's case, this calculation suggests a potential target price of around $120,000.
Factors Supporting the Bull Flag Pattern
Several factors support the validity of the bull flag pattern and the potential for Bitcoin to reach $120,000:
• Strong Underlying Bullish Trend: The bull flag is a continuation pattern, meaning that it relies on an existing uptrend to be valid. Bitcoin's price has been in a strong uptrend for several years, driven by increasing institutional adoption, growing mainstream adoption, and limited supply.
• Positive Market Sentiment: The overall sentiment among Bitcoin investors remains positive, despite the recent retreat from $108,000. Many analysts believe that Bitcoin is still in the early stages of its adoption curve and that its long-term potential remains significant.
• Increasing Institutional Adoption: Institutional investors, such as hedge funds, pension funds, and corporations, are increasingly allocating capital to Bitcoin. This increased institutional adoption can drive up the price of Bitcoin and provide a more stable foundation for its long-term growth.
• Growing Mainstream Adoption: Bitcoin is becoming increasingly accepted as a form of payment and a store of value by mainstream consumers and businesses. This growing mainstream adoption can increase demand for Bitcoin and drive up its price.
• Limited Supply: Bitcoin has a fixed supply of 21 million coins. This limited supply makes Bitcoin a scarce asset, which can increase its value over time as demand grows.
• Halving Events: Bitcoin's halving events, which occur approximately every four years, reduce the rate at which new Bitcoins are created. These halving events can reduce the supply of Bitcoin and drive up its price. The next halving event is expected to occur in 2028.
• Macroeconomic Factors: Macroeconomic factors, such as inflation, currency devaluation, and geopolitical instability, can increase demand for Bitcoin as a safe haven asset.
Factors Invalidating the Bull Flag Pattern
While the bull flag pattern is a bullish signal, it is not foolproof. Several factors could invalidate the pattern and prevent Bitcoin from reaching $120,000:
• Breakdown Below the Flag: If the price breaks down below the lower trendline of the flag, the bull flag pattern is invalidated. This would suggest that the consolidation phase is not a temporary pause before another rally, but rather a sign of weakening momentum.
• Negative News and Events: Negative news and events, such as regulatory crackdowns, security breaches, or macroeconomic shocks, could dampen investor sentiment and trigger a sell-off in Bitcoin.
• Weakening Market Fundamentals: If Bitcoin's adoption rate slows down, network activity declines, or transaction volume decreases, it could indicate that the underlying fundamentals are weakening, which could invalidate the bull flag pattern.
• Profit-Taking: After a significant rally, some investors may choose to take profits, which could put downward pressure on the price of Bitcoin and prevent it from breaking out of the flag.
• Alternative Investments: The emergence of compelling alternative investments could divert capital away from Bitcoin, reducing demand and potentially invalidating the bull flag.
Bitcoin Retreats From $108K: A Temporary Setback?
As of June 26, 2025, Bitcoin has retreated from its recent high of $108,000. This pullback has sparked concerns among some investors, but Bitcoin bulls remain optimistic about the long-term prospects of the cryptocurrency.
The recent retreat could be attributed to a number of factors, including profit-taking after a significant rally, regulatory concerns, or macroeconomic headwinds. However, it is important to note that Bitcoin has experienced numerous pullbacks throughout its history, and these pullbacks have often been followed by even stronger rallies.
The key question is whether this pullback is a temporary setback within the bull flag pattern or a sign that the pattern is about to be invalidated. If the price can hold above the lower trendline of the flag and eventually break out above the upper trendline, it would confirm the validity of the pattern and increase the likelihood of Bitcoin reaching $120,000.
Trading the Bull Flag Pattern
Traders who are looking to capitalize on the bull flag pattern can consider the following strategies:
• Entry Point: Wait for a confirmed breakout above the upper trendline of the flag before entering a long position. This helps to avoid false breakouts and increases the probability of a successful trade.
• Stop-Loss Order: Place a stop-loss order below the lower trendline of the flag to limit potential losses if the pattern is invalidated.
• Target Price: Calculate the target price by measuring the length of the flagpole and adding it to the breakout point on the upper trendline of the flag.
• Risk Management: Always use proper risk management techniques, such as limiting the amount of capital you risk on any single trade.
Conclusion
Bitcoin's price chart is currently exhibiting a bull flag pattern, which suggests that the cryptocurrency could be poised for another significant upward movement. The potential target price for this breakout is around $120,000.
However, it is important to note that the bull flag pattern is not foolproof, and several factors could invalidate it. Investors should carefully monitor the price action, market sentiment, and underlying fundamentals to assess the likelihood of Bitcoin reaching $120,000.
The recent retreat from $108,000 is a reminder that Bitcoin is a volatile asset and that pullbacks are a normal part of the market cycle. Whether this pullback is a temporary setback within the bull flag pattern or a sign that the pattern is about to be invalidated remains to be seen.
Ultimately, the future of Bitcoin's price will depend on a complex interplay of technical factors, market sentiment, and fundamental developments. By staying informed and using proper risk management techniques, investors can position themselves to potentially profit from Bitcoin's continued growth and success. As always, remember to consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions. The bull flag offers a tantalizing glimpse of potential gains, but prudent analysis and risk mitigation are essential for navigating the volatile world of cryptocurrency.
Consolidation Above Key SupportBitcoin (BTCUSD) is currently trading at $107,125 and showing a strong technical setup on the daily timeframe. After the dramatic recovery from March lows around $77,000, BTC has established a solid foundation above the $100,000 psychological level and is now consolidating in a critical resistance zone.
Current Technical Picture:
The price action shows Bitcoin trading above the Ichimoku cloud, which provides strong bullish confirmation. The ascending blue trendline from the March lows remains intact and continues to act as dynamic support around $82,000-85,000. This trendline has been crucial in maintaining the overall upward trajectory.
Key Resistance Levels:
Primary Resistance: $110,000-$112,000 (previous highs)
Secondary Resistance: $115,000 (extension target)
Critical Support Zones:
Immediate Support: $104,000-$105,000 (recent consolidation lows)
Major Support: $100,000 (psychological level + cloud support)
Trendline Support: $82,000-85,000 (ascending blue line)
RSI Analysis:
The RSI is currently hovering around 55-60, indicating neutral to slightly bullish momentum. This suggests there's room for further upside movement without entering overbought conditions.
Trading Outlook:
Bitcoin appears to be setting up for a potential breakout above the $110,000 resistance zone. A sustained break above this level could target $115,000-$118,000. However, failure to break higher and a move below $104,000 could signal a deeper correction toward the $100,000 support zone.
Risk Considerations:
Watch for any breakdown below the ascending trendline or the $100,000 support, as this could invalidate the bullish structure and lead to a retest of lower levels.
BTC Short Swing Trade Setup with 2.6:1 Risk-Reward RatioBitcoin appears ready for a temporary pullback before another major move toward a new all-time high. This short setup targets a 0.382 Fibonacci retracement and offers a 2.6:1 risk-reward ratio —
Entry at $106,490
Stop Loss at $109,814
Target at $97,700
This is for educational purposes only.
Super high risk setup BTC with 60 R:RIt looks like BTC is about to close the weekly candle above 106K.
If the bulls are still in control, they need to act very soon. The 100K support level has been successfully retested, and now could be the time for a move upward.
📈 Trade Setup (Educational Purpose Only):
Entry: 106,040
Stop Loss: 105,431
Target: 144,000
Risk-Reward Ratio: 1:60
This is a super high-risk setup, but the potential reward is significant. Proceed with caution and always do your own research.
Signs of Bullish Reversal EmergingAs of today’s close, Bitcoin (BTCUSD) is showing early signs of a potential bullish reversal from a key mid-range Keltner Channel support zone. The recent Heikin Ashi candle reflects a strong recovery after a brief sell-off, with price rejecting lower support levels and closing firmly within the mid-band.
🔹 Key Observations:
Support Zone Respected: Price action respected the mid-Keltner Channel support, suggesting underlying buying interest around the $103k–$104k range.
Momentum Shift: The bullish engulfing nature of the current candle implies a potential shift in momentum, especially after recent consolidation below the upper range.
🔹Trade Idea: TP is near $112k, SL just under $102k.
Continued confirmation above the mid-band and sustained bullish volume will be critical for this move to extend.
BULLISH SENTIMENT ELLIOT WAVE PREDICTION
Wave 2 cannot retrace more than 100% of Wave 1.
It can go deep, but not lower than the start of Wave 1.
Wave 3 cannot be the shortest of the three impulse waves (1, 3, and 5).
Often, Wave 3 is the longest and most powerful.
Wave 4 cannot enter the price territory of Wave 1.
This means no overlap between Waves 1 and 4 in a standard impulse.
Wave 5 must move in the direction of the overall trend.
It completes the five-wave impulse sequence.
BULL FLAG PREDICTION
Strong Uptrend (Flagpole)
Consolidation (Flag)
Measured Move Target - we want to see volume coming out of our consolidation phase. $150k would be a nice ATH CRYPTOCAP:BTC (MAXI)
Market sentiment (IMO) :
The dollar has fallen -10% this year.
- Less Trust in the Dollar. #bitcoin #ethereum #vechain #ada #xrp #ltc
Conflicts overseas usually push prices up because they threaten oil supplies.
-Wars spark spikes in oil, food, gas and metals due to disrupted supply chains. Historically, most commodity prices double during conflicts
$BTCCRYPTOCAP:BTC is showing strength as uncertainty grows.
Investors are searching for ways to protect capital and generate yield and crypto liquidity pools are becoming the go-to instrument.
With buyers stepping in above $105K, the momentum could push prices to new highs, drawing more capital into the ecosystem.
Bitcoin Respecting FVG Again – Is This the Launchpad to 112K+ ?Bitcoin has once again shown strong respect for a key Fair Value Gap (FVG) on the daily timeframe, tapping into a previously identified imbalance around the $98,000 region. This area had earlier acted as a base for bullish structure, and price's return to it suggests re-accumulation by smart money rather than a breakdown. The reaction was swift, rejecting off the FVG and forming a strong bullish daily candle, implying intent for higher prices.
This move into the FVG also swept sell-side liquidity resting below a clear 4-hour equal low. This kind of liquidity grab is a textbook ICT-style move, used to trap retail shorts before a reversal. With that liquidity cleared and institutional interest likely engaged, the structure has shifted bullishly, creating a higher low and showing momentum building to the upside.
The next major upside objective lies at $111,921, which marks short-term weekly buyside liquidity. This area represents a key magnet for price — where many stop-losses and buy-side orders are likely stacked — making it a logical destination for a move upward. The projected move offers a potential 14.6% upside over the next few weeks.
If price can hold above the $106K-$108K zone, the probability increases that we’re witnessing the beginning of a broader impulsive leg toward the $112K region. However, failure to maintain bullish structure here could mean deeper accumulation is still unfolding. As always, this setup should be approached with discipline, and further confirmation should be sought using your own risk model and strategy.
Descending broadening wedge after peak BTC/USD 4hCurrently BTC/USD is in a descending broadening wedge after a peak.
This means high chance of upward breakout. Price increase from breakout point is usually the difference from pattern top to pattern bottom, which would mean a price of $123000.
Not financial advice. There is a chance of this not playing out, even though the chance is small.