More BTC trades📊 BTCUSD 30m – Top AND Bottom Nailed with ELFIEDT
🔻 First, our system warned of a major top with double DOWN signals — just before the market dumped over 3,000 points.
🔼 Then, as panic set in, multiple UP signals printed near the low — before a clean reversal kicked in.
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When price disconnects from value, and RSI confirms, our indicator steps in with laser precision.
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BTCUSD.PM trade ideas
BTC - Also works💥 BITCOIN 15m – Top Sniped by ELFIEDT Reversion
This wasn’t luck. This was precision.
Just before Bitcoin tanked over $2,000…
🔻 Our indicator printed multiple “DOWN” signals right at the top.
🔁 RSI divergence confirmed fading strength — and the reversal was brutal.
📉 If you caught this with us, you already know:
When price is overstretched and RSI signals weakness, we strike.
No hype. No chasing. Just high-probability trades, marked in real time.
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The influence of high-frequency data on price fluctuationsMajor Datasets for Price Trend Analysis: Types, Sources, and Applications
1. Financial and Market Datasets
Stock and Equity Markets:
Source: Bloomberg Terminal, Yahoo Finance, Alpha Vantage (API), Reuters Eikon.
Data Structure: Time-series data (daily/intraday prices, trading volumes, market capitalization) for stocks, indices (e.g., S&P 500, NASDAQ), and commodities (gold, oil).
Use Case: Analyzing stock price trends via technical indicators (MACD, RSI) or fundamental analysis, predicting market volatility using GARCH models.
Cryptocurrency Markets:
Source: CoinGecko, CoinMarketCap, Binance API, Kaiko (professional crypto data).
Data Structure: Real-time or historical price data for cryptocurrencies (BTC, ETH), trading pairs, order book depth, and blockchain transaction metrics.
Use Case: Studying price trends in decentralized markets, evaluating correlations with traditional assets, or developing algorithmic trading strategies.
Bitcoin Under Resistance: Neutral Core, Bearish Pressure.⊢
⟁ BTC/USD – BINANCE – (CHART: 4H) – (Date: June 22, 2025).
⟐ Analysis Price: $103,041.65.
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⨀ I. Temporal Axis – Strategic Interval – (H4):
▦ EMA21 – (Exponential Moving Average 21-Period) – ($103,957.85):
∴ The current price is below the 21EMA, signaling weakness in short-term momentum;
∴ The slope of the moving average is negative, reflecting ongoing downward pressure;
∴ Recent attempts to reclaim the level were rejected, reinforcing its role as dynamic resistance.
✴️ Conclusion: The 21EMA acts as an active intraday resistance, and its breakout is a primary condition for any directional shift.
⊢
▦ EMA50 – (Exponential Moving Average 50-Period) – ($104,101.19):
∴ The 50 EMA remains above the price and the 21EMA, confirming a bearish trend alignment over the mid-term;
∴ The widening gap between EMA's suggests a well-established downward trend;
∴ A reclaim of both EMAs is required to revalidate bullish structure.
✴️ Conclusion: The 50EMA stands as a structural mid-term resistance, whose breakout would mark a tactical trend reversal.
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▦ VPVR – (Volume Profile Visible Range) - (75, Up/Down):
∴ The POC (Point of Control) is concentrated around the $104,000 – $105,000 zone, just above the current price;
∴ This region reflects the highest volume concentration and tends to act as passive resistance or a redistribution zone;
∴ There’s a visible volume gap between $100,000 and $102,000, creating vulnerability to rapid price moves.
✴️ Conclusion: Price remains below institutional interest concentration, limiting upside potential unless volume reclaims the POC zone.
⊢
▦ BB – (Bollinger Bands - 20-Period SMA, 2.0 StdDev):
∴ The previous candle tapped the lower band and triggered a technical buy reaction (mean reversion);
∴ The mid-band aligns precisely with the 50 EMA (~$104,100), reinforcing confluence resistance;
∴ The channel shows slight downward expansion, suggesting volatility may continue to favor bears.
✴️ Conclusion: The recent bounce is technical relief; there is no structural reversal unless the price reclaims the mid-band.
⊢
▦ RSI – (Relative Strength Index) – (41.76):
∴ RSI is recovering from oversold territory but remains below the neutral 50 mark;
∴ The absence of a clear bullish divergence with price weakens the reversal thesis;
∴ RSI resistance lines sit between 45 and 50 – key levels that must be breached to confirm relief.
✴️ Conclusion: RSI signals technical relief, but still operates within a bearish zone — no clear evidence of dominant buying force yet.
⊢
▦ MACD – (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) – (MACD: –135.56 | Signal: –539.84):
∴ MACD line is crossing the signal line from below, generating an early bullish reversal signal;
∴ The histogram is contracting on the negative side, showing seller exhaustion;
∴ Readings remain deep in negative territory, requiring further confirmation.
✴️ Conclusion: MACD hints at momentum reversal, though structural validation requires a return to the positive zone.
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▦ VOL – (Volume Bars):
∴ Volume increased significantly during the recent bounce, indicating reactive buyer demand;
∴ However, follow-through volume was not sustained — warning of potential bull trap;
∴ The absence of consistent volume undermines the durability of the bounce.
✴️ Conclusion: Volume shows reactive presence, but lacks sustained confirmation — recovery may be short-lived.
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🜎 Strategic Insight – Technical Oracle:
∴ Bitcoin on the 4H chart is staging a relief move after recent sell-side pressure, yet remains below all key EMAs, under volume-based resistance, and without confirmation from momentum indicators.
∴ The structure is best defined as technical relief, not a confirmed trend reversal.
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∫ II. On-Chain Intelligence – (Source: CryptoQuant & BGeometrics):
▦ Exchange Inflow Total - (All Exchanges) = (Latest Spike Zone ~103K):
∴ A recent uptick in Bitcoin inflows to exchanges is visible at local price levels, aligning with prior rejection zones;
∴ Increased inflows suggest potential intent to distribute, especially at resistance;
∴ Historically, such inflow patterns precede local price weakness or continuation of retracement.
✴️ Conclusion: Exchange inflow data warns of potential short-term sell pressure, supporting a cautious outlook near current levels.
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▦ Funding Rate – (Binance Perpetual) – (Near Neutral to Slightly Positive):
∴ Current funding rates remain slightly positive but balanced, reflecting lack of directional conviction from leveraged traders;
∴ The absence of aggressive long bias reduces the risk of long squeezes but also suggests weak bullish momentum;
∴ Historically, neutral funding rates precede volatile expansions when followed by imbalances.
✴️ Conclusion: Funding rate indicates a neutral sentiment posture - not bearish, but lacking speculative bullish fuel.
⊢
▦ Open Interest – (All Exchanges) – (~$33.2B):
∴ Open Interest is elevated, marking one of the highest levels since April;
∴ The price is falling while OI remains high - a classic divergence signaling potential liquidation risk;
∴ This setup increases volatility probability and indicates the market is loaded with directional exposure.
✴️ Conclusion: Open Interest suggests a high-risk environment; either a cascade of liquidation or a sharp reversal is imminent.
⊢
▦ Realized Price – (Market: $103K | Realized: ~$47.5K):
∴ The gap between market price and realized price is vast, reflecting that most market participants are sitting on large unrealized gains;
∴ This positioning exposes the market to profit-taking impulses;
∴ The lack of compression between these metrics implies no capitulation is underway.
✴️ Conclusion: Market remains well above realized cost basis, implying latent sell-side risk and no evidence of fear-driven exits.
⊢
▦ UTXO Age Bands – (Realized Price by Age = 6m–3y clusters above $90K):
∴ Long-term holders (6m–3y) maintain positions well in profit, with realized values near or above $90K;
∴ No major movement from these cohorts detected — suggesting continued conviction or strategic dormancy;
∴ Younger UTXO bands are positioned lower, indicating recent accumulation remains underwater.
✴️ Conclusion: No signs of distribution from experienced holders — current structure favors hodler passivity, not capitulation.
⊢
▦ Miner Outflows – (Miner Transfer Volume Stable):
∴ Miner outflows remain stable, with no sharp spikes in transfers to exchanges;
∴ Implies no immediate operational selling pressure from mining entities;
∴ Miner behavior remains conservative, awaiting directional confirmation.
✴️ Conclusion: Miners are currently not a source of sell pressure, reinforcing structural equilibrium in supply flow.
⊢
🜎 Strategic Insight – On-Chain Oracle:
∴ The on-chain structure supports a technically vulnerable, yet fundamentally intact market; ∴ ∴ Exchange inflows and high Open Interest signal short-term caution, while the lack of miner selling, stable long-term holder behavior, and distance from realized price all point to no deep structural breakdown;
∴ Expect heightened volatility with directional resolution dependent on external catalysts or spot-driven pressure.
⊢
⌘ Codicillus Silentii – Strategic Note:
∴ Temporal framework reveals local reactive strength, but lacks structural realignment;
∴ On-chain flow warns of directional tension - neither resolve nor breakdown confirmed;
∴ Macro environment holds liquidity in suspension, awaiting a trigger;
∴ All vectors align under strategic ambiguity - stillness is not stasis, but anticipation.
⊢
𓂀 Stoic-Structural Interpretation:
▦ Structurally Neutral:
∴ The broader structure is intact - no systemic breakdown, yet no resumption of trend authority;
∴ Exchange inflows and high OI generate latent fragility, despite holder and miner resilience;
∴ The system holds - but without forward thrust, the architecture is stable, not ascendant.
⊢
▦ Tactically Cautious:
∴ Technical signals show reaction, not reversal - EMA's remain unbroken, volume is passive, RSI is capped;
∴ On-chain risk (inflows, OI) outpaces confirmation of strength;
∴ Action without structure is speculation - the trader must remain coiled, not extended.
⊢
⧉
⚜️ Magister Arcanvm (𝟙⟠) – Vox Primordialis!
𓂀 Wisdom begins in silence. Precision unfolds in strategy.
⧉
⊢
Bitcoin Trend AnalysisBITSTAMP:BTCUSD BINANCE:BTCUSDT COINBASE:BTCUSD INDEX:BTCUSD
BTCUSD trend shows multiple bearish indications.
- Monthly RSI bearish divergence. This is the 3rd monthly bearish divergence in the entire BTC history. The previous one was the ATH before the 2022 recession. BTC price dropped 70% in 2022.
- Weekly RSI downtrend.
- Weekly MACD downtrend.
- Weekly bearish momentum red candles and downtrend wicks.
If the history repeats itself and BTC drops 70% like in 2022, it will find its final support around 31,500, but we don't know for sure yet. Before that, a few key levels of support needs to be penetrated. 75,000 is a major support we need to watch for.
BTC Inverse H&S Still on TrackWe have tracked this Inverse head and shoulders since first testing the all times highs. We expected another test of ATH to start the next correction leg down. We are not tracking a trip back to $92,000-$89,000 to set up a major H&S pattern that should initiate our next impulse to $150,000-$180,000 to mark the end of the bull market. Lets see how June 2025 monthly candle closes.
Long term parabola setting up on weeklyJust a reminder to zoom out and observe the weekly trend. Even though on a daily basis it may seem we are grinding sideways, if we look at the weekly the trend is getting steeper and steeper, if this holds up we're not far away from starting a huge parabolic move.
Bitcoin / U.S. Dollar 2-Hour Chart (BTCUSD)2-hour chart displays the recent price movement of Bitcoin (BTC) against the U.S. Dollar (USD), showing a current price of $102,459.21 with a decline of $853.19 (-0.83%) over the period. The chart highlights a significant drop from a peak near $105,898.45, with a shaded area indicating a potential support zone between $101,682.19 and $99,732.49, and a resistance level around $103,000. The timeframe spans from 9:00 to 29:00, with technical indicators and price levels marked for analysis.
BITCOIN Getting Ready For The 1hr Bounce.Alright ladies and gentlemen, bears 1hr tf party almost completed.
Vertical blue line is where it ends and Bulls take over again, so whatever price drops when it reaches that vertical blue line (if not sooner) that will be it and will start bouncing.
Now, if the bounce starts from a point too low (near $100k ) and doesn't breaks above $107k again then brace for a hard landing next week cause bulls are getting weaker and weaker on every drop and if this pattern continues then we will see numbers below $100k by next week.
It is very important for price to end this week candle above $109k .
Buckle up ladies and gentlemen, we are heading for a rough end of week.
Best areas to enter for next bounce are below $102500 with liquidation point below $100k with low lev recommended. Use lev wisely.
Know the rules of the game....play it right. Have a nice trading day.
Bitcoin vs Global M2: The 90-Day Liquidity LagComparing Bitcoin’s price action to the Global M2 Money Supply with a 90-day offset reveals potential macro-driven trends. As liquidity expands or contracts globally, Bitcoin often reacts with a delay. This chart aims to visualize the relationship between monetary expansion and BTC price movement, helping spot broader cycle shifts and long-term momentum.
Bitcoin downside all but confirmed, sub 100k next- follow up analysis on this one:
- with the original analysis posted in late May, more than a month later and Bitcoin is still struggling near ATH levels
- with weekly bearish divergence now confirmed, odds of a downside move are very high
- Iran v Israel conflict acting as a strong headwind for all markets, should the USA get involved I expect that effect to increase tenfold
Needs to be said that a pullback to 90 or even the mid 80k region would still constitute a higher low on the very large time-frames. Structurally wise, as long as BTC is above 75k, the macro trend is still one of a bull nature.
Short-Term BTC Short Setup Bitcoin is currently showing signs of completing a corrective wave (4) in a potential Elliott Wave structure. The current rising wedge (ABCDE) pattern suggests a likely short-term breakdown toward the $101,000–$100,000 support zone. This short position aligns with the ongoing short-term bearish momentum (wave 5 expected), but within a broader bullish trend. Long-term outlook remains positive, with the potential for a strong continuation upward once the correction is complete. ;D
Bitcoin (BTC/USD) 2-Hour Candlestick Chart2-hour candlestick chart displays the recent price movement of Bitcoin (BTC) against the U.S. Dollar (USD), showing a current price of $103,904.89 with a gain of $595.12 (+0.58%) as of 01:22:41. The chart highlights a volatile period with significant price fluctuations, including a sharp drop followed by a recovery, and includes key price levels such as $106,099.25 and $102,803.95. The chart also features a highlighted support zone in pink and a resistance zone in light blue
If BTC BullishIf I were a bull and perceived the current divergences to the main indicators as corrections, and not as a change in the market to bearish, then I would present support levels in this form.
In this form, where, as they say, all the stars came together.
Here are the gap levels, and EMA 13/26/52.
Fibonacci levels and mirror levels.
And three options in continuation of Bullish BTC.
Round and round, pick who you’ve found! ))
Bais.A.M.D: Accumulation Manipulation and Distribution.
H & S: Head and Shoulder
Accumulation.
BTC Accumulated Range 104139-106206
Manipulation
Manipulated Range 106247-109105
Forming a Head and Shoulder pattern.
Distribution
Currently in a Distribution phase.
After breaking below 106247 support to a low 102287. Heading to a Minor resistance range 105233-105731 for a more downside continuation below 102275.
IMO. DYOR
Market next target 🔄 Disruption Analysis:
1. Weak Support Confirmation
The chart marks a "Support area," but there is no strong confirmation (e.g., a hammer or engulfing bullish candle with high volume).
Support zones are more reliable with multiple prior bounces; here, it seems newly identified and not yet validated.
2. Bearish Volume Signature
During the recent decline (before the support), the red volume bars are significantly larger, indicating strong selling pressure.
The recovery candles near support have low volume, which may signal lack of conviction from bulls.
3. Lower Highs Formation
Prior to the drop, we see a series of lower highs, hinting at weakening bullish momentum.
This could suggest a potential bearish continuation, especially if price fails to break above the last local high (~106,000).
4. Possible Bearish Retest
Instead of a bullish breakout, the current price might just be retesting the broken support-turned-resistance.
This is a common bull trap scenario where prices bounce slightly before resuming downward.