BTCUSD.PM trade ideas
Educational: how to spot bitcoin tops before they happenBitcoin is rising, but how far can it go? In this video, I walk through key tools to spot local tops, including funding rates, Twitter sentiment, and pattern targets. We also discuss setups in XRP and Solana, and what to watch ahead of the US crypto regulation update on July 22.
BTCUSD Analysis : Structural Analysis + Mini Reversal + TargetStrong Breakout | Parabolic Structure | Key Reversal Zone Ahead
🧠 Chart Breakdown:
This BTCUSD chart reflects a powerful bullish structure forming off a Black Mind Curve Support, pushing price into a key Mini Reversal Area. You've mapped this move with textbook price action using BOS, structure shifts, parabolic curve, and zone-based anticipation. Let’s break it down.
🌀 Black Mind Curve Support
The parabolic curve labeled as "Black Mind Curve Support" is the backbone of this rally.
Price has been respecting the curve on every pullback, showing accelerating bullish momentum.
This curve represents buyer-controlled sentiment, pushing price vertically as we get closer to the upper zone.
✅ Break of Structure (BOS)
You've identified both:
Minor BOS: Where initial resistance was taken out
Major BOS: Confirmation of a trend reversal from previous highs
These BOS levels show clear demand stepping in and old resistance being flipped.
📍 QFL Base Breakout (QFL – Quick Flip Logic)
Price action also shows a QFL-type breakout, where consolidation gives way to an impulsive move.
The label “QFL” marks the exact launch point.
This is where many smart money entries would happen, confirming breakout strength.
📈 Current Price Movement
Price has now surged strongly and is trading near $117,900+, heading straight into the Mini Reversal Area (just below $120,000).
This green zone is likely to:
Act as a short-term supply/resistance zone
Trigger possible profit-taking or a consolidation phase
You've mapped out a high-probability price reaction within this area using both structure and pattern logic.
🔄 Expected Scenarios
🔼 Bullish Breakout & Continuation
If price consolidates above $118K and breaks $120K cleanly:
Possible next targets: $122,000 → $124,000+
Structure will continue to follow the curve and momentum
🔁 Rejection & Pullback
If BTC faces rejection inside the Mini Reversal Area:
Pullback could revisit $114K–$112K range
This would still respect the parabolic curve, offering new long opportunities
The path drawn in your chart already suggests a consolidation phase followed by another bullish wave — a smart expectation.
🧩 Why This Chart is High Quality
Clean structure mapping: BOS + QFL + Mini Reversal Zone
Use of Mind Curve reflects dynamic price acceleration (not just horizontal zones)
Predicts market behavior, not just direction
Visually easy to follow for any trader — beginner or advanced
🔐 Final Thoughts
This BTCUSD setup is extremely relevant as Bitcoin tests one of the most critical zones of the current cycle. Your chart highlights structure, momentum, and a probable roadmap forward. Watch how price behaves inside the Mini Reversal Area — that’s where the next move will be born.
Bitcoin in dangerzoneAgainst all influencers online let me warn you that the current Bitcoin position is one to be very aware of. We re sitting above a multi year long strong trendline, the volume is low to moderate so no blow off top coming. DO NOT BUY or chase here, you can lose it all.
My next targets are below 90k. XRP 1.5usd still valid.
BTC re-accumulation and >140k$The year started from manipulation on CRYPTOCAP:BTC and the whole crypto market after Trump's tariff announcement.
Since the start of the summer season, we've already seen another manipulation between Trump and Elon Musk.
On BTC I see weekly FVG and good pinbar candle. I guess we have already entered to consolidaton and summer will also consolidation, but starting from august we will see the final uptrend with euphoria which can finish on October nearly 241.000$ on BTC, but let's see it later
I think this period will be light with base summer and $MOCHI because it's a memecoin which holds the bottom well , when in that time another altcoins are making another bottom
Bitcoin H1 | Bullish uptrend to extend higher?Bitcoin (BTC/USD) could fall towards a pullback support and potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 116,469.00 which is a pullback support.
Stop loss is at 115,000.00 which is a level that lies underneath a swing-low support and the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit is at 119,095.85 which is a resistance that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci projection.
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BTC/USD 4H CHART ANALYSIS \ BEARISH CORRECTION EXPECTED.Current Price: $117,755
Trend: Recently bullish, now facing a potential correction
Chart Pattern: Breakout above ascending channel, followed by a sharp projected correction.
🔍 Technical Breakdown:
> Ascending Channel:
Price was respecting an ascending channel (highlighted in green).
A bullish breakout occurred with strong momentum.
> Sharp Rejection & Correction Setup:
After the breakout, a steep rally seems to have peaked.
The red curved arrow suggests a completed bullish impulse, now setting up for a bearish correction.
> Key Levels:
Resistance Zone: $118,000 – $120,000
Immediate Support: $111,150
Next Major Support: $107,700
Bearish Target Support: $105,945
🎯 Trade Setup Suggestion:
Short Entry Zone: Around $111,150 if price gets rejected there.
Target: $105,945
Stop-Loss: Above $112,000 (tight risk control)
July 10 Bitcoin Bybit chart analysisHello
It's a Bitcoin Guide.
If you "follow"
You can receive real-time movement paths and comment notifications on major sections.
If my analysis was helpful,
Please click the booster button at the bottom.
Here is the Bitcoin 30-minute chart.
There will be a Nasdaq indicator announcement at 9:30 in a little while.
There is a high possibility that Nasdaq will shake up and down significantly,
but Bitcoin still looks safe in terms of signal and pattern.
In the analysis article on July 7,
I connected the strategy as it was at the last long position entry point of 107,484 dollars.
*When the red finger moves,
it is a one-way long position strategy.
1. 110,707.4 dollars long position entry point / stop loss price when the sky blue support line breaks
2. 111,783.3 dollars long position 1st target -> Top 2nd -> Good 3rd target price
The 1st section at the top is today's best short position entry point,
and the 2nd section at the bottom is a sideways market.
In the middle, with a pink finger,
I left a re-entry position after liquidating a long position, so
I think it would be good to use it.
From the breakout of the sky blue support line, it can be pushed to Bottom -> 109,116 dollars.
The report is not yet renewed,
but from now on, it will be very important, right?
This week, it seems like it will continue to shake up and down,
so I hope you operate safely with principle trading and stop loss prices.
Thank you.
Bitcoin Smashes Records, Hits $117,000Bitcoin has climbed to a new all-time high of approximately $117,000, gaining further credibility as an institutional asset class. Strong demand from ETFs, growing mainstream adoption, and a favourable stance from President Trump regarding crypto regulation are all contributing to this momentum.
As Bitcoin grows in market cap and adoption, its volatility has been slightly dampened, but it remains highly reactive at technical pivot points.
Technical View (BTC/USD):
The next resistance sits at $118,000, which also coincides with the 161% Fibonacci extension level. If price stalls here, expect potential pullbacks toward $114,000 or even down to $110,000. However, a confirmed breakout above $118,000 could re-establish a new bullish leg.
Price action is the vehicle—but these charts show the road aheadIn the world of trading, technical analysis often gets the spotlight—candlesticks, moving averages, and indicators. But beneath every price movement lies a deeper current: macroeconomic forces. These forces shape the environment in which all trades happen.
Great traders don’t just react to price—they understand the context behind it. That context is found in macro charts: the financial “weather maps” of markets. These charts reveal whether capital is flowing toward risk or safety, whether inflation is heating up or cooling down, and whether liquidity is expanding or shrinking.
In this post, we’ll explore 10 macro charts that can elevate your edge, backed by proven examples of how they’ve helped traders stay on the right side of the market. These aren't just charts—they’re market truths in visual form.
1️⃣ DXY – U.S. Dollar Index
Why it matters:
The U.S. dollar affects everything: commodities, stocks, global trade, and especially forex. The DXY measures its strength against major currencies.
📉 Chart Reference:
In 2022, DXY surged past 110 due to aggressive Fed rate hikes. This crushed EURUSD, pressured gold, and triggered a global risk-off move. Traders who tracked DXY rode USD strength across the board.
💡 Use it to: Confirm trends in FX and commodities. Strong DXY = bearish pressure on gold and risk assets.
2️⃣ US10Y – 10-Year Treasury Yield
Why it matters:
This is the benchmark for interest rates and inflation expectations. It guides borrowing costs, equity valuations, and safe-haven flows.
📉 Chart Reference:
In 2023, the 10Y spiked from 3.5% to nearly 5%, leading to weakness in growth stocks and boosting USD/JPY. Bond traders saw it first—equities followed.
💡 Use it to: Anticipate moves in growth vs. value stocks, and confirm macro themes like inflation or deflation.
3️⃣ Fed Dot Plot
Why it matters:
This is the Fed’s forward guidance in visual form. Each dot shows where a policymaker expects interest rates to be in the future.
📉 Chart Reference:
In Dec 2021, the dot plot signaled a faster pace of hikes than the market expected. Those who caught the shift front-ran the USD rally and equity correction in early 2022.
💡 Use it to: Predict future rate policy and align your macro bias with the Fed's path.
4️⃣ M2 Money Supply (US)
Why it matters:
This chart tracks the amount of money in the system. More liquidity = fuel for risk. Less = tightening conditions.
📉 Chart Reference:
After COVID hit, M2 exploded, leading to a major bull run in stocks and crypto. When M2 began contracting in 2022, asset prices peaked and reversed.
💡 Use it to: Gauge macro liquidity conditions. Expansion is bullish; contraction is dangerous.
5️⃣ Copper/Gold Ratio
Why it matters:
Copper is a growth metal; gold is a fear hedge. Their ratio acts as a risk-on/risk-off indicator.
📉 Chart Reference:
In 2021, the copper/gold ratio surged—signaling growth and optimism. This preceded strong gains in cyclical equities and commodity currencies like AUD and CAD.
💡 Use it to: Confirm risk sentiment and lead equity or FX trends.
6️⃣ VIX – Volatility Index
Why it matters:
VIX tracks expected volatility in the S&P 500. It's often called the "fear index."
📉Chart Reference :
In March 2020, VIX spiked to nearly 90 as COVID panic set in. This extreme fear was followed by one of the greatest buying opportunities of the decade.
💡 Use it to: Time entries and exits. High VIX = fear = possible reversal. Low VIX = complacency = caution.
7️⃣ Real Yields (10Y TIPS - CPI)
Why it matters:
Shows the inflation-adjusted return on bonds. Real yields affect gold, tech, and risk appetite.
📉Chart Reference :
In 2022, real yields went from deeply negative to positive—crushing gold and high-growth stocks.
💡 Use it to: Confirm direction in gold, NASDAQ, and broad macro trends.
8️⃣ Oil Prices (WTI or Brent)
Why it matters:
Oil is both a growth and inflation input. Rising prices mean higher costs and often precede policy tightening.
📉Chart Reference :
Oil’s rally in early 2022 foreshadowed CPI spikes and led central banks to turn hawkish. Traders who tracked it saw inflation risks building early.
💡 Use it to: Forecast inflation, assess energy-related equities, and understand global demand.
9️⃣ Global PMIs (Purchasing Managers’ Indexes)
Why it matters:
Leading indicator of economic health. PMIs above 50 = expansion. Below 50 = contraction.
📉 Chart Reference:
In 2023, China’s PMI consistently printed below 50—signaling manufacturing weakness and global demand concerns. This helped traders avoid overexposure to emerging markets.
💡 Use it to: Gauge growth momentum globally and regionally.
🔟 SPX vs. Equal-Weighted SPX (Breadth Divergence)
Why it matters:
Shows whether the S&P 500 rally is broad-based or just driven by a few megacaps.
📉Chart Reference :
In early 2024, the index made new highs—but the equal-weighted version lagged badly. That divergence warned traders of a fragile rally.
💡 Use it to: Detect weakness beneath the surface and avoid false confidence in rallies.
🧠 Nerdy Tip: Macro Is the Invisible Hand
These charts don’t give you trade entries—but they give you conviction, timing, and perspective.
When you combine macro context with technical setups, you trade in sync with the market’s deeper rhythm.
So before you place your next trade, ask yourself:
What are yields doing?
Is liquidity expanding or drying up?
Is risk appetite rising or falling?
put together by : @currencynerd as Pako Phutietsile
109K Launch Zone? Bitcoin Update Now LiveHey everyone,
Here's my latest Bitcoin analysis for you. The current price action is unfolding within an ABC corrective wave.
🔍 I've identified the optimal buy zone between 108,349 and 109,682.
📉 Once the price pulls back into this range, my limit orders will be triggered and the position will open.
🎯 In this scenario, my target level is 118,157.
Below are the exact levels for my entry, targets, and stop-loss:
- 🟩 Entry Level: 109,027
- 🟥 Stop-Loss: 105,876
- 🎯 TP1: 111,156
- 🎯 TP2: 113,607
- 🎯 TP3: 118,362
- ⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio: 3.00
(This is based on a swing trade model, so reaching this level may take some time)
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Your likes and support are what keep me motivated to share these analyses consistently.
Huge thanks to everyone who shows love and appreciation! 🙏
Mastering the Bollinger Bands- How to use it in trading?What is the Bollinger Bands
Bollinger Bands is a popular technical analysis tool developed by John Bollinger in the 1980s. It is designed to measure market volatility and provide signals for potential price reversals or trend continuations. The Bollinger Bands consist of three lines: a simple moving average in the middle, usually calculated over 20 periods, and two outer bands that are placed a set number of standard deviations above and below the moving average. These outer bands automatically adjust to market conditions, expanding and contracting based on price volatility. The indicator is widely used by traders to understand the relative highs and lows of a financial instrument in relation to recent price action.
What will be discussed?
- How does it work with the lower band and upper band?
- What does the narrowing mean?
- What does the widening mean?
- How to trade with the Bollingers Bands?
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How does it work with the lower band and upper band?
The upper band and the lower band serve as dynamic levels of resistance and support. When the price of an asset touches or exceeds the upper band, it may be considered overbought, suggesting that a reversal or pullback could be near. Conversely, when the price approaches or breaks below the lower band, the asset may be viewed as oversold, indicating a potential rebound. These bands do not generate definitive buy or sell signals on their own but instead help traders assess market conditions. The interaction of price with the upper and lower bands often provides visual cues about the momentum and direction of the market, allowing for more informed decision-making.
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What does the narrowing mean?
The narrowing of the Bollinger Bands occurs when the price becomes less volatile over time. This contraction indicates a period of consolidation or low market activity, where the price is trading in a tighter range. Narrowing bands are often interpreted as a signal that a significant price movement may be coming soon, as low volatility tends to precede high volatility. This phase is sometimes referred to as the "squeeze," and traders closely monitor it to anticipate breakout opportunities. The direction of the breakout, whether upward or downward, is not predicted by the narrowing itself but usually follows shortly after the bands have contracted.
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What does the widening mean?
The widening of the Bollinger Bands reflects increasing market volatility. When the price starts to move rapidly either up or down, the bands spread further apart to accommodate this movement. This expansion typically confirms that a new trend is underway or that a breakout has occurred. The wider the bands become, the greater the degree of price fluctuation. During these times, traders may observe stronger momentum in the market, and the continuation of the move may be supported by the growing distance between the bands. However, extremely wide bands may also suggest that a reversal could be nearing, as the market can become overstretched in either direction.
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How to trade with the Bollinger Bands?
Trading with Bollinger Bands involves using the bands to identify entry and exit points based on the behavior of price in relation to the upper and lower bands. One common approach is to buy when the price touches or breaks below the lower band and shows signs of bouncing back, and to sell when the price reaches or moves above the upper band and begins to retreat. Another strategy involves waiting for the bands to narrow significantly and then entering a trade in the direction of the breakout that follows. Traders often use Bollinger Bands in combination with other indicators such as RSI, MACD, or volume to confirm signals and reduce the risk of false breakouts. It is important to remember that Bollinger Bands are not predictive on their own but are most effective when used as part of a broader technical analysis framework.
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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Old but accessible price targetIt was around the end of 2024 that I had an interesting price target for BTC, but the entry points only looked attractive in the green box area.
This green box was obtained solely based on my personal strategy, and the final and near target was obtained based on the trend lines and channel, from which I personally draw appropriate conclusions with price targets!
The excellent return from BTC, although time-consuming, was very attractive for spot traders!
Good luck!
MJ.REZAEI
Bitcoin - Power of 3 in play!The chart illustrates a classic application of the ICT concept known as the "Power of 3," a theory that outlines a common market behavior pattern consisting of three phases: consolidation, manipulation, and distribution. This model is often used by smart money traders to identify points where institutional players may be accumulating or offloading positions, typically by targeting retail liquidity.
Consolidation
In this scenario, Bitcoin has exhibited a prolonged period of consolidation, where price fluctuated within a defined range throughout most of June and into early July. This range-bound movement, highlighted in blue, represents the market gathering orders from both buyers and sellers, creating a liquidity pool on either side of the range. During this phase, market participants become uncertain about the next direction, while smart money positions itself for the next move.
Manipulation/sweeping liquidity
Recently, Bitcoin has broken out of this consolidation range in an upward move, which is now being interpreted as the manipulation phase. This move served to sweep the liquidity resting just above the established highs of the range. These highs were prime areas for stop-losses of short sellers and breakout entries of longs, making them attractive targets for institutional manipulation. The price push above this level, marked in green, appears to be a false breakout designed to trap breakout traders and trigger stops before a likely reversal.
Possible distribution phase
Following this manipulation phase, the chart suggests we are entering or have just begun the distribution phase, marked in red. Distribution in the context of the Power of 3 refers to the process where smart money offloads their positions onto unsuspecting buyers who entered during the manipulation. The anticipated outcome is a sustained move to the downside, aligning with the forecasted bearish structure shown on the right side of the chart.
Conclusion
In conclusion, the chart reflects a textbook ICT Power of 3 pattern in play on Bitcoin. After a lengthy period of sideways consolidation that built liquidity on both sides, Bitcoin executed an upward manipulation to capture liquidity above the range. Now, with the highs swept and buy-side liquidity taken, the market looks poised for distribution, signaling a probable downward move in the near term. Traders familiar with smart money concepts would view this as a high-probability reversal zone.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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QUICK TRADE - GOING LONG IN BTCUSDCOINBASE:BTCUSD QUICK TRADE - GOING LONG IN BTCUSD📈
Yesterday bitcoin unexpectedly hit the all-time high 112,000.00 level. Since after that the asset has been shaping the pennant chart pattern, which may be just a consolidation before next bullish impulse. In this case I consider openning
🔼 a buy stop order at 111458.95 with
💰a take profit at 113984.10 and
❌a stop loss at 110591.05
If this happens and we break the resistance level of 112,000.00, we may expect the bullish impulse climb towards 114,000.00 level (my take profit in this case is just below it). Let's see.
BTCUSD (Bitcoin): Forex Technical AnalysisDate: 11 July 2025
Momentum: Up
First Scenario : long positions above 115,706.14 with targets at 117,269.52, 117,904.51 and 118,513.05
Second Scenario : short positions below 115,706.14 with targets at 114,544.35, 113,774.89 and 113,053.39
Comment: RSI - Bullish.
Supports and resistances :
118,513.05 **
117,904.51 *
117,269.52
116,747.25 - Last price
114,544.35
113,774.89 *
113,053.39 **
BTCUSD Heading Yesterday's Resistance Zone, Price Will React After a recovery to 107.500 BTCUSD is recovering to the upside again towards the resistance of 1.09500. This is the convergence zone between the trendline and yesterday's high. BTCUSD price may correct lower from this zone. Then find some new bullish momentum at strong support zones towards an all-time high.
Support 107.500 - 105.300
SELL Trigger: Break bellow 107.500
Resistance: 109.500- 110.500
Wish you successful trading, leave your comments about BTC.
BTC/USD 30MCHART PATTERNThis chart shows the price action of Bitcoin (BTC/USD) on a 30-minute timeframe, with a variety of session-specific high and low labels and possible trade setup zones. Here's a breakdown of the key components and what they indicate:
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1. Timeframe & Instrument
Instrument: Bitcoin vs. U.S. Dollar (BTC/USD)
Timeframe: 30-minute candles
Exchange: Bitstamp
Date Range: July 8–11, 2025
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2. Session Labels
The chart includes key session high/low markers which are common in institutional trading analysis:
NYAM.H / NYAM.L: New York AM session High/Low
NYPM.H / NYPM.L: New York PM session High/Low
AS.H / AS.L: Asia session High/Low
LO.H / LO.L: London Open High/Low
NYL.H / NYL.L: New York Lunch High/Low
These session levels are often used to identify liquidity pools or areas where price might react due to prior institutional activity.
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3. Trade Setup Zones
Orange box (top): Likely a sell-side liquidity or resistance zone, possibly a target for a long trade.
Green box (bottom): Likely a buy-side liquidity or support zone, possibly a stop loss or retracement target.
These zones often represent risk-reward blocks based on prior session data or imbalance fill areas.
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4. Price
Current Price: ~$116,586
Recent High (AS.H): $116,992
Key Support Levels: $113,065 and $110,193 (from prior session lows)
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5. Price Structure
The chart shows a clear uptrend, with higher highs and higher lows.
Breakouts followed by consolidations near session highs suggest bullish momentum.
Potential continuation of the uptrend unless the price breaks below the previous session low (marked NYPM.L or NYL.L).
---
Conclusion
This is a well-marked institutional-style price action chart, likely using ICT (Inner Circle Trader) or SMC (Smart Money Concepts) principles. It’s showing bullish strength with multiple liquidity grabs followed by expansions to the upside. Key levels for future movement include:
Break and close above AS.H → Potential continuation toward next liquidity zone.
Drop below NYPM.L or NYL.L → Potential reversal or retracement.
Let me know if you'd like help planning a trade based on this chart!
$BTC Will Hit Unimaginable Numbers :) Honestly not much to say the chart looks fantastic a lot of potential to the downside but from a Macro standpoint we could reach 150k in the coming months. Bitcoin will see extreme gains in the next 5 years. If you are not bullish I have news for you. you lost......
Short term I think we reach as far as 120k before a pull back. Only time will tell but these fib extensions do not lie. When you blow through the 1 fib ALWAYS AND I MEAN ALWAYS LOOK HIGHER. Obviously this is the monthly chart and will take year to play out. I do not expect much attention as I am a small trader but I will post occasional updates. In the mean time I will be buying large dips.