Bitcoin Ranging Below $110k – Poised for a Breakout📊 Market Overview:
Bitcoin is consolidating around $108–109k, reflecting indecision as investors await clearer signals. Institutional ETF inflows remain strong, and recent moves from 2011-era dormant wallets sparked concern but no major sell-off. Positive ETF news or supportive crypto policies could propel the next move upward.
📉 Technical Analysis:
• Major resistance: $109,500 – $110,500
• Nearest support: $108,000; secondary support at $102,000
• EMA09 (1 h): Price is above the 20 EMA and has reclaimed the 200 SMA on the 1 h chart, signaling a technical rebound
• Candlestick / Volume / Momentum: A mild bounce from $108k with low volume; Bollinger Bands show a mid-range price, hinting at sideways action .
📌 Outlook:
Bitcoin may remain range-bound between $108k and $110k. A breakout above $110.5k with strong volume could push toward $112k–115k. Conversely, a break below $108k might trigger a dip toward $102k.
Suggested Trading Strategy
SELL Bitcoin/USD at: 109,000 – 110,000
🎯 TP: 108,000 / 105,000
❌ SL: 110,800
BUY Bitcoin/USD at: 108,000 – 107,500
🎯 TP: 109,500 / 112,000
❌ SL: 107,000
BTCUSD.PM trade ideas
BITCOIN - SELL TO $86,000 (8H VIEW)I see possible shorting opportunities right now for BTC.
⭕️LQ Swiped Above Previous Wave 3 High ($109,000).
⭕️Wave 4 Complex Correction Complete (5 Sub-Waves).
⭕️(Wave 5 Impulse Bullish Move Complete (5 Sub-Waves of 1,2,3,4,5).
❌Invalidation Zone Above Wave 5 High ($112,140).
High risk trade as BTC could still head high for Wave 5 around $120- $130,000. Use strict risk management.
BTCUSD Bullish resistance breakoutThe BTCUSD remains in a bullish trend, with recent price action showing signs of a resistance breakout within the broader uptrend.
Support Zone: 104,890 – a key level from previous consolidation. Price is currently testing or approaching this level.
A bullish rebound from 104,890 would confirm ongoing upside momentum, with potential targets at:
110.780 – initial resistance
113.140 – psychological and structural level
115,760 – extended resistance on the longer-term chart
Bearish Scenario:
A confirmed break and daily close below 104,890 would weaken the bullish outlook and suggest deeper downside risk toward:
103,500 – minor support
102,290 – stronger support and potential demand zone
Outlook:
Bullish bias remains intact while the BTCUSD holds above 104,890. A sustained break below this level could shift momentum to the downside in the short term.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
Bitcoin ConsolidatingBitcoin continues to hold strong just below resistance at $112K after a clean reclaim of the $105,787 support zone and the 50-day moving average. Price is consolidating in a tight range, printing higher lows and showing signs of strength as it flirts with a potential breakout.
Volume has tapered off slightly during this sideways action, which is typical in a coiling pattern before a move. If bulls can finally push through $112K with conviction, we’re likely headed for a fresh leg higher. On the flip side, a drop back below the 50 MA and $105K would invalidate the short-term bullish structure.
Until then, it’s just a waiting game inside this range – but the bias leans bullish.
80k BTC On The Move - WHAT It Means 80,000 BTC Wallet Movement (2011 Miner)
• Source: 8 wallets containing 10,000 BTC each — mined in 2011, dormant for 14 years
• Total Value: Over $8.6 billion USD
• Timing: Moved on July 4, 2025 — largest dormant BTC transfer in history
• New Addresses: Funds moved to modern SegWit wallets
• Probable Owner: Likely a single early miner with 200k+ BTC history
Possible Reasons for the Move
• Key Rotation: Upgrading to modern wallets for better security
• Recovered Access: Private keys may have been recently recovered
• Market Strategy: Positioning for profit-taking or major sell-off
• Yield Farming: Preparing COINBASE:BTCUSD for use in DeFi/lending platforms
• Collateral Use: Possibly for loans, stablecoin leverage, or RWAs
• Estate Planning: Legal restructuring or generational wealth setup
• OTC Transfer: Could be prepping for off-exchange institutional sale
• Psychological Warfare: Could be intended to spook or manipulate the market
• Regulatory Response: Aligning with new compliance or tax jurisdiction
Market Reaction
• COINBASE:BTCUSD Price Dip: Price briefly fell below $108,000 post-move
• ETF Context: Movement occurred despite record ETF inflows
Key Note: These wallets had not been touched since COINBASE:BTCUSD was worth ~$0.78. Their reactivation adds uncertainty and opportunity in a fragile macro environment.
• What to do????: Watch the orderbook to find these large bitcoin moves in case of exchange selling
Near term support & resistance
$106000 support
$109500 first resistance
👍 If this breakdown helped your trading, smash that Like and drop a comment below—let me know what you think will happen with the 80k COINBASE:BTCUSD . 👍
Best Reguards
MartyBoots, 17-year market trader
BTCUSD LONG TRADE PLANFollowing a classic technical view. The instrument has been trading in a global bull trend. Recently, it formed a descending expanding wedge pattern next to a key zone which I view as an accumulation.
When to buy ? In my view, I will only buy if breakout of this pattern and break above the key zone.
Please do your own analysis before placing any trades.
Cheers and Happy Trading !!!!
BITCOIN Is there enough time for another parabolic rally?Bitcoin (BTCUSD) is practically consolidating on the short-term, having just recently been rejected off its new All Time High (ATH). Despite the short-term volatility, the long-term outlook is still a very strong, structured uptrend, a Channel Up pattern that is now technically aiming for its next Higher High.
Incredibly enough, this Channel Up since the November 2022 market bottom, has been almost entirely within the Buy Zone (green) of the Fibonacci Channel Up going back all the way to April 2013!
As you can see during the previous two Cycles, every time BTC got above that Buy Zone, it started a parabolic rally. So far, we haven't got such rally on the current Cycle and with time running out (assuming the 4-year Cycle model continues to hold), do you think we will get one this time around?
Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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BTCUSD TRADES SIDEWAYS DUE TO A LACK OF DRIVING FACTORS
BTCUSD has been moving within sideways since the end of last week. This week there will be lack of news. The first significant will be FOMC minutes tomorrow, which will definitely affect the DXY index and bitcoin. So before that time I expect that the sideways dynamic of the asset will remain.
So, nothing to trade? Not really
We may consider entering long positions at a current price with a take profit nearby 0.786 Fibo and a stop loss just below the previous low:
🔼 a market buy order at 108078.50 with
❌a stop loss at 107389.50 and
🤑a take profit at 109176.65
After that I expect the price to rebound from the upper border of the triangle. Maybe will consider another long entry.
BTCUSD Structure Analysis : Bullish Zone From Support + Target🔍 Current Market Structure Overview:
Bitcoin is currently trading around $108,375, hovering just above a clearly respected rising support zone (shaded area). This dynamic support has held price multiple times and continues to act as a springboard for short-term bullish moves.
The chart illustrates a classic bullish continuation setup forming, with key structural levels marked as Minor BOS (Break of Structure) and Major BOS, indicating potential areas of trend validation and momentum acceleration.
🔹 Key Technical Elements:
✅ Support Zone:
The shaded diagonal support zone has acted as a bullish trendline base, holding up since late June.
BTC recently dipped into this area, found buyers, and is now attempting a reversal from this level.
This reinforces market interest and confirms the accumulation behavior in this zone.
⚠️ Break of Structure (BOS) Levels:
Minor BOS is marked near $109,800, signaling the first key intraday resistance.
A break above this level would signal bullish intent and open the way for price expansion.
Major BOS around $110,600–$110,800 is critical. A clean break here will likely validate a trend continuation toward the next objective.
🟩 Next Reversal Zone (Target Area):
Highlighted around $111,500–$112,000, this green zone represents a potential liquidity grab/reversal area where sellers could re-enter.
This zone aligns with previous price exhaustion levels and may trigger consolidation or a short-term pullback.
📈 Projected Price Path (Wave Schematic):
The chart outlines a wave structure projection, suggesting:
A possible retest of the minor BOS.
Follow-through into the major BOS area.
Final push into the reversal zone before potential rejection or sideways action.
🔧 Bias & Strategy:
Bias: Moderately Bullish as long as BTC respects the support zone.
Invalidation: A decisive breakdown below the trendline support and close under $107,500 would invalidate this bullish setup and shift bias to neutral/bearish short-term.
Trading Plan Ideas:
📥 Buy Opportunity: On minor dips within the support zone, targeting BOS levels.
📤 Sell Watch: Near reversal zone ($111.5K–$112K) if signs of exhaustion or bearish divergence appear.
📌 Final Notes:
BTC appears to be gearing up for a breakout from consolidation, and price action is coiling with higher lows. Market participants should watch closely how BTC reacts at the minor and major BOS zones, as they could define the next leg for either bullish continuation or rejection.
BTC/USD 15M CHART PATTERNHere’s a clear breakdown of your BTCUSD trading plan:
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📈 Trade Setup (Buy Position)
Entry Price: 108,380
🎯 Take Profit Levels
1. TP1: 109,000
2. TP2: 109,300
3. TP3: 110,193
🛑 Stop Loss
SL: 107,337
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🧮 Risk & Reward (Quick Overview)
Risk (SL): 1,043 points
Reward (TP1): 620 points
Reward (TP2): 920 points
Reward (TP3): 1,813 points
This gives you approximate Reward:Risk ratios:
TP1: ~0.59 : 1
TP2: ~0.88 : 1
TP3: ~1.74 : 1
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✅ Notes
TP1 is conservative — may secure quick