btcusd bitcoin entering bear market that will last 1 year to 20kBearish divergence on rsi and mcad indication of bear market that usually last year.
Bottom is approximately 20k were also unfilled CME gap still exists.
BTCUSD.PM trade ideas
Bitcoin sell short bigFirst, we are waiting for confirmation of the twin ceiling. After the support of 72,000 is broken, we will move towards 39,000.
Bull-Flag within a Bull Flag means Exponential gains coming ???As of Friday, June 27, 2025, at 9:41:55 PM PDT, here's an analysis of Bitcoin:
Current Price & Performance:
Last Price: Approximately $107,280.10 (as of June 27, 2025)
Recent Performance: Bitcoin has been showing resilience above the $105,000 mark and has consolidated in a range between $100,000 and $110,000 recently, after hitting an unprecedented price of around $111,814 last month.
Bull Flag in a Bull Flag Pattern (Nested Bull Flags)
A "bull flag" is a bullish continuation pattern characterized by:
Flagpole: A sharp, strong upward price move.
Flag: A period of consolidation or slight retracement that forms a rectangular or parallelogram shape, typically with lower trading volume.
Breakout: A resumption of the uptrend with a strong move out of the flag, ideally on increased volume.
A "bull flag in a bull flag" (or nested bull flag) implies that a smaller bull flag is forming within a larger, ongoing bull flag pattern. This suggests a powerful, sustained uptrend where even the pauses for consolidation are themselves exhibiting bullish continuation characteristics.
Identifying this for Bitcoin:
To identify this pattern in Bitcoin, we would look for the following on a daily or higher timeframe chart:
1. The "Larger" Bull Flag:
Flagpole (Large): Bitcoin's overall parabolic run from its post-bear market lows to its recent all-time highs (e.g., $111,814). This multi-month or multi-year rally constitutes the significant "flagpole."
Flag (Large): The current consolidation phase Bitcoin is undergoing after reaching those all-time highs. This "flag" would be characterized by a broad trading range (e.g., between $100,000 and $110,000, or a wider range after its initial peak). This large flag would be a period of consolidation following the massive flagpole.
2. The "Smaller" Bull Flag (Nested within the larger one):
Flagpole (Small): Within this larger consolidation "flag," Bitcoin might experience shorter, sharper upward impulses. For example, if Bitcoin has a sudden 10% surge from $100,000 to $110,000 within the larger flag. This specific surge acts as the "flagpole" for the smaller flag.
Flag (Small): Following this smaller surge, Bitcoin then enters a mini-consolidation phase (a few days to a week or two), forming a tighter "flag" pattern within the broader trading range. This would be a slight downward or sideways channel on lower volume.
Breakout (Small): A breakout from this smaller flag would see Bitcoin push higher within the larger consolidation range, perhaps targeting the upper boundary of the larger flag (e.g., aiming for $110,000 or new highs).
Current Bitcoin State and the Pattern:
Based on recent market commentary and price action:
Overall Context: Bitcoin is in a long-term bull market, having recovered significantly from previous lows and testing all-time highs. This broad trend provides the context for large "flagpoles."
Larger Flag: Bitcoin's current consolidation around the $100,000-$110,000 zone, after its surge to $111,814, clearly fits the description of a large "flag" forming after a substantial "flagpole." This is a critical consolidation phase for the overall bull run.
Smaller Flag (Potentially Forming): Recent news mentions that Bitcoin surged over 10% since last Sunday (early June 2025) and has been consolidating between $100,000 and $110,000 for over three days. This description fits the start of a nested bull flag:
The 10% surge could be the smaller flagpole.
The consolidation for over three days within the $106,390 - $108,384 range after that surge could be the smaller flag formation.
If this smaller flag resolves to the upside, it would push Bitcoin towards the upper boundary of the larger flag ($110,000 to $112,000) or beyond.
Significance of a Nested Bull Flag:
Strong Underlying Momentum: The presence of a smaller bull flag within a larger one suggests exceptionally strong buying pressure and conviction among bulls. Even during periods of overall consolidation, traders are quick to accumulate on dips, leading to these smaller continuation patterns.
Layered Confirmation: It provides multiple layers of bullish signals. A breakout from the smaller flag reinforces the bullish bias within the larger flag, increasing the probability of an eventual breakout from the larger pattern.
Entry Opportunities: For traders, the smaller flags offer shorter-term entry opportunities within a larger trend, allowing them to capitalize on mini-surges as the broader consolidation unfolds.
Caution:
Confirmation is Key: Like all chart patterns, bull flags require confirmation. For the smaller flag, watch for a decisive breakout above its upper trendline on increasing volume. For the larger flag, the ultimate confirmation would be a sustained break above its all-time high resistance (around $112,000) on significant volume.
Volatility: Bitcoin is known for its volatility, and even continuation patterns can have false breakouts or deeper retracements than anticipated.
Volume: Volume confirmation is crucial. The "flag" portion should ideally show decreasing volume, while the "breakout" should be accompanied by a surge in volume.
In summary, Bitcoin appears to be currently in a large consolidation phase which could be interpreted as a significant "bull flag." Within this larger "flag," recent price action suggests the potential formation of a smaller, nested bull flag, where a recent mini-surge (small flagpole) is followed by a short consolidation (small flag). This indicates strong underlying bullish sentiment, with market participants potentially looking for a push towards the upper boundaries of the broader consolidation range.
This analysis is based on technical patterns and current market information. It is not financial advice. Always perform your own due diligence and consult with a financial professional before making investment decisions, especially in highly volatile assets like cryptocurrencies.
I can't feel my toes.I'm frozen... frozen in time. I can't shake this feeling--trying to unwind. I need to calm down. I need to stop... but I cannot. I can't shake this ceiling; it's already set in stone.
Bitcoin Break: Watch 100K Revesal Or Test Of 95K.Bitcoin broke 100K support without any type of retrace attempt (YET). This move which is attributed to global events should not be entirely surprising. Most importantly do not OVERREACT, especially with all the nonsense hype this will generate. Here is a more effective way to process the current situation.
Avoid bias and pay attention to the bigger picture. In terms of wave count, Bitcoin can technically retest the 85K area and STILL be considered within a broader Wave 4. This implies the broader structure is still BULLISH (Wave 1 overlap). A swing trade or investing buying opportunity can develop in the 95K area or lower (see illustration).
The short term momentum is bearish as per break of 100K. This should guide shorter time frame strategies like day trades. A new bearish trend line is in play (see arrow). At this point without any meaningful reversal pattern in play (4H or above) look for bearish continuation patterns like consolidations (triangles) inside bars, etc. The 95K support would be a price objective to consider if you are open to aggressive short strategies. Keep in mind, shorting into such a low is HIGHLY risky and best suited for those who have adequate experience.
This situation proves once again, "expert" opinions mean nothing. A few short weeks ago, Bitcoin was poised to break out and everyone was going to be rich again (remember the Bitcoin conference?). So much for that. The market does NOT care what you, me or Michael Saylor thinks. It reflects the perception of the future, whether or not that future plays out.
This is precisely why CHARTS can offer value in terms of measuring potential and RISK. You don't even need to be that technical, just take a look at the weekly time frame. The previous week's bearish pin bar low was broken signaling weakness, NOT Bitcoin 100 million K.
Thank you for considering my analysis and perspective.
BTCUSD: $150,000 on a repetitive pattern.Bitcoin is neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 54.823, MACD = 486.400, ADX = 23.402) possibly going through the last consolidation before the next breakout to a new ATH. The whole 2023-2025 Bull Cycle has been on a repetitive pattern, bottoming on the HL Zone and peaking on the HH trendline, while forming clear wave structures. According to this, the next HH should be around 150,000 (TP).
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This is a better way to analyze the Bitcoin chart.rising support + target IF breakdown from rising support line A
This is a better way to analyze the Bitcoin chart.
BTC/USD Consolidation Breakout Setup Chart Overview:
The BTC/USD chart shows a strong bullish impulse followed by a consolidation phase just below a key resistance level, suggesting a potential bullish continuation.
🔹 Key Technical Zones:
📍 Support Zone:
105,368 – 106,481 USD
This area acted as a strong demand zone where price reversed aggressively.
📍 Resistance Level:
107,439 – 107,840 USD
Price is currently consolidating just below this resistance, indicating a buildup for a breakout.
🎯 Target Zone:
110,683 – 111,394 USD
A clean breakout above resistance could push price into this target area.
🔹 Technical Signals:
✅ Bullish Flag Formation:
After a strong impulse move, BTC is forming a sideways range, indicating bullish accumulation.
⬆️ Breakout Potential:
A confirmed breakout and retest above 107,840 could validate a move toward the 111K region.
⚠️ Invalidation Point:
A drop below 106,481 would invalidate the bullish bias and may trigger a deeper pullback.
📌 Conclusion:
As long as BTC holds above the 106,481 support and breaks above the 107,840 resistance, bullish momentum is expected to continue toward the 111K zone. Traders should watch for a breakout confirmation and manage risk accordingly. 💹
BTCUSD CRACKing Everywhere!As I have been warning for a while now. See previous post.
I first warned to wait for the CRACK!
Then we got the 2nd CRACK!, very normal.
Then a nice M pattern with a lower high.
Then another CRACK!
And now a right Shoulder.
MAGIC!
Now we wait for the H&S to break down.
Click boost, follow, and subscribe for more. Let's get to 5,000 followers. ))
Bitcoin Long: Going for Final Wave 5 of 5Bitcoin has hit the previous target and even breached lower. Now I believe the time has come to go long again with the stop just below recent low of around $98,500 and the take profit target as the old high of $112,000.
Good luck!
This is a deception or maybe a technique !!!I think this head and shoulders pattern is trying to deceive us and is fake. I expect the price to drop to the support line and then rise to $109k. WAIT FOR IT....
Give me some energy !!
The Crypto Market Game: How to Win Against Fear and Manipulation
Did you really think profiting from the current bull run (a comprehensive upward market) would be easy? Don't be naive. Do you think they’ll let you buy low, hold, and sell high without any struggle? If it were that simple, everyone would be rich. But the truth is: 90% of you will lose. Why? Because the crypto market is not designed for everyone to win.
They will shake you. They will make you doubt everything. They will create panic, causing you to sell at the worst possible moment. Do you know what happens next? The best players in this game buy when there’s fear, not sell—because your panic gives them cheap assets.
This is how the game works: strong hands feed off weak hands. They exaggerate every dip, every correction, every sell-off. They make it look like the end of the world so you abandon everything. And when the market rises again, you’re left sitting there asking, “What just happened?”
This is not an accident. It’s a system. The market rewards patience and punishes weak emotions. The big players already know your thoughts. They know exactly when and how to stir fear, forcing you to give up. When you panic, they profit. They don’t just play the market—they play you. That’s why most people never succeed: they fall into the same traps over and over again.
People don’t realize that dips, FUD (fear, uncertainty, doubt), and panic are all part of the plan. But the winners? They block out the noise. They know that fear is temporary, but smart decisions last forever.
We’ve seen this play out hundreds of times. They pump the market after you sell. They take your assets, hold them, and sell them back to you at the top—leaving you with nothing, wondering how it happened.
Don’t play their game. Play your own.
Bitcoin: a decision week Previous week brought some relief among market participants, when it was announced that the U.S. Administration and China completed the deal regarding trade tariffs. Details of this deal have not been publicly disclosed, however, the markets reacted positively to it. The U.S. equity market gained significantly, while the crypto market managed to hold higher grounds. BTC started the week with a break of $105K toward the upside, testing the resistance at $108K. The majority of trades occurred between $106K and $107K.
The RSI continued to move above the 50 level, indicating that the market is still not ready to seek the oversold market side. The indicator is ending the week at the 56, bringing some probability for the overbought market side in the coming period. The MA50 continues to diverge from MA200, without an indication that the cross might come anytime soon.
Charts are showing that the BTC is currently on the cross road. There are equal probabilities that the coin might be traded toward both sides in the week ahead. On one hand, trades from the last week showed enough buying orders, which were holding the coin at the higher grounds, continuously seeking the break of the $108K level. However, if this market strength does not manage to support the BTC in the week ahead, then the reversal will be inevitable. In this case, the $105K will be the first stop.
Wait for something more reliableMorning folks,
Since our last update action was anemic. Nothing has changed seriously. BTC was able to show just minor upside action. Based on current performance, I do not want to take long position right here and prefer to wait for something more reliable. Because BTC action stands rather different from the one that we expected to see.
For example it might be H&S pattern on 1H chart. Thus, an area around 103K seems the one that we will keep an eye on.
111.65 against 105KMorning folks,
So we've got great entry with our H&S but it is early to relax. To avoid long explanations - BTC has to stay above 105K lows to keep current tendency valid. So, if you still plan to buy BTC here - you do not need to watch for too deep standing Fib levels.
If BTC will still drop below 105K, we could get extended downside action to 100K and maybe even deeper.
Nearest upside target with our current plan is 111.65K.
Bitcoin can correct to support line of channel and start to growHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Bitcoin. The price was moving inside a strong upward channel, where it managed to break through the support level and then the resistance level, eventually reaching the seller zone. After that, BTC started to turn around and declined, once again breaking through the 109000 resistance level, this time from above. That movement also marked an exit from the upward channel. Following that, the price made a correction move down to the support level — the same zone that previously acted as a breakout area. From there, BTC showed strength again with a bullish impulse upward, returning to the Seller Zone. However, that rally was short-lived. The market started to decline again, this time forming a downward channel. Now the price is approaching the support line of this channel, which coincides with the support level around 100500 and the buyer zone between 99500 and 100500. I think BTC can decline a bit further to test this support line, and then rebound from this area, starting a new upward move toward the channel resistance line. That’s why I’ve set my TP at 106000 points, just below the resistance line. Given the structure and past reactions from these zones, I remain bullish and expect further growth after this local pullback. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
Disclaimer: As part of ThinkMarkets’ Influencer Program, I am sponsored to share and publish their charts in my analysis.
BTC eyes on $97.8k: Last stop before 85.3k Golden Genesis retestShown here is a single fib series in three different time-frames.
The "Genesis Sequence" has called every major turn since 2015.
Clear reactions at each fib confirms our faith in the "Golden Ratio"
Topped at the 111.66k fib, and orbitted the 105k fib for a bit.
Now approaching a critical fib at 97.8k that bulls must fight for.
If it does not hold then we look to the Golden Genesis at 85.3k
$ 97,769.44 is the exact location of next fib.
$ 85,354.35 is the exact location of the Golden fib.
Golden Genesis fibs deserve the respect of a retest.
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Previous calls of the Genesis Sequence include these amazingly PRECISE turns:
$111k Top call:
$105k recent Top call:
$73k previous Cylce top:
Hit the FOLLOW and BOOST to encourage more such PRECISE charts.
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waiting for BTC to reach to demand area#BTC we will buy @107350 with the SL of 106800 for target 109000 and above
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 2-26 : Rally in Counter-TrendToday's pattern suggests the SPY/QQQ may move downward a bit as a Rally in Counter-trend mode suggests more of a breakdown type of pattern today.
I believe the recent GAP on the SPY/QQQ chart (Monday) sets an easy target for price to attempt to fill that gap downward.
Gold and Silver are in a very strong rally phase over the next 5+ trading days. Get ready for an explosive upward trend in metals.
Bitcoin is stalling near the upper channel. I suspect we may see a rollover and downward price trend in Bitcoin.
Overall, today is a day I plan on getting as far as I can on my new book. Over the past few weeks, I've had lots of disruptions and family emergencies.
Today, I think I have a full day of working on code/projects and the book.
I gave you guys a little glimpse into my work on the book today and I expect to have it ready within the next 10-15 days (God willing).
Get some.
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BTCUSD Trading Opportunity! SELL!
My dear subscribers,
This is my opinion on the BTCUSD next move:
The instrument tests an important psychological level 10686
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bearish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market.
Target - 10417
My Stop Loss - 10836
About Used Indicators:
On the subsequent day, trading above the pivot point is thought to indicate ongoing bullish sentiment, while trading below the pivot point indicates bearish sentiment.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Bitcoin Is Looking For A Bullish ContinuationMorning all! Bitcoin has impulsive characteristics on 4h time frame, and we can clearly see five waves up that can send the price even higher after recent projected ABC correction. With the current impulsive recovery back above 106k area, it confirms that bulls are still here and we should be aware of further rally in July, especially if breaks above channel resistance line near 110k area. Seems like it's in wave (1) of a new five-wave bullish impulse, so after current wave (2) pullback, we can expect more gains within wave (3).
Wait for your EDGE...
Discipline is what separates professionals from amateurs.
Stay patient. Wait for your edge. Let the probabilities work in your favor.
👉 “Agree with this? Hit Boost to spread the message.”
#TradingPsychology #Discipline #BTC #Bitcoin #Forex
#TradingMindset #AlBrooks #TradingDiscipline #PriceAction #ForexTrading #CryptoTrading #StockMarket #MJTrading #TradingQuotes #TraderLife #MindOverMarkets
BTC/USD – Critical Reversal or Breakout?Bitcoin is currently trading around $107,500, pressing against the upper boundary of a rising wedge on the 1H and 4H charts. The structure remains fragile, with weakening momentum and conflicting signals between short and mid-term indicators.
📌 Scenario 1 – Bearish:
The current move likely completes wave (b) of an ABC correction.
Price has reached ~0.735 retracement at $108,358.
Breakdown of wedge support (~$104,600) could activate wave (c) toward $101K–$98K, or even the 1.618 extension to $86,000 (seen on daily).
📈 Scenario 2 – Bullish Alternate:
If BTC breaks and closes above $108,500, with volume, we may have invalidation of wave (b).
This opens the door for a wave (5) extension toward $113,000.
🔍 Key Indicators:
RSI on 1H is weakening, under 50.
OBV is flat – no accumulation spike.
QQE shows Buy signals but lacks follow-through.
Volume remains unconvincing for continuation.
🎯 Conclusion:
BTC is at a make-or-break level. A clean breakout and retest above $108.5K flips the structure bullish. Until then, wedge breakdown is the higher-probability play. Watch the $104.6K zone closely for direction confirmation.
