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BTCUSD.PM trade ideas

BITCOIN Is this just a giant Bull Flag?Bitcoin (BTCUSD) is basically on its first strong pull-back since the July 14 All Time High (ATH), as it is the 3rd straight red day going from roughly $120300 to below $115000 as of this moment. Technically this Channel Down pull-back looks like a Bull Flag to the uptrend that started following the June 22 Low. The 1D RSI pattern is similar to the May 22 - 30 fractal, which was also a correction that started after a Channel Up and initially hit the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line), only to rebound a settle for a last dip lower closer to the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line). If the 1D MA50 fails to contain the current correction, we may again be faced with a slightly more prolonged pull-back, which may be translated into an Accumulation Phase that could eventually lead to prices above $130000 by September. Do you think that will be the case or we will see an instant rebound? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below! ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CRYPTO:BTCUSD
by TradingShot
July 22 Bitcoin Bybit chart analysisHello It's a Bitcoin Guide. If you "follow" You can receive real-time movement paths and comment notifications on major sections. If my analysis was helpful, Please click the booster button at the bottom. This is Bitcoin's 30-minute chart. Nasdaq indicators will be released at 9:30 in a little while. Although Bitcoin's mid-term pattern is broken, it looks like a strong upward trend based on signals and candlestick positions. In the case of Nasdaq, the 6-hour and 12-hour charts MACD dead cross is in progress, and even if there is no plunge and only a sideways movement, it seems likely that today's strategy will be successful. In the bottom left, from the analysis article on the 18th, the final long position entry point of $116,465.4 Bottom is connected as is. *Red finger movement path One-way long position strategy 1. $118,461.9 long position entry section / green support line breakout, stop loss price 2. $120,338 long position 1st target -> Good, Great in order of target price See the 1st section at the top as a touch section for an upward wave rather than a short position entry, and if this section breaks through right away, an upward trend can be connected. If the purple parallel line support line is maintained without breaking away, there is a possibility of a vertical rise. If the top section is touched, after the first liquidation, it would be good to use the 1st section to re-enter a long position. The 2nd section at the bottom is important, and if it is pushed to this section according to the movement of Nasdaq today, it can fall strongly. Please check the real-time support line shape. From the breakout, Bottom -> 3 sections are open. If you touch the 3rd section after tomorrow, the mid-term pattern will be restored. This is the 12+ day section. Up to this point, I ask that you simply use my analysis for reference and use only. I hope that you will operate safely with the principle of trading and stop loss. Thank you.
BYBIT:BTCUSD.PLong
by BitCoinGuide
2
BTCUSD MMC Analysis - Breakout Confirmation + Reversal + TargetWelcome back to another deep-dive analysis powered by MMC (Mirror Market Concepts), where precision meets market psychology. In today’s BTCUSD setup, we’re observing a textbook confluence of structural breakouts, demand rejections, and liquidity zone engagements. Let’s break it down step by step. 📊 1. Market Context & Background The market recently showed a prolonged bearish trendline structure, with lower highs compressing price into a wedge. The prior days have been consolidative, hinting at an accumulation phase. This forms the foundation for reversal setups we often identify in MMC-style analysis — where liquidity, not just structure, determines the next move. 🔍 2. Demand Zone Dominance – 2x Tap Confirmation At the bottom of the chart, BTC created a strong 2x Demand Zone (117,250–118,000 area), a region where buyers aggressively stepped in. This zone had already been tested once, and the second tap confirmed demand strength — a key MMC signal. This dual-tap created a spring effect, launching price upward and rejecting all downside liquidity grabs. It also showed clear absorption of sell-side volume. 📈 3. QFL Behavior + Break of Structure We see a QFL (Quick Flip Liquidity) reaction just after price bounced from demand — this is a behavior unique to MMC models. Here, price flipped structure rapidly after breaking a local high near 118,500, suggesting aggressive buyer entry. This QFL event served as the first warning for a major trend shift. Right after that, we got a major BOS (Break of Structure) above 119,250, further confirming the bullish transition. 🪜 4. Trendline Breakout – Second Confirmation The descending trendline — connecting several swing highs — was breached with strong bullish momentum. Importantly, this was the second confirmation breakout, not just a fakeout spike. The breakout candle closed strongly above the trendline and above the SR channel zone (gray area), confirming trend reversal intent. This aligns with MMC's multi-stage breakout logic, where price gives one trap, pulls back, and then breaks cleanly with intent. 🛡 5. Channel SR Interchange Zone (Support-Resistance Flip) The gray horizontal SR Channel played a crucial role. Initially acting as resistance, it became support once the breakout was confirmed. This interchange behavior — a principle where support turns into resistance or vice versa — is critical in MMC. Price flipping this zone and holding above is a strong continuation signal. 🧠 6. Targeting & Forward Outlook Price is now approaching the Mini Reversal Zone (119,750–120,250). This is a low-timeframe liquidity zone where short-term traders may take profits or where institutional orders may reverse temporarily. Here are two potential scenarios: Bullish Continuation: If price pulls back slightly and holds the channel SR as support, we may see a continued leg upward, breaking above 120,250. Temporary Rejection: A sharp reaction from the Mini Reversal Zone could lead to a retracement into the Central Zone (~118,800), where buyers might reload. 📌 Key MMC Takeaways: ✅ 2x Demand Zone reaction confirmed bullish interest. ✅ QFL + BOS + Trendline Break = High-conviction reversal signal. ✅ SR Flip adds MMC-style structural layering. ✅ Price is now navigating final supply zones before expansion. 👑 Join the Candle King Community If you find value in these advanced MMC analyses, join the Candle King server — a professional community focused on refining trading journeys through advanced market theory like Mirror Market Concepts, QFL, and real-time price logic. 📢 We don’t just trade levels — we trade behavior.
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by GoldMasterTrades
1
Bearish Outlook for BTCUSDOn the 4-hour timeframe, Bitcoin seems to be starting a corrective phase, likely moving toward the $110 mark. Current price action is facing resistance at a descending trendline, aligned with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level, which should limit any short-term upward moves. The price is also trading below the 50-period SMA, with a strong bearish candle from a few sessions back supporting the downward trend. For a bullish outlook to take hold, Bitcoin would need to decisively break above the 78.6% Fibonacci level with a robust bullish candle closing above the 50 SMA. Until that happens, I remain bearish, with a target of $110. This technical perspective aligns with the scenario where the Federal Reserve opts to maintain interest rates at 4.50% at this Wednesday's FOMC meeting Stay cautious and trade wisely!
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by Michael_Harding
1
Bart Simpson Pattern Forming? We are in Greed? A possible Bart Simpson pattern is forming, which typically indicates a market top and reversal, with a retest of <$109,000 very likely. This pattern could also create a bearish head and shoulders formation, strongly suggesting a near-term top. Trading volume continues to decrease, and ETF inflows are now negative, with an increasing volume of BTC on exchanges indicating that sell pressure is mounting. In this situation, a flash crash is also quite likely, so be cautious about where you place your limit sell orders and stop losses.. Both short and long positions are currently low, suggesting there is a lack of direction in the market, whether up or down. This situation often occurs at the end of a bull run. While a push upward is a possibility, based on my analysis, I anticipate that this pattern will break down with an 80:20 probability. However, Bitcoin often challenges expectations and is famously unpredictable. However due to all the media hype and the rolling of capital into Alt coins and the dominance dropping I do believe we are very near the end of the bull run. This is not financial advice (NFA).
KRAKEN:BTCUSD
by Discombobulate1
2
BTCUSD Daily Analysis – Golden Pocket Hold Before a Bullish?🧠 Chart Description & Market Structure: The BTCUSD daily chart is showing a consolidation phase after forming a local high near $123,231. Currently, the price is retracing and approaching a key Fibonacci retracement zone between the 0.5 level ($115,557) and 0.618 level ($113,740) — also known as the Golden Pocket, which is often a strong reversal area. --- 📈 Bullish Scenario: If the price holds within or just above the 0.5–0.618 Fibonacci zone (highlighted in yellow) and forms a bullish reversal candlestick (like a hammer, bullish engulfing, or pin bar), there’s a high probability for BTC to resume its uptrend. Bullish upside targets include: $119,842 as minor resistance. $123,231 as the previous swing high and a key breakout confirmation. A successful break above $123,231 could send BTC toward the next major targets around $128K–$132K. --- 📉 Bearish Scenario: If the price fails to hold the 0.618 Fibonacci level ($113,740) and breaks down below the key psychological support at $111,500, a deeper correction may occur. Downside targets: $108K–$106K as the next major support zone. A break below this could lead to the formation of a lower high structure and potentially trigger a bearish continuation. --- 📊 Pattern Observations: Potential Bullish Flag or Rectangle Consolidation: The price action suggests horizontal consolidation after a strong rally — possibly a re-accumulation zone before a bullish continuation. Golden Pocket Retest: Price is currently testing the Fibonacci 0.5–0.618 zone, often targeted by institutional buyers and technical traders as a potential entry point. --- 🧭 Key Levels to Watch: Major Resistance: $123,231 (swing high) Minor Resistance: $119,842 Fibonacci 0.5: $115,557 Fibonacci 0.618: $113,740 Key Support: $111,500 --- 🔖 Conclusion: BTC is currently in a decision zone. Price action within the $115,500–$113,700 range will be crucial. Will this be a healthy retracement before the next leg up — or the beginning of a deeper correction? #BTCUSD #BitcoinAnalysis #CryptoTA #FibonacciRetracement #CryptoChart #BitcoinDaily #BullishSetup #BearishSetup #CryptoMarket
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by CryptoNuclear
1
BTCUSD – Bulls Still in Control After New ATH 🔸 After the new All-Time High printed 10 days ago, Bitcoin entered a consolidation phase. So far, the market looks healthy and seems to be waiting for a trigger to continue the uptrend. 🔸 A clear support zone has formed around 116k, and as long as this level holds, bulls remain in full control of the market. 📉 For short-term traders and speculators: Buying dips near 117.5k could offer solid risk/reward setups, with a target around 125k in case of a breakout. Let’s see if the market gives us the trigger we’re waiting for. 🚀
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by Mihai_Iacob
Bitcoin - V-shape recovery down towards the 4h FVG at $111.000?The move began with a strong rally that peaked near the $123,000 level. After hitting that high, Bitcoin quickly reversed and sold off aggressively, forming a classic V-shaped pattern. This type of formation typically indicates a strong shift in momentum, where bullish control is quickly overtaken by sellers, leading to swift downward movement. 4H bearish FVG Shortly after the initial drop, Bitcoin made a retest of the bearish 4H FVG (Fair Value Gap) around the $119,000 to $120,500 zone. This fair value gap was created during the sharp move down and represented an area of inefficiency in price. The chart shows that price moved back into this zone and was “perfectly retested,” getting rejected almost immediately. This rejection confirmed that sellers are respecting this imbalance, turning it into a short-term resistance level. Market structure As the price failed to reclaim the fair value gap and continued lower, it broke the market structure at around $117,000. This break suggests that the previous higher low was taken out, signaling a bearish shift in the intermediate trend. The market structure break often acts as confirmation that buyers are losing control and lower prices are likely. CME gap Adding to the downside pressure is the CME gap, labeled as the "BTC CME GAP" on the chart. This gap spans from roughly $114,000 to $116,300 and was formed over the weekend when the CME (Chicago Mercantile Exchange) was closed. Historically, Bitcoin has shown a tendency to "fill" these gaps by revisiting the price levels within them. The current price action has already started to dip into this region, which could suggest further downside to complete the gap fill. Bullish 4H FVG with support Finally, the chart hints at the potential drop to the lowest 4H FVG and previous resistance, located just above $111,000. This fair value gap aligns closely with a prior resistance level from earlier in the month, making it a logical magnet for price if selling pressure persists. It represents a confluence zone where buyers may look to step in again, especially if the CME gap is filled and the market is searching for support. Conclusion In summary, Bitcoin is showing bearish technical signs following a V-shape top and a strong rejection from the 4H FVG at $120,000. The break of market structure and ongoing fill of the CME gap suggest that further downside toward the $111,000 level is a strong possibility. Traders should watch closely for price reaction in that lower fair value gap zone, as it could serve as a critical area for a potential bounce. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Thanks for your support. If you enjoyed this analysis, make sure to follow me so you don't miss the next one. And if you found it helpful, feel free to drop a like and leave a comment, I’d love to hear your thoughts!
TRADENATION:BTCUSDShort
by Youriverse
52
LAST BTC PUSH? Dear Community, in order to expand my skills analysis, I will regularly share my analyses and ideas here on TradingView. I still consider myself a beginner in the “stock market” and “crypto” area and am therefore very much looking forward to your comments and input! My primary assumption is that we are still in a final upward move. However, I am also pursuing alternative scenarios that could lead to significantly higher levels. BTC analysis - 1H chart In my analysis, wave (3) in yellow is complete and we are currently in wave (4) correction, which may not be complete yet. My guess: - Wave B (yellow) has been completed, wave C has extended and could still reach USD 113 679, where the Fibonacci 100 level is located. There is also an FVG in the 1H chart. - A retest of the blue trend channel would be quite possible in order to pick up liquidity at this level before wave 5 (yellow) is completed between USD 126,887 and USD 130,000. - My risk management is down to USD 107,326 (Fibonacci 1.866). - We have already tested the Fibonacci 0.5 level (pullback level) and seen a positive reaction. However, we currently lack volume in the market. - If the blue channel and the Fibonacci 100% level break, I have to assume an alternative count. In this case, wave 4 would still have scope to reach the Fibonacci 61.8% level in the yellow box at USD 112,062. If my current forecast does not materialize, I assume that we have already completed wave A and are in the correction to wave B, which will be followed by wave C - with a target of around USD 130,000 for the final impulse. This scenario also fits in well with risk management up to the Fibonacci level of 1.866. There are also high liquidity areas (long) at this level, which are very attractive for market makers. What do you think?
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by Jorgebatista8twcp
2
Why Risk Management Is Your Only Real Superpower in TradingMany traders obsess over entries, indicators, or finding the “perfect” strategy… But the real longevity in this game comes from how you manage risk — not how often you’re right. Obviously it all starts with using stop loss. I hope you already know it. We all learned lessons in trying to enter the top / bottom and it was really not the top/ bottom yet. ✅ Always use Stop Loss. Interestingly more then 50% failed prop challenges are because traders dont use a stop loss. Now your stop loss should always be adjusted to the market structure. Not always same lot size Obviously some short-term scalping can be done with the fixed SL and TP distance. But most of strategies needs to adjust SL to the current structure. And here come the problem. Many traders use still same lot size even when the stop loss distance is different and thats the problem. Let me just show you on 2 examples of series of trades. We count with 5 identical trade setups Let's assume we had 5 trades 1 winner and 4 losses. 📌 1) Using always same position size on 10K account - Outcome of trades is various - 1 win with fixed lot was small. Instead of fixed lot we could use higher lot size as the SL distance was small. This trade didnt covered other losses. - Losses of other trades are various - psychological affect - uncertainty increasing fear of loss - total result after is -273 pips - minus 2.7% and - $273 📌 2) Calculated risk 1.5% for each trade - we risk 1.5% for each trade by adjusting lot size - You always know how much you loose if you loose. - You can maximize profits on high RR trades. - Every trade will have same % value in your series of trades. This makes your statistics working - first trade has made huge profit - other 4 losses were 1.5% each - first trade covered losses and even made gains - we again ended in minus 273 pips BUT +$337 IN MONEY / AND + 3.37% PROFIT 📌 Final Conclusion Although we modeled 5 completely same trading setups in first example we ended up loosing in pips and money. While in the second example with the completely identical setups we ended in profit and more stability of on our account but also with psychological preservation. And this is power of risk management and it has much bigger impact especially to our trading psychology which is 80% of success. 🧠 Psychological Importance of Risk Management: 🧪 Reduces emotional pressure When your capital is protected, you stop making desperate, fear-based decisions. 🧪 Builds confidence in your strategy Knowing you’re safe even if a trade fails allows you to focus on execution, not outcome. 🧪 Eliminates fear of losing Small, controlled losses become part of the process — not something to avoid or fear. 🧪Improves consistency and discipline Following rules forces you to act like a professional, not a gambler. 🧪 Prevents burnout and mental fatigue Managing risk = managing stress. Overexposure to loss drains your mental capital, not just your account. 📌 Final tip There is no strategy on the world which is only winning. Losses are normal. Same like restaurant owner has a cost with rent and salaries for employees. We as a trader has cost of the doing the business in losses. You cant avoid them. One loss out of 4 trades is nothing. But what if you get in to a loosing streak like me in the may? How did I survive? Many people would start doubting the strategy , doing the changes, switching to trading different markets etc.. But NO, if you know your statistical data and stick with the your risk management it will keeps you going. You know that even 75% win rate doesnt guarantee that you cant get in to a loosing streak. 75% winning ratio means that out of 100 trades you will win 75. But still there is 25 looters. And you never know what would be distribution of wins and losses. So you keep going and its only possible if you calculate risk per trade and know how much is your max loss per trade not by using same lot size for random stop loss distance. “Adapt what is useful. Reject whats useless and add whats is specifically yours.” David Perk aka Dave FX Hunter
GEMINI:BTCUSDEducation
by David_Perk
41
Will this be the first proper alt szn since 2020?Altcoins are waking up. While Bitcoin has surged over 600% since 2022, Ethereum and smaller coins have lagged behind. But that might be changing. With ETHBTC breaking its downtrend, BTC dominance dropping, and political momentum building around crypto regulation, the stage could be set for a true altcoin season. In this video, we break down the charts, the trends, and what could come next. Is this the real deal or just another fakeout? Let me know what you think.
THINKMARKETS:BTCUSDLong
by ThinkMarkets
1
Bitcoin massive bullrun incoming!!!If historical patterns serve as a guide, we consistently observe the formation of a rounding bottom pattern on BTC preceding each bull run. Presently, it appears we are on the brink of significant BTC movements this year. Notably, a critical support level indicated on the chart stands at 59k, extrapolated from historical data. The target for the rounding bottom formation is distinctly delineated on the chart. This post will be continuously updated in a timely manner. Do share your insights regarding this pattern.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by weslad
87
Bitcoin: Genius is on the scene The U.S. House passed the Genius Act on July 17, following Senate approval in June. The bill sets comprehensive federal standards for stablecoins, clearing the way for banks and fintechs to issue them under clear reserve and audit rules. This represents a new milestone for the crypto market, and its leading coin - BTC. During the week, BTC managed to hold steady above the $118K. On Tuesday, there has been one attempt to push the price toward the $116, however, the price swiftly returned to the previous grounds. The highest weekly level reached was at $122,8K, reached on Monday, however, this level was also unsustainable. The majority of trades during the week were around $118,5K. The RSI modestly moved from the overbought market side, ending the week at the level of 65. This could be an indication of a forthcoming price reversal, however, considering strong demand for BTC, such a move could be easily postponed. The MA50 started again to diverge from MA200, indicating that there will be no cross of two lines in the coming period. BTC managed to hold levels above the $118K, which is an indication that investors are still not ready to sell in higher volumes, in order to take profits. The RSI is indicating potential for a short reversal, however, in the current circumstances, it might be postponed. A move toward the higher grounds is also quite possible, especially taking into account BTCs recent push toward the $122K. At this moment charts are pointing to equal probabilities for a move toward both sides. On one hand, the $116K support was indicated through price during the previous week, as well as the $122K. The start of the week ahead will determine which side will prevail in the week ahead.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by XBTFX
BITCOIN Should we still trust the Stock to Flow model??It sure worked perfectly during Bitcoin's (BTCUSD) first Cycles, but the Stock-to-Flow model has greatly diverged from the current price action since March 2024. Right now the model sits at around $750000, which is vastly above the current market price of $119000. It's been trading sideways actually since June 2024 and all of the times that it was ranging, Bitcoin eventually caught up and closed the gap. It has always been a 'story' of divergence and convergence but it sure seems unrealistic to catch up this time, especially during if this Cycle continues to follow the 4-year model. So what do you think? Should we still trust what seems more and more like an 'obsolete' model as mass adoption kicks in? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below! ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CRYPTO:BTCUSD
by TradingShot
9
BTC Retrace RoadMap and 3 nearby supports worth watching NOWThis is a near-term followup to my big picture linked below. Dip is underway after orbiting our Genesis Fib at 117.9k. Quickly approaching the next three supports worth watching. Supports get stronger below but each one needs to slow the dip. $ 115,140 is a minor fib but possible end of dip wave. $ 113,9xx is a double fib that should be pretty strong $ 111,661 is the sister Genesis fib, and a MUST HOLD . Big Picture chart and why 117.9k was KEY ======================================================= .
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by EuroMotif
Bitcoin - The cycle is just starting!⚔️Bitcoin ( CRYPTO:BTCUSD ) just created new highs: 🔎Analysis summary: Bitcoin is currently - especially with the new all time high breakout - just perfectly following previous cycle behavior. Since there is no real resistance above current price, apart from psychological levels, I do expect a substantial rally back to the upper channel resistance trendline. 📝Levels to watch: $300.000 🙏🏻#LONGTERMVISION Philip - Swing Trader
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by basictradingtv
26
BTC Ready to Start to 125KMorning folks, Better if you combine this update with previous idea. Now it seems that BTC stands in swamp action, flirting around 116K, which might be looking a bit bearish. But by our view, this is not quite so. First is, triangle patterns as on daily chart as on 4H chart are look great and quite bullish. Pay attention that on 4H chart all sell-offs were bought out. Our 1.16 lows that we set as vital ones for this scenario area still intact. So, it means that butterfly with 125K target that we discussed last time is also intact. I would say more. If you take a careful look at 1H chart - you could recognize reverse H&S pattern that could trigger all this stuff. It means that we're not in swamp, but at the point where the decision on long entry has to be made... Take care S.
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by Sive-Morten