Bitcoin ATH 2025 - Which colour pill do you Want ? Blue ? Red ?
It is a very simple question and one you should be asking yourself RIGHT NOW
And here is why.
On previous 2 cycles, we have spent around 1440 days , on average, Between cycle ATH and the next Cycle ATH and so, by consequence, it should be easy to project forwards now, and estimate when to expect the next cycle ATH.
YES, except for the fact we had 2 Major ATH's in 2021.
Some insist that the March 2021 was the real ATH and the Nov ATH was False, maybe a Pump due to the roll out of TAPRROT.
For me, I say it is the Nov 2021 ATH is the REAL ATH for a number of reasons. 3 of which are simply that BTC ATH tend to be in Q4 and it was simply the Highest price that cycle.
The 3rd reason is in the chart with the Blue Day counts markers.
Using the Nov 2021 ATH, the 1400+ day count remains consistent from Previous ATH in 2013-2017.
Many current projections point toward another Q4 2025 ATH for Bitcoin and so I have added the BLUE day count to estimate when this maybe.
And it is around Oct / Nov , the same as 2nd ATH in 2021
This is the BLUE Pill
BUT if you believe that the March 2021 ATH was THE REAL ATH, then we must take our day count from there.
That was only 1190 from the previous ATH and if we project that number onto Current PA, we have already past that point and set a New ATH, Current ATH was set after that day count.
So Lets Project forward from the March 2021 ATH with the 1400+ average day count and we end up with a projected ATH around Early March, same as in 2021 !
This is your RED pill
I do have charts that point towards a major move in March but the question we need to ask ourselves is , "Will that be cycle Top"
This is obviously impossible to answer but we can continue to observe what does happen.
To simplify the issue, I am looking at the Weekly MACD for Bitcoin
It is SO overbought. In Fact, it is up as high as it was when we had the March 2021 ATH !
What does this suggest ?
We may already have had our Cycle ATH and we need to watch closely as to what happens now.
In 2021, we had a near -50% draw back when MACD was OverBought after the March ATH, before we pushed back up.
The push higher was enabled because the MACD had cooled off after 4 months , enough to be Neutral when it turned up to push for a New ATH
We are currently in a similar position.
MACD OverBought - Last time it was overbought, we ranged for 6 months while it cooled off slowly, controlled.
So what now ?
The Current situation poses so many questions.
OnChain data suggests strength though we have seen a lot of Long term holders selling. This usualy happens at cycle TOPS or near
Are we going to have 2 ATH pushes like we had in 2021 ?
Is this going to happen again ?
Which Colour pill are you taking ?
BLUE for a Q4 cycle ATH
RED for it has already past or is about to arrive.
The possibility does exist that the Cycle has been accelerated by Corporate involvement.
But we have not seen the Public FOMO yet.
Will we ?
So, Ladies and Gents. Which pill are you taking ?
BLUE or RED ?
Me, I already taken the............................................
BLUE