BTCUSD.PM trade ideas
BTCUSD TRADE SETUP 📈 **Bitcoin (BTC/USD) 1H Chart Analysis — June 28, 2025**
🔍 **Pattern Identified: Bullish Flag Breakout**
🧠 **1. Market Context**
* This is the **1-hour chart** of **BTC/USD** on Binance.
* Price recently formed a **bullish flag pattern**, which is a **continuation pattern** signaling a potential breakout in the **direction of the previous trend (upward)**.
🔧 **2. Technical Breakdown**
🔹 **Trend Before the Flag**
* Price had a strong **impulsive move up** from \~105,000 to \~107,800.
* That was followed by a **consolidation phase** forming a downward sloping **channel** (blue parallel lines), creating the **flag**.
🔹 **Flag Channel**
* Price oscillated inside this flag for nearly 2 days (June 26–28).
* The **channel** is clearly defined, and price **respected both upper and lower bounds** during the consolidation.
🚀 **3. Breakout Confirmation**
* Price has now **broken out of the upper boundary** of the flag.
* A clean **break and candle close** above the trendline suggests **bullish momentum** is returning.
* This breakout is occurring around the **107,400–107,800** zone, which is also a **key structure level** acting as local resistance.
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🎯 **4. Trade Setup**
✅ **Entry:**
* Around **107,400–107,800**, post-confirmation of the breakout.
❌ **Stop-Loss (SL):**
* Placed just below the **flag support / demand zone**, around **106,800**.
* This protects against a fake breakout or pullback into the flag.
🎯 **Target (TP):**
* Projected at **110,000**, which is aligned with the height of the initial flagpole projected from the breakout point.
* This also represents a psychological round number and a previous resistance level.
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📊 **Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR)**
* **RRR = \~3:1**
* For every \$1 risked, the potential reward is \$3 — **excellent reward structure**.
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📌 **Key Insights for the Traders**
* This is a **classic bullish flag breakout** play—very reliable in trending markets.
* **Volume confirmation** (not shown in chart but should be checked live) is important — higher volume during breakout gives stronger conviction.
* Watch for a possible **retest of the breakout level** (around 107,800) before the next move up.
Bitcoin H1 | Potential bounce off an overlap supportBitcoin (BTC/USD) is falling towards an overlap support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 106,532.50 which is an overlap support that aligns closely with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss is at 104,600.00 which is a level that lies underneath a swing-low support and the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit is at 108,808.50 which is a swing-high resistance that aligns with the 127.2% Fibonacci extension.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
June 30 Bitcoin Bybit chart analysisHello
This is Bitcoin Guide.
If you "follow"
You can receive real-time movement paths and comment notifications on major sections.
If my analysis was helpful,
Please click the booster button at the bottom.
This is the Bitcoin 30-minute chart.
There is no separate indicator announcement today.
The weekly and daily charts are being adjusted at the same time as they are created.
The strategy was carried out based on the Nasdaq pattern and the Tether dominance pattern.
The long position entry section on the 25th, $106,746, was connected as is.
*When the blue finger moves,
It is a two-way neutral
short->long switching or long waiting strategy.
1. $108,138.1 short position entry section / stop loss price when orange resistance line is broken
2. $107,507.9 long position switching / stop loss price when green support line is broken
3. $108,507.9 long position 1st target -> Good 2nd target price
You can also use the long position re-entry indicated in the middle.
If it comes down right away without touching the short entry section at the top,
it is a long waiting strategy at the gap section of 107,102.7 dollars,
and the stop loss price is the same.
And, if it succeeds in rebounding within the purple support line today,
the reason it is safe from a long position is
because the low point of the weekly and daily candles created this week is maintained without additional deviation.
Please note that the 1st section at the bottom is a sideways market / the 2nd section is open up to the bottom.
Please use my analysis article so far only for reference and use,
and I hope you operate safely with the principle trading and stop loss price.
Thank you.
BTC CONTINUES TO PUSHBitcoin continues to press higher with quiet confidence. After reclaiming the $106,787 resistance level with a strong daily close last week, BTC has held the breakout and is now consolidating just above it – a textbook bullish retest. The 50-day moving average is rising beneath price, offering additional support as momentum builds. We’re seeing a small cluster of tight candles, hinting that the market is coiling for a potential move.
Volume has pulled back slightly since the breakout, but there’s no sign of aggressive selling. The structure remains clean: higher highs, higher lows, and a clear path toward the next major resistance at $112,000.
For now, it’s a bullish posture with strong technical support below and a stair-step climb in progress. Unless price falls back below $106,787, this looks like a base being built for continuation – not exhaustion.
$BTC: Breakout Loading – Massive Opportunity Ahead! BTC is consCRYPTOCAP:BTC : Breakout Loading – Massive Opportunity Ahead!
BTC is consolidating within a major structure for 224+ days. Current price action is forming a bull flag, signaling strong potential for a breakout toward $120,000–$150,000. Short-term volatility expected, but long-term trend remains bullish.
🔸 Support at $90,000–$93,000:
Strong confluence in this region including CME gap, liquidity pools, and previous structure support. Rejection from $113K could trigger a flush into this zone. Long setups should be considered here. Whales are accumulating.
🔸 Upside Target: $120,000 – $150,000
Long-term breakout from consolidation range aligning with historical accumulation patterns and macro indicators like M2 lag. Break of $113K with strength opens doors to $120K+. Clean structure with confirmed support will fuel rally continuation.
🔸 Risk Level at $88,000:
If BTC breaks below $88K with volume and closes under structure, it would invalidate the bull flag scenario short-term and signal deeper correction.
🔸 Outlook:
Monitor price reaction near $113K. Prepare for fakeout and potential sweep into $90K–$93K zone. Place laddered long orders in that range for optimal R:R. If dip occurs, treat it as a gift entry. No bearish outlook unless macro conditions shift drastically. Momentum remains upward.
Decoding the Dollar's Next MoveThe Dollar Index (DXY) currently stands at a critical crossroads, with its weekly close below 98.00 poised to dictate the trajectory of major asset classes for the coming weeks. The DXY closed as a bearish weekly candle at 97.2, confirming the "Bearish Dollar Scenario" as it closed below the 98.00 level. The market sentiment is currently cautious, awaiting clear directional cues from the DXY2. Our analysis will explore the Bearish Dollar Scenario, outlining potential price movements and actionable recommendations across a range of correlated assets
Bitcoin is bullish again!Bitcoin’s been on a wild ride lately!
After crashing down from its all-time highs earlier this year, it’s suddenly bounced back and shot up again over the last few weeks. Here’s what’s really going on, in plain English:
First off, a lot of this has to do with what’s happening in the broader economy and politics. The US dollar has gotten weaker recently, especially after Trump started criticizing the Federal Reserve and pushing for interest rate cuts.
When the dollar drops or there’s drama around central banks, people start looking for alternatives, and BITSTAMP:BTCUSD is like the go-to “digital gold” for a lot of investors these days.
There’s also been a ton of money flowing into Bitcoin ETFs (those are investment funds that directly hold Bitcoin), especially from big institutions like BlackRock and Fidelity. These huge inflows mean more demand, but since there’s only so much Bitcoin out there, the price gets pushed up even more.
Another big reason is the recent Bitcoin “halving,” which happened about a year ago. Basically, every four years, the reward for mining new Bitcoin gets cut in half, so fewer new coins are created. This makes Bitcoin even scarcer , and historically, prices have always jumped in the months after a halving event. As we said in previous ideas BTC could be near USD 200k this summer.
On top of that, there’s been some good news about trade relations between the US and China, which has made investors more optimistic and willing to take risks again. When people feel better about the global economy, they’re more likely to put money into things like crypto.
Technical confirmations
Bouncing in the previous 2024 highs is really good for Bitcoin, people was ready to buy a lot of BTC in the right price and after that a lot of inflows moved the price over the blue trendline meaning that this small downtrend is over.
Bitcoin is volatile, so this kind of movements are ideal to make money or invest in a discount. If the price moves below the support line, then I recommend to stay away of BTC because there could be a free fall...
So, to sum it up: weaker dollar, big institutional buying, post-halving scarcity, better vibes around global trade, and people running from stock market chaos—all of that has pushed Bitcoin back up after its recent dip. Who knows how long it’ll last, but right now, crypto’s hot again!
BTC BOUNCESBitcoin just pulled off a clean bounce off support, landing perfectly on the 50-day moving average around $105,800 – a level that’s repeatedly proven its importance. The move came with a solid +2% daily candle, reclaiming lost ground and putting the bulls back in control for now. Price is still trapped under the descending trendline just below $112,000, which has capped every breakout attempt over the past month, but momentum is shifting. As long as BTC stays above that support zone and keeps printing higher lows, the structure looks bullish. A breakout above that trendline would likely send us flying – but fall back below $105,800, and we’re probably retesting $100,700. For now, the bounce looks strong, the trend is intact, and the ball’s back in the bulls’ court.
Bitcoin H4 | Potential bullish bounce off an overlap supportBitcoin (BTC/USD) is falling towards an overlap support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 106,535.50 which is an overlap support that aligns with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss is at 104,600.00 which is a level that lies underneath a swing-low support and the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit is at 108,808.50 which is a multi-swing-high resistance.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Bitcoin Mid Term Game Plan - BTC PLANBitcoin just broke a key resistance level with strength.
I expect a new all-time high soon, likely the summer top.
Summer markets are usually weak for risk assets and strong for gold. Seasonality matters, keep that in mind.
I expect risk markets to sell off until mid-July to early August. I’ll start buying once we break structure again.
The plan:
Wait for BTC to hit $110K
Look for a reversal from that level
Start aggressively shorting alts, beginning with ETH and memecoins
Hold shorts until late July / early August
Close positions and shift back to buying
Bitcoin is now **on the verge of one of the biggest breakouts in
\#Bitcoin – **Higher Time Frame Analysis** 📈
Bitcoin is now **on the verge of one of the biggest breakouts in its history**.
📊 On the **daily chart**, we can clearly see a structure forming that's **similar to a Pole & Flag pattern**, which is typically **very bullish** from a price action perspective.
⚠️ However, we remain **cautious** —
We don’t just want a breakout above the upper trendline…
What we’re looking for is a **strong daily candle close above the previous all-time high** (\~**\$112,000**).
💥 If that happens, I’m anticipating a **massive upside move**, potentially towards the **\$123,000–\$125,000** zone.
Let’s stay alert and wait for **clear confirmation** before jumping in!
Bearish reversal?The Bitcoin (BTC/USD) is reacting off the pivot and could drop to the 1st support.
Pivot: 108,836.36
1st Support: 103,622.00
1st Resistance: 112,088.89
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
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The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
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BTC to new ATH, wanna bet?The only objection I have on this trade is 100400 level. If price comes there, I will buy more but for now, I think it will push up from here.
Entry is below 101800 if stoploss is still holding...
TP1 @ 112k
TP2 @ 120k
Enjoy
Follow me as my trades are mainly market orders, so you will see the trades on time and enter on time.
I don't know why ???Bitcoin is now at a point where it cannot be ignored! In my view, the bullish wave has started after the corrective wave ended. This wave could continue until it breaks the ascending triangle, then with a slight correction, push the price upward again. The current period and the coming days could be crucial in determining the market's trend.
Best regards CobraVanguard.💚
BTC STEADIES ON CEASEFIRE AND CORPORATE DEMANDBitcoin held steady on Thursday, supported by improving risk sentiment as the Middle East ceasefire continued to hold, calming broader market fears. Despite the stability, BTC remained confined within its recent trading range, reflecting a cautious tone among traders. In the previous session, Bitcoin rose 0.44% to $108,328, fueled by renewed institutional interest, with reports suggesting a growing number of corporate entities were accumulating BTC as part of their asset diversification strategies.
Adding to the sentiment, U.S. mortgage giants Fannie Mae (OTC:FNMA) and Freddie Mac (OTC:FMCC) are reportedly exploring the recognition of cryptocurrency as a valid asset in mortgage applications. While still in early stages, this development hinted at growing mainstream acceptance, offering some limited upside support for Bitcoin.
However, as of 04:47 GMT+4, Bitcoin had given up most of its earlier gains, trading down 0.54% at $107,309, as traders remained hesitant to push prices higher without a strong breakout catalyst and profit taking.
PRICE LEVELS TO WATCH
On the 4-hour chart, the initial overall trend was bearish until price broke above the previous lower high, signaling a Break of Structure (BOS). However, as BTC catches its breath with price action and RSI signaling more room to the downside, sellers are eyeing support at $106,263. A break below this level could open the path toward the next potential target around $104,820. On the flip side, if bulls regain control, a break above $108,328 would likely trigger a move toward $109,011, with a potential extension to $110,442. Analysts note that breakouts in either direction remain on the table, given current market volatility.
Bitcoin is still in a BullflagBitcoin has been chopping sideways from 110k to 100k since May which is almost 2 months. People have been saying this is a descending channel but sometimes global swan events can disrupt Technical analysis. If you discount the Bitcoin dump on 5th June as Elon Musk/Trump clash and on 20th June as I*rael/Iran war, then Bitcoin is still in a bull flag structure and will breakout to the upside following the global liquidity.
₿itcoin: Grinding higherBitcoin has extended its recent rally, reclaiming the $106,000 level in the last few hours. While short-term setbacks remain possible, our primary scenario continues to point higher: prices should aim for the upper blue Target Zone between $117,553 and $130,891. Within this zone, BTC should complete green wave B before initiating a corrective decline in wave C, which should extend into the lower blue Target Zone between $62,395 and $51,323. At the low of major wave a, a temporary recovery in wave b is likely, preceding the final downward push that should mark the end of the broader wave (ii) correction. Our alternative scenario (30% probability) suggests that Bitcoin remains within blue wave alt.(i). If true, a breakout beyond the upper blue Target Zone could occur.
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