Bullish bounce?The Bitcoin (BTC/USD) is falling towards the pivot and could bounce to the pullback resistance.
Pivot: 103,943.66
1st Support: 101.141.44
1st Resistance: 108,761.68
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BTCUSD.PM trade ideas
symmetrical triangle in progressBitcoin has been consolidating at this level for several weeks, easing some of the pressure in order to push above 120K. As of today, we have a clear formation—a large symmetrical triangle—which confirms the continuation of the upward trend and rules out any possibility of returning to lower levels.
BTC – Holding or Rolling?BTC has pushed up from the late June low and is now testing the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement zone from the prior downswing. Price is currently sitting around 109.5K–110K, directly in a high-confluence rejection area. This level aligns with the top of the recent range, 78.6% retracement, Bollinger Band resistance, and the zone where the last breakdown began.
While the move resembles a double bottom or W-pattern on first glance, structure invalidates the bullish case:
The second low was lower than the first, breaking symmetry.
The second high is still lower than the June high near 111.9K.
RSI made a lower high while price made a higher high — classic momentum divergence.
Volume has not increased meaningfully on the bounce, suggesting a lack of strong buyer commitment.
Until BTC reclaims and holds above 111.9K on strong volume, this looks like a lower high inside a broader downtrend.
Short Setup Thesis
Entry Zone:
109.5K–110.5K (zone of rejection, aligned with 78.6% Fib and prior supply)
Stop Loss Zone:
Above 112K–113K (a full reclaim of prior highs would invalidate the setup)
Target Zones:
TP1: 102K–100K (local support range and prior consolidation area)
TP2: 97K–95K (Fibonacci cluster and volume shelf)
TP3: 91K–88K (structure low and potential sweep zone)
Break Trigger / Confirmation:
A daily close below 106K–105K would confirm bearish continuation. Weak retests into this zone would provide additional short entry opportunities.
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 6-24 : Post Market UpdateThis post-market update highlights the weakening volume while my primary proprietary modeling system continues to stay BULLISH.
The markets are really quite interesting right now. Weakening volume in this Gapping uptrend, today, suggests traders are not buying into the ceasefire between Iran and Israel.
Additionally, the move in metals suggests a PANIC phase has setup in the US markets.
This type of panic phase typically leads to selling of assets and moving capital into CASH.
I suggest traders continue to prepare for a moderate melt upward trend over the next few days - but be prepared for any potential breakdown (possibly trying to FILL THE GAP).
This market appears to be running on fumes.
While I believe Trump's policies will lead to a stronger bullish price trend over the next few years, these disruptions and the potential for consumers to pull away from spending/economic activity over the second half of 2025 is still very real.
Buckle up.
At this point, hedge your trades, move some capital into CASH and prepare for bigger price volatility as we move into July 2025.
Get some.
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BTC WILL PLAY THIS BOXES
### 🔴 **Bearish Order Blocks (Resistance Zones)**:
These are likely areas where price previously faced selling pressure and may again.
1. **Zone 1 (Lowest Red OB)**
📍 Range: \~108,300 – 108,800
🔹 Price is currently reacting at this zone.
🔹 If price fails to break and close above this zone with volume, expect a short-term rejection.
2. **Zone 2**
📍 Range: \~109,65,0 – 110,000
🔹 If price breaks above Zone 1, this becomes the next target/resistance.
3. **Zone 3 (Highest Red OB)**
📍 Range: \~110,500 – 111,500
🔹 Strongest resistance in this chart. If price reaches here, high chance of reversal unless strong momentum continues.
---
### 🔵 **Bullish Order Blocks (Support Zones)**:
These are previous demand areas where buyers stepped in.
1. **Zone 1 (Highest Blue OB)**
📍 Range: \~106,900 – 107,600
🔹 Closest support below current price. If price retraces, it may bounce from here.
🔹 Good area for long entries if price gives bullish confirmation.
2. **Zone 2**
📍 Range: \~105,800 – 106,500
🔹 Stronger support zone; last defense before potential further downside.
🔹 Matches with yellow price marker (105,998.9), possibly a key liquidity level.
---
### 🧠 **Trade Idea Suggestion** (Based on your OB strategy):
#### ✅ **Bullish Scenario**:
* Break & close above 108,800 (top of current red OB) with volume → Look for retest to go **long**.
BTC LONG TP:108,600 26-06-2025Looks like a classic fakeout before a big move 💥
Entry between 105,800 – 106,450, targeting 108,400 – 108,900, with an average 3.5 RR.
🕐 Timeframe: 1H
⏳ Duration: Fast move
Context: Expecting a quick manipulation before an expansion toward 108,500 – 109,500. The only problem? The stop. Manage it based on your own strategy — this one’s spicy.
If the move doesn’t happen within the expected time, the setup is invalid.
We don’t use indicators, we’re not out here drawing lines or cute little shapes — I just give you a clean trade.
Bitcoin (BTC): Bloody Monday | Sellers Taking Over...or Not?Bloody Monday, as many call it, sellers are gaining dominance over the current area, which might send prices back as low as $105,900, where our middle line of BB is sitting.
As of now, we are expecting to see slight downward movement, and once near that middle line, we want to see some buyside volume to accumulate, as if we do not see it, then further movement to lower zones is our play here.
Swallow Academy
BTCUSD – Major Decision Point at The Edge📍 By: MJTrading |||
Bitcoin has rallied sharply from ~$98K and is now testing a critical confluence zone — the top of the descending channel and a strong supply area, known as "The Edge."
EMAs are turning up, supporting bullish momentum
⏳ What’s Next?
At this stage, two scenarios emerge:
⚠️ This is a make-or-break zone:
🟩 Breakout above the channel signals trend reversal → next resistance: $111K
🟨 Rejection leads to a move back to the $103K or $100K levels
This setup offers a high-RR opportunity for both breakout traders and mean reversion players.
🧠 Trade the reaction at the edge, not the prediction.
Thanks for your attention...
Share your thoughts...
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BITCOIN SHORT FROM RESISTANCE
BITCOIN SIGNAL
Trade Direction: short
Entry Level: 107,066.16
Target Level: 99,786.09
Stop Loss: 111,861.76
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 1D
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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Bitcoin Order Book - How To Trade ItBitcoin Order Book Analysis | Massive BTC Liquidity Zones You Need to Watch
In this video, we break down the Bitcoin (BTCUSD) order book and highlight the biggest buy and sell levels currently driving market sentiment. These are the exact price zones where whales and institutions are placing large orders—often creating powerful support and resistance that can trigger breakout or reversal setups.
In This Breakdown:
• Where major buy/sell walls are forming in the BTC order book
• How order book depth can predict short-term price direction
• Real-time liquidity pockets traders are watching now
• Key price levels to watch for possible long/short entries
This is a must-watch if you’re actively trading BTC and want to track where the smart money is stacking their positions.
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Tools Featured:
• BTCUSD real-time chart
• Order book heatmap / depth
• Liquidity zone visualizations
• Volume profile overlays
• Sentiment Tool
⸻
Use this insight to position your trades around high-probability reversal or breakout zones. Comment your BTC target below, and follow for daily pro-level crypto insights.
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BTC Bull Flag Breakout or Fakeout? Eyes on $107K–$112K ZoneHere's my updated chart for Bitcoin (BTC/USD) on the daily timeframe. The price action is currently testing a key zone that could define whether we're heading into the next major leg up, or facing another rejection.
Pattern Breakdown:
- BTC is respecting a bull flag formation after a strong impulse leg earlier this year.
- The $105K level has held as critical support, keeping the bull flag structure intact.
- Price is currently pressing against descending resistance (~$107K) with tightening consolidation indicating an imminent breakout decision.
Key Levels to Watch:
Support:
$105K – holding this level keeps bullish momentum valid.
$101.6K (Bollinger midline)
$100.4K (EMA 100) – must hold for macro trend to stay intact.
Resistance (before $112K):
$107K – major descending trendline resistance.
$110.1K – upper Bollinger Band and recent local high.
$112.45K – key breakout level from the flag. A daily close above this could trigger a sharp rally.
Indicators:
MACD is forming a bullish crossover but lacks strong momentum, watch for a green histogram to confirm.
RSI at ~51 gives BTC room to run, not in overbought territory.
Volume is low, but coiling tight near the apex could spark volatility.
Conclusion:
BTC is at a critical decision point. A clean breakout above $107K, followed by sustained momentum through $110K–$112K, would significantly raise the probability of a confirmed bull flag breakout, with a potential move toward $120K+.
However, the $105K level is a key support that must hold to keep this structure intact.
If we see a daily close below $105K, attention shifts to the $101K level (Bollinger Band midline + 53 SMA).
A close below $101K would invalidate the bull flag entirely, turning this setup into a potential bull trap, and shifting short-term bias bearish.
All eyes are on the $107K–$112K resistance zone for confirmation—or breakdown signals if support levels give way.
BTC at Critical Resistance… Drop Incoming!Hi traders! Currently analyzing BTCUSD on the 1H timeframe.
Price is reacting to the upper boundary of a descending channel, where sellers are showing strong pressure. This area has previously acted as a significant resistance, pushing price lower multiple times.
I'm now selling from 108,075.19, expecting a bearish move towards my target at the bottom of the channel.
Take Profit: 104,493.63
Stop Loss: 111,891.49
RSI is showing signs of bearish divergence near the resistance area, adding confluence to this setup.
Price may have performed a liquidity grab above the trendline before rejecting the area, which aligns with the current market structure.
I'm actively managing this trade, keeping an eye on how price behaves around this key level.
Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. This is my personal analysis shared for educational purposes only.
Bitcoin Awaits Breakout Above $114K🪙 Current Price: ~$109,500
📈 Trend: Bullish but facing strong resistance at $114,000
📉 Support: $106,000–$107,000
📌 Outlook: Breakout above $114K could lead to $130K+. Otherwise, possible pullback to $106K.
📊 Key Drivers: ETF inflows, Fed rate cut expectations, weak USD.
💡 Strategy:
🔺 Buy: $107,000 – $107,500 → TP $114,000 | SL $106,000
🔻 Sell (take profit): $114,000 – $115,000 → SL if closes below $112,000
Is Bitcoin Still a Hedge? What the Iran Israel Conflict RevealsAs geopolitical tension between Iran and Israel escalates, markets are once again gripped by fear. Oil prices have surged, gold has rallied, and investors are rebalancing portfolios in anticipation of further instability. Amidst this backdrop, Bitcoin's behavior is raising fresh questions about its role as a geopolitical hedge.
Bitcoin’s Initial Reaction: A Spike and a Slip
When the first reports of conflict broke, Bitcoin spiked alongside gold. Many hailed this as proof that BTC was becoming a reliable safe haven. However, just days later, prices retraced by roughly 6 to 7 percent as volatility intensified.
As usual, Bitcoin is still highly sentiment driven. While gold held its gains, BTC mirrored risk on assets with intraday volatility, undermining its hedge narrative.
BTC vs. Traditional Safe Havens
Let’s compare Bitcoin’s performance to:
• Gold: Continued upward trend, record ETF inflows
• Oil: Strong rally due to supply shock fears
• USD: Moderate gains as a traditional reserve asset
Bitcoin’s pullback during peak uncertainty suggests that in times of extreme stress, traditional assets still dominate flight to safety behavior.
What the On Chain Data Shows
Interestingly, on chain activity also hints at caution. Exchange inflows increased slightly after the conflict news, suggesting profit taking or reduced conviction among holders.
Moreover, stablecoin volume spiked in Middle Eastern regions — a signal that users may prefer capital preservation over speculation during geopolitical risk.
The Takeaway: Not There Yet
Bitcoin is maturing, and its response to global events is evolving. But this conflict reveals it is not yet a full fledged hedge like gold or the dollar.
For investors, the lesson is clear: BTC can act as a partial hedge in medium term macro trends, but during sharp geopolitical escalations, traditional assets still lead.
What Do You Think?
Is Bitcoin still on track to become a true safe haven asset? Or will it remain a risk sensitive speculative instrument?
Bitcoin BTCUSD 4H Chart Analysis – Potential Breakout Incoming!Bitcoin is currently consolidating after a strong bullish recovery from the $96,000 zone, holding above $107,000. Price is forming a tight range — a breakout is imminent.
⚡ If BTC breaks above $107,500 with momentum, expect price to target $110,000 and $112,000 short-term.
⚡ If price rejects $107,500 and breaks below $106,500, we could see downside towards $104,000.
⚠️ Watch for volume confirmation before entries. No FOMO.
🚀 Stay ready — breakout traders, your setup is building.
#Bitcoin #BTCUSD #Crypto #TradingView #BTC #Breakout #CryptoTrading
Bitcoin – The 270/100 CycleBitcoin isn’t just trading. It’s pulsing — in cycles that reward those who understand timing as much as price.
Over the last two years, BTC has shown a repeating pattern with surgical precision:
Range Phase:
Each macro consolidation lasts ~220 to 270 days, where price builds structure, absorbs supply, and prepares for its next expansion. This is the quiet phase — the zone where conviction is tested, and weak hands exit.
Impulse Phase:
What follows is a ~100-day vertical leg, where BTC surges between +50% to +80%, targeting the next macro resistance. We’ve seen this repeatedly:
Accumulate → Expand → Re-accumulate → Expand.
BITCOIN STRATED FORMING BEARISH TREND STRUCTUREBITCOIN SHOWS SIGNS OF BEARISH REVERSAL – KEY LEVELS TO WATCH
After an extended bullish run, Bitcoin is now showing early signs of a potential trend reversal as the market begins forming a bearish structure. The formation of a lower low on the price chart indicates weakening bullish momentum and suggests that sellers may be gaining control. This development comes after a sustained upward trend, signaling that a corrective phase could be underway in the cryptocurrency market.
Bearish Confirmation: Lower Low Formation
The appearance of a lower low is one of the most reliable technical indicators of a trend reversal. This pattern demonstrates that bears are successfully pushing prices below previous support levels, establishing a new downward trajectory. While this doesn't necessarily confirm a long-term bear market, it does suggest that Bitcoin could face further downside pressure in the near term. Traders should watch for confirmation through follow-through selling or additional bearish candlestick patterns.
Downside Target: $99,000 in Focus
If the bearish momentum continues, Bitcoin could test the $99,000 support level in upcoming trading sessions. This level represents a psychologically important zone where buyers may attempt to step in. However, a decisive break below this support could accelerate declines, potentially leading to deeper corrections. Traders should monitor volume and price action around this level for signs of either consolidation or continuation of the downtrend.
Resistance Level: $12,000 as Key Barrier
On the upside, $12,000 now acts as a critical resistance level. Any short-term rallies toward this zone could attract renewed selling pressure, reinforcing the bearish outlook. For the current downtrend to be invalidated, Bitcoin would need to reclaim and sustain above this resistance with strong buying volume. Until then, traders may consider selling into strength near this level while maintaining tight risk management.
Market Outlook: Correction Expected After Prolonged Rally
Given Bitcoin's history of volatile price swings, this potential reversal should not come as a complete surprise after its extended bullish run. Market participants should watch for:
- Increasing trading volume on downward moves (confirming bearish conviction)
- Potential bearish continuation patterns (like descending triangles or flag formations)
- Macro factors that could influence crypto markets (regulatory news, ETF flows, or macroeconomic shifts)
Conclusion
Bitcoin appears to be entering a corrective phase, with $99,000 as the next key downside target and $12,000 serving as major resistance. While the broader uptrend may still be intact long-term, short-term traders should prepare for potential bearish continuation. As always, proper position sizing and stop-loss strategies remain crucial in navigating Bitcoin's inherent volatility. A break above $12,000 would require reassessment of the bearish outlook.
Market next target ⚠️ Disruption & Analytical Weaknesses:
1. Support Zone Already Broken (Wick Penetration):
The candlestick wick clearly pierced the support level drawn on the chart.
This indicates that buyers are weak at that level — the support is not holding firmly.
Relying on this support for a bullish bias is risky, as it may soon turn into resistance.
2. Volume Confirms Weakness, Not Strength:
The bounce from the support zone happens on low or declining volume, suggesting lack of strong buying interest.
A legitimate bullish reversal should be backed by a volume surge — here, that’s absent.
3. False Sense of Recovery:
The analysis shows arrows projecting straight up to the “Target” level, implying a smooth bullish recovery.
This is unrealistic given the recent choppy price action and repeated failures to hold gains above 107,200.
Price action suggests uncertainty or distribution, not clean bullish momentum.
4. Tight Range and High Volatility Ignored:
Price has been ranging between ~106,400 and ~107,600 with rapid whipsaws.
This kind of structure is often indicative of indecision, and setting a clear directional target without breakout confirmation is premature
BTCUSD Analysis | Bearish Setup Unfolding?Bitcoin is trading within a descending channel, respecting lower highs and lower lows. The recent price action shows a sharp bounce from the $98,600 support zone, but the bigger picture still hints at potential downside.
🔍 Key Technical Insights:
Descending Channel remains intact – structure suggests bearish continuation.
Price bounced from $98,626 support, but is struggling below key resistance at $108,622.
A possible lower high formation near $106K–$107K could trigger the next drop.
Bearish projection remains valid if price fails to break above the descending trendline.
🟢 Upside Scenario: If bulls manage to break above $109K resistance, we could see a bullish reversal.
🔴 Downside Target: If the bearish setup confirms, we may revisit the $98,000–$99,000 support area once again.
📌 Plan Accordingly:
Wait for price action confirmation near resistance. Patience pays in volatile zones like this!
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