Shorting Analysis on Bitcoin - Fxdollars- {15/04/2025}Educational Analysis says that BTCUSD may give countertrend opportunities from this range, according to my technical analysis.
Broker - BITSTAMP
So, my analysis is based on a top-down approach from weekly to trend range to internal trend range.
So my analysis comprises of two structures: 1) Break of structure on weekly range and 2) External pushback to fill the remaining fair value gap
Let's see what this pair brings to the table for us in the future.
Please check the comment section to see how this turned out.
DISCLAIMER:-
This is not an entry signal. THIS IS ONLY EDUCATIONAL PURPOSE ANALYSIS.
I have no concerns with your profit and loss from this analysis.
I HAVE NO CONCERNS WITH YOUR PROFIT OR LOSS,
Happy Trading, Fx Dollars.
BTCUSD trade ideas
BTCUSDBitcoin is currently trading near 84,949 after a strong rally, now approaching a critical order block resistance near86,000. While the overall structure remains bullish, the chart signals a potential shift in market behavior—creating a clear discrepation between price structure and projected move.
Discrepation Breakdown:
1. Rising Trend vs. Order Block Reaction
- Expected: Uptrend to continue, breaking through the resistance zone.
- Actual: Price is hesitating and forming a double-top structure inside the order block, hinting at buyer exhaustion.
- Discrepation: A bullish structure failing to maintain momen…
- Recent candles show weak buying volume near the top despite higher prices.
- Discrepation: Price is rising, but volume is not supporting it—bearish divergence, weakening the bullish outlook.
4. Fair Value Gap (FVG) Overlap
- FVG zone around 82.2k aligns with the bearish target, giving confidence to downside movement.
- Market may seek to fill that gap, creating a conflict with the bullish price structure currently visible.
Discrepation Summary Table:
| Technical Element | Market Expectation | Observed Conflict
| Uptrend + Higher Highs | Continuation toward 86,000+ | Double-top …
Although Bitcoin remains in a short-term uptrend, this chart shows clear bearish discrepation. The failure to break the order block, combined with volume divergence and trendline pressure, suggests a potential drop toward $82,232, especially if price confirms the double-top and breaks the ascending trendline.
Would you like a short version of this for social media captions too?
BTCUSD: Will Go Up! Long!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse BTCUSD together☺️
The recent price action suggests a shift in mid-term momentum. A break above the current local range around 83,753.33 will confirm the new direction upwards with the target being the next key level of 85,164.89 and a reconvened placement of a stop-loss beyond the range.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
What to expect from the markets this weekWith markets taking a break from the US and China going off on each other for 5 days straight, investors are bracing for a potentially turbulent week ahead.
Cryptocurrencies seem to have recovered a large chunk of their losses from the first week of April, but how long can we expect this upward reversal to last?
Well, if we're being realistic, not long . If you take a look at the price charts of most cryptocurrencies, you'll notice a common theme: we're in a mid- to long-term downtrend.
If you've been trading cryptocurrencies (or any other type of security) for a while, you're probably familiar with the saying that goes “ The trend is your friend ”. With that in mind, if you're looking to hold any short-term crypto trades, shorts might offer better, less-risky opportunities.
Now's not the time to panic and FOMO into the market. Big players are still looking to shake weak hands out of the market. My advice: Observe market fluctuations through the first days of the week before committing your money to any trade.
BTC/USD – Short-Term Rejection at Supply Zone! Bitcoin just tested and got rejected from a high-volume supply zone around $84,940 (marked by LuxAlgo's Supply & Demand Visible Range). The price formed a wick rejection right inside the zone, and we’re now seeing early bearish signs.
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Key Levels:
Immediate Resistance: $84,940 (supply zone top)
Support 1: $84,140
Support 2: $82,997 (previous demand zone)
Target (if breakdown continues): $82,800 area
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Bearish Clues:
Wick rejection in a major supply zone
Strong bearish engulfing candle forming after rapid move up
RSI (not shown) was likely overbought during this quick rally
Lower timeframes suggest a potential pullback or short opportunity
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Scalp Idea (Short-Term Traders):
Short Entry: Near $84,900–$84,940
TP1: $84,140
TP2: $83,000
SL: Above $85,100
Risk/Reward: 1:2+
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What Do You Think?
Is this a healthy retracement or the start of a deeper dump?
Comment your thoughts below!
Smash that like if you caught this rejection or love clean supply/demand setups!
#Bitcoin #BTC #CryptoTrading #Scalping #ShortOpportunity #LuxAlgo #TechnicalAnalysis #TradingView #DayTrading
BITCOIN BEARS ARE STRONG HERE|SHORT
BITCOIN SIGNAL
Trade Direction: short
Entry Level: 83,826.61
Target Level: 79,330.33
Stop Loss: 86,817.52
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 3h
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
Bitcoin / U.S. Dollar📌 **Chart Overview**
- **Pair:** Bitcoin / U.S. Dollar (BTCUSD)
- **Timeframe:** 1-hour chart
- **Current Price:** 81,788
- **Exchange:** BITSTAMP
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### 📉 **Trade Setup: Bearish Reversal (Short)**
- **Resistance Level (Purple Box at Top):** ~83,300
This zone has been identified as a key **resistance area**, where price has previously reversed.
- **Support Level (Purple Box at Bottom):** ~75,160
This is the projected **target area** for the short move—also a prior demand zone.
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### 🟪 Key Zones
- **Resistance:** Price entered and reacted to this zone with a rejection candle—often seen as a reversal signal.
- **Support:** Highlighted as a double-bottom zone where price previously bounced. It’s also marked with orange circles indicating bullish rejections.
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### 🔄 **Pattern Insight**
- The chart shows a **potential double-top rejection** from the resistance level, followed by a sharp drop.
- The **projected path (black arrow)** suggests a corrective move down to the support zone.
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### 🔎 Visual Highlights
- **Orange Circles** mark significant rejections at support and resistance levels—showing price behavior around these zones.
- The **red and green shaded area** likely represents the risk-reward zone of a short setup.
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### 🧠 Summary
This is a classic **resistance-to-support trade setup**, betting on a pullback after a strong rally. The idea is that price fails to break through resistance and heads lower toward prior support.
$BTCUSD bottom between $61k-65kI think we're gearing up for one last move lower here in BTC, that should be the end of the bearish move and then we should continue higher from there.
I think it's most likely that we'll hit the $61k or GETTEX:64K support levels to mark the bottom. Why those levels?
That region is the 50% retracement off of the bottom. If we're still in a bull trend, that's where we should bounce.
BTC/USD) Bullish reversal analysis Read The ChaptianSMC Trading point update
This is a bullish reversal analysis on BTC/USD (Bitcoin to USD) on the 4-hour chart, suggesting a potential long opportunity after a sharp corrective move.
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Key Breakdown of the Chart:
1. Strong Downward Move with Potential Reversal:
Bitcoin experienced a sharp drop from the 88k region to ~74,387.50, now hitting a key demand zone (marked as "Orderblock").
2. Bullish Reaction Expected:
From the Orderblock support zone, a bullish reversal is anticipated.
The projected move aims to fill the imbalance and test the target zone between 87,152.94 and 88,557.14.
3. RSI Oversold:
RSI is around 32.27, indicating oversold conditions and adding confluence for a potential bounce.
4. EMA (200):
The 200 EMA lies around 85,153.85, which may act as dynamic resistance on the way up.
Mr SMC Trading point
5. Price Target:
The expected upside move is approximately +13,722.85 points (+18.75%), aiming for the supply zone above 87k.
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Conclusion / Trade Idea:
Entry Zone: Near 74,387.50, the orderblock/demand area.
Target Zone: 87,152.94 – 88,557.14
Bias: Bullish short- to mid-term reversal.
Confluences: Oversold RSI, clean support zone, potential trendline bounce, and price inefficiency above.
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Pales support boost 🚀 analysis follow)
BITCOIN is kissing a critical resistance zone.BITCOIN is kissing a critical resistance zone.
Bitcoin is currently kissing a critical resistance zone, hovering around the $85,500 level. This region aligns closely with a descending trendline that has historically capped BTC rallies, and this test comes after a sharp recovery from a local low near $74,000, a drop that was triggered in tandem with broader risk-asset selloffs following U.S. tariff announcements and rising global macroeconomic tension.
Technical Analysis
The descending trendline (marked in blue on the chart) acts as a key resistance.
A daily close above $85,800 - $86,200 could confirm a breakout, potentially paving the way for a fresh attempt toward the $90,000 psychological level.
Conversely, failure to break and hold above this resistance could cause a rejection and pullback.
Immediate downside support lies at the previous local low (~$74,000), and below that, the next strong support zone is around $69,000 (yellow block on chart).
Fundamental Backdrop
Bitcoin continues to be driven by macroeconomic news, institutional flows, and growing ETF inflows.
If fundamentals remain bullish, including continued institutional accumulation, favorable regulatory developments, or increased on-chain activity, they could fuel momentum for a breakout.
The market doesn’t reward assumptions — it rewards preparation.
Whether it’s a breakout or a pullback, risk management should always come first. As always, protect your capital before thinking of profit. Use stop-losses, scale your entries, and avoid over-leveraging in volatile zones like this.
What’s your take on BTC at this juncture?
Do you see a breakout brewing, or is this another trap for over-leveraged bulls?
Let’s discuss
Bitcoin shows local growth - will it continue ?Marked the important levels in this video for this week and considered a few scenarios of price performance
Local support at 80k and first target at 86k
Write a comment with your coins & hit the like button, and I will make an analysis for you
The author's opinion may differ from yours,
Consider your risks.
Wish you successful trades! MURA
Bitcoin following 2013-2017 Fractal UPDATE - have we left it ?This chart remains unchanged from the last time I posted it except for the addition of that yellow Dashed Arrow
As we can see, PA fell below the Fractal in Late February and ever since, we have ranged further away from it.
Does this mean we have left the fractal we have been on since November 2021 ?
Not really.
PA fell below it in 2022 due to pressures from Interest rates making companies collapse and sentiment being negative.
We have fallen below it this time purely because PA was so overbought, it needed to recover.
This can be very clearly seen on the Weekly MACD, where in 2024, we ranged for months because of the same reason.
See how on the weekly MACD, how once we reached near Neutral, we bounced back up to a New ATH and, ever since, BTC PA has ranged while waiting for the MACD to cool off..
And now we are there. MACD is in the bounce zone and has shown some strength in the last few days.
So, The Fractal
For PA to get back above that Fractal, we need PA to make a very strong push higher. and as you can see from the Bold Arrow, this is achievable by end of May if PA rises Strong and continually
form here.
I am not to sure this will happen.
We have so many Macro events destabilising the markets...
I am more inclined to think PA will hit that circle , and we will likely follow the Dashed Arrow to a cycle ATH of near 300K, by the end of the year at the latest.
This is the Path of safety.
Things can always change for the better or for the worse and so we have to be ready for all occasions.
But BULLISH is the word - BUT BITCOIN ON SPOT, HOLD IT AND RELAX
BTC MARKET OUTLOOKBTC just made an imbalance sweep into the 70K range, setting the stage for a bullish wedge formation.
Price action now looks poised to mitigate and potentially break above the previous high at 105K. Momentum is building — watch closely yall.follow for more insight, comment , and boost idea
BTCUSD NEW D1 ANALYSISISBPrice Overview (as of April 9, 2025):
Current Price: ~$69,000 (subject to real-time fluctuations)
Market Structure: Consolidation after recent rally; possible forming of a bullish flag.
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2. Key Levels:
Support Zones:
$66,500 – Strong recent support
$63,000 – Key horizontal level from past price action
Resistance Zones:
$71,200 – Local top / previous rejection area
$73,500 – Next resistance if breakout happens
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3. Indicators:
RSI (1D): Around 58 – healthy and not overbought
MACD: Slightly bullish crossover forming
EMA 50/200: Price is above both EMAs – overall uptrend still intact
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4. Possible Scenarios:
Bullish: Break above $71,200 with volume could lead to a retest of FWB:73K +
Bearish: Losing $66,500 support could push price down to $63K area
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5. Summary:
Bitcoin is currently in a consolidation phase with bullish momentum building up. If the bulls push above $71K, we might see continuation to new highs. Watch volume and global news (especially macroeconomic updates or ETF flows).
Bitcoin Above The 50 MABitcoin has climbed back above the 50-day moving average (blue line) – a level it hasn’t closed above since January. That alone is notable – it marks a potential shift in momentum after months of trending beneath it. That said, the 200-day moving average (red line) still looms above as overhead resistance and hasn’t been tested on this push yet.
Price action has been constructive off the lows, with higher highs and higher lows forming over the past two weeks. Volume has picked up modestly, though not convincingly, suggesting the rally is cautious rather than euphoric. The $73,835 support level continues to hold firm as the critical line in the sand below.
It’s too early to declare a trend reversal, but closing multiple daily candles above the 50 MA would be a positive signal for bulls. Keep an eye on the 200 MA just above – cracking that level would open the door to more aggressive upside.
1day chart fallingwedge/bullish pennant on bitcoinI just posted a weekly version of this same pennant in the previous idea which I will link below, i wanted to also post the version of it on the 1day timeframe as well because the top trendline of the wedge on the 1day time frame has a different trajectory which lengthens the wedge considerably. With this longer wedge we can see that if it is the more valid for the 2 versions, that we probably wouldn’t be expecting a breakout until June at the earliest. Not quite sure yet which version of this wedge is ore valid so I’m posting both versions for now to keep and eye on them. For the weekly charts pattern to be the more valid of the 2, we will likely need to see the weekly 50ma continue to maintain support. *not financial advice*
Bitcoin IndecisionBitcoin printed a small bounce yesterday after a strong breakdown, but the technicals remain mixed. Let’s break it down.
The most obvious development is the **death cross** – the 50 MA has now crossed below the 200 MA. While this is considered a bearish signal, it’s also a **lagging indicator**, often reflecting past weakness rather than predicting future price action. The last time we saw a death cross on the daily chart, it came near the bottom, so take it with a grain of salt.
More interesting is yesterday’s candle – a small-bodied candle with long wicks on both sides, forming something of a **doji**. That reflects indecision after a high-volume breakdown. Bulls stepped in to defend just above the $73,800 support zone, which aligns with the May 2024 all-time high and previous resistance turned support.
Price is still trading well below both moving averages, which are now resistance. The triangle breakdown remains intact, and momentum has clearly shifted lower – but holding this horizontal support zone would at least keep the higher timeframe bullish structure alive.
In short: **death cross, indecision candle, and a critical support retest**. Bulls need to prove themselves quickly – otherwise, the path of least resistance could remain down.
I think crypto bulls are about to run out of time. For a long time I've tried my best here to take every single conceivable angle to explain why it's ENTRIURELY STUPID to be led into believing there's a simple and repeatable cycle to these things.
I've tried being nice. Tried being mean. Tried TA. Tried logic. Tried getting ChatGPT to write me posts. Tried debating. Tried being friendly.
I've tried all I can.
If I have this right, you're about to run out of time.
Read this:
And read this:
IGNORE THE OPINIONS OF PEOPLE FOOLISH ENOUGH TO HAVE TRICKED THEMSELVES INTO THINKING THEY KNOW THE FUTURE.