BTC CHOPSBitcoin is quietly grinding higher, holding above the key $105,787 level after reclaiming it with authority. Price is consolidating just under $112,000 resistance, pressing against the top of the range while riding the 50-day moving average like a support rail.
The dip to $100,716 was a trap. Buyers stepped in hard, and price hasn’t looked back. But without a decisive close above $112K, this remains a waiting game. A breakout sends us flying. A rejection brings $105K and $100K back into view. No need to guess - just let the levels speak.
BTCUSD trade ideas
Bitcoin - Will Bitcoin record a new ATH?!Bitcoin is above the EMA50 and EMA200 on the four-hour timeframe and is in its medium-term ascending channel. Maintaining the specified support area will lead to the continuation of Bitcoin’s upward path and recording a new ATH. If it is corrected, we can look for Bitcoin buying positions from the specified demand zones.
It should be noted that there is a possibility of heavy fluctuations and shadows due to the movement of whales in the market and compliance with capital management in the cryptocurrency market will be more important. If the downward trend continues, we can buy within the demand area.
In recent days, Bitcoin has been stabilizing in a price range of around $107,000, with the market simultaneously witnessing a combination of short-term volatility and massive accumulation by institutional investors. A close examination of Bitcoin’s fundamental parameters shows that the market has entered a different phase than in the past; one that is no longer driven solely by momentary excitement, and that structured capital flows and on-chain data have formed its main axis. At the forefront of this trend are Bitcoin spot investment funds (Bitcoin ETFs), which reached their highest level of capital inflows in June. Total net inflows of these funds reached more than $4.5 billion last month, and on some days even approached more than $1 billion. Funds such as BlackRock’s IBIT and Fidelity’s FBTC now have billions of dollars in assets under management, a clear sign of increasing institutional participation in the Bitcoin market. These institutional investors are accumulating Bitcoin not with a short-term view, but with a long-term view and through legal means, which has reduced selling pressure and increased market stability.
On the other hand, the data from Anchin clearly shows that the market is in a steady accumulation trend. The amount of old Bitcoins held for more than 8 years experienced a significant growth of 5% in the second quarter of 2025. This statistic shows that long-term investors are not only reluctant to sell, but are still accumulating their assets. Also, the MVRV ratio, which indicates the relative profit or loss of the market, has decreased from 2.29 to 2.20, indicating mild and controlled profit taking by some investors, rather than widespread selling pressure or general panic. This rational behavior is a sign of market maturity and investors’ intelligence in managing short-term profits.
On-chain activity data also shows a similar trend. The average daily active addresses have reached around 1.02 million, indicating a decrease in market inflammation while maintaining overall dynamism. Other indicators such as Liveliness and Whale Accumulation also confirm that the amount of old transaction traffic has decreased and whales are mainly accumulating, not supplying. This trend is very valuable, especially in a market that has been far from explosive growth. From a macro perspective, the Bitcoin market is clearly in a consolidation and accumulation phase, but this consolidation is based on much stronger foundations than in previous periods. Institutional capital inflows via ETFs have reached over $50 billion, providing a strong foundation for continued growth. Also, some very old wallets that have been inactive for nearly 14 years have recently woken up and moved around $2 billion worth of Bitcoin. Although this could be a sign of potential supply, the market has not yet seen a significant negative reaction to it in the current market conditions and the market remains cautious.
Analysts believe that Bitcoin is in the third phase of its bullish cycle after the halving, which could bring gains of more than 120%. Some forecasts suggest a price range of $200,000-250,000 by the end of this year; however, the realization of such levels is subject to stable macroeconomic data, ETF performance and the absence of severe geopolitical shocks.
Finally, it can be said that the Bitcoin market has now reached a maturity where even periods of consolidation tend to strengthen its fundamentals rather than weaken the market. High-powered institutional investors are entering, whales continue to accumulate instead of selling, and long-term investors also see a bright outlook for the coming months. In this phase, price levels of $125,000 to $140,000 are likely by the end of the summer if the current trend continues, while in the event of severe economic or political pressures, key support for Bitcoin will be in the $95,000 to $100,000 range. Overall, Bitcoin is moving slowly but steadily towards higher targets, with stronger support than at any time in its history.
Bitcoin(BTC/USD) Daily Chart Analysis For Week of July 4, 2025Technical Analysis and Outlook:
During this week's trading session, Bitcoin rebounded from our Mean Support level of 104900 and, with significant momentum, subsequently completing the Mean Resistance level of 110300. Currently, the cryptocurrency is poised for a continuation of its downward trajectory, with a target set at the Mean Support level of 105500. This downward trend may necessitate heightened resilience to address the Key Resistance point at 111700 and the emerging historical price action of the Outer Coin Rally at 114500 and beyond. Nonetheless, it remains essential to acknowledge the possibility that current prices may experience an uptick from this juncture, bolstering the rally mentioned above.
Bitcoin Stuck in Channel but Building up for Breakout?Hey Traders so today we are looking at Bitcoin currently trading in narrow sideways channel. But looking like strong support at 100,431 notice how on June 22 could not close below it.
Also notice on May 8 that was the same area for strong rally. So I think a good place to get back in this market would be half the daily candle on June 23 or a price of 103,150 or even 102,000.
Strong stop below support around 97,582 or lower.
So if bullish buy on pullback to channel support however if bearish wait for break below 96,000 that way you know market has confirmed move lower.
I think right now it's still showing bull market signs but only time will tell.
Good Luck & Always use Risk Management!
(Just in we are wrong in our analysis most experts recommend never to risk more than 2% of your account equity on any given trade.)
Hope This Helps Your Trading 😃
Clifford
MACRO 3-Drive Pattern on Bitcoin | Major Reversal Ahead?Is Bitcoin completing a massive 3-drive structure on the macro chart?
Three clear pushes higher, each with fading momentum, are flashing a major reversal signal.
This could be the final phase before a long-term shift — are you ready for what’s next?
📚 3-Drive Structure Trading Strategy — Full Breakdown
The 3-Drive Pattern is a powerful reversal-based price structure used to spot major turning points in trending markets. It works by identifying three consecutive drives (or pushes) in one direction, typically ending with exhaustion and a high-probability reversal.
Each drive forms a new high or low, but with weakening momentum — especially visible using RSI, MACD, or volume divergence.
🔍 What is the 3-Drive Pattern?
3 consecutive higher highs (or lower lows)
Each drive followed by a shallow pullback
Momentum weakens on each push (divergence forms)
Fibonacci symmetry often present:
- Drive extensions: 127.2%–161.8%
- Pullbacks: usually 61.8%
📉 Bearish 3-Drive (Reversal from Uptrend):
Drive 1: Price makes a higher high with strong momentum
Drive 2: Another higher high, weaker strength
Drive 3: Final high with clear divergence
Reversal: Entry when price breaks below structure
🎯Entry Criteria:
Wait for all 3 drives to form
Confirm with divergence on Drive 3
Use a confirmation candle or structure break
Stop-loss: just beyond the 3rd drive’s high
🎯 Targets:
Conservative: Return to Drive 2 base
Aggressive: Full trend reversal (50%–100% Fib retracement)
🧠 Pro Tips:
Best on 4H, 1D, 3D or 1w timeframes
Confirm with RSI, MACD, or volume divergence
Combine with key S/R or supply-demand zones
💡 Summary:
The 3-Drive pattern is one of the most reliable reversal structures when combined with divergence and Fibonacci symmetry. It's especially powerful at market exhaustion zones and works best with confirmation-based entries.
BITCOIN Can this Inverse Head and Shoulders deliver $168000?We saw yesterday how Bitcoin (BTCUSD) has been trading within a short-term Channel Down pattern, which as mentioned was just a Bull Flag on the long-term scale.
Today we examine this on the longer term time-frame and what stands out on 1D is an Inverse Head and Shoulders (IH&S). Such patterns are incredibly bullish but are more often seen on market bottoms initiating strong long-term bullish reversals.
This time it has been formed on a 1W Bull Cycle uptrend (Channel Up), so it technically serves as a (very) long-term Accumulation Phase between the Cycle's previous All Time High (ATH) and the next one, which most likely will be the final (peak) of the Bull Cycle.
As mentioned numerous times in the past, IH&S patterns target their 2.0 Fibonacci extension level once broken. That is now at $168000 and falls well within the broader 150 - 200k range that most studies have as a potential Cycle Top.
So do you think that is realistic to expect? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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Bullish bounce for the Bitcoin?The price is falling towards the pivot which is a pullback support and could bounce to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 108,797.87
1st Support: 106,083.15
1st Resistance: 112,003.20
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Break-Out Bros vs. Range Followers – will BTC rip?Bitcoin just kissed the channel roof at 109–110 k. Same line has stuffed every rally since April, so 112 k on a daily close is the whole story: print it and we leave the dungeon.
Under the hood the bulls finally have ammo – price back above the 50-day, bands squeezed, volume upticking, RSI mid-50s. Enough spark to torch shorts if resistance snaps.
Range Followers aren’t sweating. Their cash machine is simple: dump 110 k, scoop 100 k. Holiday liquidity = fake-out heaven. Slip under 105 k and gravity drags us straight to that comfy demand couch.
So it’s binary: close over 112 k, momentum fires toward 118 k; fail, and we ping-pong in the box again. Pick a side, slap on a stop, and remember: Bitcoin’s favourite sport is humiliating whichever crowd screams loudest.
BTC AT RESISTANCEThe jobs report just dropped and was stronger than expected. That means the Fed has less reason to cut. That means less chance of immediate liquidity. Since we live in the upside down, apparently more jobs are bad for markets. And we generally see Bitcoin react first and then quickly go back to trading on its own.
All of that said, this is an interesting spot. Bitcoin broke out yesterday, before closing back below the resistance. The same is happening so far today, with a potentially ugly top candle if the day stays this way. But it is WAY too early to judge.
Bitcoin - Price struggles below resistance, correction to $104k?This 4-hour chart for BTC/USD illustrates a detailed technical analysis scenario highlighting key resistance and support zones, as well as a critical fair value gap (FVG). The chart shows that Bitcoin is currently facing strong resistance in the $108,000 to $109,000 range. This area has been tested multiple times without a successful breakout, indicating significant selling pressure. The price is currently trading just below this resistance zone, struggling to gain momentum above it.
Support zone in the consolidation
A clear support level has been marked in the recent consolidation area around $106,000. This zone has served as a short-term base during the recent upward movement, and a retest here could provide a temporary bounce or pause in bearish momentum. However, if this support fails to hold, the next major area of interest lies within the 4-hour bullish FVG between approximately $103,000 and $104,000.
4H FVG
There is a clear 4-hour bullish FVG between approximately $103.000 and $104.000. This level can act as a strong support for buyers after filling up the inbalance zone. it is highly important to hold this level as support and not to break below it.
Upside potential
On the upside, if BTC can defend the support in the consolidation zone and reclaim momentum, a push back to the $108,000 to $109,000 resistance area is probable. A successful breakout above this zone would invalidate the bearish scenario and may trigger a bullish continuation, with the potential to reach higher targets such as $111,000 or beyond.
Downside risk
The downside risk becomes more pronounced if BTC breaks below the 4H FVG. A sustained move beneath this level would likely signal weakness in buyer interest and potentially open the path to deeper downside targets. In such a scenario, the price could accelerate lower toward the psychological support level at $100,000. This round number also carries technical and emotional significance for traders, which could create both a strong support area and potential buying interest.
Conclusion
In conclusion, Bitcoin remains at a critical juncture. The key levels to watch are the support within the current consolidation and the 4H FVG imbalance zone. A breakdown below the FVG could lead to a decline toward $100,000, while holding above these levels keeps the door open for another test of resistance at $108,000 to $109,000. A breakout from there would indicate bullish strength and a shift in market sentiment. Traders should remain cautious and reactive to how price behaves around these critical areas.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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BITCOIN STRONG RESISTANCE AHEAD|SHORT|
✅BITCOIN is going up now
But a strong resistance level is ahead at 112,000$
Which is also an All-Time-High
Thus I am expecting a pullback
And a move down towards the target of 107,300$
SHORT🔥
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Btc Usd IH&SHi all. BTC is in an IH&S on top of a larger IH&S pattern it seems. Pullback to 96K possible. But looking good for longer term trades. I'm sure this will pump, not 70K as most are saying, 90K is the lowest for now imo. Not financial advice. Please do your own research. Please leave a like, some motivation for an update. Good luck with your next trade.
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Bullish bounce?The Bitcoin (BTC/USD) is falling towards the pivot which acts as a pullback support and could bounce to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 106,009.96
1st Support: 103.943.66
1st Resistance: 108,761.68
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
#Bitcoin - Pivot is $102915 | Target $125385 or $80445 ?Date: 24-06-2025
#Bitcoin
Current Price: 105375
Pivot Point: 102915.00 Support: 99206.48 Resistance: 106655.63
#Bitcoin Upside Targets:
Target 1: 111205.31
Target 2: 115755.00
Target 3: 120570.00
Target 4: 125385.00
#Bitcoin Downside Targets:
Target 1: 94640.74
Target 2: 90075
Target 3: 85260
Target 4: 80445.00
BTCUSD parallel channel On the daily chart, BTCUDS is running in the parallel channel. The short-term market fell back after testing the upper resistance. At present, we can pay attention to the short-selling trading opportunities, and the downside target is around 98000. If the price breaks through the resistance near 108800, it will break the channel.
The inevitable breakout to an ATH?MN Capital founder Michael van de Poppe spotted Bitcoin hovering at $107,450, saying that after taking out some liquidity around $109,000, BTC may see a slight pullback before breaking out to all-time highs. We already reach this area.
An accompanying chart shows $109,000 as the key level to watch on BTC’s four-hour time frame. “This is the area we need to break in order to have upward momentum,” Van de Poppe said, adding:“The inevitable breakout to an ATH on Bitcoin might even happen during the upcoming week.”
However, I think we might see a pullback before this happens. We might have an inverse head and shoulder pattern in process.
BITCOIN Rejected (so far) where it absolutely SHOULDN'T!!Bitcoin (BTCUSD) hit today the top of the Channel Down pattern, which as we've discussed numerous times, is most likely on the long-term a Bull Flag technically. Still, this early test has so far turned into a rejection.
Early on to tell as the price remains above even the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) but if it breaks above the closes a 1D candle above the top of the pattern, we expect it to immediately target the 2.0 Fibonacci extension level at 119500. We have analyzed of course why on the long-term the Target is at least $150k, but this is a shorter term analysis. Notice also how the 1D RSI has already broken above its Lower Highs trend-line.
As long as the price remains rejected within the Channel Down, it is possible to look for support on the 100000 level again, where this time it may make contact with the 1D MA100 (green trend-line) in an attempt to 'attract' the last batch of buyers.
Which scenario do you think will prevail? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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BUY BTCUSD now for a four hour time frame bullish trend continuBUY BTCUSD now for a four hour time frame bullish trend continuation ...............
STOP LOSS: 107,194
This buy trade setup is based on hidden bullish divergence trend continuation trading pattern ...
Always remember, the trend is your friend, so whenever you can get a signal that the trend will continue, then good for you to be part of it
TAKE PROFIT : take profit will be when the trend comes to an end, feel from to send me a direct DM if you have any question about take profit or anything...
Remember to risk only what you are comfortable with... trading with the trend, patient and good risk management is the key to success here