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BTCUSD trade ideas

BTC to 105? The outcome of the U.S. presidential election was widely seen as a win for the crypto industry. Trump promised during his presidential campaign to make the U.S. the “crypto capital of the planet” and even launched his own crypto coin. Bitcoin’s price has surged since the election. Shares of the coin have risen more than 25% since Nov. 5 and briefly passed $88,000 before falling back to $86,038 Tuesday morning. At the same time, investors have poured more $1.3 billion into the more than one dozen ETFs that hold the digital asset. There’s a bullish case for Bitcoin even outside Trump’s potential favor, according to 21Shares Research. “We may see further capital flowing into Bitcoin because of the easing monetary conditions emerging worldwide,” the firm said. “Bitcoin acts as a ‘liquidity sponge,’ attracting capital during periods of monetary expansion” when investors seek out risky assets. ( Marketwatch.com) Technically, BTC made a cup and handle, broke the handle and resistance and started to grow. We appear to be at subway 3, so after a small consolidation, we could see more growth higher.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by Alecampos83
Bitcoin halving cycles and BTC targetBitcoin is such a different asset! And one of the biggest differences are halvings. The cycle of the market is strictly correlated with halving (green lines) dates and this has been working since BTC start. In this post, I'll show last 3 halvings. Each time a halving occurs, we have 1,5 years of bull market. A very strong bull market. In 2016 we saw a 3.336% return in 1,5 years after halving. In 2020 we saw 645% return after halving in 1,5 years. And in both cases, we lived in a flat (and volatile) market for 2,5 years where everyone blamed the cryptos. Current situation Now, we did the halving in April 2024 and until 2026 we will be in the middle of a bull market for BTC. The break of the blue expanding triangle is just one mor econfirmation for the bull trend, so the price will go at least to $200k before 2025 ends. ¿Why $200k ? BTC is a very big market right now, and getting more and more money inside is more and more difficult, so seeing rallies of 3k% as we saw in 2016 is imposible, that would mean BTC has more money than the whole world! But doubling the price is still posible! Do you agree with the 200.000k$ as a reasonable target for this bull market? Where do you see the price by the end of next year when this cycle ends?
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by TopChartPatterns
1
The cryptocurrency market is a market of expectationsLots of good news, but that's just at first glance. Expectations and reality 1. Last week we had good news about XRP victory, and this news was spread all over the internet and the market reacted with growth. XRP is not a security, but those contracts sold to early stage funds may still be considered securities. So the case is not closed yet and it will continue as a subject of manipulation The SEC can appeal this decision at any appropriate time. 2. FTX - there are a lot of rumors and different statements now about the reopening of this exchange, there are a lot of forms on the net ( fraudulent and not) about FTX account recovery and confirmation. Hope is given:) not the fact that the funds will be restored 3. I would not be surprised if they start to restore UST and LUNA case, if they do not start to restore at least give hope. ( reference - the cryptocurrency market is a market of expectations ) 4. BTC ETF. This is the same expectation that has been jutting for a long time and now strong funds such as BlackRock have joined, which have been buying physical bitcoin through other funds for a long time (e.g. at least 10% of Microstrategy belongs to BlackRock). On the expectation of ETF approval the market is inspired ( I wrote a post about Blackrock ). In any case after ETF approval we will see a drop here there is a logic: - ETF contracts can be bought more than physical bitcoins. - Need a good entry point into the market, 30k+ is not the best entry point - A drop in price with physical bitcoins + media resources etc. seems to me as very logical and very likely. All these points should happen at the peak of the hype, when many disillusioned in crypto after FTX and other shocks will start to re-enter the market, it all explains the Logistic Curve - the speed of information dissemination . The Which curve explains that when FTX crashed in November 2022 was the beginning of a new cycle, which I talked about in previous posts, then everyone was afraid and thought it would go even lower. And the end zone of the cycle is when the crowd comes into the market, a lot of noise shouting about a bright future, we are on the cusp of these events. At that time of course we will see a lot of dumb money big green candles on small capitalization altcoins. And that's the time to get out. Frankly I got out even earlier in stablecoins and now I only do swing trades ( positional orders positions with small stop loss ) If we talk about the time when all this can happen, it is a difficult question, because according to my previous calculations in September-October I was already waiting for the bottom, I am still waiting for it and my portfolio 100% In stablecoins is a proof of it. Well after the fall we will have the most interesting negative news, here is the list: - SEC appeal question on XRP - SEC questions to all crypto companies that made public sale - fines, lawsuit. - Questions to crypto exchanges ( bankruptcy of crypto exchanges) - Regulation - CBDC implementation and trading in some jurisdictions BTC/CBDC ( currency ) You definitely won't want to buy cryptocurrency on news like this, and this will be the moment when the new cycle begins. So ladies and gentlemen we are here for a long time and welcome to our community. And remember, trading is not a sprint - trading is a marathon. Best regard EXCAVO
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by EXCAVO
49
BITCOIN Can it repeat last year and reach $140000?It was less than a month (October 14, see chart below) when we updated our old Bitcoin (BTCUSD) Channel Up idea of June 07, calling for the confirmed start of the new Bullish Leg of the Channel Up and setting a medium-term Target of $94500: New evidence following the U.S. elections suggest that the aggressive nature of the past weekly rally can see BTC target even higher, more specifically the top of the Channel Up by Q2 2025. As you can see, the price is currently between the 0.5 - 0.618 Fibonacci Channel range, which is technically a neutral zone. However it is considerably below the 0.618 horizontal Fib level applied on a potential +198.10% rise (same as the Sep 2023 - March 2024 rally). This showcases the enormous upside potential that exists within this 2-year Channel Up. The RSI is about to enter the Overbought Zone (>70.00), which when the previous two Bullish Legs started was also while the price was below the 0.618 Fib (especially in the case of the October 20 2023 candle). As a result, even though our 94500 medium-term Target stands, for the long-term we are targeting 140000, which is almost at the top of the 2-year Channel Up and marginally below a potential +198.11% rise. Notice that the two lengthy corrections (green Rectangles) within the pattern started only when the RSI formed a Lower High below the overbought level (<70.00). So what do you think? Is Bitcoin still so undervalued at the moment, despite last week's surge, that it can even hit $140k? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below! ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by TradingShot
13
BITCOIN buying pressure indeed stronger than any Cycle before!Three months ago (August 12, see chart below) we published our view on Bitcoin (BTCUSD) claiming that on the current levels and compared to the relative stages it was in previous Cycles, the bullish trend was stronger than ever before: At the time the price was 'just' at GETTEX:59K and yesterday it touched the $90000 level. This shouldn't surprise you as the pattern has been 'playing out' in a similar way to both the 2019 - 2021 and 2015 - 2017 Bull Cycles. In fact it is so strong that we now need to readjust the green parabolic channel of the current (2023 - 2025) Bull Cycle to a more aggressive pattern in order to fit the enormous rally that started in September. As you can see this comparison with the previous Cycles suggests that BTC can reach at least the -0.618 Fibonacci extension, which is a little over $170000, like the other two did. It also highlights how the current Cycle has been more aggressive than the previous as the price reached the All Time High faster (March 2024) than the previous two but also the amazing symmetry among them as the current (final) parabolic rally that started on the August 05 2024 bottom took place 90 weeks (630 days) after the November 2022 bottom. As you see both in 2020 and 2016 the final parabolic rally also started 90 weeks after their respective Cycle bottoms. So do you agree that the current rally shows the current buying pressure is more aggressive than in previous Cycles at this stage? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below! ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by TradingShot
1
Approaching $100,000: Will the Bulls Face a Test?**Bitcoin Consolidates Near $92,000: The Road to $100K Gains Momentum** The BTC/USD pair is currently in a phase of consolidation following a robust and impressive rally. After weeks of upward momentum that saw Bitcoin break through multiple resistance levels, the token now seems to be gathering energy for another leg higher. The much-anticipated $95,000 to $100,000 target range is becoming increasingly realistic as both technical and fundamental factors align to support further bullish price action. With FOMO (fear of missing out) driving sentiment and a favorable macroeconomic environment, Bitcoin's northward journey appears far from over. But is this a pause before the next surge, or are there hidden risks on the horizon? ### **A Strong Fundamental Landscape: Macro Drivers at Play** One of the key factors bolstering Bitcoin’s rally is its solid fundamental backdrop. Recent developments in the broader cryptocurrency market, coupled with influential narratives such as former U.S. President Donald Trump’s surprising support for digital assets, have added a unique layer of optimism to the space. Trump’s indirect influence on the market has created renewed interest in Bitcoin as a store of value and hedge against economic uncertainty. Moreover, Bitcoin’s trajectory out of a 9-month accumulation phase has been nothing short of remarkable. Historically, such extended periods of accumulation are followed by explosive moves, and this rally has been no exception. The 34% price increase during the current bullish run underscores the strength of this breakout, and with no significant signs of weakness in the broader market, the rally appears well-supported. ### **Technical Outlook: Smooth, Gradual Uptrend Developing** From a technical perspective, Bitcoin’s price action paints a promising picture. Unlike previous volatile rallies, this move is characterized by a smooth, steady upward trend with gradually higher highs and higher lows. Notably, Bitcoin has refrained from testing or attempting to update its previous lows, a clear signal of bullish control in the market. On the H1-H4 timeframes, an ascending price channel is becoming increasingly apparent. The upper boundary of this channel aligns with key resistance levels, particularly near $91,650 and $93,250. The lower boundary, acting as a dynamic support zone, coincides with levels at $90,300, $89,200, and $87,500. This structured price movement suggests that Bitcoin is not only maintaining its bullish posture but is also preparing for a potential breakout above these resistance levels. ### **Resistance and Support Levels in Focus** At present, Bitcoin is consolidating near the $92,000 level. The area around $91,650 has emerged as a critical resistance zone, with multiple attempts to breach it met by temporary selling pressure. However, a successful breakout and consolidation above this level could serve as the catalyst for another impulsive move higher. On the flip side, support levels at $90,300, $89,200, and $87,500 are likely to cushion any short-term retracements, should they occur. The recent 7% pullback from Bitcoin’s all-time high (ATH) can be attributed primarily to profit-taking rather than any fundamental or technical weakness. This type of retracement is common in strong uptrends and often serves to reset overbought conditions, paving the way for the next leg higher. Importantly, there are no clear signals pointing to a deep correction at this time, which further supports the bullish case. ### **Liquidity Considerations and Weekend Dynamics** It is worth noting that reduced liquidity during the weekend (Saturday and Sunday) may introduce some volatility into the market. Historically, weekends tend to see thinner trading volumes, which can result in exaggerated price movements. In this context, Bitcoin could briefly test lower support levels before resuming its upward trajectory. Such a scenario would not be cause for concern but rather an opportunity for bulls to re-enter the market at more favorable levels. ### **The Path Forward: $100,000 in Sight** As consolidation continues near $92,000, the emphasis remains on the critical $91,650 resistance zone. A decisive break and sustained price action above this level could ignite a fresh wave of buying interest, propelling Bitcoin toward the $95,000-$100,000 range. The technical structure of the market, combined with strong fundamental drivers, supports the notion that Bitcoin’s bullish momentum is far from exhausted. The cryptocurrency market as a whole remains a phenomenon to watch, and Bitcoin’s ability to carve out new highs while maintaining a measured and consistent uptrend speaks to its growing maturity as an asset class. For now, traders and investors alike should keep a close eye on key resistance and support levels, as well as broader market dynamics, to gauge the timing and strength of Bitcoin’s next move.
BINANCE:BTCUSDLong
by lonelyPlayer0
Wave III is probably too largeHey guys and girls, Here is an updated chart from my (Feb 29, 2024) post. Preamble: Several months ago when I said "stand-pat" I said it for a purpose and my purpose is right here now, (all targets have been achieved) The market is trying to tell us something! As shown on this chart, Wave III is a fairly clear five (BTC is completing the fifth wave ((5)) of the third leg III of a 5-wave rally ) The Grand Super cycle from 2019 : Wave ((3)) > 161.8% of wave ((1)) Wave ((5)) > 261.8% of wave ((1)) ----> Wave III is probably too large! As a result, wave III is still not complete! So there's only one thing to do! Appendix: Further updates to follow 👇
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by BTC-XLM
BTC 4-hour - Indecisive Price ActionPA patterns are forming. A bullish and bearish contradict each other, leading one to believe that both must play out. Such contradictions also lead to sideways trading. We are in the weekend and the traders will be back online Monday. I suggest that the Bullish Flag wins over most of the time, however some of the higher TF's indicators are seeking resets which call for a bit of a price drop. Traders refer to this as a normal bullish correction dip. As easy as trading might seem, there are lots of reasons that PA moves one way or the other. Formations alone like the ones I have suggested are only guides to help see a possible move in one direction or the other.
KRAKEN:BTCUSD
by Quartz-
Bitcoin/ USD (BITUSD)From the chart, it is clear that we are in wave (3) of a major degree and currently in wave 1 of wave (3). I believe wave 1 may conclude near the 100% or 123.6% levels, which are marked on the chart. As it has already breached the 61.8% level, it looks likely to cover the range of 100% to 123.6% in general. Then, we may see a retracement for wave 2 of a minor degree within wave 3 of the major degree. Disclaimer : This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute a buy or sell recommendation.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by imkhushal
BTCUSD (BUYS)Forgot to post this btc buy set up yesterday,. As we know by now we are in a bull market. Price came back down to retest the break of previous high ($90,000). if price kept dropping my other re-entry would've been $85,000 as we can see that is a support level where price would've likely failed to break and continued to buy to the upside. Currently the previous 2 entries I've extended my take profit to $100,000. But as we are seeing how btc is taking off to the upside i will be changing my take profit target from $100,000 to $120,000.
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by kenyanboi
BTC 2025 Pi-Cycle Top Prediction I predict we see ~100% increase from prior all time high (ATH) and the Bitcoin Pi Cycle Top sometime in early 2025 (March or April-ish). This puts bitcoin at roughly $140,000 with the better case scenario being 158k. I would like to note that bitcoin has continuously surprised me over the years. I have drawn some hypothetical paths leading towards the next profit zone. The blue is the best case scenario, yellow follows previous structure, and red what I would consider conservative. - Previous Cycle Structures: Each BTC market cycle, subsequent peaks from prior ATH have topped out two rainbow regression bands lower than the previous cycle. This pattern has formed over the past 3 major tops in Dec 2013, Dec 2017, and Nov 2021 - Best Case Scenario: -1.618 Fib Retracement is @ ~$158,000 - Natural Scenario: -0.618 Fib Retracement is @ ~$158,000 The Fibonacci Retracements taken from prior cycle low to breakout past prior ATH. This approximately resembles what the prior cycles did and where they saw consolidation. I'm also taking the cyclical nature of BTC in the beginning life-cycle as halvings affect the supply and hash rates. We have typically seen the peak occur between 150-300 days after breakout. Furthermore, if you average out the month over month ROI since August 2010, we find that April and November have historically seen the best returns at an average of 40% for lower bound and 110% as upper bound. I also took into consideration the low volume we have seen compared to prior peaks. Finally, with the change in administration, I cannot ignore the media and social attention crypto will see in as we head into 2025 and more. ~ hope i'm right ~
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by austunutsua