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BTCUSD trade ideas

BTC longerBitcoin just made a jaw-dropping 100% move up in just three months, to double in price as markets react to a surprise executive order signed by Trump to back the Strategic Bitcoin Reserve (SBR). The order caught no one off guard, positioning BTC as a national asset alongside traditional reserves. Traders to pile in, institutions already in, and momentum hasn’t slowed. Whether it’s a new era or a speculative spike, the charts speak for themselves—Bitcoin is booming.
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by juicy642
Bitcoin (BTCUSD) Falling Wedge Breakout – Bullish Setup! 📌 Overview of the Chart Setup This daily Bitcoin (BTC/USD) chart presents a technical breakout from a falling wedge pattern, a well-known bullish reversal signal. The price has been forming lower highs and lower lows over the past months, consolidating within a tightening structure. However, the current price action suggests an early breakout attempt, which could lead to significant upside movement in the coming weeks. Let’s break down the key levels, technical insights, and trading opportunities visible in this chart. 📉 Chart Pattern: Falling Wedge (Bullish Reversal) 🔹 What is a Falling Wedge? A falling wedge is a bullish continuation or reversal pattern characterized by converging downward-sloping trendlines. It typically signals a loss of bearish momentum, leading to a breakout to the upside. 🔹 Key Observations in the Chart The price has been moving inside the falling wedge structure, with clear lower highs and lower lows. The support level around $75,000-$80,000 has been repeatedly tested, forming a strong demand zone. A trendline breakout has occurred, suggesting that bulls are regaining control over the price action. Volume is expected to increase upon a confirmed breakout, reinforcing the bullish momentum. 📊 Important Technical Levels 1️⃣ Support & Resistance Zones 📌 Support Level: The $75,000-$80,000 zone has acted as a strong base, preventing further downside. Buyers have stepped in multiple times here. 📌 Resistance Level: The $95,000-$100,000 range represents a historical resistance where price has struggled to break through. 2️⃣ Trendline Breakout The chart clearly shows a breakout above the falling wedge’s upper boundary, indicating a potential trend reversal from bearish to bullish. If this breakout holds, Bitcoin could see strong buying pressure pushing it toward its next major resistance level. 📈 Trading Strategy & Setup 🔹 Entry Confirmation To enter a long position, traders should wait for: ✅ A daily close above the wedge resistance (confirmed breakout). ✅ A successful retest of the breakout zone, which strengthens the bullish case. A breakout retest is ideal because it provides a lower-risk entry point, ensuring the breakout is legitimate rather than a false move. 🔹 Target Price Projection Using the height of the falling wedge as a projection, the potential price target is set at $118,000. This level aligns with a 35%+ upside from the breakout zone. Bitcoin must clear the $95,000-$100,000 resistance before reaching the final target. 🔹 Stop Loss Placement A stop loss is positioned at $59,896, slightly below the previous major support zone. This ensures that if the breakout fails, losses are minimized while still allowing price fluctuations within expected volatility. 🔹 Risk-to-Reward Ratio Entry around breakout level (~$87,000) Target: $118,000 (35% upside) Stop Loss: $59,896 (~30% downside) Risk-to-reward ratio: ~1:3, making this an attractive trade setup. 📢 Market Psychology & Sentiment Why This Pattern Matters? A falling wedge represents seller exhaustion. Over time, the bearish pressure weakens, leading to a bullish breakout. If Bitcoin can maintain this breakout, momentum traders and institutional investors may step in, accelerating the rally. Breaking above the resistance at $95K-$100K would confirm bullish dominance, potentially leading to new all-time highs. Potential Risks ❌ Fake Breakout: If Bitcoin fails to hold above the wedge resistance, we may see a pullback to support before another breakout attempt. ❌ Macro Factors: External factors like regulatory news, interest rate decisions, and market-wide sentiment could impact price action. ❌ Bitcoin Dominance: If altcoins start rallying, some capital may rotate out of Bitcoin, slowing the upside move. 🚀 Final Thoughts: A High-Probability Bullish Setup ✅ The falling wedge breakout suggests a strong bullish shift, with a 35%+ potential upside. ✅ A confirmed breakout above $95K-$100K will act as a final confirmation before the next leg up. ✅ Risk is managed with a stop loss at $59,896, ensuring downside protection. 🔹 Best trading approach? Wait for confirmation, manage risk, and let the trend develop. Would you like additional insights on entry techniques, volume confirmation, or potential invalidation points? 😊
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by GoldMasterTrades
Bullish cup and handle forming!! Last week seemed the weekly bearish trend broke. With bearish patterns that failed to complete. Monthly bearish momentum and trends are still intact. With that being said we could see this bullish pattern play this week unless Orange Cheeto man does something or says something. As for the first week of April we could see a reversal back into weekly bearish trend due to tariffs playing out. Cup is complete in the next day or so we could see the handle finish. My est target will between 87-91k.
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by Stockdiddler24
The Fed Cuts Balance Sheet Runoff by 80% - BULLISH!RISK-ON 🚨 I’m seeing so many people incorrectly analyzing the September 2019 emergency repo OMOs, which were short-term liquidity injections from the Fed, and then comparing it to the price of BTC going down, before QE officially started in March 2020 because of the pandemic. Here’s what really happened. September 15, 2019 was a tax deadline, pulling ~$100B out of markets as large corporations paid the IRS and funds flew into the TGA. Meanwhile, the Treasury issued new T-Bills to rebuild cash reserves following the post-debt ceiling resolution in August, draining another $50-100B as big banks and institutions absorbed the securities. During this time, the Fed continued reducing its balance sheet (QT) down to $3.76T, but the balance sheet did not leave enough slack for unexpected cash drains to the system, such as corporate taxes and Treasury issuance. Unfortunately, the Fed was flying blind and did not have a hard number estimate for “ample reserves” in the banking system. These reserves were largely hoarded by a few of the larger banking institutions due to Liquidity Coverage Ratio (LCR) rules and a higher IOER at 2.1% vs the ON RRP rate of 1.7% - a 40 bp spread. This caused a liquidity crisis in the US repo market because bank reserves held at the Fed ($1.36T) were too low and repo lending dried up. Banks weren’t able to access each other’s reserves to fund daily operations. SOUND FAMILIAR !? The US just resolved its CR to avoid a government shutdown, and they will be refilling the TGA by issuing new T-Bills. The reverse repo facility is also nearly drained. Today, we heard the Fed will be reducing its securities runoff from $25B - SEED_TVCODER77_ETHBTCDATA:5B on April 1st, an 80% adjustment. One of the main drivers is they wanted to get ahead of another 2019-style repo crisis (although they won’t say this), rather than being reactive and having to perform emergency OMOs once again. Now to go back to my original point with people saying the Fed reducing its balance sheet runoff is a big nothingburger based on BTC price action in 2019. BTC dumped because of the repo crisis, NOT because markets needed QE. By early 2020, the liquidity crisis was resolved, and BTC pumped ~45% before the pandemic hit in March and nuked the chart. Proof is in the pudding - just look at the 2017 bull market. QT started in October 2017, and the market ripped until early 2018. The Fed reducing its balance sheet runoff by 80% is definitely a signal of risk-on for educated market participants, as it leaves more reserves in the financial system, which gives banks more liquidity to loan the market. i.e. M2 go up. But keep listening to your favorite large accounts who are all of a sudden macro gurus, what do I know 🤓
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by jonnieking
#202512 - priceactiontds - weekly update - bitcoinGood Day and I hope you are well. comment: Bulls are still too weak to close strongly above 84k but they kept the market above 80k. Another neutral week which is good for the bears. We are getting close to the big bear trend line, where I expect market to create another strong bear leg down to 75k or lower. Plan did not change for the past 2 weeks. Above 87k we could test 90k and maybe higher, which would damage the bear case big time. Below 80k we likely do the next leg to 75k or even 70k. Clean bear flag but remember, they can also break to the upside. I just don’t think it’s likely given the current structure. current market cycle: bear trend key levels: 70k - 94k bull case: Bulls need anything above 90k/91k to break above the bear trend line but giving this some room, even 94k could still not be enough for them to stop this bear trend. They are doing good at keeping the market above 80k and if they prevent the bears from testing the previous ath at 73.8k, that would be the third try and likely the last before many bears give up and bulls could test higher again. Did not change much to last week since market has not invalidated anything of it. Invalidation is below 70k. bear case: Bears need to close the bull gap down to 73800, no ifs or buts. If they do not create better selling pressure next week and close a daily bar below 80k, market has likely turned more neutral again and both sides have equal odds of the next impulse. Invalidation is above 94k. short term: Neutral. Need strong selling momentum again for me to join this. medium-long term - Update from 2025-02-23: 75000 is still my biggest target for 2025. It’s happening. 70k/75k and then I expect a bigger bounce first. Then we will see if we can go lower or not. For now it’s very low probability that the big bull trend line from 2023-10 breaks anytime soon. current swing trade: None chart update: Nothing
CRYPTO:BTCUSD
by priceactiontds
Bitcoin's epic journey to $160K1. Overall Trend The chart shows a long-term bullish trend for Bitcoin, with the price rising significantly from around $50,000 in early 2023 to approximately $123,130 as of the latest data point (March 18, 2025). The upward movement is characterized by a series of higher highs and higher lows, indicating strong bullish momentum. 2. Price Levels and Targets The chart highlights a projected target of $160,000, labeled as "Reaching at 160K." This suggests the analyst anticipates a potential breakout or continuation of the current uptrend to this level. Current price: Approximately $123,130, with previous support/resistance zones marked at $77,917 and $56,707. These levels likely represent significant historical support where accumulation occurred. 3. Technical Patterns Ascending Triangle: The chart features an ascending triangle pattern, a bullish continuation pattern. The upper resistance line slopes downward slightly, while the lower support line slopes upward, converging toward a breakout point. The recent price action appears to have broken above this triangle, supporting the bullish outlook. Accumulation Phases: Two distinct accumulation zones are marked: The first accumulation phase is around the $56,707 - $77,917 range, where the price consolidated before the initial breakout. The second accumulation phase is near the $100,000 - $120,000 range, followed by a sharp upward move toward the current price and the projected $160,000 target. 4. Support and Resistance Support: The lower boundary of the ascending triangle and the accumulation zones (e.g., $77,917 and $56,707) act as potential support levels if the price pulls back. Resistance: The next major resistance is implied at $160,000, where the price may face selling pressure or consolidation before potentially moving higher. 5. Volume and Momentum While volume data isn’t explicitly shown, the sharp upward move after the breakout from the triangle suggests increasing buying pressure and momentum, typical of a strong bullish trend. 6. Timeframe and Projection The chart spans from early 2023 to mid-2025, with the $160,000 target likely projected to be reached by mid-2025, aligning with the current trajectory and historical bullish cycles.
BINANCE:BTCUSDLong
by sohaibfx
1
BTCUSD Technical analysis for long term.This is a *4-hour BTC/USD chart* from *TradingView, showing a **bearish trading setup* based on *Smart Money Concepts (SMC)* and *price action trading*. ### *Tools & Patterns Used in the Chart:* 1. *Change of Character (CHOCH)* - Marked twice, indicating a shift from bullish to bearish market structure. 2. *Break of Structure (BOS)* - Confirms bearish continuation after the CHOCH. 3. *Trend Line* - Used to track the upward move before the expected breakdown. 4. *Supply Zone / Point of Interest (POI)* - The *POI* is highlighted, showing where price is expected to react before reversing. 5. *Stop Loss (SL) Area* - Marked in *pink*, indicating where the trade will be invalidated if price moves above it. 6. *Liquidity Grab (SSL - Sell Side Liquidity)* - Suggests that price may sweep liquidity before continuing downward. 7. *Bearish Projection (Blue Path)* - Indicates the expected *downward move, with a target around *$76,601 - $79,416**. ### *Conclusion:* This chart suggests a *bearish setup, with a short trade planned from the **POI, expecting a breakdown after a liquidity grab. The trader is using **SMC tools like CHOCH, BOS, POI, and liquidity sweeps* to anticipate the market move
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by David_1_8
BTCUSD - A fresh look on the current supportIf you understand the mechanics of the Medianlines aka Pitchfork, then you understand the projected movement of the markets. Whatever you measure with them, the same principal applies. In the prior analysis, the framework of the Medianlines pointed us in the right direction. Now it's time to reassess this product. The 0 to 5 Count: It's often a good indication when the last sprint happens. After P5, the count starts again from 0, up to 5 again. Here we see that the P5 was reached and we get the bounce, down to the Center-Line aka Medianline, where it finds support. Could it move upward again? Absolutely, even if it where just for a pullback and the a further continuation to the downside. In fact, I even expect it to bounce up to the red resistance zone. This would mark P2 before a harder drop down to P3, cracking the Centerline. Most often after the Centerline is breached, we see a test/retest to it. (P3-P4), an exhaustion of the buyers and then the final hit on the head with a target at P5. In between P4 and P5, there's also the 1/4 line, where we often see a sudo-support. But it's not often that price starts to turn again and negating P5. It's mostly just a try, before the last drop to P5. So there you have my coffee-ground reading. Always remember, that even with such an accurate TA-Framework, we only shall trade what we see. Many thanks to the loyal followers and all likes and sharing. I always love your feedback and constructive criticism. §8-)
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by Tr8dingN3rd
BTCUSD Hourly market AnalysisBITSTAMP:BTCUSD On the H1 time frame, if we consider the trend line going from top to bottom, which indicates a bearish trend, on the other hand, the RSI is currently at 47.98, indicating a decline below the midline. In the past, it has been moving sideways for a few days, which turned upward. Where there is liquidity on the upside, this also shows that Bitcoin is showing a bearish trend, we will consider selling. Support and Resistance Strong Support Zone : 76,660 Strong Resistance Zone : 92,700 Resistance Zone: 84,950 BTCUSD Sell Entry: 83,200 TP: 81,400 TP: 79,400 TP: 76,600 SL: 84,950
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by HamandMagic
LONGS GETTING READY AGAINOne more spike up is brewing again on the 1hr tf lets see if this time bulls are able to break above and hold above the $85500 to make the base for the last 4hrs tf break out that will take place around the 22nd (if not sooner) but bulls are NOT showing muscle and TIME is running out. On the 4hrs tf there are two scenarios and both will end marking the next leg down but the higher the leg down starts (ideally above the $90k line) the less likely it will be for bears to print a lower low but make NO mistake that after the last bounce takes place price will quickly retrace to go and test at least the $80k line. Buckle up ladies and gentlemen we are heading for another wild ride.
BINANCE:BTCUSD.PLong
by Numberfive
BITCOIN HEADING TO 77600 LEVELIt seems that there's an atmosphere of panic. When traders see significant price drops, it can lead to a cascade of selling, with more people fearing losses. This fear can create a liquidity trap where those entering long positions are quickly taken out as prices continue to decline. In such scenarios, liquidations occur when leveraged positions are forcibly closed by exchanges to prevent further losses, which adds even more selling pressure. The cycle can become self-reinforcing; as prices dip, more traders panic and sell, leading to further declines. Based on this scenario, I am confident in entering a short position with a favorable risk-to-reward ratio toward the 77600 level. Follow me for more analysis
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by ShinForex1
The current BTC chart, incorporating my 'flash-crash' thesisThis chart illustrates the current Bitcoin pattern, with my 'April flash crash thesis.' I believe we will see another thrust lower into the green box ranges before a spring into the fifth wave. However, the fifth wave will be a "false breakout," as a flash crash in mid to late April is likely to occur, intentionally designed to sweep liquidity by liquidating overleveraged positions and triggering stop losses—driving price past the previous low set in the green box, only for the market to recover shortly thereafter and continue its breakout to the upside. This breakout will likely push beyond the pattern, taking out the all-time high, and setting a new high somewhere in the 20K to 25K range. There could be some opportunities in the next 4 to 6 weeks, but with opportunity comes risk. Always use a proper risk management strategy suited to your skill level and wallet size. Good luck, and always use a stop loss!
CRYPTO:BTCUSD
by MetaShackle
BTC in triangle formation, likely a price drop soonHey traders, - As you can see, the price recovery from March 11 to March 18 ( blue line ) has experienced a challenging rally, taking significantly longer than expected and still failing to fully recoup the losses from the price drop between March 9 and 11 ( purple line ). - During this period, there were minor rallies, but the bears consistently clawed back most of the gains. - Once the price breaks out of this triangle formation (white), I believe there's a strong likelihood that the bears will grow even more confident.
ICMARKETS:BTCUSDShort
by QuantumTraderPro
This is a 4-hour chart of Bitcoin (BTC/USD)This is a 4-hour chart of Bitcoin (BTC/USD) showing a key resistance level around $86,527 and a potential bearish move towards lower support zones. Analysis: Price is currently trading near the resistance zone, struggling to break above it. A sell setup is suggested, expecting rejection from resistance. The first target is around $78,500, with an extended downside target at $75,869 and possibly $71,580 if momentum continues. A stop-loss level is placed above resistance at $86,527, indicating a risk management strategy. The overall structure suggests bearish sentiment unless price breaks above resistance. Potential Trading Plan: 📉 Bearish Scenario: Short below resistance confirmation. Targets at $78,500, $75,869, and $71,580. Stop-loss above $86,527. 📈 Bullish Scenario: A break and close above $86,527 could invalidate the bearish setup.
BINANCE:BTCUSDShort
by ForexOptimizer
BTCUSD: Phase 4 of Bull Cycle just started.Bitcoin is about to turn neutral again on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 44.562, MACD = -3343.000, ADX = 34.423) as it is making a big 1W comeback on this week's candle following a nearly perfect touch of the 1W MA50. Every test of the 1W MA50, as well as every test of the S1 1W RSI level, has been a straight buy opportunity inside the Bull Cycle's Channel Up since the very begining of the November 2022 bottom. As first the price action was concentrated on the lower half of the Channel Up (green zone) but since February 2024 it has been primarily on the upper half (blue zone) as the rallies got more aggressive, with the only exceptions being the 1W MA50 tests such as the current one (green Arcs). Every bottom rebound has increased by at least +98.76%, so that gives us a peak estimate of TP = 150,000. An temprary high around 120k and pullback to 100-90k is a possible scenario based on all previous rallies/ Phases. Phase 4, which should technicall be the final of the Bull Cycle, has just started. ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by InvestingScope
Bitcoin is ABSOLUTELY under Pressure - It MUST react before DECI have been looking at this in detail for some time and have decided to change how I calculate things and here is the result. There are 2 things of Massive importance to see here. First is that Curve that PA has been under since 2010 The Lower Dashed Line is the Trend line formed in 2011. It is Strong and it is Valid and PA is currently running along it. Here is a closer image to show you where we are in relation to it right now. Directly below PA currently, we hit that line around 67K The Apex of this "Triangle" is December THIS YEAR PA Has to break Above that Arc, the same Arc that has Rejected PA EVERY TIME since 2011 BUT THIS TIME IS DIFFERENT - IT HAS TO BE and here is why I am not going to explain the % increase each Cycle Low to ATH, it is in the chart but I do want to show you this, The first real push of Bitcoin was a massive % rise that created the ATH that formed the 1st point of the Lower Trend line of the New channel. This is A on the chart The Next push was to B. This push was 1.433% of the Original push A - smaller by a long way in % terms. These 2 moves created the channel that PA has remained in ever since. ( see dashed upper trend line) From this point on, we can see that each cycle push , while in channel, has been approx 20% of the previous rise. Or around 1/5 of the size in % terms Or to put is another way, Each Rise has been a diminishing % rise from previous. Look at that curve. It has pushed PA down each cycle ATH This cycle, we are currently at 26.7% of the previous push ( to 2021 ATH ) and it has created a cycle ATH currently. But is the cycle Over ? - Hopefully NOT Because if it is NOT over, we need to break through that Curve of resistance by December. The Much expected 200K ATH is way over that curve and would result in a 55% of previous push rise. That would break the "trend" This is VERY Different. But Absolutely required. So, the question that should be on Everyone's lips is "Which is stronger ? The line or the Arc ?" My expectation is that we will break through. That Arc has been a Major part of the formative years of Bitcoin PA but now, it could prove detrimental. Because, if we do not break through it, It will push Peice DOWN, through that line of Long term support. We do not want that SO, Maybe THIS is why the Bulls are waiting for the Weekly MACD to reset to Neutral...PA Needs the strength to break through. So, Go Buy your Local BULL a Beer ( or white wine lol ) and Lets get on. Watch this Close. It really is more important that Trumps Reserve, Saylors Love nest or Bezos after burners.................
CRYPTO:BTCUSD
by Orriginal
March 14 Bitcoin Bybit chart analysisHello It's a Bitcoinguide. If you have a "follower" You can receive comment notifications on real-time travel routes and major sections. If my analysis is helpful, Please would like one booster button at the bottom. This is the Bitcoin 30-minute chart. There is no Nasdaq indicator announcement It is not visible on the chart screen, but in the analysis article on March 11, I connected today's strategy while maintaining a long position of $79,188 at the long position entry point. Also, there was a recent booster manipulation and the participation rate was low, so I kept the analysis article private for the past few days, but how was the difference compared to other analysis articles? I wonder if you felt the gap in my analysis article. It was not a mistake to make the analysis article public today, but I think it would be good to see it as a small gesture of goodwill because new people supported me yesterday and today. It is currently moving sideways after a slight upward touch, and compared to Tether dominance, I created an aggressive strategy. The important part today is that NASDAQ only needs to move sideways If it crashes or breaks the previous low Be careful because Bitcoin will definitely follow I'll summarize it very simply and briefly. *When the red finger moves Long position strategy 1. 82407.5 dollars long position entry section / cut-off price when the green support line breaks (It can be pushed up to section 2 at most.) 2. 84965.5 dollars long position 1st target -> Top 2nd target Currently, the top section is roughly the center line of the Bollinger Band daily chart. Rather than touching this section and switching short positions It would be better to try to re-enter after long liquidation. (The mid-term pattern is broken based on Tether Dominance) Today, the second sky blue support line is a safe zone where the upward rebound can be maintained From the bottom section deviation, the next support line is the previous low point section marked below, 77,611 dollars. Up to this point, please use my analysis as a reference only I hope you operate safely with principle trading and stop loss prices. Thank you for your hard work this week.
BYBIT:BTCUSD.PLong
by BitCoinGuide
88K is not excluded but not granted as wellMorning folks, So, we set for 85K sell and it worked. Downside reaction happened, but still, we call you to move stops to breakeven for some case. The problem that we see is the market behavior. We see it not natural for normal bearish market. BTC stands stubbornly around K-resistance, not showing normal downside extension. Our scenario of downside continuation from ~85K area is not broken yet, it is valid, and maybe everything will happen as we've suggested initially. But we see the risk in the way of market behavior. It could lead to more extended upside bounce in the way of upside AB=CD pattern right to 88k resistance . It means that if you already have bearish positions - move stops to breakeven. If you don't - do not take the new once for awhile. Or, at least, you could take but not more than 25-30% of your normal lot. Our bearish scenario remains valid until market stands under 85.1K spike (because this is bearish reversal session on daily chart) and below 85.5K resistance in general. Upside breakout means an action to 88K. Since we do not have the breakout it, I mark our update as "bearish", but we warned you... Take care.
COINBASE:BTCUSDShort
by Sive-Morten