Bitcoin Falls Below $75,000, Impacting Crypto-Exposed StocksBitcoin (BTC) slipped under $75,000 on Monday as fresh U.S.-China trade tensions rattled markets. The drop followed President Donald Trump’s announcement of new tariffs on Chinese goods. Beijing responded swiftly, increasing fears of a prolonged trade war.
Bitcoin fell to a daily low of $74,500 before recovering to trade near $79,000. This marked its lowest level since November 2024. Before the drop, Bitcoin had consolidated around $85,000 for several weeks.
The crypto market lost 7% of its total market capitalization in 24 hours. Coinglass data showed $1.61 billion in crypto liquidations. Bitcoin dominance rose slightly to 62.62%.
Ethereum (ETH) and XRP also recorded sharp losses. Ethereum briefly dropped below $1,500 but rebounded above support. XRP fell over 10%, currently trading at $1.8710.
Meme coins and altcoins mirrored the losses. Nearly all top-30 tokens saw double-digit declines. Derivatives traders reduced exposure, with open interest falling 10% to $91.19 billion.
Crypto-Exposed Stocks Take a Hit
Stocks tied to crypto followed Bitcoin’s slide. Shares of Coinbase Global (COIN), Marathon Digital (MARA) and Robinhood (HOOD) all declined. Strategy Inc. (MSTR), formerly MicroStrategy, dropped 9.24% in pre-market trading. The company holds a large Bitcoin treasury, making it sensitive to BTC movements.
However, chipmaker Nvidia (NVDA) rose 3.5% in a minor rebound. The stock had fallen 14% the previous week, its worst since January 2024. Nvidia remains down 27% year-to-date.
Technical Analysis: Bitcoin Retests Key Levels
Bitcoin has remained bearish since hitting an all-time high of $109,000 in January. The recent slide takes BTC back to levels last seen in November 2024. Despite temporary bounces, the market continues to trend downward.
BTC is now hovering above $78,000 but may head toward $71,000 support. This level could provide a base for a potential rally. A move below $71,000 could trigger further declines.
Recovery Depends on Macro Conditions. Traders are watching for new developments and macroeconomic data. The market needs positive catalysts to reverse bearish sentiment. Sentiment remains fragile after Trump’s tariffs and fears of global slowdown. The future of the crypto market under Trump’s administration is uncertain.
BTCUSD trade ideas
Bitcoin Tests 2024 HighBitcoin is sitting at a critical inflection point on the daily chart. After breaking down from the symmetrical triangle with strong momentum, it continued lower, with volume confirming the move.
It’s now landed squarely in the FWB:73K –$75K region – a zone that just so happens to be the May 2024 all-time high. I’ve casually mentioned for over a year that a retest of that level wouldn’t be out of the question – and here we are.
Both the 50 MA and 200 MA were already acting as resistance going into this drop, so there were plenty of warning signs before the breakdown. With price now resting above major horizontal support, bulls need to hold the line here to keep the broader uptrend intact. A bounce would be constructive and could eventually form a higher low on the larger timeframe. But if this level fails, the door opens for a much deeper correction.
Bottom line: this is a massive test. The next move will likely shape the tone for the rest of the quarter.
I'm Bullish, but... BTC / USDHello my friends,
At a minimum we're looking at 30 days inside this wedge before breaking out and testing the $96k range once again. Trust me, Bitcoin must form a bullish structure before doing anything interesting.
It could wick to FWB:73K but I'm thinking the heavy orders around $75k might hold and we range instead of dumping more.
Keep an eye on this wedge.
Trade thirsty, my friends!
BTC - Slight Distribution After Nearly 10xMorning my fellow traders, and happy new year!
I hope you do not have a hangover right now. But if you do, get a tea going, it usually does the trick for me!
I can't deny the possibilities for another rally to take out the highs, but I'm thinking what the market makers are planning is a simple inverted Adam & Eve pattern that will lead us to new opportunities within the next month or so.
Keep in mind that for sometime now Alts have not been giving, and I believe that after this next Alt season (which I believe we will still get), they will keep giving less and less.
I sold near $100k for probably a couple weeks now. Did not get a perfect $108k sale, which is fine. Now I'll focus on a reentry if this plays out.
Trade thirsty, my friends!
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Bitcoin back to 4 Digits.In the worst case scenario Bitcoin can go back to 8k, making a huge collapse after the insane boom.
Something similar to the dot com boom, mega reverse.
Trump administration is killing the econoomy with trade war that can get much worse then we are seeing.
In my view or trump leaves office or we are going to the biggest recession ever, literally all bankrupt
BTCUSD ChatGPT: Chart Analysis for Bitcoin (1-Hour Timeframe) – April 08, 2025
Key Observations:
1. Price Action and Trend:
- Bitcoin is in a downtrend, as indicated by the blue descending trendlines, creating lower highs and lower lows.
- The resistance zone is near 80,000, with 79,161 acting as a key level of resistance.
- Price is currently approaching the support level, which is in the range of 75,000 to 77,000, indicating a potential area for price reversal or further decline.
2. Order Block and FVG (Fair Value Gap):
- The order block located near 79,161 to $79,000 is an important zone where price rejected and fell previously. This suggests that sellers have been controlling this level, and it may act as a strong resistance again if the price revisits.
- …
ChatGPT: - As Bitcoin approaches the support level, a surge in volume could indicate a possible breakout or a reversal from the support zone.
4. Target and Potential Movement:
- The target for the current setup is 79,161, near the upper resistance zone, with potential upward momentum from the support area.
- Bitcoin is likely to reach the 79,161 target after bouncing from the support zone. However, if the price fails to break through the resistance, a drop back to the support zone or even further downward movement may occur.
Potential Scenarios:
- Bullish Reversal: If Bitcoin bounces from the support level and breaks above the resistance at 79,161, it may push higher towards 80,000 and beyond. The FVG area will be a critical point to monitor for further upward m…
ChatGPT: Currently, Bitcoin is at a pivotal point, testing support while trying to break through resistance. The next price action will depend on how Bitcoin reacts at these key levels. Traders should keep an eye on 79,161, which could be a crucial turning point for the market direction. If the support holds, a reversal is possible, but failure to maintain the support could lead to further declines.
BITCOIN Bollinger squeeze and 1D Death Cross aiming at $150kBitcoin (BTCUSD) will complete today a 1D Death Cross (1D MA50 crossing below the 1D MA200). A technically bearish pattern in theory but in practice it has been one of the greatest buy signals during the 2023 - 2025 Bull Cycle.
** Bollinger Squeeze, 1D Death Cross, 1W MA50 **
As you can see, since the long-term Channel Up started with the November 21 2022 Bear Cycle bottom, we have had another two 1D Death Crosses. Both took place on the Channel Up bottoms (September 04 2023 and August 05 2024), serving as Higher Lows for the pattern. At the same time, the price had a test (or close) of the 1W MA50 (red trend-line), while the Bollinger Bands (blue cloud) have already started to squeeze.
This squeeze is critical as it was even present during the November 21 2022 Bear market bottom, having started a little earlier on October 31 2022. In fact the squeeze started earlier on all three bottom phases and even on the current price action we are seeing so far a Bollinger Squeeze since March 17 2025, a little after the near test of the 1W MA50.
** The Transition Month **
In typical cyclical manner, each year had one Channel Up bottom. This bottom process (consisting of the Bollinger Squeeze, 1D Death Cross and 1W MA50 test) technically appears once a year. We call this month 'Transition Month', which is the necessary phase that BTC spends to go from the bottom to the new Bullish Leg of the Channel Up. In 2022 that month was December, in 2023 it was September and in 2024 August. Since all bottom conditions have been met this time also, we expect April to be the 2025 Transition Month.
** What's next? **
As far as the next leg up in concerned, all 3 previous Bullish Legs rose by at least +100% from the bottom. Since March 10 was the close test of the 1W MA50, we can consider that the bottom from which to measure the +100% leg up. That suggests that BTC will hit at least $150000 on the next top.
But what do you think? Has this Bollinger Squeeze, 1D Death Cross, 1W MA50 Triple Combo just priced the new bottom? And if yes, will April be the Transition Month for the new Bullish Leg to $150k? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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Mastering RSI Divergence: A Complete Guide to Trend ReversalsWhat Are Divergences?
In this guide, we will explore the concept of divergence and how it can be effectively utilized alongside the Relative Strength Index (RSI), one of the most popular momentum indicators in technical analysis. Divergence occurs when the price of an asset moves in the opposite direction of an indicator, such as the RSI. Understanding RSI divergence can be a powerful tool for identifying potential trend reversals or continuations. In this guide, we'll delve into the various types of divergence that can occur with the RSI and how to incorporate them into your trading strategy.
Types of Divergences?
There are three primary types of divergence: bullish, bearish, and hidden divergence. Each signals a distinct market condition and potential outcome, and understanding these nuances is key to using divergence effectively in your trading.
1. Bullish Divergence Bullish divergence happens when the price of an asset makes a lower low, while the RSI forms a higher low. This indicates that although the price is declining, momentum is weakening. The failure of the RSI to confirm the new low in price suggests that selling pressure is diminishing, potentially signaling that a reversal to the upside could occur. Essentially, the market is losing its downward momentum, setting the stage for a potential bullish move.
2. Bearish Divergence Bearish divergence occurs when the price forms a higher high, but the RSI forms a lower high. This indicates that although the price is rising, momentum is weakening. It suggests that the uptrend may be losing steam, signaling that a potential reversal to the downside could be on the horizon. As the price continues higher, but the RSI fails to confirm the new highs, it may indicate that the market is becoming overextended and ready for a correction.
3. Hidden Divergence Hidden divergence differs from regular divergence in that it signals a continuation of the existing trend, rather than a reversal. It typically occurs during pullbacks or retracements in a strong trend. Hidden divergence can appear in both uptrends and downtrends, providing traders with an indication that the prevailing trend is likely to continue after the short-term retracement is over. This type of divergence serves as a confirmation of trend strength and helps traders stay in profitable positions during market pullbacks.
Why Are RSI Divergences a Powerful Tool?
RSI divergence is a powerful tool in trading because it offers early insights into potential trend reversals or shifts in momentum before these changes are fully reflected in price movements. By recognizing divergence, traders can anticipate shifts in market sentiment and make timely decisions. One of the main reasons RSI divergence is so effective is that it serves as an early warning system. It signals when the momentum behind a price trend, whether up or down, is starting to weaken.
For example, in a strong uptrend, if prices continue to make new highs, but the RSI fails to reach new highs, this could signal that the buying momentum is losing strength, even though the price is still rising. This divergence indicates that a reversal or pullback might be imminent, allowing traders to exit their positions or prepare for a potential shift in market direction. Understanding this early warning can provide traders with an edge, helping them avoid being caught in the late stages of a trend and positioning themselves ahead of a change.
How to Trade RSI Divergences?
When the price makes a higher high but the RSI fails to confirm with a higher high, this is known as bearish divergence. While this situation suggests weakening momentum, it doesn’t necessarily mean a correction is imminent. The price may continue to rise for some time, and eventually, the RSI could catch up and make a higher high in line with the price action. Essentially, the market could remain in an uptrend, and the RSI could still align with the price over time.
This highlights the importance of not jumping to conclusions solely based on RSI divergence. Divergence can act as a useful warning, but it should not be relied upon as a definitive signal of a trend reversal. To increase the reliability of the signal, traders should wait for additional confirmation, such as a candlestick pattern indicating a potential trend reversal. Candlestick patterns like engulfing patterns, doji candles, or shooting stars at key support or resistance levels can provide stronger evidence that the trend may be about to change.
Therefore, it’s wise to wait for a more comprehensive confirmation from price action before making a move, rather than acting on divergence alone. Combining RSI divergence with other technical tools, such as candlestick patterns or chart patterns, can help increase the accuracy of your trade decisions.
Conclusion:
Divergence is a powerful tool that provides valuable insights into potential trend reversals or continuations. By understanding the different types of divergence and knowing how to identify them, traders can make more informed decisions. However, divergence should always be used in conjunction with other technical analysis tools to enhance the accuracy of your strategy. With practice, patience, and proper risk management, divergence trading can become a profitable strategy for identifying key market turning points. Whether you are seeking trend reversals or confirming ongoing trends, RSI divergence can be an essential component of your trading toolkit.
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Where can Bitcoin turn bullish again? (2D)Before anything, pay attention to the timeframe of the analysis. This is a 2-day timeframe, so it will take time.
The green zone is where Bitcoin can start moving toward the specified targets. If the ATH is broken, Bitcoin could also move toward $120K and $140K. However, based on the chart, there is currently no certainty about Bitcoin’s final target.
Reaching the green zone may take more than 4 to 5 weeks.
We are looking for buy/long positions in the green zone.
A daily candle close below the invalidation level will invalidate this analysis.
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
When we reach the first target, save some profit and then change the stop to entry
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You
BTCUSD Expected Growth! BUY!
My dear followers,
This is my opinion on the BTCUSD next move:
The asset is approaching an important pivot point 82240
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend generates a clear long signal while Pivot Point HL is currently determining the overall Bullish trend of the market.
Goal - 82971
About Used Indicators:
For more efficient signals, super-trend is used in combination with other indicators like Pivot Points.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
BTC Ready for PUMP or what ?The BTC will increase 20k and reach to the top of the wedge in the coming DAYS.
Give me some energy !!
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⚠️Things can change...
The markets are always changing and even with all these signals, the market changes tend to be strong and fast!!
BTC/USD 30Min PairMY looking at a potential short-term trade setup for Bitcoin:
Buy Entry: $84,500
Target: $87,000
Potential Gain: $2,500 per BTC (~2.96%)
Make sure to consider:
Stop Loss: Important to define—perhaps around $83,000 to manage risk?
Volume/Trend Confirmation: Is price action supporting upward momentum?
News/Events: Check if any macro or crypto-specific events could impact price soon.
Want help with chart analysis or setting up a full trade plan?
BTC - Bottom soon?I recently published this idea privately because I was unable to post it publicly at the time. Now, I’d like to make it public.
(Click the picture above to view the TA-Chart.)
I'll be copying and pasting all the text from the original private idea here, along with the missing links I had prepared on April 2nd.
The purpose of this chart is just to illustrate how my three target levels align with my Fibonacci retracement levels — which is also the reason I selected them.
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We are currently in a complex situation. Markets have been experiencing a sell-off due to uncertainty surrounding Trump's tariffs. Additionally, Trump needs to refinance a massive sum of government debt ($7 trillion) over the next 10 years. To achieve this, he must lower the 10-year yield to reduce interest payments.
One way to lower yields is by increasing government efficiency, thereby reducing borrowing needs and bond issuance, which in turn decreases yields. Another method is cutting interest rates, yet his tariff policies counteract this approach. This raises the question: does he want a recession? During a recession investors would flock toward bonds as a safe haven, ultimately pushing yields down.
Bad Signs
- Fed Atlanta GDPNow Gold adjusted at -0.8%
- PMI below 50
- Major uncertainty due to enormous tariffs
-> Michigan Consumer Sentiment (57) and Expectation (52.6) are at levels seen during the recession of 2022
- FED cannot cut interest rates due to persistently high inflation
Are we heading towards a recession?
People tend to overreact and overlook key indicators—one of which is liquidity. Examining the WTREGEN, we see a steep decline since mid-February, indicating that cash has been injected into the system.
This is further supported by the rising RRPONT since mid-February. Additionally, the Fed has been slowing down QT, meaning the liquidity injection is not being offset as much.
Additionally due to the tariffs countries like China could bring a liquidity stimilus into the markets to help their domestic markets.
In summary, liquidity levels should be sufficient for at least a blow-off top. The reason markets have not rallied yet is due to uncertainty stemming from Trump’s tariffs. This is reflected in recession-level Michigan Consumer Sentiment and the Fear & Greed Index.
A key bullish signal would be a falling RRPONT alongside a declining WTREGEN, as this would indicate that cash injections are flowing into risk assets, showing regained confidence. For confidence to return, we need a positive catalyst, such as an stop to QT, an increase of the balance sheet or an interest rate cut. However, the Fed is holding off on cuts due to high inflation and the tariffs.
But this is where it gets interesting:
According to Truflation, inflation has dropped significantly below the Fed’s 2% target since early March. The Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) data lags by a full month, so if Truflation’s data holds any truth, the upcoming inflation report on April 10 may reflect this decline. This could restore confidence and provide the Fed with room to give us a positive catalyst.
Where is BTC headed?
Compared to my expectations from early february ( ibb.co ) I expect BTC to first move into the $78K–73K range before rallying toward $115K instead of rallying now at 82k. This range aligns with my Fibonacci levels, and 73K was the high of March 2024. Additionally there is currently a fractality compared to the bottom of 2022 where the bottom now would be rougly at 75k.
To reach $115K, BTC must first break the black downward trendline and the double-top neckline at around $95K. My blow-off top target is $115K, and if BTC holds above $100K, I will eye $145K and $185K as the next targets.
Furthermore there could be a chance that the tariffs are just a negotiation tool since the tariffs do not make any sense % wise.
However if Trump does intend to impose these tariffs at the said % and other countries stab back with their tariffs, then we might actually see a stagflation if the Fed does not intervene-or intervenes too late.
BTCUSD: Last chance to prove the Bull Cycle is still intact.Bitcoin remains bearish on its 1W technical outlook (RSI = 40.819, MACD = 1234.500, ADX = 47.185) as it is on the 3rd red 1W candle in a row, which just hit the 1W MA50. First contact since Sep 2nd 2024. The weeky low is also almost at the HL bottom of the Bull Cycle's Channel Up. Needless to say, it has to hold in order for the bullish trend to continue. Practically this is the market's last chance to prove that the Bull Cycle is still intact. So far the -32% decline is no different that all prior inside the Channel Up but an Arc shaped bottom needs to start forming. If it does and that's the new bottom, expect $160,000 by September.
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BTC/USD 4H PAIR........Based on My provided information, My looking at a Bitcoin sell position with the following key points:
Sell Position: 83,000
Resistance: 84,000
Target Point 1: 78,000
Target Point 2: 75,000
This indicates that you're considering selling Bitcoin at 83,000 and targeting a drop to 78,000 or 75,000, with 84,000 acting as the resistance level. If Bitcoin fails to break the 84,000 resistance level, you expect the price to decline toward your target points.
If the price approaches 84,000, it would be important to monitor for any signs of a reversal, as that could signal a potential failure of your sell strategy. If the price reaches your target points (78,000 or 75,000), it could be time to consider locking in profits, depending on your risk tolerance.
Would you like assistance with analyzing this further or building a strategy around it?
BTC headed to 75k? dead cat at 77.7k then 73-75k support comingBTC was holding well against the market's Tariff-Tantrum.
But a significant dip is starting on a Sunday (as often does).
If sentiment continues into Monday, we should see 75k soon.
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Previous Charts below
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$ 105k cycle Top call:
$ 82K Bounce call:
$ 73K previous cycle top (and current retest target):
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BTCUSD: 1D Death Cross can push it to $150k by August.Bitcoin turned bearish again on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 43.071, MACD = -1375.000, ADX = 26.965) showcasing the high volatility that yesterday's tariffs announcement inflicted. 1W remains marginally neutral though (RSI = 45.519), highlighting the long term buy opportunity the current levels present.
The market is about to form the first 1D Death Cross, which occurs when the 1D MA50 crosses under the 1D MA200, since August 9th 2024. Even though that's technically a bearish formation, it has worked only as a bottom market during the current Bull Cycle. Both the Aug 9th 2024 and September 11th 2023 1D Death Crosses were formed exactly when BTC bottomed. In symmetric fashion the first two were formed 150 days after the previous high and rose by at least +96.86% by the 1.786 Time Fibonacci extension. Also both bottoms held the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement level.
This time the 1D Death Cross will be formed approximately 109 days after the previous high, which means that this phase is more aggressive than the others and may equally be more aggresive on the bullish wave too. Still, if it 'just' repeats the previous ones, we estimate to reach $150,000 by this August.
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Confluence at 65KBTC seems to be developing a bullish Gartley pattern, currently evolving within a potential bear flag.
The pattern would complete at point D, around $64,600–65,000, where multiple confluences meet:
- 78.6% retracement of XA
- 141.4% extension of BC
- Lower boundary of the flag
- Retest of former resistance trendline
- Saylor’s average entry price 😏
A key condition: we need to break below the current wedge to increase probabilities of reaching point C.
Until then, the pattern remains a setup in progress.
Letting it unfold, one leg at a time.