BTCUSD As BTCUSD fell back to 118k, we’ve some good break of structure to the downside with some good momentum seen from the H4 timeframe. Could this be giving us some good bearish sentiment? Or it’s just one of the mini-fluctuations pullbacks as they accumulate enough orders to push the BTCUSD markets even higher.
BTCUSD trade ideas
BTCUSD What Next? BUY!
My dear friends,
Please, find my technical outlook for BTCUSD below:
The price is coiling around a solid key level - 11678
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Pivot Points High anticipates a potential price reversal.
Super trend shows a clear buy, giving a perfect indicators' convergence.
Goal - 11791
About Used Indicators:
The pivot point itself is simply the average of the high, low and closing prices from the previous trading day.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
———————————
WISH YOU ALL LUCK
BTC – Bulls still in controlBTC is trading around 117,800 USD, well above both the EMA 50 (111,800) and the pivot level (105,300), confirming bullish dominance. Price remains below the upper Bollinger Band (123,400), leaving potential room for continuation.
Momentum stays constructive, with RSI at 60 and MACD in a strong positive zone, reflecting sustained upward pressure. As long as price holds above EMA 50 and pivot, the next upside targets lie at 123,400 and R1 at 110,000 has already been surpassed.
Volume has dropped significantly (-31%), suggesting the latest move could lack conviction or represent a pause rather than a breakout.
As long as BTC holds above 111,800, the bullish scenario remains intact.
Watch for any rejection near 123,400 or a close back below the EMA as potential invalidation signals.
Bitcoin - Trust the higher timeframe!⚔️Bitcoin ( CRYPTO:BTCUSD ) is still 100% bullish:
🔎Analysis summary:
For the past couple of months we have been seeing an overall consolidation on Bitcoin. But looking at the higher timeframe, Bitcoin remains in an underlying strong bullrun. Consolidations are always expected and no reason to freak out since everything is still bullish.
📝Levels to watch:
$100.000
🙏🏻#LONGTERMVISION
Philip - Swing Trader
Bitcoin massive bullrun incoming!!!If historical patterns serve as a guide, we consistently observe the formation of a rounding bottom pattern on BTC preceding each bull run.
Presently, it appears we are on the brink of significant BTC movements this year. Notably, a critical support level indicated on the chart stands at 59k, extrapolated from historical data.
The target for the rounding bottom formation is distinctly delineated on the chart. This post will be continuously updated in a timely manner.
Do share your insights regarding this pattern.
going lower or bouncing on resistance? market is respecting key support/resistance or channel boundaries. These points often become decision zones where big moves occur.
Signs this could be a fakeout:
BTC wicks above a resistance or below a support with little follow-through
Volume spikes only on the wick, then dies quickly
Price reverses back into the range soon after breaking it
If BTC recently broke a trendline with low volume, it smells like a trap move — a liquidity grab.
If it’s testing support again after failing to rally, and volume is increasing on red candles, a leg down is possible.
However, macro trend is still up unless we lose a major higher low (say, sub-$60k or sub-$56k depending on your chart).
Protect Capital First, Trade SecondIn the world of trading, mastering technical analysis or finding winning strategies is only part of the equation. One of the most overlooked but essential skills is money management. Even the best trading strategy can fail without a solid risk management plan.
Here’s a simple but powerful money management framework that helps you stay disciplined, protect your capital, and survive long enough to grow.
✅1. Risk Only 2% Per Trade
The 2% rule means you risk no more than 2% of your total capital on a single trade.
-Example: If your trading account has $10,000, your maximum loss per trade should not exceed $200.
-This protects you from large losses and gives you enough room to survive a losing streak without major damage.
A disciplined approach to risk keeps your emotions under control and prevents you from blowing your account.
✅2. Limit to 5 Trades at a Time
Keeping your number of open trades under control is essential to avoid overexposure and panic management.
-A maximum of 5 open trades allows you to monitor each position carefully.
-It also keeps your total account risk within acceptable limits (2% × 5 trades = 10% total exposure).
-This rule encourages you to be selective, focusing only on the highest quality setups.
Less is more. Focus on better trades, not more trades.
✅3. Use Minimum 1:2 or 1:3 Risk-Reward Ratio
Every trade must be worth the risk. The Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) defines how much you stand to gain compared to how much you’re willing to lose.
-Minimum RRR: 1:2 or 1:3
Risk $100 to make $200 or $300
-This allows you to be profitable even with a win rate below 50%.
Example:
If you take 10 trades risking $100 per trade:
4 wins at $300 = $1,200
6 losses at $100 = $600
→ Net profit = $600, even with only 40% accuracy.
A poor RRR forces you to win frequently just to break even. A strong RRR gives you room for error and long-term consistency.
✅4. Stop and Review After 30% Drawdown
Drawdowns are a part of trading, but a 30% drawdown from your account's peak is a red alert.
When you hit this level:
-Stop trading immediately.
-Conduct a full review of your past trades:
-Were your losses due to poor strategy or poor execution?
-Did you follow your stop-loss and risk rules?
-Were there changes in the market that invalidated your setups?
You must identify the problem before you continue trading. Without review, you risk repeating the same mistakes and losing more.
This is not failure; it’s a checkpoint to reset and rebuild your edge.
Final Thoughts: Survive First, Thrive Later
In trading, capital protection is the first priority. Profits come after you've mastered control over risk. No trader wins all the time, but the ones who respect risk management survive the longest.
Here’s your survival framework:
📉 Risk max 2% per trade
🧠 Limit to 5 trades
⚖️ Maintain minimum 1:2 or 1:3 RRR
🛑 Pause and review after 30% drawdown
🧘 Avoid revenge trading and burnout
Follow these principles and you won't just trade, you'll trade with discipline, confidence, and longevity.
Cheers
Hexa
BTCUSD support retest at 114,850 The BTCUSD remains in a bullish trend, with recent price action showing signs of a corrective pullback within the broader uptrend.
Support Zone: 114,850 – a key level from previous consolidation. Price is currently testing or approaching this level.
A bullish rebound from 114,850 would confirm ongoing upside momentum, with potential targets at:
122,900 – initial resistance
124,420 – psychological and structural level
126,250 – extended resistance on the longer-term chart
Bearish Scenario:
A confirmed break and daily close below 114,850 would weaken the bullish outlook and suggest deeper downside risk toward:
112,860 – minor support
110,825 – stronger support and potential demand zone
Outlook:
Bullish bias remains intact while the BTCUSD holds above 114,850. A sustained break below this level could shift momentum to the downside in the short term.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
BTC / USD Daily ChartHello traders. This chart is for leveraged Bitcoin traders. Anyone freaking out about what Bitcoin will do should know that this dip now is only about a 10% dip or so from the ATH. We could easily shake out all the long positions in profit by revisiting the area marked on the chart. These temporary dips are for buying, not for getting taken out. Never forget that in order for you to win a trade using a leveraged account, someone or some entity must lose a trade. So it's better to try and ride the wave and trade the trend than to think we can outsmart algolorithmic stop loss hunting programs designed to take your profits. Better to DCA Bitcoin and Ethereum than to take chances of blowing your account on a perfect, yet volatile asset like BTC. Big G gets my thanks. Be well and trade the trend. Happy Friday.
key area for bullsif bulls cant hold this we're going to test previous range VAH which is 110k
holding this will need to reclaim VAL
if it rejects Range VAL as a bearish retest we may lose this area.
if VAH (which is a CME gapfill) wont hold (imo if we go this far down it will nuke) theres a likelyhood to 103k
Im bullish i think we reclaim here but thought is not edge.
for now we have decent oscilator data.
SP will be king here, if it will pump btc will pump also.
i longed here
Bitcoin: The Key Buying Level Near $112K Liquidity ZoneFenzoFx—Bitcoin consolidation extended into the bullish FVG, trading near $115,470.0. The 4-hour chart shows an indecisive candle, while the 200-day MA points upward, signaling bullish control.
The bullish outlook remains intact if price holds above the critical $112,000.0 support. However, current bearish momentum may drag price toward this level, potentially filling nearby FVGs.
Traders should monitor $112,000.0 for bullish setups, including break of structure and long-wick bullish candles.
BTCUSD 4HOUR TIME FRAME ANALYSISCurrently bearish on the 4-hour chart with lower highs and lower lows forming consistently.
Price Action: BTCUSD recently broke below a key support zone around 116,000, turning it into a fresh resistance. The market shows bearish momentum as price fails to reclaim above that zone.
Candlestick Patterns: Multiple bearish engulfing candles confirm selling pressure near the 115,500–116,000 area.
Bart Simpson Pattern Forming? We are in Greed? A possible Bart Simpson pattern is forming, which typically indicates a market top and reversal, with a retest of <$109,000 very likely. This pattern could also create a bearish head and shoulders formation, strongly suggesting a near-term top.
Trading volume continues to decrease, and ETF inflows are now negative, with an increasing volume of BTC on exchanges indicating that sell pressure is mounting. In this situation, a flash crash is also quite likely, so be cautious about where you place your limit sell orders and stop losses..
Both short and long positions are currently low, suggesting there is a lack of direction in the market, whether up or down. This situation often occurs at the end of a bull run. While a push upward is a possibility, based on my analysis, I anticipate that this pattern will break down with an 80:20 probability. However, Bitcoin often challenges expectations and is famously unpredictable. However due to all the media hype and the rolling of capital into Alt coins and the dominance dropping I do believe we are very near the end of the bull run. This is not financial advice (NFA).
BTC/USD – 4H Technical and Fundamental AnalysisBTC/USD – 4H Technical and Fundamental Analysis
BTC/USD saw sharp downside pressure today, driven by a wave of long position liquidations—exceeding $800 million across the crypto market in the past 24 hours. The sudden shift triggered panic selling, dragging Bitcoin below its psychological and technical support near $116,000. Broader crypto market sentiment turned risk-off as large investors reduced exposure, accelerating the sell-off.
Fundamentally, the market remains cautious amid a lack of positive macroeconomic catalysts for risk assets. Speculation about stricter U.S. regulatory oversight and declining inflows into crypto ETFs also dampened sentiment. Combined with hawkish remarks from Fed officials, which keep interest rates elevated, appetite for high-risk assets like Bitcoin weakened further.
From a technical perspective, BTC/USD broke below the major support level of $116,000, confirming bearish pressure. This breakdown followed a period of consolidation, with price failing to maintain bullish momentum. A liquidity hunt appears to be underway, with price revisiting the zone to trap breakout traders before resuming its move.
We are now watching for a confirmed 4H candle close below the liquidity zone. Once confirmed, a short setup is validated, with targets aligned with the next key support zone.
📍 Sell Setup
Entry: Sell Limit at 115,980.00
Stop Loss: 117,985.00
Take Profit: 111,940.00
📌 Disclaimer:
This is not financial advice. Always wait for proper confirmation before executing trades. Manage risk wisely and trade what you see—not what you feel.
Bitcoin H4 | Falling toward a multi-swing-low supportBitcoin (BTC/USD) is falling towards a multi-swing-low support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 116,242.45 which is a multi-swing-low support that aligns with a confluence of Fibonacci levels i.e. the 38.2% retracement and the 100% projection.
Stop loss is at 113,300.00 which is a level that lies underneath a support zone that is identified by a confluence of Fibonacci levels i.e. the 50% retracement and the 161.8% extension.
Take profit is at 122,575.45 which is a swing-high resistance that aligns close to the all-time-high.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.