BTCUSD trade ideas
Bitcoin (BTC/USD) 4H CHART - BULLISH PENNANT PATTERN 📊 Bitcoin (BTC/USD) 4-Hour Chart – Bullish Pennant Formation
Bitcoin (BTC) forming a bullish pennant pattern on the 4-hour timeframe.
A bullish pennant often appears after a strong upward move, followed by a period of consolidation, and usually signals a continuation to the upside.
🔍 Key Highlights:
Pattern: Bullish Pennant – a continuation pattern that forms after a strong rally (flagpole), followed by a tightening price range.
Resistance Trendline: The upper black line showing lower highs — where price has repeatedly faced selling pressure.
Support Trendline: The lower black line showing higher lows — where buyers have been stepping in.
Breakout Zone: Price is nearing the apex of the pennant. A breakout above the resistance line would likely confirm the bullish move.
Target Projection: If the breakout is successful, the target is around $123,960, based on the height of the flagpole.
Breakout and Retest: The chart also shows a possible retest of the trendline after breakout, which is common and can offer a second entry point for traders.
Volume Watch: A valid breakout usually comes with increased volume. Monitoring this can help confirm the move.
📉 Downside Possibility:
If the price fails to break out and falls below the support trendline, it could invalidate the pattern and lead to a bearish move — possibly retesting the $110,000 area.
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The market is at a decision point. If BTC breaks above the resistance and retests successfully, it could push toward $123K. However, traders should watch for both breakout confirmation and false moves.
BTCUSD Daily Setup If you look back at my previous analysis of Bitcoin, you will notice that on the daily time frame, the price entered the specified range and then continued its upward trend, and we expect this upward trend to continue to the range of 138,000 to 140,000.
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BTC In-Depth Technical Analysis: BTC/USD (30-Min Chart)🔍 In-Depth Technical Analysis: BTC/USD (30-Min Chart)
🟩 1. Demand Zone Reaction
Location: ~$114,500 – $115,500
Significance:
Price sharply reversed after a strong move into this demand zone.
This zone coincides with a liquidity grab below previous lows — textbook Smart Money trap.
Volume (if checked) would likely spike here, indicating institutional interest.
✅ Interpretation: Institutional demand stepped in, absorbing sell orders and triggering a reversal.
📉 2. Break of Structure (BOS)
Zone: Around July 24–25
Price broke below a key higher low, signaling temporary bearish structure.
However, this was quickly reclaimed after demand zone reaction — suggesting a fakeout BOS or a liquidity sweep.
✅ Interpretation: BOS caused shorts to enter, but reversal suggests a bear trap and continuation higher. The BOS served to fuel a more aggressive bullish rally.
🎯 3. Target Zone
Marked Target: ~$118,900–$119,200
Why This Area?
It aligns with a previous consolidation zone / supply before the sharp drop.
Also overlaps with Ichimoku cloud resistance and previous highs — strong confluence.
✅ Interpretation: Price is likely to face resistance here. If broken with strong momentum, bullish continuation to the next supply zone (~$121K) is possible.
⛓️ 4. Market Structure Analysis
Higher Lows Forming after demand reaction.
Price is forming a bullish market structure with an ascending wave pattern.
A break and retest of the $119K zone could lead to a mid-term rally.
Failure to break could result in:
A pullback to the $117,000 area
Or a deeper retest of the demand zone
✅ Trading Plan Options:
Bullish Bias: Buy pullbacks above $117,000 with $119,000 as target
Bearish Bias: Wait for strong rejection at $119,000 to short back to $115K
☁️ 5. Ichimoku Cloud Insight
Price has moved above the cloud, suggesting momentum shift to the upside.
The cloud is twisting bullish, supporting short-term bullish trend.
However, flat Kumo tops around $119K = likely rejection zone.
✅ Interpretation: Ichimoku confirms bullish potential, but price must close above the cloud + $119K zone to sustain trend.
📌 Key Takeaways for Publishing
Chart Idea Title:
“BTC/USD Demand Zone Reversal | Break of Structure & $119K Target in Sight”
Summary Description:
Bitcoin has reclaimed bullish momentum after a sweep into the $115K demand zone. A break of structure triggered shorts, but demand absorption led to a sharp reversal. Now, price is approaching the key $119K supply zone — a critical level that could determine if this is a short-term rally or the beginning of a new trend. Watch for either a clean breakout or a rejection for a possible retest of $117K or lower. Confluence from Ichimoku, BOS, and market structure support the analysis.
Bitcoin (BTC/USD) Weekly Analysis. Bull Market Top1️⃣ Key Market Structure - Elliott Wave Analysis
📉 Elliott Wave Progression:
BTC is in Wave 5️⃣, which historically marks the last bullish impulse before a potential correction.
Wave 3️⃣ was strong, confirming the trend continuation.
Now BTC is approaching the potential Bull Market Top 🚀.
🟢 Current Market Position:
BTC is forming Wave 5, targeting $117K - $139K as per Fibonacci extensions.
The final Wave 5 completion zone is projected within this range.
2️⃣ Fibonacci Retracement & Extension Levels
📊 Fibonacci Levels to Watch:
📍 0.236 Retracement: $93,845.34 ✅ (Minor pullback support)
📍 0.382 Retracement: $85,842.61 ✅ (Stronger correction zone)
📍 0.5 Retracement: $79,876.11 ⚠️ (Critical mid-level support)
🎯 0.382 Extension: $117,331.51 (Potential first target resistance)
🎯 0.618 Extension: $139,205.03 (Bull Market Top Projection)
📌 BTC Weekly High: $109,358.01
📈 BTC Current Price: ~$99,449.97
3️⃣ Technical Indicators - Confirmation Signals
📊 MACD (Momentum Indicator)
✅ MACD Histogram is still positive ➝ Confirming bullish momentum.
⚠️ Flattening MACD lines ➝ Indicates momentum might be slowing.
📊 RSI (Relative Strength Index):
🔼 RSI is near overbought zone (~69-70)
⚠️ Possible local top - BTC might need a correction before further upside
4️⃣ Key Support & Resistance Zones
🛑 Major Support Levels:
🟢 $93,800 (0.236 Fib - Short-term pullback zone)
🟢 $85,800 (0.382 Fib - Stronger correction zone)
🟢 $79,800 (0.5 Fib - Must hold support for long-term bullish trend)
🎯 Resistance Levels - Price Targets:
🔴 $109,000 (Current High - Short-term resistance)
🔴 $117,000 (First Major Resistance - 0.382 Fib Extension)
🚀 $131,000 - $139,000 (Bull Market Top Zone - 0.618 Fib Extension)
5️⃣ Trading Strategy & Market Outlook
💹 Bullish Bias Until BTC Breaks Below $93,800
🎯 Target Areas for TP (Take Profit):
✅ Conservative Traders: Exit near $109,000 - $117,000
✅ Higher Risk Targets: $131,000 - $139,000
⚠️ Risk Management:
🛑 Stop-loss: Below $93,000 to protect against a deeper correction.
📈 Scaling In: Consider adding positions if BTC retraces to the 0.382 ($85,800) or 0.5 ($79,800) Fibonacci level.
💡 Summary & Final Thoughts:
✅ BTC is in the final Elliott Wave 5 move, targeting a potential Bull Market Top of $131K - $139K based on Fibonacci extensions.
⚠️ However, RSI is overbought, and MACD momentum is slowing, meaning a pullback to $93K or $85K is possible before the next move higher.
🚀 Bullish until BTC breaks below key supports. Watch $109K and $117K for short-term resistance.
📊 Strategy: Hold long positions with profit-taking targets at $117K, $131K, and $139K. Use $93K as a support level for risk management.
Bitcoin – Breakout Coming, But May Be a TrapBitcoin is trading within a well-defined bullish pennant structure on the 1H chart, with clear compression between a rising support and descending resistance. This pattern typically signals a continuation of the prior trend, but given the surrounding liquidity and recent FVG formation, the setup looks more nuanced. After a liquidity sweep earlier this session, price has rebounded and is currently respecting a newly formed 1H fair value gap within the pennant range.
Pennant Structure and Price Reaction
The consolidation is tight and clean, with buyers stepping in off the ascending trendline support. This area overlaps with a small FVG that has so far held as intraday support, suggesting active demand. Until this gap is violated, the structure remains intact and favors a breakout play to the upside. However, with a larger unmitigated FVG sitting just under 121,000 and a previous swing high forming a strong liquidity pool, the upside might be limited.
Buy Side Liquidity and Reversal Area
If price can push above the descending trendline, the next logical target is the buy side liquidity sitting around 120,800 to 121,200. That zone is also where sellers may step in, given it aligns with prior inefficiency and a probable stop hunt level. This makes it a high-probability reversal area. I expect price to take out that buy side before we get a meaningful shift lower again.
Displacement and FVG Reactions
Any clean displacement toward the upside, particularly into the 121k range, will be key to watch for rejection signs. Should we see rejection or an SFP at the liquidity zone, that would likely confirm the short-term top. At that point, I’d expect a return into the pennant or even a sweep of the trendline support again, setting up a deeper retracement.
Short-Term Expectations
In the immediate term, as long as price holds above the current FVG and trendline confluence, I expect Bitcoin to slowly grind higher and break out of the pennant. The objective is the liquidity above 120,800. Once that’s taken, I’ll be watching closely for signs of exhaustion or reversal patterns to get positioned short again.
Conclusion
Bitcoin is compressing within a bullish pennant and currently holding a fair value gap, suggesting bullish continuation in the short term. However, the real play may come after a sweep of the buy side liquidity near 121k, where I expect a bearish rejection and opportunity for downside positioning. The market structure remains neutral to bullish until that liquidity is tagged.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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BTC, zoom out!!!Based on your prediction that Bitcoin will change at a rate of 5% every year, the price of Bitcoin would be $124,709.55 in 2026, $151,585.24 in 2030, $193,465.44 in 2035, and $246,916.38 in 2040. Scroll down to view the complete table showing the predicted price of Bitcoin and the projected ROI for each year.
BTCUSDT pauses before the next big moveAfter a strong breakout in early July, BTCUSDT is now consolidating within a clear range between 116,000 and 120,000 USD. The price has repeatedly bounced from the bottom and faced rejection at the top, forming a well-defined sideways pattern on the H4 chart.
The EMA34 and EMA89 are providing solid support to this accumulation phase. If the 116,000 support zone holds and volume confirms, Bitcoin could resume its previous uptrend and aim for the 124,000 level.
At the moment, this looks like a “breather” zone before the market picks its next direction.
Personally, I’m still expecting another bullish leg—how about you?
BTCUSD As BTCUSD fell back to 118k, we’ve some good break of structure to the downside with some good momentum seen from the H4 timeframe. Could this be giving us some good bearish sentiment? Or it’s just one of the mini-fluctuations pullbacks as they accumulate enough orders to push the BTCUSD markets even higher.
BTCUSD What Next? BUY!
My dear friends,
Please, find my technical outlook for BTCUSD below:
The price is coiling around a solid key level - 11678
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Pivot Points High anticipates a potential price reversal.
Super trend shows a clear buy, giving a perfect indicators' convergence.
Goal - 11791
About Used Indicators:
The pivot point itself is simply the average of the high, low and closing prices from the previous trading day.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
BITCOIN Former Resistance turned Support!Bitcoin (BTCUSD) is consolidating right above the December 17 2024 Pivot trend-line, a level that started off as a massive Resistance delivering two strong rejections but has now been turned into Support, holding this consolidation.
The 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) will soon cross this Pivot trend-line and will confirm it as a Support with the price technically looking for a new Bullish Leg towards the 1.5 Fibonacci extension at least ($138000), similar to the April - May uptrend, which also consisted of an Accumulation Phase much like the current.
Can the Pivot trend-line provide the necessary support for such a rebound? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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Ethereum is Trending HigherSince April trough, Ethereum has risen by 179%, delivering a higher rate of return than Bitcoin at 66%. But most of our attention is on Bitcoin, breaking above the 120,000 level.
Why is Ethereum quietly gaining ground —and what does the future hold for Ethereum?
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BTCUSD – Bulls Still in Control After New ATH 🔸 After the new All-Time High printed 10 days ago, Bitcoin entered a consolidation phase. So far, the market looks healthy and seems to be waiting for a trigger to continue the uptrend.
🔸 A clear support zone has formed around 116k, and as long as this level holds, bulls remain in full control of the market.
📉 For short-term traders and speculators:
Buying dips near 117.5k could offer solid risk/reward setups, with a target around 125k in case of a breakout.
Let’s see if the market gives us the trigger we’re waiting for. 🚀
going lower or bouncing on resistance? market is respecting key support/resistance or channel boundaries. These points often become decision zones where big moves occur.
Signs this could be a fakeout:
BTC wicks above a resistance or below a support with little follow-through
Volume spikes only on the wick, then dies quickly
Price reverses back into the range soon after breaking it
If BTC recently broke a trendline with low volume, it smells like a trap move — a liquidity grab.
If it’s testing support again after failing to rally, and volume is increasing on red candles, a leg down is possible.
However, macro trend is still up unless we lose a major higher low (say, sub-$60k or sub-$56k depending on your chart).
BTCUSD support retest at 114,850 The BTCUSD remains in a bullish trend, with recent price action showing signs of a corrective pullback within the broader uptrend.
Support Zone: 114,850 – a key level from previous consolidation. Price is currently testing or approaching this level.
A bullish rebound from 114,850 would confirm ongoing upside momentum, with potential targets at:
122,900 – initial resistance
124,420 – psychological and structural level
126,250 – extended resistance on the longer-term chart
Bearish Scenario:
A confirmed break and daily close below 114,850 would weaken the bullish outlook and suggest deeper downside risk toward:
112,860 – minor support
110,825 – stronger support and potential demand zone
Outlook:
Bullish bias remains intact while the BTCUSD holds above 114,850. A sustained break below this level could shift momentum to the downside in the short term.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
key area for bullsif bulls cant hold this we're going to test previous range VAH which is 110k
holding this will need to reclaim VAL
if it rejects Range VAL as a bearish retest we may lose this area.
if VAH (which is a CME gapfill) wont hold (imo if we go this far down it will nuke) theres a likelyhood to 103k
Im bullish i think we reclaim here but thought is not edge.
for now we have decent oscilator data.
SP will be king here, if it will pump btc will pump also.
i longed here