BTCUSD trade ideas
Blood on The Bitcoin ArenaDidn't see it coming that fast, well it is what it is. Now that Bitcoin is getting to a point where the Daily is re-taking the confirmed downtrend direction and possibly the Weekly too (we'll know that in next 2 weeks) is TIME for a bounce from the 1hr pov. Bears still has power to push it down to the area of $74175- $72225 the bounce will be fast and short lived with $79535 max for its first bounce. Buckle up ladies and gentlemen lets make some money.
The market is shaking. But what is Bitcoin doing?Despite today's market turmoil, the crypto world remains somewhat calm with some minor drops across the major cryptocurrencies. At the time of analysis, CRYPTO:BTCUSD is moving slightly lower, but as if it is a regular day for it.
Let's dig in!
MARKETSCOM:BITCOIN
Let us know what you think in the comments below.
Thank you.
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BITCOIN is exactly where it's supposed to be.Bitcoin (BTCUSD) is under heavy pressure lately due to the trade tariffs but as long-term investors, we shouldn't let this volatility affect us.
The MVRV has been one of the most consistent cyclical Top (sell high) and Bottom (buy low) indicators giving only a maximum of two optimal signals in each Cycle and it shows that the market is nowhere near a Top.
On the contrary the MVRV has spend the first 3 months of the year correcting from the 0.382 Fibonacci level to the 0.236. This is the exact same score it had i March 2017. Even in the other two Cycles that wasn't this low on Fibonacci levels, it still made a correction, flashing a red signal.
As the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) continues to support, there are far more greater probabilities that the market will recover, turning the recent trade volatility into the best buy opportunity of 2025.
As far as a Cycle Top is concerned, it has always been an excellent exit signal when the MVRV hit the 0.786 Fib.
So do you think that will be the case? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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not conviced by the "recovery"As long as we haven’t bounced over that resistance, I won’t believe in a recovery.
Be ready for more downward movement
We're still in a vulnerable zone — until we get a confirmed breakout above resistance (preferably on strong volume and a successful retest), I see this as a technical bounce within a bearish structure
Bitcoin 1hr Update, Retrace To Continue HigherBitcoin from the 1hr pov will drop to the area between $78850 - $77555 to then bounce and continue higher but just to test the $82865 Res line, and as long as the Daily is in extended Bearish mode every bounce will be short lived to then continue lower until the Daily exits the Bearish mode.
Will BITCOIN prove to be resilient amidst this market crash??Bitcoin (BTCUSD) just hit its 1W MA50 (red trend-line) for the first time since September 06 2024, while completing the first 1D Death Cross since August 09 2024. This is a critical double combo development as last time those conditions emerged it was a bullish signal.
Despite the theoretically bearish nature of the Death Cross, the last one on 1D was formed just four days after the market's previous major long-term bottom of August 05 2024. That bottom was exactly on the level that the market hit today, the 1W MA50.
The 1W RSI sequences among the 2 fractals are identical and if it wasn't for the abysmal negative market fundamentals regarding the back-and-forth tariffs, that would be an automatic long-term buy entry, the 3rd on of this Bull Cycle.
The only condition we can technically rely on right now, amidst the stock market crash, is for the weekly candle to close above the 1W MA50, as it did on August 05 2024. In that case and of course if and only if the trade war gets under control (and/ or the Fed makes an urgent rate cut), we can expect a new long-term Bullish Leg to begin towards $150k and above.
Failure to address those concerns and a 1W candle close below the 1W MA50, can result into a stronger sell-off towards $50000 and the next long-term technical Support level of the August 05 2024 Low (49150). That would also be a major Support cluster as the 1W MA200 (gray trend-line) is just below that level (and holding since October 16 2023) and by the time of the drop, the market may test that as well.
So what do you think? Will BTC turn out to be resilient amidst this market crash or will it follow suit and decline towards $50k? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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MAJOR BULL RUN RALLY INCOMING !!! Starting From MAY 2025 !!!On Big Picture starting from 2020....
Inverse H & S was formed... after breakout we got pull back & then it started 8 months rally from September 2020 To April 2021.
Then after deep bear market, we got Inverse H&S... after breakout, we got pull back & then it started 8 months rally from September 2023 To April 2024.
Now. we got big H&S... after breakout, we are getting pull back & now we are almost near at support level of H&S. From around 74-66K region, reversal bull run rally is expected which will most probably start from next month ( May 2025) and around after 8 months (October-December) we would be roaming ATH around 300K !!! which tags exactly at major resistance line. By copy pasting 2021 rally's candles pattern on current scenario, we can see exactly how things are going to shape in upcoming months.
Lets Hope For The Best !!!
BTC to likely kiss the $74K - $69KBitcoin Market Analysis and Forecast
Bitcoin has retraced over 50% from its all-time high (ATH). Despite a rebound from the Fibonacci 50% level to its current price of $84,600, continued selling pressure could push BTC lower toward the Fibonacci 61.8% retracement zone, which lies between $74,000 and $69,000.
This potential pullback presents strategic entry points for long-term investors who have the patience to hold through market cycles.
Given the current market conditions, I will continue to accumulate using a Dollar-Cost Averaging (DCA) strategy to mitigate volatility and optimize long-term gains.
I will be monitoring the price action closely and providing further updates as the market develops.
BITCOIN SHORT FORECAST Q2 FY25im expecting price to reject my point of resistance and drive down lower to the price levels in red
it did make a nice set of higher highs but didnt break any structure on the daily you notice that the structure leading to my
resistance has gotten shorter indicating weakness (clearer on h4)
i made a post on the short as it hit 102k im just insighting
more shorts ahead when reversal idk
last post
dont miss the 500 follower giveaway
Bearish drop?The Bitcoin (BTC/USD) is rising towards the pivot which lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could drop to the 1st support which is a pullback support.
Pivot: 81,250.81
1st Support: 74,377.30
1st Resistance: 84,581.33
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Bitcoin - Are we there yet?Bullish weekly divergence
FBD of bullish expanding megaphone
On daily that double bottom area has positive divergence
Think we are at a good place.
May move slowly... then fast... as DXY looks like it may slowly go up this month. But there has been a lot or downside on the DXY the market hasn't seem to of priced in yet. So for prediction
DXY - up slowly for April while bitcoin also goes up
Down for May & June, finds low early July - end of bull run
Not financial advice.
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BTC at a Critical Inflection Point – Bulls vs. BearsBitcoin is currently trading around $77,644, sitting right between two major trendlines:
🟢 Long-Term Bullish Support – This green ascending trendline has held since late 2023, providing key support throughout BTC’s macro uptrend.
🔴 Medium-Term Bearish Resistance – The red descending trendline has capped price since the 2025 highs, forming a clear structure of lower highs.
We're now at a pivotal confluence zone where these two trendlines intersect. Price recently bounced off the green support, but it's struggling to decisively break above the red resistance.
🔍 Key Scenarios:
✅ Bullish Breakout:
A strong daily close above the red trendline could confirm bullish continuation.
Targets: $84K, GETTEX:92K , and potentially ATH breakout above $100K.
❌ Bearish Rejection:
Rejection at resistance may lead to a retest of the green trendline (~$74K).
A breakdown from there opens the door to GETTEX:64K –$60K, or even deeper pullbacks.
April 4 Bitcoin Bybit chart analysisHello
It's a Bitcoinguide.
If you have a "follower"
You can receive comment notifications on real-time travel routes and major sections.
If my analysis is helpful,
Please would like one booster button at the bottom.
Here is the Nasdaq 30-minute chart.
There are indicators released at 9:30 and 12:00.
First of all, Nasdaq reached a very important point on the chart
yesterday morning.
In a situation where there is no particular movement due to Trump's tariff policy,
it continues to flow downward.
As far as I remember, the US is a country with a lot of showmanship.
I've experienced it a lot while analyzing charts.
There are two indicators released today,
The Bollinger Band monthly central line touches on the chart + two indicators released,
so there is a very high possibility that Nasdaq will go up.
In the end, it's an action and a play on words to pick up and put down the ants,
and it won't be operated to the point where the US is destroyed.
Since there is a stop loss, we proceeded very aggressively.
As you can see, in the indicator announcement time zone,
the blue finger is short->long
or the red finger is long.
The rebound from the bottom is a condition for a sweep when looking at the chart upside down, so if successful, a surge can occur.
I just applied it to Bitcoin.
This is a 30-minute Bitcoin chart.
I marked the daily closing section for each flag,
and the purple flag on the far right is next Monday.
The purple finger on the lower left
is connected to the 81,404.4 dollar entry point yesterday, April 3.
Because it is touching the center line of the Bollinger Band 12-hour chart,
you need to hold on until 9 o'clock when additional candles are created to go up more.
*One-way long position strategy when the red finger moves
1. 83,568 dollar long position entry point / stop loss price when the green support line is broken
2. 86,871.5 dollar long position 1st target -> Top 2nd target
After that, target price in order.
If the strategy is successful, the 1st section that returns
You can use the long position re-entry section
The movement within the 1st section at the top and the 2nd section at the bottom is a sideways market.
If there is a crash in Nasdaq
It can drop below the bottom
And it can drop to 79.7K 3 times over the weekend, so please take note.
Up to this point, my analysis
Please just refer to and use it
I hope you operate safely with principle trading and stop loss prices.
You worked hard this week too.
Thank you.
Will the support zone keep BTC falling?BTC has once again bounced off the upper border of the downtrend channel. Here, it is worth remembering the long-formed gap around $74,500, which was closed during the last decline.
Here, you can see how the price fell into a strong support zone from $77,742 to $73,980, but if this zone is broken, we can again see a strong decline around also very strong resistance and the lower border of the channel at $68,590.
Looking the other way, you can see that the increases were stopped by the resistance zone from $84,000 to $86,700, only breaking out of this zone at the top will give the possibility of growth towards strong resistance at $94,300.
The RSI is still in the lower part of the range and is again heading towards the lower borders, but here the price has formed a lower low, which can still give another reaction.