BTCUSD trade ideas
BITCOIN STRATED FORMING BEARISH TREND STRUCTUREBITCOIN SHOWS SIGNS OF BEARISH REVERSAL – KEY LEVELS TO WATCH
After an extended bullish run, Bitcoin is now showing early signs of a potential trend reversal as the market begins forming a bearish structure. The formation of a lower low on the price chart indicates weakening bullish momentum and suggests that sellers may be gaining control. This development comes after a sustained upward trend, signaling that a corrective phase could be underway in the cryptocurrency market.
Bearish Confirmation: Lower Low Formation
The appearance of a lower low is one of the most reliable technical indicators of a trend reversal. This pattern demonstrates that bears are successfully pushing prices below previous support levels, establishing a new downward trajectory. While this doesn't necessarily confirm a long-term bear market, it does suggest that Bitcoin could face further downside pressure in the near term. Traders should watch for confirmation through follow-through selling or additional bearish candlestick patterns.
Downside Target: $99,000 in Focus
If the bearish momentum continues, Bitcoin could test the $99,000 support level in upcoming trading sessions. This level represents a psychologically important zone where buyers may attempt to step in. However, a decisive break below this support could accelerate declines, potentially leading to deeper corrections. Traders should monitor volume and price action around this level for signs of either consolidation or continuation of the downtrend.
Resistance Level: $12,000 as Key Barrier
On the upside, $12,000 now acts as a critical resistance level. Any short-term rallies toward this zone could attract renewed selling pressure, reinforcing the bearish outlook. For the current downtrend to be invalidated, Bitcoin would need to reclaim and sustain above this resistance with strong buying volume. Until then, traders may consider selling into strength near this level while maintaining tight risk management.
Market Outlook: Correction Expected After Prolonged Rally
Given Bitcoin's history of volatile price swings, this potential reversal should not come as a complete surprise after its extended bullish run. Market participants should watch for:
- Increasing trading volume on downward moves (confirming bearish conviction)
- Potential bearish continuation patterns (like descending triangles or flag formations)
- Macro factors that could influence crypto markets (regulatory news, ETF flows, or macroeconomic shifts)
Conclusion
Bitcoin appears to be entering a corrective phase, with $99,000 as the next key downside target and $12,000 serving as major resistance. While the broader uptrend may still be intact long-term, short-term traders should prepare for potential bearish continuation. As always, proper position sizing and stop-loss strategies remain crucial in navigating Bitcoin's inherent volatility. A break above $12,000 would require reassessment of the bearish outlook.
Last chance to make profit from BTC with buying positionBullish flag
Strong resistance breakout
2 bull points
Position trade spot buying
Bitcoin completing timecycle on oct 2025 after that it would be 4th time if market again crash for around 70%
Manage your risk in both future and spot trading
Note: NO analysis would 100% profitable trading is the game of probability and risk management so follow your trading plan with proper risk reward and win rate.
Turn off the noise. Listen to price. $XBTUSDFor me, BITMEX:BTCUSD.P is still in a bullish setup. If you are long, don't panic sell early yet. The signal to sell would be a break of my LIS which currently stands at 103703. If it makes new highs, it would be even more convincing that it wants to go higher ie. don't sell at new highs.
If a new high is made, i will be able to provide a min target to the upside. I will keep you updated.
Bitcoin Daily – Multi-Line Magnet in Play📊 Bitcoin Daily – Multi-Line Magnet in Play
Price, Time, and Structure Align
I’ve added a new trendline connecting the last two deep hits.
Technically, the second hit broke the old flag structure – but honestly, that’s not a real problem.
👉 The overall swing structure remains intact.
The new line now perfectly fits the current market rhythm.
What’s really interesting:
This new trendline converges exactly at the same magnetic zone I’ve been tracking – around 96,944 USD.
It aligns with the previous horizontal key level, the EMA projection, and the crosspoint I marked earlier.
This kind of multi-line confluence often acts like a price magnet.
👉 What I love about this setup:
If price really pushes into this zone, it would cleanly stab through the old flag structure – a typical panic trigger that shakes out many traders.
📌 Also worth noting: Another day has passed since my initial idea, and the current price action has technically proven that it’s possible to push lower.
The path to the target remains open.
👉 Stop-Loss Logic:
For this setup, the cold stop-loss sits just below the midline of the weekly Bollinger Band.
If this level gets broken, the overall structure is technically invalid.
But I wouldn’t place the stop directly on the midline – it’s smarter to give it a small buffer to survive potential liquidity sweeps.
Typically, this level doesn’t break cleanly on the first touch.
Let’s see how this plays out.
BTCUSD Bullish sideways consolidation supported at 101.780Trend Overview:
BTCUSD remains in a bullish trend, characterised by higher highs and higher lows. The recent intraday price action is forming a continuation consolidation pattern, suggesting a potential pause before a renewed move higher.
Key Technical Levels:
Support: 101,780 (primary pivot), followed by 100,380 and 98,184
Resistance: 109,170 (initial), then 111,600 and 114.140
Technical Outlook:
A pullback to the 101,780 level, which aligns with the previous consolidation zone, could act as a platform for renewed buying interest. A confirmed bounce from this support may trigger a continuation toward the next resistance levels at 109,170, 111,600, and ultimately 114,140.
Conversely, a daily close below 101,780 would suggest weakening bullish momentum. This scenario would shift the bias to bearish in the short term, potentially targeting 100.390 and 98,180 as downside levels.
Conclusion:
BTCUSD maintains a bullish structure while trading above the 101,780 support. A bounce from this level would validate the consolidation as a continuation pattern, with upside potential toward the 109,170 area. A breakdown below 101,780, however, would invalidate this view and suggest deeper corrective risk.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
BTC Shorts Into Q3 | Monthly + Half-Year Candle PressureWe’re entering a pivotal window on the Bitcoin chart, the monthly close, Q2 close, and 6-month candle all lining up. This kind of macro convergence rarely goes unnoticed by the market and often marks major structural shifts.
BTC has failed multiple times to break through key highs, and with momentum fading into this close, I’m leaning short heading into Q3. Even if price wants to trend higher later this year, I expect that move to begin from a deeper wick, not from the top of the current range.
I’m watching the 103K level closely. A break below it could trigger a swift drop toward 95K, possibly lower depending on how the new monthly opens and reacts. That would line up with the idea of a strong lower wick forming on the new 3M or 6M candle.
This isn't a long-term macro short, just a high R setup where structure, timing, and context are aligning. I believe this move starts today or very soon. The next few candles will speak volumes.
Bitcoin ConsolidatesBitcoin is currently consolidating just below a clear descending trendline, showing a series of lower highs since its recent local top near $112,000. Price is hovering around $106,300, holding just above key horizontal support at ~$105,800. This level coincides with the 50-day moving average (blue), which is currently acting as dynamic support.
So far, Bitcoin has respected the ~$100,700 level as major support after the mid-June shakeout. As long as price remains above that zone and holds the 50 MA, the bullish structure remains intact despite the short-term lower highs. But the more price compresses beneath the descending resistance, the more likely we see a breakout (or breakdown) soon.
The 200-day moving average (red) is well below current price action, hovering near $95,000. That’s a long way down and would likely only be tested if broader market conditions deteriorate significantly.
Volume is tapering, suggesting traders are waiting for a decisive move. A break above the descending trendline and reclaim of $110,000+ would invalidate the current short-term downtrend and likely bring $112,000 and new highs into view. A loss of $105,800, on the other hand, puts $100,700 back in play – and below that, things could get ugly quickly.
For now, the trend is neutral within a broader uptrend. The bulls are holding the line – but just barely
Bitcoin is bullish now & many Traders don't see it !!!I currently expect the price to correct slightly, as indicated on the chart, and then pump by about 6% from the PRZ . This signal is reinforced by strong positive divergence and a wedge pattern. In summary, the PRZ is a solid entry point, derived from the confluence of touchlines and pivots. However, if the price ignores this zone and falls below it, my analysis will be invalidated.
Best regards CobraVanguard.💚
June 30 Bitcoin Bybit chart analysisHello
This is Bitcoin Guide.
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If my analysis was helpful,
Please click the booster button at the bottom.
This is the Bitcoin 30-minute chart.
There is no separate indicator announcement today.
The weekly and daily charts are being adjusted at the same time as they are created.
The strategy was carried out based on the Nasdaq pattern and the Tether dominance pattern.
The long position entry section on the 25th, $106,746, was connected as is.
*When the blue finger moves,
It is a two-way neutral
short->long switching or long waiting strategy.
1. $108,138.1 short position entry section / stop loss price when orange resistance line is broken
2. $107,507.9 long position switching / stop loss price when green support line is broken
3. $108,507.9 long position 1st target -> Good 2nd target price
You can also use the long position re-entry indicated in the middle.
If it comes down right away without touching the short entry section at the top,
it is a long waiting strategy at the gap section of 107,102.7 dollars,
and the stop loss price is the same.
And, if it succeeds in rebounding within the purple support line today,
the reason it is safe from a long position is
because the low point of the weekly and daily candles created this week is maintained without additional deviation.
Please note that the 1st section at the bottom is a sideways market / the 2nd section is open up to the bottom.
Please use my analysis article so far only for reference and use,
and I hope you operate safely with the principle trading and stop loss price.
Thank you.
BTC/USD Short Setup – Breakdown from Bear Flag Edge🚀||| 👆Your Boost is appreciated in Advance👆 |||🚀
Thesis: Bitcoin is trading within a well-defined descending channel, potentially forming a bear flag on the higher time frame. Price is currently hovering just below the key resistance zone near $108,600 (“The Edge”), failing to reclaim the upper boundary of the flag.
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Entry: 🔻 Short at $106,850 – Price is rejecting the upper channel resistance and failing to break above “The Edge”
Stop-Loss: 🔺 $109,000 – Above the recent swing high and invalidation of the flag structure
Take-Profit 1: ✅ $104,700 🎯
Take-Profit 2: ✅ $102,400 🎯
Optional extended:
TP4: $98,000 – Full measured move of the flag breakdown
Risk-Reward Ratio: ~1:1 to 1:4 depending on target
====================================================================
#MJTrading
#BTCUSD #Bitcoin #CryptoTrading #ShortSetup #BearFlag #TechnicalAnalysis #PriceAction #MarketStructure #SwingTrade #TradingView
BTCUSD – Major Decision Point at The Edge📍 By: MJTrading |||
Bitcoin has rallied sharply from ~$98K and is now testing a critical confluence zone — the top of the descending channel and a strong supply area, known as "The Edge."
EMAs are turning up, supporting bullish momentum
⏳ What’s Next?
At this stage, two scenarios emerge:
⚠️ This is a make-or-break zone:
🟩 Breakout above the channel signals trend reversal → next resistance: $111K
🟨 Rejection leads to a move back to the $103K or $100K levels
This setup offers a high-RR opportunity for both breakout traders and mean reversion players.
🧠 Trade the reaction at the edge, not the prediction.
Thanks for your attention...
Share your thoughts...
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Title: BTC Rejected at Channel Top – Downside Risk BuildsText:
Bitcoin is showing signs of rejection from the top of the descending channel near the 109k region. With selling pressure increasing and price struggling to break higher, there’s a strong probability of a downward move. If support around 106k fails, BTC could revisit previous lows and potentially head toward the sub-1M zone ("Azad"). Caution is advised as the market may be preparing for another bearish wave.
BTCUSD: $150,000 on a repetitive pattern.Bitcoin is neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 54.823, MACD = 486.400, ADX = 23.402) possibly going through the last consolidation before the next breakout to a new ATH. The whole 2023-2025 Bull Cycle has been on a repetitive pattern, bottoming on the HL Zone and peaking on the HH trendline, while forming clear wave structures. According to this, the next HH should be around 150,000 (TP).
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Bitcoin’s Breathing Zone – Watching for a Natural Snap Setup📊 Bitcoin Daily – Probabilistic Swing in Play
Tracking the Snap Zone & Energy Reset
I’m watching a probabilistic swing scenario on Bitcoin where the price might need to dive into the 100k - 101k zone to build enough energy for the next major move.
The key area I’m tracking is the EMA 200 on the daily chart (~95k - 97k).
This would be the natural deep target if the price sweeps lower. The EMA 200 often acts as a long-term support where markets "reset" and gather strength.
👉 It’s also worth noting: Institutional traders traditionally view the daily EMA 200 as a key buy zone in an overall bullish market structure.
That’s where many large players reload positions, aiming to ride the next expansion wave.
What I’m expecting:
A retracement into 100k - 101k to snap the short EMAs together.
A potential liquidity sweep below the EMA 100, possibly down to the EMA 200 zone.
Key bullish signals: wick rejections, strong bounce candles, and engulfing patterns on the 4h or daily.
This would set up the energy for a clean bounce and a probable move towards the upper yellow trendline around 124k.
Without this deeper retracement, the move would likely run out of steam earlier, probably capping out around 112k.
I trade probabilistic scenarios based on natural price swings, EMA wave dynamics, and energy compression zones.
📌 Chart and path idea attached.
What’s your view? Are you watching this zone?
Bitcoin’s Breathing Zone – Watching for a Natural Snap Setup📊 Bitcoin Daily – Probabilistic Swing Scenario
I’m closely watching a probabilistic swing setup based on natural price oscillations and EMA wave dynamics.
The current structure suggests that Bitcoin could need a deeper retracement to the 100k - 102k zone to allow the short-term EMAs to snap together just above the 55 EMA.
This is typically where the market builds energy for significant moves.
I've highlighted this potential snap zone and the expected price flow in the chart.
If the price compresses in this area, it could trigger a move towards the upper yellow trendline around 124k.
A clean pullback followed by EMA clustering is usually the kind of natural swing that opens the door for explosive price action.
From there, a retest around 108k - 110k would not only be healthy – it would likely serve as the launchpad for a possible extension towards the macro target zone of 160k - 180k.
I trade probabilistic scenarios based on natural market rhythms, EMA waves, and energy compression zones.
What’s your view on this? Are you tracking a similar path?