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BTCUSD trade ideas

BTCUSD 7/4/2025Come Tap into the mind of SnipeGoat, as he gives you a Market Breakdown of Bitcoins current Price Action here on Independence Day! It's all about reading the Candles that the market presents, to determine what Price is doing & ultimately going to do. _SnipeGoat_ _TheeCandleReadingGURU_ #PriceAction #MarketStructure #TechnicalAnalysis #Bearish #Bullish #Bitcoin #Crypto #BTCUSD #Forex #NakedChartReader #ZEROindicators #PreciseLevels #ProperTiming #PerfectDirection #ScalpingTrader #IntradayTrader #DayTrader #SwingTrader #PositionalTrader #HighLevelTrader #MambaMentality #GodMode #UltraInstinct #TheeBibleStrategy
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by TheeSnipeGoat
Btc will test 112 next! With some simple technical analysis I wouldn’t be confident calling in bottom but at this time I’m hedging with a short to take small profits and transfer it into spot for more BTC!! There is a FVG on a daily chart and for now on1H we can see certain resistance. RSI is relatively strong heading to neutral making me believe we may call this bottom for now. Smart money (institutional) has eaten BTC supply and just recently 7 dormant wallets are moving money. Something big may be brewing. Be careful out there.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by SpeFab
2
July 3 Bitcoin Bybit chart analysis Hello This is Bitcoin Guide. If you "follow" You can receive real-time movement paths and comment notifications on major sections. If my analysis was helpful, Please click the booster button at the bottom. Here is the Bitcoin 30-minute chart. There will be a Nasdaq index announcement at 9:30 and 11:00 in a little while. I created today's strategy based on the Nasdaq pattern and Tether dominance vertical decline conditions. *One-way long position strategy when the red finger moves 1. $109,838 long position entry point / stop loss price when the purple support line is broken 2. $111,549.7 long position 1st target -> Great 2nd target The 1st section at the top and the 2nd section at the bottom are sideways sections. Even if the strategy fails, if the green support line is not broken, it is good for a long position. Below that Bottom -> Please note that it is open up to 107,841.4 dollars Up to this point, I ask that you simply use my analysis for reference and use only I hope that you operate safely with principle trading and stop loss prices. Thank you.
BYBIT:BTCUSD.PLong
by BitCoinGuide
Bitcoin: 170k–180k?If you find this information inspiring/helpful, please consider a boost and follow! Any questions or comments, please leave a comment! Bitcoin: 170k to 180k? Let’s talk bias. We’ve seen a powerful move off the 75k low, and it’s hitting some markers of a potential wave 1 impulse. If that structure holds and price doesn’t come back to wipe out the lows in a wave 2 retracement, then this is what we’d be looking at. The idea? This is a conservative roadmap built off Elliott Wave Fibonacci projections and it targets the 170k to 180k zone. Now, let’s be clear. This is a conservative projection. We’re not talking hopium fueled 250k moon targets here. We have no proof of that yet. We're anchoring the wave count and saying: if this is a 1, we’re due a 2, and then a 3 takes us to the upper levels. But there’s a catch. Always is. If price starts to fade back through the 91.8k area in a deep aggressive retrace, this roadmap gets less likely. Breaking the 75k pivot means the impulse structure failed or was misread, and we shift the count. Until then, the 170k–180k level is a possible destination based on this roadmap. Trade Safe! Trade Clarity!
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by CryptoKnee
2
BTCUSD UPDATE MARKET This is a 2-hour BTC/USD (Bitcoin to US Dollar) chart showing a bearish projection after a consolidation phase. Here's a breakdown of the analysis: --- 🔍 Current Price: 107,549 USD Up +1.74%, suggesting a recent bullish push — likely a short-term rally. --- 🧠 Technical Zones & Forecast: 1. Resistance Zone (~107,500–109,000): This area has been tested multiple times. The dotted arrow from this level suggests a projected reversal, possibly forming a lower high. 2. First Demand/Support Zone (~104,800–105,200): Shallow support. If broken, it may confirm the start of a deeper correction. 3. Second Demand Zone (~101,500–102,800): More robust support. Could serve as a bounce zone or long-entry area. 4. Third Major Demand Zone (~97,500–99,000): Strong long-term support; a bearish target if momentum increases. --- 🧭 Directional Bias: The dotted line shows a bearish trajectory with targets at 104.9k, 102.8k, and potentially 99k. The price action reflects a distribution range at the top, hinting at potential markdown phase starting soon. --- ✅ Conclusion: Short-term bullish, but showing signs of weakness near resistance. Watch for rejection around 108k–109k to confirm the bearish move. Breakdown below 104.9k would accelerate downside toward 102.8k and 99k. Let me know if you'd like entry/exit signals or stop-loss suggestions based on this outlook.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by Mr_Zakrii
BTC? and It's alliance.. I have this knowledge will like to share: Use it caveat emptor Okay. US30 and BTC correlate 1:2 approximately. If US30 moved 10% BTC will move 20% I will plot from the bottom till now (example) and get the % for US30 Then will double that % from bottom for BTC This is no mean a crystal ball, but it gives a sense of confidence. You will then be on a lookout in BTC for?? Whatever you like / preference on BULLISH SIDE; fav pattern bla bla.. All the best. Do your own research. I am not guru. NB/ May you will bless with abundance
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by reazosman
Break-Out Bros vs. Range Followers – will BTC rip?Bitcoin just kissed the channel roof at 109–110 k. Same line has stuffed every rally since April, so 112 k on a daily close is the whole story: print it and we leave the dungeon. Under the hood the bulls finally have ammo – price back above the 50-day, bands squeezed, volume upticking, RSI mid-50s. Enough spark to torch shorts if resistance snaps. Range Followers aren’t sweating. Their cash machine is simple: dump 110 k, scoop 100 k. Holiday liquidity = fake-out heaven. Slip under 105 k and gravity drags us straight to that comfy demand couch. So it’s binary: close over 112 k, momentum fires toward 118 k; fail, and we ping-pong in the box again. Pick a side, slap on a stop, and remember: Bitcoin’s favourite sport is humiliating whichever crowd screams loudest.
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by simplejoe
2
BTC – Holding or Rolling?BTC has pushed up from the late June low and is now testing the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement zone from the prior downswing. Price is currently sitting around 109.5K–110K, directly in a high-confluence rejection area. This level aligns with the top of the recent range, 78.6% retracement, Bollinger Band resistance, and the zone where the last breakdown began. While the move resembles a double bottom or W-pattern on first glance, structure invalidates the bullish case: The second low was lower than the first, breaking symmetry. The second high is still lower than the June high near 111.9K. RSI made a lower high while price made a higher high — classic momentum divergence. Volume has not increased meaningfully on the bounce, suggesting a lack of strong buyer commitment. Until BTC reclaims and holds above 111.9K on strong volume, this looks like a lower high inside a broader downtrend. Short Setup Thesis Entry Zone: 109.5K–110.5K (zone of rejection, aligned with 78.6% Fib and prior supply) Stop Loss Zone: Above 112K–113K (a full reclaim of prior highs would invalidate the setup) Target Zones: TP1: 102K–100K (local support range and prior consolidation area) TP2: 97K–95K (Fibonacci cluster and volume shelf) TP3: 91K–88K (structure low and potential sweep zone) Break Trigger / Confirmation: A daily close below 106K–105K would confirm bearish continuation. Weak retests into this zone would provide additional short entry opportunities.
BINANCE:BTCUSD
by Apedapp
Navigating BTC the Volatile Path to a Potential $117,000 PeakBitcoin at a Crossroads: Navigating the Volatile Path to a Potential $117,000 Peak Introduction: A Tale of Two Forces The world of Bitcoin is once again a theater of high drama. After a breathtaking surge that brought the digital asset tantalizingly close to its all-time high, the market now stands at a pivotal crossroads, caught in a tense tug-of-war between powerful bullish undercurrents and formidable macroeconomic headwinds. On one side, a confluence of unprecedented institutional adoption, potent on-chain signals, and a volatile derivatives market suggests an imminent price explosion. Analysts and investors whisper of a short-term upper bound of $117,000, with some seeing a potential tap of $116,000 as early as July amid a ‘perfect storm’ of macro catalysts. A move to this level would represent a significant 6.45% jump from Bitcoin’s recent price, a leap that seems entirely within reach when viewed through the lens of the asset's internal momentum. Yet, on the other side stands the unyielding wall of global economic reality. Bitcoin’s recent attempt to decisively conquer the $110,000 level was swiftly reversed as strong U.S. jobs data and other factors tempered expectations of a near-term Federal Reserve rate cut. This macroeconomic reality has cast a long shadow over risk assets, including Bitcoin, creating significant resistance at the previous all-time high of around $112,000. Analysts point to an absence of new, retail-driven buyers and the kind of "FOMO-driven greed" that characterized previous bull runs as a key factor pinning the price down. This creates a fascinating and high-stakes dichotomy. The very structure of the Bitcoin market has undergone a "paradigm shift," with institutional exchange-traded funds (ETFs) providing a steady, relentless stream of demand. At the same time, the asset remains tethered to the decisions of central bankers and the health of the global economy. This article will delve into the intricate layers of this conflict, exploring the powerful bull case built on on-chain data and market structure, the sobering macroeconomic headwinds, the psychological barrier of the all-time high, and the long-term predictions that see Bitcoin potentially reaching $200,000. As the market braces for pivotal events like the upcoming Jackson Hole Economic Symposium, the question on every investor's mind is which of these two powerful forces will ultimately dictate Bitcoin's next monumental move. The Bull Case: A Cauldron of On-Chain and Derivatives Strength Bitcoin’s impressive rally was not a random speculative whim; it was underpinned by a bedrock of strong on-chain and technical signals that paint a compelling picture of underlying market health and explosive potential. These indicators, which provide a transparent view into the blockchain’s activity, suggest that the current price action is just the beginning. On-Chain Analysis: The Blockchain's Transparent Ledger On-chain analysis is the practice of examining the public and immutable data on a blockchain to understand the behavior of network participants. Unlike traditional financial markets, where investor actions are opaque, Bitcoin’s ledger allows for a granular assessment of transaction volumes, wallet balances, and investor profitability, offering a data-driven glimpse into market sentiment. Two of the most powerful on-chain metrics in this context are the Market Value to Realized Value (MVRV) ratio and the Spent Output Profit Ratio (SOPR). The MVRV ratio is a fundamental valuation tool that compares Bitcoin's total market capitalization to its "realized capitalization." While market cap is the current price multiplied by all coins in circulation, realized cap values each coin at the price it was last moved on-chain. Essentially, MVRV compares the current market price to the average cost basis of all investors. A high MVRV ratio suggests the market is overheated, while a ratio below 1.0 signifies that the average investor is underwater, a condition often seen at market bottoms. The Spent Output Profit Ratio (SOPR) offers a more immediate look at market behavior by analyzing the profitability of transactions occurring on the network. It is calculated by dividing the sale price of a Bitcoin by the price it was last acquired. • When SOPR is greater than 1, it means that, on average, coins being sold are in profit. • When SOPR is less than 1, it means coins are being sold at a loss. • A SOPR value of 1 acts as a critical psychological level. In bull markets, the market often "bounces" off this line, as investors are reluctant to sell at a loss, creating strong support. The Derivatives Market: Funding Rates and the Looming Short Squeeze Beyond the blockchain itself, the cryptocurrency derivatives market provides another layer of bullish sentiment. This market is dominated by perpetual futures contracts, which use a funding rate mechanism to stay tethered to the spot price. • Positive Funding Rate: When the futures price is higher than the spot price, longs pay shorts, indicating dominant bullish sentiment. • Negative Funding Rate: When the spot price is higher than the futures price, shorts pay longs, indicating dominant bearish sentiment. Paradoxically, a deeply negative funding rate can be an extremely bullish contrarian indicator. A crucial historical precedent exists: Bitcoin price rallied 80% the last time BTC funding rates flipped red. When funding rates are negative, it means a large number of traders are shorting the market. If the price begins to rise against them, these short sellers must buy back Bitcoin to close their positions and limit their losses. This forced buying can trigger a "short squeeze." A large cluster of potential short liquidations has been identified near the $111,320 level, with an estimated $520.31 million in leveraged positions at risk. If the price can push through this zone, it could trigger a cascade of liquidations, providing the fuel to accelerate Bitcoin’s next leg higher into price discovery. This mechanism represents one of the most powerful potential catalysts for a rapid move toward the $116K-$117K target. The Macroeconomic Maelstrom: A "Perfect Storm" of Headwinds While Bitcoin’s internal metrics flash green, its path is being obstructed by a formidable storm of macroeconomic factors. In today's interconnected financial world, no asset is immune to the policies of central banks. The recent reversal from the push beyond $110,000 is a stark reminder of this reality, as markets began to discount the odds of the Federal Reserve lowering interest rates. The Federal Reserve and Interest Rate Jitters For the past several years, the price of Bitcoin has been highly correlated with monetary policy. A policy of low interest rates generally creates a favorable environment for assets like Bitcoin by lowering the opportunity cost of holding them compared to bonds or savings accounts. Conversely, a period of monetary tightening—characterized by higher interest rates—has a negative effect on Bitcoin's price. The market's sensitivity to this was on full display when strong U.S. economic data reinforced the case for keeping rates "higher for longer" to contain inflation. This immediately took the wind out of Bitcoin’s sails and halted the rally. An unexpected rate cut, however, could send Bitcoin back toward its all-time high of $112,000. All Eyes on Jackson Hole This brings into focus the immense importance of the Jackson Hole Economic Symposium. This annual conference is a crucial event where central bankers from around the globe discuss pressing economic issues and signal future policy directions. Speeches from key figures, particularly the Federal Reserve Chair, are scrutinized by global markets for clues about the future of monetary policy. The anticipation surrounding the event highlights its high stakes for risk assets. Market participants will be listening for any hint of a dovish pivot (a signal that rate cuts are back on the table) or a hawkish stance (a reinforcement of the "higher for longer" narrative). • A dovish signal could be the catalyst that reignites Bitcoin's rally by weakening the dollar and sending risk assets soaring. • A hawkish signal, on the other hand, could reinforce the current headwinds, potentially leading to a deeper correction for Bitcoin. The Great Wall of $112K: Why All-Time Highs Are Hard to Break Every seasoned market participant knows that previous all-time highs (ATHs) are not just numbers on a chart; they are formidable psychological barriers. For Bitcoin, the level around $112,000 represents this wall. Breaking through it requires immense momentum, and the current struggle to do so is explained by a critical missing ingredient: widespread, retail-driven Fear of Missing Out (FOMO). The Psychology of an All-Time High An ATH represents a point of maximum financial opportunity and maximum regret. This creates a powerful and complex dynamic: 1. Profit-Taking: Long-term holders and traders who bought at lower prices see the ATH as a prime opportunity to realize their gains. 2. Break-Even Selling: Investors who bought at or near the previous peak may be eager to sell as soon as their position returns to break-even. 3. Hesitation from New Buyers: For new investors, buying at an all-time high feels inherently risky, leading to hesitation. Overcoming this selling pressure requires a massive wave of new demand, a force often fueled by pure, unadulterated FOMO. The Absence of FOMO-Driven Greed FOMO, or the "Fear of Missing Out," is the force that turns a rally into a parabolic ascent, characterized by a surge in retail interest and media saturation. Analysts suggest that a key reason Bitcoin can’t break the $112K all-time high is the absence of new buyers and FOMO-driven greed. While there have been spikes in retail enthusiasm, the kind of euphoric mania seen at the peak of previous cycles has yet to fully materialize in 2025. Without that surge of irrational exuberance, there may not be enough buying pressure to absorb the natural selling that occurs at an all-time high, creating a stalemate. The Paradigm Shift: How Institutional ETFs Changed the Game While the lack of retail FOMO explains the resistance at the all-time high, the very reason Bitcoin reached this level so quickly is due to a fundamental, game-changing development: the approval and launch of spot Bitcoin Exchange-Traded Funds (ETFs) in the United States. This event represents a true "paradigm shift" in market structure, providing a powerful counterbalance to the whims of retail sentiment. A spot Bitcoin ETF directly holds Bitcoin and allows investors to gain exposure through traditional brokerage accounts, dramatically simplifying the investment process. This has had a revolutionary impact: 1. Accessibility and Legitimacy: ETFs have democratized access to Bitcoin for a massive new audience and conferred a new level of legitimacy on the asset class. 2. Unlocking Institutional Capital: Most importantly, ETFs created a regulated pathway for institutional investors to allocate capital to Bitcoin. The impact has been staggering, with massive ETF inflows directly fueling Bitcoin's price appreciation. In a recent two-month period, for instance, U.S.-based spot Bitcoin ETFs recorded nearly $10 billion in inflows. This is not the fickle demand of a retail FOMO cycle; it is the steady, calculated allocation of capital from major financial players, providing a strong floor for the price. Gazing into the Crystal Ball: Near and Long-Term Price Horizons With these conflicting forces shaping the market, analysts are looking at both short-term technical targets and long-term fundamental models to chart a potential path forward. Short-Term Targets: The Path to $117,000 The immediate upper bound for Bitcoin is pegged by many analysts at $117,000, with some suggesting a move to $116K in July is possible. This target is derived from a combination of technical analysis, historical seasonal trends, and the potential for a short squeeze. A decisive break above the $112,000 all-time high would clear the path for a rapid move toward this level. The Long-Term Vision: A $200,000 Call Looking further ahead, some of the most bullish predictions from institutional players call for Bitcoin to hit $200,000 by the end of 2025. This forecast is not based on short-term chart patterns but on a fundamental assessment of supply and demand in this new era. The reasoning is that there is simply too much institutional demand to keep prices flat for long, a trend driven by the continued success of spot Bitcoin ETFs and growing regulatory clarity. Interestingly, this bullish institutional sentiment for Bitcoin is not always extended to other major cryptocurrencies. Some outlooks are less confident that assets like Ethereum (ETH) and Solana (SOL) will hit new all-time highs this year. Challenges such as network reliability issues and the lack of similar institutional products are cited as reasons for a more tempered outlook on these other assets. This suggests a potential future where Bitcoin's performance decouples from the broader altcoin market, driven primarily by its unique status as an institutional-grade digital asset. Conclusion: The Great Tension and the Path Forward Bitcoin's current market position is one of profound tension. In the world of its own blockchain and market structure, the signals are bullish. A new era of institutional demand, evidenced by billions flowing into spot ETFs, has created a paradigm shift. This is reinforced by a derivatives market primed for a potential short squeeze. However, Bitcoin does not exist in a vacuum. It is also a participant in the broader financial ecosystem, where a hawkish Federal Reserve has put a damper on risk-on sentiment. This macroeconomic resistance is amplified by the psychological barrier of the all-time high, where natural profit-taking meets the absence of the retail-driven FOMO that defined past cycles. The resolution of this conflict will define the next chapter for Bitcoin. A catalyst could come from the Jackson Hole Symposium, a sudden acceleration in ETF inflows, or a shift in the macroeconomic landscape. What is certain is that Bitcoin is no longer just a retail phenomenon; it is a maturing asset on the global stage, navigating a complex interplay of internal strength and external pressures. Whether it reaches $117,000 in the coming months or faces a setback, its journey will be a masterclass in the collision of technology, finance, and human psychology.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by bryandowningqln
Bitcoin Awaits Breakout Above $114K🪙 Current Price: ~$109,500 📈 Trend: Bullish but facing strong resistance at $114,000 📉 Support: $106,000–$107,000 📌 Outlook: Breakout above $114K could lead to $130K+. Otherwise, possible pullback to $106K. 📊 Key Drivers: ETF inflows, Fed rate cut expectations, weak USD. 💡 Strategy: 🔺 Buy: $107,000 – $107,500 → TP $114,000 | SL $106,000 🔻 Sell (take profit): $114,000 – $115,000 → SL if closes below $112,000
OANDA:BTCUSDLong
by Mian-FXSignals