Weekly Close Watch: Bitcoin’s Key Level Could Shift the ChartsGood morning, Guys
There's only 1 day and 13 hours left until the weekly Bitcoin candle closes.
It's crucial that this candle closes above the 112,331 level with strong volume. Anyone experienced in economics and technical analysis knows just how significant this is.
If we get that close above the level, I’ll share a powerful analysis with a clear target.
I want to sincerely thank everyone who’s been supporting my analyses with likes—your support is
my biggest source of motivation when it comes to sharing content.
Much love to you all—we’re more than just a community, we’re a family. 💛
BTCUSD trade ideas
Shorting Isn’t the Problem. Being a Psycho Bear Is.😵💫🪓 Shorting Isn’t the Problem. Being a Psycho Bear Is. 🔻📉
Hollywood is never wrong:
The genius from The Big Short is the psycho from American Psycho .
Same actor (C. Bale) — two sides of the same trader.
🎭 I made this chart because I see this often on TradingView:
People who prefer to short. Hoping for collapse.
Even Rooting for war. To Celebrating blood short profit.
Perma-bears who hate seeing price go up because they missed the trade.
Let’s be real — that’s not trading.
That’s emotional self-destruction masked as 'strategy'.
We just saw over $1B in shorts liquidated as Bitcoin ripped through $118K.
And still — some refuse to let go of their bias.
This chart says it all:
🔹 The "Smart Bear" — does research, uses structure, trades what’s real.
🔻 The "Psycho Bear" — needs things to collapse, just to feel right.
💔 And here’s the truth I want to share with you today:
If you catch yourself unable to celebrate others making money ,
If you feel angry when price pumps and you missed it,
If you’re wishing for collapse or chaos just so you feel seen...
Something’s off. That’s not trading. That’s pain talking.
Buying is more than just a trade — it’s hope , it’s optimism , it’s love .
Being bullish is an act of belief in the future.
And yes — we sometimes need to short. We do it with clarity.
But I’m a bull who sometimes must go short. Not a bear who wants the world to burn.
“We go long. We go short. But we never go blind.”
📉 Don’t let bitterness guide your charts.
📈 Let discipline, structure — and a bit of heart — guide you instead.
One Love,
The FXPROFESSOR 💙
⚠️ Disclosure:
Disclosure: I am happy to be part of the Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Awesome broker, where the trader really comes first! 🌟🤝📈
BITCOIN Entering Cyclical Profit Zone. Risk should be limited.Bitcoin (BTCUSD) has just entered the first level of the Logarithmic Growth Curve (LGC) Resistance Zone, which is the light pink band. The Top of the previous Cycle was priced at the top of the band just above this.
In fact every BTC Cycle had this as the 'Profit taking Zone'. The market marginally touched that also within December 2024 - January 2025 but got rejected, almost in similar fashion as January 2021, which was a Double Top approach of the peak formation during the previous Cycle.
This Cycle Top is expected to be within October - November 2025, so we call this the 'Profit Taking Zone' for a reason. Risk exposure from now on should be getting more and more limited. Peak range (depending of the nature of aggression of potential Rate Cuts in September) could be anywhere within $140 - 200k.
Do you think this is the time to start limiting BTC exposure, perhaps moving some of the huge profits to alts? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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Bitcoin - Power of 3 in play!The chart illustrates a classic application of the ICT concept known as the "Power of 3," a theory that outlines a common market behavior pattern consisting of three phases: consolidation, manipulation, and distribution. This model is often used by smart money traders to identify points where institutional players may be accumulating or offloading positions, typically by targeting retail liquidity.
Consolidation
In this scenario, Bitcoin has exhibited a prolonged period of consolidation, where price fluctuated within a defined range throughout most of June and into early July. This range-bound movement, highlighted in blue, represents the market gathering orders from both buyers and sellers, creating a liquidity pool on either side of the range. During this phase, market participants become uncertain about the next direction, while smart money positions itself for the next move.
Manipulation/sweeping liquidity
Recently, Bitcoin has broken out of this consolidation range in an upward move, which is now being interpreted as the manipulation phase. This move served to sweep the liquidity resting just above the established highs of the range. These highs were prime areas for stop-losses of short sellers and breakout entries of longs, making them attractive targets for institutional manipulation. The price push above this level, marked in green, appears to be a false breakout designed to trap breakout traders and trigger stops before a likely reversal.
Possible distribution phase
Following this manipulation phase, the chart suggests we are entering or have just begun the distribution phase, marked in red. Distribution in the context of the Power of 3 refers to the process where smart money offloads their positions onto unsuspecting buyers who entered during the manipulation. The anticipated outcome is a sustained move to the downside, aligning with the forecasted bearish structure shown on the right side of the chart.
Conclusion
In conclusion, the chart reflects a textbook ICT Power of 3 pattern in play on Bitcoin. After a lengthy period of sideways consolidation that built liquidity on both sides, Bitcoin executed an upward manipulation to capture liquidity above the range. Now, with the highs swept and buy-side liquidity taken, the market looks poised for distribution, signaling a probable downward move in the near term. Traders familiar with smart money concepts would view this as a high-probability reversal zone.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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Are we on Super Bullish Express Highway ? Elliott Waves RoadmapHello friends,
Welcome to RK_Chaarts
Today we're attempting to analyze Bitcoin's chart, specifically the BTCUSD chart, from an Elliott Wave perspective. Looking at the monthly timeframe chart, which spans the entire lifetime of Bitcoin's data since 2011, we can see the overall structure. According to Elliott Wave theory, it appears that a large Super Cycle degree Wave (I) has completed, followed by a correction in the form of Super Cycle degree Wave (II), marked in blue.
Now, friends, it's possible that we're unfolding Super Cycle degree Wave (III), which should have five sub-divisions - in red I, II, III, IV, & V. We can see that we've completed red I & II, and red III has just started. If the low we marked in red II doesn't get breached on the lower side, it can be considered our invalidation level.
Next, within red III, we should see five primary degree sub-divisions in black - ((1)), ((2)), ((3)), ((4)) & ((5)). We can see that we've completed black ((1)) & ((2)) and black ((3)) has just started. Within black ((3)), we should see five intermediate degree sub-divisions in blue - (1) to (5). Blue (1) has just started, and within blue one, we've already seen red 1 & 2 completed, and red 3 is in progress.
So, we're currently in a super bullish scenario, a third of a third of a third. Yes, the chart looks extremely bullish. We won't commit to any targets here as this is for educational purposes only. The analysis suggests potential targets could be very high, above $150,000 or $200,000, if the invalidation level of $98,240 isn't breached. But again, friends, this video is shared for educational purposes only.
Many people think that the market doesn't move according to Elliott Waves. But friends, here we've tried to analyze from the monthly time frame to the overly time frame. We've definitely aligned the multi-time frame and also aligned it with the principal rules of Elliott Waves, without violating any of its rules.
I agree that the Elliott Wave theory can be a bit difficult, and for those who don't practice it deeply, it can be challenging. But yes, the market moves according to this methodology, following this pattern. This is a significant achievement.
I am not Sebi registered analyst.
My studies are for educational purpose only.
Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
I am not responsible for any kinds of your profits and your losses.
Most investors treat trading as a hobby because they have a full-time job doing something else.
However, If you treat trading like a business, it will pay you like a business.
If you treat like a hobby, hobbies don't pay, they cost you...!
Hope this post is helpful to community
Thanks
RK💕
Disclaimer and Risk Warning.
The analysis and discussion provided on in.tradingview.com is intended for educational purposes only and should not be relied upon for trading decisions. RK_Chaarts is not an investment adviser and the information provided here should not be taken as professional investment advice. Before buying or selling any investments, securities, or precious metals, it is recommended that you conduct your own due diligence. RK_Chaarts does not share in your profits and will not take responsibility for any losses you may incur. So Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
BTC – Final Push Before the Top? Here's What I’m WatchingBeen getting a lot of questions recently about where I think BTC tops this cycle, so I figured it’s time to lay out what I’m seeing on the higher timeframes and what could be coming next.
First off, I want to stress this again — USDT.D will be the key chart for spotting the top. It’s been one of the most accurate indicators across the board for understanding tops and bottoms. But it’s even more powerful when used alongside broader structure and confluence, which is what I’m doing here.
Looking at BTC’s high timeframe structure, I’ve been tracking this ascending trend channel since 2023 — and we’ve remained within its bounds beautifully. Every leg up has been met with a reaction near the channel highs, while each major correction has tapped into the lower channel support or just below midline before continuing the trend.
Right now, price is pushing back up toward that upper channel resistance, and if it behaves like it has previously, I’d expect it to act as a major magnet again. That aligns with a projected range of $140,000 to $160,000, depending how deep the wick runs or how extended this move gets from the channel midline.
On top of that, fib extensions from the previous high to low give us another layer of confidence. We’ve already seen a reaction at the 1.272 level, which paused price temporarily. The next big fib? The 1.618 — which sits right around $138k — adding confluence with the top of this HTF trend channel.
What makes this even more interesting is that this move is aligning near-perfectly with the 4-year cycle structure, which suggests a potential cycle top around September 2025. That’s roughly two months away, and it fits the pattern of previous cycles where BTC tops approximately 18–20 months post-halving.
As we approach this zone, I’ll be watching for the usual signs: slowing momentum, bearish divergence, volume anomalies, and rejection candles into resistance. But I won’t just be relying on the BTC chart alone. I’ll be stacking confluences from other key indicators too — USDT.D, BTC.D, macro risk indicators, and stablecoin flows — to confirm if this is truly the top or if there’s one more leg left in the tank.
Once the top does form, whether it's $138k or $160k or somewhere in between, I think we move into the distribution phase that begins the next macro downtrend. The next few years will be about preservation and accumulation again, and I’m already eyeing zones like $49k and below as potential long-term HTF demand levels when that time comes.
For now, we’re in what I believe is the final bullish leg of this cycle. I’m positioned, prepared, and watching closely for signs of exhaustion as we move into this zone of confluence.
Let the market do its thing — just make sure you’ve got a plan for when the music stops.
Bitcoin – Rejection Confirms Trap, Next Stop: $107kBitcoin attempted to take out the swing high around 110.5k but failed to clear the previous all-time high, resulting in a sharp rejection. This failure marks a significant turning point, suggesting a lack of bullish momentum at premium levels. The rejection came after a sweep of equal highs within a well-defined resistance zone, indicating a potential liquidity grab.
Highs Swept, But No Breakout
After dropping into support around the 107.5k region, price managed to push up and form a new swing high, but once again met heavy selling pressure after sweeping the prior equal highs. That sweep and the subsequent rejection give this structure the character of a classic liquidity trap, where smart money runs the highs only to reverse.
Weak Lows Below
The support zone has now been tapped multiple times, and the most recent low is structurally weak. It failed to produce a higher high, which makes it vulnerable to a clean stop hunt. Given this context, these lows are likely to be targeted next, as price seeks out sell-side liquidity resting beneath.
Expected Path Forward
I’m expecting further downside to unfold from here. The rejection from resistance, paired with the weak internal structure, suggests Bitcoin will take out the weak lows near 107.5k. Once those lows are swept, I expect a bullish reaction from the same demand zone, setting up a potential long opportunity back into the 109k–110k area. The plan is to look for signs of a reversal after the sweep, such as a 5M market structure shift or a fair value gap entry setup.
Liquidity Map and Trade Plan
The current price action is best viewed through the lens of liquidity. The highs were engineered to trap breakout buyers and then rejected. Now, the weak lows offer the next logical draw on liquidity. My focus is on short-term downside targeting that 107.2k–107.5k support region, followed by a potential bullish reversal setup once that liquidity is cleared.
Conclusion
This is a clean example of a failed breakout, followed by engineered liquidity moves in both directions. As long as price respects the current structure, my bias remains short into the weak lows, followed by a high-probability long setup once those lows are swept and the market shifts.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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BITCOIN - Price can go into correction after reaching new ATHHi guys, this is my overview for BTCUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
Bitcoin spent weeks confined to a tight falling channel, carving out a series of lower highs and lower lows as sellers maintained full control of the market.
The breakout above $110300 ignited a powerful rally, propelling BTC into an ascending wedge formation and driving price sharply higher toward a fresh all-time high at $118800.
Once the ATH was reached, selling pressure reasserted itself, halting further upside and triggering a loss of bullish momentum.
This lightning-fast climb to $118800 appears to have drained buyer enthusiasm.
Key support now resides around $110300 - $111700, backed by the wedge base.
Given the exhaustion of buyers and the clear wedge resistance, I anticipate BTC to retrace toward the $112000 area following its recent surge.
If this post is useful to you, you can support me with like/boost and advice in comments❤️
Disclaimer: As part of ThinkMarkets’ Influencer Program, I am sponsored to share and publish their charts in my analysis.
Bitcoin - Bearflag Structure Taking ShapeBitcoin is showing signs of weakness after a clean rejection from a 4H fair value gap, where price also swept the previous swing high. This aligns well with a broader bearish context as the market failed to sustain above the upper bounds of the trend channel, indicating potential exhaustion of the bullish correction.
Rejection Zone and Fair Value Gap
The rejection took place precisely within a 4H imbalance, adding confluence to the idea that this was a premium retracement in a bearish leg. The high formed inside that zone has now been swept, setting up conditions for distribution. A smaller 1H fair value gap was also left behind during the displacement move down, creating a clean area for price to return to and potentially react from.
Channel Structure and Bearflag Formation
Structurally, price has been climbing in a rising channel that resembles a bearflag pattern. The recent market structure shift broke the channel low, confirming that the rising structure is likely corrective. The rejection from the top of the flag and the subsequent breakdown align with a typical bearflag setup, suggesting a continuation move to the downside.
Short-Term Retracement Expectation
Before the next leg down, price may retrace to fill the unmitigated fair value gap while possibly sweeping the minor swing high that caused the current drop. This retracement would offer a premium shorting opportunity in alignment with the bearish bias, especially if internal structure remains weak on the lower timeframes during the return to the FVG.
Draw on Liquidity and Price Objective
The main objective for this setup is a sweep of the last equal lows near 115950, which represents a strong draw on liquidity. If the bearflag setup plays out fully, this area is highly vulnerable and could be the next significant target once the FVG is filled and lower timeframe distribution confirms.
Conclusion
Price has rejected from a 4H imbalance and swept liquidity to the upside, forming a clean bearflag structure. As long as price remains below the recent high and fills the 1H FVG without invalidating the shift, the path of least resistance looks to be down toward the liquidity resting below 115950. I’ll be watching for signs of weakness during the return to the FVG for a potential short trigger.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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BTC/USD 4H CHART ANALYSIS \ BEARISH CORRECTION EXPECTED.Current Price: $117,755
Trend: Recently bullish, now facing a potential correction
Chart Pattern: Breakout above ascending channel, followed by a sharp projected correction.
🔍 Technical Breakdown:
> Ascending Channel:
Price was respecting an ascending channel (highlighted in green).
A bullish breakout occurred with strong momentum.
> Sharp Rejection & Correction Setup:
After the breakout, a steep rally seems to have peaked.
The red curved arrow suggests a completed bullish impulse, now setting up for a bearish correction.
> Key Levels:
Resistance Zone: $118,000 – $120,000
Immediate Support: $111,150
Next Major Support: $107,700
Bearish Target Support: $105,945
🎯 Trade Setup Suggestion:
Short Entry Zone: Around $111,150 if price gets rejected there.
Target: $105,945
Stop-Loss: Above $112,000 (tight risk control)
BITCOIN hit new ATH above $118k and isn't stopping there!Bitcoin (BTCUSD) broke above its previous All Time High (ATH) Zone and the buying pressure accelerated so much that it even crossed above the $118k level early in the E.U. session.
Technically the bullish trend doesn't seem to stop there as following the Bull Flag (we've analyzed this extensively the previous days) break-out of mid-May to June, the long-term Bullish Leg that started on the April 07 2025 bottom, is looking now for its 2nd Phase (extension).
Based on the previous two Bullish Legs since 2024, we should be expecting at least a +91.12% rise from the April bottom, as so far the symmetry among all three fractals is remarkable. Equally strong Bearish Legs (around -32%) of roughly 112 days each, gave way to the Bullish Legs, which supported by the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) pushed the market higher.
If this pattern continues to be replicated, we should expect this Leg to peak a little over $140000 before the next correction.
Do you think we'll get there? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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BTC #ARC FormationThe chart **15-minute Bitcoin (BTC/USD)** candlestick pattern with a clearly drawn **cup and handle** or **rounded bottom** formation. Let's identify key levels:
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🔍 **Key Levels Identified:**
1. **Resistance Zone (Neckline of Cup)**
Level:** \~**118,400 USD**
Significance:** This is the upper gray zone where price has repeatedly been rejected. It's acting as a **resistance** and also forms the **neckline of the cup pattern**. A breakout above this level may indicate bullish continuation.
2. **Support Zone (Bottom of Cup)**
Level:** \~**115,800 – 116,000 USD**
Significance:** This is the **lowest point** in the recent pullback and serves as strong support**. The price rebounded from here to form the cup.
3. **Mid-Level / Breakout Point**
Current Price:** \~**118,067 USD**
Significance:** Price is testing the **resistance**. A candle close and confirmation above 118,400 could trigger a bullish move, possibly targeting previous highs near **121,600 USD** or more.
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⚠️ Watch For:
Breakout confirmation above 118,400 USD** with volume for bullish continuation.
Rejection at 118,400 USD** could lead to a pullback or handle formation.
Support holding above 116,000 USD** is key to maintain bullish structure.
Let me know if you want price targets or entry/exit suggestions based on this setup.
thank u
BTC NEXT TARGET BUY 110K MORE Bitcoin Alert! 🚨
BTC is showing strong momentum and the market is heating up! 🔥
Current levels present a strategic buy opportunity before the next big move.
📈 Targeting $110K–$115K in the coming wave — and the breakout could be explosive.
💰 Accumulate now before the FOMO kicks in.
📊 Smart traders are already positioning.
⏳ Time is limited — don’t watch from the sidelines.
This could be the move that defines the next phase of the bull run.
Stay ahead. Stay informed. Stay invested. 🧠🚀
#Bitcoin #BTC #CryptoAlert #BullRun #CryptoNews #BitcoinTarget #BTCNextMove #CryptoTradin
BITCOIN Will it go lower?Bitcoin (BTCUSD) pulled back rather aggressively yesterday after marginally breaking above $123000 and making a new All Time High (ATH).
We've mentioned before the similarities of this Bullish Leg to the April - May structure and so far the current pull-back having already touched the 0.236 Fibonacci retracement level, resembles the late April pull-back.
However, besides the 0.236 Fib, that pull-back also hit its 4H MA50 and rebounded, so that's a condition that hasn't been fulfilled. If it does, we are potentially looking for a Low around the $115k mark. Notice also how both fractals are supported by a Higher Lows trend-line exactly on their respective 4H MA100 (green trend-line) levels.
If BTC continues to replicate this pattern, we expect to see $140000 (+43.05% from the bottom) by early August.
Will the Support levels hold and push it that high? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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Bitcoin harmonic pattern. Back to back Gartley. BTCGOLD ratio.The BTC/GOLD ratio has experienced a significant correction, currently standing at 27 gold ounces per 1 Bitcoin, down from a peak of 41, representing a decline of 34%.
Gold, priced at $3,114 in US Federal Reserve notes, is in a sustained bull market.
It is reasonable to anticipate that the digital equivalent of gold will gain traction once gold stabilizes at a higher price point.
The Gartley pattern is recognized as the most prevalent harmonic chart pattern.
Harmonic patterns are based on the idea that Fibonacci sequences can be utilized to create geometric formations, which include price breakouts and retracements.
The Gartley pattern illustrated indicates an upward movement from point X to point A, followed by a price reversal at point A. According to Fibonacci ratios, the retracement from point X to point B is expected to be 61.8%.
At point B, the price reverses again towards point C, which should reflect a retracement of either 38.2% or 88.6% from point A.
From point C, the price then reverses to point D. At point D, the pattern is considered complete, generating buy signals with an upside target that aligns with points C and A, as well as a final price target of a 161.8% increase from point A.
Often, point 0 serves as a stop-loss level for the entire trade. While these Fibonacci levels do not have to be precise, greater proximity enhances the reliability of the pattern.
Will these consecutive Gartley patterns succeed in bolstering Bitcoin's strength? We will soon discover the answer.
Strategy: “Breakout Bounce” – Buy the Retest, Ride the WaveHello Traders! BTC has broken out above $118K–$120K after a strong uptrend. Now it’s pausing, and a short-term pullback looks likely. Instead of buying the top, we wait for the price to retest previous resistance (around $112K–$114K), which could turn into support.
MY PLAN:
Wait for pullback to $112K–$114K zone.
Look for a bullish candle (daily or 4H) to confirm entry.
Target: $122K short-term or trail stop if trend continues.
Stop loss: Below $108K to manage risk.
Tip: Don’t chase. Be patient, follow the setup, and use proper risk management.
Please leave a comment and don't forget to support a fellow trader! Also, you can leave in the comments your target and plan ideas!
Have a great day y'all!
-Neo