BITCOIN Just wait until OIL turns bullish!Bitcoin (BTCUSD) has a unique long-term relationship/ correlation with WTI Oil (USOIL) and this charts shows why.
In the past 11 years, when Oil started to decline sharply, Bitcoin formed a market bottom before Oil did. When Oil started to rise again, Bitcoin was out of its bottom and has initiated its Parabolic Rally stage (green Rectangle). Then Oil peaked after BTC has already priced its own Cycle Top.
Based on this correlation, we can assume that we haven't yet seen BTC's Parabolic stage as Oil hasn't yet started to rise. If we assume that the late April Low on Oil was its market bottom, then only now it has started its rise, so at best BTC has just started the Cycle's Parabolic Rally. If that turns out o be true, then the upside potential is huge for BTC. Needless to say other key macroeconomic factors have to assist e.g. higher adoption, ETF inflows, FED Rate Cut, but that's what the current chart says!
So do you think that Oil can be the driver behind a new Bitcoin parabolic rally? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
** Please LIKE ๐, FOLLOW , SHARE and COMMENT if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. **
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
๐ธ๐ธ๐ธ๐ธ๐ธ๐ธ
๐ ๐ ๐ ๐ ๐ ๐
BTCUSD trade ideas
Middle East Tension: Read This Before You Trade todayโ๏ธ๐๏ธ๐ฃ Middle East Tension: Read This Before Markets close for the Weekend ๐๐ฅโ๏ธ
Video:
Hey traders,
Todayโs landscape is delicate and raw: we stand between a possible US strike on Iran and a chance for leaders to step back from the edge. Many are asking: Should I bet on gold? Should I short the indices? Should I buy oil?
Hereโs my honest read, straight from todayโs video (which I highly recommend you watch for full context ๐บ):
๐ Bitcoin (BTC)
Still ranging sideways. The last move hit my resistance zone perfectly. For now, BTC keeps its cool โ but watch out: global fear can spark sudden moves, or the opposite, a liquidity crunch.
๐ Gold & Silver
Yes, theyโre classic safe havens โ but donโt fall for the textbook trap. When true chaos strikes, big players often sell profitable gold positions to cover losses elsewhere. So an initial spike is possible, but deep pockets can reverse it fast. This is why Iโm cautious: I do not expect a guaranteed pump on gold or silver.
๐ Crude Oil (WTI)
The chart says it all: any strike in the Middle East fuels oil prices fast. But as Iโve always said โ I do not long oil during human tragedy. Ethics over easy pips.
๐ Indices & USDJPY
Gaps are likely. Risk assets may get hammered if bombs fall. If leaders choose dialogue instead, expect a risk-on rebound. The USD stays a wildcard: trust in the US remains, but shocks test that trust.
๐ Airlines Pausing Flights?
Yes โ major airlines are avoiding the Gulf. That alone signals how real this risk is.
โ
My plan is clear:
I never short disasters. I never profit from pain. I am LONG on humanity and peace. Iโd rather lose a trade than wish for blood in the streets.
I do have some carefully calculated positions open tonight โ fully risk-managed and small-sized. If Monday gaps bless me, fine. If peace wins and my trades lose? Even better.
๐ Watch the full video for my live charts, context, and unfiltered thoughts.
This text is just a recap โ the full idea is already posted as a video.
Stay sharp. Stay ethical. Protect your capital and your soul โ one good trade is never worth your humanity.
One Love,
The FXPROFESSOR ๐
Disclosure: I am happy to be part of the Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Awesome broker, where the trader really comes first! ๐๐ค๐
Bitcoin may rebound from support line of wedge and start to growHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Bitcoin. Initially, the price was trading inside a well-defined range, moving sideways with repeated rejections from both support and resistance. After several attempts to stay above the support zone, BTC finally broke down and sharply declined below the 104000 level, entering the buyer zone. However, the decline was short-lived. Price quickly rebounded from the lower boundary and formed a strong bullish candle, suggesting that buyers were still active. After this recovery, BTC began forming a wedge pattern, with a gradually narrowing structure between the resistance line and the ascending support line. This kind of price action typically signals a buildup of pressure and potential breakout. Currently, BTC is once again testing the support line of the wedge and hovering near the buyer zone, where it previously reversed. This level has proven significant and is now being retested. Given the current structure, the wedge formation, and price behavior near the support, I expect BTC to rebound from this zone and start climbing back toward the upper resistance area. My current TP 1 is set at 106800 points, which aligns with the mid-level of the previous impulse zone and the inner resistance of the wedge. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost ๐
Disclaimer: As part of ThinkMarketsโ Influencer Program, I am sponsored to share and publish their charts in my analysis.
Trading Recommendations for BTC/USDBitcoin and Ethereum are demonstrating stable growth amid new forecasts regarding the number of interest rate cuts expected from the Federal Reserve this year. Another dovish stance from the Fed Chair and criticism from Trump over Powell's inaction triggered buying on the U.S. market, which also impacted the cryptocurrency market.
Investor enthusiasm is fueled by expectations of more accessible financial resources, which typically drive capital into riskier assets like cryptocurrencies. Bitcoin, as the flagship of the crypto market, traditionally reacts first to changes in macroeconomic conditions. However, one should not forget the inherent volatility of the crypto market. Even positive macro signals do not guarantee sustainable growth-especially as Bitcoin has been hovering near its historical highs, where buyer interest has been waning recently. It's essential to c consider technical factors, market sentiment, and regulatory risks, all of which can significantly influence price dynamics.
Meanwhile, alongside Strategy, Japanese investment company Metaplanet purchases Bitcoin for its balance sheet. Data shows the company acquired an additional 1,234 BTC for approximately $132.7 million just one day after announcing a $515 million capital raise to fund its Bitcoin treasury strategy. The Tokyo-listed firm stated that this latest purchase at around $107,557 per Bitcoin raised its total holdings to 12,345 BTC. The company holds about $1.3 billion worth of Bitcoin based on current market prices. This makes Metaplanet the seventh-largest publicly listed corporate holder of Bitcoin, surpassing Tesla, which holds 11,509 BTC.
As for intraday strategy in the cryptocurrency market, I will continue to act based on any major pullbacks in Bitcoin and Ethereum, expecting the medium-term bullish market to persist
For short-term trading, the strategy and conditions are described below.
Buy Scenario
Scenario #1: I will buy Bitcoin today if it reaches the entry point around $106,227 aiming for a rise to $ 107,042. Near $107,042 I plan to exit the long position and sell on pullback. Before buying on a pullback, ensure the 50-day moving average is below the current price and the Awesome Oscillator is above zero.
Scenario #2: If the market does not react to a breakout, Bitcoin ca also be bought from the lower boundary at $105,039 with targets at $106,221 and $106,748.
Sell Scenario
Scenario #1: I will sell Bitcoin today if it reaches the entry point around $107,695 aiming for a drop to $106,008. Near $106,008, I plan to exit the short position and buy on a bunce. Before selling on a breakout, ensure the 50-day moving average is above the current price and the Awesome Oscillator is below zero.
Scenario #2: Bitcoin can also be sold from the upper boundary at $106,753 if there is no market reaction to a breakout, targtion the $104,651 and $103,888 levels.
Bais A.M.D : Accumulation Manipulation and Distribution.
H & S : Head and Shoulder
Accumulation.
BTC Accumulated Range 104139 - 106206
Manipulation
Manipulated Range 106247 - 109105
Forming a Head and Shoulder pattern.
Distribution
Currently in a Distribution phase.
After breaking below 106247 support to a low 102287. Heading to a Minor resistance range 105233 - 105731 for a more downside continuation below 102275.
IMO. DYOR
Bitcoin Holds $100k as Risk Assets Shrug Off Mideast TensionsWeakness in risk assets has been relatively contained so far on Monday in Asia, despite the escalation in geopolitical tensions in the Middle East over the weekendโincluding in bitcoin.
Yes, itโs down, but not by any margin that sets this open apart from the usual. And having bounced after a brief dip below the psychologically important $100,000 levelโwhich also doubles as wedge supportโitโs generated a potential long setup if risk appetite improves.
Longs could be considered above $100k with a stop beneath todayโs low to protect against a reversal. Targets include $102,500, $106,500 or even $109,000, depending on your preferred risk-reward.
While momentum signals are neutral to mildly bearish, the price action so far has been constructive for the setup.
Good luck!
DS
BTC daily bull flag formationBTC is looking bullish on the daily chart in my opinion. One more pullback might be in order before we test new highs on the daily chart. The 100 sma has crossed over the 200 sma and the 50 sma is crossing the 21 sma. The rsi is neutral at time of publication. This bullish breakout could occur in late july after a pullback in the near term.
I think bitcoin is setting up to make another all time high push as summer draws on.
Not financial advice. Do your own DD.
Thanks for viewing the idea.
Comment what you think is going to happen over the course of this summer.
BTCUSD Analysis Today: Technical and On-Chain !In this video, I will share my BTCUSD analysis by providing my complete technical and on-chain insights, so you can watch it to improve your crypto trading skillset. The video is structured in 4 parts, first I will be performing my complete technical analysis, then I will be moving to the on-chain data analysis, then I will be moving to the liquidation maps analysis and lastly, I will be putting together these 3 different types of analysis.
BITCOIN Trump and the 1D EMA100 saved the day!Bitcoin (BTCUSD) rebounded yesterday on its 1D EMA100 (green trend-line) and along with Trump's truce announcement between Israel and Iran, it sent the market into a buying frenzy and back above the $105k mark.
Technically, the 1D EMA100 isn't something to be ignored as since the November 2022 market bottom, each Bullish Leg (Channel Up) that started had a contact (or near) with it that resulted into a considerable bullish extension.
The 1st Channel Up even breached below it, but after rebounding, it reached the 1.382 Fibonacci extension before the next correction. The 2nd Channel Up rebounded exactly on the 1D EMA100, and reached the 1.618 Fibonacci extension. The 3rd Channel Up almost hit the 1D EMA100 and then rebounded to the 2.0 Fibonacci extension.
It is obvious that the pattern follows a progression and each Fib extension peak is higher than on the previous Channel Up. As a result, it is not unlikely to see a High even above the 2.0 Fib ext ($168k) on the current (4th) Channel Up, however on the short-term we would still welcome the 1.382 Fib 'minimum' expectation, targeting $130000.
Do you think we should at least be expecting that? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
** Please LIKE ๐, FOLLOW โ
, SHARE ๐ and COMMENT โ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. **
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
๐ธ๐ธ๐ธ๐ธ๐ธ๐ธ
๐ ๐ ๐ ๐ ๐ ๐
Become Rich Trading Bitcoin Strategy Simplified Correction NullIs this a shakeout or a rejection?
A rejection implies no bullish action short-term thus lower prices. It is still early on the current move.
A shakeout implies a bear-trap and bullish action soon to follow, as soon as the shakeout is complete.
Daily and weekly close
Let's be fair and honest, it is too early to say. To determine if the current move is either a rejection or a shakeout we have to wait for the close today.
Price action
Why are these two in question? Because the daily session moved higher today reaching $106,500 followed by lower prices. The low hit $102,309, lower than 13-June but higher than 5-June, a higher low. More information can be acquired once the trading session closes but, we can move ahead and see what the chart has to say based on other signals.
The volume is low on the bearish side, on all sides. The higher low so far is strong. As long as $102,000 holds Bitcoin is ultra-hyper bullish, very strong. Even if we are considering the short-term it doesn't matter, if the action is happening above this level the bulls are wining and that's what we have.
If the action is happening above $100,000 we already know what this means and this level is not in question right now. Being price oriented that is why I say is still early, do you agree?
So, more shakeouts, more sideways, more retraceโa non-event; short-term noise.
We are looking for the next major move, not the next $1,000 drop.
Market conditions do not change
Rest easy, Bitcoin will continue bullish even if it wicks below 100K. As long as it trades above this level, or the $100,000 to $102,000 price range, the action is safe (coming from the bulls).
If the week closes above this range but starts red next week and goes below, no need to panic because the week can start red just to recover and this would only be a continuation of the shakeout; we take information from the weekly close and not the intra-week action makes sense?
Questions โLeave a comment
So, what is your take?
Just let me know truly, what is your belief?
Do you think Bitcoin is bearish or bullish?
It can be looked at in many different ways.
The bull market
The trend is bullish, mid- to long-term. The action is happening above 100K.
The altcoins market is weak but we all know from the bottom we grow, we are entering the summer now... Ahhh, the beautiful summer, bring the heat. With the summer prices tend to grow.
You can call it a relief rally but that will be only the start. The relief will turn into a major bullish wave and this wave will transform into a major bull run.
Motivation
I love you again wishing you the best forever more.
You deserve the best now and always.
Keep at it and keep trying, persistence is the key. As long as we continue to trade, in the end we are sure to win.
Invest in Crypto, it is very easy.
Think of all the people that joined us (the market) 10 years ago. What are their holdings worth now? Millions upon millions... Now, think of yourself 10 years into the future. Put whatever money in you can afford and watch it grow.
The way to riches is not through frugality or savings, the way to riches is through buying and investing. This is the right market for us. It is fast, it is volatile, it is young; just like most of us. If not young of age, we are young at heart.
Namaste.
BTC SHORT TP:-100,000 21-06-2025What if this is the one that nukes it all? ๐ฎโ๐จ
Iโm entering a short between 102,500 and 103,600, aiming for a target around 99,500 โ 100,200, with an average RR of 4.
This is based on the 4H timeframe, and should play out in the next 48 to 60 hours.
The structure still favors bearish continuation. If BTC breaks through the 100k level, we might be staring at a black swan scenario.
Manage your stop according to your risk plan and stay tuned for updates.
We donโt use indicators, weโre not out here drawing lines or cute little shapes โ I just give you a clean trade.
If the move doesnโt happen within the estimated time, the trade is invalid.
Bitcoin / U.S. Dollar 2-Hour Chart (BTCUSD)2-hour chart displays the recent price movement of Bitcoin (BTC) against the U.S. Dollar (USD), showing a current price of $102,459.21 with a decline of $853.19 (-0.83%) over the period. The chart highlights a significant drop from a peak near $105,898.45, with a shaded area indicating a potential support zone between $101,682.19 and $99,732.49, and a resistance level around $103,000. The timeframe spans from 9:00 to 29:00, with technical indicators and price levels marked for analysis.
Bitcoin is gearing up for 120K and 140K (1D)The flip zone has been reclaimed, but no proper pullback had occurred. The recent pullback came with a sweep of the all-time high (ATH), which has caused confusion and uncertainty among market participants.
In fact, this drop can be interpreted as a pullback to the flip zone, accompanied by an ATH hunt.
We expect the price, after touching the green zone and forming a base around this level, to move toward the targets of 120K and 140K โ which we currently consider as Bitcoinโs final targets for this cycle.
A weekly candle close below the invalidation level would invalidate this analysis.
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
When we reach the first target, save some profit and then change the stop to entry
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You
BTCUSD:Technical Analysis and OutlookIn the recent trading session, Bitcoin exhibited an upward trend; however, it subsequently experienced a significant decline from the established Mean Resistance level at 110300. On Friday, Bitcoin exhibited notable price action, characterized by a pump-and-dump scenario. At this juncture, Bitcoin is retracing downwards as it seeks to approach the Mean Support level at 101500 and the ultimate Inner Coin Dip at 96500. It is essential to acknowledge the potential for an upward rally from the Mean Support levels of $101500 and/or the Inner Coin Dip at $96500. Such a rally could culminate in a retest of the Mean Resistance level at $107000.
BITCOIN Is this just a giant Bull Flag??Bitcoin (BTCUSD) saw a strong sell-off yesterday in the aftermath of the U.S. strike in Iran and fears of retaliation, but in later hours recovered some of the lost ground. The recovery is being extended into the Asian and early E.U. hours today and the emerging Channel Down pattern already draws strong similarities with the one in December 17 2024 - January 13 2025.
Both broke below their respective 1D MA50 (blue trend-lines) to form a Lower Low, which in the case of Jan 2025, it initiated a rebound that tested the All Time High (ATH) Resistance. See also how similar their 1D RSI patterns are, testing the same Support level too (41.20).
Given that this time the uptrend has been much shorter since the April 07 2025 Low, this Channel Down may be nothing but a giant Bull Flag in the middle of a standard Bull Cycle Leg. Until confirmed with a 1W candle closing above the ATH Resistance though, the medium-term Target is $111900.
Notice also the formation today of a 1D MA100/200 Bullish Cross, the first since November 13 2024.
So what do you think? Is $111900 your short-term Target? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
** Please LIKE ๐, FOLLOW โ
, SHARE ๐ and COMMENT โ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. **
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
๐ธ๐ธ๐ธ๐ธ๐ธ๐ธ
๐ ๐ ๐ ๐ ๐ ๐
Has Bitcoin Topped? Trumpโs SBR Impact | Deep Dive Analysis๐จ Has COINBASE:BTCUSD topped? Even with Trump's Bitcoin Strategic Reserve? ๐จ
In this deep dive, we analyze COINBASE:BTCUSD major factors that could point to a major reversal or breakout and to uncover whether a market top is forming.
Weโll cover:
Powerful Indicators
Bitcoin / BTC Trends
Price Action
EMA / SMA Trends
Volume Delta
Trend reversal / breakout
Bullish / Bearish / Confirmation from Indicators
order flow analysis
Timeframes (1W, 1D, 1m, 6M etc.)
Bullish and Bearish Sentiment
Strength Candles
๐ Like, comment below, and follow for more pro-level crypto insights.
MartyBoots here , I have been trading for 17 years and sharing my thoughts on COINBASE:BTCUSD .
Whether you're a short-term trader or long-term investor, this post provides the technical insight and edge to help you make better informed decisions.
๐ Stay ahead of the market. Watch the full breakdown and view charts to decide for yourself: Has Bitcoin really topped?
Watch video for more details and below I will show some powerful charts with descriptions.
Warning in near term - LARGE ORDERS
Consolidation in price with large orders above
The Red lines = LARGE ORDERS
Large orders can act as an magnet to price
Large orders can also be support and resistance
Price Above the white 100 moving average
Price strong above it
Price weak below it
Strength Candles
Still Bullish
Multiple timeframes still green
Sentiment Tool Still Bullish
Still Bullish
Multiple timeframes and settings still green
3 Drive Structure
Equal Measured moves
Implies Top Is Not In
Target = $126k
Bullish Engulfing Candle
Implies higher prices to come
๐ Like, comment below, and follow for more pro-level crypto insights.
#Bitcoin #Trump #BTC #CryptoTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #CryptoMarket #BitcoinTop #TradingView #StrategicBitcoinReserve
Bullish bounce?The Bitcoin (BTC/USD) is falling towards the pivot and could bounce to the pullback resistance.
Pivot: 103,943.66
1st Support: 101.141.44
1st Resistance: 108,761.68
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
BTC?USD - Bullish Channel Holding StrongBitcoin is currently respecting a well-formed ascending channel on the 5-minute chart. After multiple tests of both the upper and lower boundaries, the price continues to trade within this bullish structure. This consistent higher-high, higher-low formation indicates that short-term momentum remains with the bulls.
๐ Key Observations:
Price is bouncing off the lower boundary of the channel โ strong short-term support.
Midline (dashed) is acting as a dynamic reaction zone for intraday movement.
The red horizontal line at 106,135 marks a key support level from a prior breakout zone.
A potential re-test of the upper boundary near 107,200 could be on the cards if this structure holds.
๐ก Trade Idea:
Long bias remains valid as long as price stays inside the channel.
Watch for a breakout above the channel for potential continuation.
A breakdown below the channel and 106,135 could invalidate the bullish setup.
MACRO 3-Drive Pattern on Bitcoin | Major Reversal Ahead?Is Bitcoin completing a massive 3-drive structure on the macro chart?
Three clear pushes higher, each with fading momentum, are flashing a major reversal signal.
This could be the final phase before a long-term shift โ are you ready for whatโs next?
๐ 3-Drive Structure Trading Strategy โ Full Breakdown
The 3-Drive Pattern is a powerful reversal-based price structure used to spot major turning points in trending markets. It works by identifying three consecutive drives (or pushes) in one direction, typically ending with exhaustion and a high-probability reversal.
Each drive forms a new high or low, but with weakening momentum โ especially visible using RSI, MACD, or volume divergence.
๐ What is the 3-Drive Pattern?
3 consecutive higher highs (or lower lows)
Each drive followed by a shallow pullback
Momentum weakens on each push (divergence forms)
Fibonacci symmetry often present:
- Drive extensions: 127.2%โ161.8%
- Pullbacks: usually 61.8%
๐ Bearish 3-Drive (Reversal from Uptrend):
Drive 1: Price makes a higher high with strong momentum
Drive 2: Another higher high, weaker strength
Drive 3: Final high with clear divergence
Reversal: Entry when price breaks below structure
๐ฏEntry Criteria:
Wait for all 3 drives to form
Confirm with divergence on Drive 3
Use a confirmation candle or structure break
Stop-loss: just beyond the 3rd driveโs high
๐ฏ Targets:
Conservative: Return to Drive 2 base
Aggressive: Full trend reversal (50%โ100% Fib retracement)
๐ง Pro Tips:
Best on 4H, 1D, 3D or 1w timeframes
Confirm with RSI, MACD, or volume divergence
Combine with key S/R or supply-demand zones
๐ก Summary:
The 3-Drive pattern is one of the most reliable reversal structures when combined with divergence and Fibonacci symmetry. It's especially powerful at market exhaustion zones and works best with confirmation-based entries.