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BTCUSD trade ideas

BTC 4-Hour Long Target 115,500Hello fellow Traders. I am long, only posting my target area. This Chart is very clean. I came to the target conclusion area, with some Math, and I have used a Gann Square to monitor a time frame to reach the target area. Yes, your reading it correctly, seems like it can happen as early as this Friday, and as late as July 22. PA doesn't necessarily have to stay in the positive area of this Gann Square, and has all the right to swing back up inside positive, to finish it's goal. The Plan: The probability to reach the target within the time frame will fade slowly out, far past the Gann Square. Yes, I am actually guessing where the nearest chance to reach this price level is going to happen "if it will happen" within the green target area, so I may close out my long trade somewhere along the way up. Afterwards scalp the box up and down till it hits the Target Area. Except price to have an extremely high chance to bounce down from the Target Area, when it hits. Good Luck !!
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by Quartz-
New buying opportunity may emerge for BTCBTC tends to fluctuate in the short term, but as BTC builds a double bottom structure to support the rebound pattern, it is currently inclined to fluctuate upward. Although the upward momentum has weakened after reaching around 106,000, as long as it stays above the 105,300-104,800 area, BTC is still expected to continue to rise and may challenge the 108,000-109,000 area again. And with the collapse of the gold and oil markets, funds in the two markets may flow into BTC, which is more attractive and the mainstream market of cryptocurrencies. So as BTC retreats in the short term, BTC may have new short-term buying opportunities. Then if BTC retreats to the 105,500-104,500 area and does not fall below this area, we can consider going long on BTC at the right time.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by Steffen_Schade
Bitcoin Strategic Risk Framework & Market Structure Assessment.⊢ ⟁ BTC/USD – BINANCE – (CHART: 1D) – (Jun 25, 2025). ⟐ Analysis Price: $107,191.94. ⊢ ⨀ I. Temporal Axis – Strategic Interval – (1D): ▦ EMA21 – ($105,207.93): ∴ Price has reclaimed EMA21 decisively after testing below; ∴ EMA21 maintains upward slope, indicating reactivation of short-term bullish sentiment; ∴ Dynamic support now resides at ~$105.2K. ✴️ Conclusion: EMA structure favors bullish continuation while price holds above. ⊢ ▦ SMA200 – ($96,064.16): ∴ SMA200 remains strongly upward sloped, untouched since March 2024; ∴ Long-term momentum remains firmly bullish; ∴ No contact with SMA200 confirms macro support far below. ✴️ Conclusion: Structural support intact; macro uptrend fully confirmed. ⊢ ▦ Ichimoku Cloud – ($103,065.53 / $104,456.43): ∴ Price positioned above Kumo; bullish structure remains intact; ∴ Kijun-sen ($104,456.43) and Tenkan-sen ($103,065.53) both flat, signaling short-term consolidation; ∴ Chikou Span approaches historical resistance zone; Span A and B flattening. ✴️ Conclusion: Bullish trend preserved, but lacking forward thrust; potential stagnation if breakout fails. ⊢ ▦ Volume (MA21) – (~129 BTC): ∴ Current volume ~128.73 BTC, slightly under the moving average; ∴ No breakout volume confirmation despite recent price thrust; ∴ Weak volume expansion reduces reliability of short-term breakout. ✴️ Conclusion: Momentum requires validation through volume escalation. ⊢ ▦ MACD – (-4.44 / 36.48 / -40.92): ∴ Histogram contracting upward, bearish momentum fading; ∴ MACD Line (-4.44) still below Signal Line (36.48); ∴ No confirmed bullish crossover, but compression phase active. ✴️ Conclusion: Latent bullish reversal potential; not yet validated. ⊢ ▦ RSI – (55.95): ∴ RSI reclaimed level above 50, positioning in neutral-bullish zone; ∴ RSI MA at 48.78 confirms momentum shift; ∴ Positive slope suggests rising momentum, but lacks steepness. ✴️ Conclusion: Momentum entering constructive zone, still not impulsive. ⊢ 🜎 Strategic Insight – Technical Oracle: ∴ Structure remains technically bullish with constrained momentum; ∴ Indicators are aligned toward continuation, yet breakout conviction is hindered by insufficient volume and pending oscillator confirmation; ∴ Short-term path is upward-biased, conditional on validation. ⊢ ∫ II. On-Chain Intelligence – (Source: CryptoQuant): ▦ Exchange Netflow – (All Exchanges): ∴ Netflow remains negative on 7-day average; ∴ Sustained outflows indicate strategic accumulation or self-custody preference; ∴ No evidence of large-scale exchange inflows that signal distribution. ✴️ Conclusion: Net capital migration continues favoring off-exchange security; bullish underlying tone. ⊢ ▦ Stablecoin Supply Ratio (SSR): ∴ SSR near 17.5 indicates relatively low stablecoin dominance; ∴ Reduced buying power vs Bitcoin implies cooling short-term demand; ∴ Historically elevated SSR levels precede price consolidations or local tops. ✴️ Conclusion: Stablecoin reserves insufficient for sustained upward pressure; caution warranted. ⊢ ▦ Exchange Whale Ratio – (All Exchanges): ∴ Whale Ratio near 0.59 denotes moderate large-holder activity; ∴ Ratio not in critical zone (>0.7), yet above accumulation range (<0.4); ∴ Potential soft distribution behavior if ratio trends upward. ✴️ Conclusion: Mixed signal - no panic, but latent whale presence requires monitoring. ⊢ ▦ Miner Reserve: ∴ Miner balances steadily declining over past 30 days; ∴ Consistent outflows suggest controlled selling behavior; ∴ No aggressive miner dumping detected. ✴️ Conclusion: Miner pressure exists but remains tactical and non-destructive. ⊢ ▦ Long-Term Holder SOPR (LTH-SOPR): ∴ Metric above 1.0 indicates long-term holders are in profit and realizing gains; ∴ No sharp spike detected, suggesting rational distribution; ∴ Structure consistent with healthy bull cycle mechanics. ✴️ Conclusion: Profit-taking underway in equilibrium; not a signal of panic. ⊢ ▦ Funding Rate – (Futures): ∴ Funding mildly positive (~0.002–0.004%), reflecting long positioning bias; ∴ Rates remain low, indicating lack of overcrowded trades; ∴ No sign of speculative overheating in derivatives. ✴️ Conclusion: Derivatives sentiment is constructive, not euphoric; room for further upside exists. ⊢ 🜎 Strategic Insight – On-Chain Oracle: ∴ On-chain metrics reflect a stable yet cautious accumulation phase; ∴ Absence of sell pressure, tempered long-term holder realization, and moderate derivative sentiment suggest foundation for continuation, albeit with reduced immediate force; ∴ Confirmation must align with price and volume. ⊢ ⧉ III. Contextvs Macro–Geopoliticvs – Interflux Economicvs: ▦ Geopolitical Axis – Middle East Ceasefire: ∴ Ceasefire between Israel and Iran eased global tension, triggering flight from commodities into risk assets; ∴ Brent crude declined over -2.5% following truce reports, reducing inflationary pressure; ∴ However, geopolitical fragility remains - peace is provisional, not structural; ✴️ Conclusion: Tactical relief observed; no systemic safety guaranteed. ⊢ ▦ Monetary Policy – US Federal Reserve Outlook: ∴ Jerome Powell signals continued rate hold, citing sticky inflation and fragile global equilibrium; ∴ Futures markets price ~20% chance of July cut, ~60% for September; ∴ Bond yields retreating (2Y at ~3.78%), suggesting easing expectations embedded; ✴️ Conclusion: Macro liquidity conditions marginally favorable to crypto; policy risk remains asymmetric. ⊢ ▦ Equities & Global Sentiment – Dow Jones / Nasdaq Futures: ∴ Dow Futures flat (~+0.02%), Nasdaq Futures rise on tech optimism; ∴ Equity markets supported by decline in oil, stabilization in rates, and AI-sector inflows; ∴ No VIX spike – volatility subdued; ✴️ Conclusion: Macro-risk appetite firming up, enhancing crypto’s speculative appeal. ⊢ ▦ Derivatives Behavior & Institutional Flow: ∴ Option markets show accumulation of BTC calls at 108K–112K strike zones; ∴ Futures funding positive but low, consistent with healthy long-side conviction; ∴ No structural imbalance detected; ✴️ Conclusion: Derivatives support scenario of moderate bullishness without speculative overreach. ⊢ ⌘ Codicillus Silentii – Strategic Note: ∴ Temporal architecture remains bullishly aligned, but lacks velocity – movement is present without ignition; ∴ On-chain metrics reveal quiet distribution among long-term holders, yet without aggressive miner displacement or exchange flooding; ∴ Market tension is suspended in a state of equilibrium – neither contraction nor breakout assert dominion; ∴ The asymmetry of opportunity lies dormant, awaiting conviction in participation and volume. ⊢ 𓂀 Stoic-Structural Interpretation: ▦ Structurally Bullish – Tactically Suspended: ∴ Price structure above EMA21 and SMA200 confirms preservation of macro uptrend – foundation remains unbroken; ∴ Miner reserve reduction and stable LTH-SOPR suggest controlled realization, not structural weakness; ∴ However, Ichimoku flattening and low volume expansion indicate stalling momentum, lacking breakout substance. ⊢ ▦ Tactical Range Caution: ∴ Whale Ratio mid-levels and SSR elevation highlight proximity to potential resistance exhaustion; ∴ MACD crossover remains unconfirmed; RSI enters constructive zone without strength – reactionary rather than initiative-based; ∴ Until volume and oscillator confirmation emerge above $108.2K, posture remains protective and selective. ⊢ ⧉ ⚜️ Magister Arcanvm (𝟙⟠) – Vox Primordialis! 𓂀 Wisdom begins in silence. Precision unfolds in strategy. ⧉ ⊢
BINANCE:BTCUSD
by Magister_Arcanvm
BTC/USDT – 4-Hour Chart AnalysisPattern: Bullish Harmonic Reversal – BAT Pattern Bitcoin has completed a harmonic Bullish Bat Pattern, suggesting a potential upside reversal from the D point. Current price: $107,186 The harmonic structure follows ideal ratios: AB retraces 30.2% of XA BC extends 118.1% of AB CD completes near 88.6% of XA – confirming the Bat pattern Trade Plan: Many traders have already entered positions. However, if price retraces to the $104k level, a re-entry opportunity exists with a stop loss around $100k—just below the D-point and strong support zone. Targeting the yellow upward path, the structure supports a continuation toward new highs, possibly surpassing $115k–$120k, depending on momentum. RSI (14): RSI is currently 67.99, approaching overbought but still supportive of bullish continuation. A recent bullish RSI divergence strengthens the reversal scenario. Conclusion: This harmonic Bat pattern suggests a strong bullish structure is forming. As long as price holds above the $100k zone, buyers may continue to dominate, with high probability setups forming for trend continuation.
BINANCE:BTCUSDLong
by Musarrat_karamat
BTCUSDEntry Zone: 107,116 This is your entry point, where you're looking to short BTC. Ideally, you want to ensure the price is in a bearish trend leading into this level. Stop Loss: 3,336 The stop loss seems to be set far above the entry point, which may imply you're giving the trade some room to breathe in case there's a retest of resistance. You might want to confirm whether this is a typo or if it's a strategic choice based on volatility or broader market conditions. Take Profit Levels: TP1: 106,900 Just below your entry zone, which would yield a quick, modest profit if reached. TP2: 106,500 A deeper target. If BTCUSD hits this level, it's confirming the bearish momentum. TP3: 106,000 The final target. This would be a substantial move if it gets hit.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by Ali_Explorer
BTCUSD This chart is a Bitcoin (BTC/USD) analysis on the 4-hour timeframe, and it reflects a bullish breakout scenario. Let’s break down the structure: --- Current Status: Price: $107,201 Change: +1,070 (+1.01%) --- Chart Structure & Key Zones: Descending Wedge Formation: Price has been trading within a falling wedge (a bullish reversal pattern), and has now broken out to the upside. Key Resistance Zone (Light Blue Box): Target area lies between $110,500 – $112,000, marked as the potential take-profit/supply zone. Dotted Path Projection: Implies a short-term bullish move continuing upward post-breakout, toward the blue resistance zone. --- Analysis & Interpretation: Bullish Bias Confirmed: The breakout from the wedge pattern adds strength to the bullish outlook. Next Steps: A retest of the breakout level (around $105,000–$106,000) may occur before continuation. Upon successful retest or sustained momentum, the price could surge toward $112,000. Resistance Reaction Expected: Watch for selling pressure or reversal patterns near the blue zone. --- Summary: Pattern: Falling Wedge (bullish breakout) Immediate Support: ~$105,000 Immediate Resistance Target: $110,500–$112,000 Bias: Bullish continuation, with potential for mid-term profit-taking near the resistance zone. --- Would you like exact entry, stop-loss, and take-profit levels based on this breakout?
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by Mr_Zakrii
Another crash?Crypto Market Crash: U.S.-Iran War Triggers Bitcoin Drop Below $101K and Sparks Panic selling, experts warn that this may just be the beginning. While BTC’s price dropped to almost $98K, there was enough market response to support going back above that psychological six-figure mark by the day’s close. However, the crypto market is extremely vulnerable to global flashpoints, especially when there’s potential for escalation,” said a senior analyst from CoinGape. “We’re now in a wait-and-watch phase, but if Iran retaliates or tensions spread, crypto markets could face another brutal leg down. In the short term, the US involvement in the Israel-Iran conflict will result in a massive crypto market crash, as short sells would form. The Bitcoin price could drop nearly 10-20%, crashing altcoins and the rest of the market amid panic and risk-off sentiments. Similar to recent reactions, the investors may shift to USD, gold, and safe-haven assets, worsening the crypto’s performance. While it’s a crash, the oil price would rise, and the Fed would delay the rate cuts, further impacting crypto valuations.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by TRADINGACPVIP
Market next target ⚠️ Disruption Analysis – BTC/USD 1. Questionable Bullish Bias The chart labels the structure as "Bullish," but the current setup looks more like a potential distribution phase than a healthy continuation pattern. The price is moving sideways with declining volume, suggesting buyers are losing strength. 2. Volume Discrepancy Notice the spike in volume during the sharp move up, followed by flat candles and lower volume. This is typical of a "pump and fade" structure, where large players exit after a rapid price move, leaving retail traders with poor entries. 3. Resistance Not Clearly Broken Price failed to sustain above 105,800–106,000, indicating that the resistance zone remains valid. The recent rejection candles near this level suggest sellers are active and overhead pressure is strong. 4. Descending Into Compression The blue "descending" structure before the sideways move may signal a bearish flag or a pause before further downside—not necessarily a bullish sign. 5. False Reversal Warning The bullish pattern drawn with zig-zags (implying consolidation before continuation) could actually be setting up a bull trap. If price fakes a bounce and then breaks below 104,800, a sharper decline toward the 103,000 target could accelerate quickly.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by Gold_Free_Signals
Bitcoin - Looking To Buy Pullbacks In The Short TermM15 - Strong bullish move. No opposite signs. Currently it looks like a pullback is happening. Expecting further continuation higher until the two Fibonacci support zones hold. If you enjoy this idea, don’t forget to LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌, and COMMENT ✍! Drop your thoughts and charts below to keep the discussion going. Your support helps keep this content free and reach more people! 🚀 --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
EIGHTCAP:BTCUSDLong
by VladimirRibakov