BTCUSD trade ideas
BTC: Is the other shoe going to drop?The move up from June 5th low has been in 3 waves. The current global economic situations have rattled the overall markets this week. Even though BTC is holding the 102k support so far, things are getting much weaker as time passes. If the 102 K support breaks, then we will most likely see a flush down to 95k-90k area. Personally, I will be cautious buyer there. Even a stroll down to 85k won't be super bearish long term. Anything below that might spell bad news. Starting small and assessing the situation will be key. I don't put stop loss on BTC. But, if price keeps getting lower highs, then, breaking 80k will be my signal to get out on the next spike and reassess the situation.
BTCUSD - LONGS📉 BTCUSD Reversion Setup – After the Drop
This dual-timeframe view of BTCUSD shows how the ELFIEDT RSI + Reversion Strategy identified an excellent buy opportunity following a sharp selloff — with signals printing on both the 1H and 15min charts, offering strong confluence for a recovery play.
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🟢 Here’s What Happened:
1. High-Volatility Drop Into Oversold Levels
BTC saw an aggressive downward move, likely driven by news or a liquidation event. Price pushed deep below the lower statistical deviation bands, entering a classic mean reversion zone.
2. 1H Timeframe – Strong “UP” Signal
The 1-hour chart printed a clean “UP” signal right after the bottom formed. This confirmed that the move had extended far beyond normal volatility and that RSI was signaling exhaustion.
3. 15min Timeframe – Supporting Signal with Early RSI Recovery
Shortly before the 1H signal, the 15min chart had already printed an “UP” signal of its own — with RSI sharply recovering from deeply oversold conditions. This served as an early entry signal, with the higher timeframe confirming the broader move.
4. Sharp Bounce Followed
After the signals aligned, BTCUSD quickly rallied over $2,000 off the lows, offering a clean and profitable reversion move.
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✅ How to Use This Type of Setup:
• Watch for aggressive price drops or spikes that push outside statistical volatility bands.
• Look for an “UP” or “DOWN” signal on the lower timeframe (15min) for early entry opportunities.
• Then look for confirmation on the higher timeframe (1H) to strengthen your confidence in the trade.
• RSI recovery across both timeframes adds a momentum-based edge to the mean reversion logic.
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🎯 Why This Worked:
This trade worked because multiple signals lined up at once:
• Deep price extension
• Oversold RSI
• Volume-driven spike
• Multi-timeframe signal agreement
This confluence increases the probability of success and helps avoid false entries during volatility.
Bitcoin at a Generational Crossroads : The $115k Decision Point Chart: BTC/USD, Monthly Timeframe
Bias: Neutral to Bearish if key resistance holds.
Idea: This is a long-term analysis based on historical price action within a multi-year channel.
Summary (The Thesis):
This analysis looks at Bitcoin's price action on the monthly chart, contained within a large, ascending parallel channel that has defined bull and bear cycles for years. We are currently testing the upper boundary of this channel, a historical resistance zone.
My thesis is that the $110,000 - $115,000 zone represents a critical decision point for the entire market. A failure to decisively break above this level could initiate a significant, multi-month pullback to reset market sentiment and gather liquidity before the next major leg up.
The Macro Analysis (The "Why") :
The Ascending Channel: As you can see on the monthly chart, Bitcoin's price has respected this ascending channel since 2017. The upper line has consistently acted as a major distribution zone and cycle top (marked with red arrows), while the lower line has served as a generational buying opportunity (marked with green arrows). We are currently at the upper line.
Historical Resistance: History shows that the first test of this upper channel boundary is rarely successful. The price often requires a significant consolidation or a deep correction before it can muster the strength to break into a new price paradigm.
Market Mechanics & Liquidity: From a market mechanics perspective, a massive number of longs have entered the market since the move up from the $70k-$75k range. A "huge pullback" would serve to liquidate these late, over-leveraged positions, allowing market makers to absorb liquidity and build the necessary foundation for a sustainable break of the all-time high later on.
BTC/USD Faces Key Support—What’s Next for Bitcoin? FenzoFx—Bitcoin dipped from its $112,000 monthly high, now trading near $104,900. Liquidity was swept, forming immediate support at $102,746.
Stochastic signals an oversold market, suggesting potential consolidation or an uptrend resumption. BTC/USD must close above $105,706 for bullish momentum, targeting $112,000.
A rejection at $102,746 may invalidate bullish outlooks, driving BTC toward $100,377.
BTCBitcoin experienced a significant drop due to the news about the war in Iran. The price tested a lower support level and then rebounded from that point. We'll have to monitor how the situation in the war unfolds in the coming days. If the price breaks below $103,000, it could fall to the support area between $100,000 and $101,000.
BTCUSD (BITCOIN) Selling From key resistance 111.700BTCUSD BREAKOUT ALERT
BTCUSD has recently broken out from the ascending channel and is currently experiencing strong selling pressure after hitting the key resistance level at $111,700.
🔻 Technical Targets 🔻
1st Target: $105,400
2nd Target: $101,600
📊 Time Frame: 4-Hour
Stay tuned for more updates and insights on the market! 🚀
💬 Don't forget to like, follow, and comment below for more real-time analysis.
BTCUSD testing ascending channel Fundamental:
Bitcoin reels from geopolitical shockwaves as markets brace for an escalation of Middle East tensions.
Meanwhile, spot bitcoin ETFs saw outflows exceeding 200 mln USD, reflecting weaker institutional appetite.
With global markets faltering, volatility remaining elevated, and sentiment fragile, risk assets like bitcoin face renewed pressure.
Technical:
BTCUSD retreated below the ascending channel's upper bound and is currently testing the channel's lower bound and Ichimoku Cloud. If BTCUSD breaks the channel's lower bound and psychological level at 100000, the price could extend its decline to the following support at 92500. Conversely, a rebound from the channel's lower bound and break above the resistance at 11200 could prompt a further rise toward the channel's resistance and Fibonacci Confluence levels near 120000.
$BTC Post Market update - Bearish MenaceHello Fellow Gamblers,
In this video I talk about our current bullish scenario and bring back the bearish scenario that I shared with you a few days ago since they are both still at play.
- We need the 4h to close above 104k and to reject the trendline for the bullish scenario to play out. A close below 104k will take us to a really dangerous zone at that 101k and increase the chances for the bearish scenario to playout.
- Levels to watch: 110.5k, 106.8k, 104.3k, 101k.
BTC - No champange toast Well, that was unfortunate. BTC too the very beating that was forecasted. Demonstrating the power of the combined methods that I use. Murrey Math, Elliot Wave, and K wave ( Kumar Wave ) We have a small chance, in the low single digits to recover from this. But the Lions share of probability remains with the Re test down toward $84k. I will update more later. That chart is in my profile. Good luck.
BTCETH parabolic run pointing towards 100:1Historically, during bull markets, Ethereum frequently surpassed Bitcoin at various moments.
However, this time around, that trend has not materialised, leading to a decline in investor confidence.
With capital exiting the ETH market, sentiment has soured, and critical indicators are revealing significant losses.
Unless a robust bullish turnaround occurs, Ethereum's struggle may persist, as the market currently favors Bitcoin as the more secure option.
However once this parabola breaks, we could see a strong snap back reaction in favour of the more riskier #ALTS, #DEFI and #MEMES as #ETH is still the home for stablecoin issuance and still the most trusted secure smart contract blockchain available.
BTC NEXT TARGET BUY 110K MORE Bitcoin Alert! 🚨
BTC is showing strong momentum and the market is heating up! 🔥
Current levels present a strategic buy opportunity before the next big move.
📈 Targeting $110K–$115K in the coming wave — and the breakout could be explosive.
💰 Accumulate now before the FOMO kicks in.
📊 Smart traders are already positioning.
⏳ Time is limited — don’t watch from the sidelines.
This could be the move that defines the next phase of the bull run.
Stay ahead. Stay informed. Stay invested. 🧠🚀
#Bitcoin #BTC #CryptoAlert #BullRun #CryptoNews #BitcoinTarget #BTCNextMove #CryptoTradin