86K for another short sellMorning folks,
So, not occasionally we said in previous 2-3 updates that BTC action doesn't look bullish and we suggest a new nosedive. Now we have bearish engulfing pattern on weekly chart . And consider these two Fib levels for another short entry attempt. Of course, 86K would be just perfect, but it could start earlier. One of the possible shapes we consider a downside butterfly.
In general, re-test of 70-73K area on average fits to our long-term view.
In a case if 86K will be broken, it could mean that market is tending to 93.5K target, based on daily AB=CD pattern . But we consider this scenario as less probable due on overall BTC heavy performance in a recent few weeks.
Thus, for now, if you want to make a scalp long trade, you could try, but better to set initial target not higher than 86K.
Our major scenario is bearish and we consider 84K and 86K Fib levels for accumulation of a bearish position, unless something extraordinary will happen.
Profit to everybody, Peace.
BTCUSD trade ideas
Bitcoin (BTC/USD) Technical Analysis: Breakout or Rejection at K200 EMA (Blue Line): 84,124 โ This is a long-term trend indicator.
30 EMA (Red Line): 83,925 โ A short-term trend indicator.
Key Levels
Resistance Point: Around 83,925 (marked in blue).
Support Zone: Around 82,184 (Stop Loss zone).
Target Point: 88,197, indicating a potential 6.34% upside.
Potential Trade Setup
Scenario 1 (Bullish Case):
If price breaks above resistance (83,925) and EMA 200, then a move towards 88,197 is expected.
A breakout confirmation might lead to an uptrend continuation.
Scenario 2 (Bearish Case):
If price rejects at resistance (83,925) and falls back below the support zone (82,184), a downward move could happen.
Pattern Analysis:
The chart suggests a potential accumulation phase before a breakout.
Possible retest of resistance before a rally.
Conclusion
Bullish above 83,925, targeting 88,197.
Bearish below 82,184, with potential downside.
Price action near the 200 EMA is crucial for the next move.
Technical Analysis of BTC/USD (1H Chart)1. Support & Resistance Levels
Resistance Zone (~87,000 - 88,000): BTC recently rejected from this zone, showing selling pressure.
Current Price (~83,522): Trading near a key level, with recent bearish momentum.
Support Levels:
82,450: A short-term support zone where price may react.
78,764: A major support level if the price continues downward.
2. Market Structure & Trend
BTC saw a strong bullish rally up to 87,000 before a sharp decline.
A lower high formation indicates possible trend reversal.
Price currently consolidating between 84,713 and 82,450.
A break below 82,450 could trigger a bearish move toward 78,764.
3. Candlestick Pattern & Price Action
Large bearish candle from 87,000 suggests strong selling pressure.
Price formed a bearish rejection wick, confirming resistance.
Expect a pullback toward 84,500 before further downside.
4. Potential Scenarios
Bearish Scenario: Rejection from 84,500 โ Break below 82,450 โ Drop towards 78,764.
Bullish Scenario: If BTC reclaims 84,500, it could retest 87,000.
Coming recesion?
Tomorrow I m bullish predicting 5 waves UP from here.
The oracle
in 2000 when the dot.com bubble burst, I wanted to know for sure, before everyone else that a recession is coming. From extensive research I learned the signs of a BEAR market coming. one the flight to quality, traders fearing to buy stocks rush into the 1 year T bill, gold, REITS, sin stocks that never go down in a Recession. Two the technical indicator? The 50 day EMA crossing down and going under the 200 EMA,
those born before 2008 or rmember 2000 don't hav. clue what a real reccision is, it is a 50% selloff and lasts years, ys the 50 day EMA crossed below the 200 EMA a few times where you could not be long, but tey were short and soon overrun bu the Elliot Supercycle Bull market is
BITCOIN Stock Chart Fibonacci Analysis 040225Trading Idea
1) Find a FIBO slingshot
2) Check FIBO 61.80% level
3) Entry Point > 84,700/61.80%
Chart time frame: C
A) 15 min(1W-3M)
B) 1 hr(3M-6M)
C) 4 hr(6M-1year)
D) 1 day(1-3years)
Stock progress: B
A) Keep rising over 61.80% resistance
B) 61.80% resistance
C) 61.80% support
D) Hit the bottom
E) Hit the top
Stocks rise as they rise from support and fall from resistance. Our goal is to find a low support point and enter. It can be referred to as buying at the pullback point. The pullback point can be found with a Fibonacci extension of 61.80%. This is a step to find entry level. 1) Find a triangle (Fibonacci Speed Fan Line) that connects the high (resistance) and low (support) points of the stock in progress, where it is continuously expressed as a Slingshot, 2) and create a Fibonacci extension level for the first rising wave from the start point of slingshot pattern.
When the current price goes over 61.80% level , that can be a good entry point, especially if the SMA 100 and 200 curves are gathered together at 61.80%, it is a very good entry point.
As a great help, tradingview provides these Fibonacci speed fan lines and extension levels with ease. So if you use the Fibonacci fan line, the extension level, and the SMA 100/200 curve well, you can find an entry point for the stock market. At least you have to enter at this low point to avoid trading failure, and if you are skilled at entering this low point, with fibonacci6180 technique, your reading skill to chart will be greatly improved.
If you want to do day trading, please set the time frame to 5 minutes or 15 minutes, and you will see many of the low point of rising stocks.
If want to prefer long term range trading, you can set the time frame to 1 hr or 1 day.
Bitcoin Update: Testing Critical Resistance LevelsCurrent Market Analysis
Bitcoin is currently in a crucial position as it challenges the resistance of the downtrend channel.
The current price action shows that Bitcoin is testing a significant technical level that has acted as resistance throughout the recent downtrend. What makes this particular test interesting is that the supply signature appears to be weakening compared to previous instances when Bitcoin approached this resistance level.
The Importance of the Confluence Level
This represents a critical confluence point where multiple technical factors align, creating a stronger resistance zone. Breaking above this level would be technically significant as it could trigger what analysts refer to as a "Change of Behavior" in Bitcoin's price action.
A Change of Behavior often precedes larger trend reversals, making this current test particularly noteworthy for market participants trying to determine Bitcoin's next major move. However, caution remains the prevailing sentiment until confirmation occurs.
What Needs to Happen Next
The market remains skeptical about Bitcoin's ability to continue higher without first clearing this technical hurdle. This reflects the technical reality that downtrend channels often require decisive breaks on higher volume to confirm their invalidation. While early signs appear promising with selling pressure seemingly diminishing, a clear breakout has not yet materialized.
Volume Requirements for Confirmation
A key component missing from the current picture is sufficient trading volume to support a breakout. This highlights an important technical principle in market analysis: significant technical breaks generally require increased volume to validate the move and increase the probability of continuation. Without this volume component, fake breakouts become more likely, potentially trapping buyers who entered positions prematurely.
To summarize the current Bitcoin situation:
Price is testing the resistance of the downtrend channel
Supply signature (selling pressure) appears to be weakening
A break above the confluence level could trigger a Change of Behavior
Confirmation requires breaking above resistance with increased volume
While early signs of weakening selling pressure provide some optimism, a cautious stance remains appropriate until Bitcoin can decisively break above the confluence resistance level with appropriate volume confirmation.
Traders and investors should watch for this potential breakout, as it could signal a more significant shift in Bitcoin's price trend if the technical conditions described are met in the coming trading sessions.
BTC/USD Bullish Breakout from Rectangle PatternOverview:
The chart represents Bitcoin's price action against the US Dollar on the 1-hour timeframe, highlighting a Rectangle Pattern Breakout with a well-structured trade setup. This analysis will break down the pattern, key levels, and possible trading scenarios.
1๏ธโฃ Chart Pattern Breakdown โ Rectangle Consolidation
The price has been moving within a rectangle pattern (range-bound movement), where Bitcoin found support at lower levels and faced resistance at the upper boundary.
Rectangle Pattern: A continuation/consolidation pattern where price fluctuates between horizontal resistance and support before breaking out.
Curve Formation: The price action within the rectangle also forms a rounding bottom, indicating a potential shift from bearish to bullish sentiment.
Breakout Confirmation: BTC has broken out from the rectangle, suggesting bullish momentum.
2๏ธโฃ Key Technical Levels
๐น Support Level ($84,110)
This zone has acted as a strong demand area, preventing the price from falling further.
Buyers consistently stepped in at this level, making it a significant psychological floor for Bitcoin.
๐น Resistance Level ($86,850 - $87,000 Zone)
This level had previously rejected upward movements, leading to multiple price pullbacks.
After the breakout, this area is expected to act as a new support level upon a retest.
๐น Target Price ($89,931 โ Next Resistance Zone)
If the breakout sustains, the next key target for bulls is around $89,931, based on prior resistance zones and technical projections.
๐น Stop Loss ($84,110 โ Below Support Zone)
A stop loss below the support zone ensures risk management in case of a false breakout.
3๏ธโฃ Trading Strategy & Execution
๐ Entry Point โ After price confirms the breakout above the rectangleโs resistance. Traders should wait for:
A pullback and retest of the broken resistance, which should now act as support.
A strong bullish candle confirming continuation.
๐ Take Profit (TP) โ $89,931, based on historical resistance levels and price projection from the rectangle range.
๐ Stop Loss (SL) โ Placed at $84,110, below the rectangleโs previous support zone to minimize downside risk.
๐ Risk-to-Reward Ratio (RRR) โ The setup offers a favorable RRR, meaning potential profits outweigh the risks.
4๏ธโฃ Market Sentiment & Additional Factors
โ Bullish Outlook โ The breakout signals strong buying interest and potential upside continuation.
โ Volume Confirmation โ Traders should monitor volume spikes during the breakout to confirm institutional participation.
โ Economic Events & News โ External factors like macroeconomic data or Bitcoin-related news can impact price action.
Conclusion โ BTC/USD Trading Setup
Pattern Identified: Rectangle Pattern Breakout
Current Trend: Bullish breakout from consolidation
Trade Type: Long position (Buy setup)
Key Levels:
โ
Support: $84,110
โ
Resistance: $86,850 - $87,000
โ
Target: $89,931
โ
Stop Loss: $84,110
๐ฅ Final Thought : Bitcoin has broken out of a key consolidation range, signaling a bullish move towards $89,931. Traders should wait for confirmation and manage risk accordingly! ๐๐
Bitcoin - What's Next?We have seen a major 3 Wave (Minor Wave I, II, III) Bullish completion on Bitcoin. What do you think the next move is? For those who understand the BASICS of the Elliott Wave Theory, will easily know what is happening next. I have explained for free plenty of times in this channel, how many waves are in a full bullish or bearish cycle๐ฅ
BTC TRIANGLEThe daily Bitcoin chart is taking shape inside a symmetrical triangle, formed by a clear series of lower highs and higher lows since the local top in early March. These converging diagonal support and resistance lines are setting up for a breakout โ or breakdown โ in the coming days or weeks. Price is currently squeezing toward the apex, hovering just below the key 50-day moving average.
This kind of coiling price action often precedes a large move. The 200-day moving average is currently acting as resistance, while the 50 MA looms above as resistance as well. A break of the downtrend line would likely flip market sentiment more bullish, especially if confirmed with strong volume. Conversely, a drop below the rising trendline would invalidate the current series of higher lows and could usher in a deeper retracement.
Keep an eye on volume โ the move out of this structure could be fast and violent.
Bitcoin Rejection from Resistance โ Short Setup with Bullish PotBitcoin is currently testing a key resistance zone around $85,500, where previous price action showed strong selling pressure. A rejection from this level could lead to a short-term pullback towards $83,750 - $83,250 , aligning with a retest of the broken trendline before a potential bullish continuation.
๐น Entry: $85,200 - $85,500
๐น Stop-Loss (SL): $86,000
๐น Take-Profit (TP): $83,750, with potential long re-entry from this zone targeting $86,000+
๐ Watch for price action confirmation within the resistance zone before entering. If BTC holds above $85,500, the bullish breakout could accelerate. ๐
BTCUSD 1H Analysis: Key Levels for Bullish & Bearish ScenariosBitcoin (BTC/USD) is currently trading at a critical level, where price action could determine the next major move. Hereโs a detailed breakdown of my analysis:
1๏ธโฃ Bullish Scenario
โข BTC has been in a short-term uptrend after bouncing from key support.
โข A break and retest of the mid-range resistance (marked on the chart) could confirm continuation to the upside.
โข If price successfully holds above this level, the next target will be the upper resistance zone (~87,000 - 88,000 USD).
โข Confirmation signs: A strong bullish close above resistance and retest as support.
2๏ธโฃ Bearish Scenario
โข If price fails to break above resistance and gets rejected, it could trigger a sell-off.
โข A break below the current support zone would increase bearish pressure, leading to a potential drop toward 81,000 - 82,000 USD.
โข Confirmation signs: A strong bearish rejection at resistance or breakdown of key support with volume.
3๏ธโฃ Key Levels to Watch
โข Resistance 1: Mid-range zone (~85,000 USD)
โข Resistance 2: Upper target (~87,000 - 88,000 USD)
โข Support 1: 83,000 USD
โข Support 2: 81,000 - 82,000 USD
4๏ธโฃ Risk Management & Confluences
โข Confluences for Long Setup:
โข Higher lows formation.
โข Retest of broken resistance turning into support.
โข Increasing volume on breakout.
โข Confluences for Short Setup:
โข Double top or rejection at resistance.
โข Lower timeframe bearish divergence (RSI/MACD).
โข Break of recent higher low structure.
Final Thoughts:
Bitcoin is at a decision point. Iโll be watching for a breakout confirmation or a rejection to determine my trade.
Let me know in the comments โ are you bullish or bearish on BTC?
Bitcoin Falling WedgeBitcoin (BTC/USD) Daily Chart Analysis โ April 2, 2025
Market Structure & Pattern:
Bitcoin is currently trading around $84,346, experiencing a slight decline of -0.97% for the day.
The chart shows a falling wedge pattern, a potential bullish reversal structure. A breakout above the upper trendline could signal upward momentum.
Key support at $74,400, marked by a strong horizontal level.
Major resistance near $100,000 - $105,000, where sellers may become aggressive.
Potential Scenarios:
Bullish Breakout:
If BTC breaks above the falling wedge resistance, the next target would be $100,000 - $105,000.
Confirmation would come with increased volume and a break above $90,000.
Bearish Breakdown:
Failure to hold the $74,400 support could result in a decline towards $55,000 - $50,000, a historical demand zone.
RSI (Relative Strength Index) is at 47, near the neutral zone, meaning BTC is not yet in oversold territory.
Key Levels to Watch:
Resistance: $90,000 โ $100,000 - $105,000
Support: $74,400 โ $55,000 - $50,000
Breakout confirmation: Above $90,000
Breakdown confirmation: Below $74,000
Trading Strategy:
Long entry: If BTC breaks and closes above $90,000, targeting $100,000+.
Short entry: If BTC loses $74,400 support, targeting $55,000.
Conclusion:
The falling wedge suggests a potential breakout, but BTC needs to clear $90,000 for bullish confirmation.
The RSI is neutral, indicating BTC is neither overbought nor oversold.
Monitor volume for breakout confirmation.
BITCOIN BEARS ARE GAINING STRENGTH|SHORT
BITCOIN SIGNAL
Trade Direction: short
Entry Level: 84,174.20
Target Level: 80,643.17
Stop Loss: 86,519.44
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 3h
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
โ
LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEASโ
Bitcoin (BTC/USD) Price Analysis: Bearish Breakdown Ahead?๐ฅ Bitcoin (BTC/USD) 1-Hour Chart Analysis ๐ฅ
๐น Trend Analysis:
๐ก Price was moving in an ascending channel ๐ but has broken below the trendline.
๐ A retest of the broken trendline is happening, suggesting a potential drop ๐.
๐น Trade Setup:
๐ฝ Short Entry: Expected rejection from the trendline.
โ Stop Loss: $85,671 - $85,710 (Above resistance).
โ
Take Profit Target: $81,386 - $81,347 (Bearish target ๐ฏ).
๐น Indicators & Confirmation:
๐ EMA (9) at $84,254 โ Acting as resistance ๐ง.
๐ Break & Retest Pattern โ Typical for a bearish continuation ๐๐.
๐น Conclusion:
โ ๏ธ Bearish Bias: If the price rejects the trendline, it could drop towards $81,386 ๐ฏ.
๐จ Invalidation: If the price breaks above $85,710, the short setup is canceled โ.
Bitcoin Elliott Wave Analysis โ Key Breakout Levels to WatchBitcoin Elliott Wave Analysis โ Key Levels to Watch
๐ Bitcoin is currently at a critical decision point, and hereโs my analysis based on Elliott Wave Theory and trend structures.
๐น Wave Structure Analysis
The price appears to be following a five-wave impulse structure.
Wave (3) has extended well beyond Wave (1), confirming the impulse pattern.
Wave (4) has respected key support levels and has not overlapped with Wave (1), maintaining a valid Elliott Wave structure.
๐น Key Scenarios to Watch
โ
Bullish Scenario (Wave 5 Expansion) ๐ข
If Bitcoin breaks above the previous Wave (1) high, it could confirm Wave (5) continuation.
A breakout with strong volume could push BTC toward $109K - $130K levels.
โ ๏ธ Bearish Scenario (Trend Break) ๐ด
If the price fails to hold the trendline and breaks below $73,764, we could see a drop toward the $50K demand zone.
A confirmed trendline breakdown would indicate a deeper correction before any further bullish continuation.
๐น What to Watch?
๐ Breakout confirmation above resistance
๐ Trendline support reaction
๐ Volume & momentum indicators (RSI, MACD)
๐ฌ Let me know your thoughts! Do you think BTC will hit new highs or face a correction? ๐๐ฅ
This should be engaging and informative for the TradingView community! Let me know if you want any tweaks. ๐๐
Could the Bitcoin bounce from here?The price is falling towards the pivot which lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 83,509.64
1st Support: 81,260.77
1st Resistance: 88,031.16
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