BTCUSD trade ideas
BTC on high time frame
"Hello, focusing on BTC on high time frames, the price has pulled back to a significant zone around $75,000 and is currently showing bullish momentum. The next target appears to be the 4-hour order block located at $98,000."
If you need further assistance or have any specific questions, feel free to ask!
Bitcoin Technical AnalysisFenzoFx— Bitcoin began consolidating after peaking at $98,000, dipping toward the $93,565 support and now trading slightly above it. The Stochastic Oscillator sits below 25, suggesting BTC is oversold and may rebound.
Immediate support lies at $92,565. If this level holds, the uptrend could resume, targeting $98,000, with potential to push toward the $99,560 resistance if buying pressure increases.
Bearish Scenario: A drop below $91,720 would invalidate the bullish outlook, potentially extending the decline to $88,830.
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Market Overview (May 5, 2025)
📊 Key Metrics
1. Funding Rate: -0.0024% (on Binance)
— traders are paying to hold short positions, signaling bearish pressure
2. Open Interest (OI): $27.5B, down –3.13% in 24h
— positions are closing, possibly due to liquidations or profit-taking
3. ETF Inflows: +$674.9M (on May 2)
— strong institutional demand, especially into BlackRock’s IBIT
4. Fear & Greed Index: 52 (Neutral)
— sentiment has stabilized after a period of greed
⸻
📈 Market Movement Probability
• Upward: 55%
(potential short squeeze fueled by ETF inflows)
• Downward: 45%
(OI is dropping, market losing momentum)
⸻
Disclaimer: This information is not financial advice and should not be used as the sole basis for investment decisions.
My view on BTC around $95K zoneMy view on BTC around $95K zone
Following my previous analysis, BTC has retraced back to around $95K zone.
If the zone continues to hold, we should expect BTC to continue to rally towards north.
Lets keep our eyes on $100K target if the support zone of $95 holds strong
AI BTC Prediction Next 24–48 Hours !May 3, 2025, 11:13 pm. BTC/USD. BTC/USD Trading Plan
Timeframe: Next 24–48 Hours
Long Scenario
- Entry: 96,550 (confirmed close above 96,500 with rising volume + RSI > 50).
- SL: 95,700 (below immediate support 95,800).
- TP: 96,800 (below resistance 97,000).
- Trailing Stop: 1.5x ATR (~162 pips) after surpassing 96,800.
- Confirmation: MACD histogram reversal + Bollinger Band breakout above midline.
Short Scenario
- Entry: 95,750 (confirmed close below 95,800 with rising volume + RSI < 40).
- SL: 96,600 (above resistance 96,500).
- TP: 95,200 (above support 95,000).
- Trailing Stop: 1x ATR (~108 pips) after breaking 95,500.
- Confirmation: Supertrend remains bearish + EMA crossover downward.
Technical Analysis for FX,Indices and many More!(5May-9May2025)Hello fellow traders , my regular and new friends!
Which pairs or instruments should we keep a look out for?
For me I am looking at :
GbpAud and probably EurAud for shorts
BTC likely to continue upwards move
Majors to turn lower against USD
Precious metals like copper and silver to bear more, Gold too.
This coming week is packed with interest rate decision, how?What to do?
Do check out my recorded video for more insights!
Do Like and Boost if you have learnt something and enjoyed the content, thank you!
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Short trade
📘 Trade Journal Entry — BTCUSD (Sell Side)
🗓 Date: Saturday, 3rd May 2025
⏰ Time: 6:00 PM
📍 Session: New York to Tokyo (PM transition)
🪙 Pair: BTC/USD
📉 Direction: Short (Sell Side)
🔹 Entry Details:
Entry Price: 96,016.41
Take Profit: 96,367.58 (+0.91%)
Stop Loss: 96,160.45 (—0.15% )
Risk-Reward Ratio: 6.08
🔹 Trade Context:
Entered during the NY–Tokyo overlap, a transitional liquidity period often ripe for reversals and stop hunts, this was a short-side play aiming to fade into an inefficiency fill.
H# This code will create a visual representation of the BTC/USD price action over the specified period.
import matplotlib.pyplot as plt
import pandas as pd
import numpy as np
# Generating synthetic data for the BTC/USD price action based on the description
# Dates from October 1, 2024, to January 1, 2025
dates = pd.date_range(start='2024-10-01', end='2025-01-01', freq='D')
# Simulating price data with a strong upward trend
np.random.seed(0) # For reproducibility
price = np.linspace(45000, 103647, len(dates)) + np.random.normal(0, 2000, len(dates))
# Creating a DataFrame
btc_data = pd.DataFrame({'Date': dates, 'Price': price})
# Plotting the data
plt.figure(figsize=(12, 6))
plt.plot(btc_data , btc_data , color='blue', label='BTC/USD Price')
plt.title('BTC/USD Price Action (Oct 2024 - Jan 2025)')
plt.xlabel('Date')
plt.ylabel('Price (USD)')
plt.axhline(y=103647, color='red', linestyle='--', label='High: 103,647')
plt.axhline(y=58667, color='green', linestyle='--', label='Low: 58,867')
plt.legend()
plt.grid()
plt.xticks(rotation=45)
plt.tight_layout()
# Saving the plot as an image
plt.savefig('btc_usd_price_action.png')
plt.show()
BTC Outlook May 2025CRYPTO:BTCUSD
Bitcoin Nears Major Resistance – What Comes Next?
As of this writing, Bitcoin is trading around $96,000, climbing steadily as it approaches what I believe is a critical resistance zone between $98,000 and $102,000. This area has the potential to act as a major turning point.
If Bitcoin can break through and hold above the $102,000 level, I believe there's a strong chance we see continued momentum pushing the price toward $120,000 or even higher. However, if Bitcoin is rejected at this resistance zone, it could mark the beginning of a retracement, with the next major support area appearing around the $71,000 level.
This zone of resistance is, in my view, one of the most important to watch in the current cycle. Whether Bitcoin can establish new support above it—or get turned away—could shape the trajectory for the rest of the year.
Previous Bitcoin Outlook
Disclaimer: The views expressed in this article are my personal opinions and should not be considered financial or investment advice. Trading cryptocurrencies involves significant risk, and you should always do your own research and consult with a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Entry and exit strategy for Bitcoin pt4Hello future crypto-millionaires :-)
So far my analysis seems to be quite accurate and the monthly RSI (data not shown) hit an overbought level EXXAAACCTLY as in August/September 2017 (orange line). If the pattern and retracement (-40%) will repeat itself (blue lines in the right top) then we should enter a surprising but short-term correction (6-8 weeks) with strong support at $39/41k.
According to BTC.D, dominance is falling sharply and will keep going down for another few weeks, in the meantime ETH and other altcoins should pump up... STRONK!
Seems like a huge amount of good altcoin projects e.g. BNB will irreversibly steal Bitcoins Dominance forever. In my opinion, the new BTC.D high will be in a range of 55% after this supercycle will end up in autumn/winter 2021.
Part 3
Part 2
Part 1
Please check my other plots, including the prediction of BNBUSD based on long-term wave/fractals.
Entry and exit strategy for Bitcoin pt3Hello again, I know that some of you are not in favour of Pi Cycle Top Indicator or even RSI but seems like there is too many signals at once indicating intermediate TOP in the price of Bitcoin!
According to MACD etc. this price pullback may be... brutal and will scare many, many early investors! I see price moving down to 40k or even lower so, either you HODL or sell now and re-buy when the price will be closer to support levels - two scenarios visible on the plot. In the long term perspective, we are in the middle of a bull run (according to many Glassnode indicators) so, don't let this pullback shake you off!
Entry and exit strategy for Bitcoin pt2 - Pi Cycle Top crossed, published early April
Entry and exit strategy for Bitcoin pt1 - first RSI bubble is exactly at the point of dotted line, published in late February
Long trade Pair BTCUSD
Buyside trade
Sat 3rd May 25
1.30 PM
NY Session pm
Entry 96016.41
Profit level 95952.34 (0.37%)
Stop level (0.07%)
RR 5.53
Reason: Price seemed to be at a pivotal demand zone (FVG) making a sweep of LND liquidity into NY session for a buyside trade idea.
1min TF entry and overview
SOL/USD AI Prediction!Apr 29, 2025 SOL/USD Trading Strategy
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Long Scenario
- Entry: 147.50 (confirmed if price holds above Supertrend 147.04 + MACD bullish).
- Stop-Loss: 146.50 (below Supertrend support).
- Take-Profit: 149.80 (near 150 resistance) & 152.50 (below 153 peak).
- Trailing Stop: 1.5x ATR (1.15 points) after breaching 149.
Short Scenario
- Entry: 146.50 (confirmed if price breaks Supertrend 147.04 + MACD bearish crossover).
- Stop-Loss: 147.50 (above Supertrend flip level).
- Take-Profit: 145.30 (below 145.45 panic low) & 139.80 (near 140 target).
- Trailing Stop: 1.5x ATR (1.15 points) after breaking 145.
Re-Evaluate Forecast If:
1. Price closes above 150 (bullish invalidation) or below 145 (bearish acceleration).
2. RSI crosses 70 (overbought) or drops below 40 (bearish momentum).
3. Supertrend flips direction or volume exceeds 20,000.
Confirmation Tools: Supertrend, MACD crossover, RSI trend.
Risk Note: Avoid overbought/oversold traps; adjust stops away from S/R. Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Crypto markets are highly volatile and speculative. Always do your own research and consult a qualified financial advisor before investing. You could lose your entire investment.
how my random lines can work so wellI am honestly not an expert at all, but after the few course I took on TA it seems i am drawing lines that BTC follows... who knows maybe I have a super power... haha imagine. but more seriously I think we are about to breakout. this summer july or august be ready for a big pump
Bitcoin vs Nasdaq for this cycleSo many people say bitcoin is like high beta nasdaq, but that is not the case if you plot the historical chart.
Bitcoin just goes up against everything on the long term.
Now if we compare to previous cycles, and apply the fibonacci retracements, we can see the previous cycle top was BTC = 1.618 times de Nasdaq 100 index.
Assuming the same fibo retracement, the top for this cycle would take us around 7 times nasdaq 100, which would be around 140k USD at current prices. Now depending on what nasdaq does, and assuming it goes up to previous highs, we would be talking about 150k USD.
Now, I think this is a pretty conservative estimate given that we are in a global debt crisis, and that bitcoin will position itself as a neutral risk-off asset for investors who do not want to take other risks due to tariffs, deflation, debt refinancing etc.
I think a better estimate is around 10-12 times nasdaq, which could take us to 250-300k USD top, which matches the estimate when comparting btc to gold (see my previous idea).