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BTCUSD trade ideas

BTC/USD (4H): Classic FRL short setup unfoldingTrading = capital management under uncertainty. Bitcoin is trading inside a clear descending channel on H4. Price recently tested the upper boundary of this channel while forming a bearish divergence on MACD. This divergence hints at a weakening upward phase, signaling a possible phase shift according to Fractal Reversal Law (FRL). Why is this a classic FRL setup? ✅ Phase Identification: The prior local upward phase within the descending channel is weakening. ✅ Reversal Pattern: A double top / wedge has formed at the upper boundary with a bearish divergence. ✅ Neckline: The neckline aligns with the MA100 cluster on H4, now acting as a horizontal rubicon. ✅ Confirmation: We wait for a full candle close below the neckline on H4 to confirm the phase shift. ✅ Targets: – TP1: Mid-channel grey zone. – TP2: Lower boundary of the channel. ✅ Stop: Above the recent highs or channel top, depending on your risk management. Plan: Wait for H4 close below neckline → enter short. Use the channel structure for target planning. Manage risk with a tight, structure-based stop. This is a clean FRL textbook scenario: Phase → Pattern → Neckline → Confirmation → Target. It aligns with the larger market structure, using the combination of price action, divergence, and structure clarity to guide your trade decisions.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by borschenkovitc
Why Bearish?Why are we falling and why do I think there will be no deep correction? 🗣The first is, of course, geopolitics, risks are growing again in the Middle East, 🗣The second is additional liquidity from the US government and mt GOX. 🗣A crisis of narratives, nothing very positive will happen in the next 2 months, and the seasonality in those months also does not give anything positive. 🗣Fears that key rates will be lowered will bring negativity to the market, as has been the case historically. Why these are not big problems? 💡Geopolitics. I don't want to delve into possible options, but in the basic version, I expect a repetition of the option as it was in April, after which the situation cooled down. 💡The market will absorb the liquidity here and as in the past, as we saw in the story with the sales of the German government. 💡I think there will be narratives, and seasonality does not show us a deep correction, only consolidation. 💡I consider that the negative will be only in snp500 and then very short-term. In general, lowering rates is positive, both for business and for risky assets such as cryptocurrencies. P.S. In the table of seasonality, I left only the necessary months, taking away bear years and too early years.
CRYPTO:BTCUSD
by FeelsStrategy
Current Pivot Points on the BtcUsd Pair📈 Classic Pivot Points (Daily Timeframe) Using yesterday’s data: High = $109,723.7 (Jul 3) Low = $108,544.8 Close = $108,590.5 investopedia.com +15 marketmilk.babypips.com +15 dailyforex.com +15 investing.com +1 coinlore.com +1 Compute: Pivot Point (PP) = (109723.7 + 108544.8 + 108590.5) / 3 ≈ $108,953.0 Resistance 1 (R1) = (2 × PP) – Low ≈ $109,361.2 Support 1 (S1) = (2 × PP) – High ≈ $108,182.3 Resistance 2 (R2) = PP + (High – Low) ≈ $109,912.0 Support 2 (S2) = PP – (High – Low) ≈ $108,023.0 These central and level lines offer key zones where price might reverse, pause, or breakout.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by ebenezerrobot
BTC CORRECTION MAY NOT BE OVER YET Dear Traders, Whilst I believe that BTC is still generally bullish, I also think it is important for traders to always pay attention to what price is doing and not what we think price is going to do, and this is simply what we mean by price action in simple terms. As we can see, the bullish momentum is generally slowing down and we have seen three attempts made by price to swing above the previous high of $112,000 that kept failing. We have also seen two Lower Lows (LLs) on the daily and a Lower High (LH) followed by a Double Top, which is currently seeing price pulling back and can be seen better in lower timeframes which may also be forming and giving us some bearish patterns. This is enough signal and warning for buyers to pay detailed attention to what is going on and look for high probability buy trade set up rather than emotional trading or placing random entries. I think there are 2 possible good options for buyers, the first is a buy-stop set up above the previous high of $112,000 up to the next psychological levels at $115,000 and $120,000. The next option would be to buy from the middle of the yet to be mitigated FVG below current price level but we must take cognizance of the order flow below it as price may also tap into it before going up. Sellers may consider a sell stop to the FVG or wait for confirmation, which is a bodily close below the immediate unmitigated Bullish OB. The summary of my idea is that, BTC may make another Lower High (LH) and Lower Low (LL) before the next Bullish Run but we just need to pay attention to what price is doing and not get carried away with our emotions. I remain neutral for now
CRYPTO:BTCUSD
by Olajireolapoju
BTC/USD – Intraday Rebound Before Possible Breakdown PairTimeframe: 1H Exchange: Bitstamp Bias: Bearish Posted by: Indonesia1945 Bitcoin is currently holding above the 107,273 support zone after a sharp intraday sell-off. The price has failed to break this key level decisively, which opens the possibility of a short-term rebound before further downside continuation. Technical Zone Identification: Immediate Support: 107,273 Resistance to Watch: 107,770 (former support turned resistance) Major Downside Target: 105,400 Indicator Support: Price trades below EMA 14, indicating ongoing bearish pressure. No bullish divergence on RSI, suggesting that any rebound may be corrective rather than trend-reversing.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by Indonesia1945
BTCUSD Halving Pic Cycle next top at 140 000 in next 3 MonthsFirst Halving (Nov 28, 2012) - Price at halving: ~$12. - Peak price: ~$1,150 (Nov 29, 2013, ~366 days later). Multiple: $1,150 / $12 ≈ 95.83x - Bottom after peak, before second halving (Jul 9, 2016): ~$185 (Jan 14, 2015, ~413 days after peak).Drop from peak: $1,150 to $185 = -83.9%. Price relative to halving: $185 / $12 ≈ 15.42x the halving price. Second Halving (Jul 9, 2016): - Price at halving: ~$651. - Peak price: ~$19,700 (Dec 17, 2017, ~526 days later). Multiple: $19,700 / $650 ≈ 30.31x. - Bottom after peak, before third halving (May 11, 2020): ~$3,122 (Dec 7, 2018, ~355 days after peak).Drop from peak: $19,700 to $3,122 = -84.2%. Price relative to halving: $3,122 / $650 ≈ 4.80x the halving price. Third Halving (May 11, 2020): - Price at halving: ~$8,800. - Peak price: ~$67,549 (Nov 8, 2021, ~546 days later). Multiple: $67,549 / $8,750 ≈ 7.72x. - Bottom after peak, before fourth halving (Apr 19, 2024): ~$15,479 (Nov 21, 2022, ~378 days after peak). Drop from peak: $67,549 to $15,479 = -77.1%. Price relative to halving: $15,479 / $8,750 ≈ 1.77x the halving price. Fourth halving (Apr 19, 2024): - Price $65,000. - Dipped to $49,577 on May 7, 2024 (18 days post-halving. Estimated multiple: ~2.21x (based on trend analysis). - Projected peak price August-November 2025: $64,000 × 2.21 ≈ $140,000. - Drop from peak: $30 000 August–September 2026 at 80% drop from peak and 0.5x of last Halving price Price Fifth Halving April 2028 $123456
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by viparmenia
BTCUSD 4hr Technical Analysis : Rejects $110K - Next TargetsOverview: Bitcoin is currently undergoing a significant technical correction after rejecting a strong resistance level. The 4-hour chart shows a decisive bearish breakdown, suggesting that the bulls are losing control and sellers are gaining momentum. As the price continues to fall, all eyes are now on the major support levels that could trigger a potential reversal—or further acceleration to the downside. 📊 Technical Breakdown: 1. Major Resistance Zone (~$110,000 – $111,000): This zone has acted as a strong supply area, where price has repeatedly failed to break through. Multiple rejections from this zone confirm it as a key distribution area, where large sellers are stepping in. The repeated failure to close above it shows market exhaustion at the highs. Multiple candle wicks and strong bearish closes around this area. Bull traps occurred after brief moves above this resistance, followed by sharp sell-offs. 2. Trendline Breakout: Previously, BTC had been respecting a rising ascending trendline, which served as dynamic support throughout the last rally. Recently, price broke below this trendline with strong bearish momentum. This marks a break in market structure. The trendline retest acted as resistance—textbook confirmation of the trend shift. 3. QFL (Quantity Following Line) Breakdown: The QFL zone, typically a bullish defense level, has failed to hold. This breakdown confirmed that bulls lost a critical level of control. Price briefly retested the QFL from below before continuing downward. This zone now acts as resistance, reinforcing the bearish outlook. 🔻 Downside Targets & Reversal Zones: ✅ Reversal Zone 1 (~$106,000): This minor support level provided minimal reaction and was quickly breached. Lack of volume or candle confirmation suggests weak buying interest here. ✅ Next Reversal Zone 2 (~$104,000): This zone has historical importance as a short-term demand area. Monitor closely for bullish candlestick patterns, volume spikes, or bullish divergences to assess potential bounce scenarios. ✅ Major Support Zone (~$102,000 – $100,000): This is the most critical level in the near term. Historically, price has reversed strongly from this zone, indicating strong buyer interest. If price breaks and closes below this level, expect a high-probability continuation towards the $98,000 psychological level or lower. 🧠 Market Psychology: The breakdown from the trendline and QFL indicates panic or profit-taking. Many late long positions are likely being liquidated. Smart money may be waiting at the $100K zone to accumulate, depending on market conditions and macro factors. 🎯 Trading Strategy Ideas: 🛑 For Bears (Shorts): Stay short below $110K resistance. Trail stop-loss above QFL zone or trendline breakdown. Look to take profit at $104K and $102K zones. Add to positions on confirmed bearish retests of broken supports. 📈 For Bulls (Longs): Wait for clear confirmation (e.g., bullish engulfing, double bottom, RSI divergence) near $104K or $102K before entering. Avoid catching falling knives—patience is key. Consider scaling in with smaller position sizes and tight stops. Watch for a reclaim of the QFL zone or a strong bounce from the $100K psychological level. 🧭 Bias: Bearish Structure: Lower highs & lower lows. Momentum: Selling volume increasing, bulls losing steam. Invalidation: A strong daily close above $111K would flip bias back to neutral/bullish. 🧩 Final Thoughts: Bitcoin is currently in a fragile state as it retraces from a failed breakout. With multiple key support zones ahead, the next few sessions will be critical in determining whether bulls can reclaim control or if we see deeper downside movement. Watch for signs of exhaustion from sellers or fresh accumulation zones to position accordingly.
CRYPTO:BTCUSDShort
by GoldMasterTrades
Bitcoin Eyes Breakout if Clears $114,000📊 Market Overview: • Bitcoin trades around $109,350, with an intraday high near $109,610 • Rosenberg Research notes BTC could rally ~6% to clear $114,000, potentially triggering a 25% rise to $143,000 on the back of ETF inflows, a weaker dollar, and Fed rate cut expectations 📉 Technical Analysis: •Key Resistance: ~$114,000; followed by the psychological $112,000 zone . •Nearest Support: $107,000 (prior highs/descending channel bottom) and key floor at $100,000 •EMA Levels: o Price consolidates near 50-day EMA ($105,800), a crucial confluence zone •Candlestick/Momentum: o RSI near 50 (neutral), o Flag pattern breakout suggests continuation potential 📌 Viewpoint: Bitcoin may extend its rally if it breaks above $114,000, targeting $137,000–$143,000. If rejected, a pullback toward $107,000 is likely before bouncing. 💡 Suggested Trading Strategy SELL BTC/USD at: $113,500–$114,000 🎯 TP: $110,000–$110,500 ❌ SL: $114,500 BUY BTC/USD at: $107,000–$108,000 🎯 TP: $112,000–$113,000 ❌ SL: $106,000
OANDA:BTCUSDLong
by Mian-FXSignals
$Bitcoin going to a Million $USD ? Happy 4th of July !May this 4th of July mark the Day of your Independence ! They say that the human brain has no parallels to its capacity for pattern recognition. I say it is not the brain, but the mind that recognizes the pattern ... the consciousness behind it. This chart shows the last 3 cycles ... we are just entering the 4th parabolic move, and I believe it will start when CRYPTOCAP:BTC crosses $113.5k USD per coin ... very soon indeed ! Many will say, but what happened to the 4 year cycle ? Isn't it scheduled to finish this October ? Well, I am no expert but it would appear that the cycle has lenghtened, at least this time around. Proof of it is the CRYPTOCAP:ETH chart ... the second biggest crypto by market cap. A few factors that you may consider, that perhaps affected the global business cycle, let's say they helped to delay it: the effect of Covid in 2020 and 2021, and as well the tariffs issue in 2025. What does this mean ? Well, physically it means that with the economies running very slow in these two mentioned instances, the ECONOMIC WORK globally stalled. Is it therefore any surprise that the "cycle" lenghtened, or slowed, this time around ? Let's see what happens when the BBB makes BRRRR ... ! Enjoy !
BITFINEX:BTCUSDLong
by clondaje
Mastering Breakout Trading: The 4-Step Precision Guide 1. 🔍 Spot the Key Zones (S&R) Identify strong Support & Resistance levels — areas where price consistently reverses or stalls. These zones are critical for planning trades. 2. 🚀 Breakout Confirmation Don’t rush — wait for the price to cleanly break above resistance or below support. This signals potential trend initiation. 3. 🔁 The Golden Retest After the breakout, wait for price to revisit the broken level and show strength (like a bullish candle) — this validates the breakout. 4. 🎯 Set Smart SL & TP Define your Stop Loss just beyond the invalidation level and Take Profit based on risk-reward or nearby price targets. Tip: Patience is your edge — wait for structure, confirmation, and clean signals. Enter on the bounce from the retest zone, typically when a green candle or bullish pattern forms — it confirms trend continuation. #Educational
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by CryptoSkullSignal
$BTC Price Showing a Bullish Flag Pattern & Breakout see chart..CRYPTOCAP:BTC Price Breakout of Bullish Flag Pattern. I'm guess it's going to the next Price Zone $115K and if Breakout thank going $122K price zone. I was telling some coins that was saying Multiple Profit and now coins are driving on the way. There are coin is ETH, BNB, XRP, SOL, TRX, TON, SUI, ADA, ICP, ARB, XLM. Ric Edelman Urges Up to 40% Crypto Allocation, Predicts Bitcoin Surge to $500K Top advisor Ric Edelman recommends investors allocate up to 40% to crypto, forecasting Bitcoin could reach $500K with rising institutional demand. Ric Edelman advises investors to allocate 10% to 40% of their portfolios to crypto, based on their risk tolerance. Edelman predicts Bitcoin could reach $500,000 if just 1% of global assets shift into the cryptocurrency sector. His endorsement is viewed as a major TradFi signal, given his $300 billion asset management influence in the advisory industry. Ric Edelman, the founder of Edelman Financial Engines and DACFP, has recommended investors shift a significant portion of their portfolio to cryptocurrency. In a recent whitepaper, Edelman advised allocating between 10% and 40% to crypto, depending on individual risk tolerance. This guidance marks a break from the conventional 60/40 stock-to-bond portfolio model, which he believes is no longer practical in a rapidly advancing economic environment. According to Edelman, conservative investors should hold 10% in crypto, moderate investors 25%, and aggressive investors 40%. He cited technological advancements and increased life expectancy as reasons to move away from traditional investment formulas. He emphasized that ignoring crypto means betting against an asset class that has outperformed all others over the past 15 years. Bitcoin Price Could Hit $500,000 with Minimal Asset Shift Edelman also presented a bullish projection for Bitcoin, suggesting it could reach $500,000. He explained that a 1% allocation of the $750 trillion in global assets toward Bitcoin would inject $7.5 trillion into the market. Based on current valuations, this inflow could significantly drive the asset’s price. He underlined this estimate as simple arithmetic based on supply and demand trends. Edelman pointed to growing institutional interest and policy changes as key drivers for crypto’s rise. He highlighted that Tether, a major stablecoin, reported $13 billion in profits last year, surpassing companies like McDonald’s and Ford. He also noted that a pro-crypto political climate, especially following Donald Trump’s reelection, is setting favorable conditions for digital assets. Disclaimer: This article is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always conduct your own research before making any investment decisions. Digital asset prices are subject to high market risk and price volatility. The value of your investment may go down or up, and you may not get back the amount invested. You are solely responsible for your investment decisions and Binance is not available for any losses you may incur. Past performance is not a reliable predictor of future performance. You should only invest in products you are familiar with and where you understand the risks. You should carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objectives and risk tolerance and consult an independent financial adviser prior to making any investment.
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by SUBROOFFICIAL