BTCUSD update May 22nd, 2025I have returned and here is my updated chart. I'm such a perfectionist sometimes when it comes to lines that it takes my hours to get them exactly how I envision. To start off, yes I am bullish on Bitcoin and believe that this cycle hasn't ended yet but I will admit that I think the end of it is closer than the beginning. With that being said, I will not disappear when the bear market starts, I will simply make updates and try to catch the bottom like I did in the past. So far I am going with history and my bottom target is above 66,800 and I expect the floor to fizzle out around 71-73k; if it ends up being higher than that, great! Overall this idea is just an update for my own personal records and my prediction is based on what has happen that last time this pattern was brought to us.
Stay safe out there, happy trading, and as always--Cheers!
BTCUSD trade ideas
BTCUSD Technical Analysis.This chart shows a 2-hour candlestick view of Bitcoin (BTC/USD) on the Bitstamp exchange, with technical analysis annotations indicating a potential trade setup:
Entry Area: Around 111,911 (current market price).
Target (Take Profit): Around 113,521 (green zone), marked by the bullseye icon and a projected upward movement.
Stop Loss: Around 109,277 (red zone), noted below the support area and highlighted in orange.
Trend: The price appears to be in a bullish channel, with recent price action forming a flag or consolidation pattern that could break to the upside.
Risk-to-Reward Ratio: Favorable, as the potential upside target is significantly higher than the stop loss range.
This setup implies a long position (buy trade) is anticipated, betting on a breakout to the upside from the current consolidation zone. Let me know if you'd like an analysis of the strategy's viability or other insights!
BITCOIN - price action in skyrocketing mode, how far will we go?Bitcoin on the weekly charts!
Last time Bitcoin was in upside price exploration mode it went on for around ~7 weeks. We then saw a price action of +53%.
Since Bitcoin have retested support at ~$104,530 on the weekly close, I believe we will from now on see a positive upside movement of price. This upside trend will most likely keep going for 6-8 weeks!
If history rhymes we could reach 150k, before we see a cool down this time.
Cryptocurrency: Analyzing the Digital Asset RevolutionSince Bitcoin’s creation in 2009, cryptocurrencies have evolved from a niche tech experiment into a dynamic sector disrupting global finance. Grounded in decentralization and blockchain technology, cryptocurrencies aim to remove intermediaries and redefine money.
Key Characteristics
Decentralization: Operate on peer-to-peer networks, free from central authority.
Blockchain Technology: Immutable, transparent ledger ensures trust and security.
Tokenization: Real-world assets like real estate or art can be turned into digital tokens.
Market Dynamics
As of 2024, total crypto market cap exceeded $2.5 trillion.
Bitcoin remains the dominant asset, but Ethereum’s smart contract ecosystem has catalyzed massive growth across DeFi and NFTs.
Opportunities and Risks
Opportunities:
Financial Inclusion: Access for the unbanked via mobile wallets and stablecoins.
Innovation: Enabling decentralized apps, automated lending, and cross-border payments.
Risks:
Regulatory Uncertainty: Governments are actively evaluating oversight frameworks.
Volatility: Sudden price swings create high risk for investors.
Security: Hacks and scams continue to plague the sector, especially in DeFi.
Conclusion
Cryptocurrencies have launched a financial paradigm shift, but for mass adoption to take root, regulation, user protection, and scalability must mature.
Altcoins: Analyzing the Ecosystem Beyond BitcoinAltcoins — short for “alternative coins” — encompass all cryptocurrencies other than Bitcoin. Emerging as early as 2011, they have since evolved into a diversified sector aiming to improve upon Bitcoin’s limitations or explore new use cases.
Classification of Altcoins
Smart Contract Platforms (Ethereum, Solana): Enable programmable finance and decentralized applications (dApps).
Privacy Coins (Monero, Zcash): Focus on anonymity and data protection.
Utility and Infrastructure Tokens (Chainlink, Polkadot): Facilitate blockchain communication and ecosystem functionality.
Market Analysis
In 2024, altcoins made up roughly 48% of total crypto market capitalization.
Ethereum continues to lead as the foundational layer for DeFi, NFTs, and DAOs.
New entrants like Avalanche and Near Protocol are gaining ground through scalability improvements.
Key Strengths and Challenges
Strengths:
Drive innovation in DeFi, Web3, and tokenized finance.
Foster scalability, low-cost transactions, and cross-chain connectivity.
Challenges:
Fragmentation: Competing standards hinder interoperability.
Security Risks: Vulnerabilities in smart contracts can lead to major hacks.
Regulatory Exposure: SEC scrutiny may classify some tokens as securities.
Conclusion
Altcoins represent the innovative edge of the crypto sector. For investors, they offer high-reward opportunities, but also come with elevated risks. Understanding their ecosystems is essential for long-term participation.
BTC/USD: Structural Breakout of Curved Resistance – Eyes on $116Technical Overview:
Bitcoin (BTC) has successfully completed a significant technical breakout after months of accumulation and resistance interaction. The chart highlights a precise market structure where price has moved from a phase of consolidation into a confirmed bullish breakout, with a clearly defined target and invalidation level.
1. SR Interchange Zone (Support-turned-Resistance):
From May to October 2024, BTC price action was trapped in a sideways range, marked by an extended accumulation phase between approximately $60,000 to $73,000. This zone acted as a historical resistance level during the downtrend, but was later flipped into support, forming a classic SR Interchange — a foundational concept in market structure analysis.
This area provided a strong base from which BTC launched its late 2024 rally.
2. Consolidation Below Curved Resistance (Dec 2024 – Apr 2025):
Following a steep bullish impulse, BTC entered a multi-month consolidation phase, forming a rounded top pattern — shown on the chart as the Black Mind Curve Resistance. This curved resistance represented a psychological and structural ceiling, suppressing bullish momentum and trapping liquidity.
Price action was tightly compressed under this dynamic resistance curve, with multiple failed breakout attempts. This period was marked by range-bound volatility and low directional commitment — classic behavior during a re-accumulation phase.
3. Breakout of Black Mind Curve Resistance (May 2025):
A major technical event occurred as BTC broke decisively above the Black Mind Curve Resistance, accompanied by a surge in bullish momentum. This move not only invalidated the prior rounding top structure but also confirmed a trend continuation breakout.
The breakout was clean, with strong follow-through volume and a higher high structure above the Major Horizontal Resistance Zone (~$105,000–$109,000) — now confirmed as flipped support.
4. Bullish Continuation & Price Target:
Following the breakout, BTC has established a higher low and continued its upward trajectory toward the marked target zone at $116,065. This zone coincides with:
Previous untested supply levels
Technical Fibonacci extension (1.272–1.618 zone)
Measured move from the curve structure base
With current momentum and structure intact, BTC remains bullishly biased until it either reaches the target zone or breaks below the invalidation level.
5. Invalidation & Risk Management:
A close below $102,005 — the defined SI (Support-Invalidation) level — would be considered structurally bearish. This level represents:
The most recent higher low
Base of the breakout structure
Re-entry into previous consolidation range
A breakdown below this level would invalidate the bullish thesis and may open the door for a deeper pullback toward $95,000 or even $88,000.
✅ Conclusion:
The breakout of the Black Mind Curve Resistance marks a significant technical shift in Bitcoin’s trend. With momentum in favor of the bulls and market structure supporting higher prices, BTC appears poised to test the $116,000 target zone in the short to mid-term — barring a breakdown below key support.
📌 Key Levels Recap:
Level Type Price
Target Zone $116,065
Current Price $110,902
Support / Invalidation (SI) $102,005
📈 Strategy Outlook:
Bias: Bullish
Entry Area: Retest of $107,000–$109,000 (if offered)
Target: $116,065
Stop-Loss: Below $102,005 (structural invalidation)
💬 Stay focused on structure, not emotions. The best trades are born from patience, not prediction.
Let me know if you'd like a summary version for use on social media or a custom signature block for your TradingView profile.
New highs for bitcoin above $110,000Bitcoin has performed very strongly overall since the second half of last month, moving up to test fresh record highs currently. Possible American deregulation is in focus while appetite for risk has recovered recently as rhetoric on trade, particularly between China and the USA, has calmed down significantly. MVRV is about 2.2, so the uptrend might be mature, but sentiment remains mostly greedy. The more dovish scenarios for the Fed this year seem much less likely than around this time last month with a plurality of participants now expecting only two cuts by the end of 2025.
From the chart, it's also pretty clear that the medium-term uptrend starting around the middle of April is mature. Buying saturation from the stochastic or RSI is obvious but this usually isn't such an important factor for a cryptocurrency. The 100% weekly Fibonacci extension was previously a resistance so might now flip to being an area of support if the price can hold above $107,000 for more than a couple of days. The obvious longer term target would be the 161.8% Fibonacci expansion around $140,000.
An immediate consolidation or correction much below $100,000 seems quite unlikely under the current circumstances. The main dynamic support for now could be the 20 SMA around $102,600. This is a potentially difficult situation for new buyers because it presents a dilemma whether to 'jump on the rocket' quickly at the risk of there being no more 'rocket' for a while or to wait for a significant consolidation which equally might mean missing any further 'rocket'.
This is my personal opinion, not the opinion of Exness. This is not a recommendation to trade.
Artavion Analysts Forecast Bitcoin to Reach $100,000 by End of MThe analytical company Artavion has released an updated forecast for the price of Bitcoin (BTC) by the end of May 2025. According to the experts, amid sustained institutional demand and limited supply following the recent halving, the price of the leading cryptocurrency could reach $100,000 in the coming days.
Key Growth Drivers
Analysts highlight several factors contributing to Bitcoin's price growth:
📈 Institutional Demand: Ongoing accumulation by investment funds and banks through spot ETFs approved in the U.S. and Asia.
⛏ Reduced Supply: The April halving has decreased miner rewards, limiting daily BTC issuance.
🇺🇸 Fed Policy Easing: Expectations of interest rate cuts are increasing demand for alternative assets, including crypto.
💼 Market Confidence: Growth in long-term holders and increasing BTC withdrawals from exchanges indicate a “HODLing” trend among investors.
Company Comment
"We are witnessing stable accumulation and a capital shift into digital assets. If markets avoid major shocks, Bitcoin has every chance to consolidate above $95,000 and briefly test the psychological barrier of $100,000," said Alexey Gurov, senior strategist at Artavion.
Potential Risks
Despite the optimistic outlook, analysts point out several risks that could impact the forecast:
📉 Unexpected macroeconomic data (e.g., rising inflation, stronger U.S. dollar);
⚠️ Regulatory actions from the SEC or other global bodies;
🌍 Escalation of geopolitical tensions, which could trigger risk-off sentiment.
Conclusion
Considering the current market environment and macroeconomic expectations, Artavion maintains a positive short-term outlook for Bitcoin through the end of May, while cautioning investors to remain aware of the sector’s inherent volatility and risk.
Market next move
1. Overreliance on Basic Support/Resistance
Issue: The analysis uses a simple support/resistance concept without clear validation (e.g., no multiple touches or volume confirmation).
Disruption: Support could easily break if there's insufficient volume or strong bearish sentiment, invalidating the buy signal.
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2. Lack of Confirmation Indicators
Issue: There's no use of confirmation tools like RSI, MACD, or moving averages.
Disruption: Entering a "Buy" based purely on support without a reversal signal (like bullish divergence or candle patterns) increases risk.
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3. Premature Target Setting
Issue: The target is drawn quickly after a minor dip, with no fib levels, pivot points, or historical resistance considered.
Disruption: The price might face resistance before reaching the “Target,” especially around previous highs or psychological levels.
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4. Ignoring Downside Risk
Issue: The scenario assumes price will bounce back but doesn’t show a stop-loss or contingency for a breakdown.
Disruption: If price breaks the "Support" zone, it could trigger a stronger bearish move—this risk is not accounted for.
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5. Misleading Arrows
Issue: Arrows (red, yellow, blue) seem speculative and oversimplified.
Disruption: They imply a clear path, which can mislead traders into thinking price action follows linear logic—real markets are more chaotic.
BTC on weekly chart ( cup and handle )CRYPTO:BTCUSD BINANCE:BTCUSD
As an overview of Bitcoin on the weekly chart.
We have a cup and handle targeting the area at 131,000 and I think this price is the target of this cycle.
We also have the neckline zone at the price of 73k and we see that the price is still trading above it until now, so in the event of any other decline, I think the neckline area is the lowest price that will be reached and represents the retest point to start for the new highs.
We also note that the price is still above the averages: 50-100-200 and we notice its rebound when it touched the average of 50
Conclusion: Since we are above the 70-73 thousand zone, there is no need to worry because this indicates that the chart is moving in the right direction, but in the event of a break in the 70k zone, this will be the first sign of the beginning of the negative.
UPDATE SOON ....
Bitcoin Ready for 120K land?
DAILY
CRYPTOCAP:BTC breaking TRY hard up to $111.9K, hitting the 161.8% Critical moment!
Watch for a potential pullback to the 38%–50% zone, where key support and retracement levels align.
Will it correct or continue pumping?
The conquest of 20K is near?
MONTHLY
Focus on the monthly... The structure IMO is setting targets over 120... Maybe 135K.
Based on the classic book 📚 bullish patterns. By the way a DEEP retracement ending month can be expected to monthly supports near 105K could be healthy.
WEEKLY near 105K 106K in this area a kind of Right #SHOULDER can be developed in the next 2 weeks of this end month and the new one.
Could be a Cup And the handle is in developing too.
#Bitcoin #BTC #Crypto #Trading
Major resistance?There is strong resistance at this level, with a long-term trend in this region dating back to the peak in 2017. The recent halving seems to be priced in, and we have a bottom trend line at 45k. Remember the Wall Street phrase: "up like a staircase, down like an elevator." There is a lot of greed in the market, and valuations are increasing daily over the next six months. This is my long-term exit point until the next bear market presents a buying opportunity. I plan to buy and sell when prices reach the identified yellow lines.
Bitcoin Ready for new highAs we see BINANCE:BTCUSD break the previous high and made rounding bottom formation on chart.
So Looks like a bullish trend and if BINANCE:BTCUSD
sustain above 109000 then we can see BINANCE:BTCUSD
Up to around 133000.
Lets see!
This post is just my perception and for study purpose only.
As crypto market has high risk of loosing money. Please invest your hard earned money carefully.
I will not be responsible for any loss in the crypto market.
BTC top at 150kBullrun 1: (731 days) November 2011 - December 2013: BTC top at 2.414 Fib log-scaled level.
Bullrun 2: (792 days) August 2015 - December 2017: BTC top at 2.414 Fib log-scaled level.
Bullrun 3: (884 days) March 2019 - October 2021: BTC top at 1.618 Fib log-scaled level.
Bullrun 4: (882 days) January 2023 - Now: BTC top at 1.618 Fib log-scaled level? Or lower at 1.414 Fibo?
We are so closed to the end of Bullrun. Crazy run for Alts before Bear Market.
Stay safe out there.
BTCUSD Technical Analysis.This chart represents the Bitcoin (BTC) to US Dollar (USD) trading pair on the 1-hour timeframe (BITSTAMP exchange), published on May 21, 2025.
Key Observations:
1. Current Price: The price is currently at $109,232, showing a gain of +2,362 (+2.21%).
2. Chart Pattern:
There was a rising wedge formation that has now broken to the upside.
A strong bullish breakout occurred after consolidation within the wedge.
3. Support Zones:
Two rectangular zones drawn below the breakout point indicate potential support levels (areas where price might bounce if it pulls back).
4. Target Price:
An upward arrow with a zigzag path points to the $110,332 level, suggesting a bullish target or take-profit zone.
5. SL Mark: A small "SL" (likely indicating Stop Loss) is shown beneath the support zones, hinting at a risk management plan.
This chart suggests a bullish outlook for BTC/USD, anticipating further upward movement after the breakout, with $110,332 as a possible next target, while keeping support zones and a stop-loss level in mind for downside protection. Let me know if you'd like help analyzing the setup further or setting up trade parameters.