Bearish Scenario (LOWER TF)The bullish harmonic crab pattern played out.. While a possible bearish harmonic bat pattern is in play.. The invalidation of the bearish bat if point C is taken out..
BTCUSD trade ideas
BTC/USD Price Projection for the Next 180 Days (6 Months)
📌 Current Market Overview
Current Price: ~$97,000 - $98,000
Market Trend: Strong bullish momentum, testing new all-time highs.
Key Fundamental Catalysts:
- Bitcoin Halving in April 2024
- Institutional Adoption & ETF Inflows
- Macroeconomic Factors (Interest Rates & Liquidity Shifts)
1. Key Technical Analysis
Trend & Market Structure
BTC is moving in a long-term ascending channel with strong support and resistance zones.
Currently consolidating near $100K, indicating a setup for the next breakout.
The Bitcoin halving event in April 2024 could drive a major rally, similar to previous cycles.
📊 Resistance Levels (Upside Targets)
$100K - $110K → Immediate psychological resistance
$120K - $130K → Next target after a breakout
$150K - $180K → Potential post-halving surge target
📉 Support Levels (Downside Risk)
GETTEX:92K - $95K → Short-term correction support
$85K - FWB:88K → Strong demand zone
$74K - $76K → Key long-term support if a deeper pullback occurs
2. Technical Indicators
Relative Strength Index (RSI)
Currently above 70, indicating BTC is in overbought territory.
A short-term cooldown or correction could be expected before further upside.
Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD)
Strong bullish crossover on the weekly and monthly timeframes.
MACD histogram expanding, confirming ongoing bullish momentum.
Momentum (SQZMOM, Histogram)
The green histogram bars are increasing, indicating continued strength.
A slowdown in histogram growth could signal consolidation before another leg up.
3. BTC/USD Forecast for the Next 180 Days
Scenario 1: Bullish Continuation (70% Probability)
📈 Target: $130K - $150K
BTC consolidates around $100K before another breakout.
After the halving in April 2024, BTC could rally to $130K - $150K as supply decreases.
If strong ETF inflows continue, BTC could push toward $180K by mid-2024.
Scenario 2: Pre-Halving Correction Before Rally (25% Probability)
📉 Target: $85K - $95K (Pullback) Before Rallying to $130K+
BTC faces resistance at $100K, leading to a healthy correction back to $90K - $95K.
Once BTC finds support, the next parabolic run-up could push BTC to $130K - $150K post-halving.
Scenario 3: Bearish Reversal (5% Probability - Unlikely)
⚠️ Target: $74K - $85K
A major macroeconomic shock (e.g., ETF outflows, US recession, regulatory crackdown) could lead BTC to test $74K - $85K.
This scenario is less likely due to strong institutional demand and the halving cycle.
4. Fundamental Catalysts Supporting Bullish Price Action
✅ Bitcoin Halving (April 2024)
BTC halving historically triggers a supply shock, leading to major price increases 6-12 months later.
Based on past halving cycles, BTC could hit $130K - $180K in Q3-Q4 2024.
✅ Bitcoin ETFs & Institutional Demand
BlackRock, Fidelity, and Grayscale ETFs continue to drive record inflows.
Increased adoption by institutional investors could accelerate BTC's price appreciation.
✅ Macroeconomic Factors
If Federal Reserve cuts interest rates in 2024, more liquidity will flow into BTC and risk assets.
A weaker USD could further support BTC’s role as a hedge asset.
5. Trading & Investment Strategy
✅ For Bullish Continuation Strategy:
Buy dips near $90K - $95K if BTC corrects.
Profit Targets:
Target 1: $110K
Target 2: $130K
Target 3: $150K+ (if post-halving rally extends)
Stop Loss: Below $85K to minimize risk.
✅ For Short-Term Traders:
Look for RSI dips below 60 on daily charts before entering long positions.
Use MACD crossovers to confirm trend continuation.
6. Conclusion & Final Forecast
BTC/USD Likely Target in 180 Days: $130K - $150K.
Short-Term Correction Possible: BTC may retest GETTEX:92K - $95K before another rally.
Bearish Case (Low Probability): If BTC loses momentum, it could drop to $74K before recovering.
🚨 Final Outlook: BTC is on track for $130K - $150K within 6 months, with $180K+ possible post-halving if momentum continues. A short-term pullback before the next leg up is likely but should be viewed as a buying opportunity rather than a bearish reversal.
BTC Today's strategyAt present, the support range continues to move upward and the fluctuations have exceeded the previous range. This is a new direction. We only need to make appropriate adjustments and trade within the range, selling high and buying low.
Today's BTC trading strategy:
btcusdt buy@83K-84K
tp:86K-87K
There are risks in trading. If you are not sure about the timing, it is best to leave me a message. This will better confirm the timing of the transaction, It can also better expand profits and reduce losses.
Bitcoin: Big pullback still bullish!We had quite the pullback but remember we will still pump up. Beautiful head and shoulders we ripped to the downside. Let’s hold this daily 200MA. If we can do that today we have a nice symmetrical triangle that will continue to the upside.
Bitcoin (BTC/USD) Price Action & Key Levels – March 20, 2025### **Bitcoin (BTC/USD) Price Action Analysis – March 20, 2025**
#### **Chart Overview:**
- This chart represents the **15-minute timeframe** for **Bitcoin (BTC/USD)** on the **Bitstamp exchange**.
- The background is orange, with key price levels marked by **purple and blue horizontal zones**.
#### **Key Observations:**
1. **Resistance Zone (~86,500 - 87,000):**
- Marked by a **purple box**, this area acted as a **strong supply zone**, causing price rejection.
- Price tested this zone and failed to break above, leading to a bearish move.
2. **Support Zone (~83,500 - 83,800):**
- Another **purple box** marks a **demand zone**, where price is currently testing.
- If this support holds, we might see a **bullish rebound**.
3. **Mid-Level (~85,143):**
- A **blue horizontal line** represents an intermediate support/resistance level.
- It previously acted as a consolidation area before the drop.
4. **Current Market Behavior:**
- The price is in a **downtrend**, with a recent **strong sell-off**.
- The green and red shaded area suggests a **potential retracement zone** for a pullback before further movement.
- If support holds, a bounce towards **85,143 or higher** is possible.
- If support breaks, price may drop **below 83,500**, extending the bearish trend.
### **Conclusion:**
- **Bullish Case:** Price rebounds from the support zone and heads back towards **85,143+**.
- **Bearish Case:** If Bitcoin fails to hold above **83,500**, further downside is likely.
BTC Whales Stir, Trump's Crypto Push, and the Path to $85,000
Bitcoin's recent price action has ignited a renewed sense of optimism within the crypto community. A confluence of factors, ranging from whale activity and political pronouncements to macroeconomic indicators and regulatory developments, is shaping the current market narrative.
Whale Activity: A Harbinger of Bullish Momentum?
The resurgence of Bitcoin whale activity is a significant indicator that has captured the attention of traders and analysts. Large-scale Bitcoin holders, often referred to as "whales," possess the capacity to significantly influence market dynamics.1 Their accumulation of Bitcoin can signal strong conviction and potentially trigger broader market rallies. The recent uptick in whale activity suggests a renewed interest in Bitcoin among these major players, potentially laying the foundation for a sustained upward trend. This can be viewed as the building of a strong base of long positions.
Political Winds: Trump's Crypto Pronouncements and Market Sentiment
Political discourse has increasingly intersected with the cryptocurrency market, with recent statements from a prominent political figure influencing market sentiment. Rhetoric emphasizing the United States as a "Bitcoin superpower" has undeniably contributed to bullish momentum. This political articulation of a crypto-friendly approach signals potential policy shifts and improved regulatory clarity, both crucial factors in attracting institutional investment. Market participants are interpreting this as a sign of acceptance, if not outright endorsement, of digital assets at the highest levels.
It is worth noting that consistent pronouncements regarding the US becoming the "crypto capital of the world," while driving short term volatility, need to be followed with legislative action for long term impact.
Macroeconomic Factors: Fed Policies and Inflationary Concerns
The Federal Reserve's monetary policy and the evolving narrative surrounding inflation play a pivotal role in shaping Bitcoin's trajectory. Recent indications from the Fed regarding continued rate cuts, despite persistent inflationary pressures, have boosted investor confidence. This stance, coupled with Powell's assessment of certain inflationary factors, such as tariffs, as "transitory," has provided much-needed relief to risk assets, including Bitcoin. This monetary policy creates a favorable environment for investment. The combination of Fed policy confirmation and rumors of "significant updates" to US crypto plans have driven Bitcoin to new two-week highs.
Technical Analysis: The $85,000 Threshold and Beyond
From a technical perspective, Bitcoin's ability to reclaim the $85,000 level is considered a crucial milestone. Surpassing this threshold would validate the current bullish momentum and potentially pave the way for further gains. Analysts are closely monitoring key support and resistance levels to gauge the strength of the ongoing rally. The return of significant volume combined with the price retaking old highs lends to an increasingly bullish sentiment.
BlackRock's prediction of a price shift ahead indicates a growing acceptance of Bitcoin as a mainstream asset, potentially aligning it with traditional Wall Street investments.2 These kinds of comments indicate an institutional bullish long-term perspective.
Regulatory Clarity: Ripple's Resolution and Its Impact on Bitcoin
The resolution of Ripple's legal battle with the SEC has sent ripples (pun intended) throughout the cryptocurrency market. This development has provided much-needed regulatory clarity, bolstering investor confidence and fostering a more favorable environment for digital assets. The jump in XRP's price after confirmation of the case coming to an end further exemplifies the markets sensitivity to regulatory action. This resolution will influence Bitcoin’s adoption rates, as investors now know the US regulatory stance may be moderating.
Options Market Sentiment: A Shift Towards Bullishness
The Bitcoin options market has exhibited a noticeable shift towards bullishness, particularly after Powell's "transitory inflation" remarks. This sentiment reflects increased optimism among traders and investors, potentially signaling a sustained uptrend. An increased amount of bullish options being written displays further faith in the rise of Bitcoin’s price.
Bitcoin's Volatility: Navigating the Uncertainty
Despite the positive developments, Bitcoin remains inherently volatile. Price swings, driven by a combination of market sentiment, news events, and technical factors, are to be expected. Investors should remain vigilant and exercise prudent risk management strategies. While large volume and long term political promises are strong positive indicators, there are still volatile short term swings to consider.
Looking Ahead: The Potential for a Sustained Rally
The convergence of positive catalysts, including whale activity, political support, macroeconomic factors, and regulatory clarity, paints a potentially bullish picture for Bitcoin. However, the cryptocurrency market is subject to rapid shifts, and unforeseen events can significantly impact price movements.
To conclude, the present environment is ripe for sustained Bitcoin price discovery. The political and macroeconomic climates are aligning, coupled with increased whale activity and regulatory clarity. While markets will remain volatile, the trend is looking increasingly bullish.
BULLISH SCENARIOAside from the bullish harmonic cypher pattern, I'm also tracking a possible Bullish Harmonic Black Swan Pattern. The entries are quite similar to the bullish cypher pattern.
BITCOIN hourly bullish channelBTC is moving within an hourly bullish channel. We can buy at the lower boundary and sell at the upper boundary until one of the boundaries is broken.
If the price breaks the upper boundary, our next target will be the major resistance around 92,000$.
If the price breaks the lower boundary, our next target will be the short-term support around 78,000$, but the risk of testing the major resistance around 73,000$ (previous all-time high) would be high.
BTCUSDThee Greatest Top-Down Analysis you will EVER see or have seen! Tune In!
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The Reality of Bitcoin HODL. The odds of 100k AGAINLet's break down this CRYPTOCOM:BTCUSD BTCUSD chart and discuss the potential scenarios for 2025, considering current world economic conditions.
**Chart Analysis:**
* **Timeframe:** Daily (1D) chart, showing price action from early 2024 to March 2025.
* **Key Levels:**
* **Resistance:** $109,590 (recent high), $100,000 (psychological level).
* **Support:** $80,000 (recent low), $72,000 (previous consolidation), $68,000 (strong support zone).
* **Price Action:**
* **2024:** A period of consolidation and accumulation, with a clear upward trendline from May to November. This suggests growing bullish momentum.
* **Late 2024/Early 2025:** A significant rally, pushing BTC above $100,000 and reaching the $109,590 high.
* **Recent Correction:** A sharp pullback from the highs, indicating profit-taking and potential trend reversal. The price is currently hovering around $86,000.
* **Grey Box:** A highlighted area around $80,000 - $88,000, which represents a key support zone.
**Most Likely Scenario for 2025 (Given Current World Economic Conditions):**
**Current World Economic Conditions (Considerations):**
* **Inflation:** Persistently high inflation in many countries is a major concern. Bitcoin is often seen as a hedge against inflation.
* **Interest Rates:** Central banks are raising interest rates to combat inflation, which can negatively impact risk assets like Bitcoin.
* **Geopolitical Uncertainty:** Ongoing conflicts and tensions create market volatility and uncertainty.
* **Regulatory Landscape:** The regulatory environment for cryptocurrencies is still evolving, with potential for both positive and negative developments.
* **Economic Slowdown/Recession:** Growing concerns about a global economic slowdown or recession.
**Scenario:** **Range-Bound Trading with Potential for Further Correction**
Given the current economic climate, the most likely scenario for 2025 is a period of range-bound trading for Bitcoin, with potential for further downside correction. Here's why:
* **Uncertainty and Risk Aversion:** Economic uncertainty and rising interest rates make investors more risk-averse, reducing demand for volatile assets like Bitcoin.
* **Technical Indicators:** The recent sharp pullback suggests a potential trend reversal. The $80,000 support level is crucial. A break below this level could trigger further selling pressure.
* **Inflation Hedge Narrative:** While Bitcoin is seen as an inflation hedge, its correlation with traditional markets has increased in recent times, making it susceptible to broader market sentiment.
**Buy/Sell Recommendations (General Guidance):**
* **Long-Term Investors:** If you're a long-term investor with a high-risk tolerance, consider dollar-cost averaging (DCA) into Bitcoin during periods of weakness. The $72,000 and $68,000 levels could provide attractive entry points.
* **Short-Term Traders:** Short-term traders should exercise caution and wait for clear signs of a trend reversal before entering long positions. Look for confirmation signals like a break above key resistance levels with strong volume.
* **Risk Management:** Always use stop-loss orders to limit potential losses. Never invest more than you can afford to lose.
**Important Notes:**
* **This analysis is based on the provided chart and general economic conditions. The cryptocurrency market is highly volatile and unpredictable.**
* **Do your own research and consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions.**
* **Keep an eye on key economic indicators, regulatory developments, and market sentiment.**
**In conclusion, while Bitcoin has shown strong bullish momentum in the past, the current economic climate suggests a more cautious approach. Expect range-bound trading with potential for further correction in 2025.**
Btcusdt technical analysis.This is a Bitcoin (BTC/USD) price chart on the 1-hour timeframe from TradingView. The price is currently at $86,278, down -0.68%.
Key Observations:
1. Support Zone (Purple Line): A strong horizontal support/resistance level is drawn around $85,000.
2. Breakout & Retest: The price recently broke above this support zone, retested it, and bounced back up.
3. Bullish Projection (Blue Arrow): A potential bullish move is indicated, suggesting further upside momentum.
This chart suggests a possible continuation of the uptrend if the support holds. Let me know if you need further analysis!
BTC/USD 4H Chart Analysis & PredictionKey Observations from the Chart:
Current Price & Trend:
BTC/USD is trading around 85,360.
The price is moving within an ascending channel (bullish structure).
Multiple Change of Character (CHoCH) points indicate trend shifts.
Important Levels Identified:
Support Zones:
84,713 (Immediate Support)
82,450 (Stronger Demand Zone)
78,764 (Major Demand Zone, Possible Liquidity Grab Area)
Resistance Zones:
Near 86,000-87,000 (Upper Channel Resistance)
90,000+ (Strong High Zone, Major Resistance)
If the trendline breaks, a bearish pullback may occur towards 82,450 or lower.
Expected Next Movement:
Scenario 1:
Bullish Continuation (More Likely)
If BTC holds above 84,713 and bounces from the trendline, expect a move towards 86,000+.
A break above 87,000 could push the price towards 90,000 and higher.
Entry: Long around 84,700-85,000
Target: 87,000, then 90,000
Stop Loss: Below 84,450
Scenario 2:
Bearish Pullback
(Less Likely but Possible)
If BTC breaks below 84,713, expect a retracement to 82,450 or even 78,764 (deeper liquidity zone).
Entry: Short below 84,700
Target: 82,450, then 78,764
Stop Loss: Above 85,500
BTCUSD \ BITCOIN Bitcoin turned bullish after the yesterday's FOMC.
The price broke and closed above a significant daily resistance.
I see a confirmed bullish reversal pattern now:
a cup & handle with a broken horizontal neckline.
BTC - Sell Trade before a BuyFollowing President Trump's election victory in November 2024, the crypto market experienced a massive surge. During that time, I closed my BTC long trade around 88K, securing over 2,000 pips in profit. (I usually trade 0.01 lot size) Since then, I’ve remained on the sidelines, observing market movements.
Analyzing the charts, I believe Bitcoin, like other cryptocurrencies, is still moving in correlation with broader market trends.
The ideal buy zone remains between 52K – 50K, a level that holds strong support across all timeframes and target 125k. Until price reaches this zone, I prefer to stay on the sidelines and wait for confirmation.
This is my personal outlook—stay safe, traders!
BTC / XAU seems to be at an important point in the relationshipBitcoin is trading on the trend line against spot gold and it looks like we may breakdown and test the lower support, meaning we see short term gold outperformance against bitcoin. I do think we will hold the lower support and bounce back stronger.
I did previously mention that bitcoin may test 81K then continue trading in the parallel channel with a cycle high of 140 - 160K. We shall see the how this may unfold.
I do think we get gold going up to 3100 then a bitcoin dip towards 81k. Would be a good time to rebalance back into bitcoin and sell some of the gold.
Gold can trade to 3200 without a major correction though the RSI is getting high.
Bitcoin Daily ChartBitcoin Sits below 0.618 on the fib chart there is a good chance that it will break this level then retest again before moving towards 86k then 90k.
Observation : this could be over the next few weeks due to the Tariffs/Inflation coming out of the USA with a combination of unrest around the world. Meaning that investors are seeking safe haven until there is confidence to reinvest in the Bitcoin.
Conclusion: its better to take long shorts /also short shorts were available towards support and Resistance Levels as it appears Bitcoin is ranging between Levels until the Markets settles from all the Volatility .
Disclaimer: In no way is this Financial advice for trading. trading is a RISK individuals and are at all times responsible any and all trades they engage in.
Bitcoin (BTC/USD) – Bullish Breakout in Progress📈 Chart Pattern:
Bitcoin has been trading inside a descending channel for several weeks. Recently, BTC has broken out of the channel’s upper boundary, indicating a potential shift in momentum.
🔹 Key Levels:
Support: $80,043.75 (Critical stop-loss level)
Resistance: $87,500 (Short-term)
Target: $92,944.17 (Upside projection)
📊 Trading Plan:
BTC might retest the breakout zone before continuing the upward move.
A confirmed higher low formation could signal strong bullish momentum.
If BTC remains above $85,500, further upside toward $92,944.17 is possible.
⚠️ Risk Management:
If BTC drops below $80,043.75, the bullish setup could become invalid.
Traders should wait for confirmation before entering long positions.
💡 Conclusion:
This breakout could lead to a strong uptrend, but traders should watch for a successful retest before making a move. 🚀🔍
btc smaller time framewill be a chop i think in the coming months but eventually will test the 94k
no channels showing no change in direction so still long
5894700 or even 3857000 This channel is not providing individualized trading or investment advice, nor is it a banking service, brokerage service, trading service, investment service or money management service.
BTCUSDT WILL BULLISH (READ CAPTION)Hello Traders Check Out My Analysis And Share Your Feedback About it..
According my Personal Analysis Btc will Bullish More After Dropping, I have identified the key Points which Indicates a Strong support at $78000
Technical Target Points
$88000 and $95000
Support with Your Likes and Boost Comments
CHECK BTCUSD ANALYSIS SIGNAL UPDATE > GO AND READ THE CAPTAINBaddy dears friends 👋🏼
(BTCUSD) trading signals technical analysis satup👇🏼
I think now (BTCUSD) ready for( SEEL )trade ( BTCUSD) SEEL zone
( TRADE SATUP) 👇🏼
ENTRY POINT (86100) to (86600) 📊
FIRST TP (85500)📊
2ND TARGET (84800)📊
LAST TARGET (84300) 📊
STOP LOOS (86600)❌
Tachincal analysis satup
Fallow risk management
Bitcoin new idea, channel break, and fake break out. Hi trading view family hope you are doing well and trading safely wisely and risk free.
My forecast about Bitcoin is given below and in the chart you can see.
1. Channel Formation: Price was moving within a horizontal range (yellow box).
2. Fake Breakout: A false breakout above the channel was identified before price re-entered.
3. Valid Breakout: Price eventually broke out of the channel decisively.
4. Buy Entry Level: Marked around 85,753.47.
5. Target Levels:
TP1 (Take Profit 1): 88,047.72
Final Target: 90,062.30
6. Expected Movement: Price is projected to move upwards in a zigzag pattern toward targets.
Key levels
Buy entry 85,753
TP 1 at 88,067
Target at 90,024
SL at 79,700
This is for educational purposes not a trading advice.
Trade safely, support me and share what you think.
Bitcoin (BTC/USD) 1H Chart Update!🚀 Bitcoin (BTC/USD) 1H Chart Update!
📊 Current Price: 85,554
📉 Market Insight: BTC is retracing after a strong bullish move—watching key demand zones for a potential bounce!
✅ Key Levels to Watch:
🔹 Resistance: 86,840 - 87,000
🔹 Support Zones:
📍 84,667 - 84,864 ➝ First retracement level
📍 83,575 - 84,074 ➝ Major demand zone
📍 82,260 - 82,475 ➝ Deeper liquidity grab
📈 Bullish Outlook:
BTC could rebound from 84,667 towards 86,800+.
A breakout above 86,840 could push BTC to 88,000+.
📉 Bearish Scenario:
Losing 84,667 may trigger a drop to 83,575.
Further weakness could lead BTC to test 82,260.
⚡ Trade Idea:
🔴 Short below 84,667, target 83,575, SL 85,000.
🟢 Long from 83,575 - 84,074, target 86,000, SL 83,300.
📢 Stay cautious—volatility ahead!
#Bitcoin #BTCUSD #CryptoTrading #SmartMoney #LiquidityZones #FXFOREVER 🚀📊
