BTCUSD trade ideas
Always consider the Monthly chart for Extremes!1). Typically, Motive Waves go 100% of Wave 1, which is established using Fib.tool levels. 2). The Chart likely needs a pullback correction towards $100K for a long position entry. 3). The US$ appears to have a little steam remaining, which supports the deeper ABC Bitcoin correction lower. 4). Always consider where the price is during the Motive sequence, as in this case, it needs to complete a Wave 5, since the bottom of Wave 4 can be an excellent Buy entry! 5). Also, drop charting down to lower time frames for more detail. 6). And of course, the MACD supports my analysis! "Cheers & Good Luck, always!"
Cardano (ADA): Possible 1:3 RR Trades Can Be Taken in Both Wayswe are seeing some sort of buying volume building up at the beginning of month where we might see a full-scale breakout and a move of 50%, but if we look on weekly timeframe picture is completely different.
More in-depth info is in the video—enjoy!
Swallow Team
ETH 10 000$ soonAs for me, the fractial is the same)
Flashcrash in the preles of accumulation, the same good fast V-shaped reversal. BTC made 1.6 and 2 fib level, if copy paste it on ETH, it could be 10k$ easily. The dominance on the TOP, ETH/BTC on historical bottom. The cyclicality of the cryptocurrency market persists.
I would like to see June growth, going sideways at higher values closer to August. And starting in the fall to make the final movement.
BTCUSD – Bulls Losing Steam at Supply Zone? Time to Short?Bitcoin has been grinding upward but is now stalling hard at a key supply zone near $110,800 – $111,000. On the 15-min chart, we’re seeing clear signs of distribution with multiple rejections at the highs and decreasing momentum.
Key Levels to Watch:
Supply Zone: $110,800 – $111,000 (Price struggling to break through!)
Short-term Support: $107,543 – A clean break here could trigger downside momentum.
Demand Zone: $102,500 – $104,000 – High interest from buyers previously.
Final Bearish Target: $103,057
What to Look For:
Breakdown below $107,543 = Possible start of a correction.
Bearish divergence on RSI and MACD building up (if confirmed).
Volume drying up near resistance = possible bull trap forming.
Bias: Neutral-to-Bearish unless bulls break and hold above $111,000 with strong volume.
Traders’ Tip: Be cautious of fake breakouts! Look for confirmation with volume and candle closes.
Do you think this is the start of a BTC pullback or just a pause before new highs?
Drop your analysis in the comments!
#BTCUSD #Bitcoin #CryptoAnalysis #TradingView #SupplyAndDemand #PriceAction #CryptoTraders #BearishSetup #TechnicalAnalysis
Market target 1. Support Area Assumption
Disruption: The highlighted support area is relatively narrow and based on a few candles. On a 1-hour chart, this might not provide a strong enough foundation for a meaningful bounce. The price has tested this level multiple times, suggesting weakening support rather than strength.
2. Target Projection
Disruption: The target area is drawn without showing how it was calculated—no Fibonacci level, previous resistance, or volume zone is referenced. Without clear technical justification, the target level appears speculative.
3. Pattern Expectation (Bounce Prediction)
Disruption: The blue arrow suggests a bullish reversal, but volume is declining, and there’s no strong bullish candle yet to confirm the move. In fact, multiple lower highs suggest bearish pressure.
4. Ignoring Bearish Continuation
Disruption: The red arrow suggesting a drop isn't emphasized as strongly as the bullish path. However, repeated testing of the support with no significant bounce increases the risk of a breakdown. Also, if macroeconomic conditions or broader crypto sentiment is bearish, this chart setup could break down easily.
5. Lack of Context
Disruption: The chart analysis is isolated to a short timeframe (1 hour). Without higher timeframe confluence (e.g., 4H, Daily), any short-term pattern can easily be a false signal.
BTCUSDT SELLING SETUPBitcoin (BTCUSDT) is showing signs of a potential selling setup as price approaches a strong resistance zone. Bearish pressure is building, and a rejection from this area could lead to a downside move.
Traders should watch for confirmation signals like bearish candlestick patterns, lower highs, or a break of structure before entering. If sellers take control, we could see BTC move toward lower support levels.
Stay alert, wait for confirmation, and manage risk smartly! 📉🔥
Technical Analysis by Ali Khan
BTCUSD update May 22nd, 2025I have returned and here is my updated chart. I'm such a perfectionist sometimes when it comes to lines that it takes my hours to get them exactly how I envision. To start off, yes I am bullish on Bitcoin and believe that this cycle hasn't ended yet but I will admit that I think the end of it is closer than the beginning. With that being said, I will not disappear when the bear market starts, I will simply make updates and try to catch the bottom like I did in the past. So far I am going with history and my bottom target is above 66,800 and I expect the floor to fizzle out around 71-73k; if it ends up being higher than that, great! Overall this idea is just an update for my own personal records and my prediction is based on what has happen that last time this pattern was brought to us.
Stay safe out there, happy trading, and as always--Cheers!
BTCUSD Technical Analysis.This chart shows a 2-hour candlestick view of Bitcoin (BTC/USD) on the Bitstamp exchange, with technical analysis annotations indicating a potential trade setup:
Entry Area: Around 111,911 (current market price).
Target (Take Profit): Around 113,521 (green zone), marked by the bullseye icon and a projected upward movement.
Stop Loss: Around 109,277 (red zone), noted below the support area and highlighted in orange.
Trend: The price appears to be in a bullish channel, with recent price action forming a flag or consolidation pattern that could break to the upside.
Risk-to-Reward Ratio: Favorable, as the potential upside target is significantly higher than the stop loss range.
This setup implies a long position (buy trade) is anticipated, betting on a breakout to the upside from the current consolidation zone. Let me know if you'd like an analysis of the strategy's viability or other insights!
BITCOIN - price action in skyrocketing mode, how far will we go?Bitcoin on the weekly charts!
Last time Bitcoin was in upside price exploration mode it went on for around ~7 weeks. We then saw a price action of +53%.
Since Bitcoin have retested support at ~$104,530 on the weekly close, I believe we will from now on see a positive upside movement of price. This upside trend will most likely keep going for 6-8 weeks!
If history rhymes we could reach 150k, before we see a cool down this time.
Cryptocurrency: Analyzing the Digital Asset RevolutionSince Bitcoin’s creation in 2009, cryptocurrencies have evolved from a niche tech experiment into a dynamic sector disrupting global finance. Grounded in decentralization and blockchain technology, cryptocurrencies aim to remove intermediaries and redefine money.
Key Characteristics
Decentralization: Operate on peer-to-peer networks, free from central authority.
Blockchain Technology: Immutable, transparent ledger ensures trust and security.
Tokenization: Real-world assets like real estate or art can be turned into digital tokens.
Market Dynamics
As of 2024, total crypto market cap exceeded $2.5 trillion.
Bitcoin remains the dominant asset, but Ethereum’s smart contract ecosystem has catalyzed massive growth across DeFi and NFTs.
Opportunities and Risks
Opportunities:
Financial Inclusion: Access for the unbanked via mobile wallets and stablecoins.
Innovation: Enabling decentralized apps, automated lending, and cross-border payments.
Risks:
Regulatory Uncertainty: Governments are actively evaluating oversight frameworks.
Volatility: Sudden price swings create high risk for investors.
Security: Hacks and scams continue to plague the sector, especially in DeFi.
Conclusion
Cryptocurrencies have launched a financial paradigm shift, but for mass adoption to take root, regulation, user protection, and scalability must mature.
Altcoins: Analyzing the Ecosystem Beyond BitcoinAltcoins — short for “alternative coins” — encompass all cryptocurrencies other than Bitcoin. Emerging as early as 2011, they have since evolved into a diversified sector aiming to improve upon Bitcoin’s limitations or explore new use cases.
Classification of Altcoins
Smart Contract Platforms (Ethereum, Solana): Enable programmable finance and decentralized applications (dApps).
Privacy Coins (Monero, Zcash): Focus on anonymity and data protection.
Utility and Infrastructure Tokens (Chainlink, Polkadot): Facilitate blockchain communication and ecosystem functionality.
Market Analysis
In 2024, altcoins made up roughly 48% of total crypto market capitalization.
Ethereum continues to lead as the foundational layer for DeFi, NFTs, and DAOs.
New entrants like Avalanche and Near Protocol are gaining ground through scalability improvements.
Key Strengths and Challenges
Strengths:
Drive innovation in DeFi, Web3, and tokenized finance.
Foster scalability, low-cost transactions, and cross-chain connectivity.
Challenges:
Fragmentation: Competing standards hinder interoperability.
Security Risks: Vulnerabilities in smart contracts can lead to major hacks.
Regulatory Exposure: SEC scrutiny may classify some tokens as securities.
Conclusion
Altcoins represent the innovative edge of the crypto sector. For investors, they offer high-reward opportunities, but also come with elevated risks. Understanding their ecosystems is essential for long-term participation.
BTC/USD: Structural Breakout of Curved Resistance – Eyes on $116Technical Overview:
Bitcoin (BTC) has successfully completed a significant technical breakout after months of accumulation and resistance interaction. The chart highlights a precise market structure where price has moved from a phase of consolidation into a confirmed bullish breakout, with a clearly defined target and invalidation level.
1. SR Interchange Zone (Support-turned-Resistance):
From May to October 2024, BTC price action was trapped in a sideways range, marked by an extended accumulation phase between approximately $60,000 to $73,000. This zone acted as a historical resistance level during the downtrend, but was later flipped into support, forming a classic SR Interchange — a foundational concept in market structure analysis.
This area provided a strong base from which BTC launched its late 2024 rally.
2. Consolidation Below Curved Resistance (Dec 2024 – Apr 2025):
Following a steep bullish impulse, BTC entered a multi-month consolidation phase, forming a rounded top pattern — shown on the chart as the Black Mind Curve Resistance. This curved resistance represented a psychological and structural ceiling, suppressing bullish momentum and trapping liquidity.
Price action was tightly compressed under this dynamic resistance curve, with multiple failed breakout attempts. This period was marked by range-bound volatility and low directional commitment — classic behavior during a re-accumulation phase.
3. Breakout of Black Mind Curve Resistance (May 2025):
A major technical event occurred as BTC broke decisively above the Black Mind Curve Resistance, accompanied by a surge in bullish momentum. This move not only invalidated the prior rounding top structure but also confirmed a trend continuation breakout.
The breakout was clean, with strong follow-through volume and a higher high structure above the Major Horizontal Resistance Zone (~$105,000–$109,000) — now confirmed as flipped support.
4. Bullish Continuation & Price Target:
Following the breakout, BTC has established a higher low and continued its upward trajectory toward the marked target zone at $116,065. This zone coincides with:
Previous untested supply levels
Technical Fibonacci extension (1.272–1.618 zone)
Measured move from the curve structure base
With current momentum and structure intact, BTC remains bullishly biased until it either reaches the target zone or breaks below the invalidation level.
5. Invalidation & Risk Management:
A close below $102,005 — the defined SI (Support-Invalidation) level — would be considered structurally bearish. This level represents:
The most recent higher low
Base of the breakout structure
Re-entry into previous consolidation range
A breakdown below this level would invalidate the bullish thesis and may open the door for a deeper pullback toward $95,000 or even $88,000.
✅ Conclusion:
The breakout of the Black Mind Curve Resistance marks a significant technical shift in Bitcoin’s trend. With momentum in favor of the bulls and market structure supporting higher prices, BTC appears poised to test the $116,000 target zone in the short to mid-term — barring a breakdown below key support.
📌 Key Levels Recap:
Level Type Price
Target Zone $116,065
Current Price $110,902
Support / Invalidation (SI) $102,005
📈 Strategy Outlook:
Bias: Bullish
Entry Area: Retest of $107,000–$109,000 (if offered)
Target: $116,065
Stop-Loss: Below $102,005 (structural invalidation)
💬 Stay focused on structure, not emotions. The best trades are born from patience, not prediction.
Let me know if you'd like a summary version for use on social media or a custom signature block for your TradingView profile.
New highs for bitcoin above $110,000Bitcoin has performed very strongly overall since the second half of last month, moving up to test fresh record highs currently. Possible American deregulation is in focus while appetite for risk has recovered recently as rhetoric on trade, particularly between China and the USA, has calmed down significantly. MVRV is about 2.2, so the uptrend might be mature, but sentiment remains mostly greedy. The more dovish scenarios for the Fed this year seem much less likely than around this time last month with a plurality of participants now expecting only two cuts by the end of 2025.
From the chart, it's also pretty clear that the medium-term uptrend starting around the middle of April is mature. Buying saturation from the stochastic or RSI is obvious but this usually isn't such an important factor for a cryptocurrency. The 100% weekly Fibonacci extension was previously a resistance so might now flip to being an area of support if the price can hold above $107,000 for more than a couple of days. The obvious longer term target would be the 161.8% Fibonacci expansion around $140,000.
An immediate consolidation or correction much below $100,000 seems quite unlikely under the current circumstances. The main dynamic support for now could be the 20 SMA around $102,600. This is a potentially difficult situation for new buyers because it presents a dilemma whether to 'jump on the rocket' quickly at the risk of there being no more 'rocket' for a while or to wait for a significant consolidation which equally might mean missing any further 'rocket'.
This is my personal opinion, not the opinion of Exness. This is not a recommendation to trade.