Bitcoin AnalysisBitcoin Analysis
Bitcoin is currently approaching the key psychological zone between $70,000 to $75,000, where we expect a potential consolidation or short-term correction.
This area could serve as a resting phase before the market gathers momentum for a new and powerful bullish leg, targeting the $120,000–$130,000 range in the mid to long term.
Traders should watch for signs of accumulation and breakout confirmation before positioning for the next major move.
BTCUSD trade ideas
TARIFF WAR & BITCOIN; FUNDAMENTAL IMPACTThe tariff war between countries, especially major ones like the U.S. and China can indirectly affect Bitcoin (BTC/USD), but in a very different way compared to gold.
Like gold, Bitcoin is sometimes treated as a hedge against uncertainty, especially by retail and some institutional investors.
Trade wars create global tension and fear of economic slowdowns, which could drive increased demand for decentralized assets like BTC.
So, tariff wars can be bullish for BTC, especially if investors look for non-sovereign assets not tied to any single country’s policy.
If tariffs hurt a country’s economy, its currency might weaken (e.g., yuan or euro falling).
People in those countries may convert their local currencies into BTC to escape devaluation or capital controls.
We've seen this in countries like Argentina, Venezuela, and even China (to an extent), where BTC becomes a store of value.
Tariffs often raise the price of imported goods = higher inflation.
If fiat currencies lose purchasing power, people may shift to scarce assets like Bitcoin, which has a fixed supply.
This is similar to gold’s appeal during inflation.
However, unlike gold, Bitcoin is still considered a risk-on asset by much of the market.
During global panic or liquidity crunches (like early COVID), BTC can crash short-term, as people sell it to raise cash.
But in the medium to long term, uncertainty and inflation risk usually help BTC recover and rise.
If the tariff war expands and triggers more inflation, currency instability, or global economic worry, Bitcoin could rise in value.
It won’t be a smooth ride (expect volatility), but BTC tends to benefit from the loss of trust in governments, fiat systems, and centralized economies—which trade wars can intensify.
Trump Manipulates the Market Again: Tariffs ON/OFF PlayOnce again, we’re watching how political narratives are used to shake the markets — and Bitcoin was no exception this time.
🔻 Step 1: "TARIFFS ON" Announcement
Market instantly reacts with a sharp sell-off
BTC drops from 81K to nearly 75K
Fear spikes, media goes wild
📉 That’s your classic short squeeze setup.
🔺 Step 2: "TARIFFS OFF" Retraction
Massive green candle, BTC rebounds from lows
Shorts get liquidated
Price rips back up in minutes
💸 It’s a textbook fake panic followed by a well-timed reversal. Someone knew what was coming. Someone profited. And it wasn’t retail.
🔎 What does this mean? This is not just market volatility — this is narrative-based manipulation. If you're trading without paying attention to headlines, you're already behind.
🧵Follow the money. Follow the timing. Follow the candles. #Bitcoin #BTCUSD #MarketManipulation #Tariffs #Trump #PoliticsInMarkets #Whales #NarrativeTrading #PriceAction
Bitcoin (BTC/USD) Slammed Back Into Channel SupportBitcoin shed -2.46% today, reversing sharply lower from the top of its descending channel and the 50-day SMA, reaffirming resistance just below $88,700. The rejection puts focus back on the 200-day SMA and mid-channel support.
🔻 Price remains firmly inside the falling channel
📉 MACD is flattening below zero — no bullish crossover yet
⚖️ RSI sits at 44 — modest bearish momentum without being oversold
If price breaks below $79,000, eyes may turn to the lower channel boundary near $72,000, and eventually the long-term trendline closer to $68,000.
Momentum is weak and trend pressure remains tilted downward unless bulls can reclaim the 50-day SMA and break out of this channel decisively.
-MW
BTCUSD TARGET COMPLETE Market Analysis for Bitcoin (BTC/USD) – April 10, 2025
Price Action Overview:
- Bitcoin (BTC) is currently consolidating between 79,161 and 81,520, with price action forming within this range. A move to 79,161 has been achieved, completing the target and fulfilling the bearish target outlined earlier.
- BTC seems to be struggling around 81,500, and is showing potential signs of exhaustion at the upper end of the range near the resistance zone.
Key Levels to Watch:
1. Resistance Zone (Red Box):
- The resistance level is clearly marked near 82,000 and 81,500, with price struggling to break above this level. If Bitcoin fails to break out of this resistance zone, the price could reverse towards support levels.
- The upper resistance zone remains a key level…
ChatGPT: - An FVG (Fair Value Gap) is evident in the 79,161 to 78,500 region. This could act as an area to fill, and could potentially see price retracement or sideways consolidation before a possible move up.
Market Structure Analysis:
- Bearish Trend: Bitcoin's price has been on a downward trend forming a descending triangle, indicating bearish sentiment.
- Breakout Potential: A breakout from the current consolidation zone will be important. Bitcoin will likely test 79,161 again. If it fails to hold support, further downside may be possible.
Volume & Momentum:
- Volume: The volume analysis shows increasing buying volume at lower levels, suggesting potential support around 79,161. However, the volume is diminishing at resistance levels, which indicates that bullish…
Market Cap Is Not Real Money InflowThe Market Cap Illusion — The Most Dangerous Misunderstanding in Finance Right Now
⚪ Let's talk about what nobody else wants to tell you.
Everywhere you look right now on social media, you're seeing the same recycled headline:
"$4 Trillion added to stocks in 10 minutes!" "$236 Billion added to crypto in 12 hours!"
Sounds exciting, right?
It’s also deeply misleading.
⚪ Here’s The Harsh Truth:
A rising market cap does NOT mean that billions or trillions of new money just magically flowed into the market.
It means prices went up. That’s it.
Market Cap = Last Traded Price x Total Supply/Shares
If Bitcoin moves up 8% → The entire Bitcoin market cap increases 8%. Even if only a small percentage of Bitcoin actually traded hands.
This is not "fresh capital inflow." It’s just higher prices multiplying across existing supply.
⚪ Let’s Be Super Clear:
WRONG:
"$236 Billion flowed into the crypto market." "$4 Trillion entered the stock market."
RIGHT:
"Market cap increased by $236 Billion because prices went up." "Stock market cap increased by $4 Trillion due to price movement — not because new money entered."
Big difference. Please stop confusing these.
⚪ So Why Does This Misunderstanding Exist?
Simple.
Most social media traders out there have consistently FAILED to educate their audience properly.
They focus on hype, engagement, and surface-level headlines because that’s what generates likes, not truth.
But here’s the problem:
This misinformation leads to false confidence. It leads to poor decision making. And worst of all — it misleads new traders into thinking markets work in ways they absolutely don’t.
⚪ It’s Time To Be Real.
Stop blindly trusting everything you see on social media. Stop believing every influencer who screams "money is flowing in!!"
Most of them don’t even understand what they’re talking about.
Real traders, real investors — they ask questions. They double check the facts. They understand the mechanics behind market moves.
And so should you.
⚪ The Real Difference:
Market Cap shows valuation based on price
Liquidity shows real money inflow based on actual capital entering
If you want to survive and thrive in these markets, start separating hype from reality.
Be smarter. Be curious. Be aware.
Disclaimer: This information is for entertainment purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Please consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
BTC, THE ONLY ONE THAT WORTH LONGING !Introduction
Crypto Didn’t Make It — Just Admit It
Long positions in crypto are usually pointless and super risky, because crypto simply didn’t make it .
Think of it like the dot-com era—when every company with a website was booming… until they all turned to dust .So there won’t be another altseason.
Crypto had its own version of that in 2021 . Unfortunately, it didn’t deliver anything meaningful to the world. Just sh!tcoin after sh!tcoin.
And let’s be clear: I’m talking about everything except Bitcoin .
The rest? Still pointless. Still super risky. At least until blockchain tech becomes much faster , more advanced, and actually gets used in real, profitable projects that benefit stakeholders — not just hype and tokenomics.
Who am I to say that? Just a trader since 2017 and a blockchain developer (not your average “Web3 dev” who just learned how to deploy a token).
BTC looks primed for a long.
Weekly EMA 55 (orange line) is the key — price above it = bullish, below = bearish. Simple as that.
Right now, BTC is holding strong above it and looks ready to move.
(And yeah, crypto doesn’t care about world news — remember that.)
Entry: ~76,500
Stop Loss: 69,217
Targets:
TP1: 87,196
TP2: 93,985
TP3: 101,900
TP4: 115,534
Bitcoin (BTC/USD) Technical Analysis – Bullish Setup🔵 Key Levels:
🎯 Target Point: 87,050.22 (🔼 Expected upward move)
🔵 Support Zone: 79,833.82 (🛡️ Strong demand area)
🔴 Current Price: 82,254.27
📊 Analysis:
🔵 RBS + RBR Zone (🔄 Role Reversal Support & Rally Base Rally) - Possible entry point for a long position.
🟠 Stop Loss: Below 79,833.82 (🚨 Risk Management)
🟣 Resistance Zone: Near 83,000 (🔄 Possible short-term pullback)
📈 Strategy:
1️⃣ Price might retrace to the blue zone (support) before continuing upward.
2️⃣ If it holds, 🚀 potential rally towards 87,050.22 🎯
3️⃣ If it breaks below support, ⚠️ possible downside risk.
✅ Conclusion:
A bullish setup with a 7.45% profit target 📊
Risk managed with a stop loss below support ⚠️
BTCUSD Daily View Based on your 15-minute BTC/USD chart, here’s a structured technical analysis for **April 10, 2025**:
---
### 🧠 **Chart Breakdown**
- **Break of Structure (BOS)**: Bullish BOS occurred earlier, indicating short-term upward momentum.
- **Strong High**: Marked at **$83,568** — this is a **liquidity point** that could act as a magnet if bullish momentum resumes.
- **Weak Low Zone**: Around **$81,451** — a key liquidity area that might be swept before any significant move up.
- **Current Price**: **$81,814**, sitting just above the weak low zone and in a minor consolidation phase.
---
### 🔍 **Market Context**
- After a strong impulsive move up, BTC started pulling back with lower highs and lower lows, indicating **retracement** or **distribution**.
- The price is holding slightly above the weak low, meaning:
- Smart money may be trying to **trap shorts or induce longs** before a deeper sweep or reversal.
- There's potential for **liquidity sweep below $81,451** before heading back up to test the strong high ($83,568).
---
### 🔮 **Today's Bias: Neutral-to-Bullish (Scalp or Swing)**
#### 🎯 **Bullish Scenario (Preferred if $81,451 holds)**
- Price holds above or sweeps $81,451 and **reclaims the zone quickly**.
- Expect a bounce toward:
- **$82,500** (intermediate resistance)
- **$83,568** (strong high / liquidity target)
#### 🛑 **Bearish Scenario (Only if clean break below $81,451)**
- Price breaks and holds below **$81,451** → retest failure = bearish.
- Target downside levels:
- **$80,500**
- Potentially **$79,500** if momentum is strong.
---
### 🧭 **Action Plan for Today**
| Type | Strategy |
|-------------|----------------------------------------------------------|
| Intraday Long | Buy near $81,451 zone with tight SL below $81,200 |
| Confirmation Entry | Wait for 15m bullish engulfing / BOS above GETTEX:82K |
| Short Setup | Only valid on clear 15m breakdown + retest below $81,451 |
---
Thu 10th Apr 2025 BTC/USD Daily Forex Chart Buy SetupGood morning fellow traders. On my Daily Forex charts using the High Probability & Divergence trading methods from my books, I have identified a new trade setup this morning. As usual, you can read my notes on the chart for my thoughts on this setup. The trade being a BTC/USD Buy. Enjoy the day all. Cheers. Jim
Add-on to the 4h TF analysis.On the 1 hr Timeframe I have drawn the .283 ORANGE Fib retrace level (which may be the reversal back to bullish ALREADY ,as bullish momentum is STRONG here)
Below the Orange line is the Green long 0.5 level which i think may be the maximum retracement in this appearantly strong bullish momentum .
But as i write it, know that MM may be watching and reading this too !.. :)
BEARISH RETRACEMENT for a BULLISH CONTINUATION? Thick long blue Line 1.618 TP level
Thick RED long Line 2.618 fib level
But btc has (as you can see on small green horizontal lines) Already hit a ( Perfect ) Fib retrace level of .786 ( Thicker line is perfect retracement from the highest point before the low) , the thinner green line is the later "high" shortly after it.
THUS ==> I think retracement is now in the make, for how much? I dont know, we can count on 0.5 to .618 move I think , before it continues bullish momentum.
OFCOURSE, its BRYPTO, its BITCOIN, it may also fall the hell back down again. Maybe to around the 76k level! But I THINK the first will play out!
So keep the other scenarios in mind as well.
I expect you can be calmly expecting a further bullish momentum , not taking news into consideration , but i think "A lot of bears have been SHOT on the way"! - Thus, having seen A LOT of BEARISH movements, It may be finally time to become BULLISH again, and CONTINUE!! :rocket:
BTCUSD:You need to refer to this strategyPresident Trump of the United States suddenly announced the suspension of tariffs, which led to a significant change in market sentiment.
Since tariffs play a crucial role in global economic relations and market expectations, this unexpected move has caused investors to adjust their investment portfolios.
As the new tariff suspension policy has reduced market uncertainties to a certain extent, gold, which is usually regarded as a safe-haven asset, has been sold off.
Conversely, the price of BTC has soared, reflecting the market's rapid response to this major policy change.
If you're at a loss right now, don't face it alone. Please get in touch with me. We are always ready to fight side by side with you.
Fade The News You have to fade the news because it's all technical. As you can see we have a strong hidden divergence on the 1hr TF. The bears did not succeed in trying to wipe out the low of 74,483. Instead price found it's ground at 74,588. The news articles/billionaires who control the news are trying to convince traders to sell but HODL or you will regret the biggest profit potential in history.
Bullish setup for Bitcoin for coming 6 monthsIf we look at pure technicals. Basic technicals, things couldn't be more bullish. The sentiment is at extreme fear, but look at this beautiful chart.
Maybe we chop here for a bit, but once the MACD flips in momentum weakness, then I suspect massive upwards move for Bitcoin.
BTC Double Tops Trap or Trump BreakoutAs noted on the charts BTC has reached a critical point in its journey. Altcoins are already hammered into the weekend, is this an early indication of a rug pull?
BTC on the 8H time frame is showing rejection of higher prices into previous all time high with most indicators sounding a warning. I am only sharing my thoughts on whether this is a market maker's trap or Trump Breakout Trade.
Personally, I have a bias that even if US congress and White house would designate BTC as a Reserve asset (That's a Big iF), my question is would the US government with it's mountain of debt and DOGE (Department of Government Efficiency) buy BTC at over $100,000 per coin? Where is the taxpayer money to accumulate BTC at this price. I suspect the insiders will pull the rug before such an event.
Let the chart print!!!
These are just my thoughts I am sharing with the world. Cheers to profitable trades!