Cycle Peak Ahead: Why the Next Dip Might Be Last Buy OpportunityFollowing my recent publication, the marketโs micro movements continue to closely mirror the structure of the previous bull cycle, as illustrated by the blue bars in the model.
If history is to rhyme once again in this stochastic-driven market, we can expect a few more short-term declines in the coming weeks, potentially retesting the 50-week EMA to establish a bottom. Should these pullbacks occur on decreasing volume , accompanied by a rise in the Fear & Greed Index , it would significantly increase the probability of one final leg upward, culminating in the projected cycle peak around SeptemberโOctober.
While the model currently projects the final week of the bull cycle, itโs important to approach this stage with measured risk. It may be wiser to exit long positions a few weeks ahead of the anticipated euphoric top, acting on probabilities rather than chasing certainty.
