BTCUSD trade ideas
BTC USD UpdateWe've seen massive news in the crypto space lately, yet the price absorbs buys and pushes lower week after week. The logical explanation is that they need to drive the price down to buy massive orders at a cheaper price. We don't close our spot trades; we remain overall bullish on these coins. So, we're in scalping mode, filling new spot orders as the price drops. We're confident it will go up sooner or later. Currently, we're in a bearish price range, and liquidity has built up heavily beneath the daily fractals. Therefore, we're focusing on scalps, trading in and out within the range. As of now, the range high is 95,128.88, and the low is 76,555.00. Let's see what happens.
BTCUSD SHORTHere we are still waiting for BTC to retest the 88,000 area and I personally use price action as confirmation in that area
70000 level set off for bitcoinAs a swing trader, this is one of the easiest trendline trade setup which is happening on BTC.
i look foreward to see BTC at 70k zone this.
#202511 - priceactiontds - weekly update - bitcoin Good Evening and I hope you are well.
comment: Trading range week is behind us. Targets below are the same. 75k and maybe 70k. Bulls need to claim 95k again. I don’t have much to write about this right now. It’s a clear bear trend but it’s trying to bottom out above 75k. Next dip below 80k is the most important one. If bears fail again, we could try to 100k again.
current market cycle: bear trend
key levels: 70k - 94k
bull case: Bulls need anything above 91k to break above the bear trend line but giving this some room, even 94k could still not be enough for them to stop this bear trend. They are doing good at keeping the market above 80k and if they prevent the bears from testing the previous ath at 73.8k, that would be the third try and likely the last before many bears give up and bulls could test higher again.
Invalidation is below 70k.
bear case: Bears need to close the bull gap down to 73800, no ifs or buts.
Invalidation is above 94k.
short term: Neutral. Need strong selling momentum again for me to join this.
medium-long term - Update from 2025-02-23: 75000 is still my biggest target for 2025. It’s happening. 70k/75k and then I expect a bigger bounce first. Then we will see if we can go lower or not. For now it’s very low probability that the big bull trend line from 2023-10 breaks anytime soon.
current swing trade: None
chart update: Nothing
Time Is On Our Side.It’s been awhile since I’ve published my ideas, forgive me, most of my analysis you can find on X, so follow me there for more analysis but I should post here more often. Here I am:
Daily chart printed a relatively EQHs then crashed where price bottomed into the 50% range, so it’s time to rally back up run those EQHs, a final attempt for the Monthly to Close Above $93354.77, ending 2025/Q1 above $102K, followed by the next market phase the Distribution stage where price will Mark down price into the bottom of 2026/Q3 @$62317 then rally back to print a new high by end of 2028/Q3, possibly $130K but at this rate of adoption unlike any other times, price will soar sky high.
Prepare yourselves and move diligently:
Sell The Premium (Top) by 2025/Q2.
Buy The Discount (Bottom) by 2026/Q3.
I think there is potential for BTC longs in the week ahead.BTC is at a weekly FVG and has strong BSLQ at the first target, which could push the market to the upside. This is just my humble opinion and not financial advice.
Bitcoin Technical AnalysisBitcoin's technical analysis based on Elliott waves will be as follows: Given the completion of 5 complete Elliott waves, we expect a deep correction to begin, which can be corrected to the 78.6 Fibonacci range. Why to this range because the wave corrects in the main?
Uncertainty equals TurbulanceWith so much fear and uncertainty due to tariff talk, fear has taken over the markets. Will the markets have enough good news in the near future to make new highs like some bulls expect? Or will the fear continue to worsen forcing panic selling to take over? Only time will tell. I expect another crazy week ahead. Fed talk and Options X manipulation ahead. Stay tuned
BTC Monthly AnalysisMy current perspective is simple.
The market flips supply into demand
OR
The market taps into demand.
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While there can be trades taken between levels with proper risk management, these zones should provide the best setups.
It’s okay to swing and miss; again with proper risk management.
I am long term bullish & short term bearish.
#BTC crashNot to many EWT's see this leading diagonal and a truncated wave 5 but I am all over it. Bitcoin price could drop to 2017 highs again 20k target
BTCUSD The Week Ahead 17th March ‘25 Recent price action in Bitcoin (BTCUSD) suggests an oversold bounce, with resistance capping gains at the 88,000 level. The continuation of selling pressure could extend the downside move, with key support levels at 76,112, followed by 74,222 and 67,260.
Alternatively, a confirmed breakout above 91,900, accompanied by a daily close higher, would invalidate the bearish outlook. In this scenario, Bitcoin could target 95,126, with further resistance at 98,500.
Conclusion:
The price remains at a pivotal level, with 88,000 acting as a key resistance. Failure to break above this level could reinforce downside risks, while a breakout could shift momentum back in favor of bulls. Traders should watch for confirmation signals before positioning for the next move.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
BITCOIN (BTC/USD)BTC/USD – Technical Outlook
Bias: Bearish
BTC/USD has completed the ABCD pattern and is now printing lower highs and lower lows, confirming a shift in market structure to bearish.
Price is currently retesting a previous support, now turned resistance. If this level holds, it could open the door for continued downside; with the 68K–50K zone as a potential BTD (buy-the-dip) area.
TARGET 1 (78K):
A key structural zone. A clean break and close below this level would confirm bearish momentum and increase the likelihood of price falling.
TARGET 2 (66K):
Likely to act as a magnet; a previous resistance turned support that launched price toward 100K. A return here would retest the foundation of the previous rally to 100k.
TARGET 3 (50K):
From a fractal and psychological standpoint, double tops often retrace to the origin of the bullish move. In this case, around the 50K zone.
Invalidation:
A reclaim of 85K–90K would shift bias back to bullish, signalling potential for upside momentum.
BUYGod First
Minimum Risk Maximum Reward
Action Backed Believe
# faith, strategy, and execution all in one #
KEEP SHORTS FOR 50% CORRECTIONPrice has been trading tops and bottoms within well defined harmonic forms.
The third major top was at 68997.75+/- level and corrected to a bottom at 15473.78 on 21/11/2022. From the primary bottom on 05/10/2009 to this bottom we have a timeline 685 weeks forming the horizontal x-axis and price change +689.9775 the vertical y-axis.
05/10/2009 - 21/11/2022 = 4795 days / 685 weeks / 157.5 months
From this we have:
Price: 0.00 - 68997.75 - 15473.78 (Price change = 689.9775 * 10) pts
Time: 05/10/2009 - 21/11/2022 (Time count = 685 weeks)
This sets the pace for the expansion forms, price reached 73757.39 from 15473.78 and corrected again to 49217.00 on 05/08/2024, a price change of (+737.5739 * 10) from the primary low and 774 weeks time count. That gives a (737.5739 x 774) structure expanded from (689.9775 x 685).
From 68997.75 which is the (1/Phi) level the next expansion would be a (+1087.00 +/-) pts of which price made a top at 109354.00. This would be the 1.0 or the (1 x 1) Gann square of price and time. Price has reached the 1.0 top, time made 798 weeks at this top. From a (1 x 1) Gann square which is usually the smallest expanded structure we would have a 50% decomposition which we expect price to reach at least the 52400.00 level if we break through the 68997k top.
Since time is still lagging price by 208 weeks +/- it suggest two possible scenarios to consider.
Check back as we make time projections and price levels to expect forward.
Good luck, manage risks responsibly.
DescribeGod First
Minimum Risk Maximum Reward
Action Backed Believe
# faith, strategy, and execution all in one #
The Bitcoin Time Machine: Fast Forward to 2030Welcome to the future of Bitcoin, as unreliable as my last relationship... We’re taking a joyride through potential highs and lows of Bitcoin prices up to 2030. Will we hit the $300K jackpot, or will we need to pawn our spacesuits? Buckle up, because it's all based on highly scientific wild guesses and the magic of the cryptocurrency roller coaster! Strap in and keep your hands inside the ride at all times.
#ALLJOKES
#HAPPYINVESTING
#SPRINGISHERE
BULLISH BIASOn market open price will pull back a bit to complete the retest near the inverted right shoulder, but above it.
Afterwards expect bullish momentum to push price up to 92k
It's Over, BTC Bulls Got Their Last ATH. Distribution Incoming.Not financial advice, knot financial advice. Long term outlook on BTC is extremely weak. Accumulation has slowed to a crawl over the past 5 years. Whales are looking to unload their whole supply. The final stage of value extraction has begun.
SMCWe wait for the price to move to our point of interest and also watch for the breakout confirmation before entering the trade...
Bitcoin Had some very slight exhaustion of the down trend broke tested the bottom. Demand had been relative high a lot of effort to push market higher with little result. Personally I think on the hourly is forming another distribution range with this last leg utad to 84 k and should see another sign of weakness now . I think if it were the bottom and a continuation of the up trend then it should have Spring up a little higher . Can always coil up hear and spring off keep an eye on that sellers will defend the 90 k level with hugh volumes in that range massive indication of a distribution range .
Trading Plan Summary for BTCUSD Long PositionHypothesis: Long if price closes above 84,500.
Entry Criteria:
Entry Price: Above 84,500 (15m close).
Confirmation: Increase in volume on break.
Stop-Loss: 84,000 (below nearest support level).
Take-Profit: 85,300 (next resistance level).
Position Sizing: Risk 1-2% of capital.
Execution Steps:
Set alerts for 84,500.
Monitor volume for spikes during the breakout.
Execute long position on confirmation of breakout above 84,500.
Post-Trade:
Adjust stop-loss to break-even if favorable.
Exit at take-profit or if a reversal signal occurs.
