Bitcoin: Underlying Fib HeatmapReceived a request to add .886 to upward channels and remove a b&w fib layer which concealed another pair of fib channels that also extends from 2020 and makes up spectrum of colors from a research idea.
Result:
Sharing this publicly as it may be of interest to others in the field, and to leverage the interactive features for enhanced tracking and ongoing refinement of the model.
BTCUSD trade ideas
Bearish Divergence on Bigger tf
CMP 105228.47 (02-06-2025)
Bearish Divergence on Bigger tf (Cautious
approach should be taken).
However, if 109350 is Crossed, we may
witness 115000 & then 120000 - 121000.
and if 112000 is crossed & sustained, be ready
to get New Highs :-)
Lets be more cautious & dig out 3 Important
Support Levels.
S1 around 103000 - 102500
S2 around 97800
S3 around 93400 - 93500.
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BTCUSD: Neutral but long term still intact.Bitcoin has turned neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 50.968, MACD = 1795.700, ADX = 23.670) a direct consequence of last week's correction. That correction is though just a pullback on the 1W timeframe, which is more bullish than ever as it's coming off a May 1W MACD Bullish Cross. Since the 1W MA50 supported April's bottom and produced the current rebound (even ATH has been made) that also respected the powerful P1 trendline, this is a bullish wave similar to all prior since the late 2022 Bear Cycle bottom. As all 3 rallied by +100%, we can stay bullish aiming for 150,000 towards the end of the year.
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BTC Short & Trend ChangeA quick setup, i like the look of this, we've had a break of structure on the daily on 4hr in terms of the short term up trend (& 50 EMA) which is initial bias of trend change. After the break we have consolidation, a break and retest of the $105k area.
The Fib is showing a possibility the markets could draw slightly higher before falling which would make sense, especially around a level of such significance as there is likely to be manipulation and market movers here.
Short term trend change to the downside is my bias and i'll look for entry only if the markets can fake a break out up to the 61.8% ($106,750) to be exact. Good RR possibilities with good targets around 1:6.5
Target levels around $100,800 and then again around $98,500. Again, no entry unless i see confirmation from Fib levels.
BTCUSD Up trend breakdown ahead selling strong🚨BTC/USD Breakdown Alert 🚨
BTC has officially broken down from the previous uptrend, confirmed by a strong bearish engulfing candle — signaling a clear shift in momentum. This is a prime opportunity to look for short setups.
📉 Sell Entry: 107,400
🎯 Technical Targets & Demand Zones:
🔹 1st Target: 103,700 – Minor demand zone
🔹 2nd Target: 96,400 – Stronger structural support
🔹 3rd Target: 85,100 – Deep liquidity zone
🔹 4th Target: 77,000 – Bullish Order Block
💡 Breakdown confirmed. Trend shift validated. Selling pressure likely to continue.
Trade smart. Manage risk.
— Livia 💼📊
BTCUSD Entre point 104400 target 105800 stop loss 103600Let's break it down:
- Entry Point: 104,400
- Target: 105,800 (1,400-point gain)
- Stop Loss: 103,600 (800-point risk)
Risk-reward ratio looks decent! You're going long on BTCUSD, expecting a significant gain.
Potential reward: 1,400 points
Potential risk: 800 points
Let's see how it plays out! What's driving this bullish trend?
Market next move 1. Bearish Rejection Zone
The red box highlights a consolidation/resistance zone.
BTC is struggling to break and close above this area.
Multiple candle wicks into the zone suggest seller strength.
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📉 2. Volume Weakness
The recent upward candles show lower volume compared to the selling candles before it.
This indicates that the buying pressure may be weak, lacking momentum for a breakout.
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🕳️ 3. False Breakout Trap Risk
A fakeout above the resistance box is possible if big players trigger buy orders and then reverse the market, trapping retail traders.
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🟠 4. Bearish Divergence (if confirmed by RSI or MACD)
Without indicators shown, if momentum indicators like RSI/MACD display divergence (price up but momentum down), it’s a bearish signal.
BTC Enters Price Discovery Above $110K—A New Bull Cycle BeginsHistoric Breakout:
Bitcoin has officially entered uncharted territory, breaking decisively above the previous all-time high of $108,364 to surge past $110,000. This isn’t just psychological — it's a clear technical confirmation that the corrective phase is over and a new bullish cycle is underway.
Momentum Without Pause:
The impressive rally has unfolded with minimal pullbacks, a sign of:
Strong institutional accumulation
Growing retail FOMO
This sustained buying pressure suggests we’re witnessing more than a short-term rally — this could be the start of a parabolic move.
Risk Management & Key Support:
Even with minor pullbacks, the technical picture remains bullish.
The $102,000–$106,000 zone (previous resistance) is now key support
This area offers a strategic entry point for those waiting to buy the dip
Price Discovery Mode:
Now in true price discovery, Bitcoin faces no historical resistance overhead. The path of least resistance remains upward, with potential for explosive gains as we move into the summer months.
🚀 Next stop? Price targets in the $130K+ zone may soon come into focus.
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Bitcoin Reverses from Resistance, Eyes $100K SupportBitcoin's rally stalled at the $108,500 resistance level, with prices now pulling back and breaking below the steep uptrend line. The MACD is crossing lower and RSI is falling toward neutral, indicating momentum may be shifting. With the 50-day moving average near $94,400 and horizontal support around $100,000, traders may look for signs of stabilization in that zone before reassessing trend continuation.
-MW
BTC: Slowing DownBitcoin managed to stabilize over the weekend after its recent slide, nudging slightly higher from local lows. We continue to expect the current rebound—interpreted as wave B—to stretch into the blue Target Zone between $117,553 and $130,891. Once that move tops out, the next leg lower should follow, with wave C driving the price into the lower blue zone between $62,395 and $51,323. That would likely complete wave a in orange and pave the way for a temporary recovery before wave b rolls over into the final drop of wave (ii). The alternative scenario, which we’re still assigning a 30% probability, assumes Bitcoin is already in wave alt.(i) in blue—a more bullish path that would extend the rally well beyond $130,891 without another major correction first.
📈 Over 190 precise analyses, clear entry points, and defined Target Zones - that's what we do.
Bitcoin Daily: It Will Go Lower, I Will Explain WhyIt is hard to make these predictions because there are so many different points of view, so many opinions. There is so much data available that one can easily become confused. We can write an entire book about Bitcoin's next move and still not know what will happen next. I will keep it simple and straight forward and you will be able to understand and appreciate how easy it is when we focus on the chart only. Bitcoin is breaking below 100K.
Bitcoin is already trading at support. The mid-May consolidation range. From this range Bitcoin produced an advance and hit a new all-time high. The all-time high is a triple-top when we take the highs from January 2025 and December 2024. The fact that the action happens below this level now is bearish and this range has been confirmed as resistance.
The market will look for strength and this simply means lower.
Since resistance has been confirmed after a 50% rise, it is normal to see a retrace, can be medium-sized to balance out the strong-long bullish wave. Bullish action was present between 7-April until 22-May, 45 days.
The current retrace can take only a few weeks, think about 15-21 June as a rough estimate but nothing more (can end much sooner).
If you are unprepared and don't have map of the bigger picture, this can become terrifying and even lead to poor decisions at some point. If you know that this is only a retrace and the market will continue growing after a test above 90K, you can rest easy or even take advantage of this situation.
Now, what Bitcoin does is not the entire market. In a bull market, when Bitcoin moves down, money flows to the Altcoins. When Bitcoin goes sideways, the Altcoins grow. So dynamics will be much, much different now compared to what you saw in 2024, 2023 and 2022. The way the market will behave it is basically new for most participants.
The conclusion is that all is good and the chart is pointing lower short-term. After a short-term retrace, we get additional growth. Simple isn't it? It is...
Thank you for reading.
Namaste.
BTCUSD Uptrend Continues - Consistent Daily Demand ZonesConsistent daily demand zones are being created in this uptrend, signalling this is still a buyers' market. Momentum to the upside will continue and new All Time Highs will be claimed as long as new demand zones on H4 and daily timeframes are created.
BTCUSD – Bullish Channel Support Bounce SetupBTCUSD is currently trading within a clearly defined ascending channel on the 15-minute chart. The price recently touched the lower boundary of the channel and is showing signs of a potential bullish bounce.
This structure suggests that the pair may continue respecting the trend and head toward the upper boundary of the channel, offering a favorable risk-to-reward opportunity.
The trade plan includes a long setup with stop-loss placed just below the channel support and a target near the upper resistance zone. Volume remains moderate, supporting gradual upward momentum.
Technical Highlights:
Pattern: Ascending Channel
Key Support: Lower trendline
Entry Zone: Near current support
Target Zone: Around 106,500
Stop-Loss: Below recent swing low (around 104,185)
This is a technical chart idea based on price action and structure. Please manage your risk accordingly.
Bitcoin Long Term ProjectionI'm expecting bitcoin to keep dropping below $100k and possibly fluctuate between $103k down to $98k for a while eventually eventually taking out a point of liquidity around the $92.5k level which could provide a short term retracement back into the $100k levels.
Until the imbalance around the $87k level is tapped I don't see the possibility of Bitcoin making any new ATHs. Even if this imbalance is filled it could only provide short term bullish momentum which would continue to fuel the bears and continue to push the price into low $70k levels.
Bitcoin: What's next?BTC has lost local support around $107k and currently testing previous resistance around $104k.
If buyers are able to step in between $100k - $104k and reclaim $107k, it will signal strength.
If BTC experiences continued weakness, losing $100k as support, I would expect price to test the $95k - $97k region or 1D 200MA before signaling a reversal.
Is btc on its way to 99k?As you can see, btc has formed a bearish flag on the 4h chart and we are currently breaking out. I am therefore not bullish on btc at the moment, because I think we will drop back to 99k and maybe even to 93k because there is very strong support. I will keep you informed. www.tradingview.com
BTCUSD Breakdown Incoming? 4H Chart Flags Key Bearish Entry🔵 Entry Point (Sell Limit / Market Entry)
• Around $104,600 – $104,700
This area aligns with the retest of the descending trend line and a weak resistance zone. Price is reacting negatively after hitting this level.
🟥 Stop Loss
• $107,060
Placed just above the weak resistance. This protects the trade in case price breaks structure and invalidates the bearish setup.
🟩 Take Profit Targets
1. TP1: $101,818 (Support 1)
o First major support zone; price has bounced here previously.
2. TP2: $98,020 (Support 2)
o Deeper support and more aggressive target. Aligned with previous wick lows.
🔺 Chart Observations
• Trend Line: Still intact and respected. Price rejected it on the latest retest.
• Structure: Lower highs and lower lows show bearish momentum.
• Volume/Volatility: Tapering candles around resistance indicate weakening bullish attempts.
• Risk-to-Reward
o TP1 R:R ≈ 1.3:1
o TP2 R:R ≈ 2.5:1+
⚠️ Scalper Note
If you’re trading this as a scalp, consider securing partial profits at TP1 and moving SL to breakeven to protect gains. Volatility around macro events or news (like the red event icons near June 3–5) could trigger wicks.
Would you like me to add RSI, MACD, or EMA confluence to strengthen the setup further?
What Would You Do If The Bitcoin Top Was In?Bitcoin remains incredibly strong, trading near all-time highs. The structure is undeniably bullish, with price continuing to hold above key moving averages and previous resistance levels. The volume profile is healthy and supportive of the uptrend.
That said, I always like to challenge my own bias and look at the other side of the coin. Let’s rewind to 2021 - after a major rally, Bitcoin made a new high, swept previous highs, and then entered a deep correction. If history were to repeat, and this current rally turns into a similar scenario, what would your plan be? Would you take some profits at these levels? Set tighter stop losses? Adjust your risk accordingly?
Again, this is not what I expect to happen. I remain bullish on Bitcoin’s long-term prospects. But it’s essential to stay open-minded and pre