BTC LONG SWING ENTRY OFF PREVIOUS LOW AREASWe are looking to make a BTC long entry on previously supported levels using just chart analysis. Looking at a rebound on a daily actual range trade where add on possible reversal and scale out into the a new local high.
In short, buying the gold, adding in the blue, scaling out into the green.
As you can see been a while so playing this small, getting back into the action
BTCUSD trade ideas
BTCUSDWeekly Bullish Retracement is upon us! $102,500 is where Price will encounter its massive Bearish Continuation.
_SnipeGoat_
_TheeCandleReadingGURU_
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#202514 - priceactiontds - weekly update - bitcoinGood Evening and I hope you are well.
#btcusd - bitcoin
comment: The move I was writing and have been expecting for multiple weeks started today and 75k is the target. I won’t repeat all of it. Chart is clear and now it’s on bears to make meaningful lower lows. Below 70k you will likely see some panic.
current market cycle: bear trend
key levels: 70k - 90k
bull case: Bulls tried and failed under 90000. Now their last hope is to keep it above 75000 or risk going down to 70000 or below. I absolutely have nothing for them besides praying that 75000 holds.
Invalidation is below 70k.
bear case: Bears have all the arguments now and the chart is clear as day. Would not be the first time a market would do the opposite of what’s expected but you will not make money in the long run if you only bet on the low probability things happen. Maybe you can but you have to be S-Tier trader amongst traders. Much easier to follow the trend here. 75000 was my big target and I hope we crash to 69000.
Invalidation is above 90k.
short term: Full bear for 75000 or lower.
medium-long term - Update from 2025-02-23: 75000 is still my biggest target for 2025. It’s happening. 70k/75k and then I expect a bigger bounce first. Then we will see if we can go lower or not. For now it’s very low probability that the big bull trend line from 2023-10 breaks anytime soon.
current swing trade: Short since 85000. Stop is 89000 no matter where you go short.
chart update: Removed one minor broken bear trend line.
Bitcoin's Fork in the Road: Key Levels to WatchBitcoin is currently in a short-term downtrend, showing some weakness. Last week, the price traded within a tight range, sparking hope for an upward shift. However, Bitcoin remains below the 200-day moving average (200MA), which is still a significant hurdle for any bullish momentum to gain strength.
Key support levels to watch are at $77K and $74K. If Bitcoin drops below $77K and breaks through the $74K level, it could signal a deeper decline, possibly testing the 46K mark. Until Bitcoin can reclaim the 200MA and hold above key support levels, the market sentiment will likely stay cautious.
BTC looking for liquidity in 69,000Here’s the translation to English:
Next week, a sell-off is expected if we follow our continuous pattern analysis and candlestick reading.
From what we can see, the next candle that will form next week is likely to be bearish, and it will help us identify our entry point for a buy position.
The fourth candle will give us more confirmation and confidence to take the trade, as it is expected that this fourth candle may close with indecision (Doji Candle).
BTC Range PredictionBTC Scenario #1- If don’t hold the 7 and 9 EMA and push up then I expect a flip to bullish and retest a Low volume node indicated as a blue trendline which indicates a resistance and Supply Zone. Either we push through this resistance / Supply Zone and test blue dotted line which is POC (Point of Control) or we push past POC and retest the VAH (Volume Area High).
BTC Scenario #2- If continue dropping from the 7 and 9 EMA. I expect a drop to VAL (Volume Area Low) then retest the Low Volume node / Resistance Level ( blue trendline) then possibly drop below the High Volume Node also know as the Ledge. Seeing that price reversed and began pushing up when we swept the High Volume Node. If do reverse at this same area after retesting the Low Volume Node then I can assume we will test the POC (blue dotted line) or past through the POC to test VAH
ideaThis Analysis Can Change At Anytime Without Notice And It Is Only For educational Purpose to Traders To Make Independent Investments Decisions.
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView
#Bitcoin Yearly Analysis #Bitcoin Trading around $83.6k
Now, As per Weekly Chart Analysis-
If you go for Bitcoin 4 years of Cycle of #Halving to #Halving, it includes always #Bullish #Bearish & Stable Zones of Bitcoin & #Altcoins tradings..
Now, as per yearly cycle..
Bitcoin moved always as per 3 Green & 1 Red Cycle, as per that scenario 2023, 2024 & 2025 is Green Candles year & 2026 will be Red Candle year of #BearishZone.
So, this seasons #BullRun last phase will be starts around August onwards to Dec-Jan. 2026 and after that market will be go under deep #BearishZone.
So, don't be panic at hard, that's the last opportunity time frame of 120/150 days, in which you will be make your again entry points on hard max. time around june-July 2025 at last for #Bitcoin Last time Lower-Low of approx. FWB:65K -67k.
Anyways,
Always #DYOR and Trade Wisely by using of #StopLoss strategy... 🙏
BTC ROADMAP IN 2025**BTC Analysis 2025 Roadmap**
As we embark on 2025, Bitcoin remains a pivotal player in the cryptocurrency landscape. This detailed analysis highlights crucial milestones, technical indicators, and market sentiment for traders to focus on throughout the year.
**1. Market Sentiment and Adoption:**
- The projected increase in institutional investment and broader mainstream adoption is likely to significantly impact Bitcoin's trajectory. Stay alert to developments in regulations and corporate endorsements of cryptocurrency.
**2. Technical Indicators:**
- Scrutinize moving averages (50-day and 200-day) for potential signals to buy or sell. A bullish crossover could suggest a robust uptrend is underway.
- Utilize Relative Strength Index (RSI) and Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) to assess market conditions for overbought or oversold scenarios.
**3. Key Support and Resistance Levels:**
- Pinpoint critical support levels around $30,000 and $25,000, which may present buying opportunities if Bitcoin experiences price corrections.
- Watch for resistance levels at $40,000 and $50,000; a breakout beyond these levels could signify the commencement of a new bullish phase.
**4. Halving Event Impact:**
- With the next Bitcoin halving anticipated in 2024, historically, this event has precipitated price increases. Pay close attention to market movements following the halving for potential bullish trends.
**5. Market Correlation:**
- Observe the correlation between Bitcoin and traditional financial markets, particularly during times of economic volatility. A strong relationship with gold may indicate shifts in investor behavior.
**6. Macro-Economic Factors:**
- Remain vigilant regarding inflation rates, interest rate changes, and overall economic conditions, as these elements profoundly influence Bitcoin's price dynamics.
**Conclusion:**
In 2025, the path of Bitcoin will be shaped by a confluence of technological advancements, regulatory changes, and evolving market dynamics. Active traders should leverage technical analysis and stay updated on global economic influences to make strategic decisions. Remember, effective risk management is essential in navigating the inherent volatility of this market.
BTCUSD Trade AnalysisLong at 82,520
Target 1 (Primary):91,195 (Early exit if strong rejection forms)
Target 2 (Secondary):99,200 (If bullish momentum sustains)
Stop Loss:77,000 (Below key support).
Expecting a bullish continuation toward 99,200 before a potential sell-off resumes. Will monitor price action near 91,195 for signs of rejection. Stop loss placed below 77,000 to protect against a breakdown.
BTC untethers from the equities marketThe recent sell off in the stock market has created immense uncertainty in the market. But where does crypto stand amongst all of this? Surprisingly, it seems like crypto hasn't moved much in the last couple days despite pretty much every other market getting hammered.
So what does this mean? Either this is the calm before the storm, and the crypto market will see a sharp correction in the coming days, or this is a signal that money may start moving into BTC. The tariff-induced sell off actually could lead to a catalyst event for BTC and many other cryptos to return to its bull cycle and there are many indicators that point towards this.
Firstly, it's important to remain cautious during this period of time as the market decides whether or not it can support another leg up for the cryptocurrency market. Both sides of the coin are possible and BTC could test it's lower support region ~65-70k if the bulls fail to hold support in this region. On the other hand, if BTC continues to outperform, investors may start pumping money back into BTC as we test the upper resistance near 105-110k.
Another important point to make is the USD losing value. Looking at the DXY, we are nearing a critical support level of 100 which could be a make or break point. If the dollar continues to fall, it could feed into a bullish BTC scenario. Cyclically, BTC has yet to reach its top so we will see how the market reacts in the coming weeks.
Bitcoin (BTC/USD) Trade Idea – Short Setup on 15-Min ChartWeekend trading plan assuming this short trade setup plays out. The plan will cover:
- Bias & Setup
- Entry, SL & TP
- Risk Management
- Scenario Planning
- Weekend Strategy Considerations
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🧠 Bias & Setup
- Current Setup : Short trade initiated near $83,477 with SL above (around $83,800), targeting lower zones (TP1, TP2).
- Structure : Price is breaking down from a pullback after a sharp move. MA crossover (green and blue lines) shows short-term bearish bias.
- Trendline : Downside move could reach the ascending trendline acting as long-term support.
🎯 Trade Details
- Entry : Around $83,477 (market or retest entry).
- Stop Loss (SL): Above recent high (approx. $83,800–$83,850).
- Take Profit 1 (TP1): ~83,000 (based on image).
- Take Profit 2 (TP2):~82,600 or slightly above the trendline.
> R:R ratio looks favorable—approx. 1:2 or higher depending on execution.
💰 Risk Management
- Risk per Trade : 1-2% of account balance.
- Position Sizing : Based on SL distance (~$300–$350).
- Execution Tip : Use partial profit booking at TP1 and trail stop to breakeven or better for TP2.
📉 Scenario Planning
1. Ideal Play (Bearish Breakdown) :
- Price breaks below short-term support.
- Hits TP1 and continues toward TP2 or trendline.
- Consider long re-entry near trendline if reversal signals appear.
2. Invalidation (Stop-Out) :
- Price pushes above $83,800–$83,850.
- Exit with controlled loss.
- Watch for possible trend continuation upward if rejection is weak.
3. Sideways Market :
- No clear break of recent range.
- Consider staying flat or using a range-trading approach with tight SL.
🗓️ Weekend Strategy Tips
- Volatility : Expect lower volume late Saturday into early Sunday; spreads may widen.
- No Forced Trades : If price consolidates and no follow-through, wait until Monday volatility returns.
- Alerts : Set alerts near TP1, TP2, and SL zones to monitor without screen-watching.
- News Watch : Be aware of any upcoming macro/crypto news that may trigger unexpected movement.
✅ Checklist Before Execution
- Clear confirmation of price rejection or continuation
- SL and TP levels set
- Position size calculated based on SL
- Alerts in place
- Review of higher timeframe for bias alignment