BTCUSD trade ideas
BTCUSD Footprint + Structure Breakdown | May 18, 2025Bitcoin has entered a high-value compression zone after a strong impulsive breakout from the $90K region. With volume tapering and delta flattening, we’re seeing a textbook case of accumulation before expansion.
🔎 Chart Analysis:
Strong Demand Imprint on May 8: Massive delta spike (≈ +2.06K) with total volume >15K led to a clean impulsive breakout, confirming aggressive buyers in control.
Volume Absorption Phase: Since the breakout, BTC has been ranging between ~$101K to $104K, building up value in a high-volume node.
Delta Neutral Compression: Daily deltas are getting tighter; buyers and sellers are evenly matched, forming a potential springboard setup.
Liquidity Pools Above: Resting liquidity likely above $105K. A sweep of this range could trigger the next expansion to $110K+.
📌 Key Zones:
Support (Demand):
$100K - GETTEX:98K → First response zone with decent volume and reaction.
FWB:88K - $86K → Origin of move, untested demand zone (see blue box).
Resistance (Liquidity Target):
$105K → Key level to clear for upside continuation.
$108K - $110K → Next target zone if expansion resumes.
🧠 Sentiment & Strategy:
This is not distribution—yet. There’s no significant selling delta, and price remains buoyant near the top of the range. As long as the demand zones hold and the structure doesn’t break down, the bias remains bullish.
📈 Watch for a breakout above $105K with volume and delta confirmation. If it comes, we ride. If not, look for a deep pullback toward the GETTEX:98K or $90K zones for re-entry.
TOP 1% Trading = Patience + Precision
✅ Clean setups
✅ Volume confirmation
✅ Structure-based entries
BTCUSD Analysis – May 18, 2025 | Major Breakout Confirmed Bitcoin has officially broken through the $100,000 psychological barrier and is holding steady around $103,897. The price action shows strong bullish momentum, backed by clean technical structure and solid fundamentals.
🧠 Key Observations:
Breakout Zone: Price exploded out of the high-volume accumulation zone between $85,000–$90,000, flipping it into a clear demand zone (highlighted in blue).
Bullish Structure: After breaking the range, BTC formed a higher low and continued with a steep impulsive leg up, as illustrated by the ascending arrow.
Current Price Action: BTC is consolidating just below $105,000, showing signs of absorption before a potential next leg up.
🔍 Market Context:
📈 April saw a strong +14% move, pushing BTC into new yearly highs.
🧭 Both the 50-day and 200-day moving averages are trending upward.
💡 RSI remains neutral — indicating there’s still room for upside without being overbought.
🔐 Key Levels to Watch:
Support: $99,000 - $95,000 → Previous resistance, now a key demand zone.
Resistance: $105,000 - $108,000 → Clean breakout above this could open the path toward $110,000+.
🏁 Outlook:
With global sentiment warming and technicals supporting continuation, BTC is poised for further upside — as long as it holds above the $95K area. A break above $108K could quickly accelerate the rally toward $115K and beyond.
Consistency | Discipline | Perseverance
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BTCUSD 30M | OB Rejection + FVG Target | Liquidity BelowSmart Money Concept Breakdown | May 18, 2025
This BTC setup is screaming institutional manipulation — and we’re ready to ride the wave. The most recent candle shows another clean rejection from the 30M Order Block, giving high confidence in bearish continuation.
🔍 Key Breakdown:
Entry Confluence:
Bearish OB between 103,569–103,634 tapped with a perfect wick
Candle rejected CRT High (high-probability manipulation zone)
Rejection confirmed with a bearish engulfing candle structure
Target Mapping:
Sell Side Liquidity: 102,643.59
Fair Value Gap: 102,200 zone
Weak Low: 101,420.70 (likely final draw on liquidity)
RR Setup:
Entry: 103,570 zone
SL: Just above CRT High at 103,811
TP1: SSL pool
TP2: FVG
TP3: Weak Low
Risk-Reward Range: From 1:2.5 to 1:5+ 💰
🧠 Institutional Logic:
The rally into the OB was likely a buy-side liquidity grab, faking retail breakout traders before dropping. If price breaks below 102,643 with momentum, expect a sweep of the FVG and weak low.
🎯 Bonus Watch:
If price returns to the OB but fails to break CRT High again = solid re-entry confirmation 📉🧠
Bitcoins: Strong Trend, Weak VolumesBitcoin is in a solid uptrend across all major timeframes — hourly, daily, weekly, and monthly.
There have already been two clear consolidation phases followed by strong upward moves.
Currently, the price is consolidating again.
There’s a high probability that it will retest the previous highs.
But will there be enough momentum to break through them?
What concerns me for now is the declining volume as the price continues to rise.
This could turn out to be one final push upward before a deep correction.
We'll see.
BTC/USD -SMC IDEABTC/USD pair using the 1-hour timeframe, guided by Smart Money Concepts (SMC).
The market structure indicated a clear bearish reversal, as seen through a Change of Character (CHoCH) and multiple Breaks of Structure (BOS), confirming the formation of lower highs and lower lows. A notable supply zone was marked between 103,900 and 104,300, aligned with a bearish order block and reinforced by a Fibonacci retracement at the 0.786 level. The price appeared to be retracing into this premium zone, suggesting a potential reversal upon liquidity sweep, especially with internal liquidity ($$$) formed just below the protected high. This protected high, located at 104,417, served as the designated stop loss level in the event of bullish invalidation.
The trade setup was structured with a pending short entry around 104,200 within the identified supply zone. The first take profit target was set at 102,550, positioned at a minor demand and liquidity zone, while the second take profit target was more ambitious at 100,756, corresponding to a stronger demand area and inducement level. The trade offered a favorable risk-to-reward ratio, estimated at 1.8R for TP1 and up to 4.5R for TP2. Before execution, confirmation such as a bearish engulfing candle or lower time frame structure break was required to validate entry. Risk management protocols emphasized a maximum risk exposure of 1–2% of trading capital, with plans to move the stop loss to breakeven once price dropped below the 103,000 mark. The trade was based on institutional price behavior, clear liquidity inducement, and technical alignment, making it a high-probability short setup.
NEXTRA AIThis preset is built to visualize the core components of Smart Money Concept (SMC) trading — a methodology used by institutional-level traders to track liquidity flow and structural shifts in the market.
Included Indicators:
CHoCH (Change of Character) — Detects early signs of structural shifts before major trend reversals.
BOS (Break of Structure) — Confirms strength and direction of market momentum.
Order Blocks (OB) — Highlights institutional accumulation/distribution zones, ideal for sniper entries.
Liquidity Trap Zones — Identifies areas of engineered liquidity before reversals (EQH/EQL zones).
Premium/Discount Zones — Helps define whether price is in an optimal range for long or short setups.
Bitcoin will start an upward movement soonIf the lower green trend line is not broken, the existence of a descending triangle is confirmed. However, I don’t think this line will be broken because 4 triple waves have been formed so far and the fifth wave, wave E, is completing or may have already completed. So I think Bitcoin will start an upward movement soon.
Bitcoin Breakdown: Heading for $97.5?Bitcoin Breakdown in the Making!
Bitcoin is shaping up for a head-and-shoulders** pattern on the 4-hour chart. All eyes are on the relative strength—if it dips below 42, or we see a breakout under 101.6, things could get interesting! The target? 97.6.
Of course, this is all speculation—let’s see how the market plays it out!
Bitcoin going to 98k ?There is a possible bearish move on the 1-hour timeframe.
There is rising wedge pattern using two converging yellow trendlines, this is a classic bearish reversal structure.
The wedge shows price making higher highs and higher lows, but with decreasing momentum.
Stop-Loss is marked above a recent swing high
Take-Profit is set near the lower ascending trendline, which aligns with the wedge’s breakdown target.
Bitcoin(BTC/USD) Daily Chart Analysis For Week of May 16, 2025Technical Analysis and Outlook:
During this week's trading session, Bitcoin has remained tightly bound within our Mean Resistance level of 104000 and is positioned to retest the lower target identified as Mean Support at 99300. There exists a possibility of a further decline toward an additional Mean Support target at 94000. Nonetheless, it is crucial to recognize the potential for upward momentum from the current level, which may lead to a challenge of the Key Resistance at 106100. This could culminate in a retest of the previously established Inner Coin Rally at $108,000.
BTC ATH scenarioI find it hard to believe given the structure on the chart that BTC will not at least make a new ATH.
The 2 main scenarios I am thinking about are we either go up from here and then get rejected or we visit the demand below where a long would be warranted.
Anything else would be considered as PA develops.
I prefer the drop first and then challenge ATH to increase the odds if price going into price discovery thereafter.
BTC Breakout WatchBitcoin is currently ranging between $102K and $104K. Keep a close eye on the weekly close—a close above $105K could signal a breakout.
A breakout entry targets $122K–$144K, with a stop-loss at $100K.
This setup offers a minimum risk-to-reward (R:R) ratio of 4.
Enter strong BTC-paired altcoins when a breakout occurs to maximize potential gains.
BTCUSD clear set upHi traders is morning 🌄 in southern Africa I decided to share a clear view n giving you confidence to hold your trades to 120 atleast next stop,as you can see when market is trending it does just move without pull backs by that,you need to spot the movement and how it pulls back n how to approach it,soo we are still going up and this is the trend,don't just see someone drawing n arrow down n get scared n close your trades follow this set up,and is time to place your 3rd trades,your stops just small.pips after.lower horizontal line,we are talking about the 3rd stage in the picture which is 100k n we are heading to 110.to 120 but your mentor is going to 0000 it does happen anyway I understand but this is what I have,are you following it or you are confused well,you are just 1 percent away to become owners,what blows account is risking management n bad levarage not market,you control your risk n rewards n simple make money but if you are in hurry just short pull back you are liquidated n hate trading,make sure you move like champion 🏆 enjoy your weekend n position yourselfs win win.
BTCUSD…relative equal lowsGood day traders, I’m back with another setup and this time we looking at the cryptocurrency (BTCUSD). This setup up is a short term trade, looking at the 1H TF we can clearly see the equal lows lows and one of lows that make up those relative lows is also our minutes TF’s low.
For the day our narrative is that internal liquidity and we also can expect price to push past that external liquidity. The 2 ray lines make up the volume imbalance that’s once price rebalances we can expect lower price for the rest of the day or maybe even rest of the week.