BTCUSD🚨 SELL ALERT – BTC/USD 🚨
📉 Action: Sell BTC/USD
🕒 Timing: Immediate Entry
📊 Reason: Bearish signals detected – momentum shifting downward
🎯 Recommendation: Enter with proper risk management
Set Stop-Loss to protect capital
Set Take-Profit zones based on your risk/reward strategy
Short-term downside expected — move smart and monitor price action closely.
BTCUSD trade ideas
Bitcoin : Impulse up or Flat Trap!?If you find this information inspiring/helpful, please consider a boost and follow! Any questions or comments, please leave a comment!
BTC has staged a solid move off the May 25 low — but the context matters. We’re facing two distinct, high-stakes scenarios here: one bullish, one bearish. What happens next hinges on whether the May 25 rally is the start of a new impulse or the final leg (C wave) of an expanded flat off the all-time high.
Structure Breakdown
Bearish View: We’re completing a textbook expanded flat from the ATH:
A wave started May 23
B wave pushed to a lower low.
C wave began May 25 and is likely wrapping up now
If valid, this sets the stage for a powerful Wave 3 down.
Bullish View: The May 25 low marked the end of a corrective phase:
Rally from that low is an impulsive Wave 1
A pullback to the 108k golden zone would represent Wave 2
Wave 3/C up could follow from that base
What to Watch
The area around 108,000–107,100 is a magnet. If price retraces into this zone with a corrective look and holds, bulls could be in control. But if we roll over hard from here, it supports the expanded flat thesis — and a much deeper move likely follows.
Outlook
This is a moment for sharpen focus. The chart structure is clean, but the outcome isn't binary until we see what kind of retrace (if any) forms.
Watch 108k like a hawk. If bulls defend it, there’s room to talk new highs. If we break impulsively from here, expect acceleration lower — fast.
Trade safe, trade smart, trade clarity.
Bitcoin (BTC/USD) – Rising Wedge Pattern Signals & BreakdownThis chart illustrates a Rising Wedge Pattern on the weekly timeframe for Bitcoin (BTC/USD), which is generally considered a bearish reversal pattern in technical analysis. The pattern appears after a strong upward move and typically signals that the price is losing momentum and may be preparing for a significant correction.
📐 What is a Rising Wedge Pattern?
A rising wedge is a chart pattern formed when the price consolidates between two upward-sloping trendlines – the support line (bottom) and the resistance line (top) – with the two lines converging toward each other.
As price climbs higher, it forms higher highs and higher lows.
However, the slope of the highs is less steep than the slope of the lows, showing a loss of bullish strength.
Eventually, the price breaks below the support line, often leading to a sharp move downward.
🔍 Key Highlights from the Chart:
📌 1. Major Resistance Zone (~$110K–$120K):
BTC is currently facing heavy resistance in this area.
This zone has historically acted as a supply zone where bulls have struggled to break through.
Multiple rejection wicks indicate strong selling pressure.
📌 2. Pattern Touchpoints:
BTC has now formed multiple touchpoints on both the support and resistance lines of the wedge, confirming the structure.
This gives the pattern higher validity from a technical analysis perspective.
📌 3. SR Interchange Zone (~$65K–$70K):
This is a key horizontal zone where past resistance could act as future support.
A successful breakdown may first test this level before continuation.
📌 4. Retesting After Breakdown:
After breaking the wedge support, a retest of the broken trendline is often seen.
If the retest is rejected, it confirms the breakdown and opens the door to deeper bearish movement.
🎯 Target Projection:
If the wedge breaks down and the bearish scenario plays out, we could see Bitcoin fall to the $22,000–$25,000 region – marked as the final target zone on the chart. This level aligns with:
Previous macro-support zones from 2021
Fibonacci retracement levels
Psychological price levels where buyers may re-enter
⚠️ Bearish Factors to Watch:
Bearish divergence on indicators like RSI or MACD (not shown on chart but worth checking)
Volume decreasing as price rises – a classic wedge behavior
Macroeconomic headwinds or Bitcoin halving-related exhaustion
Rejection from major resistance with strong bearish candles
🕒 Timeframe & Patience:
This is a weekly chart, which means the pattern will play out over weeks or months, not days. Patience is key. A clear break, retest, and rejection would be the most reliable confirmation to expect further downside.
✅ Invalidation Scenario:
If BTC breaks above the wedge resistance line with strong bullish volume and holds above the $120K level, this bearish thesis becomes invalid.
In that case, BTC could enter price discovery mode, making new all-time highs.
💬 Final Thoughts:
This analysis is a technical outlook, not financial advice. Always use stop-loss strategies and manage your risk carefully. Market sentiment, news, and macro factors can quickly shift the scenario. However, from a purely technical standpoint, the rising wedge pattern is a powerful signal that should not be ignored.
Always consider Weekly charts for price action extremes!1). Typically, 5 Motive Waves go 200% of Wave 1, which is established using Fib.tool levels. 2). The Chart likely needs a pullback correction towards $100K or lower for a long position entry. 3). The US$ appears to have a little steam remaining, which support the deeper ABC Bitcoin correction lower. 4). Always consider where the price is during the Motive sequence, as in this case, it needs to complete a Wave 5, since the bottom of Wave 4 can be an excellent Buy entry! 5). Also, drop charting down to lower time frames for more detail. 6). And of course, the MACD supports my analysis! "Cheers & Good Luck, always!"
Trump Tariffs Risk Triggering BTC Crash as Capital Flows to GoldOn May 23rd's U.S. session, Trump's EU/Apple tariff plans sparked market chaos:
Gold surged 💥 as a safe haven.
The euro plunged on EU tariff fears.
If tariffs persist, capital may flood into gold/forex, likely triggering a BTC crash.
⚡⚡⚡ BTCUSD ⚡⚡⚡
🚀 Sell@110000 - 109000
🚀 TP 106500 - 104500
👇Accurate signals are updated every day 📈 If you encounter any problems during trading, these signals can serve as your reliable guide 🧭 Feel free to refer to them! I sincerely hope they'll be of great help to you 👇
Bitcoin longs at risk - caution advised- dealing with a possible ATH SFP here
- looking at the 3D time-frame, with stoch momentum exhausted, RSI reaching overbought territory and most importantly volatility being very low it is possible top longers are about to get smoked
- a correction anywhere between the 0.382 and 0.5 fib is possible
- nothing confirmed at the time of writing but it is likely that trading back under 105k would be confirmation enough that the bigger correction is on its way
Some potentially very concerning things on time-frames starting with the weekly and higher but not relevant at this point in time.
BTC Hits New All-Time High: Is a $128K Blow-Off Top Next?Bitcoin's Meteoric Ascent: New All-Time Highs Fuel $128K "Blow-Off Top" Predictions Amidst Unprecedented Adoption
The digital gold rush of the 21st century is reaching a fever pitch. Bitcoin (BTC), the pioneering cryptocurrency, has not only shattered previous records but is now tantalizingly close to new, stratospheric all-time highs, with analysts eyeing a potential "blow-off top" as high as $128,000. This electrifying surge, which saw BTC climb to within 1.5% of new peaks as bullish sentiment decisively overcame final resistance, is underpinned by a confluence of factors: soaring institutional and retail adoption, particularly in the United States, booming ETF inflows, growing political and regulatory support, and a shifting macroeconomic landscape that increasingly favors non-traditional assets. As of May 21, 2025, Bitcoin has firmly established itself above the $109,000 mark, a testament to its resilience and burgeoning mainstream acceptance.
The recent price action has been nothing short of spectacular. Bitcoin bulls have been relentlessly "grilling sellers," pushing the price to historic milestones. On May 21, 2025, Bitcoin etched a new all-time high (ATH) above $109,000, a landmark achievement that notably placed 100% of BTC holders into profit. This surge saw Bitcoin's market capitalization briefly surpass that of e-commerce giant Amazon, a symbolic victory highlighting its growing financial clout. Specific figures around this period include a climb to a record $109,302, and another peak at a historic $109,500, demonstrating the intense buying pressure and bullish conviction in the market. Analysts are now recalibrating their upside targets, with many calling for $116,000 as the next significant milestone on the path to even loftier valuations.
This bullish momentum isn't occurring in a vacuum. It's the culmination of years of development, increasing understanding, and a series of pivotal events that have collectively propelled Bitcoin into the financial limelight.
The American Bitcoin Boom: Adoption Surpasses Gold, Institutions Dive In
One of the most compelling narratives driving Bitcoin's current rally is its explosive growth in the United States. A staggering 50 million Americans now own Bitcoin, a figure that notably surpasses the 37 million gold holders in the country. This demographic shift signifies a profound change in investment preferences, particularly among younger generations who are increasingly comfortable with digital assets. Bitcoin is no longer a niche interest for tech enthusiasts; it's becoming a recognized component of diversified investment portfolios across a broad swathe of the American population.
The institutional embrace within the US is equally, if not more, impactful. US firms now hold an astonishing 94.8% of the Bitcoin reserves held by publicly traded companies globally. This concentration underscores the confidence American corporations have in Bitcoin as a treasury reserve asset, a hedge against inflation, and a potential source of significant returns. Furthermore, the United States is solidifying its position as the global epicenter of the Bitcoin industry, with 40% of all Bitcoin companies headquartered domestically. This robust ecosystem of miners, exchanges, wallet providers, and ancillary service companies fosters innovation and provides a strong foundation for continued growth.
The advent and subsequent success of Bitcoin Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) have been a game-changer. These regulated financial products have opened the floodgates for a new wave of capital, allowing retail and institutional investors to gain exposure to Bitcoin through traditional brokerage accounts without the complexities of direct ownership and custody. The "booming ETF inflows" are a direct contributor to the recent price surge, creating sustained buying pressure and signaling widespread market acceptance.
Macroeconomic Tailwinds and Regulatory Optimism
Beyond direct adoption, broader economic and political factors are playing a crucial role. The recent new all-time high of $109,000 was notably set just nine days after the US and China closed a 90-day trade agreement. This resolution eased economic uncertainty and market jitters that had previously weighed on global markets. In such an environment, assets perceived as hedges against traditional market volatility or fiat currency devaluation, like Bitcoin and gold, often thrive. Indeed, concurrent with Bitcoin's rise, concerns such as Japan's debt woes have contributed to gold surpassing the $3,300 mark, indicating a broader flight to alternative stores of value.
Furthermore, there's growing optimism around US regulations concerning cryptocurrencies. While the regulatory landscape is still evolving, recent pronouncements and actions suggest a move towards greater clarity and a more accommodative stance, rather than outright prohibition. This "growing political support" is crucial for long-term institutional commitment, as regulatory uncertainty has historically been a significant barrier to entry for larger, more conservative investors. The fact that Bitcoin climbed to a record of $109,302, breaching a previous high set around the time of a major political event like a presidential inauguration (specifically referenced as Trump's inauguration on Jan. 20 in a historical context for a previous ATH), often correlates with market sentiment interpreting political or regulatory shifts as favorable.
The "Bitcoin Strategic Reserve" (BSR): A Paradigm Shift for National Economies?
An intriguing, albeit more speculative, concept gaining traction is the idea of a "Bitcoin Strategic Reserve" (BSR). While not yet a formal policy in any major nation, the discussion itself highlights Bitcoin's evolving perception from a purely speculative asset to one with potential strategic geopolitical and economic importance.
A BSR would involve a nation-state, such as the United States, acquiring and holding Bitcoin as part of its national reserves, much like it currently holds gold or foreign currencies. The rationale behind such a move could be multifaceted:
1. Hedging Against Fiat Devaluation: As central banks globally continue to engage in monetary expansion, concerns about the long-term purchasing power of fiat currencies persist. Bitcoin, with its fixed supply, offers a potential hedge against this inflation.
2. Participating in a New Financial System: If Bitcoin continues its trajectory towards becoming a globally recognized store of value or even a medium of exchange for certain international transactions, holding it in reserve would position a nation to participate actively in this emerging financial infrastructure.
3. Technological Leadership: For a country like the US, which already leads in Bitcoin company headquarters and corporate holdings, establishing a BSR could further cement its leadership in the digital asset space, attracting talent and capital.
4. Economic Resilience: In a future where digital currencies play a more significant role, a BSR could offer a degree of economic resilience and autonomy, reducing reliance on traditional financial systems or the currencies of other nations.
The implications of a major economic power like the US even seriously considering, let alone implementing, a BSR would be monumental for Bitcoin's legitimacy and price. It would signal ultimate institutional acceptance and could trigger a wave of similar considerations by other nations, creating immense demand for a limited supply of BTC. While the "Bitcoin Strategic Reserve Explained and What BSR Means for the US Economy" remains a topic of forward-looking discussion, its emergence in financial discourse is a testament to how far Bitcoin has come.
The Path to $128K: Understanding the "Blow-Off Top"
With Bitcoin having decisively broken past $109,000 and upside targets of $116,000 now in common parlance, the ultimate bull-case scenario being discussed is a "blow-off top" potentially reaching $128,000 or even higher.
A "blow-off top" is a chart pattern that signifies a steep and rapid price increase in an asset, often on high volume, followed by an equally sharp reversal. It typically occurs at the end of a prolonged bull market or a parabolic advance. The psychology behind it involves:
1. Euphoria and FOMO (Fear Of Missing Out): As prices accelerate, media attention intensifies, and stories of quick riches abound. This draws in a flood of retail investors who don't want to miss out on the gains.
2. Exhaustion of Buyers: The parabolic rise eventually becomes unsustainable. The last wave of enthusiastic buyers enters at or near the peak.
3. Smart Money Distribution: Experienced traders and institutions, who may have accumulated positions much lower, begin to sell into this heightened demand, taking profits.
4. Sharp Reversal: Once buying pressure is exhausted and selling pressure mounts, the price can fall dramatically as latecomers panic-sell and stop-losses are triggered.
Predicting the exact peak of a blow-off top is notoriously difficult. However, analysts use a combination of technical analysis (chart patterns, momentum indicators, Fibonacci extensions), on-chain data (network activity, holder behavior), and market sentiment to identify potential price targets and warning signs. The $128,000 figure is likely derived from such analyses, representing a significant psychological level or a projection based on previous market cycle behavior.
Navigating the Bull Market: Indicators for Identifying a Cycle Top
While the current sentiment is overwhelmingly bullish, savvy Bitcoin traders and investors are always mindful of market cycles and the potential for corrections or trend reversals. The question, "Is Bitcoin price close to a cycle top?" is one that prudent market participants constantly evaluate. Several indicators can help traders gauge whether a market might be overheating:
1. Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD): This trend-following momentum indicator can show bearish divergences, where the price makes new highs, but the MACD fails to do so, signaling weakening momentum.
2. Relative Strength Index (RSI): An RSI reading above 70 is generally considered overbought, and readings above 80 or 90 in a strong bull market can signal extreme conditions, though Bitcoin can remain overbought for extended periods. Bearish divergences on the RSI are also key.
3. On-Chain Metrics (e.g., MVRV Z-Score, Puell Multiple, SOPR):
o MVRV Z-Score (Market Value to Realized Value): Compares Bitcoin's market cap to its realized cap (the price at which each coin last moved). High Z-scores indicate the market cap is significantly higher than the average cost basis, suggesting the asset is overvalued and potentially near a top.
o Puell Multiple: Looks at the supply side of Bitcoin's economy – miners and their revenue. It divides the daily issuance value of bitcoins (in USD) by the 365-day moving average of daily issuance value. High values suggest miner profitability is high compared to historical norms, which has sometimes coincided with market tops.
o Spent Output Profit Ratio (SOPR): This indicates if holders are, on average, selling in profit or loss. Values significantly above 1 suggest holders are realizing substantial profits, which can increase sell pressure. A sustained drop below 1 after a peak can signal a shift in trend.
4. Logarithmic Growth Curves: Bitcoin's long-term price action has often respected logarithmic growth channels. When the price reaches the upper band of these channels, it has historically indicated a market top.
5. Funding Rates and Open Interest in Derivatives Markets: Extremely high positive funding rates on perpetual swaps indicate that an overwhelming number of traders are long and paying a premium to maintain those positions. This can signal excessive bullishness and a crowded trade, making the market vulnerable to a long squeeze if prices reverse. High open interest can also exacerbate volatility.
While Bitcoin is currently refusing to give up on its quest to revisit $108,000 (a level now surpassed) and beyond, concerns over a trend change, though perhaps quieter amidst the euphoria, are always present in the minds of seasoned investors. These indicators provide a more objective lens through which to assess the sustainability of the current rally.
The Road Ahead: Uncharted Territory with Immense Potential
As Bitcoin forges new all-time highs, it enters uncharted territory. The confluence of unprecedented US adoption, robust institutional investment via ETFs, a more favorable regulatory outlook, and supportive macroeconomic conditions has created a potent cocktail for price appreciation. The surpassing of Amazon's market cap, even if temporary, and the fact that 100% of BTC holders are in profit, are powerful psychological milestones that can fuel further confidence.
The predictions of a $116,000 interim target and a potential $128,000 blow-off top are no longer fringe theories but are being seriously discussed by mainstream analysts. The narrative of Bitcoin as "digital gold" is gaining more traction than ever, especially as traditional safe havens like gold also see increased interest amidst global economic uncertainties like Japan's debt situation.
However, the path is unlikely to be linear. Bitcoin's inherent volatility means that sharp corrections can and will occur, even within a broader uptrend. The "concerns over a trend change" will likely grow louder as prices reach more extreme levels, and profit-taking becomes more tempting. Investors should remain vigilant, utilize the available indicators to assess market conditions, and practice sound risk management.
In conclusion, May 2025 has marked a historic period for Bitcoin. Its surge above $109,000, driven by a powerful combination of fundamental adoption and favorable market dynamics, has set the stage for potentially even more dramatic price action. Whether the ultimate peak of this cycle is $116,000, $128,000, or another figure entirely, one thing is clear: Bitcoin has firmly cemented its place in the global financial landscape, and its journey is far from over. The coming weeks and months will be closely watched by investors worldwide as the world's preeminent cryptocurrency continues to redefine the boundaries of financial assets.
________________________________________
Disclaimer: This article is for informational purposes only, based on the provided snippets, and should not be considered financial advice. Investing in Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies is highly speculative and carries a significant risk of loss. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always conduct your own thorough research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
Bitcoin Market Update – May 26, 2025📅 Bitcoin Market Update – May 26, 2025
🚀 BTC Price: $110,157 (+2.95% 24h)
Bitcoin continues its upward trend, showing strong momentum and bullish sentiment across the market.
📊 Technical Snapshot:
• Range: $106,801 – $110,157
• Support: $107K – $108K
• Resistance: $111K – $112K
• Trend: Bullish
🔗 On-Chain Metrics:
• Short Squeeze Pressure: Rising on Binance
• ETF Inflows: $934M → Strong institutional interest
• Sentiment: Extreme Greed (Index 78)
🧭 Fundamentals:
• Major ETF inflows show growing trust from big players.
• Market sentiment remains highly optimistic.
📈 Forecasts:
• Short-Term: $110K – $112K
• Mid-Term: $112K – $125K
• Long-Term: Up to $140K (depending on macro conditions)
Keep an eye on 103k and 97k supporting levels as liquidity zones.
✅ Summary:
BTC remains bullish with key resistance at $112K.A breakout could open room for further upside. Stay tuned and manage risk wisely.
#Bitcoin #BTC #Crypto #SorooshX
BTCUSD Up trend breakdown ahead selling strong🚨BTC/USD Breakdown Alert 🚨
BTC has officially broken down from the previous uptrend, confirmed by a strong bearish engulfing candle — signaling a clear shift in momentum. This is a prime opportunity to look for short setups.
📉 Sell Entry: 107,400
🎯 Technical Targets & Demand Zones:
🔹 1st Target: 103,700 – Minor demand zone
🔹 2nd Target: 96,400 – Stronger structural support
🔹 3rd Target: 85,100 – Deep liquidity zone
🔹 4th Target: 77,000 – Bullish Order Block
💡 Breakdown confirmed. Trend shift validated. Selling pressure likely to continue.
Trade smart. Manage risk.
— Livia 💼📊
It is about to break the channelI think btcusd was in a step bullish channel for the last 2 weeks. It might end today. If it drops to around $106k then I think it is a solid sell signal. If it increases to around $109k we might have an extra couple of days to keep hodling (after that we should reexamine the situation).
BTCUSD Technical Analysis.This chart is a Bitcoin (BTC/USD) 1-hour price chart from TradingView, shared by "XAUUSD_EXPERT_Team" on May 24, 2025. Here's a breakdown of what it illustrates:
Current Price: BTC is trading at 108,365 USD.
Trend Analysis: A strong upward trend is shown from May 21 to 22, followed by a retracement.
Key Levels:
TP¹ (Take Profit): ~110,837 USD.
SL (Stop Loss): ~106,162 USD.
Entry Level: Around 107,716 USD, marked as the starting point for the buy setup.
Trade Setup:
A long (buy) position is suggested.
The green shaded area marks the target zone for profit.
The red shaded area represents the risk zone (stop loss).
This is a classic risk-reward trading setup where the trader is betting on a price rebound from current levels to the upper resistance zone. Let me know if you'd like an analysis of the strategy or suggestions based on your trading style.
BTC is nearly to the End of journeyAs the Chart tells everything for addition, based on the Elliot Wave Sequence, 5 waves of impulsive ended on December 23, also Divergence on RSI is obvious.
This proof of the 5 Impulsive ended. Right now we are at ABC Correction, and now the B Wave is close to the end, and Wave C is coming on a big.
BTCUSD – Key Zones and Strategic Possibilities for Breakout On the current 1-hour chart, BTCUSD has established a significant resistance level near 111,923 after a strong upward move within a rising channel. The price is currently consolidating around 109,525, placing it at a critical decision point.
If the price retests the 111,923 level and faces rejection, it could signal the formation of a potential double top, indicating a bearish reversal. In this scenario, the key support levels to watch are 107,823 and 104,564. A breakdown below these zones could lead BTCUSD toward the next target at 102,136.
On the other hand, a solid breakout above 111,923 with strong volume confirmation could suggest a bullish continuation, potentially targeting the 113,000–115,000 range.
Key Levels:
Resistance: 111,923
Support: 107,823 / 104,564 / 102,136
Trading Strategy:
Look for bearish confirmation candles near 111,923 for a potential short setup, with a stop-loss slightly above that level.
If price breaks above 111,923 with momentum, consider long setups toward higher targets.
Note: This analysis is for educational purposes only. Always trade with proper risk management and according to your trading plan.
Bitcoin - Ready to run 15,000 points? Really?Date: 14-05-2025
#Bitcoin chart says that I am ready to run 15,000 points either way but what's on your mind?
Current Price: 102700
Mid-point: 103235.00
Upside: 109676.77, 113119.00, 116825.50 and 120532.00
Downside: 96805.59, 93351.00, 89644.50 and 85938.00
Support: 100260.18
Resistance: 106234.53
SPINNING TOP Unless...BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
Let the trade come to you. Make things easy for you and your money.
Weekly looking like a spinning Top (Doji); possibility of price back to the lower boundary of the rectangle (Liquidating you know who).
Did prematurely cut my longs from 77k at 97k (On the road)
BTCUSD Smart Money Reversal: OB + FVG Trap Targets Weak Lows🚨 BTCUSD Smart Money Concept Alert (30-Min Timeframe)
A classic bearish setup is unfolding on Bitcoin, and it’s screaming trap + reversal for anyone watching closely. Here’s why this could be your high-probability short of the week… 👇
🔍 1. Liquidity Sweep at Key High
We just saw a clean sweep of prior swing highs near 108,400 – a clear signal that Smart Money has hunted liquidity above weak retail stops. That big push into the premium zone? Not real demand. It’s engineered manipulation. 🔧
📉 2. Premium OB + FVG Confluence
Price has just tapped into a juicy confluence zone:
🔲 Order Block @ ~108,400–108,494
🟦 Fair Value Gap (FVG) imbalance sits right below
🎯 All aligning with 61.8–79% Fib retracement from the prior bearish leg
This is where Smart Money institutions enter the party. Look left: it’s the same game played again and again. Trap the highs, fill the imbalance, then dump.
🔄 3. Reversal Evidence Already In Play
A bearish reaction candle confirms rejection from this OB zone. The wick shows aggression – a clear sign of selling pressure stepping in at the premium.
Expectations now shift from retracement to trend continuation toward unmitigated demand zones below.
🧠 4. Weak Low & Liquidity Engineering
Below current price lies a weak low around 107,300 – that’s your magnet. Price needs to sweep that inefficiency, and the structure suggests liquidity vacuum mode is active.
Key zone targets:
🟨 First TP: 107,800 (FVG base)
🟨 Second TP: 107,300 (weak low sweep)
🔻 Final TP: 106,832 (full mitigation zone = 1400+ pip potential)
🎯 5. Execution Plan
💼 Smart Entry:
Entry zone is anywhere from 108,250 to 108,490 (OB + FVG overlap)
SL above 108,600 (structure invalidation)
📊 Targets:
TP1 – 107,800
TP2 – 107,300
TP3 – 106,832
⚖️ RR: ~1:3 or better if executed precisely
🧩 Market Psychology:
This isn’t just technicals. It’s narrative vs. reality.
Retail sees breakout → Long
Smart Money sees sweep → Sell
Retail buys late → Fuel for Smart Money exits
🛡️ Risk Reminder:
Trade the setup, not emotions. Let price come to your zones. Stay mechanical, not emotional. Partial out and trail stops once TP1 hits. Never chase.
✅ Summary:
BTCUSD is showing a perfect bearish Smart Money setup. OB + FVG confluence, strong premium reaction, engineered weak low, and liquidity zones below. Textbook SMC pattern. Play it right, and this setup could deliver clean, high-RR profits.
⚡ Drop a “BTC READY” in the comments if you're watching this one with sniper focus.
🧠 Tag a trading buddy who still thinks we’re in a breakout!
BTC - LOOSING STEAM BTC HAS BROKEN 2 TREND CHANNELS, RED , YELLOW. AND BADLY DAMAGED THE PRIMARY, BLUE.
Its taking out support after support on 1st touch.
If BTC penetrates again thru blue, BTC will begin a larger correction.
BTC must stop falling at $105,600 - $105,000.
The downside target is not yet defined.
73 days looks to be spot on73 Day Lag to the Global M2 Money Supply looks to be spot on for the last year. If it is, this is good news with the M2 still climbing.
If I am right, we will have a dip within 24 hours of May 28th, only to get another pump to the upside withing 24 hours of June 2nd.
(I tried inputting all this data to Grok in order for him to give me some price targets. They were close to where I think the price will be but using the M2 for price targets still needs some work.)