BTC bearish flag patternunpopular opinion but there might be possibility btc forming a bearish flaf pattern aiming to 73k area
BTCUSD trade ideas
BTC heads up at 85k: Golden Genesis + Covid fib tight confluenceBTC with a nice bounce but just about to hit major resistance.
Golden Genesis + Semi-Major Covid fib reinforcing each other.
What happens here will determine if Bull Run is over or alive.
Previous Plots using these fibs:
Top Call:
Retrace RoadMap:
BTC Genesis Sequence:
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Bitcoin: 80K For Higher Low Long This Week.Bitcoin has retraced off the of the 76K to 78K AREA and established a double bottom formation (see arrows). I specifically mentioned this in my previous article and talked about it further during my most recent stream. While a bear flag formation IS now present, which implies weakness on the horizon, I anticipate a higher low support around the 80K area this week (see illustration). If it breaks, then 76K should be watched for another double bottom or failed low formation which offers attractive price points for swing trade long opportunities.
This is a wild environment because we have tons of unexpected news constantly affecting the market while at the same time the highest seasonal volume (compared to August). This means moves will be BIG on both sides of the market, people will OVER react AND opinions will be more costly than usual. The first step to navigating such an environment effectively as a swing trader is to FOCUS on LEVELS and NOT news. No matter what the news is, either a level is going to be respected or its not. By focusing on what the herd is not, you can gain an advantage on the market, even if its brief.
Along with that, if you understand how to use dollar cost averaging effectively in this environment, you can start a position slightly earlier while waiting for confirmation before you add. An example of this is while watching for test of 80K, you buy a small position which you can take pain on, which means a much wider than usual stop. IF confirmation appears, you add. While it is possible that after the add the market goes against you, the PROBABILITY of the location and formation FAVORS a positive outcome more. In cases like this it is worth the risk. If 80K breaks without any confirmation, you are still small and you lose less than you normally would because of the adjusted size.
When market sentiment reaches extremes, THIS is when you want to pay CLOSE attention, especially during BEARISH extremes. In order for a market to reach attractive prices, mews typically needs to be negative. During such times, traders tend to avoid the market because the market looks "bad" yet, these same traders buy aggressively at the WORST prices, typically the highs when everything looks "great". One of my long time followers during my stream mentioned he was interested in buying, but only taking small bites because things looked so bearish. My response was that I usually suggest small bites at highs, and right now we are no where near the highs, so slightly greater risk can be justified at these prices for swing trades and investing.
Assuming risk requires confidence. What gives me such confidence is being able to gauge potential risk through analyzing price structure and levels. Wave counts are very helpful in this regard and help me shape reasonable expectations. In this context, Bitcoin at 76K MAY be the Wave 4 bottom. As long as 65K is not touched, a Wave 4 bottom can otherwise be established somewhere between 76K and 66K if 76K breaks. This will go against ALL of the bearish sentiment required to push prices to such levels. Navigating this effectively means you will have to put your contrarian hat on. Pay attention to the levels and confirmations, not what people are saying.
Thank you for considering my analysis and perspective.
Bitcoin, Strategy, and Michael Saylor: A Crypto Comedy Special!Buckle up, folks, because we’re diving headfirst into the rollercoaster world of Bitcoin, corporate shenanigans, and one man’s unrelenting quest to convince everyone—Wall Street, the White House, even your grandma—that digital gold is the future. Yes, we’re talking about Michael Saylor, the captain of the good ship Strategy (formerly MicroStrategy, but we’ll get to that rebrand in a sec), and his high-stakes gamble that’s got everyone clutching their wallets and popcorn 🍿. Let’s go! 🚀
Act 1: Bitcoin Goes Brrr… Until It Doesn’t 📉
Picture this: Bitcoin’s price is tumbling faster than a Jenga tower at a frat party, and the stock market’s throwing a tantrum because someone whispered “recession” in the break room. Meanwhile, Strategy—the artist formerly known as MicroStrategy—is sitting on a mountain of Bitcoin like Smaug hoarding gold in The Hobbit. Except, unlike Smaug, they’ve got bills to pay, and those bills are starting to look a little… chunky.
See, Strategy is the biggest corporate holder of Bitcoin, and they’ve been leveraging themselves up to their eyeballs to snatch every BTC they can get their hands on. Convertible bonds, debt financing, equity offerings—they’ve been playing the Wall Street game like it’s Monopoly, except instead of hotels on Park Place, they’re stacking digital coins. It was all fun and games when Bitcoin was mooning 🌕, but now that it’s trading like a NASDAQ stock on a bad hair day, the cracks are showing. Cue the ominous music 🎶.
The latest plot twist? Strategy just dropped a batch of High Coupon Preferred Stock last Friday—think of it as a fancy IOU with a 10% coupon (yes, you read that right, ten percent). That’s two whole percentage points juicier than the 8% coupon they peddled a month and a half ago. Desperation much? 🤔 Wall Street’s raising an eyebrow, and the whispers are getting louder: “Liquidity crunch incoming!” If Bitcoin keeps tanking, Strategy might have to start selling off their precious stash to keep the lights on. Untimely selling? In this economy? Oh, honey, pass the tissues 😢.
Act 2: From Micro to Macro—Rebranding for the LOLs 😎
Let’s talk about that rebrand for a hot minute. MicroStrategy—a name that once screamed “we make boring software”—is now just Strategy. Bold move, Saylor. It’s like if McDonald’s renamed itself “Food” or if Netflix became “Watch.” Genius or midlife crisis? You decide. Either way, it’s giving off vibes of a company trying to flex its big Bitcoin energy while subtly screaming, “Please don’t look at our balance sheet too closely!” 🙈
And speaking of balance sheets, let’s break down this preferred stock drama. These shiny new shares come with a 10% coupon—already a red flag that says, “We’re paying through the nose to borrow money.” But wait, there’s more! If Strategy misses a dividend payment (which, let’s be real, could happen if Bitcoin keeps sliding), they’ll owe compounded dividends that climb by 2% every quarter until they hit a whopping 18%. Eighteen percent! That’s not a coupon; that’s a loan shark knocking on your door with a baseball bat 🏏.
Compare that to the convertible bonds they were slinging last year—interest rates between 0% and 2%. Their interest expense over the last 12 months was a measly $15 million, pocket change for a company with Bitcoin holdings worth north of $10 billion. Now? They’ve jacked up their quarterly nut with $40 million in dividends from the February 8% stock, plus another $60 million from this 10% offering, on top of that $15 million in interest. That’s $115 million they’ve got to cough up every year—or roughly 1% of their Bitcoin stash at current prices. No biggie, right? Unless, of course, Bitcoin drops another 20%, and suddenly they’re selling coins like a yard sale on steroids. Yikes 😬.
Act 3: Michael Saylor, Bitcoin’s Loudest Cheerleader 📣
Enter Michael Saylor, the man, the myth, the megaphone. If Bitcoin were a religion, Saylor would be its high priest, preaching the gospel of “digital capital” to anyone who’ll listen—and plenty who won’t. He’s been on a tear, leveraging Strategy to the hilt with the unshakable belief that Bitcoin’s price would keep soaring forever. Spoiler alert: the stock market’s growth scare and recession fears had other plans.
Saylor’s latest stunt? Marching to the White House on March 8th with a PowerPoint titled “A Digital Asset Strategy to Dominate the 21st Century Global Economy.” No, this isn’t a Simpsons episode—it’s real life. His pitch? The U.S. government should scoop up 10-20% of all Bitcoin by 2045 (when 99% of it will be mined) through “consistent programmatic daily purchases.” Translation: Uncle Sam should borrow real money—paying interest, mind you—to buy a digital asset nobody uses commercially, all to prop up its price. Brilliant! Why didn’t we think of that? Oh, right, because it’s bonkers 🤪.
Saylor’s been shopping this idea around like a door-to-door salesman. He even pitched Microsoft, promising $5 trillion in shareholder value if they’d just hop on the Bitcoin train. Microsoft’s response? “Thanks, but no thanks.” Oof. Shots fired 🔫. Turns out, not everyone’s buying what Saylor’s selling—literally or figuratively.
Here’s where it gets juicy. Bitcoin was supposed to be a “peer-to-peer payment system,” per Satoshi Nakamoto’s white paper. A rebel currency to stick it to the banks! But somewhere along the way, it morphed into a Wall Street darling—a speculative asset that trades like a tech stock and has Michael Saylor begging governments to hoard it. From libertarian dream to government-backed portfolio filler? The irony is thicker than a triple-decker burger 🍔.
Take El Salvador, Bitcoin’s poster child gone rogue. Four years ago, they made BTC legal tender, and the crypto bros cheered. Fast forward to January 2025, and El Salvador’s like, “Yeah, never mind.” New laws say Bitcoin’s no longer currency (though still legal tender—confusing much?), it’s voluntary to use, and you can’t pay taxes with it. Their state-backed Chivo wallet? A ghost town. A poll showed 88% of Salvadorans haven’t touched it in a year, and Moody’s says the whole experiment cost them $375 million—more than their Bitcoin profits. Whoopsie daisy 🌼.
The commercial world’s reaction? A collective shrug. Bitcoin’s “value” is all about price now, not utility. Saylor can pump it all he wants, but if nobody’s using it to buy coffee or pay rent, what’s the point? It’s a financial asset, not money. And that’s fine—stocks and gold don’t buy lattes either—but let’s stop pretending it’s the future of currency, okay? 🙅♂️
Act 5: The Leverage Trap—When the Music Stops 🎵
Back to Strategy. With $8 billion in debt due over the next seven years, plus these escalating dividend payments, they’re walking a tightrope with no net. If Bitcoin keeps tanking, they’ll have to sell more coins to cover the tab. And if the market sours on their debt (less appetite to roll it over), they’re in deep doo-doo 💩. The rebrand, the high-coupon stock, the “we’re buying more Bitcoin” flex—it all smells like a company projecting strength while sweating bullets behind the scenes.
Saylor’s out here playing 4D chess, but the board’s looking more like a game of Chutes and Ladders. Pump the price, convince the world Bitcoin’s a reserve asset, and pray the recession scare doesn’t tank everything. It’s a high-wire act worthy of a circus 🎪—and we’re all just watching to see if he sticks the landing or faceplants spectacularly.
Finale: Bitcoin’s Not Dead, Just… Different 🧟♂️
Don’t get me wrong—Bitcoin’s not going anywhere. It’s a solid store of value, a speculative toy for Wall Street, a shiny thing for hodlers to flex on X. But money? Nah. The free market’s been screaming for centuries that it wants flexible, dynamic mediums of exchange—think Eurodollars, not rigid digital gold. Bitcoin took a wrong turn chasing hyperinflation boogeymen instead of building a better payment system. Oops.
For Strategy, the stakes are sky-high. They’re all-in on a story that’s fraying at the edges, and if the price falters, the leverage bites back hard. Will Saylor pull it off? Will Bitcoin moon again? Or will this be another bubbly tale of “too much, too fast”? Grab your popcorn, folks—this comedy’s still got a few acts left 🍿🎬.
Until next time, keep your wallets close and your sarcasm closer. Peace out! ✌️
Bitcoin (BTCUSD) is showing stability around $83,914, indicatingBitcoin (BTCUSD) is showing stability around $83,914, indicating a potential bullish move. In this setup:
✅ Entry: $84,009 (after confirmation)
🎯 Take Profit 1: $86,000
🎯 Take Profit 2: $88,000
🛑 Stop Loss: $81,000
Analysis: If the price breaks above $84,009, it may continue upward, targeting $86,000 and $88,000. The $81,000 support level acts as a strong stop-loss point.
🚀 Risk-Reward Ratio: Maintain proper risk management!
#Bitcoin #Crypto #Trading #BTC #PriceAction #CryptoSignals
Btcusd read the caption for easy learn This Bitcoin (BTC/USD) price analysis chart on a daily timeframe (1D) from Coinbase suggests a technical outlook for future price movements.
Key Elements:
1. Current Price: Bitcoin is trading at $83,004.63, showing a -1.20% decline.
2. Support Zone: A trendline support is identified below the current price, indicating a potential bounce if BTC holds this level.
3. Resistance Levels: Two major resistance zones are marked, with the highest one near $109,711.07.
4. Projected Price Movement: The chart suggests a potential drop towards support, followed by a bullish reversal leading to a breakout towards the resistance area.
5. Target Price: If BTC breaks the resistance, it may aim for the $109,711.07 target.
Conclusion:
The analysis indicates a possible correction before a rally. If BTC respects the trendline support, it could see a bullish surge toward new highs. Traders might watch for confirmation signals before entering positions.
BTCUSD: The Cycle won't peak before September!Bitcoin remains neutral on its 1W technical outlook (RSI = 47.334, MACD = 3198.500, ADX = 54.017) which, having kept the 1W MA50 intact as Support, suggest that this is the ideal level to buy again upon the continuation of the Bull Cycle. Despite the recent 2 month correction, the Cycle hasn't peaked and according to the Pre-Halving/ Post-Halving theory, that suggests that the time from the Cycle's Bottom to the Halving is almost identical to the time form the Halving to the Cycle's Top, we have until the end of September before the bull run is over. And that's because the range from the Cycle's Bottom to the 4th Halving was 75 weeks (525 days), which indicates that it will take around the same amount of time from the Halving before the Bull Cycle tops. See how amazingly consistent that has been on all of prior 3 Cycles. Consequently, the best strategy here would be to hold and start selling in September.
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Support and resistance for BTCBTC tested resistance near 88000 yesterday following the Fed rate decision, and this test of resistance was effective.
However, BTC uptrend is not over, and the lower support should be watched in the 81,000-82000 area, when the price reaches this area can continue to go long.
🎁 Buy@81000 - 82000
🎁 TP 83000 84000 85000
🎁 Sell@87000 - 88000
🎁 TP 84000 83000 82000
Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad
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Hellena | BITCOIN (4H): LONG to resistance level of 90,000.Colleagues, after drawing the waves I realized that bitcoin is in a major wave “IV” correction and I believe that this correction is either over or about to be over.
Either way I believe that long positions should be prioritized.
I expect that the price will either immediately start an upward movement and reach the psychological resistance level of 90,000, or will update the low in the area of 75,866 a little more and then start moving towards the target.
In the second case, I advise using pending limit orders.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
Bitcoin (BTC/USD) Analysis – Daily Timeframe
Trend Overview
Bitcoin (BTC/USD) remains in an uptrend, with price holding above the ascending trendline support. The long-term bullish structure remains intact, characterized by a series of higher highs and higher lows since 2023.
Key Support and Resistance Levels
Primary Support:
$80,000 - $85,000 (Trendline support zone)
$75,000 (Psychological and historical support)
Primary Resistance:
$90,000 - $95,000 (Recent local highs)
$100,000 (Major psychological level)
Technical Indicators
Stochastic RSI is in the overbought zone, suggesting potential short-term consolidation or a pullback before resuming the trend.
MACD shows a bullish crossover, indicating positive momentum remains strong.
Volume analysis suggests buying pressure is still present but needs to increase to sustain further upside.
Market Outlook
Bitcoin continues to respect its long-term uptrend. As long as price remains above the trendline, the bullish outlook remains valid. However, a confirmed break below $80,000 could signal a deeper correction. If Bitcoin breaks above $90,000, the next major resistance is around $100,000.
Macro thoughts 2025Based on the RSI and where we are with price on BTC, I think it’s important to more closely look at the bond market and equities. And overall how we look structurally within the macro economy. Biggest concern is the 12/25 MA bands have not began to compress. Compression before expansion typically.
Now we could range within these level and began to compress the bands. If the bands do not began to compress and remain expanded, risk would be played better to the downside for now to the 73k level. On the flip side if we see upwards price action and compression of the bands this will lead us to rally higher to possible ATH.
Use the information given to you by price and overall structure to map out where we might be headed and then let price do it’s thing. And position yourself to where you least amount of negative risk.
Bitcoin Trading Update – March 20, 2025Current Price: 85,302
Market Bias: Bullish, Market Maker Buy Model in Play
Target: 99,000 (Goldbach Level 3)
Potential Retracement Zones: 84,920 (Liquidity Void), 82,000 (Goldbach Level 17)
Market Overview
Bitcoin is currently trading within a structured bullish trend, following a confirmed break of structure on the four-hour timeframe. Price is showing signs of a short-term retracement, with key liquidity zones and Goldbach levels acting as potential demand areas before continuation to higher targets.
Key Goldbach Levels to Watch
Support (Buy Zones):
Goldbach Level 29: Around 84,920, liquidity void acting as a draw on liquidity
Goldbach Level 17: Around 82,000, possible deeper retracement before continuation
Goldbach Level 89: Strong structural support, critical invalidation point
Resistance (Take Profit Zones):
Goldbach Level 3: 99,000, final bullish target
Trade Setup, Bullish Bias
Entry: Look for buy opportunities at 84,920 (GB 29) or 82,000 (GB 17) if price retraces
Stop Loss: Below 80,000, invalidation zone
Take Profit Targets:
First target at 88,500 (midway resistance)
Second target at 93,000 (key resistance)
Final target at 99,000 (Goldbach Level 3)
Market Outlook
Bitcoin remains within a market maker buy program, indicating continued accumulation before a move higher. The retracement into Goldbach levels 29 and 17 could provide strong entries before price advances toward 99,000.
Risk Management: A break below Goldbach Level 89 (around 77,000) would challenge the bullish outlook. Monitor liquidity grabs and structural shifts.
Lord MEDZ
Bitcoin (BTC/USD) 1-Hour Chart AnalysisTechnical Analysis
Trade Setup:
A long position has been placed, likely anticipating a breakout from a key resistance level.
Entry Point: Near $86,148, positioned around a previous consolidation area.
Stop-Loss (SL): Set near $83,188, below the previous swing low to manage risk.
Take-Profit (TP) Targets:
TP 1: Around $87,518, marking a critical resistance level.
TP 2: Near $91,180, an extended bullish target in case of sustained momentum.
TP 3: Final target at $95,329, indicating a potential breakout rally.
Support and Resistance Levels:
The support zone is identified near $85,324 - $83,188, protecting against a downside move.
The resistance zone is around $87,518, a critical breakout level that could confirm further bullish movement if breached.
Risk-to-Reward Ratio:
The trade setup exhibits a high risk-to-reward ratio, suggesting a well-calculated bullish position with limited downside exposure.
Market Sentiment & Outlook
Bullish Bias: The setup indicates an expectation of continued upward momentum if BTC successfully breaks the $87,518 resistance level.
Key Considerations:
Macroeconomic Factors: Interest rates, inflation, and Fed policies could impact BTC’s trajectory.
On-Chain Metrics: Monitoring BTC’s network activity, whale accumulation, and exchange flows can provide additional insights.
Market Volatility: BTC remains highly volatile, and traders should watch for volume confirmations and potential false breakouts.
BTC IMF Tracking, Liquidation Frenzy, and Market PredictionsBitcoin's recent price action has been a rollercoaster, marked by significant gains, dramatic liquidations, and a confluence of macroeconomic factors that are shaping its trajectory. From the International Monetary Fund (IMF) officially tracking Bitcoin in cross-border finance to speculative predictions of a potential $87,000 surge, the cryptocurrency remains a focal point of intense market scrutiny.
One of the most noteworthy developments is the IMF's increasing recognition of Bitcoin's role in global finance. While the IMF previously issued warnings to El Salvador regarding its Bitcoin adoption, its decision to now track Bitcoin in cross-border financial flows signals a tacit acknowledgment of the cryptocurrency's growing significance. This shift reflects a broader trend of institutions grappling with the reality of digital assets, forcing them to incorporate these assets into their analytical frameworks.
Simultaneously, the Bitcoin market has witnessed a surge towards the $87,000 mark, triggering a wave of short liquidations. This phenomenon occurs when traders who have bet against Bitcoin's price are forced to close their positions at a loss as the price rises. The sheer magnitude of these liquidations, exceeding $110 million in a short period, underscores the volatility and the inherent risks associated with leveraged trading in the cryptocurrency market. The total market liquidations surpassing $200,000 in 24 hours only highlights the dramatic price swings and the vulnerability of short positions.
Adding to the complexity of the market dynamics is the emergence of another CME gap in the $84,000–$85,000 range. Historically, these gaps, which represent discrepancies between trading prices on the Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME) and other exchanges, tend to be filled, suggesting a potential pullback in Bitcoin's price. This pattern creates a sense of uncertainty, with traders weighing the potential for further gains against the possibility of a corrective downturn.
Furthermore, the surge in Bitcoin open future bets on Binance, with an increase of $600 million, indicates heightened price volatility. Open interest, which measures the total number of outstanding futures contracts, often correlates with price movements. A rise in open interest alongside a price increase typically confirms an uptrend, but it also signals the potential for sharp price swings as more capital enters the market.
Market analysts are divided on Bitcoin's future trajectory. Some predict a "brutal bleed lower," while others foresee a break towards new all-time highs in the second quarter. The critical level to watch is $93,000. If Bitcoin can reclaim this level as support, it would significantly reduce the risk of a fresh collapse. However, until this threshold is breached, the market remains vulnerable to downward pressure.
On a more positive note, the S&P 500's reclamation of its 200-day moving average provides a potential tailwind for Bitcoin. This technical breakout in equities, coupled with similar signals in the cryptocurrency market, could indicate renewed bullish momentum. The correlation between traditional financial markets and Bitcoin has become increasingly apparent, with positive developments in equities often translating to positive sentiment in the crypto space.
Adding another layer to the narrative is the potential softening of the stance on reciprocal tariffs by Donald Trump. Some analysts see this development as a potential catalyst for a Bitcoin bottom. Any relaxation of trade tensions could boost investor confidence and create a more favorable environment for risk assets, including cryptocurrencies.
Finally, the concept of tokenized US gold reserves, as proposed by NYDIG, presents an intriguing long-term prospect for Bitcoin. While gold and Bitcoin are fundamentally different assets, the tokenization of gold on a blockchain could enhance the overall legitimacy and infrastructure of digital assets. This increased institutional acceptance could indirectly benefit Bitcoin by further integrating blockchain technology into mainstream finance.
In conclusion, Bitcoin's current market landscape is characterized by a blend of institutional recognition, intense trading activity, and speculative predictions. The IMF's tracking of Bitcoin in cross-border finance underscores its growing relevance, while the liquidation frenzy and CME gap highlight the inherent volatility of the cryptocurrency market. The interplay of macroeconomic factors, technical indicators, and speculative sentiment will continue to shape Bitcoin's trajectory, making it a fascinating asset to watch in the coming months.
Weekly Analysis for Week 13 2025!Hello fellow traders , my regular and new friends!
Did you managed to get some pips from EURUSD before the mid week reversal ?
Or did you catch some pips from EJ as well?
No? Missed out on it? No worries, check out my trading analysis for next week (week 13) to get some insights and tips for the potential moves in the Forex market!
Do Like and Boost if you have learnt something and enjoyed the content, thank you!
-- Get the right tools and an experienced Guide, you WILL navigate your way out of this "Dangerous Jungle"! --
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Disclaimers:
The analysis shared through this channel are purely for educational and entertainment purposes only. They are by no means professional advice for individual/s to enter trades for investment or trading purposes.
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Detailed Analysis of BTC/USD 4H Chart,This chart represents Bitcoin (BTC/USD) on a 4-hour timeframe, highlighting a potential bullish reversal after a period of consolidation and previous rejection at resistance levels. The chart structure suggests that if Bitcoin finds strong support, an upside move towards new highs could follow.
1. Market Structure & Previous Price Action
• The horizontal resistance line at the top shows multiple failed breakout attempts.
• Each time Bitcoin reached this level, strong rejections and sell-offs followed, confirming a strong supply zone.
• Currently, the price is trading around $84,135, and the chart suggests a possible bounce for a bullish breakout attempt.
2. Key Support & Resistance Levels
Resistance Levels:
• $90,000 (Target 1): First key resistance; price may face some rejection here.
• $94,000 (Target 2): Mid-level resistance; if broken, a stronger rally is expected.
• $97,500+ (Target 3): The previous major supply zone where sellers previously dominated.
Support Levels:
• $80,000 - $81,000 Zone: A key level to watch; a bounce from here could confirm bullish momentum.
• $78,000 - $75,000: If this level breaks, it would invalidate the bullish setup and suggest a deeper correction.
3. Bullish Trading Setup (Potential Buy Opportunity)
This chart suggests a bullish setup if Bitcoin:
1. Bounces from the current support zone ($80,000 - $81,000) and forms a higher low.
2. Breaks above the key resistance at $90,000, confirming an uptrend.
3. Sustains momentum towards $94,000 - $97,500 levels, reaching new highs.
Entry & Confirmation:
• Ideal Entry: After a bounce from support or a breakout retest above $90,000.
• Stop-loss: Below the recent swing low to protect against fake breakouts.
• Targets:
• Target 1: $90,000
• Target 2: $94,000
• Target 3: $97,500+
4. Bearish Scenario – Risk Factors
• If Bitcoin fails to hold support and drops below $78,000, the bullish scenario is invalidated.
• A breakdown below this level could lead to further downside towards $75,000 or lower.
5. Final Thoughts & Strategy
• Bullish Bias (Preferred Trade Plan):
• Look for a strong support bounce or a breakout above $90,000 before entering long positions.
• Watch for increasing buying volume to confirm the move.
• Bearish Risk:
• If Bitcoin fails to hold support at $80,000, avoid longs and wait for confirmation.
This setup suggests a potential bullish move for BTC/USD if key support holds, but confirmation is crucial before taking a trade.
Bear flag alert!!!Bear flag on the 1hr chart. We can see a drop into 80-82k range before we see the break through of 80k.
BTC & Global M2 Correlation Here we have Fin Global M2 with 107 days offset and BTC on the daily. Tracks very nicely and offers an interesting perspective. What are your thoughts? Cheers!
#BTC/USD ANALYSIS. (BULLISH)Bitcoin Price Action Analysis. The Next Big Move?
Bitcoin is moving within an ascending channel, showing strong bullish momentum! However, a key decision point is approaching as the price nears a critical support zone (highlighted in blue). If BTC holds above this level, we could see a strong push towards the $91,500 resistance and potentially break into the $94,700 range.
A well structured risk-to-reward setup is in play, with a potential bullish breakout targeting new highs. Will BTC sustain its momentum, or will we see a retracement before the next leg up? Stay sharp and trade wisely! We will execute our trades only after receiving bullish confirmation.
Use proper stoploss and proper money management.
This is just my analysis. Observe the behavior of price how it will react.
#BTCUSD 2H Technical Analysis Expected Move.
Bitcoin is Approaching a Critical Moment!Bitcoin is testing a potential breakout from a descending wedge that began forming on January 20th. For the bulls to take control, BTC needs to close above $86,831 by the end of Monday, March 24th. A successful break and hold above this level could signal a strong upward move.
On the flip side, failure to break out may lead to a drop toward $76,817, a key support level from March 11th. If this support fails, the next significant level to watch is $69,665—a critical resistance Bitcoin overcame last year on November 6th before its prior rally. The next few days will be pivotal for determining BTC’s direction. Stay tuned for the Monday close!
BTC : Trendline, Fib, and RSI Divergence—Ready to Break Out?Let’s talk Bitcoin (BTCUSD) on this daily chart—it’s putting on a show!
We’ve got a sweet bounce off that trendline, The bounce happened right at the golden Fibonacci extension level, which is spot for a reversal. And check this—the RSI is showing some nice divergence, giving us a solid signal that the bulls might be waking up.
This is a strong setup for a new upward wave, but the real confirmation comes if BTC can break through that descending trendline up ahead. If it does, we could be looking at a run toward. Let’s keep our eyes on that breakout—things are getting exciting!
BTC/USD-Global M2 107 Day OffsetI’m simply plotting the final (summed) Global M2 value on my chart—in yellow with a thickness of 2—and shifting it forward or backward in time by whatever offset I choose. Here’s how it works:
plot(final, color=color.yellow, linewidth=2, offset=shift_bars)
final is the computed Global M2 number (optionally converted into my chosen base currency).
color=color.yellow, linewidth=2 styles the plotted line in yellow with a thicker width.
offset=shift_bars tells TradingView how many bars to shift the line left or right. This value is based on my input in days (offset), converted into bars (shift_bars) depending on the chart’s timeframe.
Offset is 107 days, because printed money needs some time to reach the people.
Zona de liquidaciones InstitucionalesInstitutional movements will always follow the same patterns, operating from range to range based on liquidity. They will liquidate positions and repurchase to move toward the next liquidation level. However, when the market starts to lose momentum, they will apply the same strategy in reverse: buying in liquidation zones to sell at the lower end of those zones, leading to a further decline.
