BTCUSD Massive Long! BUY!
My dear subscribers,
BTCUSD looks like it will make a good move, and here are the details:
The market is trading on 99659 pivot level.
Bias - Bullish
My Stop Loss - 97824
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bullish continuation.
Target - 10315
About Used Indicators:
The average true range (ATR) plays an important role in 'Supertrend' as the indicator uses ATR to calculate its value. The ATR indicator signals the degree of price volatility.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
BTCUSD trade ideas
BTC/USD Potential Short Trade Setup - Detailed AnalysisThis chart indicates a potential short trade opportunity, where the price is approaching a key resistance zone. The current market scenario suggests a possible reversal or downward movement, especially if the price reacts to the sell zone ($107,495) and begins to decline.
Trade Parameters:
Sell Zone: $107,495
Stop Loss: $110,438 (Placed slightly above the resistance zone to account for any unexpected breakout)
Take Profit Targets:
1. Take Profit 1: $105,224 (Initial support level)
2. Take Profit 2: $102,465 (Second key support level for further downward movement)
3. Take Profit 3: $99,099 (Final target level)
Target Zone: $98,723 (A critical area for further downside potential)
Technical Analysis:
The price is currently in a strong resistance area where sellers have previously taken control.
A break below the sell zone could lead to a move towards the indicated targets.
RSI and other technical indicators suggest the market is approaching overbought conditions, increasing the likelihood of a downward move.
Risk and Reward Ratio:
This setup offers a balanced risk-reward ratio. Ensure the stop loss is strictly adhered to in order to protect against any unexpected movements.
BTC continues to short at high levels during the day📰 Impact of news:
1. Geopolitical impact
📈 Market analysis:
BTC has reached an intraday high of 108,125, just one step away from the all-time high of 112,000. With the increase in trading volume and institutional sentiment turning bullish, the momentum seems to be in the bulls' favor. In addition to institutional buying, the ceasefire agreement in the Iran-Israel war is also an important factor in Bitcoin's sharp rebound. Trump's announcement of the end of the war almost immediately triggered a surge in the cryptocurrency market. However, the overall pattern has not changed, and the range resistance has not been broken, so we still keep the idea of shorting at high levels.
🏅 Trading strategies:
SELL 108000-107500
TP 104500-103500
If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
1 Year of Bitcoin Bull Run Remaining? In the chart above, we’re analyzing Bitcoin’s historical cycles to see if the current cycle follows a similar pattern.
Bear Run (1 Year): In each of the last three cycles, Bitcoin experienced a bear market lasting exactly 1 year from the all-time high (ATH). This phase saw a significant drop in price as the market corrected.
Bull Run from Bottom (1,064 Days): In the last two cycles, once the bottom was established, Bitcoin entered a consistent bull market that lasted approximately 1,064 days. During this period, the price gradually climbed, eventually reaching new highs.
Current Bitcoin Cycle:
So far, the current cycle appears to be following the same pattern as previous cycles. We’ve already experienced a 1-year bear market after reaching the previous all-time high (ATH).
Currently, we have completed 2 years of a bull run from the bottom, aligning with the 1,064-day bull run observed in past cycles. Based on this historical pattern, we may have 1 year of bull run remaining, which could potentially push Bitcoin to new highs by late 2025.
If this trend continues, it suggests a strong opportunity for growth over the next year, mirroring the end phase of past cycles.
BINANCE:BTCUSDT BITSTAMP:BTCUSD CRYPTOCAP:BTC
Regards
Hexa
BTC - Longs???₿ Perfect Bitcoin Long from the Bottom
Instrument: Bitcoin (BTCUSD)
Timeframe: 1-Hour
Date: 22 June 2025
Indicator: ELFIEDT RSI + Reversion
🔍 The Setup:
After a sharp selloff, Bitcoin printed an “UP” signal just as price reached local exhaustion near the $100,000 zone.
While fear was high and momentum pointed downward, ELFIEDT detected the reversal conditions forming — and flagged the shift before any breakout was visible.
📈 The Result:
From the moment the “UP” signal appeared, BTCUSD launched into a clean rally — climbing over $7,000 in just a few days.
Traders who followed the signal saw:
✅ A low-risk entry from the bottom
✅ No chasing required
✅ A strong, clean uptrend with minimal drawdown
The early signal was key — while most were still bearish, ELFIEDT was already long.
📌 Key Takeaway:
ELFIEDT didn’t predict the news. It didn’t follow the herd.
It simply reacted to what the market was truly showing: an extreme condition with reversal potential.
The result was a near-perfect long.
🚀 Trade What You See, Not What You Feel
BTC’s bounce wasn’t random — it was algorithmically identified by ELFIEDT.
Your edge is in the data. Let the system guide you.
BTCUSDNow that BTCUSD has reached our previous target at 107,848, we are updating our forecast.
The market remains structurally bullish, with the next upside objective at 109,400.
Although we've seen a reaction from a short-term supply zone, a slight pullback or pause is possible. However, due to visible liquidity resting above, there's a strong likelihood that price will extend higher toward 109,400.
At that point, we will closely monitor price action for signs of exhaustion or reversal to evaluate potential short opportunities.
BTC 4-Hour Long Target 115,500Hello fellow Traders.
I am long, only posting my target area.
This Chart is very clean.
I came to the target conclusion area, with some Math, and I have used a Gann Square to monitor a time frame to reach the target area.
Yes, your reading it correctly, seems like it can happen as early as this Friday, and as late as July 22.
PA doesn't necessarily have to stay in the positive area of this Gann Square, and has all the right to swing back up inside positive, to finish it's goal.
The Plan:
The probability to reach the target within the time frame will fade slowly out, far past the Gann Square.
Yes, I am actually guessing where the nearest chance to reach this price level is going to happen "if it will happen" within the green target area, so I may close out my long trade somewhere along the way up. Afterwards scalp the box up and down till it hits the Target Area.
Except price to have an extremely high chance to bounce down from the Target Area, when it hits.
Good Luck !!
I don't know why ???Bitcoin is now at a point where it cannot be ignored! In my view, the bullish wave has started after the corrective wave ended. This wave could continue until it breaks the ascending triangle, then with a slight correction, push the price upward again. The current period and the coming days could be crucial in determining the market's trend.
Best regards CobraVanguard.💚
New buying opportunity may emerge for BTCBTC tends to fluctuate in the short term, but as BTC builds a double bottom structure to support the rebound pattern, it is currently inclined to fluctuate upward. Although the upward momentum has weakened after reaching around 106,000, as long as it stays above the 105,300-104,800 area, BTC is still expected to continue to rise and may challenge the 108,000-109,000 area again.
And with the collapse of the gold and oil markets, funds in the two markets may flow into BTC, which is more attractive and the mainstream market of cryptocurrencies. So as BTC retreats in the short term, BTC may have new short-term buying opportunities. Then if BTC retreats to the 105,500-104,500 area and does not fall below this area, we can consider going long on BTC at the right time.
Bitcoin Climbs Above $107K with Overbought Signals in PlayBitcoin closed above the 107,792 resistance after breaking the previous day's high. RSI and Stochastic indicators show overbought conditions, signaling short-term overpricing.
BTC may test the $109,000.00 resistance next, followed by a potential pullback toward $104,618.00, offering a favorable entry point for bulls.
BTC Consolidates Above Pivot – Bullish Momentum Toward 113,770?BITCOIN OVERVIEW
Crypto Breakout or Crash? Powell's July Message Becomes the Deciding Factor
Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell’s testimony on Capitol Hill has intensified the uncertainty surrounding risk assets.
He emphasized that while inflation has eased significantly since mid-2022, it remains “somewhat elevated”, and the Fed is in no rush to shift its policy stance.
This leaves markets with a binary outcome: crypto breakout or macro-driven pullback—and July may be the turning point.
TECHNICAL OUTLOOK – BTC/USD
Bitcoin remains in bullish momentum, having stabilized above the pivot level at 107,750.
The price is currently pushing toward the key resistance zone between 108,950 and 110,360.
A breakout above this zone would likely lead to continuation toward the next ATH target at 113,770.
However, consolidation is expected between 108,950 and 106,320 until a breakout occurs.
Key Levels
Pivot Line: 107,750
Resistance: 108,950 → 110,360 → 113,770
Support: 106,320 → 104,150
2/1/15I’ve found a fractal on Bitcoin. Today is June 25, 2025, 13:22 — I’m analyzing the 2-hour timeframe from the high on May 22 up to today, and the same pattern of pre-accumulation is forming as in 2024, from March 13 to July 29, 2024.
We are also inside a pattern I named “Dragon’s Wings.” It forms two peaks at the highs after a strong rally, and the shared low between them creates a deep retracement.
Whether this pattern leads to the beginning of a major drop and a bear cycle, or whether it’s a pre-accumulation structure in a buffer zone, depends on the area in which it forms.
In this case, the 93–74K zone is potentially a re-accumulation zone, with a reversal to the upside — possibly taking Bitcoin above $140,000.
BTC LONG TP:108,000 24-06-2025Big green candle loading… 🚀
I’m looking to long between 105,300 and 105,800, targeting 107,800 – 108,300.
Clean setup with a 3.5 RR average, running on the 1-hour timeframe, expected to play out within 6 to 12 hours.
Technical context: The structure is primed — everything points to a big green candle coming. The setup is locked and ready.
If the move doesn’t happen within the estimated time, the trade becomes invalid.
We don’t use indicators, we’re not out here drawing lines or cute little shapes — I just give you a clean trade.
Bitcoin Strategic Risk Framework & Market Structure Assessment.⊢
⟁ BTC/USD – BINANCE – (CHART: 1D) – (Jun 25, 2025).
⟐ Analysis Price: $107,191.94.
⊢
⨀ I. Temporal Axis – Strategic Interval – (1D):
▦ EMA21 – ($105,207.93):
∴ Price has reclaimed EMA21 decisively after testing below;
∴ EMA21 maintains upward slope, indicating reactivation of short-term bullish sentiment;
∴ Dynamic support now resides at ~$105.2K.
✴️ Conclusion: EMA structure favors bullish continuation while price holds above.
⊢
▦ SMA200 – ($96,064.16):
∴ SMA200 remains strongly upward sloped, untouched since March 2024;
∴ Long-term momentum remains firmly bullish;
∴ No contact with SMA200 confirms macro support far below.
✴️ Conclusion: Structural support intact; macro uptrend fully confirmed.
⊢
▦ Ichimoku Cloud – ($103,065.53 / $104,456.43):
∴ Price positioned above Kumo; bullish structure remains intact;
∴ Kijun-sen ($104,456.43) and Tenkan-sen ($103,065.53) both flat, signaling short-term consolidation;
∴ Chikou Span approaches historical resistance zone; Span A and B flattening.
✴️ Conclusion: Bullish trend preserved, but lacking forward thrust; potential stagnation if breakout fails.
⊢
▦ Volume (MA21) – (~129 BTC):
∴ Current volume ~128.73 BTC, slightly under the moving average;
∴ No breakout volume confirmation despite recent price thrust;
∴ Weak volume expansion reduces reliability of short-term breakout.
✴️ Conclusion: Momentum requires validation through volume escalation.
⊢
▦ MACD – (-4.44 / 36.48 / -40.92):
∴ Histogram contracting upward, bearish momentum fading;
∴ MACD Line (-4.44) still below Signal Line (36.48);
∴ No confirmed bullish crossover, but compression phase active.
✴️ Conclusion: Latent bullish reversal potential; not yet validated.
⊢
▦ RSI – (55.95):
∴ RSI reclaimed level above 50, positioning in neutral-bullish zone;
∴ RSI MA at 48.78 confirms momentum shift;
∴ Positive slope suggests rising momentum, but lacks steepness.
✴️ Conclusion: Momentum entering constructive zone, still not impulsive.
⊢
🜎 Strategic Insight – Technical Oracle:
∴ Structure remains technically bullish with constrained momentum;
∴ Indicators are aligned toward continuation, yet breakout conviction is hindered by insufficient volume and pending oscillator confirmation;
∴ Short-term path is upward-biased, conditional on validation.
⊢
∫ II. On-Chain Intelligence – (Source: CryptoQuant):
▦ Exchange Netflow – (All Exchanges):
∴ Netflow remains negative on 7-day average;
∴ Sustained outflows indicate strategic accumulation or self-custody preference;
∴ No evidence of large-scale exchange inflows that signal distribution.
✴️ Conclusion: Net capital migration continues favoring off-exchange security; bullish underlying tone.
⊢
▦ Stablecoin Supply Ratio (SSR):
∴ SSR near 17.5 indicates relatively low stablecoin dominance;
∴ Reduced buying power vs Bitcoin implies cooling short-term demand;
∴ Historically elevated SSR levels precede price consolidations or local tops.
✴️ Conclusion: Stablecoin reserves insufficient for sustained upward pressure; caution warranted.
⊢
▦ Exchange Whale Ratio – (All Exchanges):
∴ Whale Ratio near 0.59 denotes moderate large-holder activity;
∴ Ratio not in critical zone (>0.7), yet above accumulation range (<0.4);
∴ Potential soft distribution behavior if ratio trends upward.
✴️ Conclusion: Mixed signal - no panic, but latent whale presence requires monitoring.
⊢
▦ Miner Reserve:
∴ Miner balances steadily declining over past 30 days;
∴ Consistent outflows suggest controlled selling behavior;
∴ No aggressive miner dumping detected.
✴️ Conclusion: Miner pressure exists but remains tactical and non-destructive.
⊢
▦ Long-Term Holder SOPR (LTH-SOPR):
∴ Metric above 1.0 indicates long-term holders are in profit and realizing gains;
∴ No sharp spike detected, suggesting rational distribution;
∴ Structure consistent with healthy bull cycle mechanics.
✴️ Conclusion: Profit-taking underway in equilibrium; not a signal of panic.
⊢
▦ Funding Rate – (Futures):
∴ Funding mildly positive (~0.002–0.004%), reflecting long positioning bias;
∴ Rates remain low, indicating lack of overcrowded trades;
∴ No sign of speculative overheating in derivatives.
✴️ Conclusion: Derivatives sentiment is constructive, not euphoric; room for further upside exists.
⊢
🜎 Strategic Insight – On-Chain Oracle:
∴ On-chain metrics reflect a stable yet cautious accumulation phase;
∴ Absence of sell pressure, tempered long-term holder realization, and moderate derivative sentiment suggest foundation for continuation, albeit with reduced immediate force;
∴ Confirmation must align with price and volume.
⊢
⧉ III. Contextvs Macro–Geopoliticvs – Interflux Economicvs:
▦ Geopolitical Axis – Middle East Ceasefire:
∴ Ceasefire between Israel and Iran eased global tension, triggering flight from commodities into risk assets;
∴ Brent crude declined over -2.5% following truce reports, reducing inflationary pressure;
∴ However, geopolitical fragility remains - peace is provisional, not structural;
✴️ Conclusion: Tactical relief observed; no systemic safety guaranteed.
⊢
▦ Monetary Policy – US Federal Reserve Outlook:
∴ Jerome Powell signals continued rate hold, citing sticky inflation and fragile global equilibrium;
∴ Futures markets price ~20% chance of July cut, ~60% for September;
∴ Bond yields retreating (2Y at ~3.78%), suggesting easing expectations embedded;
✴️ Conclusion: Macro liquidity conditions marginally favorable to crypto; policy risk remains asymmetric.
⊢
▦ Equities & Global Sentiment – Dow Jones / Nasdaq Futures:
∴ Dow Futures flat (~+0.02%), Nasdaq Futures rise on tech optimism;
∴ Equity markets supported by decline in oil, stabilization in rates, and AI-sector inflows;
∴ No VIX spike – volatility subdued;
✴️ Conclusion: Macro-risk appetite firming up, enhancing crypto’s speculative appeal.
⊢
▦ Derivatives Behavior & Institutional Flow:
∴ Option markets show accumulation of BTC calls at 108K–112K strike zones;
∴ Futures funding positive but low, consistent with healthy long-side conviction;
∴ No structural imbalance detected;
✴️ Conclusion: Derivatives support scenario of moderate bullishness without speculative overreach.
⊢
⌘ Codicillus Silentii – Strategic Note:
∴ Temporal architecture remains bullishly aligned, but lacks velocity – movement is present without ignition;
∴ On-chain metrics reveal quiet distribution among long-term holders, yet without aggressive miner displacement or exchange flooding;
∴ Market tension is suspended in a state of equilibrium – neither contraction nor breakout assert dominion;
∴ The asymmetry of opportunity lies dormant, awaiting conviction in participation and volume.
⊢
𓂀 Stoic-Structural Interpretation:
▦ Structurally Bullish – Tactically Suspended:
∴ Price structure above EMA21 and SMA200 confirms preservation of macro uptrend – foundation remains unbroken;
∴ Miner reserve reduction and stable LTH-SOPR suggest controlled realization, not structural weakness;
∴ However, Ichimoku flattening and low volume expansion indicate stalling momentum, lacking breakout substance.
⊢
▦ Tactical Range Caution:
∴ Whale Ratio mid-levels and SSR elevation highlight proximity to potential resistance exhaustion;
∴ MACD crossover remains unconfirmed; RSI enters constructive zone without strength – reactionary rather than initiative-based;
∴ Until volume and oscillator confirmation emerge above $108.2K, posture remains protective and selective.
⊢
⧉
⚜️ Magister Arcanvm (𝟙⟠) – Vox Primordialis!
𓂀 Wisdom begins in silence. Precision unfolds in strategy.
⧉
⊢
BTC/USDT – 4-Hour Chart AnalysisPattern: Bullish Harmonic Reversal – BAT Pattern
Bitcoin has completed a harmonic Bullish Bat Pattern, suggesting a potential upside reversal from the D point.
Current price: $107,186
The harmonic structure follows ideal ratios:
AB retraces 30.2% of XA
BC extends 118.1% of AB
CD completes near 88.6% of XA – confirming the Bat pattern
Trade Plan:
Many traders have already entered positions.
However, if price retraces to the $104k level, a re-entry opportunity exists with a stop loss around $100k—just below the D-point and strong support zone.
Targeting the yellow upward path, the structure supports a continuation toward new highs, possibly surpassing $115k–$120k, depending on momentum.
RSI (14):
RSI is currently 67.99, approaching overbought but still supportive of bullish continuation.
A recent bullish RSI divergence strengthens the reversal scenario.
Conclusion:
This harmonic Bat pattern suggests a strong bullish structure is forming. As long as price holds above the $100k zone, buyers may continue to dominate, with high probability setups forming for trend continuation.