Secure ptofits of LONG📊 BTC Daily Chart – In-Depth Analysis (as of Apr 15, 2025)
🔍 Overview
You're holding a long position from below $80K, still active but now at a +5-6% gain, while TP is placed around 88.3K, close to a key resistance and trendline confluence. Let's break this all down and answer your core question: Is it wise to secure profits now even if TP hasn't been reached?
⚒️ BitcoinMF PRO & Fisher Confirmation
The BitcoinMF PRO indicator has been delivering precise entries/exits—highlighted with green "Long" and red "Short" tags.
Your current active long was marked by BitcoinMF PRO near the lower end of the descending channel with Fisher Transform at a local bottom, signaling an extremely oversold bounce zone.
The Fisher is curling up from a "super low" region, meaning it is entering mid-zone. This reduces risk-reward from here for new longs—good reason to lock partial profits.
📉 Technical Chart Structure Breakdown
🔺 Linear Regression Channels:
BTC is now trading near the top of the smaller descending red channel, nearing rejection territory.
Also, it’s approaching the bottom half of the broader dark blue ascending channel = resistance cluster zone.
🔁 Elliott Wave Structure (Possibly Ending Wave 4)
This looks like a potential 3 → 4 → 5 wave structure unfolding.
Wave 3 likely bottomed near $71K- FWB:73K , and this long is likely part of Wave 4 retracement. If correct, Wave 5 may resume down again unless invalidated above $88.3K.
🔸 Fibonacci Watch:
0.5 Fib retracement from recent swing high to low is around $84.2K-$85.5K—you’re sitting on it right now.
0.618 Fib confluence is ~$88.5K, right where TP is set. That zone is statistically known for rejections. This is another reason to secure a chunk of profit now.
📉 Volume & Sentiment
Volume is weak on this rally, indicating a lack of conviction.
Fear & Greed Index (live: ⚠️ around 72 – greed zone) is starting to lean hot.
Market sentiment is optimistic, and price is hovering just below known short zones.
🏦 Whale Activity, Exchange Inflows & CME Gap
Whale wallets have shown mild accumulation at lower levels (~ FWB:73K -$75K), but no aggressive buying up here.
Exchange inflows are increasing slightly – suggesting some may be getting ready to sell into this strength.
✅ CME Gap around $66K is still unfilled. Historically 90% of gaps fill. Keep that in your long-term radar.
🔄 Long vs Shorts Ratio (Bybit + Binance)
On both Bybit and Binance, Longs > Shorts by ~58/42 – minor imbalance. Suggests majority is positioned long, slightly raising correction risk.
✅ Final Strategic Take
❗ Why You Should Secure Profits Now:
Price is at a resistance confluence zone (Fib + LR + sentiment).
The move has already run +5-6%, and even if price doesn’t touch TP at 88.3K, greed could erase that unrealized profit quickly.
If this is just Wave 4, the next move could be a final push down to $70K or lower (Wave 5).
Volume divergence + rising inflows = risk is increasing.
Locking at least 50-70% now is smart trader psychology. You can always re-enter.
🔮 Most Probable Next Move: 6.8 / 10 – Mild Up, Then Pullback
BTC has 69% probability of testing $86.5K–$88.5K, but rejection is very likely there.
After that, we could see a pullback to $80K–$82K.
Extreme bullish continuation (above $90K) currently has <20% probability unless macro/Fed/etc. change.
📌 Action Recommendation:
📈 Secure partial profits immediately.
🧠 Move stop-loss to breakeven or slightly in profit to protect the rest.
🛑 Avoid FOMO-ing into new longs now – let the chart confirm breakout first.
🧠 Ancient Wisdom:
In Pirkei Avot (Ethics of the Fathers), Rabbi Tarfon said:
“The day is short, the work is great… and the reward is much, but the Master is insistent.”
In trading terms: The market doesn’t owe you your TP. Secure reward when the work is done. Don’t overstay your welcome.
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BTCUSD trade ideas
BTC/USD Daily Technical Outlook – Approaching Cycle Top?Bitcoin is currently trading around $85,500, maintaining short-term bullish momentum within a well-formed ascending structure on the daily chart. The price is now entering a mid-phase rally, with a clear target of $98,000, a key resistance level that coincides with the upper boundary of a rising wedge formation and historical trend extension zones.
Key Technical Levels:
Immediate Resistance: $88,800 (local supply zone)
Major Target Zone: $97,000–$98,000 (macro resistance + psychological round number)
Short-Term Support: $82,000
Key Breakdown Level: $78,500
While the momentum suggests BTC may continue to push higher in the near term, the $98,000 resistance is likely to act as a distribution zone, where buying may slow and profit-taking increases. This level could falsely signal a breakout, leading to a spike in retail long positions before the market enters a longer-term correction phase.
If rejection occurs at or near $98,000, BTC could begin a multi-month correction, with the primary downside target set at $49,000 by July 2025. This level aligns with previous weekly support, volume profile lows, and would represent a typical deep retracement following a major cycle top.
Outlook:
Near-term bias: Bullish toward $98,000
Macro bias: Bearish reversal expected from resistance zone
Cycle correction target: $49,000 (Q3 2025)
Is BTC set to hit 90K before dropping?#BTC has been range-bound on the weekly , recently forming an SFP below the range low but failing to close below the Feb and Mar 10th lows. Could we see an SFP above the RH ($90K) before moving lower, potentially toward the FWB:65K -$72K target? That remains to be seen. The HTF MS remains bearish, and until it shifts, the risk to the downside is high. For a bullish shift on the weekly, we need weekly closes above $94000. Until then, downside risk persists.
On LTF/MTF: I update my analysis regularly, but for now, I’m considering a few scenarios:
👉a. BTC could bounce from an 18H HOB if the 2H HOB breaks, potentially aligning with USDT.D hitting a 23H HOB at 5.62%. This might form a DB at a 22H PHOB at 5.35%, or USDT.D could target a 12D demand or a 22H HOB at 5.15%.
👉b. BTC might bounce, breaking the current 21H OB, and reach the HTF supply at $90K, while USDT.D takes the 23H PHOB and possibly the 22H HOB before rising to 5.77%-6.01%.
Also note, the daily close below the $84600 SH shows weakness on the chart. There’s little to do until we either reach $72K or see an MS shift, which could open risky upside trades. These are risky because we haven’t taken the liquidity needed for higher prices. MT also mentioned that higher prices without key level breaks are likely a bull trap. Avoid heavy trades until direction is clear.
Until then, we focus on taking LTF scalp trades 🤝
BTCUSD is expected to break through 88800On the daily chart, BTCUSD rebounded from a low level, and the price has broken through the downward trend line resistance. Currently, we can pay attention to the support near 83,000. If it does not break, we can consider buying. The upper resistance is around 88,800. After breaking through, the upper resistance is around 92,000.
BTCUSD 30M CHART PATTERNThis chart illustrates a triple top pattern for BTC/USD on the 30-minute timeframe—a classic bearish reversal signal.
Here's a quick breakdown:
Red Arrows / Top Zone: Three clear attempts to break resistance around the 85,900 level, all failing, which defines the triple top.
Support Zone: Horizontal red line around 83,300 indicates a strong support level.
Entry Idea: The chart suggests shorting from the resistance zone (where the price currently is).
Stop Loss: Slightly above the resistance (above 85,900).
Take Profit: Near the support zone (~83,300), completing the expected drop.
Summary: It's a high-risk short-term short setup with clear risk management. If BTC breaks above the resistance instead, it would invalidate the pattern and trigger the stop loss.
Want help setting up a trade plan or calculating risk/reward for this?
Bitcoin: Waiting for a clear long setupOn the daily chart, Bitcoin is trying to break out of the downtrend, but for me, there’s still no reliable signal to go long. And without that, I won’t be gambling in this casino.
It's good to see some consolidation at current level.
Interestingly, the uptrend remains intact on both the weekly and monthly charts. That adds a solid extra argument in favor of a long position—if a strong setup forms on the daily chart.
Bullish bounce off pullback support?The Bitcoin (BTC/USD) has bounced off the pivot and could potentially rise to the pullback resistance.
Pivot: 83,260.07
1st Support: 80,469.31
1st Resistance: 88,484.86
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Bitcoin Getting Ready to Continue up to Test $87k again.Well...well....well, looks like bears still playing lazy.
Anyways TIME is running out for bears to make their case so knowing that bearsstill have like
8 to 11 1hr candles to make their case so we came out with 3 scenarios and are as follow.
(1)- it breaks out from where it is right now or
(2)- It makes another narrow sideways move and then breakout or
(3)- Drops quick in a couple of candles with nasty wicks just to bounce back up quick.
I'm inclined for the #3 option cause there's still TIME to happen but all depends on volatility, the bright side of this dilemma is that all of them will end up above the $85k line during the week, once it gets there will take another look. Place your bets ladies and gentlemen and buckle up, and get ready for a wild ride.
BTCUSD update Hi traders you need to plan a trade n trade the plan,this is my plan n I post it 1 January now am in a recovery mode and still following the trend as I said this year I won't share many analytics but I do have specific platforms were I do share what am seeing n help those who see my post,soo we are gonna explode soon in btc its just a matter of time keep your head up n trust the process get rich or die trying never give up📈
BTCUSD Today's strategyYesterday, the price of Bitcoin increased, but the trading volume decreased, weakening the short-term upward momentum. However, in the long run, the market has sufficient liquidity. The active trading of a large number of investors supports price discovery, and it is likely to drive up the price when there are favorable factors.
It should be noted that the cryptocurrency market is highly volatile and uncertain. Although we are bullish on the price of Bitcoin today, unexpected factors may change its trend. When making investment decisions, investors should assess their risk tolerance and operate with caution.
BTCUSD
buy@83500-84500
tp:85500-86500
I hope this strategy will be helpful to you.
When you find yourself in a difficult situation and at a loss in trading, don't face it alone. Please get in touch with me. I'm always ready to fight side by side with you, avoid risks, and embark on a new journey towards stable profits.
BTCUSD is Going to Fall ? 79K Again...BTCUSD | Liquidity Grab Before Major Drop? (1H Chart Analysis)
Idea :
Timeframe: 1H
Bitcoin is showing signs of a potential liquidity grab around the major resistance zone near 85.5k–86k. The price tapped into the imbalance zone, likely triggering buy stops and drawing in late longs.
Here’s what I’m watching:
Liquidity sweep just above recent highs
Multiple internal liquidity zones below acting as potential magnet
Potential fake breakout, followed by sharp rejection
Final target could be the external liquidity around 74k–76k
Trade Setup:
Short entry after liquidity is swept above 85.5k with confirmation
Stop-loss: above 86.5k
Targets: 82k, 80k, and 74k (external liquidity)
Bias: Bearish (Short-Term Play)
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Disclaimer:
This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Please do your own research and risk management before taking any trades. Trade responsibly.
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#BTCUSD #Bitcoin #CryptoTrading #SmartMoney #LiquidityGrab #PriceAction #TechnicalAnalysis #SupplyAndDemand #TradingStrategy #MarketStructure#ShortSetup #BearishBias #LiquiditySweep #TraderMindset #TradingViewIdeas #DYOR
BITCOIN FALLING RESISTANCE|SHORT|
✅BITCOIN is trading in a downtrend
Along the falling resistance line
Which makes me bearish biased
And the coin is about to retest the resistance
Thus, a pullback and a move down are expected
With the target of retesting the level below at 83,213$
SHORT🔥
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Triangle Breakdown & Entry After Rejection🔍 Trade Idea – Entry Plan:
Breakout Below the Triangle Support Line:
Wait for a strong bearish candle to break below the lower trendline of the triangle (support).
Ideally, the candle should close below the trendline with increased volume to confirm the breakout.
Pullback & Rejection:
After the breakout, expect a pullback to retest the broken support line (now acting as resistance).
Look for rejection signals at this level (e.g., bearish engulfing candle, pin bar, etc.) to confirm that the price is respecting the new resistance.
Entry:
Enter a short position after confirmation of the rejection.
Stop Loss: Just above the rejection wick or the retested resistance zone.
Take Profit: Based on previous support levels or measured move (height of the triangle projected downward).
Bitcoin bulls still face medium term diagonal resistance BITSTAMP:BTCUSD has recovered in recent days but still faces a hurdle to the upside as it is pushing up against a descending resistance line, with additional resistance at the $89,000 level.
Using the ForexGPT web app, we can see the following AI-generated analysis using the 4-hour time from on BTC/USD as of April 14th, 2025:
AI-generated analysis for BTC/USD, 4-hour bid prices from January 28, 2025, at UTC 02:52:38
Welcome to ForexGPT! Let's dive into the latest data for BTC/USD on a 4-hour timeframe.
As of the last candle on April 14, 2025:
Price: 84809.2
Open: 84280.4
High: 85038.6
Low: 84157.1
Close: 84809.2
7-period SMA: 84553.9143
14-period SMA: 82656.45
50-period SMA: 81183.452
100-period SMA: 83373.351
Bollinger Bands: Upper: 86400.4939, Middle: 82292.64, Lower: 78184.7861
Donchian Channel: Upper: 85786.4, Middle: 81203.2, Lower: 76620
Sentiment Score: 70.6311
Given the current sentiment score of 70.6311, the market sentiment appears to be quite positive. The price is trading above the 7-period SMA, indicating a short-term bullish trend. The 14-period and 50-period SMAs are also trending upwards, supporting the bullish sentiment. The Bollinger Bands suggest that the price is near the upper band, which could indicate overbought conditions, but also strong upward momentum.
ForexGPT AI-generated Trade Signal
Based on the analysis, I anticipate a long position with the following details:
Entry Price: Market order at 84809.2
Take-Profit Price: 85786.4 (Donchian Upper)
Stop-Loss Level: 83373.351 (100-period SMA)
Risk-Reward Ratio:
Potential Profit: 85786.4 - 84809.2 = 977.2 pips
Potential Loss: 84809.2 - 83373.351 = 1435.849 pips
Risk-Reward Ratio: 977.2 / 1435.849 ≈ 0.68
While the risk-reward ratio is below 1, the strong bullish indicators and positive sentiment may justify the trade. However, always consider your risk tolerance and position sizing carefully.
For further analysis, you might want to explore other timeframes such as 1-hour, daily, or weekly to get a broader perspective on the trend.
Above analysis provided by ForexGPT LLC subject to our terms, and is not investment advice.
Make-or-break week for BTCUSDImportant week for BTCUSD. Price is sitting right at the edge of a short-term downward trendline within a larger bullish channel. If it breaks above this structure convincingly, it could open the path toward the upper channel extension, with potential upside reaching the 140,000–150,000 region.
On the flip side, if the highlighted support area around 75,000 fails to hold, the structure could break down into a deeper correction, possibly testing the lower channel near 45,000. This week’s close will be key in confirming whether bulls reclaim momentum or risk builds for a larger drop.
Keep a close eye on the downward movement of BTC at all times.Today, BTC is in a sideways trend, with its price fluctuating in the range of 83,000 to 86,000. 📊
At present, there are no significant new developments in the area of tariffs. 👍
However, what we need to be vigilant about is that if the tariff situation deteriorates and triggers the market's safe - haven mechanism, a large amount of capital is highly likely to flow into the relatively stable gold and foreign exchange markets. 😟
This, in turn, could lead to a large - scale sell - off in the Bitcoin market. 💥
Therefore, it is recommended to consider short - selling at relatively high price points. 📉
The accuracy rate of our daily signals has remained above 98% throughout a month 📈! You are warmly welcome to follow us and join in on the success 🌟.
💰💰💰 BTCUSD 💰💰💰
🎯 Sell@84500 - 85500
🎯 TP 82500 - 81500
Traders, if you're fond of this perspective or have your own insights regarding it, feel free to share in the comments. I'm really looking forward to reading your thoughts! 🤗
Bitcoin shows local growth - will it continue ?Marked the important levels in this video for this week and considered a few scenarios of price performance
Local support at 80k and first target at 86k
Write a comment with your coins & hit the like button, and I will make an analysis for you
The author's opinion may differ from yours,
Consider your risks.
Wish you successful trades! MURA