BTCUSD trade ideas
Bitcoin Cycle End around the week starting October 6, 2This is a simple analysis based on the past two Bitcoin cycles. Interestingly, from the bottom to the all-time high (ATH), it took exactly 152 weeks in both cases. If history repeats, that would place the next ATH around the week starting October 6, 2025, in the current cycle.
As for the predicted price, that’s far more uncertain. We’re currently in week 133 since the cycle bottom. If we compare proportionally to the 2017 cycle, the projected ATH would be around $260,000. If we instead follow the trajectory of the 2021 cycle, the ATH would be closer to $150,000.
Which of these is more likely? No one truly knows. However, it's important to consider the increasing adoption of Bitcoin by governments, institutions, and major corporations. This, combined with Bitcoin’s built-in scarcity, could lead to an entirely different outcome — possibly a supercycle, with a longer duration and a higher or fundamentally different ATH than seen in previous cycles.
No financial advice!
BTCUSD BREAK SUPPORT LEVEL AND WENT TO DOWN TRENDHere I Created This BTCUSD Chart Analysis
Pair : BTCUSD (BITCOIN)
Timeframe: 1 - Hour
Pattern: Breakout
Momentum: Bearish / Sell
Entry Limit : Sell 106200
Resistance zone : 106600
Target Will Be : 104000
Disclaimer : This signal is based on personal analysis for learning purposes. Trade at your own risk and always use proper risk management.
BTCUSDT UP SIDE VIEW In resistance halt why if Market respect that level it will fall why market invite to retailer to sell their position here Market waiting for them is it trap yes exactly what am I saying it's a trap now our trade will activate when market breakout ok up side Seller so many sl Market wil hunt all sl.
BTCUSD HTF cycle analysis
Hi, I’m from Phoenix FX, and today I’ll be sharing my perspective on Bitcoin (BTC) price action based on the higher timeframes.
I’ll also give you my outlook on potential trade setups for today and tomorrow. Please remember that this is not financial advice—use this information as a guide only. If you find it helpful, don’t forget to like and share it with your like-minded communities.
Higher Timeframe Analysis
In my view, BTC tends to follow clear bullish and bearish cycle zones. Typically, we see a pump to new all-time highs (ATH), followed by the formation of resistance and a retracement down to a key support level. Our trading approach focuses on identifying those critical support and resistance levels, with some interim trades based on shorter-term analysis—occasionally even counter-trend, depending on the day’s market bias.
Over the past eight years, BTC has respected a major trend resistance line. The most recent ATH, around $112K, reconfirmed the relevance of this trendline. This makes it a valuable tool for projecting future ATH levels.
Looking ahead, I expect a move towards the $115K level in the coming weeks. This would likely act as a point of resistance, at which stage we might see a reversal and a drop back down to a key support zone.
Trade Setup
The chart I'm referencing highlights what I would consider the first premium buy zone, identified using a 4-hour Fair Value Gap (FVG).
The 50% level of this zone sits at $99,450. If this zone fails to hold, we may drop further to the secondary premium buy zone, which aligns with our higher timeframe (HTF) trend support and a weekly FVG. The 50% level of this deeper zone is around $89,150.
A potential long entry at $92,550, with a stop loss around $88,000, offers an excellent risk-to-reward (RR) ratio, targeting a move up to the $115K level.
Intraday Outlook
For today, I see bearish price action, with potential rejection around the $104,300–$105,000 range. Go short around the $104,750 to $105,000 zone
This could lead to a move down toward the lower key zones highlighted in the HTF analysis.
I recommend taking partial profits (TP) at every $1,000 increment and setting your stop loss to breakeven (BE) after hitting the first target.
Final Thoughts
Price action analysis is always subjective, so I’d love to hear your thoughts and ideas in the comments—each one, teach one.
Thanks for giving me some of your time.
From the Phoenix FX team, have a great weekend!
BTCUSD Price action analysis on HTFHi, I’m from Phoenix FX, and today I’ll be sharing my perspective on Bitcoin (BTC) price action based on the higher timeframes.
I’ll also give you my outlook on potential trade setups for today and tomorrow. Please remember that this is not financial advice—use this information as a guide only. If you find it helpful, don’t forget to like and share it with your like-minded communities.
Higher Timeframe Analysis
In my view, BTC tends to follow clear bullish and bearish cycle zones. Typically, we see a pump to new all-time highs (ATH), followed by the formation of resistance and a retracement down to a key support level. Our trading approach focuses on identifying those critical support and resistance levels, with some interim trades based on shorter-term analysis—occasionally even counter-trend, depending on the day’s market bias.
Over the past eight years, BTC has respected a major trend resistance line. The most recent ATH, around $112K, reconfirmed the relevance of this trendline. This makes it a valuable tool for projecting future ATH levels.
Looking ahead, I expect a move towards the $115K level in the coming weeks. This would likely act as a point of resistance, at which stage we might see a reversal and a drop back down to a key support zone.
Trade Setup
The chart I'm referencing highlights what I would consider the first premium buy zone, identified using a 4-hour Fair Value Gap (FVG).
The 50% level of this zone sits at $99,450. If this zone fails to hold, we may drop further to the secondary premium buy zone, which aligns with our higher timeframe (HTF) trend support and a weekly FVG. The 50% level of this deeper zone is around $89,150.
A potential long entry at $92,550, with a stop loss around $88,000, offers an excellent risk-to-reward (RR) ratio, targeting a move up to the $115K level.
Intraday Outlook
For today, I see bearish price action, with potential rejection around the $104,300–$105,000 range. Go short around the $104,750 to $105,000 zone
This could lead to a move down toward the lower key zones highlighted in the HTF analysis.
I recommend taking partial profits (TP) at every $1,000 increment and setting your stop loss to breakeven (BE) after hitting the first target.
Final Thoughts
Price action analysis is always subjective, so I’d love to hear your thoughts and ideas in the comments—each one, teach one.
Thanks for giving me some of your time.
From the Phoenix FX team, have a great weekend!
BITCOIN BULLISH TO $116,000 (UPDATE)Bitcoin has come very close to our $116,000 target, peaking at $112,000 just $4,000 away from our TP.
I still believe BTC prices will push higher for sure. But my only concern right now is will BTC have a huge correction ( Minor Wave 4) before it moves back up again? If it does then I'll most likely cash out my buy positions soon for my Crypto Fund investors, as we've already made decent profits & it is not worth holding on too much longer & risking it.
BITCOIN BULLISH TO $116,000 (UPDATE)Bitcoin has come very close to our $116,000 target, peaking at $112,000 just $4,000 away from our TP.
I still believe BTC prices will push higher for sure. But my only concern right now is will BTC have a huge correction ( Minor Wave 4) before it moves back up again? If it does then I'll most likely cash out my buy positions soon for my Crypto Fund investors, as we've already made decent profits & it is not worth holding on too much longer & risking it.
Trading Signals for BTC/USD Sell below106,036 or buy above 106,3Scenario #1: My plan to buy Bitcoin today at the entry point $105,370, aiming for a rise to $107,600. Around $107,600, my plan to exit the buys and immediately sell on a pullback. Before buying on a breakout, ENSURE THE 50-day moving average is below the current price and the Awesome Oscillator is in the positive zone.
Scenario #2: Bitcoin can also be bought from the lower boundary at $105,300 if three is no market reaction to its breakout, aiming for $106,300.
Sell Scenario
Scenario #1: my to sell Bitcoin today at the entry point around $105.400, my plan to exit the sales and immediately buy on a pullback. Before selling on a breakout, ensure that the 50-day moving average is above the current price and the Awesome Oscillator is in the negative zone
Scenario #2: Bitcoin can also be sold from the upper boundary at $106,300 if there is no market reaction to its breakout, aiming for $105,400 and $104,400.